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Was something in the air this weekend? Five top-25 teams lost to unranked programs, along with No. 9 Missouri losing by a large margin to No. 25 Texas A&M. The most chaotic weekend of college football so far left many questions left unanswered as we approach the midseason point of the regular season.

In what might be one of the biggest upsets in SEC history, Vanderbilt took down No. 1 Alabama in Nashville as quarterback Diego Pavia and the Commodores executed a perfect plan to take down their top-ranked opponent. Following this surprising loss, are there more questions surrounding Kalen DeBoer’s program, and what he can do, as conference play continues next week?

Boise State remains in the top 25 after a blowout win over Utah State that made it the No. 1 scoring offense among FBS programs. Broncos’ Ashton Jeanty showcased yet again why he remains in Heisman Trophy conversations as he surpassed 1,000 rushing yards in just five games.

After many surprising upsets this past weekend, five new programs join our top-25 list this week. Army takes the No. 25 spot after its best start in 28 years, alongside SMU, Pitt, Texas A&M and Illinois.

Here’s the latest top 25 from our college football experts, who provide their insight on each team’s Week 6 performance.

Previous ranking: 3

Jeremiah Smith continued to deliver on his sensational freshman season, reeling in yet another touchdown on a one-handed snag. Sparked by Smith’s electric scoring grab, the Buckeyes scored 28 unanswered points in the second half to put Iowa away 35-7. Ohio State’s other star receiver, Emeka Egbuka, added a career-high three touchdown catches.

In Smith and Egbuka, the Buckeyes boast what could be the top receiving duo in college football. With Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson, who combined for another 139 yards while averaging 5.8 yards per carry Saturday, Ohio State might own the best running back tandem, as well. The high-powered Buckeyes passed their first major test after a soft start to their schedule. But a bigger one awaits next weekend in a Big Ten showdown at Oregon. — Jake Trotter


Previous ranking: 7

On paper, what was — at first — an uncharacteristic day for Dillon Gabriel (two interceptions thrown before any touchdowns) could have been a recipe for disaster as the Ducks hosted unranked Michigan State on Friday night. Instead, Gabriel and the Oregon offense showed once again why its floor is so high. Gabriel bounced back and threw for two touchdowns, while the Ducks’ defense held the Spartans to 10 points on the night for a 31-10 win. If there’s room for improvement, it’s in finishing drives.

Oregon is currently 90th in the country in red zone conversion rate. Its efficiency and sheer yardage gain can only look so good on paper without it consistently turning into points. By this time last season, Oregon had four games in which scored 40 points or more. This year, the Ducks have only one. Against opponents such as Michigan State and Oregon State, this recipe has worked out just fine. But as Ohio State heads to Eugene next weekend, the Ducks’ toughest test awaits. — Paolo Uggetti


Previous ranking: 2

The Longhorns, on a bye, sat back and watched college football burn this weekend, as an Alabama team that bypassed them for the top ranking last week lost to Vanderbilt. You can be sure that Steve Sarkisian will use that as a reminder this week, not that Texas needs any motivation.

It’s headed to Dallas to face Oklahoma for the first SEC version of one of the best rivalry games in college football, in arguably the best setting, in the middle of the State Fair of Texas. The Longhorns should have Quinn Ewers back after a week of rest. — Dave Wilson


Previous ranking: 8

After a sluggish start, the Nittany Lions got a boost offensively from receiver Liam Clifford, the younger brother of former Penn State quarterback Sean Clifford. All three of Liam Clifford’s catches led to third-down conversions — and the first 100-yard game of his career — on scoring drives, as Penn State handled UCLA 27-11.

Quarterback Drew Allar, who entered the weekend ranked sixth nationally in QBR, had another efficient outing, throwing for 237 yards with a touchdown both passing and rushing against an underrated Bruins defense.

After four straight games at Beaver Stadium, the Nittany Lions hit the road for a critical Big Ten tilt next weekend at USC. It would help if leading rusher Nicholas Singleton, who sat out the UCLA game because of an undisclosed injury, returns against the Trojans. — Trotter


Previous ranking: 5

There was nothing particularly revelatory about the Dawgs’ 31-13 win over Auburn. Carson Beck was fine (240 yards, 2 TDs) and the ground game was effective (88 yards, two TDs for Trevor Etienne). It was a perfectly mundane affair against a solid defense.

After the loss to Alabama (and the shaky showing against Kentucky in Week 3), it still seems as if something is missing from the Georgia machine. The second-half comeback against the Tide was a reminder that, when the Dawgs are clicking, they’re nearly unstoppable. It’d just be nice to see that happen for a full game sometime soon. — David Hale


Previous ranking: 6

The Hurricanes erased a 25-point second-half deficit to beat Cal 39-38, as quarterback Cam Ward was spectacular down the stretch. However, it would be hard to look at their 6-0 record without thinking about how the officiating played a role the past two weeks, with controversial late-game decisions both working out in their favor.

If the Hail Mary decision against Virginia Tech doesn’t get flipped and Miami is called for targeting, this exact same team would almost certainly be 4-2. But it didn’t, and it’s not. So, now Miami heads into the back side of the schedule undefeated and in great position to reach the playoff, either as the ACC champ or an at-large team. — Kyle Bonagura.


No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide

Previous ranking: 1

The No. 1 team in the country was not ready for Diego Pavia and the giant killers at Vanderbilt. Alabama suffered one of the biggest upsets in SEC history, a wild 40-35 defeat that ended with a goal post being carried down Broadway. It was a stunning failure for Kalen DeBoer and a team that had just flexed its muscle by beating Georgia.

Vandy executed the perfect plan to take down the Crimson Tide, starting with a massive edge in time of possession (42:08 to 17:52) that kept Jalen Milroe off the field as Pavia kept delivering blows to Bama’s defense with 12 third-down conversions. While it’s cliché to say the honeymoon period is over for DeBoer, the truth is he and his new coaching staff have a lot to clean up. This is a real moment of truth for this team and its trajectory with South Carolina coming up next. — Max Olson


Previous ranking: 11

Though the Tigers did not score 40 or more points against Florida State, they did rack up 500 yards of offense for the third time this season in a 29-13 win over the Seminoles. Coach Dabo Swinney was quick to praise freshman kicker Nolan Hauser for making five field goals, but the flip side of that is Clemson struggled in the red zone — settling for field goal attempts rather than touchdowns on five trips that ended inside the 20-yard line.

Phil Mafah had a huge game on the ground, with a season-high 154 yards. As for quarterback Cade Klubnik, he has gone 74-of-114 for 1,077 yards with 14 touchdowns and one interception in his past four games. Up next is a trip to Wake Forest. Wake last beat Clemson in 2008. — Andrea Adelson


Previous ranking: 4

For most of the second half Saturday night in Fayetteville, Tennessee just needed one more big play, one more score to put things away. Even with a misfiring offense, it took a 14-3 lead midway through the third quarter, and the Volunteers’ defense was rolling. But the Vols punted on four straight drives, and eventually Arkansas‘ offense, leaning on backup quarterback Malachi Singleton after an injury to Taylen Green, started making some plays.

His 11-yard touchdown run with 1:17 left gave the Razorbacks a shocking 19-14 lead, and after driving Tennessee to the Arkansas 20 in the closing seconds, Nico Iamaleava scrambled out of bounds as the clock expired. For the second straight game, Tennessee leaned on defense to carry the team on the road instead of putting too much on Iamaleava’s shoulders. It didn’t work the second time. — Bill Connelly


Previous ranking: 13

The Cyclones are 5-0 for the first time since 1980, pulling away from a Baylor team that jumped out to a good start. The Cyclones rolled in 542 yards, their most in the past two years, with Rocco Becht (16-25, 277 yards, 2 TDs) and Jayden Higgins (8 catches, 116 yards and a TD) continuing to be a formidable connection. Higgins caught a touchdown for his seventh straight game.

Iowa State also got a breakout game from Jaylon Jackson, a senior transfer from Eastern Michigan who had his first career 100-yard game with 107 yards and two TDs. The Cyclones also blocked a punt and returned it for a touchdown. Next up: a night game in Morgantown against West Virginia. — Wilson


Previous ranking: 15

Lane Kiffin’s Rebels responded well to last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Kentucky. They built a 14-0 lead on South Carolina within 10 minutes, ripped off five gains of 20-plus yards to the Gamecocks’ one and coasted through the entire second half of a 27-3 win.

Jaxson Dart was 14-for-27 for 285 yards, the Rebel defense recorded 10 tackles for loss and six sacks — Walter Nolen had three of the former and two of the latter — and, while the Rebels’ offense struggled on third downs, it didn’t matter. Better yet: With both Alabama and Tennessee suffering upset losses, Ole Miss reinserted itself in the SEC race. — Connelly


Previous ranking: 16

BYU sat out upset weekend in college football and will look to reach the midway point of its schedule undefeated when it hosts Arizona on Saturday. The Big 12 might be the most unpredictable conference in college football, so while the Cougars are sitting pretty at 5-0, there isn’t a single game left on the schedule that seems like a gimme.

Especially with as inconsistent as BYU’s offense has been. This is a team that has shown it can win games in a variety of ways and maybe that’s its identity, but it seems like there is a lot to learn about the Cougars over the next few weeks. — Bonagura


Previous ranking: 14

The open date came at an opportune time for the Irish, both because they missed the slew of upsets to unranked foes (something Notre Dame got out of its system in Week 2) and because it affords OC Mike Denbrock a chance to refine the offense a bit.

Of the 48 remaining undefeated or one-loss teams in college football, Notre Dame ranks 30th in offensive efficiency, 40th in offensive EPA per game, 42nd in offensive success rate and 44th in passing EPA per game. It’s not a death knell for Riley Leonard to be more of a playmaker with his legs than his arm, but the Irish definitely need more balance if they want to make a real run in 2024. — Hale


Previous ranking: 19

For the fifth game in a row, Indiana scored 40 points or more on its way to maintaining its undefeated, now 6-0 record. That streak of five games, by the way, is a school record. The Hoosiers are averaging 515 yards of offense per game, which is sixth in the country and nearly 200 yards more per game than last year. First-year head coach Curt Cignetti seems to be pushing all the right buttons so far, including installing Mike Shanahan as offensive coordinator.

The Hoosiers’ offense so far can’t be nitpicked much — they are averaging over 7 yards per play and have one of the most efficient passing units in the nation thanks to quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who has thrown for 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions. With its sixth win of the season, Indiana is now bowl eligible for the first time since 2020 and one of the stories of the year. Their schedule gets a bit tougher but not by much until they have to face Michigan and Ohio State in November. — Uggetti


No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies

Previous ranking: NR

The Aggies made an emphatic statement with their biggest win over a top-10 team in history, looking every bit the part of a contender. The offense was devastatingly balanced, passing for 276 yards and rushing for 236, and averaging 8.8 yards per play. Quarterback Conner Weigman‘s return provided a boost to the passing game; he completed 82% of his throws, several into tight windows or on back-shoulder throws to defeat good coverage, which gives the Aggies an added dimension.

The defense was able to pressure Brady Cook all day without selling out, adding six sacks and eight tackles for loss. After a season-opening loss to Notre Dame, Mike Elko has his Aggies playing confidently and improving every week. Now 3-0 in the SEC, the Aggies are headed to Mississippi State this week before LSU comes to College Station on Oct. 26. — Wilson


Previous ranking: 17

While the rest of the SEC was falling into chaos, LSU was relaxing. Following a 42-10 win over South Alabama, its most complete performance of the season, Brian Kelly’s 4-1 Tigers were on a bye and preparing for next week’s visit from Ole Miss.

They were probably also still working to plug holes in a defense that played well against South Alabama but still entered the week ranked 77th in points allowed per drive and 94th in yards allowed per play. But the passing game has remained dynamite: Garrett Nussmeier is averaging 330 yards per game, with four receivers having gained between 239 and 371 yards. This team is a fireworks show. We’ll see if that remains the case as the strength of schedule increases. — Connelly


No. 17 Boise State Broncos

Previous ranking: 21

Ashton Jeanty and the Broncos were dominant yet again Saturday in a 62-30 rout of Utah State in its Mountain West opener. Jeanty got only 13 carries in the blowout, but he turned his first carry into a 63-yard score, hit a 75-yard touchdown in the second quarter and surpassed 1,000 rushing yards on just his 90th carry of the season.

Maddux Madsen threw for 256 yards and three scores, Dylan Riley scored a 96-yard touchdown on his first career kickoff return, and kicker Jonah Dalmas became the program’s career points leader. Boise State now has the No. 1 scoring offense in the FBS (50.6 points per game) and looks prepared to play its best football with road games at Hawai’i and UNLV up next. — Olson


Previous ranking: 18

Following its impressive 42-20 win against Oklahoma State last week, the Wildcats were off this week ahead of their trip to Colorado. All of a sudden, the Buffs look like they might be the best team K-State could play for weeks — possibly up until their trip to Iowa State to end the regular season.

For the Wildcats, the continued progression of quarterback Avery Johnson figures to be key as he tries to build on his outstanding performance against OSU. — Bonagura


No. 19 Pittsburgh Panthers

Previous ranking: NR

The Panthers are 5-0 for the first time since 1991, and redshirt freshman QB Eli Holstein became the first Pitt QB to win his first five starts since Dan Marino. So, things are great in the Steel City, right? Well, no one’s going to complain — other than coach Pat Narduzzi — but Pitt could stand to get a bit more success in the ground game.

In its past two contests vs. Power 4 foes, Pitt is averaging just 3.2 yards per designed run, largely due to a lack of push from the O-line. — Hale


Previous ranking: 22

The Sooners had the week off and extra time to prep for their showdown with Texas in the Red River Rivalry. The bye week was particularly well timed for this team, giving Brent Venables’ staff more time to adjust on offense and build up QB Michael Hawkins Jr.’s confidence ahead of the true freshman’s second college start.

More importantly, Hawkins’ playmakers need to get healthy. Brent Venables said WR Deion Burks and RB Taylor Tatum could potentially return for Red River. Oklahoma will need all hands on deck against a Texas defense that’s allowing seven points per game. — Olson


Previous ranking: 20

Sitting at home during their bye week, the Utes’ win against Oklahoma State looks less impressive, their loss to Arizona looks worse and optimism about the season’s outlook continues to dwindle without a clear expectation about the status of quarterback Cam Rising. These are the types of overreactions that are typical in college football.

At 4-1, Utah is still in a good position — and if Rising returns this week against Arizona State, there would be plenty of reasons to expect the Utes to get back on track. But as things sit, the range of possibilities about how this season could play out is broad. — Bonagura


No. 22 SMU Mustangs

Previous ranking: NR

Since making the change to QB Kevin Jennings as a starter after a Week 2 loss to BYU, SMU’s offense has been borderline unstoppable. In three games, the Mustangs are averaging 3.56 points per drive (effectively a touchdown every other drive) and 210 rushing yards per game, and have punted just four times.

Jennings is completing 74% of his throws, has a 91.4 Total QBR and has turned the ball over just once (a fumble). In the win over Louisville, Jennings accounted for nearly 400 yards of offense. — Hale


Previous ranking: 9

Eli Drinkwitz said he was embarrassed by the Tigers’ performance in a 41-10 loss to Texas A&M, and there wasn’t much to look back on fondly. Missouri gained only 79 total yards in the first half, going into the break down 24-0, then gave up a 75-yard touchdown run on the first play of the second half. Texas A&M’s defense made Brady Cook uncomfortable in the pocket, and even when he threw it, he often went deep and missed throws, going 5-of-17 on throws more than 15 yards.

The defense, which hadn’t allowed more than 325 yards in a game all season, allowed 512, including 236 rushing on 6.6 yards per carry. The Tigers have a road trip to UMass this week before facing Auburn and Alabama, and will be looking for answers. — Wilson


No. 24 Illinois Fighting Illini

Previous ranking: NR

The Illini had a week off to stew after their first loss, a game in which they held up defensively but couldn’t generate enough offense to upset Penn State. Coach Bret Bielema’s teams historically have been known for running the ball, but Illinois is averaging only 104 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per carry against FBS competition. The Illini need to get their ground game going against one of the nation’s worst rushing defenses this week in Purdue, before a massive home showdown Oct. 19 against Michigan in the Memorial Stadium rededication game.

Illinois’ defense has impressed, both with takeaways and sacks, as Gabe Jacas and others have led the pass rush. Quarterback Luke Altmyer threw his first interception of the season against Penn State but still has completed 70% of his attempts with 11 touchdown passes. The Illini have dropped four straight and seven of their past eight against Purdue, coached by former Illinois defensive coordinator Ryan Walters. — Adam Rittenberg


No. 25 Army Black Knights

Previous ranking: NR

At 5-0, Army is off to its best start since 1996 following its 49-7 rout at Tulsa. Bryson Daily completed all five of his passes for 140 yards, and the Black Knights built a 14-point halftime lead through the air on Daily’s pair of touchdown connections to Noah Short (three receptions, 121 yards). However, Army powered its largest win of 2024 on the ground via 321 rushing yards powered by Kanye Udoh, who highlighted his six-carry, 137-yard performances with touchdown runs of 61 and 63 yards after halftime.

Don’t look now, but the Black Knights own the nation’s longest active win streak (nine games), setting the stage for intriguing late-season meetings with 4-1 North Texas (Nov. 9), No. 11 Notre Dame (Nov. 23) and fellow unbeaten AAC leader Navy (Dec. 14). Army hosts 1-4 UAB in Week 7. — Eli Lederman

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Snitker won’t return as Braves manager in 2026

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Snitker won't return as Braves manager in 2026

Brian Snitker, who guided the Braves to the 2021 World Series championship, will not return as manager after Atlanta failed to make the postseason for the first time since 2017.

The Braves announced the end of Snitker’s 10-year run as manager Wednesday, adding that he will remain with the organization in an advisory role in 2026.

Snitker informed the Braves of his decision Tuesday, sources told ESPN’s Jeff Passan.

Snitker, whose contract expired after this season, has been with the Braves organization in some capacity as a player, coach and manager since 1977.

He was named interim replacement to then-Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez in May 2016 and was elevated to the permanent role before the start of the 2017 season.

“I’ve teetered on the fence [about retirement],” Snitker said after the Braves’ final game on Sept. 28. “I’ve never been through this before. I wasn’t sure how to navigate it. I’ve talked to a lot of people who have been through it who got some good advice. I’ve just tried to stay in the moment and focus on today … As we’re sitting here right now, I still feel good.”

The Braves went 76-86 this season, finishing fourth in the National League East and ending a streak of seven consecutive postseason appearances. That run included six straight NL East titles from 2018-2023 and the franchise’s first World Series victory since 1995.

Braves general manager and president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos said on Sept. 8 that Snitker, 69, will be a “Brave for life” but did not go into detail about the manager’s future.

Snitker said he was encouraged by Atlanta’s play in the final month-plus of the season, which included a 10-game winning streak from Sept. 14 to Sept. 23.

The Braves went 811-668 in their eight-plus seasons under Snitker.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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MLB wild-card series Day 2: Keys to forcing Game 3, lineups and analysis

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MLB wild-card series Day 2: Keys to forcing Game 3, lineups and analysis

Who is ready for some more MLB playoff action?

After the first day of the wild-card round featured close wins by the Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres and Boston Red Sox, it’s time for the first potential elimination day of the 2025 postseason.

Who will stay alive and who will be sent packing?

We’ve got you covered with pregame lineups, keys to forcing Game 3, sights and sounds from the ballparks, and postgame takeaways as each Day 2 matchup ends.

Key links: Megapreview | Day 1 lessons | Bracket | Schedule

Jump to a matchup:
DET-CLE | SD-CHC | BOS-NYY | CIN-LAD

1 p.m. ET on ESPN

Tigers lead 1-0

Game 2 starters: Casey Mize vs. Tanner Bibee

What the Guardians need to do to force Game 3: Figure out a way to score some runs. Hey, at least they won’t be facing Tarik Skubal. The Guardians’ best bet is to have Jose Ramirez or Kyle Manzardo run into something, as Mize can be vulnerable to the home run at times (21 allowed in 149 innings). But maybe Cleveland can get Mize to run up his count and force AJ Hinch to go a little earlier than he would like to a Detroit bullpen that was shaky in September (2-8, 4.58 ERA) and especially struggled in close games. — David Schoenfield

Lineups

Tigers

1. Parker Meadows (L) CF
2. Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
3. Kerry Carpenter (L) DH
4. Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
5. Riley Greene (L) LF
6. Wenceel Perez (S) RF
7. Dillon Dingler (R) C
8. Zach McKinstry (L) 3B
9. Javier Baez (R) SS

Guardians

1. Steven Kwan (L) LF
2. George Valera (L) RF
3. Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
4. Kyle Manzardo (L) DH
5. Bo Naylor (L) C
6. Gabriel Arias (R) SS
7. Chase DeLauter (L) CF
8. CJ Kayfus (L) 1B
9. Brayan Rocchio (S) 2B


3 p.m. ET on ABC

Cubs lead 1-0

Game 2 starters: Dylan Cease vs. Andrew Kittredge

What the Padres need to do to force Game 3: As dominant as the Cubs’ bullpen looked in Game 1, that suggests the Padres will need to take an early lead and hand the game to their bullpen while ahead. And that means getting a strong effort from Cease. But his home/away splits were pretty dramatic this year: Cease went 7-3 with a 3.61 ERA at home and 1-9 with a 5.58 ERA on the road. That ERA difference might be a little misleading, as his secondary stats are similar, other than a dip in his strikeout rate (12.2 K’s per nine at home, 10.8 on the road). Given the must-win nature for the Padres, Mike Shildt will have a quick hook anyway. But the Padres probably will need at least four innings from Cease — and probably with 0 or 1 in the runs allowed column. — Schoenfield

Lineups

Padres

TBD

Cubs

TBD


6 p.m. ET on ESPN

Red Sox lead 1-0

Game 2 starters: Brayan Bello vs. Carlos Rodon

What the Yankees need to do to force Game 3: The Yankees need Rodón to pitch deep into Game 3. For as well as Max Fried pitched in Game 1, the Yankees’ bullpen immediately imploded upon his exit, and the offense couldn’t recover against Garrett Crochet and Aroldis Chapman. The best way to avoid another letdown by the bullpen is to minimize its impact on the game, which would allow the group to rest up for a do-or-die Game 3. — Jorge Castillo

Lineups

Red Sox

TBD

Yankees

TBD


9 p.m. ET on ESPN

Dodgers lead 1-0

Game 2 starters: Zack Littell vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto

What the Reds need to do to force Game 3: Well, not allowing five home runs is a good start. Look, this is going to be a difficult game against Yamamoto, who allowed just three runs over his final five starts of the regular season. The best hope for the Reds is a performance where Yamamoto struggles with his control, which rarely occurs but did happen in one September start when he walked six batters. That would lead to a high pitch count and a relatively early exit, allowing the Reds to get into the Dodgers’ bullpen — a unit that was certainly an issue for L.A. throughout the season and didn’t distinguish itself in the late innings of Game 1. — Schoenfield

Lineups

Reds

TBD

Dodgers

TBD

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World Series Drought-Buster Watch: Which MLB playoff teams could end longest runs without titles?

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World Series Drought-Buster Watch: Which MLB playoff teams could end longest runs without titles?

Mathematical probability, in a perfectly equitable distribution of championships, means each MLB team would win a World Series once every 30 years. That is not the world we live in, of course, so many franchises have experienced long title droughts that have stretched into multiple decades. There is even one that has never appeared in the Fall Classic.

That establishes a super fun element to this year’s postseason. We have seven playoff teams who have gone longer than 30 years since their last World Series championship — including the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, who have never won, and the Seattle Mariners, who have still never reached the World Series 48 years into their franchise history.

Maybe, just maybe, some team’s long-suffering fans will experience that euphoria of winning the final game of the season.

Yes, it’s the year of the World Series Drought-Buster Watch. Let’s look at those seven franchises, what went wrong through the years, and why this may finally be The Year.


Last World Series title: 1948

Last World Series appearance: 2016 (lost to the Cubs in seven games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 2024 ALCS to the Yankees in five games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Led Game 7 of the 1997 World Series against the Marlins 2-1 in the ninth inning, but the Marlins tied the score off closer Jose Mesa. In the bottom of the 11th, second baseman Tony Fernandez let a slow grounder hit by Florida’s Craig Counsell go under his glove for an error, setting up Edgar Renteria’s walk-off hit.

  • In Game 7 of the 2016 World Series against the Cubs, Rajai Davis’ three-run homer in the eighth miraculously tied the score, but the Cubs scored twice in the top of the 10th. Davis’ two-out single in the bottom of the inning made it 8-7, but Cleveland was left with light-hitting Michael Martinez at the plate with two outs and the World Series on the line. Terry Francona had inserted Martinez in the ninth inning to get a better outfield arm in the game when the Cubs got a runner to third base. Martinez hit a slow bouncer to third base to end the game.

  • The best Cleveland team ever, the 1995 squad with one of the greatest lineups of all time, loses the clinching Game 6 of the World Series 1-0 to Atlanta while registering just one hit with the only run of the game coming on a David Justice home run off reliever Jim Poole.

Why they haven’t won: Can’t win the big game.

No franchise has suffered more postseason agony, at least since the Red Sox broke through in 2004.Though the Cleveland franchise was certainly dreadful for most of the 1960s, ’70s and ’80s, it has been consistently competitive since 1995, making the postseason 15 times and ranking sixth in overall wins during that span.

But the Guardians are 2-8 in winner-take-all games, winning the first of those in the 1997 ALDS and beating the Tigers in Game 5 of last year’s ALDS, but losing eight in a row in between. Along the way, they blew:

  • A 2-0 lead in the 1999 ALDS, losing the final two games to Boston by scores of 23-7 and 12-8.

  • A 2-1 lead to Seattle in the 2001 ALDS.

  • A 3-1 lead to Boston in the 2007 ALCS, losing the final three games 7-1, 12-2 and 11-2.

  • A 3-1 lead in the 2016 World Series, losing the final two games at home.

  • A 2-0 lead to the Yankees in the 2017 ALDS.

  • A 2-1 lead to the Yankees in the 2022 ALDS.

In those six series, they had 16 chances to close out a series and went 0-16.

Why this could be the year: Cleveland has certainly had better and more glamorous teams than this one. Indeed, with a negative run differential on the season, this is one of the weakest teams ever to make the postseason. The Guardians struggle to score runs. But they can pitch — and the pitching is peaking at the right time. In going 18-4 to close out the regular season, they allowed just 45 runs in 22 games, allowing two or fewer runs in 17 of those.

This team also doesn’t have the burden of expectations like those superstar-laden squads of the late ’90s, or even the 2016 and 2017 squads, which won 94 and 102 games, respectively. On the other hand, if we look at the teams who broke long World Series droughts in the past 20 years, they were all powerhouse clubs: the 2004 Red Sox (98 wins), the 2005 White Sox (99 wins), the 2016 Cubs (103 wins), the 2017 Astros (101 wins). Even the 2023 Rangers, while essentially a one-year fluke and winners of just 90 games, still posted a run differential of plus-165.

But in this year of unpredictability, maybe it’s simply Cleveland’s year.


Milwaukee Brewers

Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1969, moved to Milwaukee in 1970).

Last World Series appearance: 1982 (lost to the Cardinals in seven games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 2018 NLCS to the Dodgers in seven games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Leading 3-1 in the bottom of the sixth inning in Game 7 of the 1982 World Series, the Cardinals load the bases with one out. Keith Hernandez hits a two-run single off Bob McClure and George Hendrick follows with a go-ahead single as the Cardinals go on to a 6-3 win. Brewers fans will always wonder what the outcome might have been if Hall of Fame reliever Rollie Fingers, who got injured in September, had not missed the World Series.

  • Pete Alonso‘s three-run, go-ahead home run in the ninth inning off Devin Williams in last year’s Game 3 of the wild-card series.

  • Leading the Nationals 3-1 in the bottom of the eighth of the 2019 wild-card game, Josh Hader loads the bases with a hit batter, single and walk. With two outs, Juan Soto singles to right field and rookie Trent Grisham overruns the ball, allowing all three runners to score.

Why they haven’t won: Lack of offense has led to early playoff exits.

For a long time, the Brewers were just bad. They didn’t have a winning season from 1993 to 2006. Current owner Mark Attanasio bought the team from the Selig family in 2005, however, and after a breakthrough season in 2008, the Brewers have mostly been competitive since, despite the challenges of playing in MLB’s smallest market. The Prince Fielder-Ryan Braun teams were built around offense, but the teams under managers Craig Counsell and now Pat Murphy have centered more on pitching, defense, speed and doing the little things well.

While Christian Yelich was an MVP in 2018 and runner-up in 2019, the recent teams have often lacked one true offensive star to anchor the lineup. That’s one reason the Brewers have had trouble scoring enough runs in the postseason, and that has led to losses in that 2019 wild-card game and wild-card series in 2020, 2023 and 2024. They were in the NLDS in 2021, but scored just six runs in four games, including two shutouts. Overall, the Brewers have gone 2-10 in the playoffs since 2019 entering this year and have hit just .229/.290/.351.

Why this could be the year: Even though the Brewers still don’t have that superstar hitter and rank below average in home runs, this is a deep, good offensive team. Only the Yankees and Dodgers scored more runs during the regular season. Only the Blue Jays struck out less among the playoff teams. And the Brewers do have guys who can hit home runs: Yelich has had his best power season since 2019; Brice Turang has slugged over .500 in the second half; Jackson Chourio can hit it out; and William Contreras hit nine home runs in August, so if he gets hot at the right time, he can help carry a lineup.

The Brewers also earned the No. 1 overall seed and have played well at home, with a 51-29 record. That could be a nice advantage. And even without the injured Trevor Megill, this is a strong bullpen with hard-throwing Abner Uribe capable of closing down leads. The Brewers had the best record for a reason: They’ve quieted skeptics and have remained the most consistent team all season long.


San Diego Padres

Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1969).

Last World Series appearance: 1998 (lost to the Yankees in four games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 2022 NLCS to the Phillies in five games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Game 1 of the 1998 World Series is tied 5-5 with two outs and the bases loaded in the bottom of the seventh. Mark Langston appears to strike out Tino Martinez on a 2-2 fastball right at the knees, but umpire Rich Garcia calls it a ball. Martinez belts the next pitch for a grand slam.

  • Trying to stay alive in the 2022 NLCS and send the series back to San Diego, the Padres lead the Phillies 3-2 in the bottom of the eighth. With a runner on first, Bryce Harper fouls off three fastballs from Robert Suarez, spits on a changeup, then belts a 99 mph heater over the fence in left field for the series-winning home run.

  • Up two games to one in last year’s NLDS against the hated Dodgers, the Padres are shut out in the final two games. The final 19 batters in Game 5 are retired in order as the Dodgers win the series clincher 2-0.

Why they haven’t won: Until the late Peter Seidler became chairman, the Padres never had owners completely invested in winning. Since 2020 they’ve tried hard to get over the hump — but haven’t.

The Padres’ tormented history has featured periodic bouts of success — a surprise World Series team in 1984 and another in 1998 — but mostly a lot of losing. Under Tom Werner, there was the infamous teardown in 1993 when an order to reduce payroll resulted in the trades of Fred McGriff and Gary Sheffield. From 2007 through 2019, they made the playoffs, finishing over .500 just two of those years. But a rebuild in the late 2010s combined with an infusion of cash under Seidler has led to fun and competitive teams since 2020, with big crowds and now four playoff appearances in six years.

In two of those three years, they’ve met their archrival Dodgers, beating them in the 2022 NLDS, but losing in 2020 and then last year’s frustrating NLDS. The Padres’ offense seems to go cold at the wrong time — Manny Machado has not been a great postseason hitter for them and Juan Soto didn’t have a good one in his one postseason with the Padres in 2022 (and Fernando Tatis Jr. was out that season).

Why this could be the year: Bullpen, bullpen, bullpen. The Padres have perhaps the best one in the majors, even without injured All-Star Jason Adam. Suarez and Mason Miller provide a late-game pair of flamethrowers, Adrian Morejon is one of the best lefty relievers in the game, Jeremiah Estrada is a strikeout machine. and there is more depth beyond those four. Nick Pivetta had a terrific year to lead the rotation, and Dylan Cease, despite a down year, has the strikeout stuff that could play well in October.

The question: Can they hit enough home runs to score enough runs? A.J. Preller did improve the offense with the trade deadline acquisitions of Ramon Laureano (who is out with a fractured finger), Ryan O’Hearn and Freddy Fermin, but the Padres are still just 12th in OPS and 18th in home runs since then. We have to factor Petco Park into those numbers a bit, but the Padres will need their stars — Machado and Tatis — to step up. If they do, the bullpen can do the rest.


Seattle Mariners

Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1977).

Last World Series appearance: None.

Closest call: Lost the 1995 ALCS to Cleveland and the 2000 ALCS to the Yankees, both in six games. Also lost the 2001 ALCS in five games. Were up 2-1 in the 1995 ALCS against Cleveland, but a powerful Mariners lineup got shut out twice in the final three games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Leading 1-0 and looking to tie the 2001 ALCS against the Yankees at two games apiece, New York’s Bernie Williams ties the game with an eighth-inning home run off Arthur Rhodes, and Alfonso Soriano hits a walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth off Kazuhiro Sasaki.

  • Rhodes again. In Game 6 of the 2000 ALCS, the Mariners are leading the Yankees 4-3 in the seventh when David Justice blasts a three-run homer off Rhodes and sends Yankee Stadium into a deafening roar.

  • Back in the playoffs in 2022 for the first time since 2001, the Mariners lead the Astros 7-3 in the eighth inning in the division series. Alex Bregman hits a two-run homer in the eighth. With two on and two outs in the bottom of the ninth, manager Scott Servais summons starter Robbie Ray out of the bullpen to face Yordan Alvarez. Wrong decision. Alvarez blasts a game-winning three-run homer.

Why they haven’t won: Bad offenses and, for the longest time, bad drafting. And just missing the playoffs.

The Mariners couldn’t win in the mid-to-late ’90s despite a roster that featured Ken Griffey Jr., Randy Johnson, Alex Rodriguez and Edgar Martinez. Then came the miracle season of 2001, when they won a record 116 games with only Martinez still on the roster. Then came the long playoff drought, from 2002 to 2021. Those teams were marked mostly by inept offense: They once finished last in the AL in runs four straight seasons. In 2010, they traded for Cliff Lee and went all-in on pitching and defense. ESPN The Magazine put them on its cover. They lost 101 games.

Jerry Dipoto was hired as GM after the 2015 season and began turning things around. He drafted Logan Gilbert and George Kirby in the first round in 2018 and 2019, Cal Raleigh was a third-round pick in 2018, Bryan Woo was a sixth-round pick in 2021. The organization signed Julio Rodriguez in 2017. Since 2021, the Mariners have had five straight winning seasons and are seventh in the majors in wins — but this is only their second playoff appearance, having just missed in 2021, 2023 and 2024.

Why this could be the year: With Raleigh’s historic campaign leading the way, this is the best offense the Mariners have had in 25 years, with their highest wRC+ since 2001. Dipoto’s deadline trades for Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suarez created one of the best one-through-nine groups in the majors. They ranked third in the majors in home runs, and Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena and Naylor (!) each stole 30 bases. The Mariners’ bullpen isn’t super deep but the late-game foursome of Andres Munoz, Matt Brash, Eduard Bazardo and Gabe Speier has been reliable.

As that stretch of 17 wins in 18 games in September showed, the starting pitching might finally be living up to the preseason expectations following a stellar 2024 season. The concern is Woo’s health. Seattle’s best starter all season with 15 wins and a 2.97 ERA, Woo left his final start with inflammation in his pectoral muscle. The Mariners still have Gilbert, Kirby and Luis Castillo, but if the only franchise never to reach a World Series is to get there, a healthy Woo feels necessary.


Last World Series title: 1984

Last World Series appearance: 2012 (lost to the Giants in four games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 2013 ALCS to the Red Sox in six games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Leading 5-1 against the Red Sox in Game 2 of the 2013 ALCS and looking to go up two games to none in the series, David Ortiz ties the game in the eighth inning with a two-out, first-pitch grand slam off Joaquin Benoit, a play that sees Tigers right fielder Torii Hunter take a tumble over the wall and into the bullpen area at Fenway Park. The Red Sox walk it off the next inning with the help of an error and wild pitch.

  • Game 6 of the same series, the Tigers are leading 2-1 in the seventh inning of Game 6 when Jose Iglesias makes another critical error. Jose Veras enters to face Shane Victorino, who belts a grand slam.

  • Game 5 of last year’s ALDS against Cleveland, score tied 1-1 in the fifth, Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal serves up, yes, a grand slam to Lane Thomas.

Why they haven’t won: Couldn’t get it done with the Justin Verlander/Miguel Cabrera/Max Scherzer teams.

The Tigers had two long dry spells of ineptitude since that last championship in 1984. From 1994 to 2005, they suffered 12 consecutive losing seasons, including years with 106, 109 and 119 losses. From 2017 to 2023, it was seven straight losing seasons, including a 114-loss year in 2019.

Between those bad spells, however, were teams featuring the three future Hall of Famers. The Tigers made four straight postseasons from 2011 to 2014 but couldn’t get over the top. Dave Dombrowski’s teams were always top-heavy in stars but lacking in depth — and, usually, it was the bullpen that would bite the Tigers in the playoffs. Then Scherzer left as a free agent, Cabrera battled injuries and stopped hitting and Verlander was prematurely traded in 2017 with minimal return. The Tigers entered a rebuilding period that finally resulted in the franchise’s first playoff appearance in a decade in 2024.

Why this could be the year: The end of the regular season certainly doesn’t inspire much confidence after the Tigers went 7-17 in September and blew a 10-game lead to lose the division title. They just need to find their first-half mojo when they had the best record in the majors on July 6. It helps to have an ace like Skubal who can carry the rotation, and A.J. Hinch still has the same versatile roster he deployed so successfully for most of the season. Many believe Hinch is the best in-game manager in the business, and maybe that will be the difference-maker in a wide-open postseason.


Last World Series title: 1990

Last World Series appearance: 1990 (beat the A’s in four games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 1995 NLCS to the Braves in four games.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • In Game 1 of the 2012 NLDS against the Giants, Reds ace Johnny Cueto leaves his start after eight pitches with a back injury. The Reds lose the game and, minus Cueto the rest of the series, lose in five games.

  • In Game 5 of that series, the Reds are trailing 6-3 but rallying with two on and nobody out in the bottom of the sixth. But Ryan Hanigan strikes out looking on a 3-2 pitch and, with the runners moving, Jay Bruce is thrown out trying to steal third. Rally over. The Reds lose 6-4.

  • In Game 1 of the 1995 NLCS, Pete Schourek is trying to finish off a shutout, leading 1-0 heading into the top of the ninth against Atlanta. The Braves tie it up, however, and win in 11 innings. The Braves win Game 2 in extra innings as well and go on to a four-game sweep.

Why they haven’t won: Bad owners … and one very bad trade.

The Reds were competitive throughout the 1990s and won 96 games in 1999, the year Carl Lindner bought the team from Marge Schott, although they lost a tiebreaker game to the Mets and missed the playoffs. That offseason, GM Jim Bowden pulled off one of the biggest blockbusters in MLB history, acquiring Ken Griffey Jr. from the Mariners.

The trade turned out to be a disaster. Griffey had trouble staying healthy and wasn’t very productive while chewing up a large chunk of the payroll. The Reds had a losing season every year from 2001 to 2009. Bob Castellini purchased the team in 2005, and a new wave of young players led by Joey Votto, and with manager Dusty Baker at the helm, made the playoffs three times in four seasons, including two National League Central titles. The Reds’ payroll climbed as high as 11th in the majors in 2014 but that didn’t last long. By 2016, the Reds were back to 28th in payroll and losing 94 games.

The Reds rarely spend money in free agency. When they signed Mike Moustakas and Nick Castellanos for $64 million each in 2020, it was the first time they had ever signed a free agent for more than $50 million. By 2022, they were back to cutting payroll. Without an owner willing to go the extra mile, the Reds have found it difficult to make the playoffs — let alone win it all.

Why this could be the year: Hunter Greene, Nick Lodolo and Andrew Abbott. The Reds don’t score a lot of runs but they have a chance to prevent them. That young rotation trio is reminiscent of the 2003 Florida Marlins, a wild-card team that rode a young rotation to a World Series title, with Greene taking on the role of Josh Beckett, as the hard-throwing ace of the staff and ability to blow away an opponent in any given game. The Marlins also had a 20-year-old rookie named Miguel Cabrera who was batting cleanup by the World Series. The Reds have 21-year-old rookie in Sal Stewart, who has played just 18 games but has already spent some time batting cleanup.

And don’t overlook Terry Francona. He has been here before. He knows how to manage in the postseason, with the necessary urgency and the ability to get players to believe in themselves. He won’t be afraid, for example, to use rookie righty Chase Burns as a high-leverage option out of the bullpen, even though Burns has just 43 innings in the majors and even spent most of short time in the majors as a starter.


Last World Series title: 1993

Last World Series appearance: 1993 (beat the Phillies in six games).

Closest call since then: Lost the 2015 ALCS in six games to Kansas City. Also lost the 2016 ALCS, in five games, to Cleveland.

Three painful postseason moments:

  • Game 6 of the 2015 ALCS is tied in the eighth when Kansas City’s Lorenzo Cain draws a leadoff walk. Eric Hosmer then singles to right field with Cain heading to third, and when Jose Bautista throws the ball into second base, Cain keeps on sprinting home for the winning run in a 4-3 victory.

  • In Game 2 of that series, the Blue Jays lead 3-0 in the seventh but manager John Gibbons leaves in a tiring David Price to give up five hits and five runs.

  • The Blue Jays blow an 8-2 lead at home in Game 2 of the 2022 wild-card series against Seattle. The winning runs come up when J.P. Crawford clears the bases with a bloop double to center field as a diving George Springer collides with Bo Bichette.

Why they haven’t won: A tough division and the bats going dry in October.

After back-to-back World Series titles in ’92 and ’93, the Blue Jays went 20 years without a playoff appearance even though they were rarely bad in that period. They just couldn’t beat the Yankees and Red Sox or, later, the Rays and Orioles. They finally broke through and won the American League East in 2015 with the Josh Donaldson/Jose Bautista team that scored 127 more runs than any other AL team. They lost to the Royals in the ALCS that year and to Cleveland in 2016 — when the Jays scored just eight runs in five games. Remember when Cleveland had to start an obscure minor leaguer named Ryan Merritt, who had started one game in the majors, in Game 5 because they had no other starters? He tossed 4⅔ shutout innings.

In recent years, the Blue Jays went 0-6 in wild-card series in 2020, 2022 and 2023, scoring three runs in 2020, getting shut out once in 2022, and scoring one run in two games against the Twins in 2023. Entering 2025, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit .136 in six playoff games (no home runs, one RBI) and Bichette .273 with the same no home runs and one RBI.

Why this could be the year: This is a better Blue Jays club than those last three playoff teams. They have home-field advantage throughout the AL bracket and went 54-27 at home. Since May 27, only the Brewers have a better record, and they do things that work in postseason baseball: They play good defense and they had the lowest strikeout rate in the majors. Kevin Gausman and Shane Bieber give them a strong 1-2 punch and rookie Trey Yesavage could be a huge secret weapon, either as a starter or reliever, despite just 14 innings in the majors. Plus, Guerrero and Bichette (if he’s healthy) are due to finally do something in October.

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