Connect with us

Published

on

With the 2023 college football season almost in the rearview mirror, we ranked the top 100 players for the year. But as with any ranking, there is plenty to debate.

Our reporters break down what they think our list missed, from players ranked too high or too low to which players we need to be keeping better tabs on.

Who should have been in the top 10?

Adam Rittenberg: NC State linebacker Payton Wilson. The top 10 includes only one defensive player — Alabama edge/outside linebacker Dallas Turner — as well as three wide receivers and a tight end. Although the top of the wideout group is excellent, Wilson was arguably the nation’s most decorated defender. He won the Butkus Award as the nation’s top linebacker and the Bednarik Award as the national defensive player of the year. Wilson led the ACC in both total tackles and tackles for loss, and he was a consistent factor in pass coverage for NC State. TexasT’Vondre Sweat is another award-winning defender who should have been in the top 10.

Mark Schlabach: Much like in the NFL, running backs didn’t get much respect in the player rankings. Oklahoma State‘s Ollie Gordon II led the FBS with 1,732 rushing yards on 285 carries and was second with 21 rushing scores. The Cowboys’ season was spiraling until coach Mike Gundy decided to ride the sophomore’s shoulders. Gordon ran for more than 100 yards in nine of the Pokes’ last 11 games. He had 282 yards with four scores in a 48-34 victory against West Virginia. He had 271 yards with two scores in a 45-13 rout of Cincinnati the next week. Give the man some respect.

Tom VanHaaren: It seems like not a lot of people know how good UCLA edge Laiatu Latu is and what he has done the past few seasons. He was first among all FBS defenders in quarterback pressures with 56 and second in defensive pressure percentage, getting pressure on the quarterback on 20.1% of his pass rushes. He was No. 4 in sacks with 13 and created havoc being versatile in UCLA’s defense. He is likely going to be one of the top defensive prospects in the upcoming NFL draft and should be in the top 10 here.

Paolo Uggetti: Latu is the right call and I wholeheartedly agree with Tom that he was one of the 10 best players in college football this season. Numbers aside, it was clear, while watching UCLA, that even though its entire defensive unit was stout, it was Latu’s ability to wreak havoc up front that set up their success. If I were to make a way-outside case for anyone else, I’d throw Troy Franklin‘s name in the mix. His numbers are ridiculous — 1,383 yards on 81 catches plus 14 touchdowns – and he was arguably just as important as Bo Nix to Oregon’s offense.


Who’s ranked too high?

Rittenberg: At the risk of Schlabach never speaking to me again, Georgia Buckeyes tight end Brock Bowers. He’s certainly one of the nation’s best players, which will be reflected in the 2024 NFL draft. But to have him at No. 5, ahead of so many national award winners on both sides of the ball, in a season in which he missed time because of injury, seems to be a bit of a stretch. I’d feel more comfortable with Bowers around Nos. 10-12. Alabama‘s Kool-Aid McKinstry also seems a bit high at 24.

Kyle Bonagura: Caleb Williams is fantastic, and it will be completely justified when he is the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft, but if this is a ranking of the top players in college football this season, No. 10 is too high for him. He ranked 12th in QBR — arguably the best stat to measure a QB’s overall performance — 11th in passing yards and ninth in passing touchdowns on an unranked USC Trojans team that went 7-5. By no objective measure did his production warrant inclusion in the top 10.

David Hale: Well, if we’re to believe the committee, Jordan Travis was an utterly irreplaceable player who was so far and away responsible for Florida State‘s 13-0 record that the rest of the team was unworthy of a playoff berth without him. So, perhaps he should’ve been in our top 10. But let’s take another shot at the committee, too: Jared Verse coming in at No. 28 feels like we might be overlooking that FSU defense as much as the committee did. Indeed, in the Seminoles’ final two games without Travis, Verse dominated as much as any player in college football did at any point this season: 58 pass rushes, 13 pressures, 4.5 sacks, 20 tackles (11 at/behind the line), three QB hurries and one forced fumble, while opponents averaged just 2.7 yards per play (1.7 on the ground) when Verse was on the field.


Who’s underrated?

Rittenberg: James Madison edge rusher Jalen Green (No. 71) missed the team’s final three games after sustaining a significant knee injury, and he still ranked among the nation’s leaders in both sacks (15.5) and tackles for loss (21). He earned first-team AP All-America honors and was a first- and second-team All-America selection from other outlets. We didn’t punish Georgia’s Bowers for missing time because of injury. There’s no way 70 players performed better than Green did before his injury. UTSA‘s Trey Moore is another Group of 5 defensive standout ranked too low (No. 97).

Schlabach: Old Dominion linebacker Jason Henderson is another player from a Group of 5 program that probably isn’t ranked high enough. He led the FBS in tackles (170) and tackles per game (14.2). Henderson also had 19.5 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks, five quarterback hurries and one forced fumble. He is the first Monarch player to be honored on an All-American team. He is the first FBS player since Boston College‘s Luke Kuechly in 2010-11 to lead the country in tackles in consecutive seasons; Henderson had 186 stops in 2022.

Chris Low: Texas Tech running back Tahj Brooks put up huge numbers this season. He was third among Power 5 players with an average of 118.3 rushing yards per game despite being the target of opposing defenses every week. The Red Raiders ranked just 65th in passing offense. The 5-10, 230-pound Brooks was a tackle-breaking machine and led all FBS players with 96 missed tackles forced, according to Pro Football Focus. The best news for Texas Tech fans is that Brooks announced he will return to school for the 2024 season.

VanHaaren: Virginia went 3-9 this season and probably didn’t get a ton of attention nationally, so it would’ve been very easy to miss receiver Malik Washington. He transferred to Virginia from Northwestern and was second in the country among all receivers in receiving yards per game, behind Malik Nabers with 118.8 yards. He had nine receiving touchdowns, 1,426 total yards and just four drops. If Washington is in a different offense, he probably gets more attention.

Hale: There are a bunch of guys in the bottom half of our list whom I’d have higher, but let me make the case for Oklahoma‘s Danny Stutsman. He played in 12 games, had 104 tackles (16 for a loss), two forced fumbles and a pick-six. Moreover, he was the heart, soul and personality of the Sooners’ D, a Brent Venables archetype that, frankly, Oklahoma had too few of. Besides, if you’re being compared to Brian Bosworth, you’re a top-50 player with a bright future either in the NFL or running a small sheriff’s department in a Dr. Pepper-obsessed town outside Tulsa.


Which unranked players should have made the list?

Dave Wilson: If you break an 85-year-old NCAA record, you deserve to shine. And nobody was a brighter star for this year’s Iowa Hawkeyes than punter Tory Taylor, a senior from Melbourne, Australia, whose foot touched leather 86 times this year — most in the country — for an all-time record 4,479 yards, breaking a mark set by a college football Hall of Famer John Pingel in 1938. Taylor, the Ray Guy Award winner, had a career average of 46.2 yards per kick, the most in Big Ten history.

Rittenberg: Not to throw my voting colleagues under the bus, but my guess is they didn’t watch or track Troy Trojans running back Kimani Vidal as much as I did in 2023. Vidal ranks second nationally in rushing yards with 1,661 and third in yards per game (118.6) for a Troy team that repeated as Sun Belt champion. He had three games of 233 or more rushing yards. His success is nothing new, as he earned All-Sun Belt honors (second team or honorable mention) in each of his first three seasons and also reached 1,000 rushing yards last year. Not including Vidal in the top 100 is a major oversight on our part. We also really whiffed by not including Arizona Wildcats prolific wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan (1,402 yards, 90 receptions, 10 touchdowns).

Hale: It’s a crime Boston College offensive lineman Christian Mahogany didn’t make the cut. He’s a potential first-round pick, and his numbers were off-the-charts good: one pressure allowed and just seven blown blocks on 788 offensive snaps. But here’s a more telling stat: Last year, with Mahogany injured for the season, BC allowed pressure on 41% of dropbacks (127th nationally) and managed just 1.09 yards per rush before contact (131st). With Mahogany back healthy for 2023, BC averaged pressure on 29% of dropbacks (25th) and 2.37 yards before contact per rush (36th).

Uggetti: I understand that this a season-wide endeavor and Washington wide receiver Jalen McMillan missed over half of the season, but it’s impossible to watch McMillan play and not be convinced that he is one of the top 100 players in college football. In six games this season, McMillan averaged 13.5 yards per catch, had four touchdowns and four catches of 35 yards or more. But beyond the numbers, McMillan’s speed and agility have been on full display during the Huskies’ title run. Once he catches the ball and gets downfield, he is nearly impossible to catch.


Who’s making a big leap for 2024?

Rittenberg: Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers (No. 89) would be my pick if he elects to return in 2024. Ewers became the first Longhorns QB to guide the team to the College Football Playoff, and he repeatedly showed his brilliance in the fourth quarter. A third season under coach Steve Sarkisian should put him in the Heisman Trophy mix as one of the nation’s top signal-callers. Texas Tech running back Tahj Brooks (No. 61) also should rise into the top 50 and maybe closer to the top 25. Brooks had 1,541 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns this season, and should have been a bit higher in our rankings. He’ll get his due in 2024.

VanHaaren: I agree with Adam that if Ewers returns, he has an opportunity to move up. His transformation has been noticeable already from the past few seasons to 2023. To choose someone else, though, I’m going to pick a different Texas player. UTSA edge Trey Moore is transferring to Texas and has a chance to shine on the national stage in the SEC in 2024. Moore had 14 sacks this season (third most among all FBS players), 40 quarterback pressures and 16.5 tackles for loss. He will join a veteran Texas defense that has already improved year over year, and he won’t have a ton of pressure to be a star. I wouldn’t be surprised if he becomes a regular name mentioned as one of the top defenders in 2024.

Bonagura: After Cal running back Jaydn Ott ran for 1,305 yards and 12 touchdowns, there was a case for including him on the list this year. Next year, he’ll be among the best running backs in the ACC, and it shouldn’t be a surprise if he is a top-50 player. He averaged 131.8 yards rushing over the last five games of the regular season and helped Cal win its last three to reach bowl eligibility.

Hale: This is clearly an overreaction to one game — but boy what a game Miller Moss had in USC’s bowl win over Louisville. Moss threw for 372 yards and six touchdowns in his first career start, announcing to the world — and, more importantly, Lincoln Riley — that he’s the QB of the future for the Trojans. Does this mean Riley won’t go digging around in the portal? Perhaps not, but odds are, there’s not a better prospect on the market than Riley already has at home. Moss is a former four-star recruit ranked in the top 100 by ESPN, with offers from any school of consequence, and now he gets his shot at the star-making Riley offensive game plan? Go ahead and book Moss a spot in the top 50 for next year.

Uggetti: He may have ended up landing all the way at No. 30 this season, but Arizona quarterback Noah Fifita feels like a stock that’s only going to keep paying dividends. Fifita came on the scene four games into this season after starter Jayden de Laura got hurt and he never looked back. The freshman not only led the Wildcats to seven straight wins to finish the season (including a win over Oklahoma in the Alamo Bowl), but threw for nearly 3,000 yards and 25 touchdowns in what was essentially three-quarters of a season. The sky is the limit for Fifita and Arizona as they head to the Big 12 next year, and it wouldn’t surprise to see the Wildcats in contention for the conference title while Fifita vies for a top-15 spot on this list.

Continue Reading

Sports

SEC’s Sankey: Not settled on preferred CFP format

Published

on

By

SEC's Sankey: Not settled on preferred CFP format

DESTIN, Fla. — SEC commissioner Greg Sankey opened the league’s annual meetings Monday by saying he’s open-minded about the format of the College Football Playoff, while leaving some breadcrumbs about what he thinks are priorities in the conference’s decision-making.

With SEC athletic directors, presidents and coaches converging in Destin this week, the future of the College Football Playoff in 2026 and beyond is one of the central issues facing the league.

That’s in part because the playoff format decision is kinetic, as it impacts the SEC’s football schedule going to nine games and some type of down-the-road scheduling partnership with the Big Ten.

“We’re not committed to any particular format,” Sankey said.

With conversations among CFP leaders about format having appeared to splinter off to just the four power conference commissioners, a 16-team model looms as the most likely for the future of the sport. Sankey remains noncommittal on how the SEC thinks that should work, as college football enters the final year of its current postseason format.

The most discussed model has been one where the Big Ten and SEC would get four automatic bids each, and the ACC and Big 12 two each.

But Sankey stressed that the so-called 4-4-2-2-1-3 model, which distributes one automatic bid to the non-power leagues and three available at-large bids — one potentially for Notre Dame if it falls within the seeding threshold — has not been decided on in his room.

“We’ll see how that conversation manifests itself this week and we’ll look a little bit more deeply at different ideas,” he said, “which will put me at some point in a better position to answer those questions.”

Sankey did dive into some traits in the CFP system that he’d like to see, including a prioritization of the regular season — and games like Nebraska‘s recently cancelled series with Tennessee — while keeping postseason hopes alive for a swath of teams deep into the season.

“I think the word ‘hope’ is at the center, too,” Sankey said. “How do you bring people into the conversation late in the season in a changing environment, and so the idea of, ‘Could you have play-in-type games?’ continues to populate itself before you’re in the CFP selection. That’s about building interest and giving hope.

“Whether that’s the ultimate destination, we’ll see.”

The Big Ten and commissioner Tony Petitti have been more bullish on the four automatic bids, according to sources. Sankey has spoken about them but remains more guarded in his support.

Last week at the Big Ten meetings in California, the league came away still in support of the 4-4-2-2-1-3 model for the playoff, sources said. The Big Ten remains open to other ideas, but that model is at the forefront.

Sankey’s guarded stance stayed true Monday evening: “We’re trying to find a format to determine, whatever number it is, the best teams in college football, and I think where we are right now is we have used a political process inside a room to come to decisions about football. We should be using football information to come to football decisions.”

Sankey did make clear his disappointment in the reactions of the ACC and Big 12 commissioners to the move to a straight seeding model announced last week. Both commissioners referenced the macro good of the game in responses, with the ACC’s Jim Phillips saying that’s a “responsibility I take very seriously” and the Big 12’s Brett Yormark saying he hopes what’s best for college football is “the priority” in discussions moving forward.

Sankey felt those separate responses from the leagues were coordinated — although they were not formally, as neither released a statement — and remarked: “I don’t need lectures from others about ‘good of the game.’ I don’t lecture others about good of the game and coordinating press releases about good of the game. OK, you can issue your press statement, but I’m actually looking for ideas to move us forward.”

A Big 12 spokesman, Clark Williams, said on social media that there was not even a release, never mind a coordinated one, from the league.

He did add that the Big 12 and ACC did eventually bring some CFP ideas, but they don’t appear to have gained traction as they involved more bids — or bids with thresholds — for the ACC and Big 12.

Sankey said displacement of SEC teams would loom as such a big issue if those models were accepted that he’d likely lose his job.

“That’s tough” he said, walking through a series of potential displacement scenarios for his members. “I don’t think it’d be me at the podium in the future if some of those ideas [came to fruition].”

The other issue looming over meetings is the potential for the settlement of the House case this week. He remains hopeful a decision comes.

“We have a responsibility for implementation,” he said, “so does it pivot what we say this week? Yep. Does it mean we’re going to keep preparing? We’re going to keep preparing.”

Continue Reading

Sports

ESPN Junior 300: Comparisons for top 2027 prospects

Published

on

By

ESPN Junior 300: Comparisons for top 2027 prospects

The ESPN Junior 300 rankings are here, setting the stage for a pivotal next several months for the top rising juniors across the country.

This class already has several five-stars who grab attention right away, including a quarterback commit who reminds us of one of the top quarterback prospects in the country, as well as yet another elite Ohio State wide receiver commit.

Here’s how the top players at each position stack up, with a focus on five-stars who could continue to impress in the months ahead.

ESPN Junior 300 rank: 53

Reminds us of: Garrett Nussmeier, LSU

When it comes to pure passing acumen, Houston has everything evaluators look for. He has one of the smoothest, cleanest releases in recent classes with extremely consistent mechanics. Houston throws with power and velocity, and the ball jumps off his hand. Defenses have a hard time rushing him because he gets the ball out of his hand so quickly. The 5-foot-11, 200-pounder might not have elite size, but he makes every throw and looks pretty good doing it.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 42

Reminds us of: Austin Simmons, Ole Miss

Haven has been an incredible two-sport athlete and, after playing several positions in high school, his best football might still be ahead of him once he settles in at quarterback. He’s big, athletic and raw with physical tools that can’t be coached. Although he’s a very good runner for his size, he is not necessarily a dynamic dual threat. At 6-foot-5, 215 pounds, Haven is similar to Joe Milton coming out of high school. Like Milton, Hazen should iron out some technical quirks to maximize his arm strength and accuracy over time.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 10

Committed to: Penn State Nittany Lions

Reminds us of: Makhi Hughes, Oregon

Spell is a bit short at 5-foot-10, but he’s not small. He’s built similarly to former Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty, even if he doesn’t weigh as much yet. Spell is a low-to-the-ground scatback who plays in a single wing/wing-T offense as both a tailback and wing back. He gets lost behind the line of scrimmage, then fits through tiny creases and is into the second level, winning foot races in no time. Spell has the burst to make defenders miss in the hole, which makes up for his lack of stature or power. He’s a really good perimeter runner because he can get to the edge and turn the corner.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 2

Committed to: Ohio State Buckeyes

Reminds us of: Eric Singleton Jr., Auburn

Brown is a handful. The Ohio State commit has Ja’Marr Chase-like burst, acceleration and the ability to take the top off the defense. Even though Brown has the physical tools to overwhelm high school defenders, his polished route-running shows he already understands some of the nuances of the position. He ran a 4.49-second laser-timed 40-yard dash in April 2025, a 10.5-second 100-meter dash in 2024 and has a Max Speed on film of 21.3 mph.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 16

Reminds us of: Antonio Williams, Clemson

Sabb could project at safety but will likely begin his career at wide receiver. His impact and value as a special teams returner should get him on the field quickly. Sabb is extremely difficult to tackle in the open field, and despite a slim 6-1, 185-pound frame, he breaks tackles routinely and extends plays. Sabb is a home run threat as a return specialist who can flip field position and provide points. His ball skills are as good as any receiver in this class, and he consistently makes difficult catches look routine.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 25

Reminds us of: Colston Loveland, Michigan

Hudson headlines several big-play weapons at tight end in the 2027 class. Historically, there’s a strong correlation between basketball background and tight end success. Hudson fits the bill. The 6-foot-6 standout has offers in both sports and a desirable combination of height, length and catch radius. He does a great job high-pointing the ball as a dangerous red zone threat. Hudson is a matchup problem who can work from both the in-line position and flexed out. He needs to put more blocking on tape, but he’s proving to be a versatile player.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 1

Reminds us of: Armand Membou, Missouri

Brown has the tools to become a coveted elite college tackle. Based on his film and an excellent April performance at the Houston Under Armour camp, stamping five-star status on him was an easy decision. Brown doesn’t have eye-popping height at 6-foot-4, but he has an unbelievable wingspan and big hands. He’s also likely not done growing, which would address his need to add more mass. Brown’s athleticism stands out at this stage. He’s light on his feet with good body quickness, natural bend and, at times, effortless pass protection. His areas of growth are correctable and will come with more physical maturation.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 13

Remind us of: Daylen Everette, Georgia

Gilbert’s 22.2 mph Max Speed on tape is elite, and he has also posted a 10.57-second 100-meter dash. He needs to get stronger and fill out his lean 6-foot, 170-pound frame, but that hasn’t affected his willingness to be a stout run supporter. Gilbert plays bigger than his listed measurables, is highly competitive, likes to mix it up and can really run.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 3

Reminds us of: Jermaine Mathews Jr., Ohio State

Meredith’s best football is ahead of him as he settles into a full-time cornerback role. He has played all over the field and is a dynamic athlete with instincts and a great feel for the game. At 6-foot-2, Meredith has great length and height for the position, and he ran a blazing 4.42-second laser-timed 40-yard dash. He has also posted a 21.2 mph Max Speed on tape. His high ceiling is exciting considering he’s just getting started as a defender.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 7

Reminds us of: Walter Nolen, Ole Miss

Brewster is 6-3, 305 pounds, but he’s a versatile athlete who carries his weight well and moves like a much smaller man. He posted strong testing numbers, and his versatility showed up on film, where he has played running back, wildcat quarterback and also as a stand-up edge on defense. Defensive line is the long-term focus and he has the tools to develop into a disruptive 3-technique matchup problem. Brewster regularly won 1-on-1 reps in camp settings this spring, using his quickness to gain leverage along with his active hands. He’s a defensive tackle who makes plays against the run and as an interior pass rusher, but his versatility will allow a college program to deploy him along its front to exploit matchups and get the best defensive linemen on the field at the same time.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 4

Reminds us of: T.J. Parker, Clemson

This is a strong class for defensive line and edge prospects. Forstall is a big reason why. He needs to continue developing his 6-4 frame, which is important, but he already looks like a much older player. Forstall tests well, explodes off the ball with good bend and pad level, and he redirects well. His effort allows him to factor into pursuit. Beyond his excellent tools, Forstall has the acumen of a player who could make the jump now. He uses his hands well, shows good awareness and quickly locates the ball. Forstall is always in the right position, and with continued development could become a three-down impact defender. With an offensive tackle ranked No. 1 on our board, it’s only fitting a defensive end could push him hardest for that top ranking.


ESPN Junior 300 rank: 5

Reminds us of: David Bailey, Texas Tech

While he’s listed as an outside linebacker, Guyton fits more as an edge and can be a handful getting up the field. His strong and quick hands are among the first traits that jump out on film. He’s an active presence who delivers a quick jolt with good power. Guyton isn’t a pass rusher who tries to get to the corner and simply run around tackles. Instead, he wants to punish them on his path to the quarterback. The explosive athlete reportedly notched 16 sacks during his first two high school seasons and should develop into a physical, relentless edge presence.

Continue Reading

Sports

Can anyone unseat Judge and Ohtani? Latest on all of MLB’s award races

Published

on

By

Can anyone unseat Judge and Ohtani? Latest on all of MLB's award races

With Memorial Day weekend behind us, the 2025 MLB season has taken shape. The exact outlines will change, but we’re past the point where teams and observers can dismiss anything with the “it’s early” wave of the hand.

That is true for the 30 teams at this first major traditional checkpoint of a baseball season, but it’s also true for players, many of whom have seen enough action that from a statistical standpoint, their rates have stabilized. That makes this a perfect time to take our first glimpse at how the awards races are shaping up.

So as we check in with our initial Awards Watch rankings of the season, we see much that looks similar to where we left off in 2024. In fact, the AXE ratings that feed these rankings see dual repeats in the respective MVP races.

That’s no surprise, as the first weeks of the 2025 season have done little to change the lofty appraisals of Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, who continue to do historical things in mesmerizing fashion.

Yet there are new faces here, too, and those are perhaps even more fun because it’s these kinds of emergent stories that add flavor to every new campaign. Can any of these new upstarts challenge the Judge/Ohtani dual dominance?

Maybe not, but it’ll be fun to watch them try, and the jockeying for position in the awards derby is already well underway.

Most Valuable Player

American League

Front-runner: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (157 AXE)

Next nine: 2. Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners (137); 3. Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals (133); 4. Alex Bregman, Boston Red Sox (129); 5. Jacob Wilson, Athletics (128); 6. Isaac Paredes, Houston Astros (126); 7. Rafael Devers, Red Sox (124); 8. (tie) Jeremy Pena, Astros (123); Steven Kwan, Cleveland Guardians (123); 10. Jose Ramirez, Guardians (122)

Leader trend: At this point, Judge is competing against himself. Last season, Judge’s 218 wRC+ ranked as the seventh best of the modern era by an AL or NL hitter. In other words, he put up one of the greatest offensive seasons in history. In 2025, he is on track to do even better and has a chance to top Barry Bonds’ 2002 record of a 244. He is leading the AL in all three slash categories (homers, RBIs and hits) and runs. He might soon start spurring an onslaught of “Can Judge really hit .400?” articles. The only thing that could derail Judge from unanimous support in MVP balloting is injury.

Biggest mover: For this first edition of Awards Watch, the “biggest mover” measure is based on 2024’s end-of-season numbers. With that in mind, even though Detroit’s Spencer Torkelson (118 AXE) didn’t quite crack the top 10, he deserves mention for bouncing back from a dreadful campaign. Despite being selected first overall by Detroit in 2020, Torkelson entered this season just below replacement for his career. He’s turned that around, posting 1.4 bWAR already, topping his 2024 homer and RBI numbers before Memorial Day and upped his OPS+ from 89 to 146. This is what the Tigers had in mind when they picked Tork.

Keep an eye on: Raleigh has staked claim to the title of baseball’s best all-around catcher. Coming off his first Gold Glove, Raleigh has also been one of the game’s best hitters so far. A pure three true outcomes batsman, Raleigh has been even better in those columns, upping his isolated power by homering at a near-Judgian pace, cutting strikeouts (a little) and pushing his walk rate to elite levels. He’s also improved his on-contact numbers by replacing some of his ground balls with line drives, resulting in — for him — a batting average breakout (.254).


National League

Front-runner: Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (138)

Next nine: 2. Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers (136); 3. Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres (134); 4. (tie) Geraldo Perdomo, Arizona Diamondbacks (130); Kyle Tucker, Cubs (130); 6. Freddie Freeman, Dodgers (129); 7. Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks (127); 8. Will Smith, Dodgers (125); 9. James Wood, Washington Nationals (125); 10. Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (124)

Leader trend: Crow-Armstrong’s emergence has made him one of baseball’s best stories this season. Entering the season, we knew that PCA, as he’s affectionately called, could post elite defense and baserunning metrics. If only he could hit! Would a leap from an 88 to a 149 OPS+ work? How about a pace that could see Crow-Armstrong post a 40/40 season? The strike zone numbers suggest a coming regression — more than five whiffs for every walk — but so far, so great.

Biggest mover: Perdomo has transformed himself at the plate, making him the NL’s top shortstop during the opening months of the season. Always a high-contact hitter, Perdomo has sliced the whiffs even more while adding walks, a tough dual feat to pull off, but it’s allowed him to push his OBP above the vaunted . 400 line. On top of that, Perdomo has featured more power by matching his career high with six early homers. Match those upgrades with his usual plus defense and an 11-for-11 showing on the base paths, and the Diamondbacks find themselves with an elite shortstop.

Keep an eye on: Ho hum. Doesn’t it seem like Ohtani is ever so slightly off from last season’s unprecedented level? Well, his percentages are on target to match or exceed those numbers. He’s on pace for 55 homers and 165(!) runs. Only his steal numbers are down from last season, but, lest we forget, his metrics might be bolstered by pitching categories in the near future. Meanwhile, even though Ohtani doesn’t lead NL hitters in either of the major versions of WAR, AXE likes his sizable lead in WPA among all NL batsmen.

Cy Young

American League

Front-runner: Kris Bubic, Royals (134)

Next nine: 2. (tie) Max Fried, Yankees (130); Nathan Eovaldi, Texas Rangers (130); 4. Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers (129); 5. Garrett Crochet, Red Sox (127); 6. Hunter Brown, Astros (125); 7. Andres Munoz, Mariners (123); 8. (tie) Tyler Mahle, Rangers (121); Bryan Woo, Mariners (121); 10. Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins (119)

Leader trend: Bubic’s emergence hasn’t exactly come out of nowhere, but he’s validated anyone who pegged him as a breakout player for 2025. Bubic is a cerebral lefty who has shaped and reshaped his arsenal during his career, which was interrupted by elbow surgery and rehab. Bubic has sparkled by being aggressive in the zone and has succeeded doing that without top-shelf velocity. It’s not a fluke, though he probably won’t finish with the 1.45 ERA he’s posted through 11 outings. Still, this race is just getting started, and the leaderboard is likely to change every time one of these hurlers take the mound.

Biggest mover: Brown has flashed brilliance before, but in 2025 he has reached another level in blending dominance with consistency. He has put up eight quality starts in 10 outings, leading the AL in that category. His average game score (64.4) ranks just behind Eovaldi, Fried and Skubal atop the circuit.

Keep an eye on: Skubal won it last year going away and has to be considered the favorite to repeat, even if he hasn’t quite returned to the top of the statistical leaderboards. While Skubal’s ERA is up a tiny bit (2.39 to 2.49), his FIP is better (2.49 and 1.98). The latter portends a continuation of the dominance we’ve seen from the Tigers’ ace since last season. Indeed, Skubal’s last start — a complete-game, two-hit, 13-strikeout shutout against Cleveland — was the best outing of his sparkling career.


National League

Front-runner: Jesus Luzardo, Philadelphia Phillies (133)

Next nine: 2. Zack Wheeler, Phillies (131); 3. Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates (125); 4. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers (122); 5. Kodai Senga, New York Mets (122); 6. (tie) Robbie Ray, San Francisco Giants (119); Nick Pivetta, Padres (119); Logan Webb, Giants (119); Hunter Greene, Cincinnati Reds (119); 10. MacKenzie Gore, Nationals (118)

Leader trend: Luzardo was a top-10 prospect when he reached the majors with the A’s in 2019. While Luzardo has had some solid moments in the bigs as he’s moved from the A’s to the Marlins to the Phillies, this is the pitcher the prospect wonks envisioned. Everything is better: more strikeouts, fewer walks and a home run rate so low it barely registers. Luzardo’s rise has more than compensated for the early struggles of rotation mate Aaron Nola.

Biggest mover: It’s actually Luzardo, so let’s spotlight Senga, who has bounced back spectacularly after his injury-plagued 2024 season. His ERA through 10 starts (1.46, tops in the NL) almost certainly can’t last, but Senga has emerged as the ace the Mets needed. Through those 10 outings, Senga has faced 228 batters and allowed two — two — home runs. Not bad for a pitcher who pitched in one regular-season game a year ago, then gave up seven runs over five postseason innings.

Keep an eye on: After finishing as runner-up in NL Cy Young balloting last year for the second time in his Phillies career, Wheeler might be even better. His ERA and FIP categories are on target with 2024, but he’s been even more dominant in the strikeout and walk categories. According to FanGraphs, only Gore has a better strikeouts-minus-walks percentage, an excellent measure of dominance and sustainability.

Rookie of the Year

American League

Front-runner: Jacob Wilson, Athletics (128)

Next nine: 2. Carlos Narvaez, Red Sox (120); 3. Shane Smith, Chicago White Sox (113); 4. Chase Meidroth, White Sox (111); 5. Cam Smith, Astros (110); 6. (tie) Justin Sterner, Athletics (107); Noah Cameron, Royals (107); Will Warren, Yankees (107); Tomoyuki Sugano, Baltimore Orioles (107); 10. Kameron Misner, Tampa Bay Rays (106)

Leader trend: Wilson might be the most interesting player in the majors. Considering all the things teams hold dear in player development and evaluation these days, how do you account for a player like this? Some of his percentile rankings at Statcast: bat speed (1st, or lowest), hard-hit rate (5th), walk rate (16th) and expected batting average (95th). What?! Wilson has struck out in barely 5% of his plate appearances this season. He swings at everything, contacts everything and everything seems to find a hole. Can it last? Let’s hope so because baseball needs hitters like this to flourish.

Biggest mover: Well, they’re rookies, so we’ll skip this one for this first edition. But rookie rankings change a lot as the season progresses, especially as some of those who will turn out to be among this year’s top first-timers are still in the minors. Possible example: Kansas City’s Jac Caglianone, who has already mashed his way from Double-A to Triple-A and, after homering five times over the weekend, seems intent on slugging all the way to the majors. Check back next month.

Keep an eye on: Kristian Campbell (92 AXE) has risen quickly and become a lineup fixture in Boston. The Red Sox have already rewarded him with an eight-year extension. The future is undoubtedly bright. Though, strictly speaking, his numbers haven’t been anything special. The results should get better, at least at the plate, and as an everyday player on a contending team, Campbell has every chance at being a key part of the Rookie of the Year conversation. But he will need to manifest that improvement.


National League

Front-runner: Chad Patrick, Brewers (113)

Next nine: 2. Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves (111); 3. Ben Casparius, Dodgers (110); 4. Logan Henderson, Brewers (107); 5. Liam Hicks, Miami Marlins (106); 6. Tim Tawa, Diamondbacks (104); 7. Max Kranick, Mets (103); 8. Jack Dreyer, Dodgers (103); 9. AJ Smith-Shawver, Braves (102); 10. Isaac Collins, Brewers (101)

Leader trend: The Brewers always seem to come up with one or two (or more) unsung pitchers who excel. This year, Patrick certainly fits that bill, posting a 3.23 ERA over 11 outings, including 10 starts. A lack of swing-and-miss stuff kept Patrick off the prospect radar, but so far, he’s made it work with command and a lot of soft contact. Patrick has already been traded twice in his career, going from Arizona to Oakland at the 2023 deadline for Jace Peterson, then moving from the A’s to Milwaukee after that season for Abraham Toro. This is what the Brewers do.

Biggest mover: While Wilson has emerged as a clear early-season front runner for AL Rookie of the Year honors, no one has achieved that status in the NL. Baldwin has been dynamite but hasn’t played everyday. Casparius has been effective but not in the kind of role that typically attracts awards support. Chances are, this leaderboard will look a whole lot different a month from now. That stated, expected Baldwin to stay somewhere on it, as he’s been a real force at the plate when he’s played. Increasingly lately, Baldwin has been usurping playing time behind the plate from veteran Sean Murphy.

Keep an eye on: Henderson has only made four starts, but what a beginning it’s been. Henderson won his first three outings and, overall, has allowed four runs over 21 innings with 29 strikeouts and six walks. He’s the first-ever Brewers pitcher to win each of his first three career appearances.

Manager of the Year

Front-runner: A.J. Hinch, Tigers (109.8 EARL)

Next four: 2. Stephen Vogt, Guardians (108.6); 3. Ron Washington, Los Angeles Angels (105.5); 4. Dan Wilson, Mariners (105.3); 5. Matt Quatraro, Royals (104.7)

Overview: The Tigers’ breakout might have begun late last season, but it’s only accelerated in 2025 as Detroit has become the story in the American League. The Tigers’ over/under for wins at ESPN BET has gone from 83.5 at the start of the season to 94.5. That 11-win increase is four more than any other team. Hinch has never won Manager of the Year honors.


National League

Front-runner: Rob Thomson, Phillies (107.7)

Next four: 2. Oliver Marmol, St. Louis Cardinals (106.7); 3. Bob Melvin, Giants (104.9); 4. Craig Counsell, Cubs (104.3); 5. Dave Martinez, Nationals (104.2)

Overview: This is a tightly packed race, with Thomson emerging as a fairly surprising early leader. The Phillies were expected to contend, to be sure, but have outperformed their run differential by three wins to date and are a sparkling 10-4 in one-run games. This system likes those things. Marmol has been rising fast as the Cardinals surge into surprising contention. He, Counsell and Melvin are more conventional candidates than Thomson.

Continue Reading

Trending