Underdog Finland aims to spoil Canada-USA II
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Greg Wyshynski
BOSTON — The hockey world is still buzzing about Saturday night’s fight-filled Team USA vs. Canada game and the possibility of a rematch in the 4 Nations Face-Off championship game.
Finland would like nothing more than to prevent that from happening by eliminating Canada on Monday afternoon in Boston.
“We respect Team Canada a lot and their hockey history. So it’s going to be a big thing for us if we can win against that team,” said Finland coach Antti Pennanen.
While the U.S. has clinched a berth in Thursday’s championship game, the tournament’s other three teams still have a path to join them. If either Canada or Finland earn a regulation win in Monday’s 1 p.m. ET game at TD Garden, it will advance to the final. If either Canada or Finland win in overtime or a shootout, Sweden could make the final with a regulation win over the U.S. on Monday night (8 ET).
If Finland beats Canada in any manner, the tournament favorite is eliminated from the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Pennanen said he anticipates having the Boston fans’ support as Finland plays Team USA’s archrival. “It’s turned around for us now here in Boston. I hope we have the home crowd behind us,” he said.
The Finnish players are well aware of the anticipation for a rematch after Team USA’s thrilling 3-1 victory over Canada on Saturday night in Montreal, which featured three fights in the first nine seconds of the game. Forward Erik Haula was on a team bus with his family when that game started.
“I had my 1-year-old on my lap and gave the phone to my 4-year-old, asking if he wanted to watch the game. And then there were three fights in nine seconds and I’m like, ‘Hey buddy, what’s going on over here?'” he recalled with a laugh.
Playing the spoiler is a familiar position for Finland, perennially an underdog in international tournaments.
“They always seem to be the team that probably never gets the respect they deserve until they’re in the final and then you’re like, ‘Whoa, how did Finland get here?'” said Canada coach Jon Cooper, who noted that his team’s rematch with the Americans is anything but guaranteed. “Finland has NHL stars just like everybody in this tournament does. The difference between Canada and Finland is that we have massive expectations in front of us. But expectations don’t win hockey games. You have to go out there and perform, and I think our team has performed extremely well.”
Spoiling USA vs. Canada II would fit that Finnish tradition. But Haula said that’s not on his teammate’s minds heading into Monday.
“We don’t think about it like that. It’s just a great opportunity for us to play against them. It’s a great challenge for us and we’re going to try to meet it head on and play our best game of tournament,” he said. “It’s where all our focus is.”
Finland was thumped by the Americans 6-1 in their tournament opener but defeated archrival Sweden 4-3 in overtime on Saturday to avoid elimination. The Finns will run it back with Vancouver Canucks goalie Kevin Lankinen against Canada, after he stopped 21 of 24 shots against Sweden. Cooper wouldn’t say whether Canada would start St. Louis Blues goalie Jordan Binnington for a third straight game or switch to backup goalie Adin Hill of the Vegas Golden Knights.
Pennanen said Finland proved in the first two periods of its game against the U.S. that it can compete with deep, talented teams like Canada.
“I think it’s going to be pretty much the same kind of game that we played against USA. We need to follow our system and stick to it. We need to slow them down a little bit,” he said.
Canada is waiting to see whether star defenseman Cale Makar is back in its lineup. He missed the loss to the U.S. because of illness and said Monday that he’ll make the call on his status for the Finland game on Monday morning. The Colorado Avalanche star said it was an agonizing call not to play against the Americans.
“I’ve got to do what’s unfortunately best for myself and make sure that I’m ready to go for the rest of the season. It’s a really hard decision,” said Makar.
The 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby is fast approaching — and the field is set.
Braves hometown hero Ronald Acuna Jr. became the first player to commit to the event, which will be held at Truist Park in Atlanta on July 14 (8 p.m. ET on ESPN). He was followed by MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, James Wood of the Washington Nationals, Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins, Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Junior Caminero of the Tampa Bay Rays, Brent Rooker of the Athletics and Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the New York Yankees.
On Friday, however, Acuna was replaced by teammate Matt Olson.
With all the entrants announced, let’s break down their chances at taking home this year’s Derby prize.
Full All-Star Game coverage: How to watch, schedule, rosters, more
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 434 feet
Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.
Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.
2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.
Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.
2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet
Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.
Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.
2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet
Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.
Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.
2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet
Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.
Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.
2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet
Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.
Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.
2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.
Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet
Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.
Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.
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