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With pitchers and catchers reporting next month, we’ve hit the final stretch of the 2023-24 MLB offseason — and there are still plenty of moves left to be made.

Where will the top remaining free agents land? Will we see any more blockbuster trades? Will the Boston Red Sox do something big before Opening Day?

We asked our MLB experts to go out on a limb and make a bold prediction for how this winter will wrap up.

Free agency

Alden Gonzalez: Cody Bellinger, Blake Snell and Josh Hader won’t sign in January

They’re the top position player, top starting pitcher and, by a wide margin, top relief pitcher remaining in free agency, all worthy of nine-figure contracts — but all with real obstacles standing in the way. Bellinger is a 28-year-old former MVP who possesses elite power, speed and defense. But he slashed just .193/.256/.355 from 2021 to 2022, and some of the underlying numbers behind his resurgent 2023 season — exit velocity, barrel percentage and hard-hit rate specifically — have alarmed executives. Snell won his second Cy Young Award last year, but he did so while pitching beyond the sixth inning only three times. Hader is arguably the game’s best closer, but his dominance is occurring at a time when teams are less willing to spend exorbitant sums on one reliever. (The record-setting $102 million contract Edwin Diaz secured with the New York Mets last offseason is seen by many as a potential outlier, given his significance to a team owned by the sport’s richest owner.) Things can change in an instant this time of year; all it takes is one team stepping up its efforts for this prediction to be flatly wrong. But the money Bellinger, Snell and Hader seek — and, in many ways, deserve — doesn’t appear to be there at the moment.


Jesse Rogers: Scott Boras will fill multiple spots for one team

Bold will come in the form of agent Scott Boras. He has a lot of players still left on the board, including Bellinger, Snell, Jordan Montgomery and Rhys Hoskins. His clients tend to congregate on teams — see Marcus Semien and Corey Seager for evidence — and the end of this offseason will be no different. He’ll maneuver multiple players to one team — be it the Seattle Mariners, Toronto Blue Jays, San Francisco Giants or even the Chicago Cubs. That latter team rarely does big deals with Boras clients, so it would be a departure from the norm to sign multiple players of his. Still, the Cubs’ offseason has been so — can we say slow? — since hiring manager Craig Counsell, that something outside the norm would be a welcome relief for fans.


David Schoenfield: The Mariners will sign Blake Snell

OK, we’re looking for something bold and outrageous, right? I’m holding out belief that the Mariners have been putting up a smokescreen all offseason and will still do something big that might, you know, make the team better. Because all president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto has done so far is essentially shuffle around players and salaries without improving the team (except perhaps for Mitch Garver at DH). He has at least created a little more flexibility for future payrolls with the Robbie Ray-for-Mitch Haniger/Anthony DeSclafani trade.

And while the Mariners cry poor, their payroll remains about $8 million below last year’s — and Snell wants to pitch for his hometown team. He raised the 12th Man flag at a Seahawks game. He was at the college football national championship game in University of Washington gear. He grew up idolizing Ken Griffey Jr. How can they make it happen? They’ll have to go higher than last year’s payroll — god forbid — but they can backload Snell’s contract and give him a lower salary for 2024. The rotation would be Snell, Luis Castillo, George Kirby, Logan Gilbert and Bryce Miller, with DeSclafani and Bryan Woo in reserve. That’s how you can topple the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros.


Kiley McDaniel: Blake Snell will sign a three-year deal

I could be very bold and try to guess the exact terms, but I’m sure Boras will shoot for a specific goal that I’m not aware of; let’s say an average annual value record, via some combination of convoluted opt-outs, options and front/back-loading. The suspicion entering the offseason is that Snell would get something like last winter’s Carlos Rodon deal — six years, $162 million — and after the Philadelphia Phillies (a rumored Snell landing spot) signed Aaron Nola, buzz has been building that Snell will be the big-ticket pitcher left when the music stops.

I’d imagine the idea from Snell’s camp would be to get something like three years, $105 million with an opt-out or two, but guaranteed money if things go sideways. That would give Snell a top-10 all-time AAV and a chance to hit the market whenever he wants, which saves face enough for a two-time Cy Young winner relative to expectations.

The Giants and Red Sox are the only two teams with any kind of buzz around Snell and both seem to be trying to fill their pitching needs without Snell in the same way the New York Yankees filled their outfield needs, so that Boras couldn’t leverage their need into overpaying Bellinger. The Yankees could use another starter, but Snell smells a whole lot like Rodon in the worst possible ways. You could invent a few landing spots, but there isn’t a natural one, especially with Dylan Cease and Marcus Stroman available for what might be more reasonable prices. I think Montgomery goes back to Texas for nine figures and that makes the Snell puzzle hard to solve, which is how I’ve landed here.

Trades

Paul Hembekides: The Mets will trade Pete Alonso entering his contract year

I know, I know. Alonso is as beloved as any Met since David Wright and possesses near-unprecedented power (his 192 home runs through five seasons have him tied for third all time). But there’s a new sheriff in town and his name is David Stearns. In his eight seasons as Brewers GM, Milwaukee used seven different Opening Day first basemen, including Ryan Braun (2018) and Keston Hiura (2021), both of whom converted to the position. In other words, Stearns has never prioritized first base. Unless owner Steve Cohen intervenes, Stearns will be more inclined to trade Alonso than extend him, capitalizing on a market devoid of bats like his.


Bradford Doolittle: The Dodgers will trade for Dylan Cease

In reality, I’m not sure how bold of a prediction this is, since the Dodgers acquire whomever they want. For me, this trade match makes the most sense from the White Sox’s perspective among the teams most rumored to be in the mix for Cease. My conception of the deal would be centered around infielder Michael Busch. He’s too good a prospect to be called superfluous, even on the Dodgers’ organization depth chart, but he’s also 26 years old with no clear path to everyday playing time in L.A. With the White Sox, he’s the right-now everyday second baseman and long-term double-play partner with Colson Montgomery, or perhaps an eventual replacement for Yoan Moncada at third. It really depends on how — or if — Busch develops defensively, but his bat is good enough to play anywhere. The Dodgers can square the valuation for Cease’s two seasons of team control by adding a quality young starter and a catching or outfield prospect. I just don’t see another club as able to comfortably meet Chicago’s needs.

Bonus Red Sox prediction

Buster Olney: The Red Sox will do something aggressive and expensive

Red Sox chairman Tom Werner told reporters his team was ready to go “full throttle” at the time they hired Craig Breslow, and while Boston’s longshot attempt to sign Yoshinobu Yamamoto didn’t work out, there are plenty of other investment opportunities available, from Snell to Montgomery to a possible trade for Cease. If the Red Sox don’t do something big, Werner’s words will become the backbone narrative of their 2024 season. If they struggle to contend in a tough AL East — as expected — then Breslow’s launch in his new job will be sabotaged; as manager Alex Cora’s contract drifts toward expiration, the team will again be giving away tickets to college students in September. The Red Sox will make a big move for the same reason they spent huge dollars on Rafael Devers: They have no choice.

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Danault’s last-minute goal saves Kings in wild G1

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Danault's last-minute goal saves Kings in wild G1

LOS ANGELES — Phillip Danault scored his second goal with 42 seconds to play, and the Los Angeles Kings blew a four-goal lead before rallying for a 6-5 victory over the Edmonton Oilers in the opener of the clubs’ fourth consecutive first-round playoff series Monday night.

The Kings led 5-3 in the final minutes before Zach Hyman and Connor McDavid tied it with an extra attacker. Los Angeles improbably responded, with Danault skating up the middle and chunking a fluttering shot home while a leaping Warren Foegele screened goalie Stuart Skinner.

Andrei Kuzmenko had a goal and two assists in his Stanley Cup playoff debut, and Adrian Kempe added another goal and two assists for the second-seeded Kings, who lost those last three series against Edmonton. Los Angeles became the fourth team in Stanley Cup playoffs history to win in regulation despite blowing a four-goal lead.

Quinton Byfield, Phillip Danault and Kevin Fiala also scored, and Darcy Kuemper made 20 saves in his first playoff start since raising the Cup with Colorado in 2022.

Los Angeles has home-ice advantage this spring for the first time in its tetralogy with Edmonton, and the Kings surged to a 4-0 lead late in the second period in the arena where they had the NHL’s best home record. That’s when the Oilers woke up and made it a memorable night: Leon Draisaitl, Mattias Janmark and Corey Perry scored before Hyman scored with 2:04 left and McDavid scored an exceptional tying goal with 1:28 remaining.

McDavid had a goal and three assists for the Oilers, who reached Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final last season. Skinner stopped 24 shots.

Game 2 is Wednesday night in Los Angeles.

Until Edmonton’s late rally, Kuzmenko was the star. Los Angeles went 0 for 12 on the power play against Edmonton last spring, but the 29-year-old Russian — who has energized the Kings since arriving last month — scored during a man advantage just 2:49 in.

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Skinner finally makes playoff debut, gets assist

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Skinner finally makes playoff debut, gets assist

LOS ANGELES — Edmonton Oilers forward Jeff Skinner finally made his Stanley Cup playoff debut after 15 seasons and a league-record 1,078 regular-season games.

Skinner was in the lineup for Edmonton’s 6-5 loss in Game 1 of its first-round series against the Los Angeles Kings on Monday night, ending the longest wait for a postseason debut in NHL history.

Skinner, who turns 33 years old next month, has been an NHL regular since he was 18. He has racked up six 30-goal seasons and 699 total points while scoring 373 goals in a standout career.

But Skinner spent his first eight seasons of that career with the Carolina Hurricanes, at the time, a developing club that missed nine consecutive postseasons during the 2010s. From there, he spent the next six seasons with the woebegone Buffalo Sabres, whose current 14-season playoff drought is the league’s longest.

Skinner signed with Edmonton as a free agent last summer but struggled to nail down a consistent role in the Oilers’ lineup in the first half of the season. His game improved markedly in the second half, and he scored 16 goals this season while entering the playoffs as Edmonton’s third-line left wing.

Skinner’s teammates have been thrilled to end his drought this month. Connor McDavid presented Skinner with their player of the game award after the Oilers clinched their sixth straight playoff berth two weeks ago.

The veteran was active against the Kings, as his club mounted a furious rally only to lose in the final minute of regulation. Skinner had an assist and five hits across his 15 shifts. He finished the night with 11:12 time on the ice.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Ovechkin nets 1st playoff OT goal, Caps top Habs

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Ovechkin nets 1st playoff OT goal, Caps top Habs

After making NHL history during the regular season, Washington Capitals star Alex Ovechkin made some personal history in his team’s Game 1 win over the Montreal Canadiens on Monday.

Ovechkin scored the first playoff overtime goal of his career to propel the Capitals to a series-opening 3-2 victory at home in his 152nd career postseason game.

“A goal is a goal,” Ovechkin said after the victory. “Good things happen when you go to the net.”

Ovechkin is the all-time leader in regular-season overtime goals with 27 in 1,491 games. They’re part of his career total of 897 goals, having broken Wayne Gretzky’s NHL record of 894 goals this season.

“The guy’s the best player in the world. What else can you say?” said Capitals goaltender Logan Thompson, who made 33 saves in the win. “He comes in clutch. All game. It’s a privilege to be his teammate.”

After an icing call, Capitals forward Dylan Strome won a faceoff, with Montreal forwards Patrik Laine and Ivan Demidov failing to clear the puck. Winger Anthony Beauvillier collected the puck for a shot on goal and then tracked down his own rebound to Montreal goalie Sam Montembeault‘s right. Montreal’s Alex Newhook and Kaiden Guhle went to defend Beauvillier, who slid a pass to an open Ovechkin on the doorstep for the goal at 2:26 of overtime.

The overtime tally completed a monster night for Ovechkin.

He opened the scoring on the power play at 18:34 of the first period and then assisted on Beauvillier’s second-period goal to make it 2-0 before finishing off the pesky Canadiens in overtime. It was the 37th multipoint performance and 10th multigoal game of Ovechkin’s playoff career.

Ovechkin also had seven hits in the game to lead all skaters.

Ovechkin is the oldest skater in Stanley Cup playoff history to factor in all of his team’s goals in a game. He also became the fourth-oldest player in Cup playoff history to score an overtime goal at 39 years and 216 days. Detroit’s Igor Larionov was 41 years old when he scored a triple-overtime goal in Game 3 of the 2002 Stanley Cup Final against the Carolina Hurricanes.

With his first goal, Ovechkin passed Patrick Marleau and Esa Tikkanen (72) and tied Dino Ciccarelli (73) for the 14th-most playoff goals in NHL history. Ovechkin’s 74th career playoff goal put him in a tie with Joe Pavelski for the 13th-most career playoff goals.

The captain’s overtime heroism rescued Game 1 for the Capitals. The top seed in the Eastern Conference watched the Canadiens rally in the third period on goals by Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki 5:13 apart to send the game to overtime.

“You can see why they made the playoffs. That team doesn’t quit,” Thompson said. “In the third, they didn’t go away. We’ve got to respect them. They took it to us in the third.”

But rather than give Montreal some much-needed confidence and a series lead in its upset bid, Ovechkin shut the door in overtime.

“He played a hell of game tonight,” Beauvillier said.

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