
MLB Watchability Index: Ranking which teams are must-see this season
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David SchoenfieldApr 14, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Covers MLB for ESPN.com
- Former deputy editor of Page 2
- Been with ESPN.com since 1995
Imagine you’re sitting at home on a Saturday evening, and you know you need to put the phone down, but your favorite team played an afternoon game. Which MLB teams do you most want to watch? We’re back for our second annual MLB Watchability Index to identify this season’s must-see squads.
The original formula was years in the making, but after conducting further research this offseason, we’ve tweaked it just a bit. We’ll grade each team in five categories, plus the potential for up to five bonus points. The maximum total score is 40 points.
Here are the categories, all fitting into a general idea of “What makes baseball exciting?”
Star power (10-point scale): We’ll use our MLB rank top 100 list as a guideline.
Young talent (10-point scale): We love young players! This focuses on players in their first or second seasons in the majors plus potential call-ups from the minors.
Baserunning (5-point scale): Speed is exciting. This includes not just stealing bases but overall team speed.
Defense (5-point scale): Does the team play good defense or have extraordinary defenders capable of highlight-reel plays?
Minutiae (5-point scale): Ballpark, uniforms, mascots, unintentional comedy, broadcasters, colorful characters, etc. — fun factors that might make you want to tune in to watch this team.
Bonus (5-point scale): Anything else I want to reward.
In general, good teams are more fun to watch than bad teams, so while this isn’t a power ranking, we should expect the best teams to rank high. Let’s get to it.
Jump to team:
American League
ATH | BAL | BOS | CHW | CLE
DET | HOU | KC | LAA | MIN
NYY | SEA | TB | TEX | TOR
National League
ARI | ATL | CHC | CIN | COL
LAD | MIA | MIL | NYM | PHI
PIT | SD | SF | STL | WSH
Star power: 1 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 1
Bonus (2): +2 for the possibility they could chase their own single-season loss record
The White Sox won 8-1 on Opening Day, which put them over .500 for the first time since Opening Day of 2023. Look, they probably won’t be as bad as last year’s 121-loss season, but the early returns don’t exactly look promising.
They do have a couple of rookies in the rotation who are worth watching in Sean Burke and Shane Smith, but the real pitchers to watch are top prospects Noah Schultz and Hagen Smith, who both started the season in Double-A. Maybe they get called up, but there’s also little need to rush them to the majors.
Star power: 1 | Young talent: 3 | Baserunning: 1.5 | Defense: 4 | Minutiae: 1
Bonus (2): +1 for Brenton Doyle‘s arm (repeat bonus from 2024), +1 for mountain views
Outside of the defensive ability of Doyle in center field and Ezequiel Tovar at shortstop, there isn’t much to go with here as the Rockies remain stuck in a rut of irrelevance. They even keep sticking with the same managers, with Bud Black headed for a seventh straight losing season in Colorado.
Rookie starter Chase Dollander, arguably the Rockies’ best pitching prospect ever, just made his major league debut, so that’s exciting. Good luck in Coors Field, Chase.
Star power: 2 | Young talent: 3 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 1
Bonus (3): +3 for the possibility of more weird, inexplicable managerial decisions
If weird, inexplicable managerial decisions are your thing, a game against the Mets last week showed why you might want to check out Miami this season. The Mets were leading 6-5 in the sixth inning and had runners on first and third with one out when first-year Miami skipper Clayton McCullough intentionally walked Juan Soto to load the bases for Pete Alonso. OK, that was weird enough. There were 15 intentional walks last season with runners on first and third. But seven of those came with two outs, five others came in the bottom of the ninth or later in a tie game, and one came with the count already 3-0 against Aaron Judge. That leaves just two that sort of replicate this decision — and both were issued by Blue Jays manager John Schneider (to Jesse Winker and Yordan Alvarez).
Here’s the kicker: Alonso is a prime candidate to hit into a double play, but McCullough then brought the infield in. Mets play-by-play man Gary Cohen, one of the best in the business, was beside himself. “What is going on? Why? Why would you set up the double play and then not play for the double play?” Alonso then doubled over the head of center fielder Derek Hill, who, as Cohen pointed out, was playing extremely shallow. It’s going to be a long season for the Marlins.
Star power: 3 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 1 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (3): +1 for Prince Day on June 10, +1 for Joe Ryan‘s four-seamer, +1 for having a Harrison, a Bailey and a Griffin on the roster — as first names
The Twins ranked low last year, and I’ll repeat what I said then: The team itself is probably better than this ranking, but there isn’t a lot of glitz and glamour here. No big star (Carlos Correa‘s shine has dulled and Byron Buxton really never got there in the first place), no big masher, no speedster on the bases or must-see ace on the mound. The youth score will go up if Emmanuel Rodriguez and Luke Keaschall get called up — which might be the case given the early struggles of the offense.
Star power: 4 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 1 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (2): +1 for Paul Skenes pitch highlights, +1 for Andrew McCutchen still getting the job done
Well, we got suckered last year, when the Pirates got off to a 9-2 start — and that was before Skenes was even called up. Quote from the 2024 edition of this story: “This is not an overreaction to Pittsburgh’s hot start. Nope. THIS IS A SCIENTIFIC SURVEY.” We ranked the Pirates No. 10 overall. Turned out, it was most definitely an overreaction to Pittsburgh’s start.
Look, the Pirates are watchable every fifth or sixth day when Skenes starts, but otherwise? I’ll pass, at least until Oneil Cruz learns to play center field. It doesn’t help that the Pirates started the season with two PR disasters in the Roberto Clemente sign situation and missing “Bucco Bricks” being discovered at a recycling park. At least it’s a great ballpark.
Star power: 5 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 1.5 | Defense: 1 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (3): +1 for Ron Washington, +1 for NOT having to watch Anthony Rendon struggle again, +1 for Kenley Jansen‘s cutter
The Angels are off to a nice start. Maybe they’ll even be surprise contenders in a potentially weak AL West. But the team’s star power is pretty much limited to Mike Trout, as young veterans such as Nolan Schanuel, Logan O’Hoppe and Zach Neto have graduated out of the “youth” category without becoming established stars, although Neto could develop into one after a promising sophomore campaign.
The youth score could go up if 23-year-old Kyren Paris proves to be the real deal after a strong start at the plate. I’m skeptical given the fact that he hit .167 in the minors last season, but he has been crushing it early on.
Star power: 4 | Young talent: 4 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 1
Bonus (2): +1 for the spicy stadium mustard, +1 for longest World Series title drought
I’m not trying to insult a team that reached the American League Championship Series last season, but the primary highlights are the great Jose Ramirez and a bullpen that was one of the best of all time. But … bullpens. We love you, we love you not, but we don’t really tune in to watch relievers.
Steven Kwan is an entertaining, scrappy player who puts the ball in play and covers everything in left field. Kyle Manzardo, Brayan Rocchio and Jhonkensy “Big Christmas” Noel fit into the young category, but the more intriguing young players are prospects Travis Bazzana and outfielder Chase DeLauter, two guys we could see in the second half. (DeLauter will have to bounce back quickly from core muscle surgery in March.)
Star power: 5 | Young talent: 1 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (3): +1 for the Sunday cream-colored jerseys, +1 for summer days in Seattle, +1 for Bryan Woo‘s fastball/sinker combo
As a Mariners fan, I was ready to give up on watching them on a regular basis after they hit .162 in their first eight home games — aside from the marine layer making it a difficult place to hit, the park seems to be in their heads at this point (the Mariners do hit OK on the road). Then, the next game, they rallied from a 5-0 deficit in the final two innings to beat the Astros on Randy Arozarena‘s grand slam and three runs in the bottom of the ninth. Baseball, man, it has a way of sucking you back in.
Star power: 2 | Young talent: 7 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (1): +1 for pitcher Brad Lord making the Opening Day roster after working at Home Depot in the offseason
This team is a lot more interesting than it was in 2024, when Washington ranked last on the Watchability Index after starting the season with Jesse Winker in left field and Eddie Rosario in center. The Nationals were somehow 19-18 in early May before reality set in and they eventually turned to a younger, more dynamic outfield: James Wood, Jacob Young and, in September, top prospect Dylan Crews.
That trio, along with shortstop CJ Abrams and starter MacKenzie Gore, forms the core of the 2025 team. Wood looks like he’s going to be a star, but Crews continues to appear overmatched at the plate, and as brilliant as Young is defensively in center field, he offers no power.
Star power: 1 | Young talent: 7 | Baserunning: 4 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 1.5
Bonus (1.5): +1 for those glorious Devil Rays throwback jerseys, +0.5 for Yandy Diaz‘s biceps
The selling point for the Rays is the group of players just entering the majors, not just Junior Caminero‘s ceiling as a power hitter but a wave that includes Curtis Mead along with Shane Baz and Kameron Misner. The last two fit on our scale of players entering their first or second full seasons, even though those guys aren’t all that young.
Now, if and when Carson Williams and Chandler Simpson (104 steals in the minors) get called up, the Rays will instantly become a lot more intriguing. Williams could be one of the game’s next star shortstops, and Simpson has the potential to be baseball’s premier burner on the basepaths. But, for now this team lacks star power and some of the defensive dynamism we’ve seen from it in the past.
Star power: 6 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 1 | Defense: 4.5 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (2): +1 for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s extension, +1 for cotton candy fries (it took until 2025 for somebody to invent this?!)
One of the best things about Guerrero’s extension is that Jays fans can enjoy the season without worrying about what will happen to the face of their franchise in free agency. But we’re all winners here: We don’t have to spend all season speculating about potential Guerrero trades.
The Jays can improve on this ranking if Anthony Santander hits 44 home runs again or Bo Bichette returns to form or Max Scherzer finds his way back into the rotation. Amazingly, Toronto got off to a nice start even though Guerrero and Santander both failed to go deep until Santander finally homered over the weekend.
Star power: 2.5 | Young talent: 5 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 3.5 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (2): +1 for not trading Nolan Arenado, +1 for Masyn Winn‘s arm
The Cardinals are at least interesting as they transition to a younger roster. We’ll see what Winn can do in his sophomore season, how speedster Victor Scott II will fare and whether Jordan Walker will finally hit enough to match his prospect hype. Eventually, starter Quinn Mathews will be up and JJ Wetherholt, the team’s first-round pick in 2024, is in Double-A, putting him in line for a possible promotion as well.
The starting pitching probably ultimately limits the team’s upside, and Ivan Herrera‘s injury after a hot start is a bummer, so Cardinals fans will have to be patient — which isn’t really in their playbook.
Star power: 4 | Young talent: 7 | Baserunning: 1.5 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus: +1.5 for Colt Keith, Spencer Torkelson and Dillon Dingler, all character names in Taylor Sheridan’s next TV project
The Tigers have Tarik Skubal, and he’s awesome to watch whenever he is on the mound. They also have an intriguing young group in Jackson Jobe, Trey Sweeney and Keith, but this doesn’t necessarily register as the most exciting team around. They’re certainly not flashy on defense or on the bases. Maybe Riley Greene graduates to star status this season, and the possible reemergence of former No. 1 overall picks Casey Mize and Torkelson certainly adds an intriguing subplot to the season.
Star power: 7 | Young talent: 3.5 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (3): +1 for Hunter Brown‘s changeup, +1 for Yordan Alvarez’s presence, +1 for Jose Altuve‘s left-field adventure
You can’t lose Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker and expect to rank highly in watchability. Houston does still have Alvarez and Altuve, however, and Brown is quickly becoming one of my favorite pitchers. Cam Smith is one of the more intriguing rookies to watch after the Astros surprisingly promoted him to start the season, but he has struggled early so we’ll see if he can avoid a demotion. Jake Meyers and Jeremy Pena are fun defenders, and when Framber Valdez has his sinker dancing in on right-handed batters he’s as good as any starter in baseball.
Star power: 5 | Young talent: 1.5 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 3 | Minutiae: 4
Bonus (4): +1 for all the times we’ll hear Buster Posey‘s approach described as “old school,” +1 for Patrick Bailey‘s pitch framing, +1 for Jung Hoo Lee‘s swing, +1 for Mustache May
Maybe we’re swayed by the Giants’ hot start, but this might be the season they break out from the anonymous mediocrity of the recent past. Lee is healthy after injuring his shoulder early last season and looks terrific. Logan Webb is always a joy to watch as he moves the ball around the strike zone, and Justin Verlander is Justin Verlander, now an intriguing watch to see if he has anything left at age 42.
There isn’t much on the youth side (I’m not counting Lee there since he played in Korea’s highest league before coming to San Francisco), especially with top prospect Bryce Eldridge beginning the year on the IL in Double-A with a wrist injury.
Star power: 6 | Young talent: 3 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (4): +1 for Terry Francona’s return, +1 for Matt McLain‘s return, +1 for Elly De La Cruz‘s surprising range at shortstop, +1 for De La Cruz’s everything else
A year ago, I viewed the Reds as an exciting up-and-coming team. De La Cruz and Hunter Greene lived up to their hype and graduated into stars, with Greene looking even better so far in 2025, but several of the other young players failed to completely take off.
There are also mixed messages here: Last year, the Reds ranked third in the majors in stolen bases but near the bottom in overall baserunning value. Their defensive metrics were weak in 2024 but have been strong early on in 2025.
Pitchers Rhett Lowder, who started the season on the IL with a forearm strain, and 2024 top pick Chase Burns, could impact the rotation in the second half, raising that youth score.
Star power: 5 | Young talent: 5 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 3 | Minutiae: 3.5
Bonus (3): +1 for those glorious orange jerseys (the all-orange uniform, however, is a sartorial disaster), +1 for the B&O warehouse, +1 for Zach Eflin’s control
What a difference a year makes. Last season, the Orioles were coming off a 101-win season, had traded for Corbin Burnes and had the hottest prospect in the game in Jackson Holliday. While they still made the playoffs, it seems fair to say the Orioles appear a lot less interesting entering 2025.
Ignore Gunnar Henderson‘s slow start coming off the injury in spring training; he’ll be fine. But the other young players haven’t really taken off in a big way, including Holliday, who has a poor strikeout-to-walk ratio, raising concern about the ultimate upside of his hit tool (he’s still very young though). Coby Mayo is struggling in Triple-A and Heston Kjerstad hasn’t hit in the big leagues. Maybe Samuel Basallo will make an impact later on.
The Grayson Rodriguez injury is a bummer, but the biggest bummer is the Orioles didn’t land an impact starter in the offseason.
Star power: 2 | Young talent: 10 | Baserunning: 1 | Defense: 1 | Minutiae: 4
Bonus (4): +2 for my pal Eric Karabell dropping a Jim Thome comp on Nick Kurtz, +1 for Jacob Wilson‘s contact skills, +1 for Mason Miller‘s fastball
First of all, it’s surprisingly pleasant watching these games being played in Sacramento, at a quaint minor league park with an outfield berm for spectators. Frankly, it’s a better viewing experience than the old stadium in Oakland was, with those awful dark shadows in the outfield and empty seats.
Mostly, however, the A’s have a fun group of young players: Wilson and Lawrence Butler and Miller and Tyler Soderstrom, who is off to a huge start. Kurtz will be up soon enough to join them as well. The A’s probably don’t have the pitching to compete, but the kids are fascinating.
Star power: 8 | Young talent: 1.5 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 3 | Minutiae: 4
Bonus (2.5): +1 for Bobby Witt Jr.’s mullet, +1 for Seth Lugo‘s nine-pitch repertoire, +0.5 for Jac Caglianone minor league home run highlights
How much of this score is simply just Witt? A lot of it. Put it this way: How many players in baseball history have hit for power, hit for average, stolen 30 bases a season while also being one of the fastest runners in the league and played Gold Glove defense at one of the two marquee defensive positions? It’s a very short list.
Witt isn’t a one-man grade, however, as Cole Ragans is one of the top starters in the game, plus games at Kauffman Stadium always remind me of George Brett, and when the Royals wear those baby blue jerseys it’s about as good as it gets.
Star power: 5 | Young talent: 8 | Baserunning: 2.5 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 2
Bonus (3): +1 for dreaming on a full season from Jacob deGrom, +1 for Jack Leiter and Kumar Rocker being in the same rotation, +1 for those 1970s throwbacks
The Rangers ranked fifth a year ago coming off a World Series title but tumbled a bit in this edition. Some of the star power is in question: Marcus Semien declined last year and is really struggling to begin the season; Adolis Garcia was incredible in 2023 but not in 2024; and deGrom still has to prove he can rise to his previous level.
Wyatt Langford and the rookie combo of Leiter/Rocker make for an intriguing youth trio, although Langford just landed on the IL with an oblique strain. The biggest knock against watching the Rangers: Watching a game played at Globe Life Field is like watching baseball played in an airplane hangar.
Star power: 8 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 4 | Defense: 3 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (3): +1 for Zac Gallen‘s goggles, +1 for Corbin Carroll‘s exit velocities, +1 for Ketel Marte “underrated” references
Several of the Diamondbacks have graduated from youth to veteran, so they lose points in that category, dropping them in the overall rankings. Carroll remains one of the game’s most exciting players, although he’s not stealing bases this year and might never come close to that 54-steal season he had as a rookie. Marte is one of the game’s hidden gems, and Corbin Burnes helps give the rotation some star power. Josh Naylor is a fun player and even leads Carroll in stolen bases, 4 to 1. I love watching Gallen and his ability to change speeds and Justin Martinez throwing flameballs out of the bullpen.
Star power: 3 | Young talent: 8 | Baserunning: 5 | Defense: 3.5 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (1.5): +1 for Jackson Chourio‘s hot start (but take a walk, Jackson!), +0.5 for Jesus Made hype
As always, the Brewers punch up: They’re young and athletic, they scrap and claw, and they have a budding superstar in Chourio. Christian Yelich can still do some damage, and William Contreras, while off to a slow start, has emerged as the best catcher in baseball. Throw in Bernie Brewer, sausage races and a bullpen that always does the job, and this is a team that I expect will be closer to the top than everyone imagines in the NL Central. RIP, Bob Uecker.
Star power: 9 | Young talent: 7 | Baserunning: 1 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 3
Bonus (3): +1 for Spencer Schwellenbach‘s deep repertoire, +1 for Spencer Strider’s return, +1 for Michael Harris II glow-in-the-dark swag
We have to try to separate the Braves’ awful start here as they should turn into a playoff contender, but other than Marcell Ozuna, nobody is hitting, which is what happened last season.
For now, they still rank high in star power. Strider returns this week after dominating in his Triple-A rehab and immediately becomes one of the must-watch starting pitchers. Not far behind is Schwellenbach, my preseason sleeper Cy Young candidate, who crushed it his first three starts and does indeed look like a Cy Young candidate.
The big question: When will they get Ronald Acuna Jr. back — and how good will he be?
Star power: 8 | Young talent: 5 | Baserunning: 2 | Defense: 3 | Minutiae: 4
Bonus (4): +1 for torpedo bats, +1 for Paul Goldschmidt hitting leadoff, +1 for Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s custom cleats, +1 for Aaron Judge’s Titanic blasts
Even without Juan Soto, the Yankees move up the rankings this season — thank you, Aaron Judge and your potential for a 60-homer season. They also have one of the most intriguing rookies of 2025 in Jasson Dominguez; after hearing about him for years, let’s see what he can do. Second-year catcher Austin Wells has All-Star potential, while Ben Rice is off to a big start filling in for Giancarlo Stanton at DH. The loss of Gerrit Cole means Max Fried needs to have a big year as the new staff ace.
Star power: 10 | Young talent: 2 | Baserunning: 2.5 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 5
Bonus (4): +1 for Gary, Keith and Ron, +1 for the whole “how will Juan Soto do in New York with this big contract?” thing, +1 for winning the USA Today best stadium food award, +1 for the Jose Siri experience
What’s not to like here? A lineup featuring three of the biggest names in the sport in Soto, Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. The best broadcast crew in the business (the other day, Keith Hernandez was not only talking about the sponsor of his Little League team as a kid, but the sponsors of the other teams). Great uniforms. An owner who wants to win. Passionate and demanding fans. And the angst that comes with not having won a World Series since 1986.
Star power: 7 | Young talent: 7 | Baserunning: 3.5 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 5
Bonus (4): +1.5 for Luis Arraez‘s ability to almost never strike out, +1 for Jackson Merrill‘s new contract, +1 for the Petco Park vibe, +0.5 for Leo De Vries hype
The Padres have a well-balanced score: Star power in Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Dylan Cease (although he’s off to a shaky start); Merrill single-handedly gives them a nice score in the youth category; they’ve been aggressive stealing bases early on (including Machado); and they clean up things like ballpark atmosphere, broadcast crew and one of the best uniform sets in the majors. Michael King has turned into a top starter, and Yu Darvish, once he returns, is a longtime favorite.
Of course, the big question is: Can they keep pace with the Dodgers? Let’s put it this way: Given last year’s postseason, Padres-Dodgers is the No. 1 series to watch in 2025.
Star power: 4 | Young talent: 8 | Baserunning: 5 | Defense: 5 | Minutiae: 4.5
Bonus (2): +1 for day games at Wrigley, +1 for Shota Imanaga‘s 91 mph fastball/splitter combo
The Cubs ranked sixth a year ago but didn’t live up to that score, missing the playoffs once again while being a little less entertaining than we predicted. This year, we’re even higher on their watchability. They have one of the most intriguing groups of young players with Pete Crow-Armstrong, rookie Matt Shaw and starter Ben Brown, and their defense up the middle is electric with PCA, Dansby Swanson and Nico Hoerner.
What they have lacked is the marquee headliner. Now, Kyle Tucker is off to a great start and is on the way to earning himself a huge contract and might even play himself into MVP consideration, but as good as he is, he has never been a guy you switch the channel to watch. Maybe that changes this season.
Star power: 10 | Young talent: 3.5 | Baserunning: 3 | Defense: 2.5 | Minutiae: 5
Bonus (5): +1.5 for Bryce Harper‘s Phanatic gear, +0.5 for Matt Strahm‘s baseball card collection, +1 for stories John Kruk can’t tell on air, +1 for Zack Wheeler‘s splitter, +1 for the best uniforms in the majors
Harper is one of the sport’s iconic figures, and his at-bats remain must-watch TV. Kyle Schwarber might not be one of baseball’s best all-around players, but he proves that a three-true-outcomes approach can be entertaining. The Phillies also have perhaps the best rotation in the majors, with Cristopher Sanchez now throwing 96 and Jesus Luzardo looking poised for a big year after coming over from the Marlins. Wheeler is a joy to watch, as is Aaron Nola, who outthinks batters more than he overpowers them.
That young talent score is dependent on Andrew Painter reaching the majors at some point — but also keep an eye on outfielder Justin Crawford (son of Carl), who begins the year in Triple-A.
The Phillies are good, they have fun players, they have the best mascot and they play in front of sellout crowds. Now they just need a World Series title.
Star power: 7 | Young talent: 10 | Baserunning: 4 | Defense: 4 | Minutiae: 4
Bonus (2): +1 for Garrett Crochet‘s fastball, +1 for Wilyer Abreu‘s hot start
The Red Sox are oozing with talent on the position-player side: Abreu, Rookie of the Year candidate Kristian Campbell and Ceddanne Rafaela, plus Roman Anthony and Marcelo Mayer in Triple-A. Jarren Duran was last year’s breakout star, a guy who did everything — hitting, defense, running the bases. Alex Bregman and Rafael Devers have done it for years, and Crochet gives Boston a Cy Young candidate.
I don’t know how good the Red Sox will be — Walker Buehler looks shaky and the back of the bullpen has to prove itself — but this is going to be an entertaining team.
Star power: 10 | Young talent: 7.5 | Baserunning: 2.5 | Defense: 2 | Minutiae: 5
Bonus (5): +2 for the Shohei Ohtani returning to the mound, +1 for Mookie Betts being Mookie, +1 for Teoscar Hernandez‘s joy, +1 for Decoy
Don’t be a hater. The Dodgers are clearly one of the most entertaining teams not just of 2025 but of all time. Ohtani is the sport’s biggest star, a global icon whose every at-bat is worth checking out. And now he’s slated to pitch again. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is a pleasure to watch, and Blake Snell — currently on the IL — is as nasty as any pitcher in the game when he gets on one of his dominant stretches.
Throw in Dodger Stadium, Chavez Ravine, the most anticipated rookie of the season in Roki Sasaki, Dodger Dogs (OK, overrated), great uniforms and Mary Hart watching from behind home plate, and the Dodgers earn the top ranking for the second year in a row.
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Is it the coach or the program? Ranking CFB coaches while factoring in expectations
Published
2 hours agoon
July 15, 2025By
admin
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Bill ConnellyJul 15, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Bill Connelly is a writer for ESPN. He covers college football, soccer and tennis. He has been at ESPN since 2019.
Back in May, ESPN’s team of college football reporters voted on the sport’s best coaches for 2025. The results were about as you would expect: Start with the three active guys who have most recently won national titles (Georgia’s Kirby Smart, Ohio State’s Ryan Day, Clemson’s Dabo Swinney), move on to guys with recent top-five finishes or national title game appearances (Notre Dame’s Marcus Freeman, Texas’ Steve Sarkisian, Oregon’s Dan Lanning, Alabama’s Kalen DeBoer, Penn State’s James Franklin), then squeeze in a couple of long-term overachievers at the end (Utah’s Kyle Whittingham, Iowa State’s Matt Campbell).
The rankings made plenty of sense, but I couldn’t help but notice that the top eight coaches on the list all work for some of the richest, most well-supported programs in the country. There are some epic pressures associated with leading these programs — just ask Day — but there are also major advantages. It might only take a good head coach to do great things in those jobs, while at programs with smaller alumni bases or lesser historic track records, it might take a great coach to do merely good things. They’re such different jobs that it’s almost impossible to even know how to compare the performance of, say, Matt Campbell to Steve Sarkisian. Could Campbell have led Texas to back-to-back CFP semifinals? Could Sark have brought ISU its first two AP top-15 finishes?
The May rankings made me want to see if there were a way to apply stats to the conversation. If you think about it, we’re basically measuring two things when we’re gauging coach performance: overall quality and quality relative to the expectations of the job. I thought it would be fun to come up with a blend of those two things and see what the results told us.
Performance versus expectation
Gauging overall performance is easy enough. You could simply look at win percentage, and it would tell you quite a bit. From 2015 to 2024, the active coaches with the best FBS win percentages (minimum 30 games) were Day (.870), Lanning (.854), Swinney (.850) and Smart (.847). All ranked high in the May rankings. I tend to want to get fancy and use my SP+ ratings whenever possible, and they tell a similar tale. Looking at average SP+ ratings for the past decade, the top active coaches are Day (30.4), Smart (27.0), Lanning (22.3), Swinney (21.9), Franklin (20.3) and Freeman (19.0). They’re all in the May top 10 too.
Again, though, all of those coaches are employed by college football royalty. (Granted, Swinney gets bonus points for helping Clemson turn into college football royalty, but still.) Isn’t it more impressive to win 11 regular-season games at Indiana, as Curt Cignetti did in 2024, than to go 10-4 like Swinney did? Isn’t it probably harder to finish 12th in SP+ at SMU, as Rhett Lashlee did in 2024, than to finish fifth like Franklin did?
I’ve begun to incorporate teams’ performance against long-term averages into my preseason SP+ projections, and it seems we could use a very similar concept to evaluate coach performances. For each year someone is a head coach, we could compare his team’s SP+ rating for that season to the school’s average from the 20 previous years. (If the school is newer to FBS and doesn’t have a 20-year average, we can use whatever average exists to date. And for a program’s first FBS season, we can simply compare the team’s SP+ rating to the overall average for first-year programs.)
By this method, the 10 best single-season coaching performances of the past 20 years include Art Briles at Baylor in 2013-14, Jim Harbaugh at Stanford in 2010, Mark Mangino at Kansas in 2007, Bobby Petrino at Louisville in 2006, Greg Schiano at Rutgers in 2006 and Jamey Chadwell at Coastal Carolina in 2020 — legendary seasons of overachievement — plus perhaps lesser-remembered performances such as Gary Andersen at Utah State in 2012, Matt Wells at Utah State in 2018 and Brian Kelly at Cincinnati in 2007.
As far as single-season overachievement goes, that’s a pretty good list. And if we look at a longer-term sample — coaches who have led FBS programs for at least nine of the past 20 years — here are the 15 best performance versus baseline averages.
(Note: I’m looking only at performances within the past 20 years, so Nick Saban’s work at LSU (2000-04) or Michigan State (1995-99), for instance, isn’t included. I also went with nine years instead of 10 so Smart’s current nine-year run at Georgia could be included in the sample.)
Best performance vs. historic baseline averages for the past 20 years (min. nine seasons):
1. Chris Petersen, Boise State (2006-13) and Washington (2014-19): +12.8 points above historic baseline
2. Art Briles, Houston (2005-07) and Baylor (2008-15): +12.8
3. Gary Pinkel, Missouri (2005-15): +12.5
4. Nick Saban, Alabama (2007-23): +10.7
5. Jeff Monken, Army (2014-24): +10.3
6. Willie Fritz, Georgia Southern (2014-15), Tulane (2016-23) and Houston (2024): +10.0
7. Lance Leipold, Buffalo (2015-20) and Kansas (2021-24): +9.5
8. Bobby Petrino, Louisville (2005-06), Arkansas (2008-11), Western Kentucky (2013) and Louisville (2014-18): +9.5
9. Gary Patterson, TCU (2005-21): +8.6
10. Jim Harbaugh, Stanford (2007-10) and Michigan (2015-23): +8.5
11. Blake Anderson, Arkansas State (2014-20) and Utah State (2021-23): +8.5
12. Steve Spurrier, South Carolina (2005-15): +8.2
13. Greg Schiano, Rutgers (2005-11 and 2020-24): +7.8
14. Jeff Brohm, Western Kentucky (2014-16), Purdue (2017-22) and Louisville (2023-24): +7.7
15. David Cutcliffe, Duke (2008-21): +7.7
If we are looking for pure overachievement and aren’t in the mood to reward coaches for winning at schools that always win, this is again a pretty good list. Petersen was spectacular at both Boise State and Washington, while Briles, Pinkel, Monken and Patterson all won big at schools that hadn’t won big in quite a while. (Monken, in fact, is still winning big.) Blake Anderson’s presence surprised me, but most of the names here are extremely well regarded. And Saban’s presence at No. 4, despite coaching at one of the bluest of blue-blood programs, is a pretty good indicator of just how special his reign at Alabama was.
Still, looking only at performance against expectations obviously sells coaches like Saban and Smart short. Saban is probably the best head coach in the sport’s history but ranks only fourth on the above list. Meanwhile, Smart has overachieved by only 6.0 points above the historic baseline in his nine seasons at Georgia thanks to the high bar predecessor Mark Richt set. But he has also won two national titles, overcoming Georgia’s history of falling just short and at least briefly surpassing Saban as well. If our goal is to measure coaching prowess, we need to account for raw quality too.
The best coaches of the past 20 years
If we combine raw SP+ averages with this performance versus baseline average, we can come up with a pretty decent overall coach rating. We can debate the weights involved, but here’s what an overall rating looks like if we use 60% performance versus baseline and 40% SP+ average:
I always like to say that numbers make great starting points for a conversation, and this is a pretty good starting point. Anyone reading this would probably tweak this list to suit their own preferences, and while it probably isn’t surprising that Pinkel is in the top 20, seeing him fourth, ahead of Meyer, Harbaugh and others, is a bit jarring. (I promise that this Mizzou alum didn’t put his finger on the scales.) Regardless, this is a fun mix of guys who won big at big schools and guys who won pretty big at pretty big schools. That was the goal of the exercise.
Maybe the most confusing coach in this top 20 is Dabo Swinney. Clemson had enjoyed just one AP top-five finish in its history before he took over 16 years ago, and he has led the Tigers to 2 national titles, 6 top-five finishes and 7 CFP appearances. And while they haven’t had a true, title-caliber team in a few years, they’ve still won two of the past three ACC crowns. How is he only 10th?
The main culprit for Swinney’s lower-than-expected ranking is his recent performance — it has been inferior to both national title standards and his standards. Since we’re using a team’s performance against 20-year averages, a lot of this rating is basically comparing Swinney to himself, and he hasn’t quite measured up of late.
From 2012 to 2020, Swinney’s average rating was an incredible 17.0, which would have ranked second to only Saban on the list above. But his average over the past four seasons is only 3.6.
Part of what made Saban so impressive was how long he managed to clear the bar he himself was setting in Tuscaloosa. Per SP+, his best team was his 14th — the 2020 team that won his sixth and final title at Bama. While Swinney was basically matching Saban’s standard 12 years into their respective tenures, Saban continued at a particularly high level for at least three more years while Swinney fell off the pace.
Comparing Saban, Swinney and Smart year by year, we see that Smart was hitting Saban-esque levels seven seasons into his tenure, but his rating has fallen off each of the past two seasons. Even Saban slipped starting in Year 15, even though he still had nearly the best program in the sport for a couple more years.
The best coaches of 2025
Six of the top seven coaches on the list above are either retired or coaching in the NFL now, so let’s focus our gaze specifically on the guys who will be leading college teams out onto the field in 2025. Using the same 20-year sample as above — which cuts off the tenure of Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz but includes everything else — here’s how the current crop of FBS head coaches has performed at the FBS level. We’ll break this into two samples: the guys who have coached for at least four years in this sample and the guys who have coached between one and three years.
Our May top 10 list featured eight guys who have been head coaches for at least four years; all eight are represented on this list, including four of the top five. (Sarkisian has averaged a 13.8 rating over the past two seasons, which is a top-five level, but his overall run as head coach at Washington, USC and Texas has featured a number of ups and downs.)
Maybe the name that jumps out the most above is Josh Heupel. I think anyone would consider him a very good coach (he’s 37-15 overall), but he doesn’t exactly draw any “best in the game?” hype. He benefited from a positive situation at UCF, where he inherited a rising program from Scott Frost in 2019 and produced big ratings in his first couple of years on the job. But his average rating at Tennessee has been a solid 14.0 as well; the Volunteers had been up and down for years, but he has produced four top-20 SP+ ratings in a row and two top-10s in the past three years. He might not be getting the credit he deserves for that.
All in all, I enjoy this list. We’ve got mostly predictable names at the top, we’ve got some oldies but (mostly) goodies spread throughout, and we’ve got room for up-and-comers like Jeff Traylor too. This 60-40 approach probably doesn’t give enough respect to the Chris Creightons of the world — the Eastern Michigan coach has overachieved against EMU’s baseline by 7.2 points per season, which is a fantastic average, but at such a hard job, his Eagles have still averaged only a minus-14.4 SP+ rating during his tenure. Still, this is a mostly solid approach.
Now let’s talk about some small-sample all-stars.
Four of the top six of this list coached in the College Football Playoff last season, and while the guys ranked fifth and sixth made our May top 10 list, the guys who won big at SMU and Indiana, not Oregon and Notre Dame, take priority here. I was honestly floored that Curt Cignetti didn’t make our top 10 list; he led James Madison to one of the best FBS debuts ever, going 19-4 in 2022-23, then he moved to Bloomington and led Indiana — INDIANA! — to 11 wins in his first season there.
On this list, however, Rhett Lashlee tops even Cignetti. I’m not sure we’ve talked enough about the job he has done at SMU. He, too, inherited a rising program, as Sonny Dykes had done some of the nitty-gritty work in getting the Mustangs back on their feet (with help from an offensive coordinator named Rhett Lashlee). SMU hadn’t produced a top-50 ranking since 1985 before Dykes did so for three straight seasons (2019-21). But after holding steady in his first year replacing Dykes, Lashlee’s program has ignited: 12-2 and 24th in SP+ in 2023, then 11-3 and 12th in 2024. Looking specifically at the 2021-24 range, as the game has undergone so much change, Lashlee’s 16.8 average rating ranks second overall, behind only Smart (18.0) and ahead of Kiffin (15.1), Cignetti (15.0), Odom (15.0), Heupel (14.0) and Day (13.9).
Along with quite a few others here, Lashlee made my 2024 list of 30 coaches who would define the next decade; he’d definitely still be on the list — along with new additions like GJ Kinne and perhaps Fran Brown — if I remade that list today.
Sports
It’s MLB Home Run Derby Day! Predictions, live updates and takeaways
Published
14 hours agoon
July 15, 2025By
admin
It’s 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby day in Atlanta!
Some of the most dynamic home run hitters in baseball will be taking aim at the Truist Park stands on Monday (8 p.m. ET on ESPN) in one of the most anticipated events of the summer.
While the prospect of a back-to-back champion is out of the picture — 2024 winner Teoscar Hernandez is not a part of this year’s field — a number of exciting stars will be taking the field, including Atlanta’s own Matt Olson, who replaced Ronald Acuna Jr. just three days before the event. Will Olson make a run in front of his home crowd? Will Cal Raleigh show off the power that led to 38 home runs in the first half? Or will one of the younger participants take the title?
We have your one-stop shop for everything Derby related, from predictions to live updates once we get underway to analysis and takeaways at the night’s end.
MLB Home Run Derby field
Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners (38 home runs in 2025)
James Wood, Washington Nationals (24)
Junior Caminero, Tampa Bay Rays (23)
Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (21)
Brent Rooker, Athletics (20)
Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (17)
Jazz Chisholm Jr., New York Yankees (17)
Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates (16)
Live updates
Who is going to win the Derby and who will be the runner-up?
Jeff Passan: Raleigh. His swing is perfect for the Derby: He leads MLB this season in both pull percentage and fly ball percentage, so it’s not as if he needs to recalibrate it to succeed. He has also become a prolific hitter from the right side this season — 16 home runs in 102 at-bats — and his ability to switch between right- and left-handed pitching offers a potential advantage. No switch-hitter (or catcher for that matter) has won a Home Run Derby. The Big Dumper is primed to be the first, beating Buxton in the finals.
Alden Gonzalez: Cruz. He might be wildly inconsistent at this point in his career, but he is perfect for the Derby — young enough to possess the stamina required for a taxing event that could become exhausting in the Atlanta heat; left-handed, in a ballpark where the ball carries out better to right field; and, most importantly, capable of hitting balls at incomprehensible velocities. Raleigh will put on a good show from both sides of the plate but will come in second.
Buster Olney: Olson. He is effectively pinch-hitting for Acuna, and because he received word in the past 72 hours of his participation, he hasn’t had the practice rounds that the other competitors have been going through. But he’s the only person in this group who has done the Derby before, which means he has experienced the accelerated pace, adrenaline and push of the crowd.
His pitcher, Eddie Perez, knows something about performing in a full stadium in Atlanta. And, as Olson acknowledged in a conversation Sunday, the park generally favors left-handed hitters because of the larger distances that right-handed hitters must cover in left field.
Jesse Rogers: Olson. Home-field advantage will mean something this year as hitting in 90-plus degree heat and humidity will be an extra challenge in Atlanta. Olson understands that and can pace himself accordingly. Plus, he was a late addition. He has got nothing to lose. He’ll outlast the young bucks in the field. And I’m not putting Raleigh any lower than second — his first half screams that he’ll be in the finals against Olson.
Jorge Castillo: Wood. His mammoth power isn’t disputed — he can jack baseballs to all fields. But the slight defect in his power package is that he doesn’t hit the ball in the air nearly as often as a typical slugger. Wood ranks 126th out of 155 qualified hitters across the majors in fly ball percentage. And he still has swatted 24 home runs this season. So, in an event where he’s going to do everything he can to lift baseballs, hitting fly balls won’t be an issue, and Wood is going to show off that gigantic power en route to a victory over Cruz in the finals.
Who will hit the longest home run of the night — and how far?
Passan: Cruz hits the ball harder than anyone in baseball history. He’s the choice here, at 493 feet.
Gonzalez: If you exclude the Coors Field version, there have been just six Statcast-era Derby home runs that have traveled 497-plus feet. They were compiled by two men: Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. James Wood — all 6-foot-7, 234 pounds of him — will become the third.
Olney: James Wood has the easy Stanton- and Judge-type power, and he will clear the Chophouse with the longest homer. Let’s say 497 feet.
Rogers: Hopefully he doesn’t injure himself doing it, but Buxton will break out his massive strength and crush a ball at least 505 feet. I don’t see him advancing far in the event, but for one swing, he’ll own the night.
Castillo: Cruz hits baseballs hard and far. He’ll crush a few bombs, and one will reach an even 500 feet.
Who is the one slugger fans will know much better after the Derby?
Passan: Buxton capped his first half with a cycle on Saturday, and he’ll carry that into the Derby, where he will remind the world why he was baseball’s No. 1 prospect in 2015. Buxton’s talent has never been in question, just his health. And with his body feeling right, he has the opportunity to put on a show fans won’t soon forget.
Olney: Caminero isn’t a big name and wasn’t a high-end prospect like Wood was earlier in his career. Just 3½ years ago, Caminero was dealt to the Rays by the Cleveland Guardians in a relatively minor November trade for pitcher Tobias Myers. But since then, he has refined his ability to cover inside pitches and is blossoming this year into a player with ridiculous power. He won’t win the Derby, but he’ll open some eyes.
What’s the one moment we’ll all be talking about long after this Derby ends?
Gonzalez: The incredible distances and velocities that will be reached, particularly by Wood, Cruz, Caminero, Raleigh and Buxton. The hot, humid weather at Truist Park will only aid the mind-blowing power that will be on display Monday night.
Rogers: The exhaustion on the hitter’s faces, swinging for home run after home run in the heat and humidity of Hot-lanta!
Castillo: Cruz’s 500-foot blast and a bunch of other lasers he hits in the first two rounds before running out of gas in the finals.
Sports
Report: Sternberg to sell Rays for $1.7 billion
Published
14 hours agoon
July 15, 2025By
admin
-
ESPN News Services
Jul 14, 2025, 06:21 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays owner Stu Sternberg has agreed in principle to a $1.7 billion deal to sell the franchise to a group led by a Florida-based developer Patrick Zalupski, according to a report from The Athletic.
The deal is reportedly expected to be closed as early as September and will keep the franchise in the area, with Zalupski, a homebuilder in Jacksonville, having a strong preference to land in Tampa rather than St. Petersburg.
Sternberg bought the Rays in 2004 for $200 million.
According to Zalupski’s online bio, he is the founder, president and CEO of Dream Finders Homes. The company was founded in December 2008 and closed on 27 homes in Jacksonville the following year. Now, with an expanded footprint to many parts of the United States, Dream Finders has closed on more than 31,100 homes since its founding.
He also is a member of the board of trustees at the University of Florida.
The new ownership group also reportedly includes Bill Cosgrove, the CEO of Union Home Mortgage, and Ken Babby, owner of the Akron RubberDucks and Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp, both minor-league teams.
A year ago, Sternberg had a deal in place to build a new stadium in the Historic Gas Plant District, a reimagined recreational, retail and residential district in St. Petersburg to replace Tropicana Field.
However, after Hurricane Milton shredded the roof of the stadium last October, forcing the Rays into temporary quarters, Sternberg changed his tune, saying the team would have to bear excess costs that were not in the budget.
“After careful deliberation, we have concluded we cannot move forward with the new ballpark and development project at this moment,” Sternberg said in a statement in March. “A series of events beginning in October that no one could have anticipated led to this difficult decision.”
MLB commissioner Rob Manfred and some other owners began in March to privately push Sternberg to sell the franchise, The Athletic reported.
It is unclear what Zalupski’s group, if it ultimately goes through with the purchase and is approved by MLB owners, will do for a permanent stadium.
The Rays are playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, located at the site of the New York Yankees‘ spring training facility and home of their Single-A Tampa Tarpons.
Field Level Media contributed to this report.
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