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The 2023 NHL draft starts Wednesday in Nashville (Round 1, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN+) and stories about Connor Bedard have dominated the coverage.

Rightfully so! The 17-year-old’s 143 points with the Regina Pats is the highest single total in 27 years. This from a player that was granted exceptional status to enter the Canadian Hockey League at age 15, making him the first such designated player in WHL history and the seventh player overall to gain such status. It’s worth noting that three of the previous six such skaters have been selected first overall in the NHL Draft.

However, there are other top prospects that teams will be very happy to choose in the first round. Here are the top five players on Stathletes’ list through the lens of data and analytics.


No. 1: Connor Bedard, C, Regina (WHL)

Key skills (strengths): Goal scoring ability; Getting to the slot; Puck possession
Continued growth (improvements): Defensive zone activity

When you watch Bedard, his high-quality shot is the main focus. He has a quick and deceptive release that can beat goalies, and he has the ability to make plays at speed. He attacks the middle of the ice and puts pressure on defenders with his play carrying the puck and passing. Bedard regularly draws the attention of defending players which allows him to create space for teammates.

Bedard’s heat map and shot map from this year’s World Junior Championship show how dangerous he can be offensively.

The shot map shows expected goals by size of the dot, with the larger dots being higher quality shots. The red dots are the goals which are largely clustered around the inner slot for Bedard.

Comparable Player: David Pastrnak


No. 2: Adam Fantilli, C, Michigan (NCAA)

Key skills (strengths): Playmaking; Puck carrying; Hockey IQ
Continued growth (improvements): Going to high traffic areas

Fantilli is the third freshmen to win the Hobey Baker Award joining Jack Eichel and Paul Kariya. He won two gold medals for Canada this year in both the World Juniors and World Championships.

Fantilli moves pucks to dangerous areas of the ice. He excels in carrying the puck in zone entries and reads plays well to create offense. Fantilli uses his skating skills to evade pressure, and he creates space to make plays.

He’s not just an offensively dominant player, Fantilli has good positioning in the defensive zone allowing him to recover pucks at a high rate.

Fantilli’s shot map shows the expected goals with larger dots being higher quality scoring chances and yellow being a goal in the World Juniors. It is a good indication of his skill as he can shoot from a lot of areas in the offensive zone and still have a quality attempt.

We can also compare him to No. 4 on this list, Leo Carlsson, another big center.

Comparable NHL Player: Jack Eichel


No. 3: Matvei Michkov, RW, SKA St. Petersburg (KHL)

Key skills (strengths): Goal scoring ability; Creative offensively; Transition offense
Continued growth (improvements): Defensive zone activity

It’s difficult to predict the exact spot that Michkov will be drafted. A three-year KHL contract clouds the profile of Michkov.

But looking strictly at on-ice performance, Michkov would be a top pick in any draft. He’s creative offensively and moves the puck to high danger areas. Michkov is a shoot first player and is extremely potent off the rush. He has good anticipation and instincts both offensively and defensively.

Michkov is the youngest player to ever suit up for the Russian National Team. His 20 points in 27 games has him scoring at a higher per game rate than Alexander Ovechkin in his draft year in the KHL.

This player is the wild card to watch in terms of what team will draft him.

Comparable NHL Player: Nikita Kucherov


No. 4: Leo Carlsson, C, Orebro (SHL)

Key skills (strengths): Puck protection; Getting to scoring areas; Decision making
Continued growth (improvements): Puck recovery

There’s a good chance Carlsson goes before No. 4. He’s a puck possession player who likes to have the puck on his stick especially in transition. On zone entries, Carlsson has a high rate of entering with speed and attacks the middle of the ice.

His puck management is ideal, limiting turnovers and focusing on simple plays. Carlsson is able to absorb contact and keep the puck on his stick.

In the offensive zone, Carlsson can get to the high traffic areas and shoot from the slot. His World Junior shot attempt image is a good example of high-quality shots close to the net. The larger the dots, the higher quality the shot with red being a goal by Carlsson.

Comparable NHL Player: Pierre-Luc Dubois


No. 5: Will Smith, C, USA U-18 (NTDP)

Key skills (strengths): Playmaking/vision; Offensive instincts; Playing with pace
Continued growth (improvements): Limiting turnovers

Rounding out the five prospects is Will Smith, who played for the USA U-18 NDTP last year and is headed to Boston College, where he will be the 14th member of his family to attend.

Smith has great vision which helps his playmaking. He not only sees passing lanes but is able to complete difficult passes. Smith is offensively creative and gets pucks to teammates to create scoring chances. He has the willingness to take the puck to the net and get involved in high traffic areas. Smith’s U18 passing visual shows his ability to complete difficult cross-ice passes. Those in red indicate feeds that resulted in goals.

Comparable NHL Player: Sebastian Aho

Meghan Chayka co-founded Stathletes, a data and analytics company that works with ESPN and the NHL to provide deeper insights into hockey performance.

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Rangers P deGrom (elbow) throwing, ‘feels good’

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Rangers P deGrom (elbow) throwing, 'feels good'

ARLINGTON, Texas — Two-time Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom already has thrown off the mound this offseason and said everything felt normal after missing most of his first two seasons with the Texas Rangers because of elbow surgery.

The three starts deGrom got to make in September were significant for him.

“That way I could treat it like a normal offseason and not feel like I was in rehab mode the whole time,” he said Saturday during the team’s annual Fan Fest. “So that’s what this offseason has been, you know, normal throwing. Been off the mound already and everything feels good.”

The right-hander said he would usually wait until Feb. 1 before throwing, but he started earlier this week so he could ramp up a bit slower going into spring training.

DeGrom, 36, has started only nine games for the Rangers since signing a $185 million, five-year contract in free agency two winters ago. They won all six starts he made before the end of April during his 2023 debut with the team before the surgery. After rehabbing most of last year, he was 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 14 strikeouts over 10⅔ innings in those three September starts.

“One of the things I’m most excited about is a healthy season from Jacob, and for our fans to see what that looks like, and how good he is,” Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young said. “It’s just electric, and coming to the ballpark every day that he’s pitching, knowing that we’ve got a great chance to win the game, it’s an exciting feeling. Our fans truly haven’t experienced that over the course of a season. We’re excited and hopeful that this is the year they get to see that.”

Since his back-to-back Cy Young Awards with the New York Mets in 2018 and 2019, deGrom hasn’t made more than 15 starts in a season. He started 12 times during the COVID-19-shortened 60-game season in 2020.

DeGrom had a career-low 1.08 ERA over 92 innings in 2021 before missing the final three months with right forearm tightness and a sprained elbow, then was shut down late during spring training in 2022 because of a stress reaction in his right scapula. He went 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA in 11 starts over the last two months of that season before becoming a free agent.

His fastball touched 98 mph in the last of his three starts last season, when he pitched four innings of one-run ball against the Los Angeles Angels.

“In those games, you know, it’s still a thought in the back of your mind, you just came back from a major surgery and you probably don’t get another one at my age,” he said. “So it was, hey, is everything good? And then like I said, was able to check those boxes off in this offseason, treat it normal.”

Now deGrom feels like he can start pitching again without worrying about being injured.

“Just throw the ball to the target and not think about anything,” he said. “So, yeah, I think I can get back to where I was.”

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Source: Sarkisian lands new 7-year deal at Texas

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Source: Sarkisian lands new 7-year deal at Texas

More than a week after its season ended in the College Football Playoff, Texas has agreed to a new contract with coach Steve Sarkisian, a source told ESPN’s Pete Thamel on Saturday, confirming a report. The sides came to an agreement Friday night in a deal that includes an extension.

A source told ESPN that it’s a seven-year contract for Sarkisian, 50, that adds a year to his deal and makes him one of the highest-paid coaches in college football.

News of the agreement was first reported by The Action Network, which noted that the deal came after Sarkisian declined interviews with two NFL franchises for coaching positions.

The Longhorns, in their first season in the SEC, advanced to the title game and won two CFP playoff games against Clemson and Arizona State before being eliminated by Ohio State on Jan. 10 in the Cotton Bowl.

Texas played Ohio State tight before a late fumble return stretched the Buckeyes’ lead to 14 points. Sarkisian said being the last remaining SEC team in the playoff in their first year in the league is something the Longhorns take pride in.

“I really believe this is a premier football conference in America because of the week-in, week-out task that it requires physically and mentally,” Sarkisian said. “I know unfortunately for Georgia, they lost their starting quarterback in the SEC championship game, and I’m sure other teams in our conference had to endure things that can take their toll on your team, and that’s no excuse. At the end of the day, we have to find a way to navigate our ways through it, but to be here on this stage to be back in the final four wearing that SEC patch on our jersey, we’re going to do our best to represent it because this is a heck of a conference.”

Sarkisian arrived at Texas in 2021 after serving as Nick Saban’s offensive coordinator at Alabama in his previous stop. As head coach previously at Washington and USC, combined with his run at Texas, he is 84-52 overall. With the Longhorns, he is 38-17 and won the Big 12 title last season.

Texas will open next season with a rematch against Ohio State on Aug. 30 in Columbus, Ohio. In that game vs. the Buckeyes, the likely starter under center for Sarkisian will be Arch Manning, who backed up Quinn Ewers for two seasons and will soon get his chance to headline what will be one of the most anticipated quarterback situations in recent memory. The nephew of Peyton and Eli Manning and grandson of Archie Manning came to Texas as ESPN’s No. 5 recruit in the 2023 class.

Arch Manning saw more playing time this season as Ewers dealt with injury, and he completed 61 of 90 passes for 939 yards and nine touchdowns. He also showcased big-play ability as a runner, breaking off a 67-yard scamper against UTSA and averaging 4.2 yards per carry.

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AD: Irish prefer independence over vying for bye

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AD: Irish prefer independence over vying for bye

ATLANTA — Notre Dame athletic director Pete Bevacqua said the independent Irish are comfortable continuing to give up access to a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff — something currently granted to only the four highest-ranked conference champions — as long as the fate of conference championship games remains the same.

“We’re comfortable that if conference championship games continue as they’re currently configured, part of the deal we made is that we wouldn’t get a bye, and that’s understandable,” Bevacqua said Saturday, speaking to a small group of reporters at the national championship game media availability at the Georgia World Congress Center. “And quite frankly, I wouldn’t trade that [first-round] Indiana game at Notre Dame Stadium for anything in the world, but you also have to be smart and strategic, and your odds of making a national championship game are increased if you get to play one less game.

“So I think a lot is going to depend on the fate of the conference championship games,” he said. “Should they go away? And that’s obviously not my decision. Should they be altered in some sort of material way where it’s not the top two teams playing for a championship, but something else? Then I think we absolutely have to re-look at Notre Dame’s ability to get a bye if we end up being one of the top four teams.”

Bevacqua’s comments come as he and the FBS commissioners prepare to meet Sunday to begin their review of the inaugural 12-team field, which will produce a national champion on Monday with the winner of Ohio State vs. Notre Dame.

Bevacqua is part of the CFP’s management committee, which is also comprised of the 10 FBS commissioners tasked with determining the format and rules of the playoff to eventually send to the 11 presidents and chancellors on the CFP board for their approval. The commissioners and Bevacqua will have a 90-minute business meeting to start to discuss possible changes for the 2025 season, which would require unanimity, leaving many CFP sources skeptical that next season will look much different.

Bevacqua said he thinks “there’s a chance” the group could agree on a change to the seeding, but one option that has been floated by sources with knowledge of the discussions is having the committee’s top four teams earn the top four seeds — which opens the door for Notre Dame to earn a first-round bye without playing in a conference championship game.

“I think everybody wants what’s best for the overall system,” he said. “It was interesting, when you think about those four teams that got a bye, they didn’t advance. Now I don’t think that has anything to do with the fact that they got a bye, I think that was mostly competition and happenstance. But I think there’ll be a good, honest conversation that will start tomorrow. Are there any changes that we ought to make from this year to next year and make something that’s worked really well work even better? Will there be changes? I’m just one person. I’m not sure.”

CFP executive director Rich Clark, who also spoke to a small group of reporters at the media day event, said some changes for 2025 would require “more lead time than a few months to implement,” so no major structural changes like the size of the bracket are expected for 2025.

Clark said the commissioners will talk about every aspect from “cradle to the grave,” including seeding and re-seeding possibilities.”

Clark said whatever changes are made for 2026 and beyond — the start of a new, six-year contract with ESPN — need to be determined by the end of the calendar year. That could include increasing the bracket size, possibly to 14 or 16 teams.

“We’re trying to beat that timeline,” Clark said. “We don’t want to obviously wait until the limits of it. So we want to move smartly on these things, but we don’t want to make bad decisions, either.”

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