Tim Kavanagh is a senior NHL editor for ESPN. He’s a native of upstate New York.
Much of what we examine in this space revolves around the races to earn a playoff spot (or the race to the bottom for the lottery teams). But let’s look a little bit ahead for two teams that have already clinched their spots in the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs.
Carolina has a bit more work to do to clinch its division; the New Jersey Devils are two points and one regulation win behind the Canes, although Carolina does have two games in hand.
What are the chances these two clubs will meet again in the Eastern Conference finals for a rematch of last season’s epic seven-game first-round clash?
Money Puck gives the Bruins a 37.5% chance of reaching the conference finals, while the Hurricanes are at 48.3%.
The Bruins’ path will begin with the second wild card, one of the New York Islanders, Pittsburgh Penguins or Florida Panthers. They have gone 3-0-0 against the Isles, 2-0-0 against the Penguins (with a game coming April 1), and 2-1-1 against the Panthers. In the second round, they’ll take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (against whom they’ve gone 2-1-0 with a game left, on April 6) or the Lightning (3-1-0).
For the Hurricanes, they’ll take on the first wild card: They went 4-0-0 against the Penguins this season, 2-1-0 against the Isles (with a game left, on April 2), and 1-1-0 against the Panthers (with one game left, on April 13). Round 2 will be more difficult, as they’ve gone 2-2-0 against the Devils and 1-3-0 against the New York Rangers.
Oh, and heading into the showdown this afternoon, the B’s and Canes have each won one game in the season series.
As we enter the final stretch of the regular season, it’s time to check all the playoff races — along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2023 NHL draft lottery.
Note: All times Eastern. All games not on ESPN, TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).
Points: 80 Regulation wins: 26 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 11 Points pace: 92 Next game: vs. TOR (Sunday) Playoff chances: 15% Tragic number: 18
Points: 72 Regulation wins: 25 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 10 Points pace: 82 Next game: @ LA (Sunday) Playoff chances: <1% Tragic number: 8
Points: 66 Regulation wins: 20 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 9 Points pace: 74 Next game: vs. COL (Sunday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Points: 54 Regulation wins: 16 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 10 Points pace: 62 Next game: vs. VAN (Sunday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Pacific Division
Points: 98 Regulation wins: 34 Playoff position: P1 Games left: 9 Points pace: 110 Next game: vs. EDM (Tuesday) Playoff chances: >99% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 94 Regulation wins: 32 Playoff position: P2 Games left: 10 Points pace: 107 Next game: vs. STL (Sunday) Playoff chances: >99% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 91 Regulation wins: 37 Playoff position: P3 Games left: 9 Points pace: 102 Next game: @ ARI (Monday) Playoff chances: >99% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 88 Regulation wins: 31 Playoff position: WC1 Games left: 10 Points pace: 100 Next game: @ MIN (Monday) Playoff chances: 99% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 81 Regulation wins: 27 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 8 Points pace: 90 Next game: vs. LA (Tuesday) Playoff chances: 12% Tragic number: 13
Points: 71 Regulation wins: 21 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 10 Points pace: 81 Next game: @ CHI (Sunday) Playoff chances: <1% Tragic number: 7
Points: 56 Regulation wins: 13 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 9 Points pace: 63 Next game: vs. COL (Monday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Points: 53 Regulation wins: 14 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 9 Points pace: 60 Next game: vs. WPG (Tuesday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Y — Clinched division; X — Clinched playoff berth; E — Eliminated from playoff contention
Race for the No. 1 pick
The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team might move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Connor Bedard, who has been lauded as a generational talent.
Ohtani, who doubled twice, fell into a 1-2 hole before launching his 12th homer near the pool deck in right to put the Dodgers up 14-11. He finished with four RBIs.
Tanner Scott worked a perfect ninth save in 11 chances.
The Dodgers roughed up Eduardo Rodriguez to take an 8-3 lead through three innings, but couldn’t hold it.
SUNRISE, Fla. — Brad Marchand scored on a deflected shot at 15:27 of overtime and the Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4 on Friday night to cut their deficit in the Eastern Conference semifinal series to 2-1.
Florida erased deficits of 2-0 and 3-1, and that’s been almost impossible to do against Toronto this season.
By the numbers, it was all looking good for the Maple Leafs.
They were 30-3-0 when leading after the first period, including playoffs, the second-best record in the league.
They were 38-8-2, the league’s third-best record when scoring first.
They had blown only 11 leads all season, none in the playoffs.
They were 44-3-1 in games where they led by two goals or more.
Combine all that with Toronto having won all 11 of its previous best-of-seven series when taking a 2-0 lead at home, Florida being 0-5 in series where it dropped both Games 1 and 2, and leaguewide, teams facing 0-2 deficits come back to win those series only about 14% of the time.
But Marchand — a longtime Toronto playoff nemesis from his days in Boston — got the biggest goal of Florida’s season, rendering all those numbers moot for now.
The Leafs got two goals that deflected in off of Panthers defensemen: Tavares’ second goal nicked the glove of Gustav Forsling on its way past Bobrovsky for a 3-1 lead, and Rielly’s goal redirected off Seth Jones’ leg to tie it with 9:04 left in the third.
Knies scored 23 seconds into the game, the second time Toronto had a 1-0 lead in the first minute of this series. Tavares made it 2-0 at 5:57 and just like that, the Panthers were in trouble.
A diving Barkov threw the puck at the night and saw it carom in off a Toronto stick to get Florida on the board — only for Tavares to score again early in the second for a 3-1 Leafs lead.
Florida needed a break. It came.
Reinhart was credited with a goal after Woll thought he covered up the puck following a scrum in front of the net. But after review, it was determined the puck had crossed the line. Florida had life, the building was loud again and about a minute later, Verhaeghe tied it at 3-3.
Gadjovich made it 4-3 late in the second, before Rielly tied it midway through the third.
The NHL Department of Player Safety announced the fine of $7,813, the maximum allowed under the collective bargaining agreement, after a disciplinary hearing with him.
Roy attempted to play the puck while it was airborne but made contact with Frederic’s head instead, resulting in a laceration for the Oilers forward.
Frederic briefly exited the game before making a quick return to the ice. Edmonton, however, failed to capitalize on the ensuing five-minute power play but won not long after on a goal by Leon Draisaitl from Connor McDavid.
Vegas trails the best-of-seven series 2-0 with Game 3 on Saturday night at Edmonton.
Information from The Associated Press and Field Level Media was used in this report.