Another star traded away?! Peter Bendix has a plan for the Marlins (no, really!)
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Alden Gonzalez, ESPN Staff Writer
First pitch of the Miami Marlins‘ opening game in Oakland last Friday arrived just as they were finalizing their trade of Luis Arráez, creating an awkward scene: Arráez, in full uniform, standing in the dugout among current teammates primed to become former ones, clearly unsure what to do with himself.
It was the third day of May. Major League Baseball’s season was barely five weeks old. A trade of any kind — let alone a deal involving the reigning National League batting champion — is exceedingly rare in those circumstances. And yet there was Arráez, on live television, suddenly the face of what looked like the start of another teardown.
During Peter Bendix’s first six months as the Marlins’ president of baseball operations, he mostly stood pat during the offseason, watched as Miami lost 24 of its first 33 games, then traded its most beloved player for a package of four San Diego Padres prospects, a series of events that has drawn the ire of a beleaguered market. All of it, Bendix stressed, aligns with his aspirations of building a consistent winner to break the rebuild cycle that has defined the Marlins’ three-decade existence. But it could take time. Lots of it.
He’s asking for patience from a thinning fan base that has seemingly run out of it.
“I understand what fans are hoping for,” Bendix said this week. “We’re hoping for the same things. And I understand that there is frustration and disappointment. We’re feeling those things, too. We all really want to win. We all really want to win as soon as we can. And we want to win in a sustainable way.”
When asked to illustrate his plan for doing so, he paused for nine seconds.
“The plan,” Bendix finally said, “is to be as disciplined as we can with our decision-making and to …”
He paused again.
“Yeah, it really comes down to being disciplined and having great people in all aspects of our organization so that we have the best information, the best coaches, the best development, the best scouts, all those different things.”
Bendix is careful with his words these days, not because he lacks clarity in his vision but because the tension between him and Marlins fans seems so high. Bendix’s hiring — in early November, after a 15-year run with a Tampa Bay Rays franchise that has become the model for winning on a tight budget — came three weeks after the trailblazing Kim Ng stepped down over what qualified as a demotion after she helped engineer a surprising wild-card berth in 2023.
Rather than capitalize on the momentum of that playoff team, Bendix settled on a conservative offseason in which he declined to bring back Jorge Soler, signed just one major league free agent — veteran shortstop Tim Anderson for $5 million — and dropped payroll even further.
Three weeks into the regular season, USA Today reported that Skip Schumaker, the reigning NL Manager of the Year, had asked the Marlins to decline their option in his contract for 2025, a clear sign he wants no part of a rebuild. Then came the Arráez trade. One of Bendix’s comments in the wake of that deal, in which he acknowledged the Marlins were “unlikely to make the playoffs this year,” only triggered more animus.
“I understand it,” Bendix said. “It’s because people really want a consistently contending team.”
There is a clear logic to what Bendix is attempting to do, even if the fan base might disagree with it. The 2023 Marlins made the playoffs despite being outscored by 57 runs, a potential sign of trouble. Rather than clog a tight payroll to prop up a team that seemed ripe for regression, Bendix kept the group together in hopes that full seasons of Jake Burger and Josh Bell — both acquired last August — would make up for any lost production and keep the Marlins on the fringes of contention.
Instead, Bell, Burger and Anderson got off to slow starts. Eury Perez tore his ulnar collateral ligament, joining Sandy Alcántara among those undergoing Tommy John surgery. And three of the Marlins’ other promising young starters — Jesús Luzardo, Trevor Rogers and Edward Cabrera — finished April with a combined 5.33 ERA. The Marlins nosedived within the NL East, their FanGraphs playoff odds dropping below 1% by the start of May.
Arráez, controllable through 2025, wanted to stay, according to people with knowledge of the situation. But the Marlins were clearly wary of paying a player with defensive limitations and average power, regardless of how elite a hitter and beloved a teammate. Instead, they dealt him sooner than anyone could have imagined
Alcantara, who signed a five-year, $56 million extension in 2021 and won a Cy Young Award the year after, is still trying to make sense of it all.
“Everything was good last year, we made it to the playoffs, we won a lot of games, but I don’t know what happened,” Alcantara said. “We started making changes, we started trading people. But I don’t want to say too much because they make the decisions and I’m just here to play baseball.”
Alcantara, the Marlins’ longest-tenured player, represents a noticeable trend throughout the roster: Even he wasn’t homegrown. Only about a quarter of the current Marlins were originally drafted or signed by the organization, and only one — Nick Fortes, a catcher taken in the fourth round six years ago — is an everyday player.
The Marlins began the year with the second-worst farm system in the industry, according to ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel, a precarious position for a team that consistently ranks near the bottom in payroll and attendance and thus operates with a very small margin for error. Their infrastructure demanded an overhaul.
Bendix was brought in primarily to address that — to implement the draft-and-develop system that has made the cash-strapped Rays successful in a division with the big-spending New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. It’s a model that requires heavy financial investments in analytics and other development tools but is founded on the type of synergy and culture that takes years to build. That pursuit, critics of Bendix’s approach believe, doesn’t have to come at the expense of competing at the major league level.
“I think it’s possible to do both,” Bendix said when presented with that scenario. “It’s very difficult, but we have a lot of talent still on our major league team.”
The industry perception is that the Marlins will continue to subtract before the July 30 trade deadline, with Luzardo and Jazz Chisholm Jr. popular picks to depart. But Bendix argued that the Arráez trade — for reliever Woo-Suk Go, minor league first baseman Nathan Martorella and outfield prospects Dillon Head and Jakob Marsee — doesn’t preclude the Marlins from trying to win as soon as 2025 when, ideally, Alcantara and Perez are healthy enough to join Luzardo, Cabrera, Braxton Garrett and Trevor Rogers in the rotation.
The likelihood, though, is that this will be another long process — that at least one of those aforementioned pitchers won’t be there next year. And though Bendix hails from the front office that set a blueprint for a team like the Marlins, their fans’ cynicism is understandable. In his own way, Bendix understands where they’re coming from.
Twenty-seven years ago, Bendix was a 12-year-old diehard fan of a Cleveland team that lost the 1997 World Series to the Marlins on an extra-inning walk-off single in Game 7. The Marlins sold off their best players immediately thereafter and lost 108 games the following year, a turn of events Bendix remembers vividly. More teardowns followed.
The Marlins once again faded after winning their second championship in 2003, missing the playoffs in 16 consecutive seasons at least in part because they didn’t retain the two breakout stars from that World Series — Miguel Cabrera and Josh Beckett. They added big names in Mark Buehrle, Jose Reyes and Heath Bell to outfit a new, taxpayer-funded ballpark in 2012, then traded all three of them — plus Hanley Ramirez and Josh Johnson — by year’s end. A half-decade later, they gave up on an exciting young core headlined by J.T. Realmuto, Christian Yelich, Giancarlo Stanton and Marcell Ozuna, triggering the rebuild that sprouted the current crop — which might soon dissolve, too.
This could be rebuild No. 5 under owner No. 4 and GM No. 6, all in 31 years. Bendix is aspiring to build a sustained winner in a market that has seen promising clubs broken apart time and time again — something none of the others could do before him. He has refused, in prior interviews and in his recent conversation with ESPN, to put a timetable on when the Marlins might contend again.
His message to fans who have run out of patience?
“That we’re working extremely hard, every single day, to make that happen as quickly as possible.”
It’s 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby day in Atlanta!
Some of the most dynamic home run hitters in baseball will be taking aim at the Truist Park stands on Monday (8 p.m. ET on ESPN) in one of the most anticipated events of the summer.
While the prospect of a back-to-back champion is out of the picture — 2024 winner Teoscar Hernandez is not a part of this year’s field — a number of exciting stars will be taking the field, including Atlanta’s own Matt Olson, who replaced Ronald Acuna Jr. just three days before the event. Will Olson make a run in front of his home crowd? Will Cal Raleigh show off the power that led to 38 home runs in the first half? Or will one of the younger participants take the title?
We have your one-stop shop for everything Derby related, from predictions to live updates once we get underway to analysis and takeaways at the night’s end.
MLB Home Run Derby field
Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners (38 home runs in 2025)
James Wood, Washington Nationals (24)
Junior Caminero, Tampa Bay Rays (23)
Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (21)
Brent Rooker, Athletics (20)
Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (17)
Jazz Chisholm Jr., New York Yankees (17)
Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates (16)
Live updates
Who is going to win the Derby and who will be the runner-up?
Jeff Passan: Raleigh. His swing is perfect for the Derby: He leads MLB this season in both pull percentage and fly ball percentage, so it’s not as if he needs to recalibrate it to succeed. He has also become a prolific hitter from the right side this season — 16 home runs in 102 at-bats — and his ability to switch between right- and left-handed pitching offers a potential advantage. No switch-hitter (or catcher for that matter) has won a Home Run Derby. The Big Dumper is primed to be the first, beating Buxton in the finals.
Alden Gonzalez: Cruz. He might be wildly inconsistent at this point in his career, but he is perfect for the Derby — young enough to possess the stamina required for a taxing event that could become exhausting in the Atlanta heat; left-handed, in a ballpark where the ball carries out better to right field; and, most importantly, capable of hitting balls at incomprehensible velocities. Raleigh will put on a good show from both sides of the plate but will come in second.
Buster Olney: Olson. He is effectively pinch-hitting for Acuna, and because he received word in the past 72 hours of his participation, he hasn’t had the practice rounds that the other competitors have been going through. But he’s the only person in this group who has done the Derby before, which means he has experienced the accelerated pace, adrenaline and push of the crowd.
His pitcher, Eddie Perez, knows something about performing in a full stadium in Atlanta. And, as Olson acknowledged in a conversation Sunday, the park generally favors left-handed hitters because of the larger distances that right-handed hitters must cover in left field.
Jesse Rogers: Olson. Home-field advantage will mean something this year as hitting in 90-plus degree heat and humidity will be an extra challenge in Atlanta. Olson understands that and can pace himself accordingly. Plus, he was a late addition. He has got nothing to lose. He’ll outlast the young bucks in the field. And I’m not putting Raleigh any lower than second — his first half screams that he’ll be in the finals against Olson.
Jorge Castillo: Wood. His mammoth power isn’t disputed — he can jack baseballs to all fields. But the slight defect in his power package is that he doesn’t hit the ball in the air nearly as often as a typical slugger. Wood ranks 126th out of 155 qualified hitters across the majors in fly ball percentage. And he still has swatted 24 home runs this season. So, in an event where he’s going to do everything he can to lift baseballs, hitting fly balls won’t be an issue, and Wood is going to show off that gigantic power en route to a victory over Cruz in the finals.
Who will hit the longest home run of the night — and how far?
Passan: Cruz hits the ball harder than anyone in baseball history. He’s the choice here, at 493 feet.
Gonzalez: If you exclude the Coors Field version, there have been just six Statcast-era Derby home runs that have traveled 497-plus feet. They were compiled by two men: Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. James Wood — all 6-foot-7, 234 pounds of him — will become the third.
Olney: James Wood has the easy Stanton- and Judge-type power, and he will clear the Chophouse with the longest homer. Let’s say 497 feet.
Rogers: Hopefully he doesn’t injure himself doing it, but Buxton will break out his massive strength and crush a ball at least 505 feet. I don’t see him advancing far in the event, but for one swing, he’ll own the night.
Castillo: Cruz hits baseballs hard and far. He’ll crush a few bombs, and one will reach an even 500 feet.
Who is the one slugger fans will know much better after the Derby?
Passan: Buxton capped his first half with a cycle on Saturday, and he’ll carry that into the Derby, where he will remind the world why he was baseball’s No. 1 prospect in 2015. Buxton’s talent has never been in question, just his health. And with his body feeling right, he has the opportunity to put on a show fans won’t soon forget.
Olney: Caminero isn’t a big name and wasn’t a high-end prospect like Wood was earlier in his career. Just 3½ years ago, Caminero was dealt to the Rays by the Cleveland Guardians in a relatively minor November trade for pitcher Tobias Myers. But since then, he has refined his ability to cover inside pitches and is blossoming this year into a player with ridiculous power. He won’t win the Derby, but he’ll open some eyes.
What’s the one moment we’ll all be talking about long after this Derby ends?
Gonzalez: The incredible distances and velocities that will be reached, particularly by Wood, Cruz, Caminero, Raleigh and Buxton. The hot, humid weather at Truist Park will only aid the mind-blowing power that will be on display Monday night.
Rogers: The exhaustion on the hitter’s faces, swinging for home run after home run in the heat and humidity of Hot-lanta!
Castillo: Cruz’s 500-foot blast and a bunch of other lasers he hits in the first two rounds before running out of gas in the finals.
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