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We have plenty of time before the 2026 NFL draft kicks off in Pittsburgh — 10 months, in fact. But it’s never too early to take inventory of the class.

Matt Miller and Jordan Reid put together their personal top-five lists at each position, based on the tape they’ve already watched and the conversations they’ve had with people around college football and the NFL. Then they dove a little deeper. At each position, they identified one prospect whose stock is complicated by a variety of outside factors (transfers, injuries, position changes, etc.) and called out one prospect still flying under the radar outside the top five.

Let’s take an early look at each position group in the 2026 class, starting with quarterback. Note: Some prospects are listed under different positions for different analysts.

Jump to a position:
QB | RB | WR | TE | OT | G | C
Edge | DT | LB | CB | S

Quarterback

Miller’s top five

1. Cade Klubnik, Clemson
2. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU
3. Fernando Mendoza, Indiana
4. LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina
5. Drew Allar, Penn State

Reid’s top five

1. Cade Klubnik, Clemson
2. LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina
3. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU
4. Drew Allar, Penn State
5. Fernando Mendoza, Indiana

Toughest player to rank: Allar. Every quarterback in this class is tough to rank, but Penn State’s passer is the toughest. He flashes brilliance with a big arm and good mobility for his 6-foot-5, 238-pound size, but his decision-making is very hit-or-miss, especially against top opponents. His ability to clean up mental mistakes will determine where his stock goes as a senior. Allar could be the top QB in the class … or slip to Day 3. — Miller

Player outside of the top five to watch: John Mateer, Oklahoma. Mateer has the makings of a riser. He broke out last season at Washington State, passing for 3,139 yards, 29 touchdowns and only seven interceptions, while also rushing for 826 yards and 15 scores. He’ll get a chance to perform on a bigger stage after transferring to Oklahoma. If Mateer excels against the SEC — along with a Week 2 nonconference game against Michigan — his stock will rise quickly. — Reid


Running back

Miller’s top five

1. Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame
2. CJ Baxter, Texas
3. Makhi Hughes, Oregon
4. Kaytron Allen, Penn State
5. Nicholas Singleton, Penn State

Reid’s top five

1. Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame
2. Nicholas Singleton, Penn State
3. Demond Claiborne, Wake Forest
4. Quintrevion Wisner, Texas
5. Jonah Coleman, Washington

Toughest player to rank: Baxter. The redshirt sophomore returns after missing the 2024 season with a torn right ACL. Although he’ll be fresh, can he recapture the form that allowed him to rush for 659 yards and five touchdowns as a true freshman in 2023? He’ll share carries with Wisner, who rushed for 1,064 yards last season, which could create an interesting dynamic. — Miller

Player outside of the top five to watch: Jaydn Ott, Oklahoma. Ott entered last season with considerable 2025 draft buzz after rushing for 1,305 yards and 12 touchdowns at Cal in 2023. But his 2024 campaign was spoiled by a Week 1 right ankle injury that lingered the entire season, holding him to 385 yards and four touchdowns. Ott has since transferred to Oklahoma and is looking to bounce back as a senior. — Reid

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0:35

Cal stuns Miami with a 66-yard TD on 4th-and-1

Cal dials up a perfect blitz-beater as Fernando Mendoza finds Jaydn Ott for a 66-yard touchdown.


Wide receiver

Miller’s top five

1. Antonio Williams, Clemson
2. Jordyn Tyson, Arizona State
3. Eric Singleton Jr., Auburn
4. Denzel Boston, Washington
5. Carnell Tate, Ohio State

Reid’s top five

1. Ja’Kobi Lane, USC
2. Jordyn Tyson, Arizona State
3. Antonio Williams, Clemson
4. Carnell Tate, Ohio State
5. Denzel Boston, Washington

Toughest player to rank: Lane. I have the 6-4, 195-pound redshirt sophomore ranked higher than everyone and will continue to reside on that island. But he is a polarizing prospect who has many scouts needing to see more. Despite 12 touchdowns last season, Lane had only 528 receiving yards and was held below 50 yards in eight of USC’s 13 games. There isn’t a true WR1 in this class yet, so, with a bit more consistency, Lane has the opportunity to rise and be the first receiver off the board. — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Elijah Sarratt, Indiana. The 6-2, 210-pound Sarratt has big breakout potential, especially with quarterback Fernando Mendoza transferring in from Cal. Sarratt had 53 catches for 987 yards and eight touchdowns last season and fits the mold of Texans star receiver Nico Collins, with excellent body positioning and tough hands in traffic. — Miller


Tight end

Miller’s top five

1. Eli Stowers, Vanderbilt
2. Jack Endries, Texas
3. Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon
4. Max Klare, Ohio State
5. Joe Royer, Cincinnati

Reid’s top five

1. Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon
2. Eli Stowers, Vanderbilt
3. Max Klare, Ohio State
4. Jack Endries, Texas
5. Joe Royer, Cincinnati

Toughest player to rank: Sadiq. His touches were limited last season behind eventual second-round pick Terrance Ferguson, with Sadiq finishing with 24 catches for 308 yards and two touchdowns. But he showed glimpses of his potential, most notably his route running and his movement skills after the catch. With Ferguson off to the NFL and leading returning receiver Evan Stewart likely out for the season with a knee injury, Sadiq will step into a marquee role. — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Luke Hasz, Ole Miss. Hasz transferred from Arkansas in the offseason and will play in a much more TE-friendly offense at Ole Miss. Hasz had big moments for the Razorbacks, but inconsistent quarterback play and an unproductive scheme made it easy for opposing defenses to key on him. It will be fun to see what plays Lane Kiffin devises to get Hasz open. — Miller


Offensive tackle

Miller’s top five

1. Francis Mauigoa, Miami
2. Kadyn Proctor, Alabama
3. Austin Barber, Florida
4. Spencer Fano, Utah
5. Caleb Lomu, Utah

Reid’s top five

1. Spencer Fano, Utah
2. Kadyn Proctor, Alabama
3. Isaiah World, Oregon
4. Caleb Lomu, Utah
5. Drew Shelton, Penn State

Toughest player to rank: Proctor. There are mixed feelings about the 6-7, 360-pound junior. On one hand, he’s a massive tackle prospect with otherworldly blocking strength. But his moments of brilliance are countered by plenty of disappointing stretches. He tends to float against lesser competition, losing attention to detail and not using his power advantage. Scouts want to see more consistency from Proctor in 2025, and many believe he can be a top-15 pick if he shows it. — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Aamil Wagner, Notre Dame. I had a pretty tough time keeping Wagner out of my top five after he played a very strong 16 games in 2024. The 6-6, 293-pound junior right tackle flourished as a run blocker, with awesome agility and awareness in space. He has the chance to shoot up draft boards if his second season as a full-time starter is as good as his first. — Miller


Guard

Miller’s top five

1. Cayden Green, Missouri
2. Ar’maj Reed-Adams, Texas A&M
3. Jaeden Roberts, Alabama
4. Joshua Braun, Arkansas
5. Davion Carter, Texas Tech

Reid’s top five

1. Francis Mauigoa, Miami
2. Cayden Green, Missouri
3. Ar’maj Reed-Adams, Texas A&M
4. Jaeden Roberts, Alabama
5. Emmanuel Pregnon, Oregon

Toughest player to rank: Roberts. After an impressive 2023 campaign, Roberts entered 2024 with top-75 hype for the 2025 draft. But his play slipped last season, so he is back at Alabama. Was it the scheme change from Nick Saban to Kalen DeBoer that caused Roberts’ issues, or was it something else? He has potential to be a top guard prospect, but which player will show up this season? — Miller

Player outside of the top five to watch: DJ Campbell, Texas. Campbell is the Longhorns’ only returning interior starter and is expected to take a bigger role in 2025. He started all 16 games last season and excelled as a run blocker due to his strength at the point of attack. He needs to continue to improve his technique and hand timing in pass protection. If he does that, he could rise up the guard rankings. — Reid


Center

Miller’s top five

1. Jake Slaughter, Florida
2. Iapani Laloulu, Oregon
3. Logan Jones, Iowa
4. Connor Tollison, Missouri
5. Pat Coogan, Indiana

Reid’s top five

1. Connor Lew, Auburn
2. Jake Slaughter, Florida
3. Iapani Laloulu, Oregon
4. Logan Jones, Iowa
5. Connor Tollison, Missouri

Toughest player to rank: Tollison. Despite getting Day 2 grades from scouts I’ve talked to, Tollison decided to return for his senior season. He fell off a bit toward the end of last season due to a knee injury. Although the 2026 center class looks deep, Tollison is a player to watch — especially if he returns to his pre-injury form. He has started 35 games, with every snap coming at center. — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Bryce Foster, Kansas. Foster made a huge jump in 2024, which leads me to believe that there’s even more to come in 2025. The 6-5 330-pounder is a mauler in the run game with the agility to make blocks in space. Don’t be surprised to see him paving the way for now-healthy quarterback Jalon Daniels, earning postseason awards and moving up draft boards. — Miller


Edge rusher

Miller’s top five

1. T.J. Parker, Clemson
2. Rueben Bain Jr., Miami
3. Keldric Faulk, Auburn
4. David Bailey, Texas Tech
5. Patrick Payton, LSU

Reid’s top five

1. Keldric Faulk, Auburn
2. T.J. Parker, Clemson
3. Dani Dennis-Sutton, Penn State
4. Rueben Bain Jr., Miami
5. Gabe Jacas, Illinois

Toughest player to rank: Payton. After a brilliant 2023 season at Florida State, 6-5, 250-pound Payton entered last season with All-American hype. But his season mimicked the Seminoles’ disappointment as his sack total fell from seven to four. Payton — whose flashes remind many of Giants edge rusher Brian Burns — has the potential to get back on track at LSU. If he does, big things are possible. — Miller

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1:08

Flashback: Patrick Payton tallies 3 sacks in FSU’s win

Look back at new LSU transfer Patrick Payton’s best game of the season in Florida State’s win over California.

Player outside of the top five to watch: Cashius Howell, Texas A&M. The Bowling Green transfer had to wait his turn in 2024 behind Shemar Stewart and Nic Scourton. But with both of those guys now in the NFL, it’s Howell’s turn to lead the Aggies’ defensive front. He provided a glimpse of his potential in his only start last season, with five tackles, a sack and an interception in the Las Vegas Bowl. Continuing that production would put Howell among the top players in another loaded group of edge rushers. — Reid


Defensive tackle

Miller’s top five

1. Peter Woods, Clemson
2. Tim Keenan III, Alabama
3. Keanu Tanuvasa, BYU
4. Lee Hunter, Texas Tech
5. Zane Durant, Penn State

Reid’s top five

1. Peter Woods, Clemson
2. Caleb Banks, Florida
3. Christen Miller, Georgia
4. Zane Durant, Penn State
5. Tim Keenan III, Alabama

Toughest player to rank: Banks. The 6-6 325-pounder finished last season on a hot streak, with 3.5 sacks in his final two games. Banks is a quick-footed interior defender with power and hand quickness at the point of attack. Florida’s defense should be improved, and Banks is an important first-level part of that unit. He has first-round potential, but he will need to stay healthy and build on his fast 2024 finish. — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Rayshaun Benny, Michigan. Another year, another Wolverines defensive lineman to watch. The 6-4, 296-pound Benny will be tasked with replacing first-rounder Mason Graham. The fifth-year senior had only 1.5 sacks last season as a rotational player but has breakout potential. He ended the season playing his best ball, sharing Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week honors after helping Michigan upset Ohio State. — Miller


Linebacker

Miller’s top five

1. Anthony Hill Jr., Texas
2. CJ Allen, Georgia
3. Deontae Lawson, Alabama
4. Whit Weeks, LSU
5. Harold Perkins Jr., LSU

Reid’s top five

1. Anthony Hill Jr., Texas
2. CJ Allen, Georgia
3. Whit Weeks, LSU
4. Deontae Lawson, Alabama
5. Sonny Styles, Ohio State

Toughest player to rank: Perkins. If it feels as if the 6-1 220-pounder has been on these lists for three years, well … he has. He’s a talented dual-threat defender capable of rushing the passer and playing off the ball, but he missed the final nine games of 2024 after suffering a torn ACL. Perkins is one of the most exciting players in the nation when healthy, but size concerns and a lack of a defined role make him a tough eval. — Miller

Player outside of the top five to watch: Suntarine Perkins, Ole Miss. I’m joining Matt on the Perkins train, albeit a different one. The Ole Miss Perkins was one of the most explosive players in the country, recording 10.5 sacks last season. With three Rebels defensive linemen drafted in April, Perkins will likely be used as an edge defender again, but his 6-1, 210-pound frame makes it unlikely that he’ll play edge in the NFL. Scouts want him to gain weight and play more snaps in an off-ball linebacker role, which will likely be his position at the next level. — Reid


Cornerback

Miller’s top five

1. Jermod McCoy, Tennessee
2. Avieon Terrell, Clemson
3. Malik Muhammad, Texas
4. Chandler Rivers, Duke
5. D’Angelo Ponds, Indiana

Reid’s top five

1. A.J. Harris, Penn State
2. Jermod McCoy, Tennessee
3. DJ McKinney, Colorado
4. Avieon Terrell, Clemson
5. Malik Muhammad, Texas

Toughest player to rank: McCoy. The Oregon State transfer thrived in his first season with the Vols, intercepting four passes and looking like the CB1 of a strong 2026 corner class. But he suffered a torn ACL during a January training session, putting his status for the 2025 season in doubt. Can McCoy return to the field this season, and how would he perform if he does? — Reid

Player outside of the top five to watch: Josh Moten, Southern Miss. I really wanted to get Moten into my top five, and I might do so in my preseason rerank. He began his career at Texas A&M before transferring to Marshall, where he had five interceptions last season. Moten is now at Southern Miss, moving with new Golden Eagles coach Charles Huff. At 164 pounds, there are questions about Moten’s size, but he can flat-out cover and attack the ball. — Miller


Safety

Miller’s top five

1. Caleb Downs, Ohio State
2. Dillon Thieneman, Oregon
3. Kamari Ramsey, USC
4. Michael Taaffe, Texas
5. Rod Moore, Michigan

Reid’s top five

1. Caleb Downs, Ohio State
2. Kamari Ramsey, USC
3. Dillon Thieneman, Oregon
4. Jalon Kilgore, South Carolina
5. Tao Johnson, Utah

Toughest player to rank: Moore. The fifth-year senior missed last season after suffering a torn ACL in the spring of 2024. If he can return to his previous level of play (six combined interceptions in 2022-23), that’s a huge win for the Michigan defense and could push Moore near the top of the safety class. But scouts are in wait-and-see mode as he returns from injury. — Miller

Player outside of the top five to watch: Keon Sabb, Alabama. After serving as a reserve on Michigan’s national championship defense in 2023, Sabb transferred to Alabama and started last season with a flourish. But after grabbing two interceptions in his first seven games, he suffered a broken foot that had to be surgically repaired. He should start again at free safety as a rangy, instinctive ball hawk who generates turnovers. — Reid

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Valdez denies hitting Astros catcher on purpose

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Valdez denies hitting Astros catcher on purpose

HOUSTON — Astros starter Framber Valdez said he apologized to catcher Cesar Salazar after hitting him in the chest with a pitch Tuesday night, but the left-hander insisted it wasn’t intentional.

Valdez appeared to shake off Salazar on a 1-0 pitch with the bases loaded and Trent Grisham of the New York Yankees at the plate in the fifth inning. Salazar then urged Valdez to step off the mound, but he proceeded with the pitch, which Grisham launched to deep left field to give New York a 6-0 lead in an eventual 7-1 win.

On the second pitch to the next batter, Valdez hit Salazar in the chest with a 93 mph pitch, raising questions about whether he was upset about what happened in the Grisham at-bat and if it was intended.

Valdez said it was not.

“What happened with us, we just got crossed up,” Valdez said in Spanish through an interpreter. “I called for that pitch, I threw it and we got crossed up. We went down to the dugout and I excused myself with him and I said sorry to him and I take full responsibility for that.”

Valdez was then asked directly if he did it on purpose.

“No,” he said. “It was not intentional.”

Valdez and Salazar were talking when reporters entered the clubhouse after the game, and Valdez said they had sorted things out.

“We were able to talk through it,” he said. “We spoke after the game … at his locker and everything’s good between us. It’s just stuff that happens in baseball. But yeah, we talked through it and we’re good.”

Salazar also was asked about what happened on the pitch where he was hit.

“The stadium was loud,” he said. “I thought I pressed the button, but I pressed the wrong button. I was expecting another pitch, but it wasn’t it.”

Salazar said Valdez didn’t hit him on purpose.

“No, me and Framber we actually have a really good relationship,” he said.

Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.

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McLean retires last 14, 1st Met to win 1st 4 starts

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McLean retires last 14, 1st Met to win 1st 4 starts

DETROIT — Rookie Nolan McLean continued his brilliant start to his MLB career, retiring his final 14 batters Tuesday night to lead the Mets to a 12-5 victory over the Detroit Tigers.

McLean became the first Mets pitcher to go 4-0 in his first four starts, and just the first pitcher in the majors to do so since Chase Anderson, who started 5-0 with the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2014.

After a rocky first inning, McLean finished with seven strikeouts while giving up two runs on three hits and three walks. He is the first pitcher to win his first four career starts while allowing two or fewer runs in each start since Jered Weaver, who did it in his first seven starts for the Los Angeles Angels in 2006.

“Another impressive outing for him,” manager Carlos Mendoza said. “We all saw how in that first inning, especially the sweeper and the curveball … he didn’t have command of those pitches. A couple of walks, and they got him with a couple of singles there. That’s what you call pitching. Understanding that you have to make adjustments and find a way to get through five or six innings, and he was able to do that.”

Mendoza added: “Another really good sign for a kid that is just making his fourth start at the big league level.”

McLean’s 28 strikeouts through his first four starts ranks second in Mets history behind only Nolan Ryan (29).

Mets first baseman Pete Alonso, who homered twice Tuesday night, said McLean’s work ethic has a lot to do with the incredible start to his career.

“I know everyone’s going to be talking about all the great stuff he’s doing on the field, which is for sure warranted, but how he’s going about his business, the day to day, it’s super impressive,” Alonso said.

“And that’s the reason why he’s able to do what he’s been able to do on the field. … He’s been a pro since he’s come up, and there’s no shock and awe for why he’s found his success.”

Juan Soto and Luis Torrens also homered for the Mets, who won the series opener 10-8 on Monday. New York moved five games ahead of Cincinnati for the final National League wild card.

The American League Central-leading Tigers have lost seven of nine.

Alonso’s first homer was a 435-foot drive in the first inning that landed between the first and second row of shrubs behind the center-field wall. Soto and Alonso hit back-to-back solo shots in a six-run seventh that gave the Mets a 12-2 cushion.

Soto has 37 home runs in his first season with New York, including five homers in the past five games. Alonso’s second homer was his 33rd of the year.

Jeff McNeil drove in three runs and finished with three of New York’s 17 hits. Brandon Nimmo and Brett Baty also had three hits for the Mets.

Information from The Associated Press and ESPN Research was used in this report.

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Welcome to September! Ranking the MLB playoff races that will rule the final month

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Welcome to September! Ranking the MLB playoff races that will rule the final month

With each postseason expansion throughout MLB’s history, the value of division races has diluted. In the wild-card era, you can finish in second place — or even third or fourth — and still win the World Series.

Does that make September less exciting? There’s no doubt it brings more teams and more fans into the mix. And a big game is still a big game, even if there is slightly less tension in a Red Sox-Yankees or Mets-Phillies series than there otherwise might be if both teams already know they’re going to make the playoffs.

Thus, we’re mostly left with wild-card races and battles for seeding to occupy our time and scoreboard watching. That still offers plenty of fun, still makes September the best month on the baseball calendar, and there’s still a lot of sweating going on when your closer walks two batters in the ninth trying to protect a one-run lead. The 12 postseason slots aren’t completely locked up, so if you’re a fan of the Mets or Mariners, you can’t breathe easily just yet — not until a playoff spot is clinched and the champagne uncorked.

September is here, believe it or not. We have races to decide. Let’s rank their potential excitement level over the final month.


1. National League West race

Standings: Los Angeles Dodgers up 2 games on San Diego Padres

What’s at stake: This is the best rivalry going on in the majors right now. The teams don’t like each other, the fans don’t like each other, and there’s still that element of David trying to knock out Goliath as the Padres seek their first division title since 2006 and their first World Series title ever. The teams have met three times in the NL Division Series since 2020 — with the Dodgers winning in 2020 and 2024 and the Padres victorious in 2022 — and with another rematch possible, home-field advantage could be key.

Do the Dodgers need to win the division? No, they will still be more focused on getting the pitching staff healthy and ready for October than on getting consumed in the race to win the division. It would probably mean more to the Padres, who want to finally beat their I-5 rivals in something besides that one playoff series. On the other hand, San Diego is probably a little better equipped for a short wild-card series, as it can ride its bullpen for the two or three games.

Series to watch: Somehow, the schedule-makers thought it would be a good idea to not have the Dodgers playing the Padres in September. The Dodgers finish with a road trip to Arizona and Seattle while the Padres end at home against Milwaukee and Arizona. The Dodgers won the season series, so they own the tiebreaker.

Dodgers player to watch: Blake Snell has been a notable second-half pitcher in his career and has a 2.54 ERA since returning from the injured list in August, but he hasn’t been quite as dominant as when he gets on one of his patented hot streaks (such as the second half last year, when he had a 1.45 ERA and .130 average allowed). The Dodgers won last season despite a beat-up rotation that wasn’t even all that effective in the playoffs. But the bullpen has been nowhere near as strong this season as in 2024, so they’ll need that dominant version of Snell down the stretch and in October.

Padres player to watch: Ramon Laureano has been the team’s best hitter since he was acquired at the trade deadline, slashing .305/.354/.581 with seven home runs and 23 RBIs in 28 games. He helped keep the offense afloat in August as Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. each hit just one home run on the month and Jackson Merrill has been injured. Laureano’s production has been great, but the Padres need more power from their big two.


2. American League East

Standings: Toronto Blue Jays up 3 games on New York Yankees, 3.5 games on Boston Red Sox

What’s at stake: This has been the wildest division race all season. The Blue Jays were eight games back in late May when they fell under .500 but have now held first place since July 3. The Yankees fell as many as 6.5 games back in August before cleaning up against the Washington Nationals and Chicago White Sox this past week to draw closer. The Red Sox were 41-44 on June 30, but only the Brewers have a better record since that date. The Yankees have a plus-134 run differential, whereas it’s plus-56 for the Blue Jays and plus-102 for the Red Sox, so you wonder why they’re even in this position. However, New York is 5-8 in extra-inning games (the Blue Jays are 8-4) and hasn’t played well against Toronto and Boston (5-15).

Series to watch: Blue Jays at Yankees (Friday-Sunday); Red Sox at Blue Jays (Sept. 23-25); Yankees at Red Sox (Sept. 12-14). All three season series have already been clinched: The Blue Jays over the Red Sox and Yankees and the Red Sox over the Yankees. That will leave the Yankees on the short end of any tiebreaker.

Blue Jays player to watch: Toronto acquired Shane Bieber at the deadline even though he was still completing his minor league rehab from Tommy John surgery. He has allowed three runs in two starts for the Blue Jays, striking out 15 with no walks in 11⅓ innings. It’s just two starts, but he looks like he did when he was the Cleveland ace, plus he has allowed the Jays to go to a six-man rotation. Don’t be surprised if he ends up as the Game 1 starter in the postseason.

Yankees player to watch: Aaron Judge is still probably the MVP favorite, but after missing 10 days with a flexor strain in his right elbow, he hasn’t been quite the same, hitting .241/.417/.506 with six home runs and 12 RBIs in 24 games in August. Though those are still good numbers, it seems fair to call it a slight slump by Judge’s recent historic standards — and it’s not the same level of production as before his injury. He also still hasn’t played the field, which limits the red-hot Giancarlo Stanton to pinch-hitting duties when the Yankees are on the road (manager Aaron Boone has been willing to play Stanton in right field at Yankee Stadium, where there’s less ground to cover).

Red Sox player to watch: Sixty-nine games into his career, 21-year-old rookie Roman Anthony has made it clear: He’s going to be a big star. Sure, he can cut his strikeout rate a bit, but he already has A-plus plate discipline and has the second-highest hard-hit percentage in the majors behind only Kyle Schwarber. And Anthony is also quickly learning to lift the ball, slugging six home runs in August after hitting one each in June and July.


3. National League race for No. 2 seed

Standings: Milwaukee Brewers hold No. 1 seed with 5.5-game cushion; Philadelphia Phillies up 1 game on Dodgers, 3 games on Padres

What’s at stake: The Phillies hold a comfortable lead over the Mets in the NL East, so they have about a 90% chance of winning the division, but Philadelphia is neck and neck with the pair of NL West rivals for the second-best record in the NL. Home-field advantage isn’t a must to win a World Series — we’ve seen wild-card teams take it all, such as the Rangers in 2023 when they were the fifth seed in the AL — but the Phillies have an extreme home/road split this season, going 45-23 in Philadelphia and 34-35 elsewhere. They’re hitting .275 with an .808 OPS at home, .239 with a .693 OPS on the road.

Series to watch: Phillies at Dodgers (Sept. 15-17). The Phillies finish with a six-game homestand against the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, which looks like a favorable way to end the season.

Phillies player to watch: Kyle Schwarber, of course, and Cristopher Sanchez as he takes over the role of staff ace from the injured Zack Wheeler. But the bullpen has been the issue the past two postseasons for the Phillies, which puts Jhoan Duran on the spot as well. Acquired from the Twins at the trade deadline to take over as closer, Duran has mostly done the job, but he blew one save against the Nationals, picking up the loss, and then lost another game against the Mets when he allowed four straight hits without getting an out.


4. American League race for top two seeds

Standings: Detroit Tigers hold No. 1 seed and are up 0.5 games on Blue Jays, 3.5 games on Yankees, 4 games on Red Sox and 4.5 games on Astros

What’s at stake: Bragging rights? Momentum heading into the postseason? Home-field advantage? Sure, all those things are nice, and the Tigers have a notable home/road split (44-25 versus 36-33), so securing that top seed, which they’ve held much of the way in the AL, would be the final touch on an excellent regular season. Still, if you’re manager A.J. Hinch, you’re not going to burn out your rotation in September just to get that top seed. If the Astros climb closer to the Tigers and Blue Jays, however, it will get more interesting as teams want to avoid that wild-card series if possible.

Series to watch: Tigers at Yankees (Sept. 9-11); Tigers at Red Sox (Sept. 26-28); Yankees at Astros (Tuesday-Thursday); Astros at Blue Jays (Sept. 9-11)

Tigers player to watch: The Tigers have been searching for a No. 2 starter behind Tarik Skubal all year. Jack Flaherty has been inconsistent all season and had three starts in August where he allowed five or more runs. Casey Mize has a 7.20 ERA over his past eight starts. Chris Paddack? No. Maybe it’s 41-year-old vet Charlie Morton, who has a 4.61 ERA in his five starts with Detroit, as he has mixed in three excellent outings with two bad ones (although he fanned 10 in one of the bad ones). No matter what, there are going to be a lot of bullpen games for the Tigers in the playoffs when Skubal isn’t pitching, especially since the pen was much better in August after struggling in June and July (and adding some depth at the deadline).


5. American League West

Standings: Houston Astros up 2 games on Seattle Mariners

What’s at stake: The Mariners haven’t won a division title since … hold on here, scrolling through the years on Baseball-Reference.com … that’s right, the 116-win season in 2001. The Mariners made some weird pact with the baseball gods that season, which for some reason didn’t include them making the World Series after their historic regular season but did include them not making the postseason again until 2022. That’s right: They remain the only franchise never to appear in the Fall Classic. Winning the division would increase their odds just a bit and allow them to set their rotation for the ALDS.

Series to watch: Mariners at Astros (Sept. 19-21). The season series is tied 5-5, so the winner of this series gets that crucial tiebreaker edge. Of note: The Mariners have lost five consecutive road series and are 1-6-1 (they split a four-game series) in their past eight. The Astros have managed to keep their grip on first place despite going 12-13 in July and 13-15 in August. They’ve won every full-season AL West title going back to 2017.

Astros player to watch: Yordan Alvarez returned last week after being out since early May with a hand injury. He homered in his second game back and didn’t strike out in his first five games. The Astros have even started him twice in left field, allowing them to give Jose Altuve a DH day. Bottom line: If Alvarez is producing, a below-average offense suddenly looks at least like an average — or better-than-average — offense. With Alvarez, Altuve and Carlos Correa, it’s 2019 or 2021 all over again, two seasons that ended with the Astros playing in the World Series.

Mariners player to watch: How much does Cal Raleigh have left in the tank? He’s sitting on 50 home runs but also hit .194 in July and .173 in August. He’s still doing damage with the long ball and has had 17 home runs and 36 RBIs over the two months, but he’s not carrying the offense as he did in the first half.


6. American League Wild Card

Standings: Mariners hold third wild-card spot and are up 2.5 games on Kansas City Royals, 3 games on Texas Rangers and 4 games on Cleveland Guardians

What’s at stake: By no means are the Mariners out of the AL West race against Houston, but they also haven’t played well enough to pull away in the wild-card fight, even after everyone declared them a sure-thing playoff team following the acquisitions of Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor at the deadline. But given Seattle’s recent history of just missing the playoffs — two wins short in 2021, one short in 2023 and 2024 — Mariners fans are understandably nervous about blowing it, especially with the Royals and the Rangers refusing to go away.

Series to watch: Mariners at Royals (Sept. 16-18); Royals at Guardians (Sept. 8-10); Rangers at Guardians (Sept. 26-28). The Royals finished one game ahead of the Mariners for a wild-card spot last season, so this looks like the key series. The Mariners have one three-game series in Houston starting Sept. 19. If they can survive this current road trip — they just went 1-2 against Cleveland and now head to Tampa and Atlanta — that series looms large as well.

Royals player to watch: Is it too late to toss Bobby Witt Jr. into the Judge/Raleigh MVP debate? He’s making a late run with his outstanding all-around game and just had his best month of the season. With Vinnie Pasquantino mashing home runs and some trade acquisitions chipping in, Kansas City is peaking at the right time. The Royals have played well for two months now and have a pretty soft schedule for the final month.

Rangers player to watch: The Rangers looked out of it, and they’re going to be without Nathan Eovaldi for the rest of the season — and likely Marcus Semien as well — and Corey Seager for some period of time following an appendectomy. But they just won three series in a row. Without Eovaldi, Jack Leiter has to continue to pitch well: He has a 2.88 ERA over his past 11 starts and just tossed back-to-back excellent games.

Guardians player to watch: Cleveland is barely hanging in there, taking two of three against the Mariners as Kyle Manzardo hit big home runs in wins Friday and Saturday. He’s hitting .273/.362/.545 since July 12, giving Cleveland a much-needed power source other than Jose Ramirez.


7. National League East and NL Wild Card

Standings: Phillies up 6 games on Mets in division; Mets up 4 games on Cincinnati Reds in wild card

What’s at stake: The Mets temporarily made the division race interesting again after sweeping Philadelphia early last week but then lost three of four at home to the Marlins. That’s unacceptable if you want to win the division. The Reds continue to falter, so the Mets’ wild-card spot looks reasonably safe, though they are just .500 since May 1.

Series to watch: Mets at Phillies (Sept. 8-11); Mets at Reds (Friday-Sunday). With next week’s four-game series, the NL East remains in play even though it would take an epic New York comeback combined with a Phillies collapse for the Mets to win the division. They’ve already clinched the season series over the Phillies with a 7-2 advantage. Meanwhile, the Reds have a chance to put pressure on the Mets with a three-game series in Cincinnati before New York’s trip to Philadelphia.

Mets player to watch: Nolan McLean and Jonah Tong. The Mets’ rotation has scuffled for a while, so suddenly the season rests heavily on their two prized rookie starters. McLean won his first three starts, allowing just two runs in 20⅓ innings. Tong, who led minor league starters in ERA and strikeouts, beat the Marlins in his debut Friday, striking out six in five innings with no walks while showcasing the changeup that allowed him to dominate the minors.

Reds player to watch: What’s happening with Elly De La Cruz‘s power? He hasn’t homered since July 31 and has just one in his past 58 games.


8. National League Central

Standings: Brewers up 6.5 games on Chicago Cubs

What’s at stake: This is another David vs. Goliath matchup. Milwaukee, of course, is Goliath. The Cubs won the NL Central in the COVID-shortened season of 2020 but haven’t taken a full-season division title since 2017. Given the Brewers’ lead with no signs of faltering, the odds are slim that Chicago can chase them down.

Series to watch: The two teams are done for their season series, and the Cubs took it 7-6, so at least they own the tiebreaker.

Brewers player to watch: Closer Trevor Megill landed on the IL a few days ago with a flexor strain in his elbow after blowing three saves since mid-August, so Abner Uribe takes over. If the Cubs have a chance to catch the Brewers, it might be because the Milwaukee pen, which has been worked hard, burns out in September, especially with the Brewers in the midst of playing 19 games in 18 days.

Cubs player to watch: Kyle Tucker slumped as he played through a hairline fracture in his right hand for two months. He finally broke out with three home runs in two games and has hit over .400 his past nine games. The Cubs’ offense was horrid in August — Pete Crow-Armstrong also struggled — and they’ll need Tucker and the rest of the lineup to rebound in September.


9. American League Central

Standings: Tigers up 9.5 games on Royals

What’s at stake: This one is all but over — though, it’s not impossible for the Royals. The Mets blew a seven-game lead in 2007 with 17 games to play. The 1995 Angels entered September with a 7.5-game lead and lost the division in a tiebreaker game. The 2009 Tigers were up seven games on Sept. 6 and blew it. The 2011 Braves had an 8.5-game lead in the wild-card race at the start of September and missed the playoffs. And during that same season, the Red Sox were leading the Yankees in the AL East and nine games up on the Rays — who would catch them on the final day of the season to win the wild card. So … you never know.

Series to watch: The Tigers and Royals are done playing each other, with Detroit winning the season series 9-4.

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