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When the final pick of the 2024 NHL draft is selected, there could be less than 48 hours before the first unrestricted free agent formally switches teams in the offseason.

July 1 is when the “frenzy” begins, but the chaos should precede that for weeks. There are prominent players seeking new contracts, teams jockeying to solve significant lineup problems via trade and a salary cap that jumped a little higher than expected as a catalyst for even more player movement.

How much more will be entirely contingent on the teams.

“It depends on what some of these teams are going to do in the next two, three weeks contractually with their own players,” New Jersey Devils GM Tom Fitzgerald said. “Do some guys hit the market or not?”

After conversing with NHL team executives and player agents over the past few weeks, here’s a glimpse of how they see the offseason landscape.

Salary cap surprise

The NHL and the NHLPA announced over the weekend that the salary cap for next season will be set at $88 million, slightly higher than earlier projected. The salary cap floor is $65 million.

“I know the general managers and the teams are excited to have more flexibility, and it means that the revenues are as robust as we’ve been telling you all along,” NHL commissioner Gary Bettman said. “I predict that it will continue to go up. I believe we’ll continue to have robust growth in the cap.”

That was welcome news to some.

“We moved through a rebuild and now the cap is growing. Just like we drew it up,” one NHL executive said, with a laugh.

NHL teams and agents weren’t shocked by the news. They’ve always been operating under a range of $87-88 million for this season. But the extra flexibility does go a long way.

“It could mean the difference between locking up a player or having him leave as a free agent,” one NHL player agent explained.

But it also means that those players who reach free agency could see the value of their contracts rise as the salary cap does.

“The free agent market is what it is, but now there’s more money in the system,” one team executive said. “I think you’ll see contracts where you’re going to go, ‘Oh my god’ based on the last five years under the cap.”

Of course, it doesn’t always come down to money.

Players want commitment and security. Contract term has always been the goal of the top-tier free agents, along with an increase in salary. But that’s become increasingly true for what can be considered role players. Teams are happy to lock in a player they like at a “fixed rate,” as it were. And the players get as much professional certainty as they can muster.

The top three unrestricted free agents in terms of term last season? The New York IslandersScott Mayfield and Pierre Engvall, both seven years; Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Ryan Graves, six years; and Colorado Avalanche depth forward Miles Wood getting six years.

“Everybody is looking for term,” one NHL general manager said.


Betting on yourself?

A few agents expressed surprise that some pending unrestricted free agents haven’t already re-upped with their teams, given some of the contract numbers they’ve heard rumored.

There’s nothing wrong with betting on oneself. They’ve earned the right. It’s just that in many cases, the grass wasn’t just not greener, it was dead.

“I think there are some players who have gotten pretty solid offers to remain with their teams but might go and bet on themselves,” one agent said. “And there are number of players that did that and it didn’t work out.”

Taylor Hall is a cautionary tale. He sought a long-term deal in 2020, only to get a one-year deal at $8 million from the Buffalo Sabres. That led to a cap-friendly, four-year deal with the Boston Bruins, who eventually traded him to the rebuilding Chicago Blackhawks.

John Klingberg is a cautionary tale, too. He bet on himself in 2022 and ended up with a one-year deal in Anaheim, followed by a one-year deal in Toronto, followed by free agency this summer with his stock low.

Sometimes hitting the market means hitting a wall when it comes to term.


The market outlook

What does the free agent field look like for Summer 2024?

“There are some wingers that can do some damage out there,” one NHL GM said.

Chief among them is Jake Guentzel, who the Carolina Hurricanes acquired at the trade deadline. He’ll make much more than his $6 million cap hit on his last contract as a play-driving goal-scorer who has shown he can hang with elite talents.

That last attribute is probably the reason why Guentzel’s name has been linked with the Blackhawks as an unrestricted free agent. Who better to be Connor Bedard‘s wingman than a guy who learned the tricks of the trade playing with Sidney Crosby?

At the NHL draft combine in Buffalo last weekend, Chicago GM Kyle Davidson wouldn’t address specific rumors, but indicated he would be open to adding a significant player in free agency even if it doesn’t sync with his team’s timeline.

“It would be a disservice not to consider every trade option or every free-agency option,” Davidson. “We did it last year and we kept it short, but you’re always open to longer. You have to be. In the NHL, it’s hard to acquire talent, so you have to be open to whatever comes up. But it can’t be something that limits what you’re doing.”

Rare is the 57-goal scoring winger who might be available as a free agent, but that’s Sam Reinhart of the Florida Panthers.

The team wants to keep him, from GM Bill Zito to Reinhart’s linemate Aleksander Barkov. They’ve pushed contract talks until after the Panthers’ playoff run ends.

“Honestly, really haven’t thought about it too much, certainly not now,” Reinhart said before the Stanley Cup Final. “I think right from the start we’ve had one goal in mind. We’ve kind of been on that mission. I think maybe personally you get off to a good start, it’s easy to keep everything else on the back burner in the back of your mind. I’ve had no issues with it. The team’s had no issues with it.”

Making things tricky for the Cats: Defenseman Brandon Montour needs a contract this summer, while Carter Verhaeghe and Sam Bennett are up next summer.

Another fascinating name on the wing is Jonathan Marchessault, an original “Golden Misfit” who has reached unrestricted free agency with Vegas. The 33-year-old is one of a handful of UFAs for the Golden Knights — William Carrier, Alec Martinez and Chandler Stephenson among them. The difference is that none of them have a Conn Smythe to their names.

“It depends if this is important to them or not,” Marchessault said recently, when asked if he’ll get a new deal done with Vegas. “I want to be in an organization that wants me. I have a couple of years left. I don’t play it for fun. I play it because I want to win. I want to be in a place that’s going to help me win.”

There’s also Boston winger Jake DeBrusk, Carolina winger Teuvo Teravainen and Detroit’s Patrick Kane, who is seeking a deal with term.

The blue line also has some options.

“There’s some good D on the market,” one NHL GM said.

That includes Montour, Carolina defensemen Brett Pesce and Brady Skjei, Vancouver Canucks blueliner Nikita Zadorov and Matt Roy of the Los Angeles Kings.

The goalie market can be best described like this: It’s possible the best UFA goalie available is the same one the Maple Leafs are trying to upgrade, in Ilya Samsonov.

The center spot has Elias Lindholm (Vancouver), Sean Monahan (Winnipeg) and Matt Duchene (Dallas).

Oh, and there’s a guy named Steven Stamkos that could be available, too.


Seen Stamkos?

Everyone has an opinion on Stamkos’ future with the Tampa Bay Lightning.

It’s hard to fathom a captain, franchise icon and player who potted 40 goals and tallied 81 points in 79 games this past season could be allowed to skate away from the only team he’s known — especially when that team is still in a competitive window.

Lightning general manager Julien BriseBois said that he’s “very hopeful” the team can re-sign Stamkos, and feels he’s part of their group.

This was the final year of his eight-year, $68 million contract. Stamkos, 34, said he had been “disappointed in the lack of talk” about an extension, having expressed a desire to get something done before the regular season started.

The executives and agents we spoke with uniformly expect him to remain with the Lightning.

“I think Stamkos is going to maybe flirt with it, but I suspect he’ll stay with Tampa,” one NHL agent said. “Instead of giving him a high average annual value, maybe they give him an extra year.”

“I think he stays, ultimately,” an NHL GM concluded.

One NHL agent felt that Stamkos might have a chance to dip his toe in free agent waters, by design.

“Knowing the people involved, they might be letting him test the market, see what’s there, with the understanding that they have a number and they’re sticking to it,” they said. “I think he heads back to Tampa. There’s loyalty. There’s good tax dollars there. But you never know for sure.”


The goalie carousel

Besides Stamkos, the biggest mystery of the offseason for those inside the game is the goaltending carousel via the trade market.

This should come as no shock, but the New Jersey Devils are in the market for a goaltender.

“For us, I want to really zone in on the priorities. Trying to find the right goalie for this team,” Fitzgerald said. “What is that going to cost us? Does this make sense? Does that make sense? What does a package look like?”

The teams seeking solutions in goal include the Devils, Los Angeles Kings, Toronto Maple Leafs, Ottawa Senators and potentially the Carolina Hurricanes.

The two goaltenders most prominently named on the trade market: Calgary netminder Jacob Markstrom and Boston goalie Linus Ullmark. Markstrom has a full no-movement clause while Ullmark has a limited one that covers half the league, according to Cap Friendly.

Anaheim’s John Gibson could join that group. He’s signed through the 2026-27 season at a cap hit of $6.4 million per season. While it seems increasingly less likely, there’s also Nashville Predators goalie Juuse Saros, who is one year away from unrestricted free agency. But GM Barry Trotz seems more interested in retaining him.

“[Saros] wants to be here, and he’s been a big part of it. I’d like him to be here, so we’re going to work hard at getting something done with him,” Trotz said recently.

A lot of demand. Perhaps not a lot of supply.

“It’s going to be interesting to see how all that unfolds,” one executive concluded.


Welcome to Utah

Bill Armstrong is used to having the most open cap space in the NHL. He’s just not used to being able to potentially utilize so much of it.

Armstrong was hired in 2020 as the general manager of the Arizona Coyotes. He relocated with them to Utah and the world changed. His owner Ryan Smith has spent, spent and spent again to secure the franchise and try to make everything around it first-class. His team, for the first time, has a sense of stability — no one Armstrong signs is going to have worry about playing in a college hockey arena until a permanent barn is built.

“There are different conversations than we had in the past,” said Armstrong, regarding his chats with colleagues and player agents.

Do they suddenly see Utah as an NHL ATM?

“They do, they do,” Armstrong said, laughing. “They get excited when they talk to us, that’s for sure.”

Many inside the NHL expect Utah to be an X factor of the offseason. There are areas where they expect the team will be active in free agency or in the trade market; it could use some talent upgrades in its defense corps and could use a veteran center. But as a franchise looking to be competitive quickly in a new market, many are wondering how aggressive it will get with the cap space and all that draft pick capital.

It’s possible Utah won’t take a giant swing in Year 1. It doesn’t want to be handcuffed with a big contract right off the bat. It seems comfortable with players like Clayton Keller and Logan Cooley being “the posters on the arena” like Marc-Andre Fleury was for the Vegas Golden Knights, rather than importing a star.

“We’re going to open up our doors and I’m pretty sure it’s going to be a sellout,” Armstrong said.

But the temptation will be there to add familiar names.

So might the opportunity. The fact is that with a strong owner, good facilities and plenty of enthusiasm, Utah could be a place that attracts players beyond the finances.

“Don’t underestimate the power of intrigue,” one agent said. “You’re going to have guys that simply want a change that are going to be attracted to Utah, for the team and the geography. It happened in Seattle and I think it could happen there too.”

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Pirates’ Jones having surgery, won’t return in ’25

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Pirates' Jones having surgery, won't return in '25

Pittsburgh Pirates right-hander Jared Jones will undergo surgery on his right elbow Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the season, the team announced.

Jones, who was slated to be the team’s No. 2 starter this season, has been on the injury list with a UCL sprain in his right elbow. His recovery was trending in the right direction before a setback last week in which he felt discomfort while doing long tosses (100 feet).

Pirates senior director of sports medicine Todd Tomczyk said Jones, 23, visited elbow surgeon Dr. Keith Meister on Tuesday and made the decision to proceed with the surgery. A time frame for Jones’ return has yet to be established.

Jones went 6-8 with a 4.14 ERA in 22 starts during his rookie season in 2024, though he did miss time because of a lat injury.

Pittsburgh had hoped Jones would be featured near the top of the rotation, along with reigning National League Rookie of the Year Paul Skenes and veteran Mitch Keller.

Tomczyk said surgery was one of the options presented to Jones at the time of the injury, but Jones, with the support of the club and other medical experts, opted for rehab to give him a “fighting chance” to pitch in 2025.

Jones was shut down for six weeks, then began throwing from 60 feet in late April without issue. It wasn’t until the program was extended to 100 feet that Jones felt discomfort.

First baseman Enmanuel Valdez will also miss the rest of the season after having surgery on his left shoulder.

The Associated Press and Field Level Media contributed to this report.

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Conn Smythe Watch: Who’s leading for MVP of the Stanley Cup playoffs?

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Conn Smythe Watch: Who's leading for MVP of the Stanley Cup playoffs?

Four teams remain in the race for the Stanley Cup. The race for most valuable player of the NHL postseason is a bit more crowded.

Here’s the latest Conn Smythe Watch for the 2025 postseason. We asked over two dozen national writers and beat writers who are covering the conference finals for their top three MVP candidates after two rounds of play. Ballots were collected and tabulated before Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals.

Keep in mind that in the NHL, the Conn Smythe is based on a player’s performance during the entire postseason, not only the championship round. The award is voted on by an 18-person panel of Professional Hockey Writers Association members.


The current MVP leader

For the second straight round, Rantanen leads the Conn Smythe Watch as he helped lead the Dallas Stars to their third straight conference finals. Through 13 postseason games, he leads all playoff scorers with 19 points, including a playoff-best nine goals.

Rantanen was the only player to appear on every ballot we surveyed from the writers. Only two voters had him anywhere but first place for the Conn Smythe — one national writer had him second, and a beat writer had Rantanen third on their ballot.

As Dallas coach Peter DeBoer put it: Rantanen is playing as if he’s “on a mission.” He was a one-man wrecking crew against his old teammates from Colorado, the team that traded him earlier this season rather than sign him to a contract extension. He did more damage against the Winnipeg Jets in the second round with a Game 1 hat trick on the road.

Rantanen cooled off a little bit later in the series, with one assist in the last three games of the series. But his accomplishments to that point made him the clear MVP in the eyes of our panelists. He’s the first player in NHL history with five three-point games through a team’s first 10 playoff games in a single postseason. He set another NHL record by either scoring or assisting on 13 consecutive goals by his team. At one point, Rantanen had factored in on 15 of 16 goals for Dallas.

One voter noted that the “crazy solo efforts he has had in a couple of games” makes him an obvious choice.

Or as another voter put it: “It’s almost hard to believe the dominance he’s displayed.”

One thing to consider about Rantanen: He has the narrative. The “revenge tour” against the Avalanche in the first round was part of a larger story about proving he’s worth his big new contract with Dallas and that he can thrive as an offensive star without Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar on his team.

“When you think about his journey this year, he’s been through a lot,” DeBoer said. “There’s been a lot written about him. There’s been a lot said about him. There’s been a lot of doubters out there.”

So far, Rantanen has silenced them.

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The other favorites

This is where we need to reiterate that the ballot tabulation was done before Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals.

Andersen was the clear second choice among voters before he faced the Panthers. He was voted second for playoff MVP on 47% of the ballots we surveyed.

Before Game 1, he had allowed only 12 goals in nine games for a .937 save percentage and a 1.36 goals-against average. “His stats are mind-blowing when you think about how good Washington’s offense should have been in that series,” one voter said.

After giving up five goals on 20 shots to Florida in Carolina’s Game 1 loss — not all of them his fault entirely — Andersen’s save percentage dropped to .919 while his goals-against average rose to 1.74.

It’s possible that Andersen and Florida goalie Sergei Bobrovsky will see their spots in this ranking flip during the series. But it was only one game, and Andersen’s numbers at home before that loss to the Panthers were quite good.

McDavid was also in the top three in the last round. In the 2024 postseason, the Edmonton star became only the second player in NHL history to win the Conn Smythe in a losing effort, as the Oilers fell in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final to the Panthers. Now, he’s trying to become the fourth player ever — and the first player since Sidney Crosby (2016-17) — to win consecutive Conn Smythe trophies.

Through 11 games, McDavid has 17 points (three goals, 14 assists). His 1.55 points-per-game average leads all players still active in the postseason. Through 11 games last season, McDavid had 21 points. But that has been one of the things that defined this Oilers’ run to the conference finals: They haven’t needed McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to drag them there on their own. Perhaps that has been reflected in the voting.

For what it’s worth, McDavid is the favorite to win the Conn Smythe on ESPN BET, at +325, ahead of Rantanen (+350) as of Tuesday night.

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Making their cases

These two players received the next highest number of votes outside the top three.

It was notable that one beat writer had Oettinger first overall on their ballot, with Rantanen third. That might be a little bit of recency bias: Rantanen did most of his damage at the end of the first round and early in the second, and Oettinger was a difference-maker in all four of the Stars’ wins against Winnipeg, including Game 7, when he stopped 22 of 23 shots. As dominant as Rantanen was in Game 7 against the Avalanche in the first round, Oettinger made 25 saves and was brilliant late in that elimination game to preserve the win.

Overall, Oettinger has a .919 save percentage and a 2.47 goals-against average in 13 games for Dallas. But he has some work to do: The Stars goalie appeared on only three ballots in total, with one first- and two second-place votes.

Draisaitl is right behind McDavid in scoring with five goals and 11 assists in 11 games for the Oilers. He made the top three on four ballots, with two second-place and two third-place votes.

In his favor are two overtime goals: in Game 4 against the Los Angeles Kings in the opening round to even their series, and then in Game 2 in Las Vegas to give the Oilers a 2-0 series lead. He also had the primary assist on Kasperi Kapanen‘s series-clinching goal in Game 5 against Vegas.

Those moments more than balance one of the lowest points of Draisaitl’s postseason, when Reilly Smith of the Golden Knights scored with 0.4 left in Game 3 on a shot that deflected off of Draisaitl’s stick.

One thing to remember with Draisaitl’s MVP case is the praise he’s receiving for his two-way game. As the Oilers have become one of the best defensive teams in the postseason, posting back-to-back shutouts to end the Golden Knights, Draisaitl could get a portion of the credit.

“You often think of those guys who are putting up a lot of points, they neglect the defensive responsibilities,” Edmonton coach Kris Knoblauch said before the conference finals. “Leon has never neglected his defensive responsibilities. In fact, if I was to show clips on how to backcheck and how to work, getting above the opposition, Leon would be the leading guy on all the clips that I can find, and he’s the one who does it the best.”


On the cusp

Jaccob Slavin, Carolina Hurricanes
Andrei Svechnikov, Carolina Hurricanes
Sergei Bobrovsky, Florida Panthers
Brad Marchand, Florida Panthers

Some Panthers finally make the list! In fairness, that’s a tribute to the balance and depth that Florida has shown through two rounds. The team had 11 players with at least six points through their series win against the Leafs.

Bobrovsky didn’t have stellar numbers entering the conference final (.901 save percentage) thanks to four games in which he gave up four-plus goals. But Playoff Bob has emerged when he’s needed — like in the last four games of the Maple Leafs series and in Game 1 against Carolina, where he might have been the difference in that 5-2 win.

“I try to stay with one moment and not try not to think about the future or past,” he said after Game 1. “So it’s one moment, one save at a time. And that’s pretty much it.”

Marchand was tied for the team lead in points (12) after two rounds, and really made a statement in the MVP race with his Game 7 dagger against Toronto. He also had a critical Game 3 overtime winner after the Leafs took a 2-0 lead in the series.

Both Marchand and Bobrovsky showed up on two ballots. Bobrovsky earned one second-place vote.

Svechnikov was also on two ballots, both third-place votes. The Hurricanes winger was second in the postseason with eight goals after two rounds.

Slavin had two goals and two assists in 10 games, including the overtime winner in Game 1 against the Capitals. He has had an outstanding season, including a much-lauded performance in the 4 Nations Face-Off for Team USA. He also earned a ringing endorsement from Capitals coach Spencer Carbery after Carolina eliminated Washington. “How he’s not in the Norris Trophy conversation every single year, it doesn’t seem right,” the coach said. “He’s one heck of a player.”


Honorable mentions

Seth Jones, Florida Panthers
Eetu Luostarinen, Florida Panthers

Jones has been really strong for the Panthers, especially in their Game 7 win in Toronto. Through two rounds, Luostarinen was tied with his linemate Marchand for the team lead with 12 points, but now leads the team with 13 points after his Game 1 goal against Carolina — remarkably, his 12th point in eight road playoff games.

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Early look at the Stars-Oilers matchup in the Western Conference finals

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Early look at the Stars-Oilers matchup in the Western Conference finals

The NHL’s Western Conference finals matchup is set for 2025: The Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers are poised to square off to determine which club will represent the West in the Stanley Cup Final.

To help get you up to speed before the next round begins Wednesday on the networks of ESPN, we’re here with key intel from ESPN Research, wagering info from ESPN BET and more.


Paths to the conference finals:

Stars: Defeated Avalanche in seven, Jets in six
Oilers: Defeated Kings in six, Golden Knights in five

Schedule:

Game 1: Oilers at Stars | May 21, 8 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN+)
Game 2: Oilers at Stars | May 23, 8 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN+)
Game 3: Stars at Oilers | May 25, 3 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+)
Game 4: Stars at Oilers | May 27, 8 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN+)
Game 5: Oilers at Stars | May 29, 8 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN+)
Game 6: Stars at Oilers | May 31, 8 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+)
Game 7: Oilers at Stars | June 2, 8 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN+)

Series odds:

Oilers -120
Stars +100

Stanley Cup odds:

Oilers +250
Stars +350

Leading playoff scorers:

Stars: Mikko Rantanen (nine goals, 10 assists)
Oilers: Connor McDavid (three goals, 14 assists)


Matchup notes from ESPN Research

Oilers

The Oilers are the first Canadian team to make consecutive conference finals appearances since the Toronto Maple Leafs in 1993 and 1994. The only Canadian clubs to make consecutive appearances in the final four in the NHL’s expansion era (since 1967-68) are the Montreal Canadiens (three times), Oilers (three times) and Maple Leafs.

Edmonton advanced to the conference finals for a second straight year and for the third time in the past four postseasons, dating to 2022. The Oilers reached the conference finals in consecutive postseasons for the first time in 33 years, and fourth time in franchise history (1990-92; 1983-85; 1987-1988).

This is the 12th time in franchise history that the Oilers have reached the conference finals. The Oilers tied the Chicago Blackhawks for most final four appearances since Edmonton’s inaugural season in 1979-80.

Connor McDavid has 17 career points in 10 conference finals games, which ranks seventh in franchise history behind Wayne Gretzky (55), Mark Messier (55), Glenn Anderson (48), Jari Kurri (46), Paul Coffey (27) and Craig Simpson (18).

McDavid and Zach Hyman each have six career goals in the conference finals, which is tied with Dave Hunter for sixth in franchise history. Kurri (28), Messier (23), Anderson (21), Gretzky (14) and Simpson (11) are ahead of them.

Kris Knoblauch became the first head coach in 18 years — and seventh during the NHL’s expansion era (since 1967-68) — to reach the final four in each of his first two seasons. He joined Bob Hartley (four from 1999 to 2002), Scotty Bowman (three from 1968 to ’70), Randy Carlyle (2006, 2007), Lindy Ruff (1998, 1999), Mike Milbury (1990, 1991) and Jean Perron (1986, 1987).

Stars

The Stars advance to their third straight conference finals. They join the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2020-22, Chicago Blackhawks in 2013-15, Los Angeles Kings in 2012-14 and Detroit Red Wings from 2007-09 as the only teams in the salary cap era (since 2005-06) to make it to three straight conference finals.

Stars coach Peter DeBoer now is going to his eighth conference finals/Stanley Cup semifinals in his coaching career, which breaks a tie with Fred Shero for third among coaches in the expansion era (since 1967-68) and trailing only Scotty Bowman (16) and Al Arbour (11).

DeBoer is the fourth coach in the expansion era to reach the conference finals/Stanley Cup semifinals in each of their first three seasons with a team, joining Darryl Sutter with the Kings (2012-14), Bob Hartley with the Colorado Avalanche (1999-2001) and Scotty Bowman with the St. Louis Blues (1968-70).

The Stars won two of three games against the Oilers in the regular season, outscoring them 12-9. Jason Robertson (four goals, two assists) and Roope Hintz (goal, five assists) led the Stars with six points in those games.

Mikko Rantanen begins this series as the playoff leader in goals (nine) and points (19) through 13 games. That’s the most goals in a single postseason in his career, and he’s on pace to shatter his single-playoff points high of 25, set in the Avalanche’s 20-game run to the Cup in 2022.

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