The good news after a record-setting weekend in Detroit: Your team is going 20-0 and winning the Lombardi Trophy.
The bad news: Your team missed out on your favorite X factor prospect, and the future is bleak.
The real news: 257 players had their dreams come true throughout the weekend when they were selected to join an NFL team and help their new organization compete for a Super Bowl.
No pressure.
Here’s a look at some of the major trends of the 2024 NFL draft.
The quarterback quandary
It’s good to be a quarterback. Or at least it’s good to be a first-round quarterback. In a league where quarterback play — especially from young, affordable talent — is becoming increasingly more valuable, the 2024 draft saw six quarterbacks go in the first 12 picks, marking only the second time that six QBs were picked in the first round since 1983. It also represented the fewest selections in which six signal-callers have been drafted.
The first three off the board weren’t much of a surprise: Caleb Williams (Bears), Jayden Daniels (Commanders) and Drake Maye (Patriots). Then things went sideways when the Falcons stunningly drafted Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. at No. 8, despite signing quarterback Kirk Cousins to a lucrative free agent deal less than two months ago. Two picks later, the Minnesota Vikings made their much-anticipated trade up to select Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy, and the Broncos rounded out the group with Oregon’s Bo Nix at No. 12.
But after the boom of quarterbacks in the top 12 picks, not a single QB went until 150th overall when the New Orleans Saints selected South Carolina’s Spencer Rattler in the fifth round, setting another record of 137 straight picks without a quarterback being drafted. It also marked the third time in the common draft era that a QB wasn’t selected in the second or third round. It was 21 picks later before the second Day 3 quarterback came off the board when the New York Jets drafted Florida State’s Jordan Travis as a potential heir to Aaron Rodgers. Tennessee quarterback Joe Milton III was eventually picked by the Patriots at 193 in the sixth round.
The gap in quarterbacks could signal one of two things: The league’s talent evaluators believed there was a massive drop-off between the top six quarterbacks and the rest of the class or teams are devaluing development prospects. Both make some sense. In a league that has become increasingly impatient with young quarterbacks, there’s more pressure to see an immediate positive impact from its drafted QBs. The faster a quarterback proves himself, the more time the team has to build around him with expensive weapons while its quarterback’s inexpensive rookie contract is still on the books.
Lives of luxury?
No, this category isn’t about the Los Angeles Rams draft house. Although, those are pretty sweet digs, and the Rams actually had to do some work from there in the first round this year for the first time since 2016.
Instead, let’s take a look at the teams that used high draft picks to address positions that were already pretty well stocked.
The Atlanta Falcons started that trend early by drafting quarterback Michael Penix Jr. at No. 8 overall, despite recently signing Kirk Cousins to a four-year deal with $100 million guaranteed. The Falcons, though, stocked up on more pressing positions of need with their subsequent picks, taking four straight front-seven defenders.
A couple of picks later, with the top-tier quarterbacks off the board, new Raiders general manager Tom Telesco selected Georgia tight end Brock Bowers at No. 13, despite the team drafting TE Michael Mayer at No. 35 overall a year ago. Bowers, though, is a more versatile pass-catcher than Mayer and could work out of the slot or as an outside receiver.
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Can Caleb Williams lead the Bears to the playoffs next season?
Domonique Foxworth and Dan Graziano discuss the likelihood of the Bears making the playoffs with Caleb Williams at quarterback.
“He was really pretty [much] a consensus guy,” Telesco said of the team’s opinion of Bowers on Thursday. “Makes it a little bit easier, fully knowing that we have Michael Mayer, who is an excellent tight end, but there’s no rule in the NFL that you can only play one. We can play two tight ends; we can move people around.”
The 49ers closed Round 1 by drafting Florida wide receiver Ricky Pearsall despite having a stockpile of pass-catchers in WRs Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, TE George Kittle, RB Christian McCaffrey and FB Kyle Juszczyk. Some thought the San Francisco pick could signal an impending trade of Aiyuk or Samuel, but when the draft closed, both were still 49ers. And GM John Lynch shot down the trade rumors in his Friday night news conference.
“We didn’t entertain any of that today,” Lynch said. “We’re happy with our wide receiver group. Actually, more than happy. We’re really thrilled with it. And thrilled to have added Ricky to that group and even make it stronger.”
Rich get richer?
The Kansas City Chiefs keep winning. The back-to-back Super Bowl champions not only landed value picks, but they grabbed two of them in trades with teams they beat in the 2023 playoffs. First, general manager Brett Veach traded up in the first round, using Buffalo’s No. 28 pick to snag speedy wide receiver Xavier Worthy, pairing him with another blazing wideout in free agency addition Marquise “Hollywood” Brown.
“Anytime you can add speed and add a guy with that type of versatility, I think you’re going to be interested,” Veach said Thursday night. “Just our ability to play vertical and have speed on the field at all times and having Xavier and Hollywood.
“As the season goes on here, I think we’ll have just an offense that can attack in multiple different ways and always keep defenses guessing.”
Bad news, NFL: Patrick Mahomes already won a Super Bowl without an elite receiving corps. Now, he has a track team on the outside and a physical pass-catcher with great finesse in Travis Kelce on the inside.
The move was particularly head-scratching because the Bills had a clear need at wideout after trading away No. 1 receiver Stefon Diggs. But GM Brandon Beane explained his team traded out of the first round — later trading the Panthers the No. 32 pick for their No. 33 as a part of package — because they wanted to recoup a third-round pick and believed there were quality players available at the top of the second. (Indeed, the Bills selected wideout Keon Coleman at No. 33.)
In the second round, the Chiefs then worked out a deal with the 49ers, whom they beat in overtime in the Super Bowl, to get pick No. 63 and draft 6-foot-5, 325-pound BYU offensive tackle Kingsley Suamataia.
“I love Veach man!” Mahomes tweeted after the Suamataia pick.
Defense delayed
Mamas, don’t let your babies grow up to be defensive players — at least not if you’re hoping for them to be selected in the top 10 picks of the NFL draft. The first defensive player — UCLA edge rusher Laiatu Latu — didn’t come off the board until the 15th pick. And while the Latu selection didn’t exactly open the floodgates right away, eight of the final 18 first-round picks were defensive players.
After a record-setting 23 offensive players went off the board in the first round, 20 defensive players were drafted in Round 2, tied for the fourth most in second round and the most there since 22 went in 2016.
Among the defensive positions most devalued was linebacker. The first one didn’t come off the board until the Packers traded up for Edgerrin Cooper with the 45th overall pick. The next linebacker, Michigan’s Junior Colson, wasn’t drafted until the third round, which proved to be one sweet spot for the position. Five linebackers were selected in the third round. Then six more went in the fifth.
The only defensive position group that had to wait longer to get its first pick was safety. Minnesota’s Tyler Nubin went two picks after Cooper to the New York Giants, followed by two more from the position in that round.
While the majority of teams stocked up on offensive players, two prioritized defense through the first three rounds. Neither the Eagles nor the Lions took an offensive player in the first three rounds.
The offense still finished ahead of the defense by the end of Day 2, with 54 offensive players selected to 46 defensive players.
Trade Eagles, trade
Philadelphia Eagles general manager Howie Roseman outdid himself. Notorious for wheeling and dealing, Roseman orchestrated nine trades in the draft, the most by any team since 1990. The next closest were the 2018 Patriots and the 2023 Texans, with eight trades each.
Not only did Roseman trade up with the Washington Commanders to land cornerback Cooper DeJean in the second round, but on Day 3, the Eagles traded the No. 164 overall pick and a sixth-rounder to the Indianapolis Colts to select legacy linebacker Jeremiah Trotter Jr. with the No. 155 pick overall. Trotter’s dad was selected by the same organization in the third round of the 1998 draft and became a four-time Pro Bowler over a 12-year career. Prior to the trade that landed Trotter, Roseman went wild in the fourth round with three trades. (Jets GM Joe Douglas also got in on the action and made three trades of his own in that round.)
In the first round, though, Roseman didn’t need to pull off any deals to land a star player. Because of the run on offensive players, the board set up perfectly for the Eagles to select Toledo cornerback Quinyon Mitchell at No. 22. Mitchell, widely considered the best cornerback in the class, models his game after veteran Eagles cornerback Darius Slay, giving the team a ready-made heir apparent for the CB1 job whenever Slay, entering his 12th season, moves on.
“Obviously, he’s got a lot to prove as a small-school player,” Roseman told Philadelphia media. “The MAC is not the National Football League. We understand that. We’ve had tremendous success with big schools. To take a player like this from the MAC, he has to be special.”
The Eagles’ first round, uncharacteristic because Roseman stuck with the original pick and chose a player from a small school, caused instant anguish for Cowboys defensive end Micah Parsons, who was watching the draft on a livestream.
“I’m honestly utterly disgusted on how lucky the Eagles are,” Parsons said of the Mitchell pick on a Bleacher Report livestream. “I do not know how he fell that far; with the run of offensive tackles and quarterbacks, that’s the only thing that makes sense. I thought he was a top-15, top-12 talent, and he just fell right into their laps.”
Deep and wide (receiver class)
All the pre-draft buzz of deep wide receiver and offensive line classes was reflected throughout the weekend. There were a combined 50 wideout and O-lineman selections through the first four rounds, setting a common draft era record.
Twenty-five offensive linemen went in the first three rounds, and of those, 17 were listed at offensive tackle — both records for the most drafted in the first three rounds in the common draft era.
The Steelers were among the teams who made the most of the deep offensive line class, drafting three linemen with their first five picks, marking the first time the Steelers have selected three O-linemen within their first five picks in the common draft era.
In that same three-round span, 16 receivers were selected, one shy of tying the record. In fact, the first non-quarterback selected Thursday night was Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr., who went to the Arizona Cardinals. Fittingly, the next player drafted was offensive tackle Joe Alt followed by LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers to the New York Giants.
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Tannenbaum: Giants made a big mistake passing on J.J. McCarthy
Mike Tannenbaum was confused by the Giants drafting WR Malik Nabers over QB J.J. McCarthy considering Daniel Jones’ injury history.
“I do think it’s a deep receiver draft,” Giants general manager Joe Schoen said prior to the draft. “They come in different shapes and sizes and speeds, but I do think it’s a deep wide receiver draft from top to bottom, depending on what you’re looking for.
“[There is] some added value with guys, the new kickoff rules, the guys that can also do returns. I think there’s an added element there too, and there’s some receivers that can wear multiple hats, not just as a receiver but also as a returner. Yeah, I do think it’s a good draft. … However people have them ranked, I think it is a good draft from the receiver position.”
WR Ja’Lynn Polk, picked at No. 37 overall by the New England Patriots was the 10th wide receiver selected, making the 2024 draft the fastest that 10 wideouts came off the board in the common draft era. Prior to this year, the fastest that 10 wide receivers had been drafted was by pick No. 45 in 1994.
Draft of runs
Not only did the draft start with a run on quarterbacks, but that streaky nature continued all weekend. Four wide receivers went off the board consecutively between the final two picks of the first round and the first two of the second. Soon after, four cornerbacks flew off the board in a row, from No. 40 to No. 43. By the end of the round, 10 defensive backs came off the board as compared to just three in the first round.
In the fourth round, running backs started to fly off the board, including three in a row, to the Eagles, Bills and 49ers. By the time the fourth wrapped up, six running backs were selected, the most in a single round since seven went in the sixth round of the 2019 draft. Prior to the fourth round, only four running backs had been selected.
And in the span of 11 picks in the sixth round, three kickers came off the board: Alabama’s Will Reichard (Vikings), Stanford’s Joshua Karty (Rams) and Arkansas’ Cam Little (Jaguars).
Ducks fly together …
… and they get drafted together. Oregon players were a popular pick this year, and when running back Bucky Irving became the seventh Duck off the board by early on Day 3, it set a school record for the most selections in the common draft era.
Three Oregon picks flew off the board in the middle of the fourth round when CB Khyree Jackson went No. 108 overall to the Minnesota Vikings, followed by DL Brandon Dorlus to the Falcons with the next pick and, two selections later, safety Evan Williams to the Green Bay Packers after they made a trade with the Jets.
The Broncos landed two Ducks, trading up 19 spots to open Day 3 to snag wide receiver Troy Franklin, reuniting him with teammate Bo Nix, who was the Broncos’ first-round pick. The Broncos brass was plenty familiar with Franklin, who participated in a private workout with Nix for the Broncos in March. And Franklin thrived with Nix throwing him the ball, setting Oregon single-season records last season in receiving yards (1,383), receiving touchdowns (14) and 100-yard receiving games (eight).
“He makes the receiver’s job easier,” Franklin said of Nix. “That’s my guy right there.”
Oregon, though, wasn’t the most represented program in this year’s draft, eclipsed by College Football Playoff national champion Michigan (13), runner-up Washington (10) and semifinalists Texas (11) and Alabama (10). The Wolverines’ 13 draft picks also set a program record for most selected in a single draft.
The Big D
No, not Dallas. Detroit put on a show hosting the 2024 NFL draft, breaking the all-time attendance record with 700,000 fans over the three-day event, shattering the previous mark of 600,000 set by fans in Nashville at the 2019 draft. Detroit also broke attendance records on Day 1 and Day 2.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer made the announcement to the fans early on Day 3 of the draft.
“We have shown the world what the Motor City is about,” Whitmer told the crowd.
While the fans had fun flooding Detroit’s downtown for the draft, back at the Lions’ facility, the team’s staffers also were having fun by wearing black No. 89 Dan Campbell jerseys on the final day of the NFL draft — a celebratory move after Campbell won a bet to bring back the black jerseys by winning the NFC North in 2023.
After another week of frustrating setbacks, at the end of a frustrating year trying to bring stability to their industry, a growing number of college athletic directors say they are interested in exploring a once-unthinkable option: collective bargaining with their players.
Dozens of athletic directors will gather in Las Vegas over the next few days for an annual conference. They had hoped to be raising toasts to the U.S. House of Representatives. But for the second time in three months, House members balked last week at voting on a bill that would give the NCAA protection from antitrust lawsuits and employment threats. So instead, they will be greeted by one of the Strip’s specialties: the cold-slap realization of needing a better plan.
“I’m not sure I can sit back today and say I’m really proud of what we’ve become,” Boise State athletic director Jeramiah Dickey told ESPN late last week. “There is a solution. We just have to work together to find it, and maybe collective bargaining is it.”
Athletic directors see only two paths to a future in which the college sports industry can enforce rules and defend them in court: Either Congress grants them an exemption from antitrust laws, or they collectively bargain with athletes. As Dickey said, and others have echoed quietly in the past several days, it has become irresponsible to continue to hope for an antitrust bailout without at least fully kicking the tires on the other option.
“If Congress ends up solving it for us, and it ends up being a healthy solution I’ll be the first one to do cartwheels down the street,” said Tennessee athletic director Danny White when speaking to ESPN about his interest in collective bargaining months ago. “But what are the chances they get it right when the NCAA couldn’t even get it right? We should be solving it ourselves.”
Some athletic directors thought they had solved their era of relative lawlessness back in July. The NCAA and its schools agreed to pay $2.8 billion in the House settlement to purchase a very expensive set of guardrails meant to put a cap on how much teams could spend to acquire players. The schools also agreed to fund the College Sports Commission, a new agency created by the settlement to police those restrictions.
But without an antitrust exemption, any school or player who doesn’t like a punishment they receive for bursting through those guardrails can file a lawsuit and give themselves a pretty good chance of wiggling out of a penalty. The CSC’s plan — crafted largely by leaders of the Power 4 conferences — to enforce those rules without an antitrust exemption was to get all their schools to sign a promise that they wouldn’t file any such lawsuits. On the same day that Congress’ attempt crumbled last week, seven state attorneys general angrily encouraged their schools not to sign the CSC’s proposed agreement.
In the wake of the attorneys general’s opposition, a loose deadline to sign the agreement came and went, with many schools declining to participate. So, college football is steamrolling toward another transfer portal season without any sheriff that has the legal backing to police how teams spend money on building their rosters.
That’s why college sports fans have heard head football coaches like Lane Kiffin openly describe how they negotiated for the biggest player payroll possible in a system where all teams are supposed to be capped at the same $20.5 million limit. Right now, the rules aren’t real. The stability promised as part of the House settlement doesn’t appear to be imminent. Meanwhile, the tab for potential damages in future antitrust lawsuits continues to grow larger with each passing day.
Collective bargaining isn’t easy, either. Under the current law, players would need to be employees to negotiate a legally binding deal. The NCAA and most campus leaders are adamantly opposed to turning athletes into employees for several reasons, including the added costs and infrastructure it would require.
The industry would need to make tough decisions about which college athletes should be able to bargain and how to divide them into logical groups. Should the players be divided by conference? Should all football players negotiate together? What entity would sit across from them at the bargaining table?
On Monday, Athletes.Org, a group that has been working for two years to become college sports’ version of a players’ union, published a 35-page proposal for what an agreement might look like. Their goal was to show it is possible to answer the thorny, in-the-weeds questions that have led many leaders in college sports to quickly dismiss collective bargaining as a viable option.
Multiple athletic directors and a sitting university president are taking the proposal seriously — a milestone for one of the several upstart entities working to gain credibility as a representative for college athletes. Syracuse chancellor and president Kent Syverud said Monday that he has long felt the best way forward for college sports is a negotiation where athletes have “a real collective voice in setting the rules.”
“[This template] is an important step toward that kind of partnership-based framework,” he said in a statement released with AO’s plan. “… I’m encouraged to see this conversation happening more openly, so everyone can fully understand what’s at stake.”
White, the Tennessee athletic director, has also spent years working with lawyers to craft a collective bargaining option. In his plan, the top brands in college football would form a single private company, which could then employ players. He says that would provide a solution in states where employees of public institutions are not legally allowed to unionize.
“I don’t understand why everyone’s so afraid of employment status,” White said. “We have kids all over our campus that have jobs. … We have kids in our athletic department that are also students here that work in our equipment room, and they have employee status. How that became a dirty word, I don’t get it.”
White said athletes could be split into groups by sport to negotiate for a percentage of the revenue they help to generate.
The result could be expensive for schools. Then again, paying lawyers and lobbyists isn’t cheap either. The NCAA and the four power conferences combined to spend more than $9 million on lobbyists between 2021 and 2024, the latest year where public data is available. That’s a relatively small figure compared to the fees and penalties they could face if they continue to lose antitrust cases in federal court.
“I’m not smart enough to say [collective bargaining] is the only answer or the best answer,” Dickey said. “But I think the onus is on us to at least curiously question: How do you set something up that can be sustainable? What currently is happening is not.”
Players and coaches are frustrated with the current system, wanting to negotiate salaries and build rosters with a clear idea of what rules will actually be enforced. Dickey says fans are frustrated as they invest energy and money into their favorite teams without understanding what the future holds. And athletic directors, who want to plan a yearly budget and help direct their employees, are frustrated too.
“It has been very difficult on campus. I can’t emphasize that enough,” White said. “It’s been brutal in a lot of ways. It continues to be as we try to navigate these waters without a clear-cut solution.”
This week White and Dickey won’t be alone in their frustration. They’ll be among a growing group of peers who are pushing to explore a new solution.
Virginia Tech is expected to hire Penn State co-offensive coordinator and tight ends coach Ty Howle as the Hokies’ new offensive coordinator, sources told ESPN’s Pete Thamel on Tuesday.
Howle is expected to be the Hokies’ playcaller for new head coach James Franklin, who brings yet another former Penn State colleague to his staff after defensive coordinator Brent Pry also opted to return to Blacksburg with Franklin, sources confirmed to ESPN on Sunday.
Howle has been at Penn State since 2020, including as co-offensive coordinator since 2022. He worked as tight ends coach while at Penn State, working with standouts Pat Freiermuth, Brenton Strange, Theo Johnson and Tyler Warren, who won the Mackey Award last season as the nation’s outstanding tight end.
He also had coaching stints at Western Illinois and NC State after playing offensive line for the Nittany Lions under former coaches Joe Paterno and Bill O’Brien.
Four current LSU offensive assistants are joining offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. at Ole Miss to help prepare the Rebels for their College Football Playoff appearance, sources told ESPN’s Pete Thamel on Monday night.
Tight ends coach Joe Cox, wide receivers coach George McDonald, assistant quarterbacks coach Dane Stevens and slot wide receivers coach Sawyer Jordan all returned to the Oxford, Mississippi, campus Monday morning, sources said, a day after the 11-1 Rebels learned they would play host to Tulane in Round 1 on Dec. 20.
LSU coach Lane Kiffin allowed the coaches to return in an effort to help new Ole Miss coach Pete Golding, the staff and players maximize the opportunity ahead in the playoff appearance, the Rebels’ first. All four are expected to be generally available for the run.
The coaches are familiar with the 11-2 Green Wave, who last week won the American Conference title game to secure their CFP bid. After all, Kiffin’s Ole Miss staff orchestrated the Rebels’ convincing 45-10 win over Tulane on Sept. 20 in Oxford.
In that game, the Rebels rolled out to a 23-3 first-half lead, and cruised at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss threw two touchdown passes, and running back Kewan Lacy added a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs, as the Rebels delivered Tulane its first loss of the season. Chambliss went 17-of-27 passing for 307 yards while adding 112 yards on 14 rushes in the win.
Last week, two days after Kiffin left for Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and the Tigers’ job, he allowed Weis to return to Ole Miss even before knowing the CFP matchup. Weis has been the Rebels’ offensive coordinator since 2022.