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Sky News analysis reveals the price of a can of baked beans has doubled since 2018, and a summer barbecue this year will cost £10 more than it did five years ago. Use our calculators below to compare how recent events have affected the cost of your groceries, clothing, and leisure activities.

Stuart Parkinson, an economist at Retail Economics, told Sky News:

“Historically, it typically takes two or three things to go wrong in relatively quick succession to really let the cat out of the bag with respect to inflation.

“Unfortunately, that’s what has happened just in recent years: Brexit was punch one; COVID, punch two; and then Russia/Ukraine punch three.

“And once the inflation cat gets out of the bag, it leaves policymakers with a heck of a job getting it back in. And that’s where we are now.

“People are starting to realise that the road back to 2% inflation is far trickier and more hazardous than they realised, and it can also take a long time.”

See how your spending has gone up compared to five years ago

The price of a can of baked beans has nearly doubled since 2018 from 56p up to £1.07, the biggest food price increase over the period. A pack of frozen burgers has increased by 65%, from £2.01 in January 2018 up to £3.32 now.

The item with the biggest increase in the shopping basket was a day’s car hire, which has increased from £37.63 in 2018 to £78.80 now.

Brexit and the pandemic have contributed to price rises

2020 saw the double shock of the UK’s official exit from the European Union at the end of January, closely followed by the global COVID pandemic with lockdowns starting in March.

Initially, inflation remained low as the nation headed into lockdown and spent less money. Once lockdowns had eased in 2021, pent-up demand combined with supply disruptions saw prices increase rapidly.

Paula Bejarano Carbo, associate economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, told Sky News that COVID-related supply chain issues were a major driver of inflationary momentum in 2021:

“There was a sudden overheating of the UK economy.

“The UK is not a country that typically has a very high savings rate. But over the pandemic there was excess saving as people were not able to spend.

“As soon as restrictions started lifting people started spending quite quickly and there was excess demand in the economy which pushed up prices.”

Some household DIY items have seen the biggest price rises since 2020. MDF fireboard has gone up 73%, from £18.59 to £32.16, while a box of ceramic tiles has increased from £11.39 to £18.08.

Some 29 of the top 50 price increases since 2020 are within the food and drink category.

Researchers at The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics have looked at isolating the inflationary impact of Brexit from other recent economic events.

Their latest report suggests that Brexit contributed an additional 30 percentage points to food price inflation between December 2019 and March 2023, with food prices increasing by 25% over the time period. Had the UK not exited the European Union, their analysis estimates, the increase would have been 17%.

Nikhil Datta, assistant professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Warwick, who co-authored the research, told Sky News that non-tariff trade barriers – border frictions other than taxes – were the biggest driver of Brexit-specific inflation.

He said: “When we say frictions, we mean things which are going to make it costly for firms to move things across borders. Food products in particular face quite a few of these as a result of regulatory differences across different countries.”

Firms may also be anticipating future issues and hiring additional employees or consultants to assist with border frictions, and adapting prices accordingly.

“So, when adhering to regulations at the border there is the cost of actually doing it at the border, like the veterinary check, but there’s also the fact that you’ve got to change the structure of your business somewhat.

“That is part of what we’re seeing now. When we start seeing these hard checks at the border [in the future], these price increases might be larger. Or it could be that actually businesses have already taken these into account in their current pricing structure.”

Food prices have rocketed since Russia invaded Ukraine

Then came Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, sending further shocks through the international economy. Energy, fertiliser and grain prices rise significantly last year, with a particularly big impact on food and fuel bills.

The price of olive oil increased more than any other food product since 2022, rising by 58% from £3.91 to £6.16.

None of the 152 types of food tracked by the ONS have become cheaper since February 2022. Only cereal bars have managed to avoid any price increase, staying at 31p.

Persistent inflation has knock on effects on the rest of the economy, and the Bank of England has been raising interest rates in an attempt to control price rises.

Stuart Parkinson explained: “Central bankers have created a host of ways to manage financial shocks in the past 20 years – and, let’s face it, they’ve also had plenty of practice.

“But their inflation-fighting toolkit is much more limited, and their main tool – raising interest rates – inflicts a lot of collateral damage in the process, hence their reticence to deploy it to its fullest effect.”


Methodology

The ONS collects these prices by visiting thousands of shops across the country and noting down the prices of specific items. There are upwards of 100,000 prices published every month, from more than 600 products.

The items that form the “official shopping basket” change each year to reflect how the purchasing habits of the population have changed. For example in March 2021, after a year of the pandemic, hand gel, loungewear bottoms and dumbbells were added, while canteen-bought sandwiches were among the items removed.

Where there aren’t the exact equivalent items available at a survey shop, ONS officials pick the best alternative and note that they’ve done this so it’s weighted correctly when the averages are worked out.

Shops are weighted as well, so the price in a major chain supermarket will have a greater impact on the average than an independent corner shop.

During the pandemic, more of the survey was carried out over the phone and work is ongoing to digitise the system to be able to take in more price points by getting data from supermarket receipts, rather than making personal visits.


The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

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Doctors are using unapproved AI software to record patient meetings, investigation reveals

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Doctors are using unapproved AI software to record patient meetings, investigation reveals

Doctors are using AI software that does not meet minimum standards to record and transcribe patient meetings, according to a Sky News investigation.

NHS bosses have demanded GPs and hospitals stop using artificial intelligence software that could breach data protection rules and put patients at risk.

A warning sent out by NHS England this month came just weeks after the same body wrote to doctors about the benefits of using AI for notetaking – to allow them more time to concentrate on patients – using software known as Ambient Voice Technology, or “AVT”.

Health Secretary Wes Streeting will next week put AI at the heart of the reform plan to save the NHS in the 10-year plan for the health service in England.

But there is growing controversy around software that records, transcribes and summarises patient conversations using AI.

In April, NHS England wrote to doctors to sell the benefits of AVT and set out minimum national standards.

However, in a letter seen by Sky News, NHS bosses wrote to doctors to warn that unapproved software that breached minimum standards could harm patients.

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Text of warning letter with highlighted sections
NHS warning letter with text highlighted
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The version seen in the GP demonstration to Sky News complies with all NHS England standards and guidance

The 9 June letter, from the national chief clinical information officer of NHS England, said: “We are now aware of a number of AVT solutions which, despite being non-compliant … are still being widely used in clinical practice.

“Several AVT suppliers are approaching NHS organisations … many of these vendors have not complied with basic NHS governance standards.

“Proceeding with non-compliant solutions risks clinical safety, data protection breaches, financial exposure, and fragmentation of broader NHS digital strategy.”

Sky News has previously revealed the danger of AI “hallucinations”, where the technology makes up answers then lies about them, which could prove dangerous in a healthcare setting.

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Is ChatGPT reliable despite its ‘hallucinations’?

NHS England sets minimum standards but does not tell NHS trusts and healthcare providers which software providers to use.

Sky News can now reveal there is growing pressure on NHS England and similar bodies to be more proactive.

Dr David Wrigley, deputy chair of the British Medical Association’s GP committee, said: “Undoubtedly, as a GP myself and my 35,000 colleagues, we’ve got responsibilities here – but in such a rapidly developing market when we haven’t got the technical knowledge to look into this.

“We need that help and support from those who can check that the products are safe, check they’re secure, that they’re suitable for use in the consulting room, and NHS England should do that and help and support us.”

Dr Wrigley continued: “We’re absolutely in favour of tech and in favour of taking that forward to help NHS patients, help my colleagues in their surgeries.

“But it’s got to be done in a safe and secure way because otherwise we could have a free for all – and then data could be lost, it could be leaking out, and that just isn’t acceptable.

“So we are not dinosaurs, we’re very pro-AI, but it has to be a safe, secure way.”

Matthew Taylor, chief executive of the NHS Confederation
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The head of the NHS Confederation says the letter is ‘a really significant moment’

The spectre of dozens of little-known but ambitious AI companies lobbying hospitals and surgeries to get their listening products installed worries some healthcare professionals.

There are huge profits to be made in this technological arms race, but the question being asked is whether hundreds of different NHS organisations can really be expected to sift out the sharks.

Matthew Taylor, chief executive of the NHS Confederation, said the letter was “a really significant moment”.

He said it was right for the NHS to experiment, but that it needed to be clearer what technology does and does not work safely.

“My own view is that the government should help in terms of the procurement decisions that trusts make and should advise on which AI systems – as we do with other forms of technology that we use in medicine – which ones are safe,” Mr Taylor said.

“We’ll need [government] to do a bit more to guide the NHS in the best way to use this.”

When pressed whether in the short term that actually makes it sound like it could be quite dangerous, Mr Taylor replied: “What you’ve seen with ambient voice technology is that kind of ‘let a thousand flowers bloom’ approach has got its limits.”

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Godfather of AI warns of its dangers

Earlier this year, the health secretary appeared to suggest unapproved technology was being used – but celebrated it as a sign doctors were enthusiastic for change.

Mr Streeting said: “I’ve heard anecdotally down the pub, genuinely down the pub, that some clinicians are getting ahead of the game and are already using ambient AI to kind of record notes and things, even where their practice or their trust haven’t yet caught up with them.

“Now, lots of issues there – not encouraging it – but it does tell me that contrary to this, ‘Oh, people don’t want to change, staff are very happy and they are really resistant to change’, it’s the opposite. People are crying out for this stuff.”

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GP Anil Mehta
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GP Anil Mehta says AI software helps cut paperwork and patients are ‘extremely reassured’

Doctors who use AI that complies with national standards already say there are big benefits.

Anil Mehta, a doctor in the health secretary’s Ilford constituency, told Sky News he backed his MP’s drive for more AI technology in healthcare.

Dr Mehta demonstrated the version of Ambient Voice Technology that he uses.

This software, Accurx Scribe, has been developed and deployed in line with all current NHS England requirements for AVT, and there is no suggestion this product breaches any rules, standards or guidance.

Indeed, the company which developed it meets weekly with NHS England on creating a standardised approach to scale the benefits across the NHS.

“I spend 30% of my week doing paperwork,” Dr Mehta said.

“So I think once I’ve explained all of those features of what we’re doing, patients are extremely reassured. And I haven’t faced anybody that’s not wanted to have me do this.

He added: “(I) think that consultation with your doctor is extremely confidential, so that’s not changed at all.

“That remains confidential – so whether it’s a vulnerable adult, a vulnerable child, teenager, young child with a parent, I think the concept of that confidentiality remains.”

An NHS spokesperson said: “Ambient Voice Technology has the potential to transform care and improve efficiency and in April, the NHS issued guidance to support its use in a safe and secure way.

“We are working with NHS organisations and suppliers to ensure that all Ambient Voice Technology products used across the health service continue to be compliant with NHS standards on clinical safety and data security.”

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UK weather: Another heatwave could be on the way this weekend, forecasters say

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UK weather: Another heatwave could be on the way this weekend, forecasters say

Another heatwave could be on the way this weekend, forecasters say.

Temperatures could reach 30C, but some showers are expected before then amid more changeable weather.

Some parts of the UK will experience highs of 29C on Saturday, with the potential for 30C on Sunday and 31C on Monday, according to the Met Office.

Last Saturday was the hottest day of the year so far, with a provisional temperature of 33.2C recorded in Charlwood, Surrey.

The Met Office confirmed “many places” in England and “one or two areas” in Wales, including Cardiff, entered a heatwave last Friday.

A heatwave is recorded when an area reaches a certain temperature – the level of which varies across the UK – for three consecutive days.

Music fans can expect a mixture of sunshine and rain at this week’s Glastonbury Festival, where more than 200,000 people are expected to attend.

A person sunbathes in Furnivall Gardens, Hammersmith, west London. Pic: PA
Image:
Some parts of the UK entered a heatwave last week. Pic: PA

‘Risk of showers and thunderstorms’

Oli Claydon, from the Met Office, said Wednesday would be “warmer” with “an increasing risk of showers and thunderstorms”.

He said temperatures would reach a maximum of 27C on Thursday, with potential for heavy showers in the east and more persistent rain in the northwest of Scotland into the evening.

“Friday will see a maximum of 27C again as the high, the showers will clear away to the northeast, with local drizzle in parts of the South West and Wales through the day,” Mr Claydon added.

The South East of England is expected to experience the highest temperatures, potentially reaching 29C on Saturday and 30C on Sunday.

Temperatures could reach up to 31C on Monday, but there was lower certainty around that, Mr Claydon added.

Mr Claydon said it was possible the South East of England “could be looking at a short-lived localised heatwave”.

“When we had the warm spell last week it was much more widespread, we’re not likely to see that,” he added.

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So far, this month’s average daytime temperature is 19.2C, slightly above the June average of 17.68C.

But the Met Office said that temperatures were expected to fall next week.

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Self-proclaimed ‘Kardashian of Cheshire’ admits luxury handbag scam

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Self-proclaimed 'Kardashian of Cheshire' admits luxury handbag scam

A man who pretended to live a “glamorous and luxurious” lifestyle while he conned people out of thousands of pounds in a designer handbag scam has pleaded guilty to fraud.

Jack Watkin, 26, who once starred in a Channel 4 documentary called Rich Kids of Instagram in 2016, described himself as the “Kardashian of Cheshire”, police say.

Jack Watkin handbag fraud. Pic: Cheshire police
Image:
Watkin has pleaded guilty to six counts of fraud. Pic: Cheshire Police


He persuaded people to invest huge sums – which he claimed was to buy and sell luxury handbags – but left them out of pocket.

Instead, he spent the money in Harrods and on stays at The Dorchester, a five-star London hotel on the famous Park Lane, a court heard.

Jack Watkin handbag fraud. Pic: Cheshire police
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Watkin put forward an ‘outward facade’ of a glamorous lifestyle. Pic: Cheshire Police


Jack Watkin handbag fraud. Pic: Cheshire police
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Watkin has been warned he faces a prison sentence. Pic: Cheshire Police


A jury at Chester Crown Court heard how he gained his victims’ trust by putting forward an “outward facade of a glamorous and luxurious lifestyle”.

On Tuesday, the second day of his trial, the defendant pleaded guilty to six counts of fraud.

Prosecutor Matthew Kerruish-Jones told the jury that Watkin “engendered trust and led a number of individuals to loan him large sums of money on the promise of either a financial return or luxury items”.

“Neither of which materialised,” he said.

He added: “The defendant would make excuses and avoid the complainants, all the while spending large sums of money on maintaining his seemingly lavish lifestyle.”

Celine handbag. Pic: Cheshire police
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A Celine handbag purchased by Watkin. Pic: Cheshire police


Dolce Gabbana. Pic: Cheshire police
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Watkin’s Dolce & Gabbana trainers. Pic: Cheshire Police


Watkin was said to have told victims their money would be used to buy Hermes handbags, which were then to be sold on for a profit.

The jury was told bag purchases from Hermes were only allowed to select registered customers and, because of their exclusivity, the bags often attracted a value far in excess of their original price when resold.

Watkin’s victims included friend Hannah Jakes, who he admitted defrauding of £98,500, and Christine Colbert, owner of Dress Cheshire, who was defrauded of £43,800.

He also defrauded his father, Jason Watkin, of £24,500.

Andor Farkas, a barman at Harrods, was victim of a £14,000 fraud and had believed Watkin, a regular customer, was a millionaire, the court heard.

Watkin also admitted fraud of more than £13,000 on James Irlam, who was told by Watkin he had a personal relationship with the director of Hermes and was able to source handbags.

He also pleaded guilty to the £840 fraud of Naheem Akhtar, who the court heard had given Watkin the money for a pair of Lora Piana shoes which he never received.

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Detective Constable Gareth Yates said: “Jack Watkin is a male who has built a lifestyle on social media, on Instagram, and that lifestyle is one of exuberance.

“So if anyone was to look at that profile, you would see fancy hotels, luxury cars, designer clothing, and he created a following, and that following allowed him to create a ruse to be the fraudster we now know, and convicted fraudster.”

He added: “He often described himself as the Kardashian of Cheshire. What my understanding from that would be is that he is an individual of wealth and has the ability to purchase wealthy items, as a result of that he then gets notoriety, from an Instagram perspective, followers, people. People follow him with the desire to be him.”

Watkin was remanded in custody and is due to be sentenced on 3 September.

He was warned by Judge Simon Berkson he faces a prison sentence.

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