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Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET, and fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

Note: This file will be updated with any overnight pitching changes or weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.

Look out Bello!

Boston Red Sox RHP Brayan Bello has pitched well since the break, posting a 3.42 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Before the break, Bello checked in with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. While there are indications that Bello has made improvements, it’s also clear that he was victimized over the first half. Specifically, Bello’s BABIP has dropped from .328 to .260 and his LOB% has risen from 69.3 to 78.4. Bello is also yielding fewer homers.

A high BABIP alongside a high HR rate isn’t always indicative of bad luck — there is usually some bad pitching contributing to the poor outcomes. Still, Bello’s pre-break 4.05 xFIP compared to only 3.83 since suggests much of Bello’s improvement has been due to regression.

An area Bello has improved upon is strikeouts. His velocity is up half a tick, resulting in a few more swing-and-misses, which has translated to more punchouts. Bello’s pitch mix remains unchanged, suggesting that he’s improving his sequencing and command. The decrease in homers also reflects better command.

Unlike some young arms, Bello averages a respectable 90 pitches a game. His ratios may be adversely affected by being tasked with staying in games when other similar hurlers would be removed, but this “no kid gloves” treatment should help Bello in the long run.

On Monday, Bello (26.6% rostered in ESPN leagues) is the second-highest ranked pitcher on the card. He’ll take the hill at Citi Field against the New York Mets. The road affair is a big park upgrade for Bello. Fenway Park is second to only Coors Field in terms of embellishing runs, while Citi Field suppresses scoring more than any other venue.

Through the first five months of the season, the Mets offense when facing righties at home is league-average across the board. It doesn’t portend to be a huge strikeout night for Bello, but he should again rack up the innings, likely resulting in his 11th quality start.

Everything else you need to know for Monday

  • Congratulations to those making the playoffs in head-to-head leagues. For ESPN leagues, Monday is the opening of Playoff Round 1, which runs from Sep 2-15. The 11-game Labor Day slate commences at 2:10 p.m. ET with the first of seven matinees.

  • There aren’t many strong streaming candidates to open the fantasy week, with one of the better options opposing Bello in what should be a low-scoring affair. Luis Severino (26.4% rostered) gets the nod for the Mets. Severino has been inconsistent in his first season in Flushing. He has had 10 quality starts, but has also surrendered at least four runs on 10 separate occasions. Like the Mets, Boston’s offense has been better on the road, but they strike out at a much higher clip. Severino has the repertoire to take advantage, despite posting a below average strikeout rate.

  • Simeon Woods Richardson is one of the reasons the Minnesota Twins still have playoff aspirations despite suffering many injuries, particularly to their hitting. While the hurler’s record is only 5-3, his club has won 15 of his 23 starts. On Monday, the Twins visit the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa Bay’s offense has fallen to be the second-least productive lineup with a righty on the hill, while also fanning at the fifth-highest clip in those games.

  • Oakland Athletics SP Osvaldo Bido (15.7% rostered) should garner some AL Pitcher on the Month consideration for August after recording a 1.55 ERA and an 0.79 WHIP in five starts, covering 29 innings. He rung up a palatable 28 batters, though his nine walks are a tad excessive. It’s Bido’s strikeout ability that should take center stage on Monday when he challenges the Seattle Mariners at home. The visiting Mariners continue to lead the league in strikeout rate.


Starting pitcher rankings for Monday

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Isles top juggernaut Avalanche with ‘surprise’ win

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Isles top juggernaut Avalanche with 'surprise' win

ELMONT, N.Y. — The Colorado Avalanche entered Thursday night’s game at the New York Islanders as a juggernaut, having lost just once in regulation in 26 games. Islanders coach Patrick Roy’s message to his team before that game: “If there’s a team that could surprise them, it’s us and the way we’ve been playing.”

St. Patrick was prophetic: Roy’s team defeated the mighty Avalanche 6-3 to snap Colorado’s 17-game point streak in a statement win for the Islanders (15-10-3).

The Islanders built a 4-0 lead against Colorado and responded every time the Avalanche crept back into the game. That included a late third-period penalty kill, as the Avalanche pulled goalie Mackenzie Blackwood for a 6-on-4 advantage. Forward Casey Cizikas iced the win with an empty-netter.

“That’s a really good hockey team over there,” Cizikas said. “They’ve proved it all season. They’re never out of a game, so you’ve got to complete it.”

Even after the loss, Colorado remained the NHL’s top team in points percentage (.815), goal differential (plus-47), offense (4.04 goals per game) and defense (2.19 goals against per game). The Avalanche have the NHL’s leading scorer in center Nathan MacKinnon (46 points) and the leading scorer among defenseman in Cale Makar (33 points).

But Islanders forward Mathew Barzal said New York’s 4-1 loss in Denver on Nov. 16 gave his teammates confidence they could hang with the NHL’s best.

“We feel like when we played them in Colorado, we probably should have won,” said Barzal, who had a goal and two assists in the win. “As a group, too, we know who we’re playing and that always makes a difference. Against Colorado, if we don’t show up, it could be ugly.”

The Islanders showed up on the scoresheet at 5:56 in the first period, on a controversial goal by forward Kyle MacLean. His shot sailed into the top corner of the net with Blackwood (36 saves) flat on the ice. Replays showed that after a scramble in the crease, the stick of Islanders center Marc Gatcomb had become wedged in Blackwood’s pads as Blackwood attempted to defend the net.

Colorado coach Jared Bednar challenged the goal. The NHL Situation Room cited Rule 69.7 in upholding the goal, which states that “in a rebound situation, or where a goalkeeper and attacking player(s) are simultaneously attempting to play a loose puck, whether inside or outside the crease, incidental contact with the goalkeeper will be permitted, and any goal that is scored as a result thereof will be allowed.”

Bednar disagreed with that assessment.

“Listen, I think goalie interference is a joke. If that’s not goalie interference, I don’t know what is. You can’t just shove the goalie’s pads out of the way to create a loose puck,” said Bednar. “I’m not going to challenge unless it’s obvious. And I thought that was obvious.”

On the other end of the ice, Islanders goalie Ilya Sorokin was great when he needed to be in making 35 saves against the high-octane Avalanche. Roy cited one save in the second period where Sorokin stopped Artturi Lehkonen on a 2-on-1 before Barzal increased their lead to 5-2 with a power-play goal.

“I think that gave us the confidence. Ilya made the key save at the right time,” said the coach.

The Islanders’ win over the Avalanche came on a poignant night at UBS Arena for the players. Their fathers and mentors were in attendance, ahead of their road trip to Florida. The game also marked the return of former Islanders star Brock Nelson, who was sent to Colorado at last season’s trade deadline. He received a standing ovation from Islanders fans after a video tribute.

It was just the second loss for the Avalanche (19-2-6) in the past 14 games.

“It’s closer than you think, but it still wasn’t good enough,” Bednar said. “We’ll refocus on the things that we need to do to make us successful.”

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McDavid’s hat trick ties Messier, Oilers rout Kraken

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McDavid's hat trick ties Messier, Oilers rout Kraken

EDMONTON, Alberta — Connor McDavid had his 13th career hat trick to tie Mark Messier for fourth in Oilers history and added an assist in Edmonton’s 9-4 romp over the Seattle Kraken on Thursday night.

McDavid opened the scoring at 7:17 of the first period, made it 5-2 on a power play at 6:14 of the second and struck again on a power play at 6:59 of the third. He has 14 goals this season.

McDavid set up Leon Draisaitl‘s first-period, power-play goal for his 28th assist. Along with his 16th goal, Draisaitl had three assists for a four-point night of his own.

Matthew Savoie scored twice and Vasily Podkolzin, Zach Hyman and Mattias Janmark added goals. Evan Bouchard and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each had three assists, and Calvin Pickard made 28 saves. The Oilers have won two of their last three to improve to 12-11-5.

Eeli Tolvanen, Frederick Gaudreau, Jared McCann and Jani Nyman scored for Seattle. The Kraken have lost four in a row to drop to 11-8-6.

Joey Daccord allowed five goals on 14 shots for the Kraken before being replaced six minutes into the second period by Philipp Grubauer, who also made 14 saves.

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Lightning sign McDonagh to 3-year, $12.3M deal

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Lightning sign McDonagh to 3-year, .3M deal

TAMPA, Fla. — The Tampa Bay Lightning have signed veteran defenseman Ryan McDonagh to a three-year extension worth $12.3 million.

General manager Julien BriseBois announced the deal Thursday. McDonagh will be 37 when the new contract kicks in; it counts $4.1 million against the salary cap through the 2028-29 season.

McDonagh helped the Lightning win back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2020 and 2021 and reach the Final in 2022 before losing in six games to the Colorado Avalanche.

They traded him to the Nashville Predators that summer to clear cap space at a time when it was not going up much because of the pandemic and reacquired him in 2024.

Record cap increases will have McDonagh account for less than 4% of the cap each of the next three years.

McDonagh is currently injured, one of several players Tampa Bay has been missing, along with No. 1 defenseman Victor Hedman. The team has still won 16 of 26 games and leads the Atlantic Division.

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