BATON ROUGE, La. — It was too loud and too chaotic inside Tiger Stadium to hear the crash of Alabama‘s season late Saturday night. The fall happened so quickly and so unexpectedly it was hard to comprehend in real time. LSU coach Brian Kelly wouldn’t dare go for two, would he? After taking a timeout to think it over some more, surely he’d reconsider, kick the extra point and play for a second overtime. Right?
But he didn’t. Kelly thought he had the perfect play to expose an erratic Alabama defense, and he went for it. Quarterback Jayden Daniels rolled to his right and found an open target in tight end Mason Taylor, who tumbled into the end zone for the score.
What happened next was a scene Alabama has become familiar with this season: an eruption of noise, followed by fans rushing the field by the thousands. Nick Saban and his players, once again, were left to navigate the bedlam and retreat to the safety of the visitors locker room.
Three weeks earlier, Tennessee fans had done the exact same thing when the Vols won on a walk-off field goal in regulation. But instead of the cigar smoke that was hanging in the air in Knoxville, it was fog encircling the stadium in Baton Rouge. And, thanks to some well-placed security, the goalposts weren’t uprooted and thrown into the Mississippi River.
When Saban sat down with the media to try to explain how his team had lost to LSU 32-31, it felt similar to the Tennessee loss. That same resigned quality was in the 71-year-old’s voice. He strained to hear the questions being asked; instead of “Rocky Top” blaring through concrete walls, it was chants of “L-S-U!” And he had the same explanations: too many defensive lapses, way too many penalties, no consistency in the run game, not enough offense around star quarterback Bryce Young.
The most noticeable difference from Saban was a lack of hope. Because it was gone. In order to reach the SEC championship game, Alabama would have to beat No. 11 Ole Miss and Auburn AND hope for an LSU collapse with losses at unranked Arkansas and Texas A&M.
“Look, I can’t blame the players,” Saban said. “I’m responsible for all this stuff. So if we didn’t do it right, that’s on me.”
Credit Saban for not throwing his offensive or defensive coordinators under the bus — or any of his assistants for that matter. But, frankly, they’re all accountable for what has been a failure in coaching this season.
Alabama had the talent to win a national championship, let alone beat a two-loss LSU team that’s still finding its way after a coaching change. Young and outside linebacker Will Anderson Jr. are two of the top three to five players in college football. Recruiting has remained strong thanks to more than a dozen consecutive top-five signing classes, so the depth should be there. What’s more, Saban owned the transfer portal this past offseason, signing all-conference players and Power 5 starters at multiple positions.
Saban said it himself: Last year was the rebuilding season, not this one. Complacency — that old saw — couldn’t be to blame after the Tide came up short in the national championship game against Georgia in January. Veterans Young, Anderson and safety Jordan Battle were convinced during the summer this team was different. They said players were focused and paying attention to the little things in a way they hadn’t before.
So what exactly was missing if not buy-in or talent?
Development, that’s what.
The drop-off at receiver of late has been striking. After producing a flurry of first-round NFL draft picks (including current stars Jerry Jeudy, DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle), Alabama struck gold in the portal with Jameson Williams last season. But the moment Williams was sidelined — first against Auburn, then in the national title game — the passing game cratered.
Maybe it was too much to ask for Jermaine Burton to be another savior like Williams. But remove Burton from the equation (and fellow transfer Tyler Harrell), and it’s a wonder that among Isaiah Bond, Ja’Corey Brooks, JoJo Earle, Traeshon Holden and Kobe Prentice, no one has been capable of becoming a playmaker. What’s more, they’ve been unreliable as a team, with 21 dropped passes — fifth most among Power 5 schools.
Jahmyr Gibbs, a running back, quickly became Young’s most reliable receiver. But for as good and versatile as Gibbs has been, along with his backup Jase McClellan, neither has proved to be the kind of between-the-tackles runner Alabama desperately needs. Roydell Williams, who does run with power, has only 38 carries this season. As a team, 22.9% of Alabama’s rushes have gone for zero or negative yards.
So without the ability to play smashmouth football and without a receiver to stretch the field vertically, the offense has become one-dimensional, and opposing defensive coordinators have been able to blitz at will.
The result has hardly been the kind of offense Young signed up for — the kind of dynamic attack that benefited his predecessors at quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa and Mac Jones. Playing behind a shaky offensive line, Young has had to run for his life. He has been contacted on 22% of his dropbacks this season and was pressured on 44% of his pass attempts against LSU.
Remove drops and throwaways, then adjust for air yards, and Young’s adjusted completion rate of 78.0% is the best in the SEC. In other words, he’s playing up to — and maybe even surpassing — his play from last season, when he won the Heisman Trophy.
But even he can’t overcome a flawed team like this one. He can’t make up for a defense that has made a habit out of giving up big plays, whether it was in the close call at Texas or losses on the road to Tennessee and LSU — not to mention a near loss at home against unranked Texas A&M (albeit without Young). And he definitely can’t overcome a team that is tied for the most penalties (78) in the FBS.
Let that sink in for a moment. Saban, a stickler in every sense of the word who rages on the sideline against self-inflicted errors, has overseen 671 yards in penalties, an average of 74.6 yards per game. There’s no way to describe this Alabama team other than sloppy and undisciplined. Even coming out of a bye week in which Saban said he thought his team was sharp, the Tide committed nine penalties, including two pivotal pass-interference calls in the fourth quarter.
After the loss, Saban called it an “understatement” to say his players were disappointed. This is the first time since 2010 that Alabama has two losses before facing Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Saban said they were capable of more, but “sometimes we beat ourselves and it’s kind of hard to overcome.”
Saban asked his team to “check their hole card” as they look to finish the season strong. Players had their own stock to consider, he said, as well as reaching the goal of winning 10 games.
That last comment was odd. Alabama talks a lot about playing up to the standard, but that usually means championships, whether SEC, national or both. While winning 10 games would be a nice feather in the cap, it’s hardly what anyone in or around the program has come to expect. Remember, this is a program whose strength coach once destroyed the championship runner-up trophy.
Crimson Tide fans will want nothing less than to get back to the playoff next season. But is that even possible? Young, Anderson and a handful of NFL draft hopefuls are likely to move on. And staff departures seem likely. Saban hasn’t specifically called out offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien, but he has been asking for more balance for a while now and hasn’t gotten it. Saban said he wouldn’t second-guess the offensive game plan against LSU, but then added, “Whatever we did, we put ourselves in a position to do that and just came up short.” That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement.
Regardless of who goes and who stays, something has to change. Georgia is threatening to win a second national championship and become the power player of the SEC, and Tennessee and LSU appear to be serious contenders again after going through coaching changes. To get back on top, Alabama must recapture what made it so successful over the past decade-plus: being a team that not only refused to beat itself, but a team that prided itself on going beyond beating opponents and making them quit.
Maybe that means dialing back on what has become a pass-happy offense in order to reestablish a physical style of play in the trenches. Maybe that means a culture shift on defense where the hard-nosed edge that defined the era of Rolando McClain, Ryan Anderson and Mark Barron is all but gone.
During his radio show in September, Saban hinted at how the mentality of this team shifted of late, which was evident at Tiger Stadium.
“We used to play better on the road than what we played at home because we had some hateful competitors on our team,” he said. “And when they played on the road, they were mad at 100,000 people and not the 11 guys they were playing against. And they wanted to prove something to everybody.”
Not only does this current incarnation of Alabama football allow itself to be affected by 100,000 screaming fans, rather than the other way around, it has made a habit of losing and giving those same people a reason to rush the field and celebrate.
The danger for Alabama is that losing will become such a normal occurrence, fans won’t bother to leave their seats to go anywhere but home. That’s when you’ll know the dynasty is over.
We’re a long way from that, but this season should serve as a warning that the foundation is eroding and work must be done.
Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.
Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.
2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.
Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.
2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet
Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.
Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.
2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet
Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.
Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.
2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet
Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.
Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.
2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet
Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.
Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.
2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.
Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet
Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.
Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.
CINCINNATI — Cincinnati Reds right fielder Jake Fraley was activated from the 10-day injured list on Saturday.
He had injured his right shoulder while trying to make a diving catch June 23 against the New York Yankees.
An MRI revealed a partially torn labrum that will eventually require surgery. Fraley received a cortisone shot and will try to play through it for the rest of the season.