The final week of the 2024 MLB regular season has arrived — and there is no shortage of drama left.
The race for the final two National League playoff spots is coming down to the wire, with the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves set to begin a three-game showdown Tuesday night. After becoming the first member of the 50/50 club with one of MLB’s all-time greatest single performances, Shohei Ohtani has six more games to add to his historic totals.
Which other series and individual accomplishments should you be watching during baseball’s sprint to the finish? Our MLB experts identify the biggest things to watch as the season comes to its thrilling conclusion.
The Mets-Braves series we’ve all been circling starts Tuesday. Who is going to win it and why?
Jeff Passan: We were here not long ago. It was 2022. Mets-Braves. Games 156-159. Atlanta swept the series, won the division and the Mets got bounced in the wild-card round. This is different. The Braves still might be the most talented squad in baseball, but injuries have absolutely ravaged them this season. The Mets have been the far-better-performing team. Since June 3, New York is 62-34 — the best record in MLB — and Atlanta is barely a .500 team. The Mets know that with a series win they can wrap up the wild card. And that’s what they’ll do.
Jesse Rogers: Atlanta is cooked, while the Mets have some postseason mojo going already. Does that answer your question? The fact that the Braves have lasted this long is a testament to the character of the organization. But the magic they felt in 2021 is now in the other dugout. The Mets take the series and secure a wild-card spot as well.
David Schoenfield: Well, I’m not betting against Chris Sale: The Braves have won the past eight games he has started. Logic dictates the two teams split the other two games — unfortunately for the Mets, Sean Manaea is not scheduled to start against the Braves — so that gives the series to Atlanta. And considering the two teams have split the season series so far, that would give the tiebreaker edge to the Braves if they end up with the same record as New York.
Alden Gonzalez: For as hurt and as flawed as the Braves have been this season, we can still identify one clear strength: starting pitching. And so I’m betting on the trio of Spencer Schwellenbach, Chris Sale and Max Fried — not to mention a frantic home crowd — being enough to take two of three, giving Atlanta the tiebreaker and putting it a game back heading into the final weekend. One problem: The Braves will end the regular season playing against a Kansas City Royals team that will probably still be fighting for a wild-card spot. The Mets will play a Milwaukee Brewers team that has already locked up its division and will be mostly resting for October.
Which other series are you most excited to watch over the final week?
Passan: There are so many good ones. Orioles-Yankees. Padres-Dodgers. Mets-Brewers. Royals-Braves. But give me the Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros. Seattle has hung around on the periphery of the wild-card race enough to potentially make things interesting. At one point this season, it led the American League West by 10 games. Barring an epic collapse, Houston will win the division — but a sweep by the Mariners could put them in position to salvage a wild-card spot. Regardless of outcome, this is a dream series for fans of starting pitching. Bryce Miller vs. Hunter Brown, Logan Gilbert vs. Framber Valdez and George Kirby vs. Yusei Kikuchi. It doesn’t get a whole lot better than that.
Rogers: Well, it would be quite fun if the Chicago White Sox could somehow avoid setting the record for the most losses in a single season by winning games against the Detroit Tigers this coming weekend — while also preventing the Tigers from making the postseason. If the opposite happens and Detroit sweeps, it will have gone 12-1 against the White Sox — the same record the Royals and Minnesota Twins have against the Sox this season. Chicago’s futility kept the entire AL Central in the playoff race, impacting the playoff chances of other AL teams such as the Boston Red Sox and Mariners. Alas, the Sox are just one loss away from a new record — but that doesn’t necessarily mean they can’t spoil things for the Tigers this weekend.
Schoenfield: The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres to begin the week, and if the Padres can sweep the Dodgers, that will make the final weekend very interesting in the NL West, with the Dodgers at Colorado and the Padres at Arizona. So, advantage L.A. The season-ending series between the Royals and Braves also looms large, with the Royals suddenly seeing their miracle season in jeopardy and Atlanta scrambling to avoid missing the playoffs for the first time since 2017.
Gonzalez: Royals-Braves has a chance to be high drama heading into the regular season’s final three days. The Royals have only a one-game cushion on the Twins — while tied with the Tigers — for a wild-card spot in the AL (they hold the tiebreaker over the Tigers but not the Twins). The Braves are one game back in the NL. There is nothing more fun than a final series with high stakes, and that’s exactly what could play out with these two teams beginning Friday.
Now that Shohei Ohtani has already eclipsed the 50/50 mark, what will his final home run and stolen base totals be?
Passan: Let’s try 56 home runs and 58 stolen bases. When Ohtani goes on a heater like this, he can pile up numbers in bunches. Every time he’s on via a walk or hit, he should run — carefully, of course, with the postseason around the corner, but with intent, knowing he’s probably never again going to have the bandwidth to pitch, hit and swipe bags. So, if all we have left is a week of Ohtani, stolen base maestro, the denouement should be representative of the rest of his incredible season.
Rogers: I’ll make a very unscientific guess and say he slows down a little on the bases as he preps for the postseason. An injury now would be devastating. But he’ll hit two more home runs and still swipe three additional bases — but no more than that. So 55/58 is my prediction.
Schoenfield: I, too, thought he would slow down on the bases after getting to 50, but nope. And considering he might hit, I don’t know, half a dozen home runs in the final series in Colorado, I’m tempted to say 60/60. But I’ll go with 56 home runs and 60 stolen bases.
Gonzalez: My guess — given that the Dodgers will probably earn a bye and will certainly do everything they can to keep their players fresh heading into the division series, given what happened these past two years — is that Ohtani will play every remaining game. If he does, he’ll play three games against a Padres team that does a very good job preventing stolen bases and three games in the thin air of Colorado, a playpen for the game’s best power hitters. So let’s go with four more homers and two more steals to make him 57/57. Side note: If you don’t think he’s eyeing the home run race with Aaron Judge, you haven’t been paying close enough attention to Ohtani’s career.
Which other individual player achievement are you watching most closely this week?
Passan: Can Judge backdoor the Triple Crown? He is going to win the AL home run crown. He is going to win the AL RBI crown — and will almost certainly be the first hitter in 15 years with at least 140 RBIs. Batting average is the potential bugaboo. He’s currently 11 points behind Bobby Witt Jr. — and trails Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as well. Judge is the AL MVP regardless of whether he can pull off this particular feat, but doing so would only add to the greatness of an already all-time season.
Rogers: Call me old school — or just old — but is the NL really going to have only one batter hit .300 or better? After all the rule changes, including eliminating the shift and introducing a pitch clock so that pitchers throw quicker, MLB still has a hitting problem. If Marcell Ozuna (.306) drops below .300 and Trea Turner (.298) doesn’t jump above it, it’ll leave Padres star Luis Arraez as the lone .300 hitter in the NL. Ugh.
Schoenfield: Chris Sale and Tarik Skubal are both closing in on the pitching Triple Crown — wins, ERA and strikeouts, last accomplished in a full season in 2011, when Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw both did it (Shane Bieber did it in the shortened 2020 season). The strikeout races are close: Sale leads Dylan Cease by five, and Skubal leads Cole Ragans by four. That would be fun. But let me just go back to Ohtani here for a minute: He has 383 total bases, so he has a great shot at 400. The last players to reach 400 did so in 2001, and the last player outside of the 1997-2001 PED window was Jim Rice in 1978.
Gonzalez: I’ll cheat a little and say there are actually three players I’m watching closely heading into the final week: Jackson Merrill, Jackson Chourio and Paul Skenes. Yep, the NL Rookie of the Year race is still that close. Chourio might be a distant third at this point, but given he’s a 20-year-old who has helped carry a Brewers offense that has no business being this good, he’ll probably get some love from the voters regardless. Merrill and Skenes, meanwhile, could come down to the final days.
The Yankees, Dodgers, Phillies, Brewers and Guardians have all clinched playoff spots, but what are you looking for in their last week of regular-season games?
Passan: I want to know how teams will line up their postseason rotations. Beyond Gerrit Cole, whom does New York go with in Games 2-4 of the division series? Zack Wheeler is clearly the Phillies’ No. 1. How does manager Rob Thomson order Aaron Nola, Cristopher Sanchez (whose home-road splits are profoundly different) and Ranger Suarez? After Freddy Peralta, do the Brewers go with Tobias Myers ahead of Frankie Montas and Colin Rea — and if they’re in a three-game wild-card series, which of those three doesn’t get a start? Tanner Bibee will start Game 1 for Cleveland. Beyond that, Ben Lively has been the most consistent all year, Gavin Williams has the best stuff, Matt Boyd has the best peripherals and Joey Cantillo has performed the best over the past two weeks.
Rogers: In a year of immense parity, getting a bye and home-field advantage seems more paramount than ever. Any edge could make the difference in October. All of that will be determined this week. How these teams navigate those desires — combined with keeping their pitchers healthy and ready for the following week — will be interesting to watch.
Schoenfield: Of those teams, the Dodgers are the most interesting here: Who the heck is going to be in the playoff rotation after Jack Flaherty and Yoshinobu Yamamoto? Manager Dave Roberts is just begging to see something from Walker Buehler or Landon Knack. But I think that’s why it’s most important for the Dodgers to avoid the wild-card series: They need one of their top starters ready to go in Game 1 of the division series and will appreciate having a fresh bullpen for that series as well.
Gonzalez: It’s not just the starting-pitching depth that’s a concern for the Dodgers — the two guys they thought they could count on, Flaherty and Yamamoto, haven’t been all that good lately. Flaherty has given up a combined seven runs on 10 hits and six walks in nine innings against the Braves and Miami Marlins his past two times out. Yamamoto, meanwhile, didn’t make it into the fourth inning against the lowly Colorado Rockies on Sunday, recording nine outs and allowing eight baserunners. They’ll each have one more turn through the rotation before things get real.
Which player from a non-playoff team are you making sure to watch one more time before the season ends?
Passan: Over the past month, Oakland Athletics outfielder Lawrence Butler has been one of the five best hitters in baseball. Since the All-Star break, he has been one of the top 10. It’s appalling that fans in Oakland won’t get to watch him blossom with Brent Rooker, JJ Bleday, Jacob Wilson, Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers, Tyler Soderstrom and the soon-to-arrive Nick Kurtz and Henry Bolte. That’s got a chance to be a winning core, and as Oakland celebrates the A’s while lamenting their owner this week, it would be nice for Butler to send the fans off with good memories.
Rogers: Selfishly, Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs. After 11 seasons in the majors, he’s likely to make his last start with the only big league team he has known. That should come this weekend against the Cincinnati Reds — probably Saturday — and then Hendricks will become a free agent for the first time in his career. There might be people in the league who are his equal when it comes to kindness and respect for fans, media and the game itself, but it would be hard to find a player who surpasses him in any of those areas. And when he leaves, the Cubs will not have any players remaining from their 2016 championship team.
Schoenfield: Skenes started on Sunday and lowered his ERA to 1.99, and he’s going to get one final start to cap off his remarkable rookie season. But the one game I know I’ll check in on will be the Athletics’ home finale on Thursday afternoon. Fans in Oakland deserved better than this ending after so many years of rich baseball history and epic moments — including four World Series titles — so let’s hope the A’s deliver one last win in Oakland.
Gonzalez:Julio Rodriguez has had mostly a miserable season for a Mariners team that is merely on the fringes of contention heading into the final week — but he’s finally starting to turn it on, OPS’ing 1.294 and hitting five home runs over his past nine games. Perhaps it’s too late to sneak the Mariners into the playoffs, but when Rodriguez is right, he’s as good as anyone. We’ve missed seeing it.
ATLANTA — Ronald Acuña Jr. crushed his first pitch 467 feet for a home run in his dramatic return to the Atlanta Braves on Friday night, almost one year after he tore his left ACL.
Acuña, in his customary leadoff position in the lineup, turned on a fastball from San Diego Padres right-hander Nick Pivetta and sent the ball into the seats in left-center. Acuña hesitated briefly on his jog around the bases for a shuffle step.
The homer by Acuña had an exit velocity of 115.5 mph. It was the hardest hit ball by a Braves player this season.
Acuña added a single in his next at-bat and also enjoyed a defensive highlight, throwing out Elias Díaz at second base in the eighth following Díaz’s single.
But San Diego’s Manny Machado hit a tiebreaking homer off Raisel Iglesias in the ninth inning to overcome Acuña’s homer and beat the Braves 2-1 to end a six-game losing streak.
Acuña said after the game “I had a feeling” about hitting a homer in his return.
When asked if he meant he had a feeling about a first-pitch homer, Acuña said: “Exactly how it happened. … To me that’s just the culmination of all the work I put in.”
Infielder Orlando Arcia, a 2023 All-Star, was designated for assignment to clear a roster spot for Acuña, who started in right field.
Acuña said through interpreter Franco Garcia that he was “super excited, super happy” to make his return and added “I couldn’t sleep that much” after receiving the news of his return Thursday.
Snitker said Friday it felt good to make out his first lineup of 2025 that included Acuña.
“He’s one of those players that you better not go get a beer or whatever because you might miss something really cool, you know?” Snitker said. “I mean, he’s that type of force, I think, in the game. I think he’s going to energize everybody. Going to energize the fans. Going to energize his teammates.”
Acuña, the 2023 NL MVP, hurt his left knee May 26, 2024, and had surgery on June 6. The 27-year-old played six games in the minors on a rehab assignment, going 6-for-15 with two home runs.
Acuña played in only 49 games last season, batting .250 with four homers, 15 RBIs, 16 stolen bases and a .716 OPS.
This is Acuña’s second comeback from a major knee injury. He tore his right ACL on July 10, 2021, and returned the following April. When asked Friday what is different about this rehabilitation process, he said, “Patience. The patience, for sure. … I just think I’m in a much better place.”
Atlanta is 24-26 after an 0-7 start.
“It’s huge,” third baseman Austin Riley said. “The talent is there. The energy he brings, having Ronald up there at the top of the lineup. … He can change a game at any point.”
Acuña was a unanimous NL MVP in 2023 when he hit .336 with 41 home runs, 106 RBIs and a league-leading 1.012 OPS. Acuña also stole 73 bases that year to become the only player with 40 homers and 70 steals in one season.
Arcia, 30, was a 2023 NL All-Star when he hit .264 with 17 homers and 65 RBIs. Arcia lost his starting job due to an inability to compensate at the plate while suffering a defensive decline. He hit only .194 in 31 at-bats this season.
Snitker said he hopes Arcia will accept a minor league assignment if he does not land another job in the majors.
“I think we all know that it’s a business,” Acuña said of Arcia getting cut. “I’m happy to be back but I’m sorry that’s the move.”
Nick Allen has taken over as the starting shortstop. Snitker said Luke Williams is the backup shortstop and Eli White, a part-time starter in the outfield, will see more time in the infield.
PITTSBURGH — Paul Skenes didn’t hear Pittsburgh Pirates general manager Ben Cherington say that trading the reigning National League Rookie of the Year to give the last-place club an influx of much-needed position player talent is “not at all part of the conversation.”
“It doesn’t affect anything,” Skenes told The Associated Press late Friday night after the Pirates rallied for a 6-5, 10-inning win over Milwaukee. “Anybody can play GM.”
If Skenes, who celebrated his first anniversary in the majors two weeks ago, has learned anything during his rise to stardom over the past three years, it’s that noise is not the same as news.
“There’s no substance to just all that talk that you hear on social media and news outlets and stuff like that,” Skenes said.
It’s one of the many reasons he makes it a point to try and block out all the noise.
There could be a time when Skenes moves on, either by Pittsburgh’s choice or his own. That time, at least to Skenes, is not coming soon.
Pittsburgh is last in the major leagues in runs with 157, and has no high-profile position player prospect ready to walk into the home clubhouse at PNC Park as a big leaguer anytime soon.
“Ben’s job is to create a winning team and a winning organization,” Skenes said. “So, what it looks like to him [is up to him].”
Skenes added if the Pirates make a highly unusual move by trading one of the sport’s brightest young stars, even though he remains under team control for the rest of the decade and isn’t eligible for arbitration until 2027, he wouldn’t take it personally.
“I don’t expect it to happen,” Skenes stressed. “[But Cherington] is going to look out for what’s best for the Pirates. If he feels [trading me] is the right way to go, then he feels that’s the right way to go. But you know, I have to pitch well, that’s the bottom line.”
Skenes has been every bit the generational talent Pittsburgh hoped it was getting when it selected him with the top pick in the 2023 draft.
The 6-foot-6 right-hander was a sensation from the moment he made his big league debut last May and even as the team around him has scuffled — the Pirates tied a major league record by going 26 straight games without scoring more than four runs, a streak that ended in a loss to the Brewers on Thursday — he has not.
Five days after throwing the first complete game of his career in a 1-0 loss to Philadelphia, Skenes kept the Brewers in check over six innings, giving up one run on four hits with two walks and eight strikeouts.
When he induced Sal Frelick into a grounder to second to finish the sixth, many in the crowd of 24,646 rose to their feet to salute him as he sauntered back to the dugout. He exited with a 2-1 lead, then watched from afar as the struggling bullpen let it slip away. The Pirates, in an all-too-rare occurrence, fought back, rallying to tie it in the ninth on Oneil Cruz‘s second home run, then winning it in the 10th when Adam Frazier raced home on a wild pitch.
Afterward, music blared and Skenes — who hasn’t won in a month despite a 2.32 ERA across his five May starts — flashed a smile that was a mixture of happiness and relief.
“It’s nice to see us pull it out, which is something that we haven’t done as much to this point in the year,” he said. “Hopefully, it’s a good sign.”
The challenge of trying to help make the Pirates truly matter is something Skenes has eagerly accepted. He’s as invested in the city as he is in the team.
Asked if the outside speculation that the club should move on from him so quickly is disrespectful to the effort he has given the Pirates, the former Air Force cadet shrugged.
“I don’t feel anything good or bad toward it,” he said.
It hasn’t been the start to 2025 that anybody associated with the Pirates has wanted. Skenes believes there has been a “little bit more fight” since Don Kelly took over as manager. He believes that he’s gaining more mastery over his ever-expanding arsenal. He believes he’s developing chemistry with catcher Henry Davis.
Skenes was asked about what it has been like to work with Davis, the top overall pick in the 2021 draft.
“Just really got to keep doing what we’re doing,” Skenes said, “continue learning and let everything take care of itself, I guess.”
The Edmonton Oilers atoned for letting Game 1 of the Western Conference finals slip away in a dominating 3-0 Game 2 win over the Dallas Stars on Friday to even the series.
Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner continued to be the most boom-or-bust player in the postseason. He gave up 20 goals and didn’t have a save percentage better than .833 in four losses. His three wins? All shutouts, becoming just the second Edmonton goalie in franchise history to record three in a playoff year. (The other was Curtis Joseph in 1998.)
Once again, the Oilers flexed their impressive depth. The stars combined on their power-play goal in the first period, with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins getting the tally on assists from Evan Bouchard and Leon Draisaitl. The other two non-empty-netters: Brett Kulak‘s first of the playoffs, snapping his rebound past Jake Oettinger; and Connor Brown, continuing an incredible playoff run with his fifth goal in the second period.
How did both teams perform? What are the big questions facing each team ahead of Game 3 on Sunday afternoon in Edmonton? Here’s our breakdown of the Oilers’ Game 2 win.
As I warned after Game 1: Not every game of the Western Conference finals would have a third-period implosion by the Oilers, nor the power-play success the Stars enjoyed to rally for that win.
Edmonton continued to roll at 5-on-5, winning the special teams battle. The Stars weren’t sharp on the details. There were too many shots that didn’t get through to Stuart Skinner, and there were not enough moments that truly tested the Edmonton goalie — outside of a third-period short-handed breakaway that Wyatt Johnston couldn’t convert, extending his drought to one point in eight games.
The Stars had more giveaways through two periods (21) than they had in any game of the 2025 postseason. That’s gift-wrapping the game to Edmonton. The Oilers were going to be desperate after losing Game 1, and Dallas didn’t come close to answering that effort or execution. — Greg Wyshynski
Edmonton Oilers Grade: A
Edmonton got the start it wanted in Game 2 — Ryan Nugent-Hopkins tallied an early power-play goal that felt like exacting revenge on that costly, penalty-filled third period the Oilers handed Dallas in Game 1. Then, Edmonton tempted fate, handing the Stars a power play — but neutralized it with an excellent kill. That was a confidence booster.
The Oilers followed that by holding Dallas at bay in the second frame, when Skinner was particularly strong as the Stars pushed for an equalizer. That success set up Edmonton to extend its lead with a pair of goals in just 1:13, off a powerful shot from Brett Kulak and a tip from Connor Brown. Edmonton exorcised a few more demons by killing the Stars’ power-play opportunities in the third period.
This was a low-shot game, with only three registered from both sides by midway through the frame, and it was clear how much effort Edmonton was exerting in trying to limit Dallas’ chances. It worked in the end. And a round of applause for Skinner, who rebounded from a brutal performance in the final 20 minutes of Game 1 to be a true difference-maker while recording his third shutout in four games. — Kristen Shilton
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Ryan Nugent-Hopkins tips in opening goal for Oilers
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins buries the goal for Edmonton to give the Oilers an early 1-0 lead.
Three Stars of Game 2
Nugent-Hopkins had a goal and an assist, and his power-play goal to open the scoring was the winner. He has multipoint outings in both games of this series, and both of the Oilers’ power-play goals through two games.
Skinner had 25 saves for his third shutout of the postseason, joining Curtis Joseph in 1998 as the only Oilers goalies with three clean sheets in a postseason.
3. Bouncing back
The Oilers flushed an abysmal third period in Game 1 to control Game 2 virtually for the entire 60 minutes, en route to a 3-0 victory to even the series heading to Edmonton for Games 3 and 4. — Arda Öcal
Players to watch in Game 3
The Stars winger shares the postseason scoring lead with McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, at 20 points, thanks to a four-game stretch in which he has generated only one point — a power-play assist in Game 1 of this series. Rantanen earned all of his Conn Smythe hype by carrying the Stars through their first-round win over the Colorado Avalanche, and then posting two, three-point games in wins over the Winnipeg Jets.
But in Game 2, he had as many shot attempts as he did giveaways (three). Neither number is good for the Stars. With Roope Hintz leaving Game 2 because of an injury, there are even more questions about their top line, which hasn’t produced an even-strength goal since Game 4 against the Jets. — Wyshynski
Fans are always watching for McDavid. But for all McDavid’s marvellous moves and powerful playmaking, he hasn’t been a goal-scoring threat for Edmonton. McDavid has just three goals (with 20 points) in these playoffs, and 11 goals in his past 38 postseason contests.
There’s no discounting McDavid’s impact on the Oilers’ game, but there’s a need to see him light the lamp, too. Right now, McDavid is sitting on just one goal since Game 3 of Edmonton’s first-round series against Los Angeles. The Oilers are matching up well against the Stars at 5-on-5 in the series. And McDavid appeared to ring the iron at least once in Game 2.
If McDavid can put more doubt in Dallas by slipping one (or more) past Jake Oettinger, it could ignite Edmonton’s game further — and nothing would get the Oilers’ home crowd fired up quite like seeing the captain go off. — Shilton
Big questions for Game 3
What’s the status of Roope Hintz?
The Stars lost their top center in the third period after a nasty slash to the top of the skate by Edmonton defenseman Darnell Nurse. Hintz crumpled to the ice, clutching his left leg and needed help leaving the playing surface just 3:40 into the final period.
Nurse received only a minor penalty after the officials reviewed it — and the Department of Player Safety will review it further.
Losing Hintz, or having him diminished, would be a huge blow to Dallas, as the veteran Finn has five goals and six assists in 14 games, also playing on the Stars’ power play and penalty kill. — Wyshynski
The Oilers should be feeling good as the series shifts to their home ice. Getting one of the club’s top defensemen back would be an enormous boost for the Oilers, too.
Ekholm has been sidelined because of an undisclosed injury since mid-April, missing all of the Oilers’ postseason run to date. But he returned to practice Thursday, and though he remains day-to-day, even Ekholm admitted he didn’t expect to be back soon.
Edmonton has leaned on Ty Emberson and Troy Stecher in Ekholm’s absence, but there’s no question he would strengthen its back end when he’s ready. The Oilers must prepare for Dallas’ response in Game 3, and having Ekholm — who averaged 22 minutes in the regular season for Edmonton, while collecting nine goals and 33 points — makes that more manageable. — Shilton