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The 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs are here! It took to the final two games of the regular season to determine final seeding for the bracket, but with the puck ready to drop on our first playoff action on Saturday, it’s time for our jumbo-sized preview.

We’ve got all the angles covered to get you ready for the playoffs as ESPN hockey reporters Ryan S. Clark and Kristen Shilton take a look at each of the 16 postseason teams, offering the reasons each team could win it all, along with the (potentially) biggest flaws, players to watch and a bold prediction for every contender.

Note: Profiles for the Atlantic and Metropolitan playoff brackets were written by Shilton, while Clark analyzed the Central and Pacific clubs. Also note that wild-card teams are listed according to the playoff bracket in which they’re playing (so the Nashville Predators are in the Pacific, for instance).

Stats are collected from sites such as Natural Stat Trick, Hockey Reference and Evolving Hockey.

Jump to a team:
Atlantic: FLA | BOS
TOR | TB
Metro: NYR | CAR
NYI | WSH
Central: DAL | WPG
COL | LA
Pacific: VAN | EDM
VGK | NSH

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2:02

The storylines to watch for in the Stanley Cup Playoffs

Greg Wyshynski breaks down all you need to know going into the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

ATLANTIC DIVISION

Record: 52-24-6, 110 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Florida was an 11th hour addition to the postseason field last year and wound up going all the way to the Stanley Cup Final. This year’s Panthers have been anything but underdogs, and their chances of returning to the Final are better than ever. Florida ran it back this season with nearly the same roster intact — including 15 skaters from that Cup Final lineup — and have since added more experience with Vladimir Tarasenko and Niko Mikkola among others.

Florida’s real strength though comes through its star performers, and those top-tier skaters can do serious damage. Sam Reinhart had a career year picking up 52 goals and 92 points, Aleksander Barkov remains an outstanding two-way center, Matthew Tkachuk found his feisty form again and a rejuvenated Sergei Bobrovsky is Florida’s game-changer in the crease. Confidence? The Panthers should be full of it.

Biggest flaws: Florida has top-end scoring talent. But will it make them too top-heavy? After Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe (with 33 goals) and Tkachuk (with 26), there’s a drop-off around who’s putting pucks in the net. The Panthers don’t have a standout offensive-defenseman (Gustav Forsling leads the way there with 10 goals and 38 points) and could be exposed in the playoffs if their elite skaters are neutralized and there’s no one behind them to answer the scoring bell.

The Panthers were middle-of-the-pack this season offensively (averaging 3.21 goals per game, 14th overall) and there’s a scoring premium in the playoffs for every club regardless of regular-season success.

Player to watch: Aleksander Barkov. There are few players in the league with Barkov’s unique skill set. He can win key face-offs, break up passes and execute in seemingly small areas that can make or break a team’s outcome. This is when Barkov should be his most powerful.

Bold prediction: Florida barely survives a first-round series that goes the distance, and fatigue weighs heavily as they’re quickly ousted from the second round in five games.


Record: 47-20-15, 109 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: The Bruins showed again this season they’re a resilient bunch, grappling with the loss of key players (i.e. Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci), transitioning to a new leadership group (led by newly anointed captain Brad Marchand) and, despite being among the NHL’s older teams, still staying on pace with the younger crowd. The Bruins boast a deep lineup on both sides of the puck that goes well beyond their stars — like Marchand, David Pastrnak and Charlie McAvoy. Coach Jim Montgomery will have an enviable amount of options to choose from when formulating Boston’s attack.

Boston also secured home ice advantage to start the postseason, and the local help alone can be an advantage. The Bruins didn’t tap into it last season — losing in the first round to Florida — but should have learned plenty from their prior disappointment. The Bruins are aware their contending window could snap shut at any time. They squandered a Presidents’ Trophy winning season a year ago by falling flat in the playoffs. That’s motivation enough to fuel Boston’s next chapter.

Biggest flaws: The Bruins have had issues closing out games. Boston is tied for the league lead in overtime or shootout losses (with eight) when leading after two periods. It’s a damning statistic, and Montgomery has talked throughout the season about Boston finding ways to “push through” even when tired at the end of a game. That’s especially important in the playoffs when overtime can extend for hours.

Speaking of emotion, will the Bruins carry any demons from their past failure into this postseason? Boston has repeatedly handled questions about its first-round flop last spring. It’s on the veterans who went through that to ensure there’s no lingering effects impacting how Boston goes about their business from here on out.

Player to watch: David Pastrnak. Boston’s stars must be stars. And there is no one who can rise to the occasion for the Bruins quite like Pastrnak. Whether it’s scoring a critical goal, elevating his linemates or creating a matchup nightmare, Pastrnak is Boston’s jack-of-all-trades who will lead the charge through a tough first-round slog — and possibly well beyond it.

Bold prediction: Boston gets outworked (again) in the first round and can’t match the intensity of a hungrier opponent. The Bruins fall in six games and head into another long offseason to think about making major changes.


Record: 46-26-10, 102 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Toronto took its time finding a sweet spot, where all the elements from consistent scoring, to stable goaltending, to solid defense came together and steered the Leafs closer to their full potential. That it happened late in the year, right before the playoffs? Well, that just might be Toronto’s secret sauce.

Unlike seasons past, where the Leafs could coast at times on the goal scoring prowess of Auston Matthews or the playmaking magic of Mitch Marner, Toronto has successfully weathered adversity to emerge as perhaps the strongest collective version of themselves. Sure, GM Brad Treliving actively added some sandpaper to the lineup with Ryan Reaves and a big-bodied defenseman in Joel Edmundson, but it’s the overall grit Toronto has earned throughout the year that should help in the postseason.

Another Leafs’ edge? Their first line — helmed by Hart Trophy contender Matthews — has finally found its rhythm. After months of tinkering, Tyler Bertuzzi and Max Domi have combined with Matthews to make their unit elite. That’s given coach Sheldon Keefe the opportunity to spread out some of the other top skaters — like Marner and William Nylander — so Toronto isn’t as vulnerable to the ebbs and flows of its star performers. Nicholas Robertson has been improving up front lately, and so has Matthew Knies. The Leafs were felled by a lack of postseason scoring in the past, and if they’ve got that covered now, it could carry them well beyond one round.

Biggest flaws: Toronto has question marks on defense — including who, exactly, will actually be in the six-man rotation come playoffs. TJ Brodie, once a top-pairing staple, has slipped down the depth chart, and Keefe’s been regularly re-working his backend to see what sticks. Toronto has averaged 3.13 goals-against this season and nearly 30 shots-against while struggling to defend off the rush. In a tight-checking postseason contest when desperation is at its peak, Toronto’s defense could be exposed if it can’t find the right mix of players to handle the job ahead.

Player to watch: Ilya Samsonov. Toronto’s starter has been through the ringer and came out the other side playing some of his best hockey. The Leafs can only hope Samsonov stays on that path when the playoffs begin. He projects to be their starter in the first round, with rookie Joseph Woll looking over his shoulder, ready to take over.

Bold prediction: Toronto escapes the first round and then explodes with a second-round sweep. The Leafs reach their first Stanley Cup Final since 1967 and finally win it all in a dramatic Game 7 victory.


Record: 45-29-8, 98 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Tampa Bay has an unparalleled playoff pedigree, and that’s why the Lightning can never be counted out of contending for a Stanley Cup. Yes, the Lightning faltered in the first-round last year, but that’s still the exception to their rule. Before that, it was three straight trips to a Cup Final, with two victories. Tampa Bay can turn it on when it’s time to go.

The Lightning have also woven in some fresh bodies (namely Anthony Duclair and Matt Dumba) and remained fairly healthy, so strong chemistry could build up over time. The results since early March speak for themselves — Tampa Bay is averaging four goals per game (best in the league), is top-10 in goals against, top-five on the power play and their goaltending under Andrei Vasilevskiy is elite once more (.910 SV%, 2.61 GAA). Oh, and Nikita Kucherov? He leads the league in points with 144 and will be a momentum-shifting, series-defining threat.

Biggest flaws: Tampa Bay was dealt a tough blow when top-pairing defenseman Mikhail Sergachev suffered a broken leg in February. He won’t return unless the Lightning go deep into the playoffs. Sergachev’s absence has left the blue line exposed.

Victor Hedman is carrying their group, but it now includes more up-and-comers (like Nick Perbix and Emil Lilleberg) than the established skaters who have helped the team win in the past. Dumba’s been a fine third-pairing guy, but it’ll take more than just okay for the Lightning to not be drowned by defensive problems.

Player to watch: Brayden Point. While it’s Kucherov gathering the points (and accolades) this season, Point has quietly had a phenomenal season of his own with 46 goals and 90 points. Having Point healthy and rolling like he is now is a major flex for the Lightning and adds to their depth scoring capabilities.

Bold prediction: Kucherov is held off the scoresheet through Tampa Bay’s first two games, and the Lightning get knocked out in the first round a second consecutive time.

METRO DIVISION

Record: 55-23-4, 114 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: New York knows how it feels to fall short. It happened two years ago in the Eastern Conference finals. It happened again last season in the first round. Those disappointments led to a coaching change and roster turnover and to a battle-tested New York that became this season’s Presidents’ Trophy winners.

How did the Rangers get there? By becoming one of the league’s elite offensive squads. Artemi Panarin — who tallied just two assists in that first-round loss against New Jersey last spring — exploded with a 120-point regular season, Chris Kreider popped in 39 goals and Adam Fox is a point-per-game skater on the backend. New York’s depth is stronger, too, particularly since adding Alex Wennberg at the deadline to fill their third-line center role. Rookie Matt Rempe gives the Rangers some needed size and toughness. All that, along with an excellent goaltending tandem in Igor Shesterkin and Jonathan Quick, gives New York a superb opportunity to reach a Stanley Cup Final.

Biggest flaws: The Rangers have had their issues structurally and defensively this season. There were stretches around the midseason where New York was bafflingly poor in its own end, prone to turnovers and generally playing a dangerous game of hot potato with the puck. The Rangers are at their best playing a collective team defense. When that’s lacking, things can go south quickly. Shesterkin and Quick are good, but they can’t be left hung out to dry, either.

Being the Presidents’ Trophy winner has not, historically, led to strong results in the playoffs. The Rangers have their own demons (as mentioned above) from lackluster showings on the game’s biggest stage. How the Rangers push past those potential barriers will help determine their playoff success.

Player to watch: Artemi Panarin. It’s time for Panarin to close the book on last season’s awful playoff performance by writing a fresh new chapter — this one centered on his ability to dominate opponents. That’s how New York will stretch this postseason out for weeks to come.

Bold prediction: New York’s stars turn up in the first round, but their depth fails to match, and a hungrier Washington team ousts the Presidents’ Trophy winners in a dramatic Game 7 finale.

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1:25

The curse of the NHL’s Presidents’ Trophy

Check out the numbers behind recent Presidents’ Trophy winners and how they’ve fared en route to the Stanley Cup.


Record: 52-23-7, 111 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Carolina has waited in the wings long enough. The Hurricanes are perennial contenders and then don’t quite live up to playoff expectations, like in last season’s Eastern Conference finals sweep against Florida. Well, consider this Carolina’s time to shine. The Hurricanes are built to go all the way in every phase. Jake Guentzel has been a great addition to the lineup post-deadline, Sebastian Aho is a bonafide star averaging well over a point-per-game, Seth Jarvis has come to life with a 33-goal effort and Andrei Svechnikov made up for lost time with 52 points in 59 games. There’s a strong blueline led by Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns to go along with complementary defensive performances throughout the Hurricanes’ lineup.

Carolina is also dynamic on special teams, owning the second-ranked power play (26.9%) and top penalty kill (86.4%) in the regular season. That combination alone is a terrifying edge in their favor. The Hurricanes goaltending has been a source of strength, too. Frederik Andersen returned from his blood clotting issue in fine form (13-2-0, .932 SV%, 1.84 GAA) and rookie Pyotr Kochetkov has provided terrific showings in the crease.

Biggest flaws: The Hurricanes have to be careful with Andersen. While the veteran has been strong following his recovery, there’s no denying Andersen’s history of injuries. If Carolina expects to go far, it will need a solid tandem in place to lean on, and Andersen should be part of it. But if Andersen were to miss games, would Kochetkov survive carrying the load on a long postseason run? The Hurricanes’ options to help Kochetkov in that regard are fairly limited. Depth, in all facets, can be the difference between winning and losing a tight series. Carolina must hope it doesn’t face a goaltending dilemma anytime soon.

Player to watch: Jake Guentzel. The former Pittsburgh Penguin wasted no time proving his worth on a new roster with eight goals and 25 points in 17 games. If that was the start of Guentzel’s production in Carolina, then consider the Eastern Conference playoff field on notice that an actual offensive hurricane is headed their way.

Bold prediction: Carolina charts an unstoppable course straight on to the Eastern Conference finals, but once again, the Hurricanes lose steam, and can’t make the Cup Final.


Record: 39-27-16, 94 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: New York found its rhythm from late March into April, and that secured them a playoff spot and powers their postseason hopes. The Islanders have a white-hot goaltender in Semyon Varlamov (who is 8-1-1 in starts since March 10) leading the way. What the Islanders lacked in identity earlier this year has finally come together under new coach Patrick Roy. There’s a stability to New York’s structure that’s revealed itself further with each passing game. The Islanders often favor physicality, and now they’re more opportunistic offensively to add dimension where it wasn’t before. New York should be confident heading into the postseason.

Biggest flaws: The Islanders have long faced criticism for their low scoring output, and this season — as a whole — has been no exception. New York ranked 23rd in offense through the regular season, averaging fewer than three goals per game. The Islanders’ attack is top-heavy when it does ignite, with only five skaters surpassing the 20-goal mark and only one (Mathew Barzal) working at a point-per-game pace. New York has to work hard for the offense it does get, and that can weigh a team down in a playoff series.

New York is also vulnerable on special teams. The Islanders cobbled together a league-worst penalty kill (72.2%), and their power play ranked 21st overall (19.7%). That puts serious pressure on the Islanders to stay disciplined and not let opponents use their mediocre special teams against them.

Player to watch: Bo Horvat. The Islanders’ forward had a solid regular season with 33 goals and 68 points. But this time of year is why New York traded for Horvat in the first place. He must produce a high-caliber effort nightly in the postseason for the Islanders to go far.

Bold prediction: New York tries to ride Varlamov’s hot hand, but the goalie stumbles early and is replaced by Ilya Sorokin. He nearly guides the Islanders to a first-round victory but they fall in Game 7.


Record: 40-31-11, 91 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: The Capitals’ never gave up. That attitude earned them a return bid to the playoffs in mind-blowing fashion. Washington somehow has both the worst goal differential (minus-37) of any postseason team in history and the chance to prove it means nothing when they open another first-round series. Washington has received contributions from everywhere and everyone this season, from established veterans (like Alex Ovechkin and John Carlson) to rising stars (including Connor McMichael and Hendrix Lapierre). They’re in capable hands between the pipes, too, with Charlie Lindgren emerging as a stable starting option who can swing a game in Washington’s favor.

The Capitals’ overall buy-in under first-year coach Spencer Carbery (who’s done a masterful job righting the ship for Washington through several rocky stretches this season) is also what makes them dangerous. Yes, every team wants to be successful in the playoffs, but Washington is already driven by their underdog status. If the Capitals keep that mentality at the forefront, they could take the playoff field by storm.

Biggest flaws: Washington will have to turn up the heat offensively. The Capitals ranked 28th in total offense (with 2.63 goals per game), 29th in five-on-five goals (143), and Dylan Strome paced the team with just 67 points on the season. Where will Washington get consistent scoring from in a playoff series? Even if they manage that, can the Capitals keep the puck out of their own net, too? Lindgren has been terrific for much of the year, but Washington allows over 30 shots on net per game. How will that affect the Capitals when some of their key contributors have little to no postseason experience? It’s a recipe for preventable mistakes and those can quickly become series-defining problems.

Player to watch: Alex Ovechkin. Like there’s anyone else you’d be watching anyway. Ovechkin is in the late stages of a Hall of Fame career, and this opportunity to be in the playoffs looked like a long shot even last month. He won’t take this chance for granted, and that should fuel not only a stellar showing from him, but provide motivation to every player in Washington’s dressing room.

Bold prediction: Washington gives a rousing first-round effort to unseat the Presidents’ Trophy winners and advance to an unexpected second-round showing that ends with a Game 6 defeat.

CENTRAL DIVISION

Record: 52-21-9, 113 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Practically every team that wins a Stanley Cup encounters some sort of crucible before eventually capturing a championship. The Stars have done just that. Back in 2020, they reached the Stanley Cup Final. In 2022, they struggled to score in a first-round loss. The 2023 postseason saw them get within two games of the Stanley Cup Final, which is part of what makes them one of the NHL’s most legitimate Cup challengers.

Depth is everything in the postseason, and the Stars have it. They have eight players who scored more than 20 goals this season, and 13 players who finished with more than 20 points. But it’s not just the ability to score. Trading for Chris Tanev at the deadline gave the Stars that right-handed partner they’d sought for Miro Heiskanen, giving them a pairing capable of shutting down an opponent’s top two lines.

Biggest flaws: Strange as it sounds, there are questions about Jake Oettinger. Even though he has a third straight season of more than 30 wins, Oettinger’s consistency has been a topic of conversation. His 2.72 goals-against average and .905 save percentage are outliers, given he has a career 2.52 GAA and .912 save percentage.

That said, he had a 1.66 GAA and a .940 save percentage in April. If that’s the version of Oettinger the Stars can get in the playoffs, it could ultimately see them take the next step and advance to their second Stanley Cup Final in four seasons.

And of course, matching up against the Golden Knights in Round 1 brings questions too; namely can they take the lessons learned from last year to win this time around?

Player to watch: Wyatt Johnston. Several executives around the NHL stress the importance of being able to build through the draft. Johnston is the latest example from the Stars’ assembly line that shows why they place such a premium on draft picks. He’s gone from being a rookie who was a significant contributor, to a second-year player who led them with 32 goals — and he doesn’t turn 21 until May.

Bold prediction: Thomas Harley will be the breakout star of a playoff run that will at least reach the second round. Harley finished the regular season with 15 goals and 47 points, and will give the Stars another standout on both ends.


Record: 51-24-6, 108 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Losing in the first round to the Golden Knights last year exposed a number of the Jets’ issues. Namely, they needed to add as much scoring help as possible, and that’s what they’ve done over the last 12 months. The Pierre-Luc Dubois trade allowed them to land Alex Iafallo and Gabriel Vilardi, who have been part of the Jets’ balanced scoring attack.

Altogether, the Jets had 13 players who scored more than 10 goals this season. They’ve received the contributions from established figures such as Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele, while seeing new faces like Iafallo, Vilardi and Sean Monahan add to those totals. Combine that with what they have in goal in Connor Hellebuyck, and it makes the Jets a team that could pose problems if they can get out of the first round.

Biggest flaws: Can they parlay their regular-season success into the sort of results that gets them beyond the first round? It’s an even more relevant question heading into Round 1, given what they’ve done against the Avs in the regular season (winning all three games). But it’s a question the Jets have been trying to answer for the last few years. Back in 2017-18, they lost in the Western Conference finals to the Golden Knights, creating the belief that the Jets could become one of the West’s long-term contenders.

Since then, they’ve only made it out of the first round once. What’s separated them from teams such as the Avalanche, Golden Knights and Stars, among others, is they haven’t been able to go on those extended runs that show they are ready to challenge for a Stanley Cup. Is this the season the Jets take off?

Player to watch: Connor Hellebuyck. He has had one of the strongest individual campaigns of his career, and stands to capture what would be his second Vezina Trophy. Last year’s playoffs were a challenge, as Hellebuyck finished with a 3.44 GAA and a .886 save percentage. Still, Hellebuyck’s previous postseason experience has shown he can make a difference for a team that’s seeking to take the next step in their playoff evolution.

Bold prediction: Gabriel Vilardi will lead the Jets in scoring through at least one round of the playoffs. In a full, 82-game season, Vilardi was on pace for a team-high 37 goals, while his projected 62 points would have been second. Going to the Jets has allowed him to further tap into his promise, and it could once again benefit the Jets in the postseason.


Record: 49-25-7, 105 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Having Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen and Cale Makar allows the Avalanche to be top Cup contenders on an annual basis. But having those three is not enough, which is what the Avs learned last year when the then-defending champions were ousted in the first round.

Avs general manager Chris MacFarland and his front office staff have used the time since to strengthen their depth. This is a team that isn’t reliant on its stars, and can receive contributions from everyone on a nightly basis. That’s what allowed the Avs to win the title back in 2022, and it’s what has them in contention for a second championship in the last three years.

Biggest flaws: Could it be the fact they’re opening the playoffs against the Jets? The Jets’ 7-0 victory on April 13 raised questions about what could happen once the playoffs started. Losing by a rather large margin wasn’t the only talking point after the game. There was also a discussion about how the Jets were 3-0 against the Avalanche in the regular season — and had outscored them 17-4 in those contests.

It’s possible that what happened in the regular season could have little bearing once their first-round series starts. The Golden Knights won only one of their eight combined games against the Oilers and Stars in the 2022-23 regular season, only to then beat those two teams en route to winning the Stanley Cup. Could it be a similar situation for the Avs, or can the Jets parlay their regular-season success into winning the series?

Player to watch: Gabriel Landeskog. The biggest question regarding the team has been: Can the captain return this postseason? Landeskog has missed the last two seasons recovering from a persistent knee injury which saw him undergo cartilage transplant surgery last May. Avs coach Jared Bednar said on April 16 that Landeskog is “not close” to participating in practices, while noting previously that the Avs captain could return at some point in the playoffs.

Bold prediction: Casey Mittelstadt averages a point per game in the first round. After coming over in trade from Buffalo, Mittelstadt filled the second-line center gap Colorado had been trying to fill since the departure of Nazem Kadri. His arrival now gives the Avs another player who could make a massive impact in what will be the first playoff series of his career.


Record: 45-28-8, 98 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Much of the system that allowed the Golden Knights to win the Stanley Cup last season is back. They have the reigning Conn Smythe winner in Jonathan Marchessault. They have players who have excelled in top line and/or top pairing roles such as Jack Eichel and Alex Pietrangelo. They have Adin Hill, the goaltender who played a significant role. They also have the unsung heroes such as Nicolas Hague and Zach Whitecloud, who were among the most used defensive pairings in the playoffs last season.

And then they supplemented all that by having one of the most advantageous trade deadlines in recent memory. They added a top-nine winger in Anthony Mantha, a top-pairing defenseman in Noah Hanifin and then made the shocking trade to get another top-six forward in Tomas Hertl, creating a team that looks like it can certainly defend its title.

Biggest flaws: Could the additions of Hanifin, Hertl and Mantha be too many new moving pieces at once? One thing that has allowed the Golden Knights to go from being an expansion team to a full-on juggernaut is their ability to have players seamlessly fit into their system as if they’ve been there the whole time. That’s how it’s worked with Ivan Barbashev, Mark Stone, Chandler Stephenson, Eichel, Pietrangelo and Hill.

It’s uncertain if Hanifin, Hertl and Mantha can follow suit. Hanifin had 12 points through his first 18 games, while Mantha had 10 points in his first 18 games. Once Hertl was cleared to play following his recovery efforts from knee surgery, he had three points in his first four games which included the game-winning goal against the Avs on April 14. So far, so good.

Player to watch: Noah Hanifin. Yes, the idea of Stone coming back from injury to appear in the playoffs makes him a strong candidate to be the answer here. But we know what Stone can do in the postseason. Seeing what Hanifin can do in the playoffs could be rather important, considering the Golden Knights just signed him to an eight-year extension. He has eight points while averaging 21:03 of ice time per game in 27 career playoff contests, numbers should both rise this spring.

Bold prediction: Hertl will lead the Golden Knights in points throughout the entirety of their playoff run. Even if there are questions about how all the new pieces fit, Hertl finds a way to answer them by being the Golden Knights’ most prolific performer.

PACIFIC DIVISION

Record: 50-22-9, 109 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Few teams have been as consistent as the Canucks in a season that has watched them go from a surprise team to one that could win the Cup. Other than a four-game losing streak in February, the Canucks have looked the part of a serious championship challenger that relied upon its entire roster to reach this stage.

While J.T. Miller has 100 points and Quinn Hughes appears to be the Norris Trophy favorite, there is so much more to the Canucks. Brock Boeser‘s 40-goal campaign led the way for the Canucks to have 10 players who finished the season with more than 10 tallies. They also have 14 players who finished the year with more than 20 points.

Biggest flaws: Can they make it work in the playoffs? Rarely does a team go from missing the playoffs in seven of its last eight seasons to winning a Stanley Cup. But that’s the narrative the Canucks are seeking to rewrite as they’ve made it beyond the second round only once since the 2010-11 season that saw them reach the Stanley Cup Final.

They’re also trying to do this in a crowded Western Conference landscape that has seen quite a few teams encounter years of frustration before finally claiming the game’s ultimate prize. Although the argument could be had that maybe all those years of missing the playoffs is the struggle that has set the stage for the Canucks this postseason.

Player to watch: Thatcher Demko. Before he sustained a knee injury on March 9, Demko was performing like one of the NHL’s best goaltenders. He led the league with 34 wins while posting a 2.47 GAA and a .917 save percentage at the time of his injury. Demko returned to the lineup on April 16 and finished with 39 saves and a .975 save percentage in a win against the Calgary Flames.

Bold prediction: Elias Lindholm will reach double figures in points during the playoffs. While his time with the Canucks has had its challenges, Lindholm will play a major role in the Canucks’ bid to get beyond the first round.


Record: 49-26-6, 104 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Since Kris Knoblauch was hired to replace Jay Woodcroft in November, the Oilers have seemingly found answers to many of the questions facing them following their slow start. At times, they’ve looked like the most dangerous team in the league, evidenced by the fact they’re third in goals scored per game and have given up the fifth fewest goals per game since Knoblauch was hired.

Could this be their year? It was just two years ago when they were in the Western Conference finals, before losing to the eventual champion Avalanche. Last year, they reached the second round where they were knocked out by the eventual champion Golden Knights. Could the lessons from the past few years lead the Oilers to future glory?

Biggest flaws: Do the Oilers have the supporting cast that can help them win a championship? That remained a question throughout that second-round series against the Golden Knights. One of the avenues that allowed the Golden Knights to beat the Oilers, and the rest of their playoff opponents, was that they could rely on their depth to win games.

This has been a challenge for the Oilers. Outside of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid, the only Oilers to score goals in those losses to the Golden Knights were Zach Hyman and Warren Foegele. Receiving consistent secondary scoring, along with the ability to parlay the success they’ve created with their defensive structure under a new coaching staff, could prove crucial to the Oilers’ title aspirations.

Player to watch: Stuart Skinner. Among the questions the Oilers faced last postseason: Can Skinner be the goalie who leads them to a championship? His maiden playoff voyage was rocky. There were postseason games in which he had a save percentage exceeding .960, and there were also games in which he was pulled in favor of Jack Campbell. He looked solid this regular season, but until he proves his mettle in the postseason, those questions will linger.

Bold prediction: Adam Henrique finishes among the top five Oilers in playoff points. Again, secondary scoring will be crucial, and this is also a big opportunity for Henrique to make his mark after playing for non-playoff teams for most of the past decade.

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1:04

2024 NHL playoffs: The chase for the Stanley Cup is on

Emily Kaplan sets up the chase for the Stanley Cup as the NHL’s second season gets underway.


Record: 43-27-11, 97 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: Returning to the playoffs for a third straight season was due in part to the depth of the Kings’ roster. They have four players who had more than 20 goals in the regular season, nine players who reached double figures in goals and also had 11 players finish with more than 20 points. Four of those 11 players were defensemen.

Like a number of teams, they also made a coaching change this season, replacing Todd McLellan with interim coach Jim Hiller. His arrival has led to the Kings becoming one of the stronger defensive teams in the NHL. Since he took over on Feb. 2, the Kings have allowed the third fewest goals per game, the fifth fewest shots per game and have a top-six penalty kill.

Biggest flaws: Do they have enough to win a first-round series — particularly against a team that’s beaten them two years in a row? All the moves the front office has made over the last few years has made the Kings one of the more intriguing teams in the NHL, but getting beyond the first round has been the biggest challenge facing a franchise that’s trying to cement itself as one of the West’s elite teams.

Beating a conference power like the Oilers would emphatically answer those questions. But if they don’t, Kings general manager Rob Blake and his front office staff will be asking quite a few questions about what potential changes need to be made.

Player to watch: Pierre-Luc Dubois. Landing Dubois in a megatrade with the Jets — and then signing him to a long-term contract — was one of those moves that signaled the Kings intent when it came to their aspirations. So far, Dubois’ first season in L.A. hasn’t gone as planned, given the 40 points he had through 80 games are the fewest he’s had in a season in which he’s played at least 70. Dubois is averaging 0.68 points per game in 38 career postseason contests, and could use these playoffs to reframe his first season in Southern California.

Bold prediction: Dubois will lead the Kings in points during the playoffs. It’ll allow them to force a Game 7 against the Oilers in a series that will see the Kings make another first-round exit.


Record: 47-30-5, 99 points

Case for a Stanley Cup run: There are two arguments that could explain why the Predators will go on a long run. The first is that the gulf between higher-seeded and lower-seeded teams isn’t that wide anymore. Or at least that was the case last season when the Panthers upset the Bruins while the Seattle Kraken knocked out the Avs.

The second is that the Predators have been one of the NHL’s most consistent teams since Feb. 17 — the day their 18-game points streak started. Only the Hurricanes have won more games than the Preds since then. They’re fourth in goals per game while allowing the fourth least goals per game in that time. Finding that sort of cohesion, while having experienced Cup winners on the team such as Ryan McDonagh, Ryan O’Reilly and Luke Schenn, makes the Preds one of the more intriguing teams to watch.

Biggest flaws: Could a general lack of playoff experience be a problem? One thing that has allowed the Preds to change their fortunes this season is the contributions made by players such as Luke Evangelista, Michael McCarron, Tommy Novak, Kiefer Sherwood and Cole Smith, among others. It’s a group that also doesn’t have much — and in some cases, any — playoff experience.

McCarron and Sherwood have combined to play in five games. Evangelista is a rookie, whereas Novak and Smith haven’t played in the postseason before. Seeing how that particular group can handle the demands of the playoffs could play a rather sizable role in whether or not the Preds can get beyond the first round for the first time since the 2017-18 season.

Player to watch: Juuse Saros. He’s one of the few goaltenders in the NHL who has started more than 60 games in each of the last three seasons. Even though the Preds haven’t made it out the first round in a few years, Saros was strong in his most recent postseason back in 2021-22 when he finished with a .921 save percentage. And with one year left on his contract and the emergence of Yaroslav Askarov, there’s added pressure to perform.

Bold prediction: The Predators will push the Canucks to seven games. Last year’s postseason showed that lower-seeded teams can not only challenge the higher seeds, but beat them in the first round. It’s possible that the Predators could either be the next lower seed to advance to the second round or know they exited the first round on the brink of a major upset.

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‘A better team’ than last year? Why Yankees say they are, even without Soto

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'A better team' than last year? Why Yankees say they are, even without Soto

On Dec. 8, one month and nine days after a nightmare fifth inning torpedoed the New York Yankees‘ hopes of overcoming a 3-1 deficit to the Los Angeles Dodgers in the World Series, the Yankees absorbed another franchise-shifting loss at the winter meetings in Dallas.

Juan Soto wasn’t returning. And he wasn’t just not returning — he was signing with the New York Mets.

The Yankees offered the superstar outfielder a 16-year, $760 million contract. When he rejected it, general manager Brian Cashman and his front office turned to plans they had devised during their pursuit of Soto should they need to pivot. His departure set in motion a flurry of activity over a 12-day stretch in mid-December to attempt to raise the floor on a roster with franchise cornerstones Aaron Judge and Gerrit Cole still in their primes.

“You can’t replace a Juan Soto,” Cashman told ESPN this week. “So how do you cushion the blow and diversify that throughout the lineup? And then the defense was a real problem on our roster. We had a bad defensive team. We have an opportunity to upgrade the defense at the same time, which will improve our run prevention and our pitching. So, getting more athletic, getting more protection on the defensive front while still trying to provide good, strong balance on the offensive side was, ultimately, the simple framework.”

The Yankees believe their aggressive restoration attempt after an uncharted disappointment — losing a bidding war for your superstar free agent? To the Mets? — wasn’t just successful. They believe it was an upgrade.

“Some people may disagree with me,” Yankees owner Hal Steinbrenner told the YES Network on Tuesday, “but some people will agree with me: I think we have a better team right now than we did a year ago today.”


The Yankees’ first post-Soto move — just 48 hours after Soto accepted a 15-year deal worth $765 million guaranteed to defect to Queens — was to bolster a strength: They added another front-line arm to a deep rotation with an eight-year, $218 million contract with Max Fried, one of the three best starters on the free agent market.

A day later, the Yankees agreed to re-sign reliever Jonathan Loaisiga to a one-year, $5 million deal. Two days after that, they acquired Devin Williams, arguably the best closer in the sport, from the Milwaukee Brewers for left-hander Nestor Cortes and prospect Caleb Durbin. Four days later, they finalized a trade with the Chicago Cubs for Cody Bellinger. Three days after that, they acquired reliever Fernando Cruz and catcher Alex Jackson from the Cincinnati Reds for backup catcher Jose Trevino.

Then, on Dec. 21, the last major addition: an agreement with veteran first baseman Paul Goldschmidt on a one-year, $12 million contract.

“The Soto deal is insane,” a rival executive said. “It could be a blessing in the end. Fried is an ace. Bellinger might hit 30 HRs there and shores up their defense. Goldschmidt is a Hall of Famer. Added a bullpen arm. All in all, pretty good.”

The Yankees let second baseman Gleyber Torres and relievers Clay Holmes and Tommy Kahnle walk in free agency. Anthony Rizzo and Alex Verdugo are among the other contributors from last season’s club who won’t return.

“I think they’ve pretty much nailed everything they’ve done,” a rival scout said.

Among the Yankees’ potential targets in a pivot were left-hander Blake Snell and shortstop Willy Adames. The team held Zoom calls with both free agents. Real interest was expressed from both sides. But both players decided to sign in the week before Soto made his choice. The Yankees, not wanting to commit to any long-term deals before knowing where Soto would sign, watched them go elsewhere.

The Yankees also held a Zoom call with Corbin Burnes, the third of the big three free agent starters, but an offer was never made, sources said. The Yankees, with Snell off the market, instead focused on Fried.

In the bullpen, Williams represents an upgrade over Holmes, the Yankees’ closer until he lost the job in early September, though it could be for just one season. Williams arrives with just one year of control remaining, just like Soto had.

“At the end of the day, we are trying to win,” Cashman said. “It’s a win-now move, just like Soto’s acquisition the previous year was a win-now move. And, obviously, the Yankees are about impact and trying to find impact.”

The Cubs, seeking to free up payroll, were between trading Bellinger to the Yankees or Toronto Blue Jays, according to sources with knowledge of the negotiations. The Cubs ultimately settled on the Yankees’ offer of right-hander Cody Poteet, also sending the Yankees $5 million to pay down Bellinger’s salary over the next two years.

At the time of the trade for Bellinger, the Yankees were still shopping for a first baseman. They never had interest in signing Pete Alonso, sources said. Christian Walker could have been a fit, but the Yankees decided they didn’t want to pay the penalty for signing a player who was given the qualifying offer. The Yankees engaged in discussions with the Cleveland Guardians on Josh Naylor, but the two sides couldn’t come to a resolution, according to a source, before Naylor was traded to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

In the end, it came down to giving the job to Ben Rice, a rookie last season, or signing one of two free agents in their late 30s: Goldschmidt or Carlos Santana. Goldschmidt, another former MVP, is 37 years old and coming off his worst season, but the Yankees were encouraged enough by his strong second half (.271/.319/.480) with St. Louis to make the low-risk investment.

Goldschmidt’s down season — he batted .245 with 22 home runs, a .716 OPS, and 1.1 fWAR — would still be a considerable improvement on the production the Yankees received from their first basemen in 2024, who ranked last in the majors in OPS (.594), tied for 26th in home runs (17) and 27th in fWAR (-1.2).

Offsetting the loss of a player of Soto’s caliber — one who recorded a .989 OPS, blasted 41 home runs, posted an 8.1 fWAR, routinely delivered in clutch situations and made life easier for Judge hitting behind him — is an inexact science, with several moving pieces beyond all those transactions.

Judge is slated to move from center field, where the metrics said he performed poorly last season, back to right field. Jasson Dominguez, the organization’s top prospect, should be given an extended run for the first time after September call-ups the past two seasons — and he should be an upgrade in left field over Verdugo, one of the least productive regulars in baseball last season. Add Bellinger in center field, and the Yankees’ outfield projects to drastically improve defensively.

“What’s going to matter ultimately is the wins and losses that transpire over the six months when we open March 27th,” Cashman said. “Once that starts, that’s the real world. Sleep on us, don’t sleep on us. Overrate us, underrate us. None of it matters. All that matters is us winning. And if we win as much as we’re capable of winning, then it keeps those dark storms, that are really not fun to deal with, away. And that’s all I care about.”


The Yankees aren’t quite finished yet. They would like to further replenish the roster in two areas.

Acquiring a third baseman or second baseman — and having Jazz Chisholm Jr. play the other position — remains on their to-do list, though club officials maintain they have internal options, including DJ LeMahieu, Oswaldo Cabrera and Oswald Peraza. Trading for Nolan Arenado or signing Alex Bregman are not among the options, sources said.

They could also use a left-handed reliever; the team’s 40-man roster currently doesn’t include one. A reunion with Tim Hill, who excelled after joining the Yankees in June and recorded a 2.05 ERA in 35 appearances, is on the table.

Financially, the salaries of Goldschmidt, Fried, Williams and Bellinger will combine for $74.6 million on the Yankees’ competitive balance tax (CBT) payroll while Soto alone will count as $51 million against the Mets’ CBT ledger. To facilitate further acquisitions, however, the Yankees prefer to shed right-hander Marcus Stroman‘s contract, which includes $37 million over the next two seasons. The Yankees’ current projected CBT payroll is $302.9 million, according to Cot’s Contracts, putting them nearly $62 million over the tax threshold.

Since they’ve been over the tax for at least three straight years, the Yankees would be taxed at a base rate of 50% plus a 60% surcharge if they exceed the threshold by at least $60 million at the end of the season.

Last season, the Yankees paid a $62.5 million tax for their $316 million CBT payroll. The tax bill was the third-highest among the nine payees. The Mets were second. The team that beat them in October was first.

The Dodgers, after investing more than $1 billion in player contracts last winter, continued splurging after winning the World Series, committing more than $450 million to free agents this winter after paying a $103 million tax payment on top of their $353 million payroll last season. Their spending spree has drawn angst from all corners of the baseball world — including from the Yankees, once the free-spending Goliath who engendered ire throughout the industry.

“It’s difficult for most of us owners to be able to do the kind of things that they’re doing,” Steinbrenner said.

The Yankees, according to Forbes, are the highest valued franchise in the majors and the fourth-highest-valued sports franchise in the world at an estimated $7.55 billion. The Dodgers rank a distant second in baseball and 24th in the world at $5.45 billion but are making major inroads in Japan with Shohei Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and now Roki Sasaki on the roster.

For now, the Dodgers are the defending champions, and they are, on paper, better than ever — with All-Stars seemingly everywhere. The Yankees, without Soto, will try to chase them down with a very different roster after a very busy offseason. Time will tell if their pivot was enough.

“It’s impossible to make 110% great decisions at all times,” Cashman said. “We’re trying to aspire to that, but maybe this ’25 version will be the magic run. We’ll see.”

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Logano insists playoff format is ‘very entertaining’

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Logano insists playoff format is 'very entertaining'

Joey Logano has found a way to tune out months of negativity.

Critics? Naysayers? Anyone who thinks his third Cup Series championship was a fluke?

“I can’t hear it because my trophies, they kind of, like, echo around me,” Logano quipped during a videoconference call with media Wednesday.

Logano won his third title in November, sparking debate about whether NASCAR’s current playoff format is the best way to determine the series’ worthiest champion. Few could make a strong case for that being Logano in 2024.

He won four races, had 13 top-10 finishes and rarely had the car to beat over 37 events.

He got huge breaks along the way, too. He used what amounted to a Hail Mary to win in Nashville — stretching his empty fuel tank through five overtimes — just to qualify for the postseason. And then he was actually eliminated from playoff contention in the second round only to be reinstated when Alex Bowman’s car failed a postrace inspection.

While competitors have since called for NASCAR to tweak its playoff format, with some wanting to move the finale to a different track every year instead of keeping it at Phoenix Raceway, Logano — not surprisingly — believes the setup is just fine.

“The playoff system is very entertaining,” he said, adding that teams often get hot in other sports and win it all. “It takes a lot to get through the 10 races to win the championship. … When the playoffs start, a lot of times you see teams that fire up.

“And we’ve been one of those teams, thankfully, and it’s worked out for us three times. But I don’t think that means you have to change the playoff system.”

NASCAR said earlier this week that no tweaks would be made to the championship format in 2025. Instead, officials plan to study it for another year before making any decisions. That won’t stop drivers from stumping for a makeover.

“I think it deserves a look for sure and probably a change down the road,” Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron said. “I just don’t know what that change is. I feel like we’ve just gotten into such a routine of going to the same racetrack for the final race, and having similar tracks that lead up to it has gotten a little bit predictable. But you could say probably the same thing in other sports, with the [Kansas City] Chiefs hosting the AFC championship every year.

“It’s just kind of the nature of sports, probably; it gets a little bit repetitive. But it’d be nice to see the final race to move around.”

Team Penske has won the last three Cup Series titles, with Logano sandwiching championships around teammate Ryan Blaney. All of those came in Phoenix, where the finale landed in 2020 after nearly two decades at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

NASCAR has made wholesale changes to its schedule in recent years, including moving the season-opening Clash and the all-atar race.

The Clash bounced from Daytona International Speedway to the Los Angeles Coliseum and is now headed to historic Bowman Gray Stadium in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, for Sunday’s exhibition.

The all-star race went from North Carolina to Tennessee to Texas before landing back in North Carolina.

No one would be surprised to see the finale end up with similar movement.

“We have some tracks that could be awesome for the championship, like Vegas and Homestead and even Charlotte,” Byron said. “Just being open to all the different ideas would probably be cool and bring some buzz and also just kind of even the competition out.”

With no changes in sight for now, Logano, 34, can focus on a fourth championship. He’s one of six drivers with three Cup titles and needs another to join Jeff Gordon (4), Dale Earnhardt (7), Jimmie Johnson (7) and Richard Petty (7) as the only guys with at least four.

“Probably not until I’m done racing will I be content with what I have because I’m not done yet,” Logano said. “I got a lot of years ahead of me to win more championships and races.

“As great as it is, the first 20 minutes is amazing because you’re celebrating with your team and your family. And then every day [after] it becomes a little less exciting and more thoughts of, ‘We got to do it again.'”

Another one surely would do a lot to drown out those detractors.

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How the Rantanen blockbuster happened, what’s next for Avs, Canes, other contenders

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How the Rantanen blockbuster happened, what's next for Avs, Canes, other contenders

Mikko Rantanen has been a member of the Carolina Hurricanes for nearly a week, but it’s going to take a bit longer than that for the shock to subside.

Carolina stunned the NHL last Friday night by acquiring Rantanen from the Colorado Avalanche in a three-way deal that also sent Chicago Blackhawks winger Taylor Hall to the Hurricanes. Entering Wednesday night, Rantanen was tied for sixth in the NHL in scoring (65 points). Since the 2021-22 season, the 28-year-old winger was fifth with 365 points in 286 games, including back-to-back 100-point seasons.

The NHL simply does not see this level of offensive superstar traded within the regular season; nor does it see teams with designs on the Stanley Cup move on from foundational core players like Colorado did with Rantanen. But his contract demands, as a pending unrestricted free agent, created a significant impasse with the Avalanche, with whom he had played for 10 seasons.

Rantanen told ESPN on Tuesday that he still hasn’t reached out to all the Avalanche teammates he wants to connect with. Both teams were right back in action in the aftermath of the trade, and Rantanen has been in a personal hurricane of reorienting his new life in Raleigh.

He knows players like Nathan MacKinnon have expressed their disappointment in seeing him traded. The feeling is mutual.

“I thought it was going to be an extension for sure. I can’t lie about that,” Rantanen said. “It was surprising because there was still some time to the deadline. I totally understand they didn’t want to lose me for free. But it surprised me for sure. I didn’t expect it at all.”

Nor did the rest of the NHL, which is still processing one of the biggest blockbusters of the last decade. We spoke with several NHL executives, agents and players to get a sense of the trade’s magnitude and the fallout that could impact more than just the teams involved.


Is this the right gamble for Carolina?

The Hurricanes were in New York when the Rantanen trade went down, with a game against the Islanders on the following evening. The players were at dinner when the news broke about Hall and then Rantanen. The tone and tenor of the meal quickly changed.

“We didn’t know who was going the other way. We all tried to figure out who it was,” center Jesperi Kotkaniemi said.

Kotkaniemi started getting texts from Finnish friends. “They’re really pumped in Finland. They’re able to watch the two best players now on the same team. So what could be better for them?” he said of Rantanen and center Sebastian Aho.

But then something else happened on social media: It was erroneously reported that Kotkaniemi himself would be sent to the Avalanche in the Rantanen trade.

On the surface, it made sense: He’s a 24-year-old forward signed through 2029-30 at a reasonable cap hit ($4.82 million annually), but he was never part of the package for Rantanen. Still, his name was out there long enough for another wave of text messages to roll in about his own future, which made the situation a bit more intense for him.

“It was a very hectic 15 minutes there,” he said.

It’s been a hectic few weeks for Eric Tulsky, in his first season as Hurricanes general manager. The league was buzzing about Carolina being active in the trade market. Sources told ESPN that the Hurricanes and Vancouver Canucks had engaged in negotiations about forwards Elias Pettersson and J.T. Miller. The players’ longstanding feud had finally reached a boiling point, and Vancouver was seeking to ship one or both of them out before the March 7 trade deadline.

Kotkaniemi and forward Jack Roslovic were discussed in the framework of a Miller trade. Martin Necas wasn’t on the table for Miller, but might have been part of a deal for Pettersson.

Meanwhile, Carolina was also engaged in talks with the Avalanche for Rantanen, ones that tracked back to last summer.

Tulsky said last week that there was a desire for all parties to “get their best offers on the table” so the Hurricanes could decide which player to pursue. “Everybody had multiple offers. It was sort of time for everyone to figure out what they wanted to do, and this deal got done,” he said. “It was a complicated dance.”

When the music stopped, Rantanen and Hall were members of the Hurricanes.

The Avalanche picked up Carolina forwards Necas and Jack Drury, as well as a second-round pick in this year’s draft and a fourth-rounder in 2026. Chicago acquired its 2025 third-rounder from Carolina for Hall, the rights to Swedish forward Nils Juntorp and 50% retention of Rantanen’s $9.25 million salary cap hit. The Hurricanes ended up with Hall, a former Hart Trophy winner as league MVP, and Rantanen.

“Obviously, Carolina has been coveting a superstar and this is the way to get one,” one agent said.

NHL executives were impressed with the boldness of the swing from Carolina.

“Good for them. Risk and reward,” a general manager said. “They’re giving up controllable assets for someone that you’re not sure you can control. But they have the cap space to sign him. He’s a great player who makes them a better team.”

The executives we spoke with downplayed the notion that the Hurricanes might have started an “arms race” in the Eastern Conference among contenders. One general manager said that most teams have their own plans in mind for the NHL trade deadline for specific needs that won’t be torn up because a rival made a blockbuster trade.

There were virtues to all three players the Hurricanes were considering. Miller and Pettersson were both signed with lengthy term. Miller seemed cut from a Rod Brind’Amour mold as a great, two-way player who’s difficult to play against. (Depending on who you believe, he’s also a bit difficult to play with as a teammate.) Pettersson has been underwhelming this season, but has incredible upside as a star offensive. In 2022-23, he had 103 points in 80 games for Vancouver.

But Rantanen’s combination of size, skill and offensive consistency was too much for the Hurricanes to pass up. Especially when one considers his Stanley Cup Playoff success: Since 2019-20, Rantanen is fifth in postseason scoring, with 83 points in 63 games, including 28 goals.

Carolina has made the playoffs for six straight seasons, each time not producing enough offense to advance out of the conference. In that span, the Hurricanes have a .486 winning percentage in one-goal games.

The downside to acquiring Rantanen, potentially: They currently don’t know if he’ll be one-and-done in Raleigh, a superstar rental for a team that’s yet to play for the Stanley Cup with Brind’Amour as their coach.

“Carolina will look stupid if they lose in the first round and he walks away to another team,” an agent said. “But I think they’re going to sign him. I think he’ll like it there.”


Did Colorado make the right call?

Nathan MacKinnon was already in a mood after the Avalanche lost to the Boston Bruins last Saturday.

“I wish I could have talked about this not right now,” he said.

But this was the first opportunity for the media to ask Colorado’s star center about losing his linemate and close friend Mikko Rantanen.

“Just sad, obviously. Losing Mikko … really great friend for 10 years. Won a Cup together. I don’t really know what happened,” he said. “It’s just unfortunate losing a great friend and a great teammate.”

Rantanen was seeking a contract in the neighborhood of the eight-year extension Leon Draisaitl signed with the Edmonton Oilers in September. That deal carries an average annual value of $14 million. Both Rantanen and Draisaitl are represented by agent Andy Scott.

The winger has said he was willing to take less than market value to remain in Colorado, but it’s unclear what that number actually looked like with regard to market value.

MacKinnon tried to stay out of Rantanen’s business on a new contract. The ticking clock didn’t bother him. He assumed it would play out much like Gabriel Landeskog‘s negotiations with the team did back in 2021, when the latter signed an eight-year, $56 million extension hours before free agency. But MacKinnon was wrong.

“I never thought in a million years he’d leave. It just sucks,” he said.

But Rantanen’s departure was something the Avalanche and GM Chris MacFarland believed was a possibility. The Avalanche and Hurricanes had been discussing Rantanen since last summer. Tulsky said the teams tabled “serious offers” for the winger during the past six to eight weeks. The Hurricanes were pushing hard to complete the trade in the past two weeks.

Others around the league knew it was a possibility too.

“I wasn’t surprised. For me, it wasn’t a secret,” a GM said. “The potential was there because of their situation — that he can’t go over MacKinnon [in AAV] or whatever. And I know that Carolina wasn’t the only team they were speaking with about Rantanen.”

MacKinnon makes $12.6 million against the salary cap on a deal that runs through 2030-31. Before signing that deal in Sept. 2022, he talked about taking less than market value — on a contract that made him the highest paid player in the league at the time — in order to “win with the group.” It’s the same mindset exhibited by his friend and mentor Sidney Crosby with the Pittsburgh Penguins over Crosby’s career.

But the contract that really influenced the Rantanen deal was one that hasn’t been signed yet: Cale Makar‘s next deal, which will begin in 2027-28. Considered by some to be the best offensive defenseman since Bobby Orr, Makar could earn the largest NHL contract for a defenseman ever.

“I think they made a decision that you can have two players but not three players making more than $12 million per season,” an agent said. “They knew, ballpark, the number for Cale Makar. So their decision was, ‘We can have two, but not three. Who do we keep?'”

So MacFarland had a choice to make: Top-load his roster with three star players gobbling up a large percentage of the salary cap or break up their holy hockey trinity. MacFarland made it clear that in doing the latter, he was acknowledging the team didn’t have championship depth and needed the flexibility to get it back.

“It’s clear we are not deep enough. I think that you’ve got to be deep to go four rounds, and hopefully this is going to help that,” MacFarland said. “Obviously Mikko is a superstar. You can’t replace that. But he’s a superstar that earned the right to be a free agent.”

One agent was skeptical of the negotiation: “I don’t feel they ever really were interested in signing him.”

Another agent felt the Avalanche did what they had to do. “It was the right trade for Colorado, because they couldn’t afford to pay Rantanen what he wanted within the context of their salary structure. He didn’t have full trade protection, so good move by them to trade him,” they said.

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Mikko Rantanen nets goal for Avalanche

Mikko Rantanen nets goal for Avalanche

MacFarland called it “a tough business decision” for the team. “It hurts, right. He’s a homegrown talent. He’s a superstar person. He’s a superstar human being,” he said.

Of course, there are other “business decisions” to think about in Denver or any NHL market.

“There’s an argument to be made that keeping Rantanen makes sense because you’re selling tickets. It doesn’t really matter ultimately if you win the Cup, but you have to be good every year. That guy is going to allow you to make the playoffs every year,” another general manager said. “But I could also make the argument that winning the Cup trumps everything else, and that winning it buys you a few seasons of a steady revenue stream no matter what your success is in those seasons.”

MacFarland has made it clear that teams usually have to draft and develop players like Rantanen. “We’re going to have to try and replace him in the aggregate; 50-goal scorers don’t grow on trees,” he said.

But what if he could be replaced?

“You could make the argument that Rantanen is a unicorn, and that you’re not finding another player like that,” a general manager said. “That said, what’s your opportunity cost? Could you find another 100-point winger like that? What could you trade to find that?”

One agent believes the Avalanche could find that player because of MacKinnon.

“Something no one seems to be discussing: I think the Avalanche believe that MacKinnon was a big part of Rantanen’s success, and that they would be able to put another guy with MacKinnon, pay him less and have comparable success,” they said.

Right now that player is Necas, who was immediately placed with MacKinnon after the trade. The speedy winger led the Hurricanes in scoring this season and has another year on his contract at $6.5 million AAV.

MacFarland said it was important to have Necas and Drury, an “emerging player” down the lineup, under contract and “cost-controlled” beyond this season. He said the trade would allow the Avalanche to potentially make more moves before the March 7 deadline. Many sources are wondering if the Avalanche would target a center to play behind MacKinnon, with players like the Islanders’ Brock Nelson in the conversation.

“I think we’re always sort of looking to get better. Certainly, over the next few weeks that won’t change. I think obviously there are a little more bullets in the draft-pick cupboard and some cap space,” MacFarland said.

But no Mikko Rantanen any longer.


‘What is Chicago doing?’

The Blackhawks’ role in the Rantanen trade had observers around the NHL baffled.

“What the f— is Chicago doing?” one NHL executive asked.

The Blackhawks retained half of Rantanen’s salary and cap hit, while also trading Hall to the Hurricanes. For that, they received their own 2025 third-round draft pick that Carolina had acquired from Chicago at the 2024 draft.

In recent trades, a third-party team retaining 25% of a player’s salary to facilitate a transaction has typically received a fourth-round pick. Chicago retaining that much cap space ($4.625 million) for 50% of a player’s salary and including a veteran forward with Hall’s abilities in a deal for only one third-round pick in return left many criticizing the return for the Blackhawks. But NHL insiders acknowledge there may have been some method to Chicago’s perceived madness.

One aspect of the trade that hasn’t gotten a lot of attention is the actual salaries for Rantanen and Hall this season. Rantanen’s contract has a declining real-dollar value to where he was making only $6 million this season after having a base salary of $12 million in the first two years of the deal. Hall made $5.25 million this season. As one general manager noted, from a base salary perspective, the Blackhawks are paying slightly more for the rest of Rantanen’s contract than they would have if Hall finished the season with them.

“Essentially, Chicago was asked to sell a little cap space with the money being the same. They get a third for Hall — which to me is a little low — but effectively that’s what they’re doing,” one general manager said.

Davidson said that trading Hall was the logical move now because things frankly weren’t going to get better for him in Chicago leading up to the trade deadline. “You run the risk of things like injury, the role was diminishing almost by the game, and it just wasn’t heading towards a way that was going to maximize or enhance value,” he said.

As one NHL agent put it: “I know Kyle Davidson’s taking a lot of heat, but I don’t think he probably was going to get much better for Taylor Hall than what he got.”

There’s no question it hasn’t been the happiest season for Hall in Chicago. Former head coach Luke Richardson surprised him by making him a healthy scratch earlier this season. He had nine goals in 46 games. One NHL executive suggested that moving Hall out now could benefit the vibes inside Chicago’s dressing room.

But moving him out now also means not having to use Chicago’s last salary retention spot to move him later, which Davidson would undoubtedly have to do to make a trade work at the deadline. Now that slot is available for another deadline trade involving a player like forward Ryan Donato ($2 million AAV) or defenseman Alec Martinez ($4 million AAV), both of whom are unrestricted free agents after the season; or a more coveted player in forward Jason Dickinson, who has two years left at $4.25 million AAV.


Will Carolina sign Rantanen?

The Hurricanes now have the chance to do something no other team can do for Rantanen this offseason: Give him an eight-year contract. Per the NHL Collective Bargaining Agreement, everyone else can only go as high as seven years.

“Where is he going to go for seven years instead of the eight that Carolina can give him? If they’re willing to go eight years and $13 million annually, where else would he want to go that’s good that can afford him?” one agent pondered.

Rantanen told me that the Hurricanes’ ability to give him an eighth year will be a factor in his eventual free-agent decision. But those negotiations are a ways off. He’s got other things to think about now.

“To be honest, I haven’t had any chance to think about an extension, just trying to get into the group and try to play well,” he said. “So I think we’ll have to think about those situations in a couple weeks or so.”

What’s been interesting in chatting with sources about Rantanen and the Hurricanes is that the money doesn’t seem to be a concern. Owner Tom Dundon is infamous for his tough negotiations on contracts for everyone from players to his own coaches. But the assumption is that the Hurricanes had a ballpark idea of what Rantanen is looking for on his next contract and were comfortable going there in negotiations.

Obviously, the Hurricanes faced a similar situation when they traded for Pittsburgh Penguins winger Jake Guentzel at the deadline last season and attempted to sign him to an extension, only to see the Tampa Bay Lightning ink him instead.

But Tulsky said the conditions are more favorable to keep Rantanen than they were for retaining Guentzel. Last season, the Hurricanes didn’t have the cap flexibility to sign Guentzel and the other players they wanted. This offseason, Tulsky estimates the team could have between $35 million to $40 million in cap space.

“Our team situation is totally different right now,” he said. “We don’t feel nearly as constrained.”

So if it’s not the money and it’s not the percentage of the salary cap, what is the make-or-break thing for Rantanen staying with the Hurricanes?

“I think they will ultimately sign him, unless he absolutely hates it there,” one agent concluded.

Tulsky admitted that the Hurricanes’ current approach to Rantanen is “more of a recruiting pitch than a negotiation in my mind.” They have to sell him on the franchise, the system, the players on the roster and on the way and, most of all, spending the next eight years of his life in Raleigh.

Sebastian Aho has not affixed “Ambassador” to his name, but it might as well be there. He’s been a friend and Finnish national team teammate for Rantanen throughout their lives. Aho has starred with Carolina since 2016-17. No one on the Hurricanes is better equipped to sell Rantanen on Raleigh and the franchise.

“I guess it’s just about making him feel comfortable, making him feel welcome. I think that goes a long way,” Aho said. “But obviously if he wants to go play a round of golf, I’m not saying no to that.”


What if Rantanen goes to market?

There isn’t yet certainty on the NHL’s salary cap in the near term. Some projections have it jumping from $88 million to upwards of $97 million next season. From there, the sky’s the limit.

One agent said that as the salary cap rises, some teams will claim they have an internal cap that only allows them to offer so much money to players. But after one or two huge contracts are handed out that elevate teams to the new ceiling, that dogma will go out the window.

“Competitiveness is going to kick in. GMs and owners are going to decide that they need to spend more to stay competitive,” the agent said.

The opportunity has never been greater for a player like Rantanen to maximize his earning potential on the open market. Leon Draisaitl’s contract with the Oilers was $112 million over eight years, or $14 million AAV.

“I think he’ll get Draisaitl-like money as a UFA,” one agent predicted.

“There are probably some good teams that might be willing to go seven years at $14 million annually to get him,” another said.

Draisaitl’s contract is one factor, but there’s another winger potentially going to market this summer seeking a big contract: Mitch Marner of the Toronto Maple Leafs, who is in the last year of a six-year contract with a $10.903 million AAV.

As far as possible suitors, two of the NHL’s richest franchises come to mind:

  • The New York Rangers continue to aggressively try to reshape their roster. They nearly completed a trade for Miller with the Canucks in recent weeks, with center Filip Chytil as the centerpiece. But salary retention and draft pick conditions were reported sticking points. If they’re able to create the necessary space — moving out a veteran like Chris Kreider or Mika Zibanejad — Rantanen is the kind of shiny new toy the franchise finds hard to resist. Consider also that winger Artemi Panarin will be in the last year of his contract in 2025-26 at an $11,642,857 AAV.

  • The other team is already paying part of Rantanen’s salary: The Chicago Blackhawks. They’re expected to be in on every player they can this offseason in an attempt to quickly build a contender around young star Connor Bedard. The 19-year-old phenom has shown some discontent at dwelling in the Central Division cellar in the first two seasons of his NHL career. Putting a top five scorer like Rantanen on his wing would certainly put a smile on his face. Needless to say, Chicago has the money and the cap space to attempt it — if not the competitive team that Rantanen might be compelled to join.

Then there’s a wild card played recently by insider Andy Strickland, who is the rinkside reporter for the St. Louis Blues on FanDuel Sports Network. On his “Cam & Stick” podcast, Strickland said Rantanen will sign with the Edmonton Oilers this summer.

“They’re going to be able to pay him and I think there would be some interest from him,” he said, noting that Draisaitl and Rantanen share an agent. Strickland said the acquisition of Rantanen would also be an enticement for star Connor McDavid to re-sign, as he becomes an unrestricted free agent in summer 2026.

The magnitude of this trade, and the star quality of the player, lend themselves to this kind of speculation. The Hurricanes have some advantages in seeking to keep Rantanen. But they won’t be alone if he tests the market.

“Assuming he doesn’t hate the system and the environment there, I think he signs with Carolina,” one agent said. “If he doesn’t care where he plays, all bets are off.”

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