The first four games of the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off have been thrilling, including two games that went to overtime, a wild USA-Canada game that included three fights in the first nine seconds, and a level of play that is well beyond what some expected for an event that replaced the All-Star Game.
Before we dive into the preview, here’s an updated look at the round-robin standings:
If either Canada or Finland earn a regulation win in Monday’s 1 p.m. ET game, they will advance to the final to face the United States.
If either Canada or Finland win Monday’s early game in overtime or shootout, Sweden will advance to the final if they defeat the United States in regulation.
Who are the key players to watch? What are the most important statistics heading into this contest? Read on for all of that, plus betting intel courtesy of ESPN BET, and picks on the game from Victoria Matiash.
Finland vs.
Canada
Monday, 1 p.m. ET | TNT TD Garden (Boston)
Betting intel
Money line: Canada -425 | Finland +320 Game spread: Canada -2.5 (+115) | Finland +2.5 (-135) Total goals: Over 5.5 (-145) | Under 5.5 (+120)
Sidney Crosby anytime pointscorer (-220): Time and time again, the sport’s very best tend to show up in the biggest games. Requiring a regulation win to secure a spot in Thursday’s final against the Americans, this is as huge as it gets for Team Canada. After earning three primary assists and being named the first star against Sweden, Crosby not only failed to dent the scoresheet (minus-2) in Saturday’s epic tilt with the United States, but also committed the giveaway that led to Dylan Larkin‘s winner.
“Obviously, it’s a game of mistakes, and I turn one over there and it ends up in the back of the net. It’s as quick as that. Just little plays here and there,” Crosby told reporters after the game.
Whatever the final result in Monday’s matinee — and Canada is considered a substantial -425 favorite — it feels unlikely that the country’s most clutch performer for a generation will fail to contribute at least a single helper against Finland. Up until Saturday, Cosby had won 26 straight games representing his home and native land in international competition while averaging more than a point per game.
Mark Stone to record 3-plus shots (+230): Sticking with the “big players show up in big games” motif, the Vegas captain also fits that bill. Stone fired a trio of shots on net versus Sweden and a team-high three in Saturday’s defeat to the Americans. If the Finns surrender another 30 or so shots as they did versus the United States (32), I like Stone to account for a tenth of them, at minimum. Again, even if Canada comes out on the wrong end of this must-win game, the vets are going to go down swinging. — Victoria Matiash
United States vs.
Sweden
Monday, 8 p.m. ET | TNT TD Garden (Boston)
Betting intel
Money line: USA -200 | Sweden +170 Game spread: USA -1.5 (+130) | Sweden +1.5 (-155) Total goals: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115)
Chris Kreider anytime goal scorer (+475): In a game that won’t mean anything for the United States in terms of getting through to the final — and could also carry zero weight for Sweden, if Canada wins in regulation — there’s one particular player who should nonetheless feel inspired to make a productive impact. After failing to make the lineup for the first two contests, Kreider projects to sub in for Matthew Tkachuk, who could use the extra rest after getting banged up Saturday. If so, the Boston College alumnus will feel extra jazzed to contribute in front of the pro-American crowd at TD Garden, which stands about 25 miles down the road from where he grew up.
SUNRISE, Fla. — Auston Matthews hadn’t scored against Florida in more than a year. He ended the drought — and might have also saved Toronto’s season.
Matthews got his first goal of the series to break a scoreless tie in the third period, Joseph Woll stopped 22 shots and the Toronto Maple Leafs kept their season alive by beating the Florida Panthers2-0 in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinal series Friday night.
“Just a gutsy, gutsy win,” Matthews said.
Game 7 is Sunday night in Toronto. The winner will face Carolina in the East final.
“We played a simple game tonight,” Leafs coach Craig Berube said.
Simple, but effective. Toronto blocked 31 shots, plus killed off all four Florida power plays.
Max Pacioretty added an insurance goal for the Maple Leafs, who improved to 4-2 when facing elimination since the start of the 2023 playoffs.
Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 15 shots for the Panthers, the defending Stanley Cup champions who oddly are only 8-7 in potential closeout games over the past three postseasons.
“You win or you learn,” Panthers captain Aleksander Barkov said. “Tonight, we learned.”
Florida coach Paul Maurice is 5-0 in Game 7s, including the final game of last season’s Stanley Cup Final. The Panthers are 3-1 all time in the ultimate game of a series — 2-0 on the road — while the Maple Leafs have lost each of their past six Game 7s. Of those, four were against Boston and now-Panthers forward Brad Marchand.
“We’re not going to show any video of those Game 7s,” Maurice said. “We’ll look at our game tonight and see where we can get better.”
It was the 68th game of this season’s playoffs — and only the second that was 0-0 after 40 minutes. The other was Wednesday night, when Edmonton eliminated Vegas with a 1-0 victory in overtime in Game 5 of that Western Conference semifinal series.
Toronto had five goals in Game 1, four more in Game 2 and had three by the early goings of the second period of Game 3. Add it up, and that was 12 in basically the first seven periods of the series.
From there, Toronto got basically nothing — until Matthews broke through.
The Toronto captain was 0-for-31 on shots against Florida this season, including the regular season. Bobrovsky had stopped 85 of the last 86 shot attempts he had seen in the series. And the Maple Leafs hadn’t had the lead in basically the equivalent of 3½ games — 216 minutes, 30 seconds, to be precise.
But when a pass got away from Florida’s Aaron Ekblad, Matthews had a slight opening — and that was all he needed. A low shot skittered along the ice and beat Bobrovsky for a 1-0 lead with 13:40 left.
“It’s a big win, from top to bottom,” Matthews said. “We earned that.”
LONDON, Ontario — The judge handling the trial of five Canadian hockey players accused of sexual assault dismissed the jury Friday after a complaint that defense attorneys were laughing at some of the jurors.
Ontario Superior Court Justice Maria Carroccia will now handle the high-profile case on her own.
The issue arose Thursday after one of the jurors submitted a note indicating that several jury members felt they were being judged and laughed at by lawyers representing one of the accused as they came into the courtroom each day. The lawyers, Daniel Brown and Hilary Dudding, denied the allegation.
Carroccia said she had not seen any behavior that would cause her concern, but she concluded that the jurors’ negative impression of the defense could impact the jury’s impartiality and was a problem that could not be remedied.
Michael McLeod, Dillon Dube, Carter Hart, Cal Foote and Alex Formenton were charged with sexual assault last year after an incident with a then-20-year-old woman that allegedly took place when they were in London for a Hockey Canada gala celebrating their championship at that year’s world junior tournament. McLeod faces an additional charge of being a party to the offense of sexual assault.
All have pleaded not guilty. None of them is on an NHL roster or has an active contract with a team in the league.
The woman, appearing via a video feed from another room in the courthouse, has testified that she was drunk, naked and scared when men started coming into a hotel room and that she felt she had to go along with what the men wanted her to do. Prosecutors contend the players did what they wanted without taking steps to ensure she was voluntarily consenting to sexual acts.
Defense attorneys have cross-examined her for days and suggested she actively participated in or initiated sexual activity because she wanted a “wild night.” The woman said that she has no memory of saying those things and that the men should have been able to see she wasn’t in her right mind.
A police investigation into the incident was closed without charges in 2019. Hockey Canada ordered its own investigation but dropped it in 2020 after prolonged efforts to get the woman to participate. Those efforts were restarted amid an outcry over a settlement reached by Hockey Canada and others with the woman in 2022.
Police announced criminal charges in early 2024, saying they were able to proceed after collecting new evidence they did not detail.
BALTIMORE — Margie’s Intention outran Paris Lily in the stretch to win the Black-Eyed Susan by three-quarters of a length Friday.
The 1 1/8-mile race for 3-year-old fillies was delayed around an hour because of a significant storm that passed over Pimlico, darkening the sky above the venue. Margie’s Intention, the 5-2 favorite at race time, had little difficulty on the sloppy track with Flavien Prat aboard.
Paris Lily started impressively and was in front in the second turn, but she was eventually overtaken by Margie’s Intention on the outside.
Kinzie Queen was third.
Morning line favorite Runnin N Gunnin finished last in the nine-horse field.