
Inside the Washington Capitals’ stunning retool on the fly around Alex Ovechkin
More Videos
Published
3 months agoon
By
admin-
Greg Wyshynski, Senior NHL writerJan 21, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Greg Wyshynski is ESPN’s senior NHL writer.
If Alex Ovechkin was going to shatter Wayne Gretzky’s NHL career goals record as a member of the Washington Capitals, he had some conditions that needed to be met.
Before re-signing, Ovechkin told Capitals owner Ted Leonsis that he didn’t want to be “a third-line guy playing 8 to 10 minutes a game.” He didn’t want to be someone the team “trotted out on the power play” just to pad his goal totals, according to Leonsis.
Most of all, he didn’t want to play for a rebuilding team. Before signing a five-year contract extension in 2021, he asked Leonsis to promise him that the owner would keep the team competitive, that the Capitals would be the annual playoff contender they had been for most of Ovechkin’s career. In turn, he promised Leonsis that he’d stay in shape and that his eyes wouldn’t be fixated on breaking Gretzky’s record of 894 goals, but on bringing another Stanley Cup to Washington.
Leonsis promised him that the Capitals would not enter a rebuild if Ovechkin was still on the roster. “To me, a rebuild is when you look the players, the coaches, the fans in the eye and say we’re gonna be really, really bad. And if we were really, really bad, I don’t think Alex would break the record,” Leonsis told ESPN in 2022.
This season is the fourth year of Ovechkin’s contract extension.
It appears everyone has kept their promises.
The Capitals’ captain has smashed the scoring expectations for a 39-year-old player. He had the best goal-scoring start of his career, collecting 17 tallies in 20 games before a broken leg interrupted his season. With 21 goals in 30 games, he’s just 21 goals from becoming the NHL’s all-time goal-scoring leader.
Rather than ice a shambolic roster playing out Ovechkin’s record chase, Washington was the NHL’s best team after 46 games, compiling a .728 points percentage. The Capitals were a surprise playoff entrant under first-year coach Spencer Carbery last season. An aggressive offseason augmentation of that roster propelled them to the top of the league.
“There has to be an expectation that we’re going to win,” forward Tom Wilson said. “That’s a culture that’s been built. The new guys came in this year and complemented that.”
This isn’t how it usually works for teams that contend for a dozen seasons.
Look at the Chicago Blackhawks, who followed their dynastic run by tearing down the roster to the foundations in order to draft Connor Bedard and subsequently linger in the league’s basement. Look at the Pittsburgh Penguins — home to Ovechkin’s greatest rival Sidney Crosby — who have unsuccessfully surrounded a veteran core with whatever talent they can scrounge. Their goal was a fourth Stanley Cup in the Crosby era. The result has been prolonging the inevitable.
Since Ovechkin entered the NHL in 2005-06, the Capitals have the third-best points percentage as a team (.608) behind the Vegas Golden Knights and Boston Bruins. The Capitals won the Stanley Cup in 2018. If they had skated into hockey purgatory, waiting for Ovechkin to play out the string before transitioning to the next thing, it would have been understandable.
But that’s not what he wanted. That’s not what the Capitals wanted.
Instead, the present is potent and the future is bright in Washington. Here’s how they pulled it off.
OVER THE PAST 42 years, the Capitals have had four general managers. When David Poile left to join the expansion Nashville Predators in 1997, George McPhee was imported from Vancouver to become the next general manager. Since then, the line of succession has been internal: Brian MacLellan had been McPhee’s assistant GM when he was elevated to replace him when McPhee was fired in 2014. Chris Patrick was MacLellan’s assistant when he was elevated to replace him last offseason, with MacLellan moving up to president of hockey operations.
“It’s pretty similar to how we’ve interacted over the years. I’m just making more phone calls now and dealing with agents at the NHL level than I was before,” Patrick told ESPN. “I think what Mac does really well is understanding what a team’s needs are, how the team’s playing, what areas we need to address.”
Assistant general manager Ross Mahoney, team president Dick Patrick and Leonsis have been the other constants.
“We all put our time in, we all learned from our mistakes,” Mahoney said.
Mahoney believes there are three key areas for building a team: drafting and developing, signing free agents and making trades. He has seen teams master one or two of those tasks but struggle to succeed in all three facets. But this Capitals team has aced all three tests.
In July 2021, Ovechkin announced he had re-signed for five years ($47.5 million). He would be over 40 years old by the end of the deal. The majority of the team’s core — center Nicklas Backstrom, forward T.J. Oshie and defenseman John Carlson — were also signed long term, and not getting any younger.
“I think there was a recognition, probably around when we signed that deal with Ovi, that we were kind of moving to the next phase here,” Patrick recalled. “You just look at the history of the league and how guys perform as they age. Let’s be realistic and understand that we can’t just rely on [Ovechkin and Backstrom] to carry the team anymore. It’s not physically something they’re going to be able to do.”
The realization for Capitals management was that supporting Ovechkin’s record chase with a competitive team did not mean propping up the roster with veteran mercenaries until he retired.
“If there are opportunities to add players that are in their early 20s outside of the draft, we should be looking at those types of deals,” Patrick said. “It doesn’t feel like teams would ever trade guys like that, but it happens more than maybe you realize. You just have to make sure you’re kind of on those opportunities.”
Like when the Blackhawks didn’t tender Dylan Strome a qualifying offer in 2022, and the Capitals signed the 25-year-old center. He’s their leading scorer.
Like when the Toronto Maple Leafs traded 23-year-old defenseman Rasmus Sandin to Washington in 2023, as the Capitals flipped a first-round pick they acquired in sending Garnet Hathaway and Dmitry Orlov to the Bruins at the deadline. He has been a mainstay on the team’s second defensive pairing.
0:43
Dylan Strome nets goal for Capitals
Dylan Strome nets goal for Capitals
Washington added two more players like this with their biggest swings of the offseason: trading for 25-year-old Los Angeles Kings center Pierre-Luc Dubois and 26-year-old Ottawa Senators defenseman Jakob Chychrun.
Patrick cited Matthew Tkachuk as the kind of young player who could become available via trade; the star winger was available for the Florida Panthers in 2022. Though he’s not Matthew Tkachuk, the Chychrun trade was similar in that the Senators did not expect him to re-sign after this season. The Capitals pounced, sending defenseman Nick Jensen and a third-round pick to Ottawa for Chychrun, a top-pairing, puck-moving defenseman.
Through 41 games, Chychrun leads all Washington defensemen with 31 points.
The Dubois trade was one of the offseason’s most shocking moves. The Capitals acquired the disappointing center — and the remaining seven years of his contract with an $8.5 million annual cap hit — for goalie Darcy Kuemper in a one-for-one trade.
Acquired from Winnipeg to potentially ascend to the Kings’ No. 1 center spot after Anze Kopitar retired, Dubois was a massive disappointment in his first season in Los Angeles, finishing with 16 goals and 24 points in 82 games and skating to a minus-9. He continued to underwhelm in the Kings’ postseason loss to Edmonton, notching one goal and 20 penalty minutes in five games.
The Capitals were Dubois’ fourth NHL team in nine seasons — unusual for a third overall pick — having previously fallen out of favor in Columbus and Winnipeg. All of those teams were banking on his potential, enchanted by the brief flashes of its fulfillment.
That included the Capitals, who watched him step up in the 2018 playoffs with two goals, two assists and dominant play. “Every time he was on the ice it was like, ‘Oh my god, this guy again.’ He was such a handful and I don’t even think he was even 22 years old at the time,” Patrick said.
The Capitals tracked Dubois’ path from Columbus to Winnipeg. They tried trading for him in summer 2023 before the Jets sent him to Los Angeles. They got their man last offseason, with his stock the lowest it has been.
“He was playing behind two good centers in L.A. It seemed like he wasn’t getting the opportunities he needed to get,” Patrick said. “There was still a good player there, but he was too buried in the lineup.”
Tim Barnes, who has run the analytics department in Washington since 2014, had his group confirm that Dubois’ issue was mostly usage. The Capitals did their due diligence to make sure there weren’t other issues off the ice.
“You do the work on who he is as a person and in the room. From what we learned, he was a great teammate, hard worker, wants to get better, loves the game,” Patrick said. “It’s just the situation wasn’t great for him in L.A.”
But none of this would have mattered if their coach didn’t want him. There were plenty of reasons to be wary, from the long-term contract to his underwhelming play with the Kings.
“I think a lot of coaches would be like, ‘I don’t want that problem.’ But Carbs was open-minded about it. He did his work, he understood who the person was,” Patrick said. “Maybe some stuff that some coaches saw as negatives, Carbs didn’t mind them. He felt he could deal with it.”
Dubois has resurrected his career in D.C. with 36 points in 46 games, including 8 goals.
0:43
Pierre-Luc Dubois capitalizes on the power play
Pierre-Luc Dubois capitalizes on the power play
Goaltender Logan Thompson also falls into the “aggressive acquisition of players of a certain age” gambit. Thompson, 27, played parts of four seasons with the Golden Knights. Injuries to starter Adin Hill led to Thompson playing a career-high 46 games last season, posting a 25-14-5 record with nearly identical stats to Hill’s.
Vegas GM Kelly McCrimmon said Thompson requested a trade, and the Capitals swooped in with two third-round picks — including one acquired from Toronto in a deadline trade for defenseman Joel Edmundson.
The Capitals were comfortable with Thompson, who played with their ECHL affiliate in 2019-20 and had a good relationship with Washington goalie coach Scott Murray. Whatever went on with Thompson in Vegas, the Capitals weren’t concerned.
“I mean, that’s the biggest thing a lot of times in trades and free agency, just trying to get a sense for what the person’s like and what they’re like in the group and in the room,” Patrick said. “And so we felt like we had a pretty good feel for that.”
The Capitals have also been adept in finding players who are “maybe underappreciated in their roles with other teams” said Patrick, who points to center Nic Dowd and defenseman Trevor van Riemsdyk as examples. Defenseman Matt Roy was used a lot by the Kings, but has played an important role for Washington after he was signed as a free agent last summer.
All of these moves speak to a cap flexibility that the Capitals didn’t always anticipate. One of the primary differences between the Capitals’ resurgence and the Penguins’ fade is the composition of their respective cores. Pittsburgh has $30.9 million in cap space dedicated to Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson — 35% of its cap space dedicated to four players.
The Capitals used to have a similar plight with Ovechkin ($9.5 million), defenseman John Carlson ($8 million), Backstrom ($9.2 million) and Oshie ($5.75 million). But Backstrom and Oshie are on long-term injured reserve this season. Backstrom returned from hip surgery to play just eight games last season before “stepping away from the game” last November. Oshie is expected to miss the entire season due to a chronic back injury.
Patrick said that if Backstrom could have returned, the Capitals would have welcomed him back and “gone in a different direction” with their offseason acquisitions.
“Maybe you still make that deal for Dubois and you just free up money somewhere else,” he said. “It’s all a little bit ‘Choose Your Own Adventure’: If something comes in front of you, then you figure out the next moves you’d have to make.”
Instead, the clarity Backstrom gave the Capitals last summer regarding his health “helped us understand where we could go in our decision-making process,” Patrick said.
TYING ALL OF THIS together is Carbery, 43, one of the most critical NHL coaching hires of the past several seasons.
After the Capitals defeated the Penguins on Jan. 18, Carbery was asked about his team being atop the NHL standings.
“I don’t really know how to answer that,” he said through a smile and a chuckle. “We feel good. I mean, we’re happy. The guys should be really proud where we are after 46 games. We’ll just continue to build and continue to grind.”
His tone was that of a coach who knows there’s a long road ahead, but Carbery’s Capitals have already come so far.
In 2023, Carbery was an assistant coach with the Maple Leafs, and generated a lot of buzz in the coaching market. The Capitals had parted ways with head coach Peter Laviolette after missing the playoffs. MacLellan coveted the young coach. Carbery, in turn, fancied the idea of coaching the Capitals after having coached their ECHL team in South Carolina for five seasons and the Hershey Bears for three seasons.
It took a bit for the Capitals to find an identity under Carbery last season. “We were very defensive. We weren’t scoring many goals as a team,” Carlson said. “When your team is not as offensive as in years past, we all have to change. We all have to find different ways. And I think it just took us longer.”
Last season, the Capitals were 28th in goals per game (2.63) and 16th in goals against (3.07). This season, they’re second in goals per game (3.57) and third in goals against (2.43).
Patrick has praised Carbery’s communication skills and his boldness — like in signing off on the Dubois deal, for example.
“I worked with him a lot in Hershey. I guess I didn’t have that appreciation for his willingness to go against the conventional coach thinking,” Patrick said.
“He’s a bright, intelligent guy who’s competitive. I think a really, really good communicator. I think Spencer’s as honest as they come. He will tell you what he expects of you. He will tell you what he wants,” Mahoney said. “He’s got the X and O’s and all that, but I think being able connect to all 23 players is not easy to do.”
Carbery is also young enough to be an effective coach for the NHL veterans as well as the next wave of prospects for the Capitals — who are another reason this retool has worked.
MAHONEY HAS RUN the Capitals’ draft for 27 years, first as director of amateur scouting and then as assistant general manager. The foundation of the Ovechkin Era has been built through the draft, starting with the Great 8 going first overall in 2004.
Since 2008, Ovechkin’s first trip to the postseason, the Capitals have missed the playoffs only twice. They’ve maintained that success without bleeding their prospect pipeline dry. Since 2008, there were only three drafts in which the Capitals didn’t make a first-round pick.
The Ovechkin Era was fostered by picks such as forwards Backstrom, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Marcus Johansson, Alex Semin and Wilson; defensemen Carlson, Mike Green, Dmitry Orlov and Karl Alzner; and goalies Braden Holtby and Philipp Grubauer. In Game 5 of the 2018 Stanley Cup Final, the Capitals had 12 players drafted from Mahoney’s boards in their lineup. That’s not considering the talents that Washington drafted who blossomed elsewhere, such as forward Filip Forsberg and goalie Semyon Varlamov.
Time is the ultimate judge of a team’s draft success. But Mahoney believes the past few drafts could be as fruitful as some of the best of the Ovechkin Era.
“I think we’re kind of in another phase right now that’s like the one we were in back then,” he said.
Look no further than the 2025 IIHF World Junior Championships, where two Capitals prospects led Team USA to another gold: Defenseman Cole Hutson, selected 43rd overall last summer and winger Ryan Leonard, taken eighth overall in 2023.
Hutson led all scorers in the tournament with 11 points in seven games, including a goal and an assist in the gold medal game, becoming the first defenseman to do so in tournament history.
U.S.-based scouts Jeremy Browning, Rich Alger and A.J. Toews identified the defenseman as a player the Capitals should target one year before the draft.
“We had him higher than where we took him,” Mahoney said. “He’s not the biggest player, but he plays big. He could really skate, has exceptional confidence with the puck. I think that really came through in the world junior tournament. In all honesty, he played even better than I thought he would.”
As far as when Hutson might join the Capitals, Mahoney said that’s up to the Boston University star. If he shows the right trajectory, he could force Washington’s hand in getting him to the NHL sooner than later.
“He’s on the right path. Next year, we’ll see where he’s at. My advice to them is always make it hard on the coaches or make it hard on the development team,” Mahoney said.
In the 2023 NHL draft, the Capitals held the eighth overall pick. They watched the expected top picks come off the board — Connor Bedard to Chicago, Leo Carlsson to Anaheim, Adam Fantilli to Columbus and so on — but as the first round continued, there wasn’t a chance that Russian star Matvei Michkov would still been available at No. 8.
The Philadelphia Flyers drafted Michkov at No. 7, then the Capitals selected Leonard of the U.S. National Team Development Program at No. 8.
Would Washington have gone Michkov over Leonard at No. 8? Mahoney wouldn’t say, but admitted that he had to pace himself walking to the podium before enthusiastically making Leonard the pick.
“I wanted to run up there, but I thought that would be a little bit immature in my part,” he said.
Leonard was tied for second in points at World Juniors (10), up from his six points in seven games during Team USA’s 2024 gold medal win. He captained the team to gold, something that wasn’t lost on the Capitals.
“I’m quite sure someday here in the future that not only Ryan will be contributing in a major way to the Capitals, but I could see him taking on a leadership role also,” Mahoney said.
Leonard had 60 points in 41 games at Boston College last season, starring on a line with Will Smith, now with the San Jose Sharks, and Gabe Perreault, a top New York Rangers‘ prospect. The winger’s 31 goals set a freshman record at the school. He decided not to join the Capitals last season, opting to return with Perreault to BC this season, but Mahoney said the team wants to see him in Washington “sooner than later.”
If Leonard makes the leap from Boston College to the Capitals, it would make him a rarity in the team’s prospect pipeline. Only a handful of players — forward Tom Wilson being one of them — have joined the NHL without getting considerable seasoning in the AHL with the Hershey Bears. On the current roster, center Aliaksei Protas spent parts of three seasons with the Bears, while center Connor McMichael played 90 games in Hershey, Pennsylvania.
Having a team in Hershey gives Washington a geographic advantage, in part due to the short travel time for call-ups but also enabling Capitals executives to be more hands-on with prospects. Since Ovechkin joined the Capitals, the Bears have won the AHL Calder Cup five times, including back-to-back championships in the past two seasons under head coach Todd Nelson. That continued success is vital to player development, according to Patrick.
“Having good teams in Hershey is important because it puts players into bigger game environments, playing important games against good teams,” he said. “I think all those situations are huge for their development and I think it really helps them when they get into the NHL. Players need to find ways to be mentally ready to play those games. And I think going through that process in Hershey really helps.”
Among the players who are percolating in the Capitals’ pipeline: Defenseman Vincent Iorio (55th overall in 2021), forward Ivan Miroshnichenko (20th overall in 2022) and center Hendrix Lapierre (22nd in 2020). Among those on the way: Wingers Andrew Cristall of the WHL’s Spokane Chiefs (40th overall in 2023) and Terik Parascak of the Prince George Cougars (17th overall, 2024), as well as Hutson.
“We’re really patient with our prospects, never been ones to rush players into the NHL and it’s worked out really well for us. We’ve got really good coaches down there [in Hershey],” said Mahoney, who also credits former NHL players such as Brooks Orpik and Jim Slater in the team’s player development program.
“We do everything we can on our end to help them. We just need them to do everything on their end. And we feel really good about what we have coming in our pipeline,” he said.
A promise made was a promise kept for the Capitals. Alex Ovechkin is thriving on a Stanley Cup contender, as the gap between his goal total and Gretzky’s seemingly unbreakable record continues to narrow. And he’s surrounded by players, with more on the way, who indicate there might be life after Ovi in Washington.
You may like
Sports
How Mikko Rantanen impacts the Stars’ Stanley Cup hopes — in 2025 and well beyond
Published
2 hours agoon
April 21, 2025By
admin
-
Ryan S. ClarkApr 21, 2025, 08:00 AM ET
Close- Ryan S. Clark is an NHL reporter for ESPN.
Every NHL franchise would be elated to select one player who could become a franchise defenseman, a franchise forward or a franchise goaltender in a single draft class.
The Dallas Stars found all three in 2017.
Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson and Jake Oettinger have developed into franchise cornerstones, which has played a significant role in the Stars becoming a perennial Stanley Cup challenger.
This is why Stars general manager Jim Nill and his front office staff have typically been averse to trading away from draft picks.
That’s also what made Nill’s decision at the trade deadline so jarring: The Stars traded a pair of first-round picks, three second-round picks and onetime prized prospect Logan Stankoven for Mikko Rantanen.
While the Stars made a statement by adding another franchise winger, the trade also signaled that the Stars are entering a new frontier — deviating from the blueprint that allowed them to be a championship contender in the first place.
“It’s two things: It’s where our team’s at, and it’s Mikko Rantanen,” Nill said. “A lot of times when you go into a trade, it’s for an older player that has two or three years left in his career.
“Mikko is in the prime of his career. He’s one of the elite power forwards in the game, and with where we’re drafting, when do you get a chance to get a player like that? Just because of unique circumstances, he was available.”
After trading for Rantanen, the Stars signed him to an eight-year contract extension worth $12 million annually. That commitment further amplifies how the Stars believe Rantanen can help them win the Stanley Cup that has eluded them since 1999.
But how did the proverbial stars align for Dallas to get Rantanen? What made the Stars comfortable moving away from the foundational strategy of draft-and-develop? And after the current playoff run, what does Rantanen’s presence mean in the short and long term?
“Of course, [trading for Rantanen] sends a message that they’re backing us with the chance that we have to do something special,” Stars defenseman Esa Lindell said. “It’s a chance to win, and that brings expectations to succeed.”
RANTANEN PLAYED FOR the division rival Colorado Avalanche throughout his career, which meant that Nill and others within the Stars’ front office had a close view of his ascent to stardom. They thought he was one of the best players in the NHL but never thought it was possible that he could be a Dallas Star.
“You’re not even looking in [Rantanen’s] direction when you’re analyzing your team and trying to make changes,” Nill said. “It was never really even an option for us.”
Until it did become an option — and even then, the Stars weren’t so sure.
When Rantanen was traded to the Carolina Hurricanes on Jan. 24, the Stars’ front office still didn’t regard him as potentially available to them because the Canes were also in a championship window.
Rantanen scored six points in 13 games for the Hurricanes. But with each week that passed without him signing a contract extension with Carolina, the speculation increased that the Hurricanes could move him again in order to avoid losing him for nothing in free agency in the summer.
“I would say about two weeks before the trade deadline, they started to make some calls just to see what the market was,” Nill said. “We were one of the teams they called to see if there was interest, and then with about a week to 10 days before the trade deadline, we said, ‘You know what? Let’s look at it,’ but still not thinking that was the direction we were going to go.”
Pragmatism remains the principle that guides Nill.
Even before the Stars could devise a trade package, they needed a number of factors to work in their favor. For instance, if Rantanen had become available last season, there was no way they could have made it work financially because of their cap situation.
This season, injuries to Tyler Seguin and Heiskanen meant the pair’s combined $18.3 million cap hit provided wiggle room. That flexibility is how the Stars were able to take on the full freight of Cody Ceci‘s and Mikael Granlund‘s contracts in a trade with the San Jose Sharks on Feb. 1.
Yet the Stars needed more help fitting Rantanen’s contract onto their books, which made the first trade with the Avs and Canes even more crucial. Rantanen, who earns $9.25 million annually, had 50% of his salary retained by the Chicago Blackhawks in that first trade, which meant he’d be joining the Stars at a team-friendly $4.625 million prorated for the rest of the season.
“A lot of factors came into play where we’re sitting there saying, ‘A year ago, we couldn’t do that because he makes this much money and we didn’t have injuries,'” Nill said. “But now that there was a different scenario? An opportunity was there to make it work, and that’s when we got more serious.”
The Stars already had a dynamic that worked, with the bulk of their core group being younger than 26. They had a seemingly annual tradition of introducing a homegrown prospect who went from promising talent to NHL contributor. It was proof their farm-to-table model worked, while also ensuring a level of cap certainty.
So what made Nill and the Stars feel like this was the time to upend that approach? Especially with some of those homegrown prospects, such as Thomas Harley and Wyatt Johnston, going from their team-friendly, entry-level deals to being significant earners on their second contracts?
“You’re not only looking at this year, but when you’re making a major commitment to a player like that trade-wise and asset-wise, you’re probably going to want to sign him,” Nill said. “That’s when we had to sit down and look at what direction we could go with our team here. We got some major players taking some pay hikes that they deserve, and that’s when we asked, ‘How can we make this fit?'”
1:09
‘It’s nuts!’ Stars acquire Mikko Rantanen from Hurricanes
The “TradeCentre” crew gives their instant reaction to the shocking news that Mikko Rantanen has been traded to the Dallas Stars.
CHAMPIONSHIP WINDOWS DON’T last long, and there’s always change.
Just ask Robertson. Even though he’s only 25 years old, he’s an example of how much change the Stars have encountered since their streak of three conference finals in five years started in 2020.
Robertson played three regular-season games the 2019-20 season and was a taxi-squad member who never appeared in the playoffs. But technically, he’s one of only seven players on the current roster who played at least one game from that season. It’s a group that also includes Jamie Benn, Roope Hintz, Seguin, Heiskanen, Lindell and Harley. Oettinger was also a taxi-squad player but never appeared in any games in the 2020 playoff bubble.
“That next year, we didn’t make the playoffs and we kind of made a shift onto new players,” Robertson said. “It was my second year, and we were just trying to make the playoffs as a wild-card team. My third year, [head coach] Pete [DeBoer] comes in with a new staff and a lot of new players too. I don’t know what our expectations were, but we just wanted to make the playoffs.”
Nill said what allowed the Stars to transition from the Benn-Seguin era to where they are now was a farm system that provided key players on team-friendly contracts.
As those players have turned into veteran regulars, the Stars must now get creative with the cap and balance the difficult decisions that lie ahead.
While that’s a consideration every perennial title challenger faces at some point, Rantanen’s arrival accelerated that timeline for Dallas. Before the trade, the Stars were slated to enter the upcoming offseason with more than $17 million in cap space. It was more than enough to re-sign pending UFAs such as Benn and Matt Duchene, while having the space to add elsewhere in free agency, too.
And that was with Oettinger going from $4 million this season to $8.25 million over the next three years while Johnston, who was a pending restricted free agent, also signed a three-year deal carrying an annual $8.4 million cap hit.
The addition of Rantanen’s contract means the Stars will have $5.32 million in cap space, per PuckPedia. That has raised the possibility that Benn, Duchene and Evgenii Dadonov (along with Ceci and Granlund) might not be back, and that the Stars could be limited in free agency.
There’s another way to look at the Stars’ short- and long-term situation. Benn noted the fact that they are in this position lets players know that the front office believes in them so much that it was worth changing its philosophy to get Rantanen and have him in Dallas for the better part of a decade.
“I think it shows confidence in the group that we have and what we’ve been doing this year,” Benn said. “Our draft picks over the last few years have set us up to succeed. When you make a move like that for a player like Mikko, it gives your group a lot of confidence. Now it’s on us as players to take advantage of it.”
So what does that mean for Benn, who is in the final year of his contract, knowing the Stars’ cap situation ahead of next season?
“I don’t see myself playing for anybody else other than this team,” said Benn, who has played his entire 16-year career with the Stars. “Hopefully, it’ll all get figured out this summer, but I am excited for the future of the Stars.”
Sports
Ranking the top 50 players in the Stanley Cup playoffs: Where do Hellebuyck, MacKinnon, Kucherov land?
Published
8 hours agoon
April 21, 2025By
admin
-
Neil PaineApr 21, 2025, 07:30 AM ET
Close- Neil Paine writes about sports using data and analytics. Previously, he was Sports Editor at FiveThirtyEight.
As the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs began, a number of storylines dominated the conversation: Can Connor Hellebuyck turn his historic regular season into a Dominik Hašek-esque postseason run for the ages for the Winnipeg Jets? Will the Colorado Avalanche–Dallas Stars showdown be a quasi-Cup Final right away in Round 1? Is it finally the year for Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to win it all, after the Edmonton Oilers came so close last season?
But beyond the matchups and narratives, it’s also a good time to take stock of which players bring the most value into the postseason.
That’s where goals above replacement (GAR) comes in — my evolved spin on earlier all-in-one value stats like Tom Awad’s goals versus threshold and Hockey-Reference’s point shares. The core idea of GAR is to measure a player’s total impact — in offense, defense or goaltending — above what a generic “replacement-level” player might provide at the same position. It also strives to ensure the league’s value is better balanced by position: 60% of leaguewide GAR is distributed to forwards, 30% to defensemen and 10% to goaltenders.
To then assess who might be most valuable on the eve of this year’s playoffs, I plugged GAR into a system inspired by Bill James’ concept of an “established level” of performance; in this case, a weighted average of each player’s GAR over the past three regular seasons, with more emphasis on 2024-25. And to keep the metric from undervaluing recent risers, we also apply a safeguard: no player’s established level can be lower than 75% of his most recent season’s GAR.
The result is a blend of peak, recent, and sustained performance — the players on playoff-bound teams who have been great, are currently great or are still trending upward — in a format that gives us a sense of who could define this year’s postseason.
One final note: Injured players who were expected to miss all or substantial parts of the playoffs were excluded from the ranking. Sorry, Jack Hughes.
With that in mind, here are the top 50 skaters and goaltenders on teams in the 2025 playoff field, according to their three-year established level of value, ranked by the numbers:
Sports
Stanley Cup playoffs daily: Previewing Monday’s four-game slate
Published
10 hours agoon
April 21, 2025By
admin
Five series of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs have begun, and two more will begin Monday. Meanwhile, the two matchups in the Central Division are on to Game 2.
Here’s the four-pack of games on the calendar:
What are the key storylines heading into Monday’s games? Who are the key players to watch?
Read on for game previews with statistical insights from ESPN Research, recaps of what went down last night, and the Three Stars of Sunday Night from Arda Öcal.
Matchup notes
Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals
Game 1 | 7 p.m., ESPN
You might’ve heard about the 2010 playoff matchup between these two teams a time or so in the past week.
In that postseason, the overwhelming favorite (and No. 1 seed) Capitals, led by Alex Ovechkin, were upset by the No. 8 seed Canadiens, due in large part to an epic performance in goal from Jaroslav Halak. Halak isn’t walking out of the tunnel for the Habs this time around (we assume); instead it’ll be Becancour, Quebec, native Sam Montembeault, who allowed four goals on 35 shots in his one start against the Caps this season.
Washington’s goaltender for Game 1 has yet to be revealed, as Logan Thompson was injured back on April 2. But there’s no question that there is a disparity between the offensive output of the two clubs, as the Caps finished second in the NHL in goals per game (3.49), while the Canadiens finished 17th (2.96). Can Montreal keep up in this series?
St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets
Game 2 | 7:30 p.m., ESPN2
The Blues hung with the Jets for much of Game 1 and even looked like the stronger team at certain times, so pulling off the series upset remains on the table. But getting a win on the unfriendly ice at the Canada Life Centre would be of some benefit in shifting momentum before the series moves to St. Louis for Game 3. The Blues proved that Connor Hellebuyck is not invincible in Game 1, and they were led by stars Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas, who both got on the board.
The Jets have a mixed history after winning Game 1 of a playoff series, having gone 3-3 as a franchise (including the Atlanta Thrashers days) on such occasions. Like the Blues, the Jets were led by their stars, Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele, but the game-tying goal came from Alex Iafallo, who has played up and down the lineup this season.
Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars
Game 2 | 9:30 p.m., ESPN
The Stars might like a redo on Game 1 after the visiting Avalanche essentially controlled the festivities for much of the contest. Stars forward Jason Robertson missed Game 1 because of an injury sustained in the final game of the regular season, and his return sooner than later would be excellent for Dallas; he scored three goals in three games against Colorado in the regular season. Also of note, teams that have taken a 2-0 lead in best-of-seven series have won 86% of the time.
Slowing down the Avs’ stars will be critical in Game 2, which is a sound — if perhaps unrealistic — strategy. With his two goals in Game 1, Nathan MacKinnon became the third player in Avalanche/Nordiques history to score 50 playoff goals, joining Joe Sakic (84) and Peter Forsberg (58). In reaching 60 assists in his 73rd playoff game, Cale Makar became the third-fastest defenseman in NHL history to reach that milestone, behind Bobby Orr (69 GP) and Al MacInnis (71 GP).
Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings
Game 1 | 10 p.m., ESPN2
This is the fourth straight postseason in which the Oilers and Kings have met in Round 1, and Edmonton has won the previous three series. Will the fourth time be the charm for the Kings?
L.A. went 3-1-0 against Edmonton this season, including shutouts on April 5 and 14. Quinton Byfield was particularly strong in those games, with three goals and an assist. Overall, the Kings were led in scoring this season by Adrian Kempe, with 35 goals and 38 assists. Warren Foegele — who played 22 playoff games for the Oilers in 2024 — had a career-high 24 goals this season.
The Oilers enter the 2025 postseason with 41 playoff series wins, which is the second most among non-Original Six teams (behind the Flyers, with 44). They have been eliminated by the team that won the Stanley Cup in each of the past three postseasons (Panthers 2024, Golden Knights 2023, Avalanche 2022). Edmonton continues to be led by Leon Draisaitl — who won his first Rocket Richard Trophy as the league’s top goal scorer this season — and Connor McDavid, who won the goal-scoring title in 2022-23 and the Conn Smythe Trophy as MVP of the playoffs last year, even though the Oilers didn’t win the Cup.
Arda’s Three Stars of Sunday
For the last several seasons, much of the postseason narrative for the Leafs has been the lack of production from the Core Four. So this was a dream Game 1 against Ottawa for Marner (one goal, two assists), Nylander (one goal, one assist), John Tavares (one goal, one assist) and Matthews (two assists) in Toronto’s 6-2 win over Ottawa.
Stankoven’s two goals in the second period put the game out of reach, with the Canes winning 4-1 in Game 1. Stankoven is the second player in Hurricanes/Whalers history to score twice in his first playoff game with the club (the other was Andrei Svechnikov in Game 1 of the first round in 2019)
Howden had two third-period goals in the Golden Knights’ victory over the Wild in Game 1, including a buzzer-beating empty-netter to make the final score 4-2.
Sunday’s results
Hurricanes 4, Devils 1
Carolina leads 1-0
The Hurricanes came out inspired thanks in part to the raucous home crowd and took a quick lead off the stick of Jalen Chatfield at 2:24 of the first period. Logan Stankoven — who came over in the Mikko Rantanen trade — scored a pair in the second period, and the Canes never looked back. On the Devils’ side, injuries forced Brenden Dillon and Cody Glass out of the game, while Luke Hughes left in the third period but was able to return. Full recap.
0:44
Logan Stankoven’s 2nd goal gives Hurricanes a 3-0 lead
Logan Stankoven notches his second goal of the game to give the Hurricanes a 3-0 lead.
Maple Leafs 6, Senators 2
Toronto leads 1-0
The first skirmish in the Battle of Ontario goes to the home side, as the Leafs never let the Senators get very close in this one. Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Mitch Marner scored in the first, John Tavares and William Nylander tallied in the second, while Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies put the game away in the third. Drake Batherson and Ridly Greig — scorer of a controversial empty-net goal against Toronto in 2024 — scored for Ottawa. Full recap.
0:42
William Nylander zips home a goal to pad the Maple Leafs’ lead
William Nylander zips the puck past the goalie to give the Maple Leafs a 4-1 lead.
Golden Knights 4, Wild 2
Vegas leads 1-0
In Sunday’s nightcap, the two teams played an evenly matched first two periods, as Vegas carried a 2-1 lead into the third. Then, Brett Howden worked his magic, scoring a goal to pad the Knights’ lead 2:28 into that frame, and putting the game to bed with an empty-netter that beat the buzzer. The Wild were led by Matt Boldy, who had two goals, both assisted by Kirill Kaprizov. Full recap.
0:31
Brett Howden buries Wild in Game 1 with buzzer-beating goal
Brett Howden sends the Minnesota Wild packing in Game 1 with an empty-net goal for the Golden Knights in the final second.
Trending
-
Sports2 years ago
‘Storybook stuff’: Inside the night Bryce Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series
-
Sports1 year ago
Story injured on diving stop, exits Red Sox game
-
Sports1 year ago
Game 1 of WS least-watched in recorded history
-
Sports2 years ago
MLB Rank 2023: Ranking baseball’s top 100 players
-
Sports4 years ago
Team Europe easily wins 4th straight Laver Cup
-
Environment2 years ago
Japan and South Korea have a lot at stake in a free and open South China Sea
-
Environment2 years ago
Game-changing Lectric XPedition launched as affordable electric cargo bike
-
Business3 years ago
Bank of England’s extraordinary response to government policy is almost unthinkable | Ed Conway