By this time next week, the 2024 Stanley Cup playoff bracket will be finalized. And by the end of Saturday’s 13-game schedule, a number of playoff fates — division titles, seeds and playoff spots in general — could officially be in the books.
And perhaps the best news for hockey fans? The NHL has spread out the games, with a game at 12:30 p.m. ET, five starting between 3 and 5:30 p.m., and only two in the traditional 7 p.m. ET slot. See, it can be done!
Here are the Saturday games with the most on the line:
New York Islanders at New York Rangers (12:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): The Islanders were seemingly out of the playoff mix as of a few weeks back, but a recent surge for them (and a swoon by all the others in the non-elite tier of Eastern teams) has them in the No. 3 spot in the Metro. They’ll want to keep piling on the points to stick in that spot. For the Rangers, the Presidents’ Trophy as the NHL’s top standings-point collector remains on the line, and there will also be some vengeance on their minds after a rough-and-tumble matchup against the Isles on Tuesday.
Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars (3 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): Speaking of the Presidents’ Trophy race, the Stars are one point and three regulation wins behind the Rangers. In other words, they will need to finish with more stadings points than New York to earn the overall No. 1 seed this postseason (since they have only two games left). Bear in mind that the Carolina Hurricanes have an equal number of standings points to Dallas, and one more regulation win than the Rangers.
Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche (4 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): If the Stars win, this matchup is officially a preview of the Central Division’s No. 2 vs. No. 3 first-round series. Not to alarm Avalanche fans eyeing another long playoff run, but the Jets have won both of the previous games between the teams this season.
Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers (5 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Atlantic Division title remains up for grabs. Heading into this matchup against the lottery-bound Sabres, the Panthers are one point behind the Bruins, but they are six regulation wins ahead of Boston. The B’s do have a game in hand, but a win here ratchets up the pressure.
New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers (5 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Flyers spent much of the season in a playoff position, but then they went 6-10-4 in March and April (thus far), including a recent eight-game winless streak. They’ll need a win here against the lottery-bound Devils — and some help — to get their spot back.
Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals (5:30 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Lightning always find a way to turn up the intensity when the playoffs approach, and this season is no different. They have a slim chance of overtaking the Maple Leafs for third in the Atlantic, but otherwise, they are looking like a rough matchup for the second-best division winner in the East. At one point, the Caps looked like they were having their own magical spring run into the playoffs; that’s much less certain now, but a win here obviously helps their cause. Heading into Saturday, the Caps are one point and two regulation wins behind the wild-card Penguins, and four points behind the Isles for No. 3 in the Metro (with an edge in regulation wins).
Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs (7 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): A win here secures the Leafs’ position as no worse than the No. 3 seed in the Atlantic. The stakes are higher for the Wings, who are one point and four regulation wins behind the wild-card Penguins (following their OT loss to Pittsburgh on Thursday).
Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins (8 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): We’ll go ahead and crown this one as Saturday night’s main event! The Bruins are looking to hold off the Panthers in the Atlantic, but are also chasing the Rangers and Stars for the Presidents’ Trophy (though we know how everything transpired after they won that honor last season). Pittsburgh begins the day Saturday in possession of the second wild card, but it could be knocked out of that spot based on the Capitals-Lightning game (and later, the Wings-Leafs contest). Every point matters dearly to both of these clubs.
Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers (10 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Canucks have been an excellent story this season, seemingly coming out of nowhere to lead the Pacific Division for most of the season. Are the Oilers an even better story? Mired in mediocrity at the start of the campaign, a coaching change ignited them to rocket up the standings — and put Connor McDavid squarely in the Hart Trophy conversation. Prior to puck drop, the Canucks hold a 105-102 edge in standings points, and a 42-38 edge in regulation wins, but Edmonton has a game in hand. This race is far from over, and an Oilers win would tighten it.
Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings (10:30 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): For the past two years, the Kings have met their playoff demise at the hands of the Oilers in the first round. As the bracket stands, that is the team they would face again. But they’ll have to hold off the Vegas Golden Knights for that position, and the defending champs are three points and four regulation wins behind. A battle against their Orange County-based amphibious cousins is a good chance to pick up two points.
As we traverse the final stretch of the regular season, it’s time to check in on all the playoff races — along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2024 NHL draft lottery.
Note: All times ET. All games not on TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).
Points: 102 Regulation wins: 38 Playoff position: P2 Games left: 4 Points pace: 107 Next game: vs. VAN (Saturday) Playoff chances: 100% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 95 Regulation wins: 36 Playoff position: P3 Games left: 3 Points pace: 99 Next game: vs. ANA (Saturday) Playoff chances: 100% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 94 Regulation wins: 33 Playoff position: WC2 Games left: 3 Points pace: 98 Next game: vs. COL (Sunday) Playoff chances: 100% Tragic number: N/A
Points: 79 Regulation wins: 27 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 4 Points pace: 83 Next game: @ DAL (Saturday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Points: 77 Regulation wins: 30 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 3 Points pace: 80 Next game: vs. ARI (Sunday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Points: 57 Regulation wins: 20 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 2 Points pace: 58 Next game: @ LA (Saturday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
Points: 47 Regulation wins: 14 Playoff position: N/A Games left: 3 Points pace: 49 Next game: vs. MIN (Saturday) Playoff chances: 0% Tragic number: E
p — clinched Presidents’ Trophy y — clinched division x — clinched playoff berth e — eliminated from playoff contention
Race for the No. 1 pick
The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team can move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Macklin Celebrini, a freshman at Boston University.
“Yeah, I just found that out — pretty cool,” Greene said after fueling an eight-run, seven-hit outburst in the ninth. “But the game is over. We got to show up tomorrow and try to win another baseball game.”
The score was tied 1-1 when Greene, facing Angels closer Kenley Jansen, led off the ninth with a 371-foot homer off the top of the right-field wall.
Colt Keith followed with a homer to left-center for a 2-1 lead, Jace Jung singled with one out, and Javier Báez hit a two-out, two-run shot to left for a 5-1 lead, giving the Tigers’ center fielder home runs in three straight games.
The Tigers, who have an American League-best 21-12 record, weren’t through. Kerry Carpenter singled, Zach McKinstry doubled, knocking Jansen out of the game, and Carpenter scored on a wild pitch to make it 6-1.
Spencer Torkelson walked, giving Greene a shot at history, and the cleanup man seized the moment, crushing a 409-foot homer to right-center off left-hander Jake Eder for a 9-1 lead.
Greene is the first Tigers player to hit two homers in an inning since Magglio Ordonez did so in the second inning against the Oakland Athletics on Aug. 12, 2007. The only other Tigers player to homer twice in an inning is Hall of Famer Al Kaline against the Kansas City A’s on April 17, 1955, in the sixth inning.
“He’s made an All-Star team, he’s been a featured player on our team, he hits in the middle of the order, he gets all the toughest matchups, and he asks for more,” Detroit manager A.J. Hinch said of Greene, who is batting .276 with an .828 OPS, 7 homers and 20 RBIs this season.
“You want guys to be rewarded when they work as hard as they do, and tonight was a huge night for him.”
Greene joined the Angels’ Jo Adell as the only players to hit multiple homers in an inning this season. Adell did it April 10 at Tampa Bay, in the fifth inning.
It was the second straight night in which the Tigers have landed a few late-inning haymakers in Anaheim. Detroit scored eight runs on seven hits in the eighth and ninth innings of Thursday night’s 10-4 victory over the Angels, who have lost seven straight and 15 of their past 19 games.
“There’s no quit in our team,” said ace Tarik Skubal, who gave up 1 run and 4 hits and struck out 8 in 6 innings Friday night. “We grind out at-bats, we don’t give away at-bats, and I think our record shows that. They grind out starters, relievers … I know I wouldn’t want to face a lineup like that. Every at-bat, they’re in it.”
ESPN Research and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Which version of the 2025 Atlanta Braves is the real version of the 2025 Atlanta Braves?
The first few weeks of the season were quite a journey, one akin to a roller-coaster ride that, like the amusement park attraction, ended more or less where it began — at the beginning.
Then Opening Day arrived, with the Braves starting off on a tough seven-game road trip against the San Diego Padres and Dodgers. Atlanta lost all seven games, scoring no runs or one run in four of those defeats.
That is not the way to knock the Dodgers off the mountaintop. Indeed, the old adage about early-season baseball has always been that you can’t win the pennant in April, but you might very well lose it. In becoming the 30th team since 1901 to begin a season with seven straight losses, the Braves flirted with some discouraging history.
Still, the Braves’ April story was as much defined by how they eventually responded to that early slump. Atlanta continued to flounder into the middle of the month, but then reeled off nine wins in 11 games, nearly leveling the ship.
The Braves haven’t yet reached the .500 mark this season, but it seems inevitable they soon will — and they already pushed their run differential out of negative territory. All in all, Atlanta can at least exhale after the initial stumbles.
To sum it up: Atlanta entered the campaign anointed as the Dodgers’ prime challenger — 2025 Braves version 1. They proceeded to put up one of the 30 worst starts in 125 years — 2025 Braves version 2. And before April was over, they’d already climbed back to break-even (or thereabouts) which, in effect, resets their near-disastrous season — 2025 Braves version 3.
Three very different versions of the same team. Which leads back to our initial question: Which Braves are the real Braves?
The 0-7 Braves make ugly history
As mentioned, the Braves are now one of 30 teams to begin a season 0-7, and it’s the fifth time a Braves club has appeared on that list, joining 1919, 1980, 1988 and 2016. That ties the Detroit Tigers for the most of any franchise.
Historically speaking, a start that bad and that prolonged rings the death knell in terms of pennant contention. None of the first 29 teams on the list made the playoffs. Indeed, only two managed to finish over .500, and none of the 29 ended with a positive run differential.
Thus, if the Braves complete their rapid climb back to .500 and keep that run differential in the black, they will have already subverted every other team on the 0-7 list. This really is not that surprising, because the 2025 Braves are way better than those other 29 teams.
In my historical database, among the various team measures I have are three-year power ratings, used to identify how strong (or not strong) teams were in multiseason windows. If we use Atlanta’s season-opening over/under figure as a proxy for their 2025 level, we can estimate their three-year power rating at 95.6 (or 95.6 wins per 162 games).
Only two of the other 29 teams on the 0-7 list had three-year power ratings of 81 or better — the 1945 Boston Red Sox and the 1983 Astros. Boston had a 86.6 three-year power rating, but it was a special case because of the sudden change in rosters across baseball tracing to players returning from military service. The 1945 Red Sox did not have Ted Williams, Dom DiMaggio, Bobby Doerr or Johnny Pesky. But the 1946 Red Sox had all of them, and won the pennant. A very different case than the 2025 Braves.
The 1983 Astros were more akin to these Braves, and were one of the two 0-7 starters that climbed back over .500 by the end of the season. (The other was the 1980 Braves, who finished 81-80 while being outscored by 30 runs.) Houston ended up 85-77 after its terrible start, which actually stretched to nine straight season-opening losses. The Astros finished three runs in the red in differential, however, and had a three-year power rating of 81.4, more than 14 wins shy of the current Braves.
So, of the 30 teams that started 0-7, the Braves were the most likely of them to bounce back from such a terrible beginning. They spent the last half of April proving that to be the case.
How the offense has helped fuel their turnaround
We’ve already noted how anemic the Braves’ offense was during their opening road trip. Atlanta averaged just two runs per game and batted .151 as a team during the skid. The Braves’ collective team OPS (.485) was the worst in baseball.
It took a while, but the Braves’ bats have heated up. Heading into their series with the Dodgers, Atlanta had scored 4.9 runs per game (10th in MLB) and posted a .779 OPS (fifth) since their slump. They’ve done this even as they continue to wait on Ronald Acuna Jr.’s season debut after last year’s knee surgery.
The drivers of the offensive uptick have been a little surprising. Sean Murphy had clubbed seven homers in 17 games since coming off the IL, one season after he hit 10 in 72 contests. Young catcher Drake Baldwin had a 1.009 OPS since April 3 and 30-year-old Eli White was at 1.012.
Those surprising outbursts, along with the expected contributions of Marcell Ozuna and Austin Riley, have helped the offense recover even as Matt Olson (.767 OPS), Michael Harris II (.614) and Ozzie Albies (.664) were still seeking to reach their career levels.
Still, issues linger
The Braves’ pitching still rates as roughly league average for the season as a whole. Last season’s NL Cy Young winner Chris Sale has been inconsistent so far, leaving Spencer Schwellenbach as the only rotation member producing at league average or better.
Sale should be fine, but the Braves very much need their big two to become a big three because of what looks like a lack of high-quality rotation depth. In other words, after getting just one start out of Spencer Strider over the season’s first few weeks, they need him to get healthy and stay that way. Strider (Grade 1 hamstring strain) is expected to return later this month.
In the bullpen, the Braves have been so-so, mostly because of the struggles of star closer Raisel Iglesias to keep the ball in the yard. After surrendering just four long balls in all of 2024, Iglesias coughed up five homers in his first 11 outings. Because the pitching has underachieved, the Braves’ bounce-back has been more warm than boiling.
But the recovery has been undergirded by pretty strong indicators. Atlanta’s run differential during the recent 14-9 stretch is equivalent to a 94-win team over a full season, putting the Braves on par with preseason expectations during that span. The problem of course is that 0-7 start.
The other problem is that the National League is full of really good teams.
Have you heard the NL is stacked?
The Braves sat at 14-16 through 30 games. Let’s say they maintain the 94-win quality they reached during their recovery over their remaining 132 games. That’s a .580 winning percentage, which gets Atlanta to 90 or 91 wins by the end of the season.
If all the teams in the NL were to maintain their current paces (which is admittedly unlikely), there would be five teams that finished with 96 wins or more — the Mets, Dodgers, Padres, Chicago Cubs and San Francisco Giants.
You can see the Braves’ dilemma: Only one playoff slot would be up for grabs. If Atlanta is able to get to 90 or 91 wins, it would be in the mix, but would need to hope that neither Philadelphia nor the Arizona Diamondbacks (both on pace for 88 wins) catch fire, or that one of the top five fall off.
The forecasts don’t rule out anything. At FanGraphs, the Braves are making the playoffs in about 70% of simulations, as their model sees the NL East contenders as better than the non-Dodgers contenders in the NL West. Baseball Prospectus has the Braves getting to 92 wins but reaching the playoffs just 54% of the time.
Finally, at ESPN BET, the Braves’ over/under for wins has fallen to 88.5, the same as Arizona but less than the Mets (94.5), Phillies (91.5) and Padres (89.5). The upstart Giants are at 84.5.
The Braves are back in the running, but those seven games, along with the strength of the top of the NL, have reduced their margin of error considerably.
How well will they play in May — and beyond — and will it be enough?
Atlanta’s season might depend on, well, May, or these key upcoming weeks before Strider and Acuna rejoin the team. However they got here, the Braves are currently a middle-of-the-pack team at the bottom line, both in the win-loss column and by run differential. If they continue at this level while waiting for their stars to return, the strong upper tier of the NL could move away from them.
The upcoming schedule, beginning with the current series against the Dodgers, is tough in ways both obvious and sneaky.
After L.A. departs on Sunday, the over-.500 Cincinnati Reds visit, before Atlanta travels to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. There are two series against the Washington Nationals, one at home and one away, and if you’re still thinking of the Nats as pushovers, you haven’t been paying attention.
There’s a return match with San Diego, a trip to Boston, a visit from the Red Sox, and a key three-game set on the road against the Phillies. It’s not an easy docket for any club, but especially for one missing two of its biggest stars.
The Braves have mostly righted their teetering ship after their stunning start. Since those seven opening losses, they’ve been what we thought they would be. Chances are, as the season progresses, players find their level and the roster gets healthier, that will continue to be the case.
The real Braves weren’t the team that started 0-7. They might be the team that’s played much better since. Now, in what’s shaping up as a crowded and strong upper tier in the NL playoff hierarchy, they have to hope that even if they maintain their expected level, it proves to be good enough for another trip to October.
BOSTON — Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas suffered what manager Alex Cora called a “significant” left knee injury after he awkwardly fell near first base in the bottom of the second inning against the Minnesota Twins on Friday night.
Speaking after Boston’s 6-1 win, Cora said Casas was taken to a local hospital, where he was undergoing more tests on the knee. He said the team would have more information Saturday.
Casas sent a slow roller up the first-base line that Twins starter Joe Ryan bobbled before making an underhand throw to first baseman Ty France. Casas, who was ruled safe on the Ryan error, collapsed to the ground holding his knee as he crossed the bag.
He was carried off the field on a stretcher and replaced by Romy Gonzalez.
“Seemed like he was in shock, to be honest with you,” Cora told reporters. “He said it right away that he didn’t feel it. …. It’s tough.
“He put so much effort in the offseason. I know how he works. Everything he went through in the offseason getting ready for this. He was looking forward to having a big season for us. It didn’t start the way he wanted, but he kept grinding, kept working. And now this happened.”
Casas entered Friday hitting .184 with three home runs in 28 games.
Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.