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President Putin’s engagement with Iran and North Korea to secure ammunition has been ridiculed in the West.

Putin started the war with 20 million artillery shells – dwarfing that available to the West – and even those war stocks appear insufficient.

Similarly, the West is struggling to meet Ukraine‘s ammunition requirements.

Should Kyiv’s backers invest in dramatically larger stockpiles of weapons, and does this portend a new era of dramatically increased defence spending?

The nuclear deterrent is relied on for its ultimate security against global superpowers.

But only eight – 4% – of the world’s independent nation-states are nuclear powers; although NATO provides a protective umbrella for select non-nuclear states, 85% of states are not members.

Russia‘s success at holding NATO at bay while invading a non-nuclear neighbour highlights a grave shortfall in deterrence capabilities.

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And, with rogue states like North Korea and Iran pursuing nuclear status, the former world security equilibrium is vulnerable, a fresh approach is required.

Although bullets and artillery shells will endure as the building blocks of military capability, the legacy of two brutal world wars led the West to invest in technology to enable greater precision, reducing collateral damage and casualties.

During World War Two, a free-fall bomb launched from RAF bombers would – on average – miss the target by four miles. Even a thousand bomber raids would not guarantee to hit the target.

Today, a Joint Strike Fighter delivers precision – four feet, not four miles – using smaller bombs, with less collateral damage and fewer casualties.

Ukraine war – live updates

But, technology is expensive, so nations cannot afford significant weapon stockpiles. And, our defence industrial base is not configured to ramp up swiftly in times of war.

So, is Russia’s unprovoked aggression a wake-up call and is it time to spend more money on defence?

Membership of NATO is the UK’s ultimate security. We already meet the NATO obligation of spending 2% of GDP on defence – increasing this further risks subsidising our European colleagues.

Instead, we should be spending smarter, providing more cost-effective capability, perhaps even within a new defence paradigm.

Russia’s threat to Europe has been diminished – its military has been decimated by Ukraine and will take a decade to recover; however, a new vulnerability has been exposed.

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Although NATO might provide the UK with national security, our national interests will be increasingly vulnerable, and history suggests that simply battening down the hatches does not make the problem go away.

The answer? The basic need for ships, tanks and aircraft will endure, but the UK is no longer big enough to “do it all alone”.

Our protection lies in alliances, and that means making difficult choices about priorities.

In an uncertain world, the UK must be flexible, adaptable, and innovative – all qualities that Ukraine has exploited in its war with Russia.

That needs to be baked into our national defence DNA – currently, it is not.

The UK does not share Russia’s evident appetite for casualties, so as an island nation, our contribution needs to be through technology, enabling precision strikes and the spectrum of military capability that has served Ukraine so well.

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What help can Kim give Russia?

Russia has an impressive arsenal of equipment but has failed to translate that into battlefield capability.

Operational training is a vital component of credible military capability.

But it is increasingly difficult to conduct realistic live operational training – peacetime safety constraints combined with the huge costs limit the benefits

Consequently, the military conducts an increasing amount of high-end and dynamic training in simulators, but single-service parochialism continues to hinder the development of a pan-defence virtual training eco-system – plug and play – to enable both national and international cost-effective operational training. This is vital for effective and credible military alliances.

Further, the Ukrainian experience of modifying drones overnight to address Russian capabilities highlights the importance of innovation – not just in the lab, but also on the battlefield.

The single services continue to exploit technology, but in parochial stovepipes, and not aligned to national/government initiatives.

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‘Explosion’ in Crimean city attacked by Ukraine

Read more: Putin’s willingness to overlook Kim Jong Un’s nuclear ambitions speaks to his focus on Ukraine victory

But, in a political landscape dominated by a cost-of-living crisis, a crumbling NHS and a looming general election, will anything change?

Although Russia might have been neutered – at least for a decade – rogue nations globally will have been empowered by Russia’s experience.

And, terrorist organisations will have watched the Ukrainian “underdog” prevail against a Russian superpower by exploiting technology.

Weaponising drones has huge potential to cause disruption – and carnage – in our open society.

The West might be ridiculing President Putin for his engagement with North Korea in a desperate search for weapons, but we face the same strategic challenge – at least Putin has a plan.

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Stranded Chinese astronauts return to Earth after space capsule damaged

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Stranded Chinese astronauts return to Earth after space capsule damaged

Three Chinese astronauts have successfully returned to Earth from their nation’s space station after their capsule was damaged.

The team deployed a red and white striped parachute as they descended, before landing at a remote site in the Gobi Desert in Asia on Friday.

The astronauts – Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui and Wang Jie – had been due to return on 5 November to end their six-month rotation at the Tiangong space station.

However, their journey back was delayed by nine days because the Shenzhou-20 return capsule they were due to travel in was found to have tiny cracks.

These were most likely caused by the impact of space debris hitting the craft, China’s space agency said.

There are millions of pieces of mostly tiny particles that circle the Earth at speeds faster than a bullet.

They can come from launches and collisions and pose a risk to satellites, space stations and the astronauts who operate outside them.

With the Shenzhou-20 out of action, the crew – who travelled to the space station in April – used a Shenzhou-21 craft instead, which had brought a three-person replacement crew to the station.

The launch of the Shenzhou-21 craft from Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in Gansu province, China, on 31 October. Pic: Kyodo via AP
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The launch of the Shenzhou-21 craft from Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in Gansu province, China, on 31 October. Pic: Kyodo via AP

The Chinese space agency said the stranded taikonauts – the Chinese word for astronauts – had remained in good condition throughout.

The first module of the Tiangong, which means “Heavenly Palace”, was launched by the Chinese state in 2021.

It is smaller than the International Space Station, from which Beijing is blocked, due to US national security concerns.

China’s space programme has developed steadily since 2003.

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In a long term plan to advance its orbital capabilities, China plans to land a person on the moon by 2030 and has already explored Mars with a robotic rover.

The Asian nation’s latest space mission brought four mice to study how weightlessness and confinement would affect them.

An engineer from the Chinese Academy of Sciences said the study will help master key technologies for breeding and monitoring small mammals in space.

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High Court rules company liable for Brazil dam collapse – the country’s worst environmental disaster

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High Court rules company liable for Brazil dam collapse - the country's worst environmental disaster

A judge has ruled that a company can be held liable for a dam collapse which devastated indigenous communities in Brazil and became the country’s worst environmental catastrophe.

At the High Court in London, Judge Finola O’Farrell ruled that mining giant BHP should not have continued to raise the height of the Fundao Dam before its collapse.

This, she ruled, was “a direct and immediate cause” of the disaster. BHP said immediately after that it would appeal the decision.

The case was brought in British courts because BHP was listed on the London Stock Exchange at the time of the collapse.

Brought by the international law firm Pogust Goodhead on behalf of hundreds of thousands of victims, the claim marks the first time any of the mining companies behind the dam have been held legally responsible for the disaster.

The dam’s collapse released approximately 40 million tons of toxic sludge, including arsenic, which spread 370 miles along the Doce River and out to sea. In total, 19 people died, while hundreds of homes were destroyed.

The case has become the largest environmental group action in English legal history, representing a significant milestone for holding corporations accountable and advancing environmental justice.

Gelvana Rodrigues da Silva, who lost her seven-year-old son Thiago in the flood, said in a statement: “Finally, justice has begun to be served, and those responsible have been held accountable for destroying our lives.”

Pic: Reuters
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Pic: Reuters

One of the largest civil claims ever in England

The Fundao Dam near the city of Mariana was operated by Samarco, a joint venture between BHP and Brazilian company Vale.

Its collapse happened almost 10 years ago to the day.

With 620,000 claimants, the case is one of the largest civil claims ever lodged in England and Wales.

The aftermath of the disaster in Bento Rodrigues district, Brazil. Pic: Reuters
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The aftermath of the disaster in Bento Rodrigues district, Brazil. Pic: Reuters

A damaged house in Bento Rodrigues district. Pic: Reuters
Image:
A damaged house in Bento Rodrigues district. Pic: Reuters

Brazil is currently hosting the COP30 climate summit in the Amazonian city of Belem, aiming to position itself as a climate leader and champion of indigenous rights.

Shirley Djukurna Krenak, an indigenous leader whose community has lived for generations along the Doce River, said the summit is removed from the realities faced by indigenous peoples, and full of “greenwashing” and false promises.

“If all the previous COPs had worked, we wouldn’t still be talking about crimes like this,” she said.

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In October 2024, Brazil’s government and the states of Minas Gerais and Espirito Santo signed a 132bn Brazilian real (£20bn) compensation settlement with Samarco, Vale and BHP, to fund social and environmental repairs.

BHP had argued that the court case in Britain duplicates other legal proceedings and reparations work.

Reacting to Friday’s judgment, the company said that settlements in Brazil would reduce the size of the London lawsuit by about half.

Vale, the co-owner of the company operating the dam, announced after the verdict that it estimated an additional expense of about $500m (£381m) in its 2025 financial statements to cover obligations linked to the disaster.

A second trial to determine the damages BHP is liable to pay is due to begin in October 2026.

The entrance of the Fabrica Nova iron ore mine in Mariana, Brazil, in November 2015. Pic: Reuters
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The entrance of the Fabrica Nova iron ore mine in Mariana, Brazil, in November 2015. Pic: Reuters

How the Mariana dam disaster unfolded

On 5 November 2015, the Fundao tailings dam collapsed in Minas Gerais, Brazil.

It released approximately 40 million tons of toxic sludge, including arsenic, which buried the small town of Bento Rodrigues and poured pollution into the Doce River.

The mud travelled so quickly that residents did not have time to escape, and it killed 19 people. Around 600 people lost their homes.

The toxic waste made its way to the Atlantic Ocean, destroying water supplies, vehicles, habitats, livestock and livelihoods.

Ten years later, reconstruction and reparations have dragged on through legal disputes, and the indigenous Krenak people are still struggling to live along the Doce River that remains contaminated with heavy metals.

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Sudan’s top paramilitary adviser says US calls to cut supply of weapons may ‘jeopardise ceasefire’

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Sudan's top paramilitary adviser says US calls to cut supply of weapons may 'jeopardise ceasefire'

A top adviser to the leader of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, or RSF, has said US secretary of state Marco Rubio’s remarks on halting weapons supplies “jeopardise ceasefire efforts”.

In his remarks yesterday, Mr Rubio called for international powers to stop sending military support to the RSF, the paramilitary group which has been at war with the Sudanese Army since 2023.

“This needs to stop. They’re clearly receiving assistance from outside,” Mr Rubio said.

In a statement on X, Elbasha Tibeig, adviser to RSF leader Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, dismissed Mr Rubio’s comments as “an unsuccessful step” that does not serve global efforts aimed at reaching a humanitarian ceasefire.

Mr Tibeig said Mr Rubio’s comments may lead to an escalation of the fighting.

The US, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt – known as the Quad – have been working on ways to end the war.

The war began in April 2023 after the Sudanese army and RSF, then partners, clashed over plans to integrate.

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Last week, the RSF said they had agreed to a US-led proposal for a humanitarian ceasefire. Mr Rubio doesn’t believe the RSF intends to comply with that agreement.

“The RSF has concluded that they’re winning and they want to keep going,” he said yesterday.

He added that they’re “not just fighting a war, which war alone is bad enough. They’re committing acts of sexual violence and atrocities, just horrifying atrocities, against women, children, innocent civilians of the most horrific kind. And it needs to end immediately”.

Sudanese women who fled intense fighting in Al Fashir sit at a displacement camp in Al Dabba. Pic: Reuters/El Tayeb Siddig
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Sudanese women who fled intense fighting in Al Fashir sit at a displacement camp in Al Dabba. Pic: Reuters/El Tayeb Siddig

The war has killed at least 40,000 people, according to the World Health Organisation, and displaced millions more. Aid groups say that the true death toll could be much higher.

The RSF is accused of committing war crimes and crimes against humanity across Sudan since the war started. Most recently, there were reports of mass killings during the fall of Al Fashir, a city which was recently captured by the RSF.

A Sky News investigation into events in Al Fashir found thousands were targeted in ‘killing fields’ around the Sudanese city.

Grab from RSF social media channels in Al Fashir, Sudan
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Grab from RSF social media channels in Al Fashir, Sudan

Marco Rubio did not specify which countries he was referring to in his calls to halt arms supplies, but US intelligence assessments have found that the United Arab Emirates, a close US ally, has been supplying weapons.

Previous reporting on Sky News has supported allegations that the UAE militarily supports the RSF, though the country officially denies it.

“I can just tell you, at the highest levels of our government, that case is being made and that pressure is being applied to the relevant parties,” Mr Rubio said.

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