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Investors may want to keep the antacid nearby.

Long-term market bull Tony Dwyer sees near-term turbulence in connection with his “summer of indigestion” call. So, he’s encouraging investors to resist making any big moves right now.

“We’ve had one heck of a run. It’s been an excessive run in the indices,” the Canaccord Genuity chief market strategist told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Tuesday. “Typically when it’s this kind of indigestion beneath the surface of the market, it eventually comes out into the indices themselves.”

The major indexes just broke a two day win streak. But the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit all-time highs during Tuesday’s session. Plus, the Dow is off just 0.58% from its record high.

It may be hard for some investors to swallow, but Dwyer believes a summer setback is virtually unavoidable. He points to a period of transition in monetary policy, fiscal policy, the economy and earnings.

“Everybody is talking about peak everything. But that’s what happens at this point of an economic recovery,” said Dwyer. “It’s what happened in 2004. It’s what happened in 2010.”

Dwyer has been sitting on the sidelines for months due to the backdrop. He downgraded the market to neutral in April.

“We’ve been in the summer of indigestion really since the end of March when rates peaked,” he said. “Even though the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are making new daily highs, the participation in them is much lower.”

But Dwyer sees a significant dip as a major buying opportunity.

“The summertime of indigestion is going to create year-end opportunities,” said Dwyer. “We look to add our exposure back into the market from a neutral position on even more of this indigestion.”

‘You just want to wait for an opportunity’

Dwyer plans to pounce on stocks again on broad market weakness.

“You just want to wait for an opportunity,” he noted. “Buy into those areas that are exposed to an economic recovery.”

Tops on his list: Financials, industrials, materials and energy.

“They were all really seeing excessive runs to the upside,” he said. “You’ve given back all of the relative performance gain in those four sectors over the last few weeks.”

Dwyer expects more weakness during the dog days of summer. However, he expects a dip to set the stage for a strong bullish run into year end.

“Last summer, we were very positive on the economic recovery theme and pulled in our horns on that in mid-April,” Dwyer said. “[Now] You don’t want to get too positive and you don’t want to get too negative.”

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U.S. ambassador insists America remains the top foreign policy actor in the Middle East

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U.S. ambassador insists America remains the top foreign policy actor in the Middle East

America is the most important foreign policy actor in the region, U.S. Ambassador to the UAE says

The U.S. Ambassador to the United Arab Emirates Martina Strong believes the U.S. is unequivocally the most important foreign policy actor in the Middle East.

Her comments come roughly one year after President Joe Biden threatened “consequences” for Saudi Arabia after the OPEC kingpin slashed oil production along with its allies against Washington’s wishes.

Biden’s administration has been notably quiet about recent OPEC+ output cuts, however, even as oil prices have rallied close to $100 a barrel.

The U.S. is seeking to orchestrate a delicate balancing act in the region, particularly as it pushes for the normalization of ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia and responds to China’s growing influence.

Saudi Arabia has recently shown signs of steering toward China and Russia after rekindling relations with Iran through Beijing-mediated talks and receiving an invitation to join the emerging economies’ BRICS alliance.

Asked by CNBC’s Dan Murphy whether the U.S. remained the most important foreign policy actor in the region, Strong replied, “Absolutely. I have no doubt about it. Our leadership is really unquestioned and apparent in every, I would say, region of the world — and this is no different.”

Strong said the U.S. is “working very closely together with the UAE and with our other partners here in the region on our core national security priorities as well as our national economic priorities.”

Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman (L), India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi (C) and U.S. President Joe Biden attend a session as part of the G20 Leaders’ Summit at the Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi on September 9, 2023.

Evelyn Hockstein | Afp | Getty Images

“When it comes to security, President Biden has put forward a very positive, strong vision for our cooperation with the region. It’s based on diplomacy, it’s based on deterrence, de-escalation and, at the end of all this, of course, is prosperity,” she added.

“We’ve been doing that successfully here in the UAE for over 50 years, and we look forward to doing so for many years to come. I would say what is perhaps unique about our partnership with the UAE is how future-oriented and forward-looking that partnership is.”

Strong said the U.S. and UAE would continue to work together in response to the climate crisis. The UAE will host the COP28 climate conference from Nov. 30 through to Dec. 12.

— CNBC’s Ruxandra Iordache contributed to this report.

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Indian energy minister warns of ‘organized chaos’ if oil tops $100 per barrel

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Indian energy minister warns of ‘organized chaos’ if oil tops 0 per barrel

Oil prices surged to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures reached $95.03 per barrel, marking the highest cost since August 2022.

Manan Vatsyayana | Afp | Getty Images

India’s minister of petroleum and natural gas warned that there’ll be “organized chaos” if oil prices break above $100 per barrel, but said the South Asian nation is well positioned to weather higher costs. 

“If the price goes above $100, it’s not going to be in the interest of either the producing country or anyone’s interest. You will have large, organized chaos,” Hardeep Singh Puri told CNBC’s Dan Murphy during a panel at the ADIPEC oil and gas conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on Tuesday.

But “you should not be worrying about the impact on India. India’s a large economy that has a lot of domestic production. We’ll cut back, we’ll do something or the other,” Puri said.

Last week, oil prices surged to their highest levels in more than a year with U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures hitting $95.03 per barrel. Prices have since pulled back, standing at $89.44 a barrel in Wednesday morning trade in Asia.

While Puri was confident that India could navigate higher prices, he warned that other nations may not be able to do so.

“I would worry about what happens to other parts of the developing world … that is really a worrying point,” Puri said, highlighting that rising prices in the last 18 months have placed “100 million people into abject poverty.” 

“They had to go from reasonably priced gas and cooking fuels [to] wet wood, coal or whatever they could get. That is the problem.” 

Hardeep Singh Puri, India’s minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas, at the ADIPEC conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2023.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The minister said on X, the social media platform previously known as Twitter, that oil producers need to be mindful of the struggles consuming countries face. 

“During the pandemic, when crude oil prices crashed, the world came together to stabilize the prices to make it sustainable for the producers. Now, as the world is at cusp of economic recession & slowdown, oil producers need to show [the] same sensitivity towards the consuming countries,” he said in a post.

India’s energy transition 

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Quick Charge Podcast: October 3, 2023

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Quick Charge Podcast: October 3, 2023

Listen to a recap of the top stories of the day from Electrek. Quick Charge is available now on Apple PodcastsSpotifyTuneIn and our RSS feed for Overcast and other podcast players.

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Stories we discuss in this episode (with links):

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