MLB futures update: World Series, awards odds and predictions
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adminThe Atlanta Braves have dominated most every headline this baseball season, and their World Series title odds have followed suit, going from +850 (fifth-best) during the preseason, to +650 in early May, to +450 in mid-June, to +310 today.
They’re regarded as the overwhelming favorite, ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers (+450), Houston Astros (+550) and Texas Rangers (+800). FanGraphs’ odds concur, projecting the Braves to finish six games better in terms of win/loss record than the No. 2 Dodgers, with easily best 25.4% odds of winning the whole shebang.
That said, it’s not all Braves, all the time, when it comes to rest-of-year betting opportunities. Yes, there are worthy dice-rolls to take on the World Series champion front — the Milwaukee Brewers (+3500, 3.3% championship odds), Minnesota Twins (+2800, 4.0%), Philadelphia Phillies (+2200, 4.4%), San Diego Padres (+5000, 2.0%) and San Francisco Giants (+3000, 2.3%) all have at best +2000 odds but a minimum 2% chance of winning it all — but it’s some of the other futures categories that have presented opportunities for the risk-takers.
The National League’s MVP race, which at this point a month ago appeared to be a Ronald Acuna Jr. runaway, looks like it might have as many as three legitimate contenders. Scorching-hot Braves teammate Matt Olson is on a 58-homer, 144-RBI pace, thresholds that have been met only nine times previously in baseball history, while the Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman is on track to set personal bests in batting average, hits, doubles, total bases, runs and stolen bases. Interestingly, Acuna remains the favorite in that competition, -750 to Freeman’s +600 and Olson’s +1700.
The NL’s Cy Young race is very much up in the air, with the Arizona Diamondbacks’ Zac Gallen (+175) regarded the favorite, but only narrowly ahead of the Padres’ Blake Snell (+300), Giants pitching WAR leader Logan Webb (+300), the Braves’ Spencer Strider (+600) and the Chicago Cubs’ Justin Steele (+700). There are some pretty hefty names right behind them on the odds sheet, though, including the Phillies’ Zack Wheeler, Brewers’ Corbin Burnes and Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw.
In the American League, it’s the Rookie of the Year race that looks the most competitive. Rangers third baseman Josh Jung’s fractured left thumb, which might cost him the remainder of the regular season, has suffered in the odds, dropping to fifth-best and +1600. That has allowed the Baltimore Orioles’ Gunnar Henderson (-210) to swoop in as the new favorite, though the Boston Red Sox’s Masataka Yoshida (+350) and Triston Casas (+400) and the Cleveland Guardians’ Tanner Bibee (+1200) are well within striking distance.
By Tristan H. Cockcroft
Where are the best betting values in mid August? Tristan H. Cockcroft, Eric Karabell, David Schoenfield and Todd Zola offer their picks.
To win the World Series odds
Note: All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook as of Aug. 17.
Expert picks
Texas Rangers (+800): The Rangers have scored nearly as many runs as the all-powerful Braves and right now I would have more confidence in their rotation than Atlanta’s, especially with Scherzer pitching again like an ace. Aroldis Chapman has also been absolutely dominating since coming over from the Royals, with 31 strikeouts in 16 innings, helping to solidify the bullpen. Oh, and they’re a good defensive team. Getting through the AL will be tough but the Rangers have a dynamic and deep roster and players like Scherzer and Corey Seager who have shined before in the postseason. — Schoenfield
I’m with Eric that the Brewers have a Phillies-like look to them (see below), at least as things stand today while looking forward to prospective playoffs, but I’m going back to my preseason sleeper-turned-moderate favorite, the Rangers. The Max Scherzer acquisition — not to mention Jordan Montgomery — appears to have bolstered the rotation, the bullpen has been quite good this month, the defense is sound all around and there’s more balance in the lineup than I expected. These are pretty good odds for a team that’s a surefire playoff qualifier and possible division winner with a first-round bye. — Cockcroft
Long shots to watch
Minnesota Twins (+2800): The playoffs are all about strong pitching and hitters scoring enough to win. Sonny Gray, Pablo Lopez, Kenta Maeda and Bailey Ober can match up against most of the playoff rotations with Joe Ryan a wild card. The bullpen is suspect, but Griffin Jax is emerging as a solid setup man to complement Jhoan Duran. The Twins might not even be favored in the wild-card round, but their rotation is built for a playoff run. — Zola
Milwaukee Brewers (+3500): Milwaukee’s big three of Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta are healthy and potentially dominant, and I can’t imagine they would be much fun to face in a short series in October, especially with Devin Williams lurking in the bullpen. It reminds me of last season’s Phillies. I think the Phillies can represent the NL yet again, with their aces and bullpen, but the odds on the Brewers are sweeter. — Karabell
San Diego Padres (+5000): It remains hard to believe the Padres, with this lineup, with this pitching, cannot fix their season, but an NL wild-card spot remains in play for them when they start winning consistently. The Padres remain a dangerous team if they can make it to October. — Karabell
Here I will second Eric’s pick, because the Padres still look awfully good on paper and all you need to do is qualify for the playoffs for that to translate into October wins (see: Padres-New York Mets 2022 Wild Card Series). Would you believe that FanGraphs projects the Padres for the second-best rest of season record — not National League, that’s across the majors? For this price, I’m a taker. — Cockcroft
National League Most Valuable Player
Expert picks
Freddie Freeman, Los Angeles Dodgers (+600): Ronald Acuna Jr. should win this easily if he keeps doing what he’s doing, but there is a pathway to Freeman winning if the Dodgers catch the Braves, and if Acuna and Matt Olson — who could hit 60 home runs — split the vote. It seems unlikely it would sway enough voters, but Freeman could catch Luis Arraez for the NL batting title and then it might become interesting. — Karabell
Again, I second Eric, in part because the odds for this award should be closer than they are currently. By the way, in the past five seasons, Freeman has batted .324/.421/.533 with a major league-leading 113 runs created in the month of September (and regular-season October), a historically strong finisher. — Cockcroft
Long shots to watch
Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers (+3500): I get that he’s probably fourth right now and his offensive stats don’t quite match up with Acuna, Freeman or Olson, but he has nearly caught Acuna in both Baseball-Reference WAR (6.1 to 6.0) and FanGraphs WAR (6.2 to 6.0) and could end up leading the NL in both — and if that happens, he has a chance, given how much voters weigh WAR these days. And it’s not like he hasn’t hit: He’s on his way to 40 home runs while hitting close to .300. Oh, and he filled in at both second base (34 starts) and shortstop (12 starts) and played well at both positions. — Schoenfield
American League Most Valuable Player
Expert picks
Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels: He’s got this wrapped up, no? Ohtani has a legitimate chance at a 50-homer, 20-steal, 200-strikeout (as a pitcher) season — those first two hitting stats have been accomplished only four times in the same season in history. Unreal. — Cockcroft
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National League Cy Young
Expert picks
Spencer Strider, Atlanta Braves (+600): His is not an impressive ERA, but nobody in the NL is within range of his dominant strikeout total. Strider could run off a string of wins and overshadow Gallen and Webb with better ERA figures. This race is wide open and Strider has intriguing odds. — Karabell
Justin Steele, Chicago Cubs (+750): Note to Eric: Strider’s current ERA would be highest ever for a Cy Young winner. Strider needs to roll off a bunch of zeroes to have a chance, even with the strikeouts, so I like Steele’s odds here. He has a chance to lead the league in ERA and wins — and while wins aren’t the deciding factor they once were, they could factor in as tiebreaker in this crowded field. Steele could go 17-3 and lead in ERA and that looks pretty good. — Schoenfield
Long shots to watch
Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies (+2000): His odds are this poor for an award that’s this wide open? Hmm. Count me in, as Wheeler’s numbers place him well within striking distance, he’s riding the majors’ lengthiest active streak (excluding pitchers on the injured list) of quality starts (7), and he was lights-out for the Phillies in each of the past two Septembers. — Cockcroft
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (+7500): Compiling enough innings down the stretch is a major roadblock, but if the favorites stumble, there is a pathway for Kershaw to get legacy-type votes. Kershaw sports the lowest ERA of pitchers throwing at least 100 innings and his 11 wins are just two fewer than the league lead. His case would be stronger before voters wised up and looked beyond ERA and wins, but it was two years ago that Corbin Burnes’ ERA over 167 innings won him the award over hurlers with comparable numbers spanning 30 or more additional innings. — Zola
American League Cy Young
Expert picks
Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays (+500): Unlike with MVP, voters generally do not care if the Cy Young winner makes the playoffs, and things aren’t looking so good for Gerrit Cole in that respect, but he has the lead in innings pitched, which does matter. Gausman has the edge in strikeouts and if their respective ERAs get closer, this could be a close race. Gausman’s odds are worth investing in. — Karabell
Long shots to watch
George Kirby, Seattle Mariners (+4000): Gerrit Cole is the clear betting favorite, but, really, nobody has separated themselves as the No. 2 guy — yet compare Kirby’s odds to Gausman’s. Kirby leads the majors in strikeout-to-walk ratio and trails only Nathan Eovaldi in WHIP (barely) and Eovaldi is about to fall off the leaderboards because of his injury. Cole needs to fade a bit and Kirby needs to finish strong, but he’d be the non-Cole pitcher I’d wager on. — Schoenfield
National League Rookie of the Year
Expert picks
Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks: I hate taking such an overwhelming favorite, but there’s a reason he’s just that. Carroll’s season could end today and he’d still finish with 21 home runs, 37 stolen bases and 134 OPS+. He’d join Tommie Agee (1966), Mitchell Page (1977) and Mike Trout (2012) as the only rookies to ever go at least 20/30/125 in those categories, and both Agee and Trout secured the hardware; Page finished a close second to Eddie Murray. — Cockcroft
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American League Rookie of the Year
Long shots to watch
Tanner Bibee, Cleveland Guardians (+1200): Bibee has won his past seven decisions over two months, and lowered his ERA into range of what would be the league leaderboard if he qualified, which he should soon do. If Bibee continues to win games and keep his ERA on the good side of 3, he could win this award. — Karabell
Third time’s the charm as far as me agreeing with Eric. Seriously, how is Bibee not gaining more traction in this race? He already has 14 starts this season of at least five innings pitched and two runs or fewer allowed; only seven other pitchers have had more. I know voters tend to gravitate toward hitters in all but the Cy Young races, but Bibee’s importance to the Guardians down the stretch could go a long way toward making a convincing argument. — Cockcroft
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Sports
Hamlin: Team couldn’t survive under charter deal
Published
2 hours agoon
December 3, 2025By
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Associated Press
Dec 2, 2025, 02:46 PM ET
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Three-time Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin outlined the precarious situation facing NASCAR teams, testifying Tuesday in the federal antitrust trial against the stock car series that the race team he co-owns spent more than $700,000 to the series in 2022 alone and how agreeing to its charter proposal last fall would have been like signing his own “death certificate.”
Hamlin was the first witness called when testimony began Monday in the antitrust case brought by 23XI Racing, which is owned by Hamlin and Basketball Hall of Famer Michael Jordan, and Front Row Motorsports, owned by fast-food franchiser Bob Jenkins. The two teams contend that NASCAR is a monopoly that has handcuffed teams with a no-win revenue model.
Hamlin returned to the stand for more than three hours and was asked about line items in 23XI Racing’s budget. He noted how more than $703,000 three years ago was spent on costs to NASCAR ranging from entry fees, credentials for team members to enter the track and even access to Internet signals. He also said he and Jordan spent $100 million to build 23XI and “all it takes is one sponsor to go away and all our profit is gone.”
All 15 of NASCAR’s teams had been vocal for over two years that the last charter agreement made it impossible for them to turn a profit and they demanded four changes in prolonged negotiations. When the final offer came from NASCAR and lacked most of what the teams asked for, 23XI and Front Row refused to sign and instead sued.
23XI has turned a profit in all but one of its five seasons, but its financial success is largely a product of Jordan’s star power drawing top-dollar sponsors. Plaintiffs’ attorney Jeffery Kessler told the jury Monday that a NASCAR-commissioned study found that 75% of teams lost money in 2024.
Hamlin testified that the TV deal NASCAR signed ahead of the 2025 season has not been a boon to race teams because of a shift toward streaming services and big-ticket sponsors want to be on television. He also referred to a meeting with NASCAR chairman Jim France, who indicated teams are spending too much and it should only cost $10 million per car. Hamlin testified it costs $20 million.
“We cannot cut more. Tell me how to get my investment back? He had no answer,” Hamlin said.
As for refusing to sign the charter agreements last fall, Hamlin said the last-ditch proposal from NASCAR “had eight points minimum that needed to be changed. When we pointed that out we were told ‘Negotiations are closed.'”
“I didn’t sign because I knew this was my death certificate for the future,” he said, later adding: “I have spent 20 years trying to make this sport grow as a driver and for the last five years as a team owner. 23XI is doing our part. You can’t have someone treat you this unfairly and I knew It wasn’t right. They were wrong and someone needed to be held accountable.”
Under cross-examination, Hamlin was asked why he paints a rosier picture of NASCAR on podcast appearances. He replied that he is regurgitating NASCAR talking points because any negative comments can lead to retribution.
“You can take all my things out of context and paint a picture that everything is fine,” he said. “The reality is, (being) negative affects me in (technical inspection), getting called to the hauler, NASCAR not liking what I said.”
The trial is expected to last two weeks.
NASCAR is owned and operated by the Florida-based France family, which founded the series in 1948. Kessler said over a three-year period almost $400 million was paid to the France Family Trust and a 2023 evaluation by Goldman Sachs found NASCAR to be worth $5 billion. The pretrial discovery process revealed NASCAR made more than $100 million in 2024, while Jenkins testified in a deposition he has lost $60 million over the last decade and $100 million since starting his team in 2004.
NASCAR contends it is doing nothing wrong and has not restrained trade or commerce by its teams. The series says the original charters were given for free to teams when the system was created in 2016 and the demand for them created a market of $1.5 billion in equity for chartered organizations.
Hamlin countered that 11 of the original 19 chartered organizations are out of business; all three of 23XI’s charters came from teams that ceased operations. NASCAR also said each chartered car now receives a guaranteed $12.5 million in annual revenue, up from $9 million. Hamlin testified it costs $20 million to bring a single car to the track for all 38 races and that figure does not include any overhead, operating costs or a driver’s salary.
Sports
Hamlin emotional, MJ present at antitrust trial
Published
2 hours agoon
December 3, 2025By
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Associated Press
Dec 1, 2025, 06:15 PM ET
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — The landmark federal antitrust trial against NASCAR opened Monday with three-time Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin breaking down in tears minutes into his testimony as the first witness in a case that could upend the venerable stock car series.
Hamlin’s 23XI Racing, which he co-owns with Michael Jordan, and Front Row Motorsports claim the series is a monopolistic bully that leaves its teams no option but to comply with rules and financing they don’t agree with.
As Jordan watched from the gallery, Hamlin began to cry and had to stop and compose himself when asked how he got into racing. He disclosed to The Associated Press last month that his father is dying, and he said on the stand he was emotional because his dad “is not in great health.”
“We got to when I was about 20 and a decision had to be made, I could keep racing or go out and work for my dad’s trailer business,” Hamlin testified, adding that he later was thinking about what retirement looked like and found a team going out of business. He needed a partner and turned to Jordan, who he had developed a friendship with when the Basketball Hall of Famer owned the Charlotte Hornets and Hamlin was a season-ticket holder.
“If I can’t be successful with Michael as a partner, I knew this was never going to work,” he said.
The references to his early days in auto racing and the sacrifices his family made were intended to show how difficult it is for both team owners and drivers to make it at the top level of the sport. He said he never would have been able to start 23XI in 2021 had he not partnered with Jordan.
Because of Jordan’s presence with the team, Hamlin testified, 23XI has turned a profit in all but one of its five seasons of operation. His attorney, Jeffrey Kessler, said in his opening statement that fast-food restaurant entrepreneur Bob Jenkins has never turned a profit since starting his Front Row team in 2004, a team that won the Daytona 500 in 2021.
Kessler said a NASCAR-commissioned study found that 75% of teams lost money in 2024 and added that over a three-year period almost $400 million was paid to the France Family Trust. He said a 2023 evaluation by Goldman Sachs found NASCAR to be worth $5 billion. NASCAR is currently run by Jim France, son of founder Bill France Sr.
“What the evidence is going to show is Mr. France ran this for the benefit of his family at the expense of the teams and sport,” Kessler said.
At the heart of the lawsuit is NASCAR’s revenue sharing model, which 23XI and Front Row argue is unfair to race teams that often operate at a loss. Hamlin testified it cost $20 million to simply bring a single car to the track over a 38-race season, not including overhead expenses such as driver salary and business operations.
“So, why would these people do this if you are just going to lose money because NASCAR isn’t giving you a fair deal?” asked Kessler, “Because you love stock car racing, and there’s nowhere else to do it.”
The charter agreements signed for this year that triggered the lawsuit guarantee the teams $12.5 million in annual revenue per chartered car. NASCAR argues the guaranteed payouts are an increase from $9 million from the previous agreement, but Hamlin noted that 11 of the first 19 chartered teams are no longer in business.
All three charters 23XI purchased came from teams that ceased operations, and Hamlin said 23XI paid $4.7 million for its first charter, $13.5 million for its second and $28 million for its third, acquired late last year. He acknowledged purchasing the third charter was a risk because of the pending litigation – and the price concerned him – but it was required if 23XI intends to build itself into a top team.
The charter system guarantees a car a spot in the field each race week as well as a percentage of the purse and gives team owners an asset to sell should they want to get out of the business.
NASCAR attorneys argued that the charter system has created $1.5 billion in equity for the 36 chartered teams. Prior to the charter system, teams raced “open,” with no guarantee they’d make the field or earn a payout.
“The France family built NASCAR from nothing. They are an American success story,” Johnny Stephenson said in the opening statement for NASCAR. Stephenson is a colleague of Christopher Yates, who had previously handled most of the courtroom arguments for the defendants.
“They’ve done it through hard work over 75 years. That’s the kind of effort that doesn’t deserve a lawsuit. That’s the kind of effort that deserves admiration.”
The case has churned through hearings and arguments for more than a year despite calls from other NASCAR teams to settle. U.S. District Judge Kenneth Bell even helped mediate a failed two-day summit in October.
A NASCAR victory could put 23XI, Front Row and their six combined cars out of business. Their charters – now being held by NASCAR – would likely be sold. The last charter went for $45 million, and NASCAR has indicated there is interest from potential buyers including private equity firms.
A win for the teams could lead to monetary damages and the potential demolition of NASCAR as it is run today. The judge has the power to unravel a monopoly, and nothing is off the table, from ordering a sale of NASCAR to the dismantling of the charter system.
Jordan’s presence factors into the trial
Jordan’s presence in the courtroom gallery near Hamlin was a factor: Among those dismissed from serving on the jury was a man who said he can’t be impartial because “I like Mike” and another who said he had Michael Jordan posters on his walls growing up. A juror said they were a North Carolina fan but noted the football team at Jordan’s alma mater is not “doing too well right now” to which the star shook his head and laughed.
NASCAR executives in the courtroom included chairman Jim France and vice chair Lesa France Kennedy, two scions of the family that founded NASCAR in 1948 and still owns it.
Hamlin will resume testimony Tuesday morning. NASCAR Commissioner Steve Phelps, 23XI minority owner Curtis Polk, France Kennedy and other top executives had to leave the courtroom after opening arguments because they are all potential witnesses.
Sports
What Mikko Rantanen learned from last season’s double-trade campaign
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2 hours agoon
December 3, 2025By
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Greg WyshynskiDec 3, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Greg Wyshynski is ESPN’s senior NHL writer.
NEW YORK — After 11 seasons as one of the NHL’s leading scorers, Mikko Rantanen has become accustomed to fame.
But infamy? Not so much, although he has experienced plenty of that this season.
Rantanen recently served the first suspension of his NHL career, having earned an automatic one-game ban for two game misconducts for physical infractions.
NHL rules state that players must go 41 games between ejections to avoid suspension. Rantanen’s second ejection, for boarding Calgary Flames forward Matt Coronato, came four days after his first ejection on a play that earned Rantanen widespread derision from fans — and one very angry coach.
On Nov. 18, Rantanen skated through a check by New York Islanders defenseman Scott Mayfield and shoved defenseman Alexander Romanov in the back, sending him violently into the end boards. As a result of that play, Romanov had shoulder surgery that will put him on the shelf for five months at a minimum.
Rantanen didn’t have a hearing with the NHL Department of Player Safety for either of these misconducts, but he heard plenty from Islanders coach Patrick Roy after the Romanov hit. It was a scene that instantly went viral: Rantanen leaving the ice after his major penalty and a red-faced Roy screaming at him from the New York bench.
0:38
Mikko Rantanen ejected for nasty hit on Alex Romanov
Alex Romanov is left flat out on the ice after this shove in the back from Mikko Rantanen with under a minute left in regulation.
“Usually if something happens, if somebody gets pissed off, the media picks it up,” Rantanen told ESPN on Tuesday. “So I’m not really surprised it got so big.”
Roy, who called the hit “disrespectful,” yelled at Rantanen, appearing to say, “You’re not going to f—ing finish that game” in reference to the teams’ rematch scheduled for March 26 on Long Island.
Is Rantanen worried about what might happen in that game?
“No, no, no,” he said. “I’m just going to play there, play hard, play hockey and see what comes at me. But I’m a grown man. So I can stand up for myself.”
But the notoriety wasn’t only on the ice for Rantanen in 2025. Earlier this year, thanks to two blockbuster trades, he became one of the NHL’s most debated players.
RANTANEN WAS PLAYING for the Colorado Avalanche in a contract year. His salary demands remained high — rumored at the time to be around $14 million annually for one of the league’s most dominant scoring wingers and a player who helped Colorado win the Stanley Cup in 2022.
Avalanche GM Chris MacFarland shocked the hockey world by trading him to the Carolina Hurricanes in a blockbuster deal on Jan. 24 that saw Canes leading scorer Martin Necas sent back to the Avalanche. MacFarland called it a “business decision” involving a player who “had the unrestricted free agent card” but lamented losing “a superstar human being.”
However, Rantanen’s time with the Hurricanes was incredibly short. Carolina hoped to convince him to sign an extension — meeting his salary demands — and to put roots down in Raleigh. But after 13 games, the player the Hurricanes hoped could lead them to the Stanley Cup was traded again, this time to Dallas, in a deal involving young forward Logan Stankoven.
“My sense of it was that this just didn’t feel like home for him, as far as I can tell. And that’s OK. He’s making an eight-year commitment,” Carolina GM Eric Tulsky said at the time.
It was a dizzying, at times humbling, experience for Rantanen. He wanted to remain in Colorado. He learned quickly how much was out of his control. It was no surprise that Rantanen’s contract with Dallas spanned eight seasons (for $96 million total) and carried a full no-movement clause.
“You learn always from those tough moments, whether it’s on the ice or wherever in life,” he said. “You always learn from those moments when you’re going through tough times.”
The double-trade season and the new monster contract sparked questions around the NHL about whether Rantanen was in fact worth coveting. Was he a superstar away from the Avalanche? Was he a franchise-level player?
“There’s been a lot written about him. There’s been a lot said about him,” then-Stars coach Peter DeBoer said last postseason. “There’s been a lot of doubters out there, based on the situations he’s been in and how it’s looked at different points.”
Rantanen began answering those questions in the Stanley Cup playoffs, leading the Stars back to the conference finals for the third straight season — including a seven-game, first-round elimination of his friends from Colorado. Rantanen had 22 points in 18 playoff games, including one torrid stretch in which he had nine goals and eight assists in the span of six games.
DALLAS IS HOME NOW. Rantanen and his girlfriend, Susanna Ranta, got engaged in the offseason. No contract talk leaks. No trade chaos. To his relief, just playing the game.
“We’re settled and know where we’re going to be,” he said. “You don’t have to think about off-ice stuff as much. You can just focus on hockey. It’s been more comfortable.”
Rantanen’s comfort has been to Dallas’ benefit. Through 25 games, he has 33 points, including 10 goals. That includes 18 points on the Stars’ torrid power play, which ranked second to Pittsburgh heading into Tuesday’s game against the New York Rangers.
Winger Jason Robertson said having Rantanen for a full training camp was a key to that unit’s success. “You really didn’t have time to develop that look, that chemistry after the trade deadline last year,” he said.
At 5-on-5, Rantanen has found a fit with center Wyatt Johnston, who was tied with Robertson at 16 goals to lead the Stars. Like Nathan MacKinnon, the Avalanche star with whom Rantanen had explosive chemistry, Johnston is a right-shot center.
“Obviously last year I had a lot of success with playing with [Roope] Hintz and [Mikael] Granlund. Those are two lefties, so it’s not end of the world,” Rantanen said. “But playing a lot with Nate in the past as a righty, it’s more common for me to make plays and stuff. [Johnston] is a really good player. He can score goals. We find each other pretty well. Obviously, it takes some time. We haven’t played that long together, so we can still get better, but it’s going in a good direction.”
0:45
Mikko Rantanen capitalizes on the power play
Mikko Rantanen scores on the power play for Dallas Stars
Rantanen has played with Johnston and Dallas captain Jamie Benn recently, which is to say the Finland native is not playing with his countryman Hintz. When he was traded to the Stars last season, Rantanen joined what was colloquially known as Dallas’ “Finnish Mafia,” along with Hintz, defensemen Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell, and Granlund, who left for Anaheim as a free agent last summer. He played on a line with Hintz and Granlund for much of the playoffs.
There are moments when the Finns flock together. Such as at the end of a recent morning skate, when they were speaking their native tongue during a Suomi-only shooting drill. But Dallas players say Rantanen also has subverted some expectations.
“Normally, most of our Finnish guys are relatively quiet and whatever. Mikko comes in here and he’s this big, loud and happy guy. Just a different dynamic,” Robertson said. “He fit in obviously very well, and everyone welcomed him in.”
Forward Tyler Seguin knew Rantanen only as an opponent before the trade. A rather large opponent, at 6-foot-4 and around 230 pounds. Seguin said having Rantanen as a teammate offered an up-close glimpse at “how thick he is and why his nickname is what it is” referring to “Moose,” Rantanen’s moniker in Colorado.
“He’s a big boy,” Seguin said.
But Seguin also appreciates what a charismatic teammate he is, too.
“I used to know him as a skilled big forward that put up a lot of offense and points with Colorado. Getting him here as a teammate, I’ve learned what a good person he is. How much he can affect our locker room with his leadership,” Seguin explained. “Sometimes, guys come in and won’t feel comfortable talking. He does. So it’s nice.”
RANTANEN BRINGS SIZE, skill and personality to Dallas. He also brings a superstar quality to the franchise as “one of the elite power forwards in the game,” as GM Jim Nill described him last March.
Dallas coach Glen Gulutzan, hired to replace DeBoer in the offseason, coached two other elite forwards on the Edmonton Oilers‘ bench as an assistant coach: Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Gulutzan said that Rantanen is “certainly there” as far as comparable star quality.
“The most interesting thing that I’ve found coaching Mikko and then coaching Leon and Connor: The similarity is their fire. Their competitiveness. And that’s what you need, right?” Gulutzan said. “They’re very hard on themselves, just to be great every night. That’s what I really noticed. I didn’t know that as much with Mikko, but now that I’ve gotten to coach him, you just see that drive and that intensity.”
Rantanen is trying to drive the Stars into the Stanley Cup Final after three straight conference finals losses, and push Dallas to its first Cup win since 1999. He has found the right fit with a team committed to him for the long term. But he learned a lesson the hard way during last season’s chaos: Take nothing for granted.
“Last year was nothing like I’ve experienced before. Hopefully it never happens again,” he said. “But if it does, I’m ready.”
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