Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
SUNRISE, Fla. — Mika Zibanejad knew right away it was a bad pass.
The New York Rangers forward was trying to get a puck to teammate Blake Wheeler early in overtime of Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Final against the Florida Panthers on Tuesday night. But Zibanejad’s careless toss at the offensive blue line didn’t land, and while Wheeler tried to corral the puck, it was poked away by Panthers defenseman Niko Mikkola, who skated towards Aleksander Barkov.
That, in turn, forced Wheeler into committing a penalty against Barkov to prevent Florida’s captain from a clean scoring chance on goaltender Igor Shesterkin.
The Panthers earned a power play and Sam Reinhart capitalized seconds later with a one-timer, giving Florida a 3-2 victory and tying the series 2-2 as it turns back to New York.
“It’s making decisions,” said Zibanejad of the play. “I (saw Wheeler) kind of coming towards me. I think he’s open because (forward Will Cuylle) is going to the net, trying to make the play and they poke it and go the other way. I should have probably just made a different play, or decision, but I made the decision there then. I can’t change it now. That’s sports. I can just come back and try to make another decision next time and hope it goes my way.”
There isn’t much that’s gone right for Zibanejad in the series. He was terrific for New York through their first and second round Stanley Cup playoff series, recording three goals and 14 points through 10 games. He recorded zero points in the Conference Final though — same as linemate Chris Kreider — and that’s been a troubling issue for New York that they’ve been fortunate to overcome. Until now.
“They’re working,” coach Peter Laviolette of Zibanejad’s line said. “We’re spending a little too much time playing defense, especially in the second period. That happened in the last game too. You’re not spending time in the right zone. Those players want to get out of the defensive zone and get in the offensive zone where they can make an impact in the game. There was a spot in Game 3 and a spot here in Game 4 where we didn’t get the push we needed out of the period, and it’s keeps guys from playing in the zone they want to play in. They’re not there.”
New York was dominated by Florida in Game 3, getting out-chanced 108-43 in shot attempts but finding a way to win 5-4 in overtime. The Rangers would not be so fortunate in Game 4. Despite New York jumping out to an early 1-0 lead off Vincent Trocheck‘s marker, Florida roared back in the second period with a pair of goals from Sam Bennett and Carter Verhaeghe, the second on the power play.
Alexis Lafreniere evened the score for New York in the third to get the game to overtime but the Rangers were still outshot 40-23 overall, and the Panthers made New York pay for their most egregious mistake in the extra frame.
“We have the utmost belief that someone in the locker room is going to get it done,” Sam Bennett said of the Panthers’ game winner. “Tonight, it was Sam Reinhart.”
The fact Wheeler took Barkov down on what looked to be a breakaway attempt might have earned Barkov a penalty shot instead of giving Florida a power play. Coach Paul Maurice said he wasn’t sure which decision he preferred — only that the Panthers’ ultimately made the most of their outcome.
“I don’t know (what I would have picked); I really don’t know,” he said. “But if we hadn’t scored, I would have said penalty shot all day long.”
Florida’s best players came through for them, though. New York needs more of their top talents to start doing the same. Shesterkin was sensational again in Game 4 holding the Rangers in with a 37-save performance, but he can’t finish the job alone.
Laviolette altered the Rangers’ lineup going into Game 4 to try and preserve key players. Filip Chytil was a healthy scratch as he continues coming back from a six-month upper-body injury absence. That opened the door for Wheeler to step in for the first time since he suffered a gruesome leg injury on February 15.
It was hardly a triumphant return for Wheeler to be at the center of New York’s overtime penalty trouble. But Laviolette didn’t put any blame on the veteran forward for how he reacted to Zibanejad’s turnover.
“They got behind us,” said Laviolette. “It was a turnover at the offensive blue line and it was a tough spot for him to be in. There was a lot of heat on him, a lot of pressure. It was more what they did than him doing something. He was surrounded by a couple players. It bounces back the other way, the guys were chasing it down the best they could and ended up having to get a stick on him.”
New York will try and regroup now as the Conference Final becomes a best-of-three. And Kreider knows what his line has to do in order to help the Rangers get back on top.
“We’ve got to do a better job of advancing pucks up the ice and establishing an o-zone presence,” he said. “A lot of that falls on me. I’ve got to be able to get in there and win pucks. I’ve got to get my body on pucks, move my feet and allow us to get up the ice and start rolling.”
While there isn’t a massive free agent expected to smash records this winter like Ohtani and Soto did, there are two players who are intriguing for different reasons and also happen to have the same first name: Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker.
From one point of view, Tucker has had a solid walk year, posting 4.7 WAR with his offensive numbers down just a tick from last year’s career year but underlying metrics close to his best seasons. On the other hand, Tucker had a really rough run in August, hitting .148/.233/.148 (16 wRC+) over 15 games (61 plate appearances) from Aug. 1 to Aug. 18. This led to him sitting out games Aug. 19 and 20. The Chicago Cubs right fielder has hit well since returning, but now he’s on the injured list with a calf strain. That said, he was tied for fifth in baseball in WAR at the end of June, and he remains in the top 20.
Schwarber’s season is less complicated. The Philadelphia Phillies slugger has posted career bests in most offensive categories, including his 50 homers, 123 RBIs and 4.5 WAR. The only negatives for his outlook on free agency are that Schwarber will be 33 years old in March and has played only 13 games in the field over the last two seasons. Designated hitters well into their 30s haven’t fared well in free agency, but none of those had hit 50 homers in their walk year, so Schwarber is in uncharted territory.
How much might each of the Kyles get this winter? We polled 20 scouts, executives and agents to find out.
Kyle Tucker
How much could Tucker get?
Here are the 20 responses from our panel, grouped in tiers by total dollars.
Under $350 million (6): 11 years/$308 million, 9 years/$315 million (2x), 8 years/$320 million, 9 years/$340 million, 9 years/$342 million
$350-$399 million (4): 8 years/$352 million, 10 years/$375 million, 12 years/$375 million, 11 years/$380 million
$400-499 million (8): 10 years/$400 million, 11 years/$400 million, 11 years/$418 million, 10 years/$420 million (2x), 10 years/$425 million, 12 years/$425 million, 10 years/$450 million
At least $500 million (2): 10 years/$500 million, 12 years/$550 million
The average of all 20 projections is 10.1 years, $391.5 million, for a $38.8 million average annual value (AAV).
The median projection of those deals is $390 million.
Who are the closest comps?
Tucker’s consistent standout performance (five straight 4-5 fWAR seasons and five straight hitting performances 30% better than league average) makes it hard to find a recent free agent comparison. He’s 10th in baseball in WAR over the last five seasons.
Over the last four free agent classes, the $150M+ position players don’t have a great fit for a comp. Soto’s $765 million deal and Ohtani’s $700 million deal aren’t useful. Shortstops Willy Adames, Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts, Carlos Correa, Dansby Swanson, Marcus Semien and Corey Seager are positionally quite different, though Seager isn’t a terrible secondary comp. Freddie Freeman was three years older than Tucker as a free agent and Aaron Judge was two years older, while also coming off of an 11.1 WAR season with 62 homers, so neither seems that relevant. Kris Bryant was already trending down when he hit free agency, while Brandon Nimmo was trending up but had years of durability concerns.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s $500 million April extension with the Toronto Blue Jays is the comp that kept coming up with those we surveyed. Vlad’s extension kicks in next year for his age-27 season, while Tucker will be 29. It’s only two years, but it’s a very important two years in projecting the value in a long-term deal. Tucker has more baserunning and positional value, but he’s still a corner outfielder. Guerrero’s extension was signed outside of a competitive bidding situation, with the perception being that the Jays paid a little more than the market would bear to lock up their franchise player after a last-place American League East finish last season and with fellow core player Bo Bichette still unsigned.
Who are Tucker’s potential suitors?
There was little confidence from those surveyed (none of whom work for the Cubs) about the Cubs winning a bidding war for Tucker. The Los Angeles Dodgers, longtime fans of Tucker, were mentioned by a number of industry insiders. We didn’t ask about a projected team, so the Dodgers coming up often seems to be indicative of a feeling in the industry that they’re the team to beat.
Putting all of those pieces together, you can see why a contingent of the industry thinks Tucker will land somewhere around Guerrero’s extension, some think he’ll end up closer to $300 million, but most have him around $400 million, give or take, which is also where Jeff Passan’s sources led him.
Kyle Schwarber
How much could Schwarber get?
Here are the 20 responses from our panel, grouped in tiers by total dollars.
Under $100 million (2): 4 years/$72 million, 3 years/$90 million
$100-$125 million (11): 3 years/$100 million, 4 years/$100 million, 4 years/$110 million (2x), 4 years/$112 million (3x), 5 years/$118 million, 4 years/$120 million (2x), 3 years/$125 million
$126-180 million (5): 4 years/$140 million, 6 years/$150 million, 4 years/$160 million, 5 years/$160 million, 4 years/$180 million
At least $200 million (2): 6 years.$200 million, 7 years/$245 million
The average of all 20 projections is 4.3 years, $131.8 million, for a $30.7 million average annual value (AAV).
The median projection of those deals is $119 million.
Who are the closest comps?
A handful of comps come up for Schwarber:
J.D. Martinez: Five years, $110 million going into his age-30 season in 2018 (45 HRs, 4.3 WAR walk year)
Paul Goldschmidt: Five years, $130 million going into his age-32 season in 2020 (33 HRs, 4.6 WAR in walk year)
Freeman: Six years, $162 million going into his age-32 season in 2022 (31 HRs, 4.7 WAR in walk year)
The comp math would say Schwarber should get one year less than the shortest deal above due to his age (thus, four years) and land in the $25-30 million average annual value (AAV) area, which is right where those surveyed ended up.
Who are Schwarber’s potential suitors?
Conversely to the Tucker/Cubs situation, a lot of those surveyed think there’s a strong chance the Phillies will act quickly after the season ends to bring Schwarber back. Either way, he seems to be a target for a contending team looking to beef up the middle of its lineup in the short term, and hopefully not have an albatross on its ledger at the end of the deal.
All of those teams would be conscious of luxury tax numbers, and a rival agent brought up an interesting wrinkle he’s expecting to see: Schwarber will get that fifth year, for a little added money, to get the AAV down.
A number of teams should be interested at that low-nine-figure area, as the predictions suggest, but there could eventually be a landing spot closer to $150 million with enough competitive bidding. That said, some teams simply can’t stomach that kind of money for an older DH.
NEW YORK — Yankees shortstop Anthony Volpe had a cortisone shot in his left shoulder on Wednesday after playing through a small tear in his labrum for more than four months.
“I went for a play in the hole against IKF and just reaching across the body, and just reaching across the body and then the weight coming on it,” Volpe said. “That’s basically what happened.”
It was Volpe’s second cortisone shot this season. The Yankees also said the 24-year-old had a cortisone shot during the All-Star break.
“I think all things considered pretty good,” Volpe said. “We’re all just kind of going to see how it responded last night to the shot and if it was good.”
José Caballero started again for Volpe on Thursday and made his sixth start at shortstop since being acquired at the trade deadline from Tampa Bay. Boone said Volpe was not available off the bench and may miss the opener of a three-game series at Boston on Friday.
Volpe originally was injured when he felt a pop in his shoulder during the eighth inning of a 3-2 loss to the Rays on May 3. He made an unsuccessful backhand stab on Christopher Morel‘s single that sparked Tampa Bay’s two-run rally.
“He’s aggravated it, maybe a couple of times, Sunday being one of them and each time it’s kind of added to — I think it’s just a swelling issue,” Boone said. “So I think he said something the other day about it.
“We MRI-ed it. It shows a little bit more of a labrum tear but nothing that we think is going to land him on the IL or nothing that he can’t continue to play through. He already feels better today. I don’t expect it to be an issue but that being said, if he goes out there and aggravates it again, we may have to look at it more.”
Volpe is hitting .206 with 19 homers and 70 RBI in 141 games. He is 8 for 44 in his last 12 games since not starting Aug. 24-25 after getting one hit in his previous 28 at-bats heading into the benching.
At the time of his original injury, Volpe was hitting .233 with five homers and 19 RBI. Since then, he is hitting .197 and has the lowest average among qualified shortstops.
“I don’t think it’s been a major factor in his performance or his ability to swing the bat or in his ability to kind of go to the post every day,” Boone said.
Volpe last played in Tuesday’s 12-2 loss, when he went 0 for 3 with a two strikeouts and popped out on a bunt with two on in the fifth inning.
As a rookie in 2023, Volpe won a Gold Glove and hit .209 with 21 homers, 60 RBI and had 24 stolen bases after winning the shortstop job in spring training. He batted .243 with 12 homers and 60 RBI last year.
In the postseason, Volpe batted .286, including hitting a grand slam in Game 4 of the World Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.
Los Angeles Angels star Mike Trout finally homered Thursday night in Seattle, ending a career-long 28-game homerless drought that put him one shy of reaching 400 for his career.
Trout launched his 399th homer, sending a 3-2 fastball from Mariners right-hander Bryce Miller over the left-center-field wall to tie the score at 4 in the fifth inning. Seattle went on to win 7-6 in 12 innings.
It was Trout’s 21st homer of the season and his first since Aug. 6, a span of 125 plate appearances. Trout admitted that reaching the 400-homer milestone had been on his mind in August.
“I was thinking about it for a little bit in the beginning,” said Trout, a three-time American League MVP and 11-time All-Star. “But now I’m just trying to put good swings on the ball. I know it’s going to come. I’m not trying to go up there and try to hit a home run. My whole career is just putting good swings on balls and they’ve gone over the fence.”
Thursday night’s homer was the 56th of Trout’s career against the Mariners, four more than any other player against Seattle. He is batting .235 with 58 RBIs this season.