Grid-Scale U.S. Energy Storage Capacity Could Grow Five-Fold By 2050
With declining technology costs and increasing renewable deployment, energy storage is poised to be a valuable resource on future power grids — but what is the total market potential for storage technologies, and what are the key drivers of cost-optimal deployment?
In the latest report from the Storage Futures Study (SFS), Economic Potential of Diurnal Storage in the U.S. Power Sector, NREL analysts Will Frazier, Wesley Cole, Paul Denholm, Scott Machen, and Nate Blair, describe significant market potential for utility-scale diurnal storage (up to 12 hours) in the U.S. power system through 2050. They found storage adds the most value to the grid and deployment increases when the power system allows storage to simultaneously provide multiple grid services and when there is greater solar photovoltaic (PV) penetration.
“We find significant market potential for diurnal energy storage across a variety of modeled scenarios, mostly occurring by 2030,” said Will Frazier, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) analyst and lead author of the report. “To realize cost-optimal storage deployment, the power system will need to allow storage to provide capacity and energy time-shifting grid services.”
The SFS — led by NREL and supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Energy Storage Grand Challenge — is a multiyear research project to explore how advancing energy storage technologies could impact the deployment of utility-scale storage and adoption of distributed storage, including impacts to future power system infrastructure investment and operations.
Expanded Capabilities to Model Storage Potential
For this work, researchers added new capabilities to NREL’s Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) capacity expansion model to accurately represent the value of diurnal battery energy storage when it is allowed to provide grid services — an inherently complex modeling challenge. Cost and performance metrics focus on Li-ion batteries because the technology has more market maturity than other emerging technologies. Because the value of storage depends greatly on timing, ReEDS simulated system operations every hour.
NREL researchers used ReEDS to model two sets of scenarios — one that allows storage to provide multiple grid services and one that restricts the services that storage can provide. All the scenarios use different cost and performance assumptions for storage, wind, solar PV, and natural gas to determine the key drivers of energy storage deployment.
Installed Storage Capacity Could Increase Five-Fold by 2050
Across all scenarios in the study, utility-scale diurnal energy storage deployment grows significantly through 2050, totaling over 125 gigawatts of installed capacity in the modest cost and performance assumptions — a more than five-fold increase from today’s total. Depending on cost and other variables, deployment could total as much as 680 gigawatts by 2050.
Chart courtesy of NREL — grid-scale U.S. storage capacity could grow five-fold by 2050.
Chart courtesy of NREL — grid-scale U.S. storage capacity could grow five-fold by 2050.
“These are game-changing numbers,” Frazier said. “Today we have 23 gigawatts of storage capacity, all of which is pumped-hydro.”
Initially, the new storage deployment is mostly shorter duration (up to 4 hours) and then progresses to longer durations (up to 12 hours) as deployment increases, mostly because longer-duration storage is currently more expensive. In 2030, annual deployment of battery storage ranges from 1 to 30 gigawatts across the scenarios. By 2050, annual deployment ranges from 7 to 77 gigawatts.
System Flexibility Key to Storage Deployment
To understand what could drive future grid-scale storage deployment, NREL modeled the techno-economic potential of storage when it is allowed to independently provide three grid services: capacity, energy time-shifting, and operating reserves.
- Blue — Energy Time-Shifting & Operating Reserves (No Firm Capacity From Storage)
- Black — Firm Capacity & Energy Time-Shifting (No Operating Reserves From Storage)
- Green — Firm Capacity & Operating Reserves (No Energy Time-Shifting From Storage)
NREL found not allowing storage to provide firm capacity impacts future deployment the most, although not allowing firm capacity or energy time-shifting services can also substantially decrease potential deployment. Operating reserves, on the hand, do not drive the deployment of storage within the study because they find limited overall market potential for this service.
Storage and Solar Symbiosis
Multiple NREL studies have pointed to the symbiotic nature of solar and storage, and this study reinforces that relationship. More PV generation makes peak demand periods shorter and decreases how much energy capacity is needed from storage — thereby increasing the value of storage capacity and effectively decreasing the cost of storage by allowing shorter-duration batteries to be a competitive source of peaking capacity. NREL found over time the value of energy storage in providing peaking capacity increases as load grows and existing generators retire.
Solar PV generation also has a strong relationship with time-shifting services. More PV generation creates more volatile energy price profiles, increasing the potential of storage energy time-shifting. Like peaking capacity, the value of energy time-shifting grows over time with increased PV penetration.
Next Up in the Storage Futures Study
The SFS will continue to explore topics from the foundational report that outlines a visionary framework for the possible evolution of the stationary energy storage industry — and the power system as a whole.
The next report in the series will assess customer adoption potential of distributed diurnal storage for several future scenarios. The study will also include the larger impacts of storage deployment on power system evolution and operations.
Visit the Storage Futures Study page for more information about the broader study, and learn more about NREL’s energy analysis research.
Learn More in June 22 Webinar
Join a webinar from 9 to 10 a.m. MT on Tuesday, June 22, to learn more about SFS results with Will Frazier and Nate Blair and hear from SFS analyst Paul Denholm on the visionary framework for the possible evolution of the stationary energy storage industry, outlined in the first report in the series. Register to attend.
Article courtesy of NREL, the U.S. Department of Energy.
Image courtesy of 8minute Solar Energy, plus Energy storage project.
Streetleaf’s solar-powered streetlights can withstand Category 5 hurricanes, and the company aims to deploy them across Florida to boost storm resilience.
Since Tampa-based Streetleaf was founded in 2019, it’s installed over 8,000 solar streetlights across the US. The company’s solar-powered streetlights are IoT smart devices connected to a remote monitoring dashboard that can identify potential problems before an outage occurs, identify current outages without the need for customer reporting, and allow for remote control of brightness settings.
The streetlights are built to remain operational even during widespread power outages. That means the lights are on when communities need them most, ensuring safety and comfort during and in the aftermath of storms.
Solar-powered lights can also be installed in communities without existing infrastructure, which increases safety for drivers and pedestrians in historically underserved areas.
Streetleaf asserts that all of its streetlights stayed on in the face of major hurricanes and tropical storms, including, most recently, Hurricanes Ian, Isalia, Debby, Helene, and Milton. They have a wind rating of 160 mph.
It comes in either 150W or 220W bifacial solar panel wattage, with a lithium iron phosphate battery wattage of either 820 or 1230 Wh and 5,200 or 7,200 lumens, respectively.
The company’s new initiative is called Shine On Florida, and it’s a call to action for Florida’s utility companies, local governments, home builders, municipalities, HOAs, and residents get its solar-powered streetlights into as many new projects as possible across the state in 2025. Streetleaf wants in on bids for everything – new developments, municipal upgrades, private projects, and so on. And once a contract is signed, Streetleaf promises to install the lights within three months.
They’re also making a smart offer for storm season. Any streetlights purchased before April 1 will be installed before the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1.
Liam Ryan, CEO of Streetleaf, said, “With partnerships in place across the state, Streetleaf is ready to support Florida’s efforts towards a more resilient community, providing Florida with dependable lighting through this and future hurricane seasons.”
Read more: This Florida solar farm is supplying clean energy to 12 cities
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Patrick Collison, CEO and co-founder of Stripe, speaking at 2022’s Italian Tech Week in Turin, Italy.
Giuliano Berti | Bloomberg | Getty Images
SAN FRANCISCO — What started as a casual roundtable at Stripe’s headquarters to discuss issues facing fintech companies turned into a billion-dollar acquisition that could become a defining moment for the industry.
Last summer, Stripe hosted Wally Adeyemo, who was then deputy secretary of the Treasury Department, for a chat with a number of financial services providers. Among the attendees were Stripe CEO Patrick Collison and Bridge co-founder Zach Abrams. The two entrepreneurs had never met.
Abrams, whose startup specialized in stablecoin infrastructure, said the session surprised him, as it quickly morphed into a conversation specific to his company.
“It was shocking to me,” Abrams told CNBC this week, recalling the event. The group “spent 90-plus percent of the meeting talking about stablecoins — even though we were the only stablecoin company” in the room, he said.
By the end, Bridge was firmly on Stripe’s radar. Months later, that initial meeting led to Stripe’s biggest acquisition to date, a $1.1 billion purchase of Bridge. The deal, which closed Tuesday after clearing regulatory hurdles, gives Stripe a firm foothold in crypto, a market where it previously struggled to gain traction.
“In the course of us spending time together, he probably developed more of an understanding of our business,” said Abrams, who co-founded Bridge in 2022. “And I think there was a growing excitement around the ways that our business can grow, and probably the ways our business could help support and grow the Stripe ecosystem.”
Bridge’s roughly 60-person team convened in San Francisco on Tuesday for the official onboarding. The newcomers were introduced to Stripe’s culture with a crash course on how to write like a Stripe employee and an intro to the business from Collison.
It’s all part of Stripe’s standard fintech boot camp, a program that runs every two weeks for new hires.
Bridge focuses on making it easier for businesses to accept stablecoin payments without having to directly deal in digital tokens. Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to the value of a real-world asset, such as the U.S. dollar. Customers include Coinbase and SpaceX.
Companies across the financial services landscape, from legacy banks to startup payment providers, are adopting stablecoins or exploring launching their own because they make it easier and cheaper to switch between currencies and to move money digitally. Standard Chartered predicted in a recent report that stablecoins could grow to become about 10% of foreign exchange transactions, up from 1% today.
Prior to Abrams’ first interaction with Collison at the roundtable, Bridge had been aggressively courting Stripe as a customer, hoping to integrate its technology into the payment giant’s ecosystem. As the two CEOs spent more time together in the weeks that followed, Collison’s interest in Bridge deepened.
Previous failure
Stripe had already taken a shot at crypto — and failed. It was one of the first major fintech firms to support bitcoin payments in 2014, but pulled the plug in 2018, citing scalability issues and high transaction fees. Still, the company insisted at the time that it remained “very optimistic about cryptocurrencies overall.”
Stablecoins would be Stripe’s next foray. At its flagship Sessions conference in April, the company said it would enable merchants to accept stablecoins for online purchases. In its first week of the offering, Stripe saw more stablecoin volume than in its entire history of offering bitcoin transactions.
However, Stripe was still missing a key component to make it all work. It needed a way to seamlessly handle cross-border transactions.
That’s precisely what Bridge offered, said Neetika Bansal, Stripe’s head of money movement products.
“If you think about Stripe and what we’ve focused on for the past seven years — what I personally have focused on — it’s been about breaking down the barriers for global commerce,” Bansal told CNBC in an interview at Stripe’s office. “We’ve done it, to a large part, on traditional financial rails.”
Stripe’s approach to global payments for years involved navigating the complex regulatory and operational challenges in each market it entered. Bridge had developed “a super elegant solution to cross-border use cases” and had “meaningful traction with companies of all sizes,” Bansal said. “It just felt almost like a no-brainer to go and acquire them.”
Stripe paid a hefty price for a two-year old company, an amount that was about three times higher than Bridge’s valuation in a funding round in August.
Bansal framed the acquisition as a strategic step toward modernizing Stripe’s global money movement capabilities.
“We are working very closely together to figure out the right opportunities, where we should power our products with Bridge and, in fact, where we should do new product development on Bridge infrastructure,” she said. “That’s what the next few weeks look like.”
Stripe processes millions of cross-border transactions daily, a segment that’s growing 50% annually. Bansal said stablecoins could meaningfully reduce costs and streamline transactions compared to traditional financial networks.
Bansal used as an example a company in the U.S. paying a contractor in the Philippines, which she called “a common use case as company workforces are going global.”
Stripe has partnered with Remote.com, a global human resources and contractor platform, to process payouts using stablecoin infrastructure in more than 70 countries. Bansal said she sees stablecoins playing a growing role in foreign exchange and treasury management for large enterprises.
For now, Bridge will continue running its existing products, but the teams are working together to determine the best integrations and explore new products that can be built on Bridge’s technology.
“They’re clearly a leader in the space,” Bansal said about Bridge. “A lot of our conversations are about absorbing what Bridge has learned about stablecoins.”
WATCH: Fintechs soar after election
Environment
Ferrari is launching its first EV later this year: Here’s a sneak peek of the electric supercar
Ferrari looks to shake up the market with its first all-electric vehicle, which will launch later this year. Ferrari confirmed plans to launch its first EV in October as one of six new vehicles debuting in 2025. Ahead of its official debut, the new electric car was spotted testing out in public. Check out a sneak peek of it below.
Ferrari confirms plans to launch its first EV in 2025
Although the company has kept most of the details to itself, we are finally learning when we can expect to see Ferrari’s first EV.
We knew it was likely coming this year, but now it’s official. After releasing 2024 earnings, Ferrari confirmed on Wednesday it will launch six new vehicles in 2025, including its first EV.
Ferrari will unveil the electric car during its Capital Markets Day on October 9. According to CEO Benedetto Vigna, the Ferrari “elettrica” will be launched “in a unique way. “
Vigna previously said, “People buy a Ferrari because when they buy a Ferrari, they have a lot of fun,” and the brand’s first EV will be no different. The electric car has taken longer than most hoped for, but Vigna promises it will be built “the right way,” as a Ferrari should be.
The EV model will still feature the (emulated) sounds and signature design Ferrari has built its legacy but in all-electric form.
Sources told Reuters report last year that Ferrari’s first electric car will cost at least 500,000 euros, or around $535,000. However, Vigna later said the report was “a surprise” and didn’t confirm or deny prices. The company’s CEO explained that Ferrari defines the price of a car about a month before launching it, so expect more around September.
With models out for testing, Ferrari’s first EV has already been spotted out in public. Last month, a video from Varryx gave us our closest look at the electric crossover yet.
You can see the electric car is finally coming together with new headlights and other design features like body panels. As the EV passes by, you can hear exhaust-like sounds, hinting at a sound system like Dodge’s electric Charger muscle car.
Ferrari opened its new e-building last June, where its first EV will be built. The facility will also produce e-motors, batteries, and inverters for upcoming EV and PHEV models.
By the end of next year, Ferrari aims for 60% of sales to be EV or PHEV models. In 2024, Ferrari’s shipments consisted of 51% hybrid and 49% internal combustion engine vehicles.
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