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It’s worth saying at the outset that not everything that went wrong last autumn –  with Britain’s financial markets plunged into chaos and the pound sliding to the lowest level ever against the US dollar – can be laid at the door of Liz Truss.

There were plenty of other explanations for why the UK was vulnerable to a financial shock.

Most glaringly of all, the Bank of England was in the process of reversing quantitative easing, its epic bond-buying scheme. Financial markets were being asked, all of a sudden, to buy an extra slug of the government bonds they sold to the Bank years ago. It was a recipe for indigestion.

The economy was still recovering from the pandemic, from lockdowns and the supply chain disruption that ensued.

The public finances were in a particularly weak position, with the national debt having rocketed higher to finance the furlough scheme.

Much of the economic data at that point suggested the UK was worse hit than any other major economy and the pound was already sagging, dropping against the US dollar from early 2022.

Britain, in other words, looked vulnerable. There were bombs buried throughout financial markets. But here’s where things get less flattering for the former PM because there’s little doubt that what pushed the UK over the edge was the behaviour of Ms Truss and her team.

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You can see as much when you look at various metrics of financial stress, from the strength of the pound to the height of government bond yields to the credit default rates which signal how likely the UK is to default on its debts.

All of them peaked in the days after the mini-budget. And all of them dropped back down again as it became clear the prime minister was going to resign. The pound has recovered and the main explanation behind higher government bond yields is not credibility but rising interest rates.

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Truss ‘tried to fatten and slaughter the pig’

Ms Truss acknowledged her part in this on Monday when she said “it is certainly true that I didn’t just try to fatten the pig on market day; I tried to rear the pig and slaughter it as well. I confess to that.”

However, this is not an incidental problem. This was the major problem at the time. Markets were not passing judgement on the intricacies of the mini-budget and its various measures. They were making a bigger, simpler statement: we don’t trust you.

The problem wasn’t the Truss plan for growth, it was the ham-fisted nature of the way she was going about it. At a time when the UK (like many developed economies) was on the financial precipice, this tipped the country over the edge.

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Truss delivered ‘Argentina on the Channel’

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In one sense, those on the right of the Tory party should be reassured by such a verdict. What happened last autumn shouldn’t end the long-running debates over what we should do with taxes. It shouldn’t end the conversation about how to boost economic growth.

Indeed, Britain still faces many of the same issues it did last year: weak growth, high current account and budget deficits, a wayward set of economic policies and some big question marks about monetary policy.

Markets weren’t casing a verdict on all that stuff. It’s far more simple than that. They lost faith in the government. It squandered its credibility and for a few weeks we danced on the edge of crisis.

Then Liz Truss left office and the credibility crisis ended. Time to move on.

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Post Office agrees fresh extension to scandal-hit Fujitsu Horizon deal

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Post Office agrees fresh extension to scandal-hit Fujitsu Horizon deal

The Post Office has agreed a further extension to its scandal-hit software deal with the Japanese company Fujitsu as it plots a move to a rival supplier in the next couple of years.

Sky News has learnt that the Post Office, which is owned by the government, is to pay another £41m to Fujitsu for the use of the Horizon system from next April until 31 March 2027.

The move comes as Post Office bosses prepare to sever the company’s partnership with Fujitsu, which is under pressure to pay hundreds of millions of pounds for its part in the scandal.

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Hundreds of sub-postmasters were wrongfully imprisoned for fraud and theft because of flaws with Fujitsu’s software, which it subsequently emerged were suspected by executives involved in its management.

Last week, Sky News revealed that Sir Alan Bates, who led efforts to seek justice for the victims of what has been dubbed Britain’s biggest miscarriage of justice, had settled his multimillion pound compensation claim with the government.

Sir Alan received a seven-figure sum, which one source said may have amounted to between £4m and £5m.

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Alan Bates: New redress scheme ‘half-baked’

In a statement issued in response to an enquiry from Sky News, a Post Office spokesperson said: “The Post Office has agreed with Fujitsu a one-year bridging extension to the Horizon contract for the period 1 April 2026 to 31 March 2027.

“We are committed to moving away from Fujitsu and off the Horizon system as soon as possible.

“We are bringing in a different supplier to take over Horizon whilst a new system is developed, and this process is well underway.

“We expect to award a contract for a new supplier to manage Horizon by July 2026, according to current timelines.”

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Will Post Office victims be cleared?

Fujitsu executives have acknowledged that the company has a “moral obligation” to contribute financially as a result of the Horizon scandal, but has yet to agree a final figure with the government.

It is said to be unlikely to do so until the conclusion of Sir Wyn Williams’ public inquiry.

The Department for Business and Trade has been contacted for comment.

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Diageo taps former Tesco boss ‘Drastic Dave’ Lewis to lead fightback

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Diageo taps former Tesco boss 'Drastic Dave' Lewis to lead fightback

Former Tesco boss Sir Dave Lewis is to become the new chief executive of Diageo, the struggling FTSE 100 drinks giant.

The world’s largest spirits maker, which counts Guinness and Johnnie Walker whisky among its stable of brands, said he would assume the role in January.

The search for a new boss began in July when Debra Crew was effectively ousted after two years in charge.

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The company’s share price fell 40% during her tenure as the industry grappled a drastic decline in the number of people drinking at home following the COVID pandemic and, more recently, the US trade war.

A planned fightback by Ms Crew was seen by investors as failing to go far enough.

Sir Dave led a six-year turnaround of Tesco, the UK’s biggest retailer, from 2014.

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He earned the nickname ‘Drastic Dave’ in his previous role at Unilever, the consumer goods giant, where he was credited with achieving similar success through cost-cutting and targeted marketing.

Diageo’s market positions have fared better than rivals during the downturn but its shares are still hovering around lows not seen for a decade.

Debra Crew was appointed chief executive after the sudden death of Sir Ivan Menezes in 2023. Pic: Diageo
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Debra Crew was appointed chief executive after the sudden death of Sir Ivan Menezes in 2023. Pic: Diageo

Only last week, the company downgraded its sales and profit outlook for next year.

Diageo chair John Manzoni told investors: “The Board unanimously felt that Dave has both the extensive CEO experience, and the proven leadership skills in building and marketing world-leading brands, that is right for Diageo at this time.”

Sir Dave said of the task facing him: “Diageo is a world leading business with a portfolio of very strong brands, and I am delighted to be joining the team.

“The market faces some headwinds but there are also significant opportunities. I look forward to working with the team to face these challenges and realise some of the opportunities in a way which creates shareholder value.”

Diageo shares were 7% up on news of the appointment.

Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, responded: “Lewis brings deep experience in consumer brands from his time leading Tesco and decades at Unilever, though he lacks direct exposure to the spirits industry.

“Investors may welcome his strong marketing pedigree, but any major strategic reset will take time, leaving near-term focus on navigating tough trading conditions.”

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Carlyle seizes control of online retailer Very Group

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Carlyle seizes control of online retailer Very Group

The unravelling of the Barclay family’s business empire will continue this week when Carlyle, the US-based investment giant, formally takes control of The Very Group, one of Britain’s biggest online retailers.

Sky News has learnt that the company, which boasts annual revenues of over £2bn and is chaired by Nadhim Zahawi, the former Conservative chancellor, will announce on Monday that Carlyle has become its controlling shareholder.

IMI, the Abu Dhabi-based media group which has been part of efforts to take control of The Daily Telegraph since 2023, will remain a lender to The Very Group.

Sources said the company’s directors had held a board meeting on Sunday to ratify the changes.

The transaction brings to an end more than 20 years of the Barclay family’s involvement with the business, which was known as Littlewoods when it last changed hands in 2002 in a £750m deal.

Nasdaq-listed Carlyle injected several hundred million pounds into Very Group’s capital structure, paving the way for it to take ownership control under the terms of the financing.

Sources said the change of control would provide the online retailer with a stronger capital base and greater financial flexibility to support a concerted growth effort.

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Previously known as Shop Direct, Very Group employs thousands of people, and sells general merchandise under the Very and Littlewoods brands, encompassing electrical goods, homewares, fashion and toys.

It has 4.4million customers and operates a major consumer finance business to help shoppers manage their payments.

Mr Zahawi was appointed as the company’s chairman last year, days after he announced that he was standing down as the MP for Stratford-on-Avon at the July 2024 general election.

He replaced Aidan Barclay, a senior member of the family which has owned the business for 23 years.

In its latest full-year results, group chief executive Robbie Feather announced a 16% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization to £307m.

Carlyle’s move to take control of Very Group was revealed by Sky News in the summer.

Earlier this year, the company borrowed a further £600m from Arini, a Mayfair-based fund, as it sought to stave off a cash crunch and buy itself breathing space.

The Barclay family drew up plans to hire bankers to run an auction of Very Group earlier this year, but a process was never formally launched.

Retail industry insiders have long speculated that the business was likely to be valued in the region of £2.5bn – below the valuation which the Barclay family was holding out for in an auction which took place several years ago.

The Barclays, who used to own London’s Ritz hotel, have already lost control of other corporate assets including the Yodel parcel delivery service, as well as the Telegraph newspapers.

Carlyle, which declined to comment, could hold onto the business for a significant period before looking to offload it.

Very Group also declined to comment on Sunday.

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