Sean Allen is a fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. He was the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Hockey Writer of the Year. You can tweet him @seanard.
With the NHL schedule set to soon hit the holiday break — with no games on Dec. 24, 25 or 26 — it’s the perfect time to examine some betting trends from the first three calendar months of the 2024-25 campaign.
Which teams are best when favored at home? Which underdogs are overperforming? Find out the answers there, along with an updated set of Power Rankings, voted on by the ESPN hockey family.
How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors sends in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list.
Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Dec. 13. Betting stats are through Wednesday’s games; points percentages are through Thursday’s games. Victoria Matiash identified betting trends for the West, while Sean Allen handled the East.
Previous ranking: 2 Points percentage: 70.97%
The Capitals excel as underdogs, with a 9-3 record (75.0%) against the spread on the road (61.5% is the league average) and a 5-1 record (83.3%) at home (62.6% league average).
That’s a fun trend, but how often are the Caps going to be considered underdogs as they continue to flirt with the NHL points lead? They are still beating the spread as favorites better than the league rate (6-7 overall), but it’s not as stark as when they are the dogs.
Next eight days: vs. CAR (Dec. 20), vs. LA (Dec. 22), @ BOS (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 3 Points percentage: 69.12%
This week’s 3-2 loss in Anaheim strikes as even more uncommon in light of the Jets’ moneyline returns as the road favorite. But while 10-2 remains impressive overall, Winnipeg has a losing 5-7 record on the road altogether since Nov. 14.
Next eight days: vs. MIN (Dec. 21), @ TOR (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 5 Points percentage: 64.29%
If the Devils are rolling into town, watch out! With their punishing top power-play unit, the Devils deliver on the road regardless of favorite status. As road favorites, they’ve won nine of 12 games (75.0%), outperforming the 59.1% league average. Even as road underdogs, they excel, going 3-1 (75.0%), nearly doubling the overall road underdog win rate of 39.1%.
Next eight days: vs. PIT (Dec. 21), vs. NYR (Dec. 23), vs. CAR (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 1 Points percentage: 68.75%
When favored, Filip Gustavsson & Co. tend to win in tight fashion at home. A strong 8-3 (72.7%) as the favorite, the Wild are a symmetrically opposite 3-8 (27.3%) against the spread when expected to secure the victory at Xcel Energy Center, including two straight losses this week.
Next eight days: vs. UTA (Dec. 20), @ WPG (Dec. 21), vs. CHI (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 4 Points percentage: 70.31%
Nine and two when the home favorite — they’ve lost only three times at T-Mobile Arena altogether — Vegas manages just fine when their top producer doesn’t contribute. The club is 7-2 when Jack Eichel doesn’t register a point.
Next eight days: vs. SEA (Dec. 21), vs. ANA (Dec. 23), @ SJ (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 7 Points percentage: 66.13%
Defense first in Carolina. That hasn’t changed. The Hurricanes have shown clear trends when it comes to game totals. When the line for the Canes is set at 6.5, the game hits the under 17 of 24 times (70.8%), much more often the 57.4% league average. However, at 5.5, it flips, as Carolina has gone over five of seven times.
By the numbers, the Kings are much more successful when their captain contributes. A rollicking 15-9 when Anze Kopitar collects at least one point, the Kings are only 3-4 otherwise. They’re also 7-2 when favored at Crypto.com Arena.
Next eight days: @ NSH (Dec. 21), @ WSH (Dec. 22)
Previous ranking: 6 Points percentage: 63.64%
The Panthers haven’t been broadly viewed as underdogs since they knocked out the Bruins in 2023, but they embrace the moniker whenever it comes up in games. At home, they’ve won two of three as underdogs (66.7%), and on the road, they shine even brighter, going 4-1 as underdogs (80.0%), nearly doubling the league’s road underdog win rate of 39.2%.
Next eight days: vs. STL (Dec. 20), @ TB (Dec. 22), vs. TB (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 9 Points percentage: 65.63%
The Maple Leafs have been dominant at home, winning 13 of 17 games (76.5%) as the favorite and also earning the W the one time they were considered home underdogs. That strong home play is based in limiting goals, as games at Scotiabank Arena have also gone under 14 of 18 times on home ice. The unders are a much stronger trend for the Leafs at home, as their games have been under only four of 14 times on the road.
Next eight days: @ BUF (Dec. 20), vs. NYI (Dec. 21), vs. WPG (Dec. 23), @ DET (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 10 Points percentage: 61.29%
Another club that clearly enjoys the comforts of home, the Stars are 12-2 (85.7%) at American Airlines Center when deemed the favorite.
However, it’s a very different tale against the spread on the road, where Dallas — sporting a losing record altogether — is 2-9 (18.2%) to cover when backed to win.
Next eight days: vs. NYR (Dec. 20), @ UTA (Dec. 23), vs. MIN (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 11 Points percentage: 62.50%
Unimposing against the spread when expected to win all season long — 5-11 (31.2%) — the Oilers are improving in this category in recent play. Connor McDavid & Co. have beaten the opposition by a minimum of two goals in four of their past five at Rogers Place.
Next eight days: vs. SJ (Dec. 21), vs. OTT (Dec. 22)
Previous ranking: 14 Points percentage: 63.33%
The Lightning have been solid as home favorites, winning eight of 11 games (72.7%), surpassing the 60.9% league average. But it’s notable that at this juncture, more than two months into the season, the Bolts are largely untested against their own division. They’ve played only three games against Atlantic Division opponents, losing all three while failing to cover.
Next eight days: vs. FLA (Dec. 22), @ FLA (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 12 Points percentage: 59.38%
The Canucks’ remarkable road resume (10-2-2) is translating into an equally outstanding record as the straight-up favorite. They’ve lost only twice when backed by sportsbooks to win in 10 tries, including a narrow 3-2 defeat in Salt Lake City on Wednesday night.
Next eight days: vs. OTT (Dec. 21), vs. SJ (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 15 Points percentage: 55.58%
The Bruins hanging in near the top of the Atlantic has not come through dominance of opponents at home. While they may be 9-8 overall on familiar turf, they’ve covered the spread only three of 16 times when the sportsbooks have favored them at TD Garden (18.8% compared to league rate of 38.5% for home teams).
Next eight days: vs. BUF (Dec. 21), vs. WSH (Dec. 23), @ CBJ (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 16 Points percentage: 56.06%
The Flames are cooking at The Saddledome when holding a perceived edge. Forward Nazem Kadri — sizzling hot of late with a four-game goal streak — & Co. have lost just the once in six tries (83.3%) when dubbed the home favorite.
Next eight days: vs. CHI (Dec. 21)
Previous ranking: 13 Points percentage: 55.88%
When favored, this team doesn’t often cover the spread at home. The Avs’ dismal 3-11 record (21.4%) under such circumstances serves as stark contrast to their 8-1 success rate straight-up when perceived as the better team on the road. More oddly, they sport a winning record when Nathan MacKinnon doesn’t earn a single point.
Next eight days: @ ANA (Dec. 20), vs. SEA (Dec. 22), @ UTA (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 24 Points percentage: 56.45%
The Sens rank fifth in their own division, but you wouldn’t know it based on their record against their rivals. The Sens are 5-2 when facing opponents from the Atlantic and, strangely enough, the two losses are to teams with worse records. They’ve even managed a 4-3 total against the spread while beating up on their divisional foes.
Next eight days: @ VAN (Dec. 21), @ EDM (Dec. 22)
Previous ranking: 21 Points percentage: 56.45%
Enjoying a 4-0 road record, Utah is 5-0-1 since Dec. 7, relishing victories over at least one team from every division. The common denominator? Forward Dylan Guenther has registered a minimum of one point in every one of those contests.
Next eight days: @ MIN (Dec. 20), vs. ANA (Dec. 22), vs. DAL (Dec. 23), vs. COL (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 18 Points percentage: 48.53%
The Blues are having a tough time with their divisional opponents, securing the victory only once in six contests. Outside of an early December 4-1 victory over the Jets, they’ve been outscored 17-8 by other members of the Central.
Next eight days: @ FLA (Dec. 20), @ DET (Dec. 23), vs. NSH (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 25 Points percentage: 51.47%
The Penguins have been successful as home favorites, winning four of five games. However, they’ve struggled to cover, doing so just once in those opportunities (20.0%), below the 38.5% overall rate for home favorites. Their struggles stem from matchups with division foes, where Sidney Crosby and friends are 1-6 on the line and 2-5 against the spread.
Next eight days: @ NJ (Dec. 21), vs. PHI (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 19 Points percentage: 48.48%
Which came first, the Travis Konecny points or the Flyers covering the spread? They manage to cover more often when Konecny gets on the scoresheet (14-10) than not (2-6). The Flyers also vary from league trends for over/under outcomes at home, with the under coming in at a much higher rate at Wells Fargo Center (68.8%) than the league average (53.7%).
Next eight days: vs. CBJ (Dec. 21), @ PIT (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 17 Points percentage: 50.00%
They’ve avoided the home underdog label mostly, being favored in all but one of their home games, but they have not delivered. They are 7-8 on moneyline and a woeful 3-12 against the spread as the home favorite.
As they ship off players to the West Coast, eventually the books will start leaning toward the visiting side at Madison Square Garden if this slide continues.
Next eight days: @ DAL (Dec. 20), vs. CAR (Dec. 22), @ NJ (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 20 Points percentage: 47.06%
Straight up, the Kraken are proving an undesirable play as a home underdog with a 4-7 record (36.4%) while enjoying more success against the spread, covering in seven of 11 match-ups (63.6%). It helps when Jared McCann contributes to the scoresheet; Seattle has won only three times when he’s failed to do so.
Next eight days: @ VGK (Dec. 21), @ COL (Dec. 22)
Previous ranking: 22 Points percentage: 46.97%
The Isles are two different teams on the road. First, there are the underdog Islanders, a scrappy team that is 6-6 (50% win rate compared to league average 39.1%) and 9-3 against the spread. But then there are the favored Islanders on the road, a team that is a brutal 0-6 on the moneyline and ATS. For the Islanders to do well, we need to think they are going to lose. Sounds about right.
Next eight days: @ TOR (Dec. 21), vs. BUF (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 26 Points percentage: 48.39%
The Wings can keep things tight when playing in their own division. While they are 3-5 against their rivals, Detroit has covered the spread at a 5-3 rate. Additionally, they’ve covered the spread 10 of 13 times as dogs (76.9%) and eight of 13 times as favorites (61.5%) at home.
Next eight days: vs. MTL (Dec. 20), @ MTL (Dec. 21), vs. STL (Dec. 23), vs. TOR (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 23 Points percentage: 46.97%
The Blue Jackets consistently buck league trends on 6.5 totals. While the league hits the under 57.4% of the time, games with Columbus have gone under in 11 of 32 games (34.4%). Notably, they’ve yet to be involved in a game with a total set at 5.5, showing sportsbooks trust Elvis Merzlikins about as much as fantasy managers (Thursday night’s heroics aside).
Next eight days: @ PHI (Dec. 21), vs. MTL (Dec. 23), vs. BOS (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 29 Points percentage: 43.55%
Just ask a fantasy manager with Sam Montembeault about this tidbit: When the line is set at 5.5, games with Montreal have gone over five of seven times (71.4%), well above the league’s 51.5% over rate. Also, if the sportsbooks back them, get on board: The Habs are 2-0 as favorites this season.
Next eight days: @ DET (Dec. 20), vs. DET (Dec. 21), @ CBJ (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 28 Points percentage: 46.67%
One might be advised to take the under, particularly when the bar is set at 6.5 goals. Games involving the Ducks, who have scored the second fewest goals this season, have slid below that total mark on 15 of 20 occasions (75%).
Next eight days: vs. COL (Dec. 20), @ UTA (Dec. 22), @ VGK (Dec. 23)
Previous ranking: 30 Points percentage: 38.57%
More like “undersharks,” am I right? Though they have not once been labeled the favorite home or away this season, Macklin Celebrini and the rebuilding Sharks are 11-4 (73.3%) against the spread as the home dog and 13-6 (68.4%) away from SAP Center.
Next eight days: @ EDM (Dec. 21), @ VAN (Dec. 23), vs. VGK (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 27 Points percentage: 40.63%
The Sabres are unreliable at home, whether favored or not. That’s not a shocking statement for a team winless in its last 11, but even as home favorites, they’ve won just three of seven games (42.9%). That said, when they are the underdog, Buffalo does manage to beat the spread at home (8-3 for a 72.7% rate that trumps the league-wide 62.6%).
Next eight days: vs. TOR (Dec. 20), @ BOS (Dec. 21), @ NYI (Dec. 23), vs. CHI (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 31 Points percentage: 39.39%
Not astonishing, considering they’ve scored the third-fewest number of goals in the league, but the Blackhawks have hit the under 13 times and the over five times on the road (72.2% under rate). They also don’t much care for too much rest, posting a 1-8-1 record in games following a break of two days.
Next eight days: @ CGY (Dec. 21), @ MIN (Dec. 23), @ BUF (Dec. 27)
Previous ranking: 32 Points percentage: 37.88%
While the disappointing Predators don’t often overcome the odds while traveling, they repeatedly cover. Only 2-10 (16.7%) as road underdogs — including a recent 4-1 win over the Stars in Dallas — Nashville is 8-4 (66.7%) against the spread.
Next eight days: vs. LA (Dec. 21), vs. CAR (Dec. 23), @ STL (Dec. 27)
It marked his first NHL appearance since June 26, 2022, when he and the Avalanche beat Tampa Bay to win the Stanley Cup. He had been sidelined because of a chronically injured right knee.
The Avalanche posted a video of Landeskog driving to Ball Arena, which he concluded, “Hey Avs Faithful, it’s Gabe here, just wanted to shoot you guys a quick message — thank you guys for all the support over the last few years and I’ll see you tonight.”
It’s his first game with the Avalanche in 1,032 days. He becomes the fifth player in NHL history — among those with a minimum of 700 games played — to return to his team after 1,000 or more days without a contest, according to NHL Stats. The last one to do so was longtime Avalanche forward and Hall of Famer Peter Forsberg.
“I feel surprisingly calm and in control right now. I know the butterflies and the nerves will come, I’m sure,” he said during a pregame interview. “I found myself thinking about this moment a lot over the last three years. And now that it’s here, it’s the reverse — I’m thinking a lot about the hard work that’s gone into it, some of the ups, a lot of the downs, sacrifices and support I’ve had along the way.
“Thankful for everybody and all their support, but now it’s go time so I’m excited to get out there.”
The first-round series with Dallas is tied at 1-1.
Landeskog’s presence on the ice provided a big boost not only for his teammates but also for the capacity crowd. His No. 92 sweater is a frequent sight around the arena.
The crowd chanted “Landy, Landy” as he led the Avalanche on the ice for pregame warmups. The chants continued during player introductions. Later, a video chronicling Landeskog’s three-year journey back was shown on the arena scoreboard.
“Everyone is rooting for him. It’s a great comeback story,” Avs coach Jared Bednar said after morning skate. “I trust in Gabe’s preparation, and what I’m seeing with my own eyes that he’s getting close and ready to play. I think he feels really good about where he’s at.
“Adding him back into our locker room, he’s almost an extension of the coaching staff, but he’s still one of the guys and the guy that everyone looks up to. You can’t get enough of that this time of the year.”
Landeskog’s injury dates to the 2020 “bubble” season when he was accidentally sliced above the knee by the skate of teammate Cale Makar in a playoff game against Dallas. Landeskog eventually underwent a cartilage transplant procedure on May 10, 2023, and has been on long-term injured reserve.
He was activated Monday before Game 2 in Dallas and skated in pregame warmups but didn’t play.
Stars forward Matt Duchene was teammates with Landeskog and they remain good friends.
“We’ve been rooting for him to come back,” said Duchene, who was the No. 3 pick by Colorado in 2009. “Obviously, it makes our job harder having a guy like that out there, but on the friends side, the human side and the fellow athlete side, I think everyone’s happy to see the progress he’s made. … I’m just really happy that he’s gotten to this point.”
It doesn’t mean the Stars will take it easy on Landeskog.
“It’s remarkable he’s coming back, if he’s coming back, as a friend,” said longtime teammate Mikko Rantanen, a 2015 first-round pick by Colorado before being traded in January to Carolina and on to Dallas in March. “As an opponent, obviously, no mercy.”
The 32-year-old Landeskog recently went through a two-game conditioning stint with the American Hockey League’s Colorado Eagles. He practiced with the Avalanche leading up to their playoff opener.
LOS ANGELES — Veteran forward Evander Kane made his season debut for the Edmonton Oilers in Game 2 of their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series with the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday night.
Defenseman John Klingberg also returned from a lengthy injury absence as the Oilers attempted to even the series.
Kane is a 15-year NHL veteran who hasn’t played for the Oilers since Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final last June. He had surgery last September to repair a sports hernia, and he underwent knee surgery in January.
Klingberg hasn’t played since suffering a lower-body injury while blocking a shot March 27 in Seattle. The Swedish veteran signed with Edmonton in January after going unsigned early in the season, but he played in only 11 games while dealing with multiple injuries.
The Oilers are hoping Klingberg can help their blue line, which frequently struggled in the Kings’ 6-5 victory in Game 1.
Jeff Skinner was scratched by the Oilers to make room for Kane. The 15-year NHL veteran forward made his Stanley Cup playoff debut in Game 1, recording an assist.
Chris Drury and the New York Rangers agreed to a multiyear contract extension on Wednesday, keeping him at the helm of the team’s hockey operations after missing the playoffs for the first time since the 2020-21 season.
“I am pleased that Chris will continue to lead the Rangers hockey operations in his role as president and general manager,” Madison Square Garden chairman and CEO James Dolan said in a statement. “Over his tenure, Chris has shown passion for the Rangers, relentless work ethic and a tireless pursuit of excellence.
“While we are all disappointed in what transpired this past season, I am confident in his ability to guide this organization to success.”
Drury, 48, took over as general manager and president of hockey operations at the start of the 2021-22 season. The Rangers reached the playoffs in his first three seasons.
His future was one of a few items that remained in question, with the intent that the Rangers would use this offseason to reload in their bid to return to the playoffs. The team also is facing a third coaching search in four seasons after firing Peter Laviolette following his two seasons.
“I am honored to sign this contract extension and continue in this position with the team I grew up supporting,” said Drury, a former Rangers captain who played four seasons with the team. “As I said when I began in this role nearly four years ago, there isn’t a more special organization in hockey, and I look forward to continuing our work this offseason to help us reach our goals for next season and in the coming years.”
After winning the Presidents’ Trophy and reaching the Eastern Conference finals under Laviolette in the 2023-24 season, the Rangers started 12-4-1 this season, only to lose the next five games. That started a chain reaction of inconsistent play that ultimately led to the Rangers finishing six points out of the final Eastern Conference wild-card spot.
While the Rangers sought to make the playoffs, Drury also made it known they were open for business in December. That’s when they traded captain Jacob Trouba, who still had a year left on his contract, to the Anaheim Ducks. A few weeks later, they traded Kaapo Kakko, the No. 2 pick in the 2019 NHL draft, to the Seattle Kraken for defenseman Will Borgen, who would then sign an extension with the Rangers.
Still, the Rangers lost four consecutive games in early March before having two three-game losing streaks that further damaged their chances in the Eastern Conference wild-card race.
Now that Drury has a new contract, he’ll be charged with trying to improve a roster that PuckPedia projects will have only $9.67 million in available cap space. K’Andre Miller, Zac Jones and Matt Rempe are part of the club’s eight-player restricted free agent class, while the Rangers have only two unrestricted free agents in Nicolas Aube-Kubel and Calvin de Haan.
Drury will be looking for a coach in what is expected to be a competitive market. Anaheim and Seattle also fired their coaches, and three other teams — Boston, Chicago and Philadelphia — ended the season with interim coaches. The Canucks declined the option on coach Rick Tocchet, but they have offered him a new, more lucrative contract.