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Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman at the World Petroleum Congress in Calgary, Canada, on Sept. 18, 2023.

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Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said Riyadh and Moscow’s decision to extend crude oil supply cuts is not about “jacking up prices,” as Brent futures hover near $95 a barrel and analysts predict further rises into triple digits.  

“We can reduce more, or we can increase, that has been a subject that we want to make sure that the messaging is clear, that it’s not about, again, this jacking up prices,” Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said Monday at the World Petroleum Congress in Calgary.

“It’s about … making the decision at the right time, when we have the data, and when we have the clarity that would make us in much more of a comfort zone to take that decision.”

Some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, are implementing 1.66 million barrels per day of combined voluntary declines — which falls outside of unanimously agreed OPEC+ policies — until the end of 2024. Topping this, Saudi Arabia and Russia announced they will apply respective voluntary declines of 1 million barrels per day of production and 300,000 barrels per day of exports until the end of the year.

Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest seaborne oil exporter and relies on hydrocarbon revenues to support so-called giga-projects designed to diversify its economy.

Saudi energy minister defends OPEC+ supply cuts as oil prices surge

Shrugging off the inertia of the first half of the year, oil prices have gained ground amid supply cut announcements in recent months, as the market braces for a potential volume deficit in the latter part of 2023. Ice Brent crude futures with November delivery were trading at $95.00 per barrel at 9:19 a.m. London time Tuesday, up 57 cents per barrel from the Monday close price. Front-month October Nymex WTI futures were at $92.65 per barrel, up $1.17 per barrel from the Monday settlement. The increases have rallied some analysts around speculation of a short-term return to oil prices at $100 per barrel.

Asked on the possibility of hitting that threshold, Chevron CEO Mike Wirth on Monday admitted oil prices could cross into triple digits in a Bloomberg TV interview.

“Sure looks like it. We’re certainly moving in that direction. The momentum, you know, supply is tightening, inventories are drawing, these things happen, gradually you can see it building. And so I think, you know, the trends would suggest we’re certainly on our way, we’re getting close,” he said, acknowledging an impact on the world economy. “I think the underlying drivers to the economy in the U.S. and frankly globally remain pretty healthy. I think it’s a drag on the economy, but one that thus far, I think the economy has been able to tolerate.”

Energy prices have repeatedly underpinned higher inflation in the months since the war in Ukraine and Europe’s gradual loss of access to sanctioned Russian seaborne oil supplies.

Peak feud

Abdulaziz once more struck out at Paris-based watchdog the International Energy Agency, whose Executive Director Fatih Birol last week said in a Financial Times op-ed that “the IEA was wary of such premature calls, but our latest projections show that the growth of electric vehicles around the world, especially in China, means oil demand is on course to peak before 2030.”

“None of the things that they were warning about has happened. And name me any time that their forecasts were as accurate as one would have hoped for. But, you know, they’ve moved now from being forecasters and assessors of market to one of political advocacy,” Abdulaziz said Monday.

The IEA did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

Amin Nasser, CEO of Saudi state-controlled oil giant Aramco, likewise on Monday said that the notion of peak oil demand is “wilting under scrutiny,” noting “many shortcomings in the current transition approach that can no longer be ignored” and stressing that carbon capture “can no longer be the bridesmaid of transition.”

The comments come two months ahead of a pivotal session of the United Nations climate change conference, which is set to controversially convene on the territory of major oil producer the United Arab Emirates, starting on Nov. 30.

Climate change positioning has been a key hurdle of the increasingly fraught relationship between Saudi Arabia and the IEA — in a landmark 2021 report, the energy watchdog argued for no investment in new fossil fuel supply projects, if the world is to stave off an incoming climate crisis. Riyadh meanwhile champions a dual approach to decarbonization with simultaneous investment in oil and gas and renewables, in a bid to avoid an energy deficit.

U.S. stance

Higher prices at the pump have historically put pressure on the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden, which in October last year waged an intense war of words over the OPEC+ production strategy that levied accusations of coercion against Riyadh.

But Washington has stayed comparatively silent over the latest OPEC+ reductions, even as Biden mounts his campaign for re-election next year. The U.S. must balance domestic interests against foreign policy objectives to normalize relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, while Riyadh has increasingly slipped Washington’s influence after resuming ties with Iran in China-brokered diplomacy earlier this year and earning an invitation to the China and Russia-backed emerging economies group BRICS in August.

In a further blow to the U.S., Saudi Arabia remains tightly bound to Western-sanctioned OPEC+ heavyweight producer Russia. Most recently, the Kremlin said Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spoke by phone on Sept. 6 and “noted that specific agreements on reducing oil production, combined with voluntary obligations to limit raw materials deliveries, made it possible to stabilize the global energy market.”

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DP World and Einride to deploy the largest autonomous electric truck fleet in the Middle East

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DP World and Einride to deploy the largest autonomous electric truck fleet in the Middle East

Electric and autonomous freight specialist Einride is expanding on previous plans to deploy more commercial vehicle technology and infrastructure in the Middle East. The mobility company has partnered with supply chain solutions provider DP World to help make its fleet of 100 electric trucks operate more efficiently in Dubai before potentially going autonomous soon.

Einride continues to grow its reputation as a leader in electric and autonomous freight mobility. With roots in Sweden, it has expanded into a second headquarters in the US. In the years we’ve been covering Einride, we’ve seen the company expand to new regions, including Germany, the UK with PepsiCo, and most recently, the Netherlands with Heineken.

Part of those expansion plans have also included sending Einride’s suite of technologies to the Middle East. In March 2023, Einride announced a new partnership with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure to deploy an entire ecosystem of EVs, autonomous trucks, and chargers across 550 km (341 mi) of grid called “Falcon Rise.”

According to the agreement, Einride’s full freight mobility contribution included 2,000 electric trucks, 200 autonomous trucks, and eight charging stations home to over 500 charging points. Now, just over a year later, Einride has signed a new partnership in the Middle East with DP World to help operate its electric trucks at a port within the Falcon Rise grid.

Einride Middle East
Source: Einride

Einride Saga to help DP World EV freight in the Middle East

Einride shared details of its latest partnership in the Middle East today. It involves helping DP World electrify its inter-terminal container flows at the Jebel Ali Port in Dubai, the 10th busiest port in the world.

Operating 24/7 at the port, Einride relayed that this will be the largest deployment of electric, autonomous freight mobility in the Middle East. Although Einride is not providing DP World with electric trucks, its proprietary Saga fleet management software will be integrated into each to analyze, optimize, and maximize the efficiency of its new partner’s road freight operations.

The fleet will consist of 100 electric trucks, which will all be connected via Einride Saga, and by the end of 2024, the partners expect to scale up to support about 1,600 container transfers in Dubai daily. Einride founder and CEO Robert Falck spoke about the company’s growing presence in the Middle East:

Einride and DP World are driving a paradigm shift in the landscape of freight mobility in the Middle East. Our collaboration underscores a shared dedication to sustainability and innovation, merging Einride’s expertise in electrification and autonomous technology with DP World’s global logistics leadership. By reshaping container transportation in Jebel Ali Port, we aim to set a new standard for sustainable transport practices, significantly curbing CO2 emissions. This collaboration showcases the effectiveness of combining visionary ideals with decisive action, paving the way for a more resilient future.

Einride and DP World shared that once the proposed electric freight operations reach full capacity, their efforts will save up to 14,600 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e 158 tons of nitrogen oxides (NOx) annually.

In addition to integrating Saga across DP World’s electric truck freight operations, Einride shared plans to implement autonomous freight routes on Dubai’s roads, beginning with a pilot program in 2025.

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11. Octopus Energy

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11. Octopus Energy

Founders: Greg Jackson (CEO), Stuart Jackson, James Eddison
Launched: 2016
Headquarters: London
Funding:
$2 billion
Valuation: $7.8 billion
Key technologies:
Artificial intelligence, Internet of Things, machine learning
Industry:
Energy
Previous appearances on Disruptor 50 List: 1 (No. 8 in 2023)

Persephone Kavallines

Aiming to spark further transition to renewable energy, British-based power conglomerate Octopus Energy pulled in $800 million in new funding last year to expand internationally and is leveraging AI technology in its cleantech business.   

The fast-growth innovator is relying on Uber-like digital technology for its solar, wind, smart grids and meters, and offering flexible pricing based on conserving energy and balancing demands on the grid. The company also has rolled into electric vehicles, offering EV leasing packages, installation of home chargers, and mobile apps for EV owners to monitor grid signals and get discounts.     

Founded in 2016 by digital entrepreneur and angel investor Greg Jackson, Octopus Energy is seeking to disrupt traditional utilities with a tech-driven approach using AI, machine learning, cloud computing and data analytics. Last March, the utility introduced an in-house developed, gen AI-powered service, Magic Ink, to provide tailored customer interactions and help prevent power overloads.

More coverage of the 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50

Profitable and with operations spanning 18 countries, the company has more than doubled its retail business over the past two years and currently serves more than 7.2 million customers and 40,000 business accounts. The group’s Kraken software and data analytics system, which helps utilities track energy usage for efficiency, has been licensed to 54 million international accounts, up from 17 million in 2020, and the goal is to reach 100 million by 2027.

Last December, Octopus Energy received an $800 million funding boost from Al Gore’s renewable and sustainable energy investment firm and other existing investors, lifting the company’s valuation to $7.8 billion, a 60% increase from a prior investment round in 2021. In November, Octopus launched a $3.7 billion fund with Japanese utility Tokyo Gas to invest in offshore wind over the rest of this decade.

Energy investments grew worldwide to $2.8 trillion in 2023, with more than $1.2 trillion going to clean energy, according to the International Energy Agency. Renewables’ share of power generation is projected to rise to 35% by 2025 from 29% today.

Octopus Energy is pursuing the clean energy movement on a global scale through acquisitions and licensing deals. Over the past few years, the company has launched operations in several developed markets including Australia and Germany. The electricity provider has big ambitions for the U.S. market. It acquired Silicon Valley-based AI and machine learning startup Evolve Energy in 2020 and established a U.S. subsidiary in energy-centric Houston. Signally its expansion strategy, the company signed a licensing deal last June to begin offering its Kraken technology platform to U.S. licensees, with the first going to North American energy manager Tenaska Power Services in Texas for its battery sites.

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China and India still rely heavily on coal, climate targets remain ‘very difficult’ to achieve

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China and India still rely heavily on coal, climate targets remain 'very difficult' to achieve

The Huaneng Huaiyin power station in Huaian, China, on Nov. 12, 2023.

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

China and India have not reduced coal generation for electricity, according to a new study, making it harder for Asia’s largest carbon emitters to reach their climate targets.  

While both Asian countries have ambitious plans to cut emissions, heavy reliance on coal — the dirtiest fossil fuel — continues to be the most reliable and affordable way of meet rising electricity demand. 

Global electricity generation from coal has been consistently rising for the last two decades, nearly doubling from 5,809 terawatt-hours in 2000 to 10,434 TWh in 2023, a new study by energy think tank Ember found. The highest increases came from China (+319 TWh) and India (+100 TWh), the study showed.

According to the IEA, coal remains the biggest energy source for electricity generation, supplying more than one-third of global electricity. It will continue to play a crucial role in industries such as iron and steel until new technologies are available.

“It will be very difficult to meet targets without a rapid face down in coal. It’ll certainly be out of reach,” said Francis Johnson, senior research fellow and climate lead at the Stockholm Environment Institute’s Asia Center.

“We’re not phasing out coal fast enough,” he warned.

China

Asia’s largest economy has two big climate goals: to strive for peak carbon emissions in 2030, and reach carbon neutrality in 2060. Still, reliance on coal has shown no signs of waning.  

Electricity demand in the East Asian nation has increased by sevenfold since the beginning of the decade, while coal demand has climbed by more than five times over the same period, Ember’s research showed. 

China, the world’s largest coal producer, emitted 5,491 million tonnes of carbon dioxide from electricity generation in 2023. That’s at least three times more than the U.S. (1,570 MtCO2) and India (1,470 MtCO2), data from the study showed.

Just because you cut coal emissions, it doesn’t mean you get away with emissions in the other sectors

Francis Johnson

senior research fellow and climate lead at the Stockholm Environment Institute

However, the country has made notable progress in renewable energy development, leading to a slowdown in the rate of emission increase from an average of 9% annually between 2001 and 2015, to 4.4% annually between 2016 and 2023, the energy think tank said.

“China is very close to peak emissions and the clean energy transition is going extraordinarily fast,” Dave Jones, global insights program director at Ember, told CNBC.

“Even with very high levels of electricity demand growth, it looks like the levels of renewables growth would be enough,” Jones said.

Excavators transfer coal at the coal terminal in China’s eastern Jiangsu province on January 22, 2024.

Str | Afp | Getty Images

Clean electricity contributed to 35% of China’s total electricity generation, the Ember report showed. Hydropower —  its second-largest energy source — made up 13% of that mix, while wind and solar combined reached new highs of 16% in 2023.

“Had wind and solar generation not increased since 2015, and demand had instead been met by coal, emissions would have been 20% higher in 2023,” the report highlighted, adding that those two sources can now generate enough electricity to power Japan. 

But Stockholm Environment Institute’s Johnson warned China still needs to be less dependent on other forms of fossil fuels.

“Phasing down coal is absolutely necessary, but it’s not sufficient. Just because you cut coal emissions, it doesn’t mean you get away with emissions in the other sectors,” he noted.

India

When India became the world’s most populous country last year, power demand grew by 5.4% compared to 2022. This was more than double the global increase.  

The country’s leaders have been optimistic about its path to net zero, making bold claims that 50% of its power generation will come from non-fossil fuel forms of energy by 2030. 

Emissions from the power sector are expected to peak around 2030, while total energy-related emissions will reach their highest around 2034, Climate Action Tracker estimated. 

Tuticorin Thermal Power Station in Tuticorin, India, on March 21, 2024.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

But the Ember study showed that added pressure from droughts pushed the country to generate 78% of its electricity from fossil fuels, where coal made up 75% of that mix.

Like China, India has also made significant strides in other forms of renewable energy.

'Huge growth' in India's power demand in the next decade: Tata Power CEO

In 2023, India overtook Japan to become the world’s third largest solar power generator, according to Ember. 

Ember found that India’s solar power generation totaled 113 terawatt-hours (TWh) last year, representing a 145% increase since 2019. This ranks behind China (584 TWh) and the U.S. (238 TWh). 

“When it comes to the pathway to carbon neutrality for China and India, you would expect the emissions to rise when demand grows. But at some point, the GDP growth needs to decouple with emissions where we need it to first peak, then fall,” Ember’s Asia Programme Director Aditya Lolla told CNBC.

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