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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Jeremy Hunt should not be planning to cut taxes any time soon.

In what will be seen as a bombshell intervention ahead of this year’s election, the Fund, widely regarded as the world’s most authoritative economic body, said its analysts had advised the UK Treasury not to cut taxes.

And, in a further blow to the chancellor, it expressed scepticism about his spending plans for the coming years, raising questions about his ability to meet his own fiscal rules.

The comments, issued alongside the Fund’s latest update to its economic forecasts, comes after the chancellor signalled that he plans to cut taxes in March’s spring Budget.

British Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt speaks at the Resolution Foundation, in London, Britain December 4, 2023. REUTERS/Hollie Adams
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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has hinted at tax cuts this year. Pic: Reuters

An IMF spokesman said: “As noted in the 2023 Article IV consultation, preserving high-quality public services, and undertaking critical public investments to boost growth and achieve the net zero targets, will imply higher spending needs over the medium term than are currently reflected in the government’s budget plans.

“Accommodating these needs… will already require generating additional high-quality fiscal savings, including on the tax side.

“The IMF has recommended strengthening carbon and property taxation, eliminating loopholes in wealth and income taxation, and reforming the pensions triple lock.

“It is in this context that staff advises against further tax cuts.”

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The comments came as the Fund cut its forecast for UK growth next year, from 2% to 1.6%.

However, the UK is no longer forecast to be the slowest growing economy among the Group of Seven industrialised nations, after the Fund cut its outlook for Germany this year to 0.5% – below Britain’s (unchanged) 0.6% forecast.

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Chancellor aims to cut taxes

However, it is the IMF’s comments on taxation which will most upset the Treasury.

Mr Hunt has said repeatedly that he plans to cut taxes in future fiscal events.

Many inside the Conservative Party believe tax cuts are their strongest hope of improving their polling ahead of the general election.

That those tax cuts are seen by the world’s leading economic authority as an imprudent move will undermine the chancellor’s case.

The chancellor said: “The IMF expect growth to strengthen over the next few years, supported by our introduction of the biggest capital investment tax reliefs anywhere in the world, alongside National Insurance cuts to improve work incentives. It is too early to know whether further reductions in tax will be affordable in the Budget, but we continue to believe that smart tax reductions can make a big difference in boosting growth.”

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Chancellor Rachel Reeves dodges wealth tax calls from predecessor

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Chancellor Rachel Reeves dodges wealth tax calls from predecessor

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has dodged calls from her predecessor Anneliese Dodds for a wealth tax to be considered ahead of this autumn’s budget.

When Sir Keir Starmer became Labour leader in 2020, Ms Dodds was his first pick for shadow chancellor. However, she did not last long and was replaced by Ms Reeves, who then got the government job after last year’s election win.

Speaking to the Sky News political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, Ms Dodds said she had examined wealth taxes when she was briefly in the shadow chancellor job and how one could be implemented.

She said: “I would hope the Treasury is considering that kind of evidence, as well as other changes that have been put forward.”

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‘Rachel Reeves would hate what you just said’

Asked today if about Ms Dodds’ intervention, Ms Reeves said: “Decisions around tax are decisions that are made at a budget and we’ll make those decisions in the appropriate way, but the number-one priority of this government is to grow the economy.

“And that means bringing more investment into Britain, creating more good jobs paying decent wages here in Britain.

Listen here to hear Ms Dodds’ full comments:

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“We’ve got to get the balance right on taxation because we want that investment, we want those jobs to come here.

“That’s why we’re reforming the planning system, secured three trade deals in the first year of this Labour government, cutting back on unnecessary regulation, and reforming our pension system to unlock money for businesses to be able to invest here in the UK.”

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What is a wealth tax?

The government’s financial position is stretched ahead of the next budget, due at the end of autumn.

Ms Reeves has committed herself to not changing her fiscal rules, leaving little wiggle room to avoid tax rises or spending cuts.

This is due to the government’s inability to save money through policies like welfare reform, which were gutted due to a rebellion of backbench Labour MPs.

Last week, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds branded the suggestion of a wealth tax “daft” – but he has less influence over the writing of the budget than the chancellor.

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Meanwhile, reports from the Daily Telegraph suggested that Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner backed increasing taxes, including reinstating the pensions lifetime allowance and a higher corporation tax level for banks.

Ms Dodds also wants to see those considered.

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UK regulator lifts ban on crypto ETNs for retail investors

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UK regulator lifts ban on crypto ETNs for retail investors

UK regulator lifts ban on crypto ETNs for retail investors

After banning retail access to crypto ETNs and derivatives in 2021, the FCA has reversed its approach in favor of ETN access for retail.

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State of stablecoins after GENIUS Act: Expert weighs in

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State of stablecoins after GENIUS Act: Expert weighs in

State of stablecoins after GENIUS Act: Expert weighs in

Following the landmark US passage of the GENIUS Act, Fabian Dori of Sygnum Bank breaks down what lies ahead for stablecoins, institutional adoption and global crypto regulation.

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