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TOPSHOT – People look at a BYD Seagull car by Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer BYD Auto at the Bangkok International Motor Show in Nonthaburi on March 27, 2024. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP) (Photo by LILLIAN SUWANRUMPHA/AFP via Getty Images)

Lillian Suwanrumpha | Afp | Getty Images

The European Union is expected to reveal its tariff rate plan for Chinese electric vehicles this week, as the bloc cracks down on low-priced, subsidized imports.

The EU has a standard 10% duty on imported EVs, but is set to provisionally raise those fees for Chinese EVs starting July 4.

Citi analysts on Monday said the tariff rate could be “hiked to ~25-30% from 10% currently, while our risk scenario (40% probability) envisages a hike in the tariff rate to 30-50%.”

Anthony Sassine, senior investment strategist at KraneShares, on Tuesday said he expects the tariff rates to be “between 10% and 20%” but “could see this being on the higher end of the 20%” after the European Parliament elections last week.

Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, saw her party – the European People’s Party – gaining seats on Sunday. Von der Leyen has pushed for a “de-risking” approach from Beijing.

Potential EU tariffs on Chinese EVs won't have much impact, strategist says

The European Commission first launched an investigation in October into subsidies given to EV makers in China. The EU alleged such subsidized imports “posed an economic threat to the EU’s EV industry.”

“But the Chinese manufacturers are so efficient, are so ahead of the curve, that tariffs like this – I don’t think will impact too much the pricing here. They will still be more competitive than their EU counterparts,” Sassine told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Tuesday.

China’s EV industry has boomed thanks to incentives and support from the Chinese government, raising overcapacity concerns from authorities in the U.S. and Europe.

U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm in March warned China could flood the U.S. electric-vehicle market with its offerings, after President Joe Biden raised similar concerns. The U.S. already announced stiff new tariffs in May. The Biden administration hiked tariffs on Chinese EV imports to 100%, up from 25%.

Turkey reportedly announced on June 8 that it will impose an additional 40% tariff on imports of vehicles from China.

Expanding in Europe

Last month, Chinese EV makers including Xpeng and BYD showcased their models in Europe while Nio opened a new showroom in Amsterdam, despite the ongoing EU probe.

BYD announced in December that it will build a new factory in Hungary while Chery in April entered a joint venture with Spain’s Ebro-EV Motors to develop new EVs.

Cedomir Nestorovic, professor of geopolitics at ESSEC Business School, said “scores of Chinese manufacturers are now scouting the EU.”

They “will avoid, or they will try to avoid, all kinds of tariffs,” Nestorovic told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Monday.

Chinese EV manufacturers are now 'scouting' the EU, professor says

“We’re seeing the Chinese automakers actually setting up factories in Europe. Nio, also, is looking at Hungary. So there are options here, and I’m sure there’s back channels happening here,” said KraneShares’ Sassine.

“I think with Europe, it’s not going to be a big deal. In the U.S., it’s a different story,” said Sassine.

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iPhone 17 will drive record Apple shipments in 2025, IDC says

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iPhone 17 will drive record Apple shipments in 2025, IDC says

Apple’s latest iPhone models are shown on display at its Regent Street, London store on the launch day of the iPhone 17.

Arjun Kharpal | CNBC

Apple will hit a record level of iPhone shipments this year driven by its latest models and a resurgence in its key market of China, research firm IDC has forecast.

The company will ship 247.4 million iPhones in 2025, up just over 6% year-on-year, IDC forecast in a report on Tuesday. That’s more than the 236 million it sold in 2021, when the iPhone 13 was released.

Apple’s predicted surge is “thanks to the phenomenal success of its latest iPhone 17 series,” Nabila Popal, senior research director at IDC, said in a statement, adding that in China, “massive demand for iPhone 17 has significantly accelerated Apple’s performance.”

Shipments are a term used by analysts to refer to the number of devices sent by a vendor to its sales channels like e-commerce partners or stores. They do not directly equate to sales but indicate the demand expected by a company for their products.

When it launched in September, investors saw the iPhone 17 series as a key set of devices for Apple, which was facing increased competition in China and questions about its artificial intelligence strategy, as Android rivals were powering on.

Apple’s shipments are expected to jump 17% year-on-year in China in the fourth quarter, IDC said, leading the research firm to forecast 3% growth in the market this year versus a previous projection of a 1% decline.

In China, local players like Huawei have been taking away market share from Apple.

IDC’s report follows on from Counterpoint Research last week which forecast Apple to ship more smartphones than Samsung in 2025 for the first time in 14 years.

Bloomberg reported last month that Apple could delay the release of the base model of its next device, the iPhone 18, until 2027, which would break its regular cycle of releasing all of its phones in fall each year. IDC said this could mean Apple’s shipments may drop by 4.2% next year.

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Anthropic reportedly preparing for one of the largest IPOs ever in race with OpenAI: FT

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Anthropic reportedly preparing for one of the largest IPOs ever in race with OpenAI: FT

Nurphoto | Getty Images

Anthropic, the AI startup behind the popular Claude chatbot, is in early talks to launch one of the largest initial public offerings as early as next year, the Financial Times reported Wednesday. 

For the potential IPO, Anthropic has engaged law firm Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati, which has previously worked on high-profile tech IPOs such as Google, LinkedIn and Lyft, the FT said, citing two sources familiar with the matter.

The start-up, led by chief executive Dario Amodei, was also pursuing a private funding round that could value it above $300 billion, including a $15 billion combined commitment from Microsoft and Nvidia, per the report. 

It added that Anthropic has also discussed a potential IPO with major investment banks, but that sources characterized the discussions as preliminary and informal. 

If true, the news could position Anthropic in a race to market with rival ChatGPT-maker OpenAI, which is also reportedly laying the groundwork for a public offering. The potential listings would also test investors’ appetite for loss-making AI startups amid growing fears of a so-called AI bubble. 

However, an Anthropic spokesperson told the FT: “It’s fairly standard practice for companies operating at our scale and revenue level to effectively operate as if they are publicly traded companies,” adding that no decisions have been made on timing or whether to go public.

CNBC was unable to reach Anthropic and Wilson Sonsini, which has advised Anthropic for a few years, for comment. 

According to one of the FT’s sources, Anthropic has been working through internal preparations for a potential listing, though details were not provided. 

The FT report follows several notable changes at the company of late, including the hiring of former Airbnb executive Krishna Rao, who played a key role in the firm’s 2020 IPO.

CNBC also reported last month that Anthropic was recently valued to the range of $350 billion after receiving investments of up to $5 billion from Microsoft and $10 billion from Nvidia. 

In its race to overtake OpenAI in the AI space, the startup has also been expanding aggressively, recently announcing a $50 billion AI infrastructure build-out with data centers in Texas and New York, and tripling its international workforce.

According to the FT report, investors in the company are enthusiastic about Anthropic’s potential IPO, which could see it “seize the initiative” from OpenAI.

While OpenAI has been rumoured to be considering an IPO, its chief financial officer recently said the company is not pursuing a near-term listing, even as it closed a $6.6 billion share sale at a $500 billion valuation in October.

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We’re raising our CrowdStrike price target following a beat and raise quarter

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We're raising our CrowdStrike price target following a beat and raise quarter

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