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For all the work we do in setting up and covering the MLB trade deadline, the transaction-related activity in some years is a little underwhelming. That was not the case in 2025.

According to my tracking mechanisms, the wild 2025 deadline featured 92 veteran trade candidates on new teams and, likewise, 92 prospects headed to new organizations, seeking their big league opportunity. After all that, we turn our attention to reassessing the new baseball landscape.

This is what we do with every edition of Stock Watch, but there is never as much mystery in the outcomes as there is after a heavy period of roster movement, which yields my two favorite Stock Watch editions: after the in-season trade deadline (now) and during the hot stove season, after the offseason’s heaviest waves of transactions are completed.

As we did last year at this time, we will hone in on each team’s stretch run. This looks different for contenders than those looking to the future, but even for the noncontenders, it’s about what is left to accomplish on the field in 2025 — and how those aims might be achieved.

Jump to a tier:

Top-tier contenders | Second-tier contenders | Teams just hanging on
Teams looking ahead | The Colorado Rockies

Top-tier contenders

Teams with a 90% or better shot at the playoffs

Win average: 95.9 (Last month: 87.5, 9th)
In the playoffs: 99.2% (Last: 61.7%)
Champions: 11.3% (Last: 2.1%)

Lingering concern: Middle-of-the-order power

The Brewers have soared to the top spot of Stock Watch with startling velocity. You might view Milwaukee’s deadline approach as a bit passive, but when you’ve gotten so far by finding solutions within your organization, why change? The Brewers don’t have many obvious needs. Even the shortcoming noted above was listed only because no roster is perfect. But though Milwaukee ranks 15th in isolated power for the season, its offense has been baseball’s hottest, joining a run prevention crew that was already stellar.


Win average: 95.8 (Last: 96.1, 3rd)
In the playoffs: 99.4% (Last: 97.2%)
Champions: 13.6% (Last: 12.6%)

Lingering concern: Frontline pitching

This seems like a big-ticket concern, and it is. Chicago’s rotation and bullpen have been more passable than good this season, at least when the offense has been rolling up big numbers. The club’s passive deadline approach didn’t upgrade that outlook. What the staff needed was some dynamism, whether one of the top closers who moved or a top-of-the-rotation starter. Given Kyle Tucker‘s walk-year contract status, a more all-in mindset was justified.


Win average: 95.8 (Last: 101.4, 1st)
In the playoffs: 99.4% (Last: 99.7%)
Champions: 15.4% (Last: 24.0%)

Lingering concern: Pitching health

What else could it be? All those hurlers who seemed to comprise a super team type of depth chart in the offseason still exist. But the Dodgers’ dizzying turnstile of pitchers going on and off the injured list has never let up. Given what happens to pitchers once they join the Dodgers, maybe L.A. was doing the rest of the majors a small favor by mostly standing pat at the deadline. With the Padres positioned to push the Dodgers to the finish in the National League West, the stretch run can’t just be about rehabbing pitchers for October, either.


Win average: 93.3 (Last: 97.9, 2nd)
In the playoffs: 99.2% (Last: 99.8%)
Champions: 11.3% (Last: 14.4%)

Lingering concern: Offensive consistency

When it comes to the overall pecking order, Detroit has come back to the pack. The Tigers focused their deadline work on the pitching staff, to mixed results. Yet, the Tigers’ offensive regression has been the primary culprit for their recent dip. Detroit is deep in prospects but has a right-now opportunity that doesn’t seem like it has been maximized. If Detroit returns to its early-season offensive exploits, though, it won’t matter.


Win average: 92.7 (Last: 93.5, 5th)
In the playoffs: 96.8% (Last: 93.8%)
Champions: 7.8% (Last: 7.6%)

Lingering concern: What about Andrew Painter?

After the Phillies’ deadline pickups of Jhoan Duran and Harrison Bader, this is their first-world dilemma. They don’t need Painter, the talented righty who has been in the minors all season after returning from injury. His recent outings have been solid, but he’s still not putting up his pre-injury strikeout numbers. He’s a secret weapon at this point. Painter might not appear in the regular season but make the postseason roster anyway.


Win average: 90.7 (Last: 86.9, 10th)
In the playoffs: 92.9% (Last: 72.7%)
Champions: 5.3% (Last: 1.8%)

Lingering concern: Anthony Santander

The Jays didn’t acquire Duran, but they made a couple of key bullpen pickups in Seranthony Dominguez and Louis Varland. We’ll see if that suffices. The other big need was a middle-of-the-order bat, a void Toronto thought it filled when it signed Santander. Santander has been out since the end of May and contributed little before that. The Blue Jays need Santander’s recovery to pick up and for him to be the thumper they signed.

Second-tier contenders

Teams with playoff odds between 40% and 89%

Win average: 90.2 (Last: 85.6, 11th)
In the playoffs: 89.0% (Last: 41.3%)
Champions: 4.5% (Last: 1.1%)

Lingering concern: History

Sure, a future All-Star Game might be half-populated with one-time San Diego prospects, but for now, A.J. Preller’s machinations have eliminated any glaring holes on his roster. The depth after the active-26 group isn’t great, so health is crucial. But as constructed, the Padres are as well-situated for the postseason as anyone. They, along with Seattle and Milwaukee, will try to snap a zero-for-eternity title drought. Any of the three could do it.


Win average: 90.1 (Last: 89.4, 7th)
In the playoffs: 89.4% (Last: 75.7%)
Champions: 4.5% (Last: 3.2%)

Lingering concern: Juan Soto

The Mets didn’t address their rotation at the deadline, but added enough to the relief staff that it’s not hard to lay out an October blueprint for a bullpen-heavy pitching staff. As for Soto, it’s perhaps not fair to call him a concern. This hasn’t been his best season, but it has been a good season, at least by the standards of most players. But Soto at his .300/.400/.600 best can carry a team, and as the Mets try to emerge from the crowded field of contenders, the time is coming for him to do it.


Win average: 89.5 (Last: 94.7, 4th)
In the playoffs: 88.0% (Last: 98.5%)
Champions: 6.1% (Last: 8.9%)

Lingering concern: How much Yordan Alvarez will the Astros get?

It has been a lost season for Alvarez, who has been out since early May because of a hand injury. Reportedly, Alvarez has been ramping up his activity and should return at some point. But can he be more than a marginal upgrade? Despite the Astros’ deadline pickups, their once-mighty offense won’t be an October threat — if Houston gets that far — unless Alvarez is ready to rake. As the Astros have come back to the pack in the American League West, their offense has been the coldest in baseball. Alvarez is their best hope of getting back to at least average.


Win average: 88.9 (Last: 79.8, 19th)
In the playoffs: 87.6% (Last: 17.8%)
Champions: 5.5% (Last: 0.3%)

Lingering concern: Starting rotation

This team makes a lot more sense if you plug a true No. 2 (or a co-No. 1) in the rotation next to Garrett Crochet. The Red Sox are playing so well it seems greedy to quibble, but what will this look like in the playoffs? Some teams tread water with the rotation and ride the bullpen in October. Boston’s bullpen has been solid, but it seems like the Red Sox will need more balance. Boston needs big finishes from every starter not named Crochet. And Crochet, too.


Win average: 88.8 (Last: 92.4, 6th)
In the playoffs: 87.2% (Last: 95.8%)
Champions: 8.0% (Last: 12.8%)

Lingering concern: Run prevention

With all of their bullpen pickups, the Yankees have set themselves up for the postseason, but they’ve got to get there first. New York still leads the AL in run prevention, but it has been two months since the Yankees have played like a playoff team. The rotation and bullpen have struggled, but so too has the mistake-prone defense. New York’s power-based offense is dangerous, especially when Aaron Judge is healthy, but the Yankees aren’t going to bludgeon their way back to the World Series.


Win average: 86.8 (Last: 85.6, 11th)
In the playoffs: 70.4% (Last: 66.5%)
Champions: 3.4% (Last: 2.4%)

Lingering concern: Offensive regression

Getting Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suarez back in the same lineup is a coup, and there’s no doubt the Mariners’ offensive profile has improved. But it’s highly unlikely that what we’ll see from Raleigh and Suarez over the rest of the season will match what they’ve done to this point. It’s not saying they’ll collapse but to underscore how their output has been off the charts. Seattle will need plenty of production in addition to that duo, and the Mariners are well-positioned to get it.


Win average: 84.1 (Last: 81.1, 17th)
In the playoffs: 43.2% (Last: 27.3%)
Champions: 2.1% (Last: 0.5%)

Lingering concern: Bullpen

The Rangers’ offense remains confounding, but lately it has been so consistently productive that it has fueled Texas’ resurgence in the AL West race. The rotation remains the standout unit, especially with the addition of Merrill Kelly. Still, though newcomers Danny Coulombe and Phil Maton help, you can’t help but look at the prospects it took to acquire Kelly and wonder how much that offer could have been tweaked for Griffin Jax or Jhoan Duran.

Teams just hanging on

Teams on the “miracles do happen” tier

Win average: 82.3 (Last: 82.5, 15th)
In the playoffs: 12.3% (Last: 19.4%)
Champions: 0.4% (Last: 0.4%)

Hope for a run: Powerhouse rotation

This was going to be the case even without the addition of Zack Littell during what was an odd deadline for the Reds, who reinforced areas of strength without addressing areas of greatest need. But with Hunter Greene nearing his return, if he, Andrew Abbott and Nick Lodolo all finish strong, the Reds will be a force down the stretch.


Win average: 81.8 (Last: 84.4, 14th)
In the playoffs: 9.4% (Last: 35.5%)
Champions: 0.2% (Last: 1.2%)

Hope for a run: Exploding stars

The Giants’ subtraction at the deadline wasn’t quite a white flag, but it was a recognition that the once-promising season had petered out. Still, with the Giants off the radar, you can see that each unit features at least one All-Star-level player: Rafael Devers, Matt Chapman, Willy Adames, Logan Webb, Robbie Ray and dynamic new closer Randy Rodriguez. The roster is thinner, but maybe the Giants have another run in them.


Win average: 80.9 (Last: 76.2, 23rd)
In the playoffs: 12.5% (Last: 5.9%)
Champions: 0.1% (Last: 0.1%)

Hope for a run: Belief

Some of the many teams in baseball’s wide midsection looked at their mediocrity as an excuse to punt. The Royals looked at it as an opportunity to have some fun. Kansas City was 39-46 at the end of June. Now, the Royals, in Boston facing one of the teams they are chasing in the wild-card race, are one of the AL’s hottest teams. Injuries and underperformance have hampered Kansas City for most of the season, but the front office believed in the group enough to address the holes in a meaningful way. It’s not fancy. It’s just trying.


Win average: 80.3 (Last: 88.2, 8th)
In the playoffs: 10.2% (Last: 82.4%)
Champions: 0.4% (Last: 4.5%)

Hope for a run: It can’t get worse?

The Rays are really hard to pin down. They exit the deadline as baseball’s coldest team. They aren’t out of the race in terms of record or games behind, but more because of trajectory. That downward trend was neither helped nor harmed by a deadline strategy that was an odd mix of adding and subtracting. Even the addition of the dynamic Jax is a mixed bag, given it took Taj Bradley to get him.


Win average: 79.4 (Last: 85.5, 13th)
In the playoffs: 2.6% (Last: 43.2%)
Champions: 0.1% (Last: 1.0%)

Hope for a run: There’s always another next year

The Cardinals’ slide, combined with their deadline-related offloading, has them on more of a path to challenge the Pirates for last than the Reds for third. And wasn’t that the design all along? It’s too bad St. Louis played well early this season, or it might have gone into full reset mode earlier, though all of those no-trade clauses would have made it difficult. This is a proud franchise, but this season has been a head-scratcher. If, from the end of last season, the aim of the organization was to maximize its chances of winning in 2025, the Cardinals could have mounted a sustained run. And it’s hard to see what would have been lost in the effort.


Win average: 79.3 (Last: 77.3, 21st)
In the playoffs: 6.5% (Last: 8.5%)
Champions: 0.1% (Last: 0.1%)

Hope for a run: Jose Ramirez

The Guardians underwent a soft unload at the deadline, trading franchise stalwart Shane Bieber to Toronto. Same old, same old for this franchise. The good part of that stick-to-the-plan organizational cornerstone is that it also encompasses keeping the great Ramirez, who shows zero signs of decline in his 13th season. He might be even better than ever, and if Ramirez were to finish on a massive heater and lead the Guardians into the playoffs on a miracle run, Aaron Judge’s injury problems and Cal Raleigh’s possible regression open the door for Ramirez to win his first MVP.

Teams looking ahead to 2026 and beyond

Playing out the string and hoping for better luck next time

Win average: 78.1 (Last: 69.7, 26th)
In the playoffs: 1.6% (Last: 0.1%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Dig that pitching

The Marlins are really fun to watch, and have been for some time. After a weekend spent throttling the Yankees, it seems like others are taking notice. A true playoff push would involve a really unlikely acceleration of this surge, mostly because none of the current six playoff teams in the NL seems likely to collapse. That doesn’t mean the stifling Marlins rotation can’t hit the hot stove season with momentum, and focus the front office’s offseason plan on adding offense. Also note: The playoff-bound Tigers were in this tier in last season’s edition of this Stock Watch. You never know.


Win average: 77.3 (Last: 82.4, 16th)
In the playoffs: 0.9% (Last: 20.9%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.5%)

Remaining objective: See what’s what with Jordan Lawlar

It has been a disappointing season for Arizona. After lofty preseason expectations, injuries poked a hole in the Diamondbacks’ contention bubble, and an aggressive offloading deadline sucked out the rest of the air. Not that GM Mike Hazen did the wrong thing; it’s just a very different place than we thought Arizona was headed. The departure of Suarez is tough, but at least Arizona can take an extended look at Lawlar at the hot corner — if he can get healthy, which isn’t a given. It has been that kind of season.


Win average: 76.1 (Last: 79.7, 20th)
In the playoffs: 1.3% (Last: 18.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.3%)

Remaining objective: Learn everybody’s name

Some saw the Twins’ “everything must go” deadline approach as malpractice, probably more driven by money than winning. Others saw it as smart and a rapid accumulation of young prospect talent. The two conclusions aren’t mutually exclusive. It depends on how quickly the Twins can reconstruct their bullpen and how many of the newbies pan out.


Win average: 76.0 (Last: 76.3, 22nd)
In the playoffs: 1.1% (Last: 6.2%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: To keep trying

The Angels’ deadline behavior suggests they see themselves in the tier above this. The numbers don’t agree that that is likely, but, what is lost by the attempt? The Angels have exceeded tepid expectations for the most part. You wonder, given the need for an unusual leap from here, what sector of the Angels’ roster might be situated to fuel such a rise.


Win average: 72.4 (Last: 80.0, 18th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 11.2%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.4%)

Remaining objective: Get to the offseason

Atlanta’s season has been an exercise in waiting for a Braves surge that never happened. Underperformance put Atlanta in a hole and a worsening injury picture sealed its fate. Some hard questions will need to be answered in the offseason. You can blame injuries, but this season, after last season, constitutes an ugly trend.


Win average: 72.3 (Last: 71.1, 25th)
In the playoffs: 0.1% (Last: 0.7%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Play the kids

The names you want to see as much as possible from here: Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson, Jackson Holliday, Jordan Westburg, Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser, Heston Kjerstad, Samuel Basallo … just turn them loose and see what it looks like. That’s what this deadline was all about, wasn’t it?


Win average: 69.9 (Last: 71.8, 24th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.3%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Help Paul Skenes to a Cy Young

Give Pirates fans something to hang their horizontal-striped hats on. Give Skenes some support, allow him to finish strong and see if he can beat the NL’s other leading hopefuls despite a lack of high-stakes action. The Pirates haven’t had a Cy Young Award-winner since Doug Drabek … in 1990.


Win average: 69.5 (Last: 65.9, 28th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Finish strong

Sure, this sounds like a generic, lame goal for the rest of the season. But the Athletics have been solid and fun to watch for long stretches of the season. A few weeks of historically awful pitching killed hopes of real competitiveness, but the A’s have responded nicely in the weeks since that slump. The deadline pickup of Leo De Vries only sharpens the anticipation of what’s to come. Keep the good tidings coming headed into the offseason.


Win average: 64.5 (Last: 68.3, 27th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Develop some kind of foothold

The Nationals have me confounded. They have some clear reasons to be excited, led by James Wood. But they’ve been trying to piece together a rebuild for a long time and show no signs of coming out of it. Rather than showing positive strides like the team after them in this Stock Watch, the Nationals have trended ice cold on both sides of the ball as we’ve gotten deeper into the season. They fired their brain trust, which might have been necessary, but it only intensified the problem of figuring out what this team is or where it’s headed.


Win average: 62.1 (Last: 56.2, 29th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

Remaining objective: Keep it going

The White Sox might lose 100 games again, but they might not. Seems like damning with faint praise, but given where Chicago was earlier this season, much less a year ago, it seems like a minor miracle. The exciting part is that the younger the White Sox lineup has gotten, the better it has played. Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel and Chase Meidroth have played key roles, and the White Sox are getting good results from other teams’ castoffs. The newest project is deadline pickup Curtis Mead, who generated so much excitement for the Rays in spring training.

The Colorado Rockies

The horror!

Win average: 44.3 (Last: 41.8, 30th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

When will it end? Could be sooner than you think

First, it’s not a given that a team gets its own class in this Stock Watch edition. You’ve really got to set yourself apart. The White Sox did it last season, and the Rockies are doing it now. Colorado has picked up the pace, especially on offense, so it is no longer a certainty that the Rockies will dip below Chicago’s record-setting 2024 thud. And the one-year vibe shift in Chicago would be a source of encouragement as well. At the same time … the White Sox had a plan.

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12 colleges stacked with NFL draft talent: Why scouts are watching Penn State, Clemson this season

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12 colleges stacked with NFL draft talent: Why scouts are watching Penn State, Clemson this season

The 2025 college football season is fast approaching. Over the next few months, NFL scouts and front office execs will hit the road to watch prospects, talk to coaches and begin building their boards for next year’s draft. But which schools will they visit most? And who are the players to keep a close eye on?

I spoke to scouts and talent evaluators to come up with a cheat sheet of college programs for fans to watch in preparation for the 2026 NFL draft. A lot will happen between now and the end of the season, of course, but think of this as an early primer on which schools NFL franchises will be keeping tabs on this fall, along with. I settled on 12 schools and separated them into three tiers, considering the overall number of draft prospects and how many of those will be first-rounders. I also picked an under-the-radar program to watch.

Let’s start with a loaded Big Ten team looking to keep the national championship in conference.

Jump to a section:
Tier 1 | Tier 2 | Tier 3
Under the radar

Tier 1

Top prospect to know: Drew Allar, QB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Trebor Pena, WR
Game circled on the schedule: at Ohio State, Nov. 1

The Nittany Lions are loaded, and all eyes will be on Allar as he enters a crucial senior season. He contemplated entering the NFL draft last season before announcing his decision to return prior to the College Football Playoff. At 6-foot-5, 235 pounds, he has tools scouts covet and showed improvement in his accuracy, with his completion rate improving from 59.9% in 2023 to 66.5% last season. He finished with 3,327 passing yards, 24 touchdowns and eight interceptions in his first season in offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki’s scheme.

But despite the completion percentage jump, opinions on Allar remain mixed, as many evaluators are taking a wait-and-see approach.

“I think he has what it takes, but he has to be more consistent in big games,” an NFC director of scouting said. “That’s really the only thing keeping me from being all-in on him.”

Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen make up college football’s best backfield duo after both surprisingly returned for their senior season. Singleton is more highly regarded, as he received Day 2 grades from the scouts to whom I talked. The 5-foot-11, 217-pound Allen is a bruiser who can gain tough yards and was labeled an early Day 3 option. Penn State’s overhauled wide receiver room includes transfers Pena (Syracuse), Kyron Hudson (USC) and Devonte Ross (Troy). Each of them have Day 3 grades entering the season.

Penn State also has three offensive linemen on the NFL’s radar. Offensive tackle Drew Shelton is the most highly regarded; he has second-round grades. Right tackle Nolan Rucci was repeatedly mentioned by scouts after an impressive run during the end of last season. Interior blockers Olaivavega Ioane and Nick Dawkins have received a mixture of Day 2 and Day 3 grades.

AJ Harris is the top-ranked corner on my board and could become the first Penn State cornerback to ever be selected in Round 1. Safety Zakee Wheatley is viewed as a midround option by scouts.

Even with the loss of Abdul Carter, Penn State has plenty of early-round defensive line talent. Edge rusher Dani Dennis-Sutton finished fast, with two sacks, a forced fumble and an interception in the Orange Bowl loss to Notre Dame. He has a Round 2 projection, as scouts want him to expand his pass-rush regimen.

Zane Durant is an undersized but powerful defensive tackle at 6-foot-1, 290 pounds. Some scouts indicated a willingness to bypass his size concerns because of his disruptive abilities and would select him in the top 75. Linebacker Amare Campbell, a North Carolina transfer, has received early Day 3 grades, as has reliable weakside linebacker Tony Rojas.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 3
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 13


Top prospect to know: Peter Woods, DT
Sleeper prospect to watch: Will Heldt, Edge
Game circled on the schedule: vs. LSU, Aug. 30

For the first time since 2009, Clemson didn’t have a player drafted in the first two days of the draft. That will not be the case in 2026, as the Tigers have one of the best rosters in the country. Woods is the top-ranked prospect on my early board. At 6-foot-3, 315 pounds, he’s an anchor in the middle who has the versatility to play every position up front. He’s expected to spend more time inside in new defensive coordinator Tom Allen’s defense after playing primarily off the edge last season.

T.J. Parker is one of the top defensive ends in the country. He finished with 11 sacks last season, and his 16.5 tackles for loss were second most among all FBS defenders. Heldt is a rare transfer addition for Clemson, as he came from Purdue and is expected to play a major role opposite Parker. Nose tackle DeMonte Capehart has also received midround grades from NFL evaluators after an injury-riddled junior season.

Quarterback Cade Klubnik enters his third season as a starter with heightened expectations after a breakout junior year. He finished with 3,639 passing yards, 36 touchdowns and only six interceptions, and scouts want to see if he can continue that upward trend. Klubnik is my top-ranked signal-caller and was the No. 1 overall pick in my way-too-early 2026 mock.

Avieon Terrell is a feisty, aggressive, tone-setting cornerback who has gotten a mixture of late first-round and early Day 2 grades. Senior linebacker Wade Woodaz and safety Khalil Barnes are viewed as late-round prospects.

Wide receiver Antonio Williams is a fast-paced, quick receiver who finished last season with 904 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. He is getting top-50 grades but could be in contention to be WR1 in this class. Southeast Missouri State transfer Tristan Smith is receiving Day 3 grades.

Clemson has four returning offensive line starters on scouts’ radar. Tackle Blake Miller is considered a Day 2 pick, while Tristan Leigh is viewed more as a Day 3 selection. Interior blockers Ryan Linthicum and Walker Parks are hoping to get into the late-round picture.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 4
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 12


Top prospect to know: Isaiah World, OT
Sleeper prospect to watch: Bryce Boettcher, LB
Game circled on the schedule: at Penn State, Sept. 27

The Ducks were again active in the transfer portal, and World was one of their top additions. The 6-foot-8, 318-pound tackle spent three seasons at Nevada.

“We literally just saw a tackle go from the Mountain West to the Big Ten and be drafted in the first round [Josh Simmons], and I believe this dude has even more upside,” an NFC area scout said about World.

World allowed five pressures and didn’t surrender a sack last season. He still needs to play with more control, as he had eight penalties (five for holding, three for unsportsmanlike conduct). Interior blockers Iapani Laloulu, Emmanuel Pregnon (USC transfer) and Alex Harkey (Texas State transfer) have received Day 3 grades.

Makhi Hughes and Noah Whittington are expected to be the Ducks’ 1-2 backfield punch. Another noteworthy transfer, Hughes rushed for 1,401 yards and 15 touchdowns at Tulane last season. He has gotten primarily midround grades from scouts to who I talked, while Whittington is a late-round hopeful.

Kenyon Sadiq is my top-ranked tight end and will take over the primary role from the departed Terrance Ferguson. Sadiq caught 24 passes for 308 yards and two scores as a backup in 2024, and he has the traits and upside to hear his name called in the first round.

Defensive end Matayo Uiagalelei is Oregon’s highest-rated defensive lineman after finishing with 10.5 sacks last season. He has received Day 2 grades. Defensive tackle A’Mauri Washington has also received middle-to-late-round grades.

Safety Dillon Thieneman, a Purdue transfer, was Oregon’s biggest defensive addition. He had six interceptions as a freshman in 2023 and could be the team’s highest-drafted defensive player. He has a top-75 grade. Boettcher is an underrated player to watch at linebacker and has a chance to move up from his current Day 3 grade.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 4
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 12


Top prospect to know: Anthony Hill Jr., LB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Trevor Goosby, OT
Game circled on the schedule: at Ohio State, Aug. 30

The Longhorns had 12 players drafted in April and are again stocked with talent. All eyes will be on quarterback Arch Manning as he takes the reins of the offense. Even though he has thrown only 95 career passes, there’s plenty of excitement from the small flashes that he has shown. At 6-foot-4, 222 pounds, he has prototypical size and easy arm strength, combined with picture-perfect mechanics. He is draft-eligible, but his sample size is way too small and, based on what his grandfather Archie Manning told Texas Monthly, there’s a good chance he won’t be in the 2026 draft.

Hill will likely to be in the next draft, as he is a versatile linebacker who can make high-impact plays on the second level and off of the edge, finishing last season with 113 tackles and eight sacks. He is already receiving first-round praise, but scouts want to see more consistency with his tackling and vision in run defense.

Quintrevion Wisner and CJ Baxter are a formidable backfield duo that could compete with Penn State’s as the FBS’ best. Wisner is a smooth runner that fits well in the team’s zone-based scheme. He has gotten midround grades. Baxter returns after suffering a significant knee injury that kept him out last season.

Wide receiver DeAndre Moore Jr. is a versatile target who must show more consistency as a catcher. Tight end Jack Endries, a Cal transfer, steps into a starting role and could expand on his 56 catches for 623 yards and two touchdowns last season. Both have Day 3 grades.

play

1:08

Roman Harper on Texas’ Manning: ‘It just looks and feels right’

SEC Network’s Harper breaks down why Arch Manning will be a perfect fit for the Longhorns with his poise and experience in Steve Sarkisian’s offense.

Guard DJ Campbell is the only returning offensive line starter. The 6-foot-3, 321-pounder plays with a powerful base and is projected to be a midround pick. Goosby takes over at left tackle after starting two games last season. Even though he’s only a redshirt sophomore, the 6-foot-7, 312-pounder has good tools but needs to gain strength and fill out his frame.

Edge rusher Trey Moore enters his second season with the program after transferring from UTSA following a 14-sack season in 2023. Fellow edge Ethan Burke has mostly gotten Day 3 grades.

Cornerback Malik Muhammad steps into the CB1 spot and will anchor a strong secondary after receiving Day 2 grades. Safety Michael Taaffe is a hard hitter who could be a midround pick, while nickel corner Jaylon Guilbeau needs to take a step as a senior to emerge on draft radars.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 2
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 12

Tier 2

Top prospect to know: Kadyn Proctor, OT
Sleeper prospect to watch: Germie Bernard, WR
Game circled on the schedule: at Georgia, Sept. 27

The Crimson Tide had two first-round picks last season, including an offensive lineman (Tyler Booker). That could happen again in 2026, as Proctor is the highest-ranked prospect on the roster. A starter since stepping foot on campus in 2023, he’s an imposing presence at 6-foot-6, 370 pounds. He is a physical run blocker who generates plenty of movement but needs to show more consistency as a pass protector.

“There are moments where I’m a big believer, and then he’ll have a few quarters that leave me scratching my head — like the fourth quarter against Oklahoma and against Michigan in the bowl game last year,” an AFC assistant general manager said.

Senior guard Jaeden Roberts has received midround grades from scouts I’ve talked to due to his power at the point of attack. Center Parker Brailsford is an agile technician but undersized at 6-foot-2, 290 pounds.

Bernard followed coach Kalen DeBoer from Washington is aiming to take a bigger step in his second year at Alabama (50 catches, 794 receiving yards and two touchdowns last season). Jam Miller is a determined runner who enters his second season as the Tide’s RB1. He’s a likely Day 3 pick.

Defensively, LT Overton is a throwback, reliable edge rusher who fits into any defense at 6-foot-5, 283 pounds. There are scouts who believed he could have been an early Day 2 pick had he entered the 2025 draft. Defensive tackle Tim Keenan III is 6-foot-2, 325 pounds and one of the best run-stopping interior defenders in the country, but scouts want to see more from him as a pass rusher. James Smith could also break out in his first year as a starter.

Linebacker Deontae Lawson returns after suffering an ACL tear against Oklahoma in late November, cutting short a season in which he had 76 tackles and an interception. He’s an active and instinctive second-level defender who was trending toward being a top-50 pick.

Alabama has one of the deepest secondaries in the country, with three players on draft radars. Cornerback Domani Jackson (USC) and safety Keon Sabb (Michigan) are in their second year with the Tide after transferring in, with Jackson regarded as a potential early Day 2 pick, and Sabb being a potential riser if he fully recovers from a broken foot that limited him to seven games last season. Fellow safety Bray Hubbard led Alabama with three interceptions in 2024.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 2
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 11


Top prospect to know: CJ Allen, LB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Raylen Wilson, LB
Game circled on the schedule: vs. Alabama, Sept. 27

Georgia’s defense has had many dynamic linebackers in previous seasons, and Allen in next in line. At 6-foot-1, 235 pounds, he’s an active and urgent defender who finished with 76 tackles and an interception during his sophomore campaign. Wilson and Allen are arguably the best pair of linebackers in the country.

Defensive tackle Christen Miller‘s name repeatedly came up from scouts when discussing potential breakout candidates. Some evaluators believe he could be selected as high as the middle of Round 1 if he can expand on his 27 tackles and 1.5 sacks from 2024.

Cornerback Daylen Everette showed improvement in 2024 but is still regarded as an early Day 3 prospect due to inconsistency in man coverage. Daniel Harris enters his first year as a full-time starter opposite Everette but could be a riser thanks to his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame.

Right tackle Earnest Greene III — the lone returning offensive line starter — and left tackle Monroe Freeling are projected as Day 3 picks. Guard Micah Morris is an easy mover who also has power and projects as a late-rounder.

Wide receivers Dillon Bell and Zachariah Branch (a transfer from USC) are receiving a mixture of middle-to-late-round grades from scouts. Tight ends Oscar Delp and Lawson Luckie also have Day 3 grades.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 2
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 11


Top prospect to know: Jeremiyah Love, RB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Jaden Greathouse, WR
Game circled on the schedule: vs. Miami, Aug. 31

Fresh off a run to the national title game, the Irish have plenty of NFL talent. Love is the consensus RB1 among scouts and a chance to be the only first-round rusher in the 2026 draft. He has a special blend of vision, suddenness and versatility out of the backfield, which helped him to 1,125 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns last season.

“He’s a mixture of [James] Cook and [Jahmyr] Gibbs,” an AFC assistant GM said. “I think he’s a game-changer and some team will take him in the top 20 [picks] because he makes a lot of things right in your offense.”

Backfield mate Jadarian Price brings power and toughness, as he added 746 rushing yards and seven TDs in 2024. He’s viewed as a player who could rise from a late-round projection. Wide receivers Malachi Fields (Virginia transfer) and Greathouse are projected midround picks, which they could improve as Notre Dame’s top two pass-catching options.

Tackle Aamil Wagner and guard Billy Schrauth return for an offensive line that’s again expected to be among the best in the country. Wagner has primarily received midround grades.

Edge rusher Jordan Botelho is a high-energy and effective rusher. Cornerback Christian Gray and linebacker Drayk Bowen are other defensive players seen as Day 3 prospects.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 1
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 11


Top prospect to know: Caleb Downs, S
Sleeper prospect to watch: Kenyatta Jackson Jr., Edge
Game circled on the schedule: vs. Penn State, Nov. 1

The Buckeyes had 14 players drafted in 2025 after winning the national title, but the best defensive player on that team remains in Columbus. Downs is the top defensive back prospect in the country. At 5-foot-11, 205 pounds, he’s a versatile player who can play multiple secondary spots. His 28.6% completion percentage allowed in coverage was fifth best among defensive backs in the FBS last season. He also added 81 tackles and two interceptions.

“There’s not a lot that he can’t do honestly,” said a highly ranked AFC scouting executive. “I don’t love him as much as I did with [Kyle] Hamilton [in 2022], but I think he could be picked in a similar range when it’s all said and done.”

Linebacker Sonny Styles has gotten high praise as a potential top-50 pick. He’s a 6-foot-4, 237-pound hybrid defender who can be deployed in multiple ways. Fellow LB Arvell Reese is receiving Day 3 grades.

Jackson enters his first year as a starter and there’s plenty of excitement surrounding the 6-foot-6, 265-pounder. North Carolina transfer Beau Atkinson arrives in Columbus after a 7.5-sack season. Both received Day 3 grades from scouts.

Cornerback Davison Igbinosun returns after an inconsistent 2024 that saw him flagged 16 times while in coverage. At 6-foot-2, 193 pounds, he’s a physical press-man corner and must learn to contain his overreliance on his hands, which has resulted in him getting late Day 2 and early Day 3 grades. Cornerback Jermaine Mathews Jr. could rise in his first season as a starter.

It’s not an Ohio State class without a top pass catcher, and Carnell Tate is a sure-handed, all-around receiver projected to be a Day 2 pick. Tight end Max Klare transferred from Purdue after finishing with 51 receptions for 685 yards and four touchdowns in 2024.

Rice transfer Ethan Onianwa takes over at left tackle, where he’s receiving early Day 3 buzz. At 6-foot-6, 333 pounds, there will likely be an adjustment period for him, but his stock could rise as the season progresses.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 1
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 10

Tier 3

Top prospect to know: Garrett Nussmeier, QB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Barion Brown, WR
Game circled on the schedule: at Clemson, Aug. 30

The Tigers are led by Nussmeier, who returns for a highly anticipated senior season. He finished with 4,052 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in his first year as a starter; he’s my No. 3 QB for next year’s draft. Nussmeier plays with fearless anticipation and steady confidence despite his below-average size (6-foot-1, 205 pounds). He has gotten a mixture of late Round 1 and early Day 2 grades from scouts to whom I’ve talked.

“He reminds me a little of [Brock] Purdy, but with even more confidence,” said an AFC scout from a QB-needy team. “I think [the Tigers] just weren’t as good as they have been at receiver, and he pressed into some bad decisions way too much last year.”

LSU remodeled its receiver room, with in-conference transfers Brown (Kentucky) and Nic Anderson (Oklahoma) projected to be Day 3 picks. Aaron Anderson and Chris Hilton Jr. return as starters and provide more explosive-play capabilities. Tight end Bauer Sharp, another Oklahoma transfer, is also worth watching.

The Tigers added multiple transfers on the defensive line with edges Patrick Payton (Florida State) and Jack Pyburn (Florida). Scouts that I talked to give Payton a mixture of Day 2 and Day 3 grades after a disappointing 2024 season. Pyburn is receiving early third-day considerations.

Linebacker Whit Weeks is impossible to ignore on tape; he had 120 tackles and two forced fumbles last season. The 6-foot-2, 225-pounder is physical and has infectious energy, part of why he’s getting midround grades.

Harold Perkins Jr. returns after suffering a torn ACL early last season. But where does the 6-foot-1, 222-pounder play? That’s the big question, as he has split time between off-ball linebacker and the edge. He’s considered a Day 2 guy by scouts even with the injury.

Virginia Tech transfer corner Mansoor Delane has received strong Day 2 grades, while Ashton Stamps is in the Day 3 picture after showing flashes in 2024. Safety A.J. Haulcy, a Houston transfer, could emerge after finishing with five interceptions in 2024.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 1
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 11


Top prospect to know: Jordyn Tyson, WR
Sleeper prospect to watch: Max Iheanachor, OT
Game circled on the schedule: at Utah, Oct. 11

The Sun Devils again have a well-constructed roster full of draft prospects after their surprising Big 12 title in 2024. Tyson is their highest-rated prospect, as the 6-foot-2, 200 pound receiver is viewed as a potential first-round pick. He broke out as a redshirt sophomore, finishing with 75 catches for 1,101 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. Tyson is a diverse route runner that plays with physicality throughout his patterns.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt improved weekly, passing for 2,885 yards and 24 touchdowns to only six interceptions. With only 13 career starts entering the season, Leavitt’s sample size is still small, but multiple scouts believe he could be the candidate who catapults up draft boards.

Running back Kanye Udoh transferred from Army, where he finished with 1,117 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns last season. At 6-foot-1, 220 pounds, Udoh is a bigger rusher who will attempt to fill the void left by Cam Skattebo.

Iheanachor is a toolsy blocker who received high grades from multiple scouts because of his upside. Some NFL personnel believe he could be picked as early as Round 2. Guards Kyle Scott and Ben Coleman and tackle Josh Atkins are projected to be drafted on Day 3.

Three starting defensive linemen are on NFL radars, with defensive tackle C.J. Fite and edge rushers Clayton Smith and Prince Dorbah receiving late-round grades. Linebackers Keyshaun Elliott and Jordan Crook also have Day 3 grades.

Cornerback Keith Abney II has caught the eye of evaluators because of his consistency in man coverage and is seen as a potential Day 2 pick. Safeties Xavion Alford and Myles Rowser are viewed as late Day 3 selections.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 1
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 10


Top prospect to know: David Bailey, Edge/LB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Brice Pollock, CB
Game circled on the schedule: at Arizona State, Oct. 18

Bailey is the top-rated prospect on a replenished Tech roster. A late addition from Stanford, he finished last season with seven sacks and three forced fumbles. His 2.64-second average time to first pressure ranked 23rd in the FBS; he’s projected to be a Day 2 pick. Fellow edge Romello Height and interior defenders Lee Hunter and Skyler Gill-Howard have gotten early Day 3 grades from scouts.

Linebacker Jacob Rodriguez, who began his career as a quarterback at Virginia in 2021, is considered a late-rounder with the potential to boost his stock as the centerpiece of the Red Raiders’ defense.

Safety Cole Wisniewski returns after missing the entire 2024 season due to a foot injury. He was one of the top players in the FCS during his time at North Dakota State. The 6-foot-3, 220-pounder has Day 3 grades. Pollock, a Mississippi State transfer, kept popping up when talking to NFL evaluators. He is firmly on the NFL’s radar with Day 3 grades but has the potential to climb higher. A.J. McCarty and Dontae Balfour are two more defensive backs regarded as late-round hopefuls.

Quarterback Behren Morton enters his third season as a starter after throwing for 3,335 yards, 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 2024. Morton has primarily received early Day 3 consideration. USC transfer running back Quinten Joyner is also a prospect who could make his presence felt.

Wide receivers Reggie Virgil, Caleb Douglas and Coy Eakin are seen as potential third-day selections. Tight ends Johncarlos Miller II and Terrance Carter Jr. (Louisiana transfer) have gotten similar grades.

Tackles Hunter Zambrano and Howard Sampson and guards Will Jados and Davion Carter are regarded as Day 3 selections.

Predicted first-rounders in 2026: 1
Predicted total draft picks in 2026: 9

Under-the-radar school

Top prospect to know: Fernando Mendoza, QB
Sleeper prospect to watch: Hosea Wheeler, DT
Game circled on the schedule: at Oregon, Oct. 11

The Hoosiers were one of the biggest surprises of the 2024 season in making the College Football Playoff, and their roster still has plenty of talent. Mendoza follows Kurtis Rourke as a transfer passer who hopes to boost his draft stock in Curt Cignetti’s offense. Mendoza finished the season at Cal with 3,004 passing yards and 16 touchdowns to six interceptions. He has gotten high praise from scouts that I have talked to — some believe he could go in Round 1.

“I was pleasantly surprised with how well he played last year despite the lack of surroundings around him,” an NFC area scout said. “He has the size and accuracy, but it’s his constant toughness in the pocket that impressed me the most.”

play

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Fernando Mendoza’s top plays from this past season

Check out some highlights from former Cal quarterback Fernando Mendoza as he announces his commitment to Indiana.

Indiana hasn’t had a wideout drafted since Cody Latimer in 2014 but have three receivers on NFL radars. Elijah Sarratt has gotten late Day 2 grades while E.J. Williams Jr. and Omar Cooper Jr. are viewed more in the Day 3 range. Notre Dame transfer center Pat Coogan received Day 3 grades, as did guard Bray Lynch. Running back Roman Hemby is also another player who could rise.

While Indiana had only one defensive player drafted in 2025 (DT CJ West), it could have several called in 2026. D’Angelo Ponds is an undersized corner at 5-foot-9, 170 pounds, but his ball skills and physical nature have led to Day 2 grades as a nickel. Safeties Amare Ferrell and Louis Moore are Day 3 prospects entering the season.

Edge rusher Mikail Kamara received midround grades and is Indiana’s highest-rated defensive line prospect. Wheeler, a Western Kentucky transfer, could experience a breakout season in his first season in the Big Ten while Texas State transfer nose tackle Dominique Ratcliff has a similar opportunity. Linebacker Aiden Fisher was viewed as a Day 3 possibility.

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No. 5 recruit in ’27 class commits to Texas Tech

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No. 5 recruit in '27 class commits to Texas Tech

Texas Tech‘s offseason talent-gathering spree continued on the high school recruiting trail Thursday with a commitment from five-star outside linebacker LaDamion Guyton, ESPN’s No. 5 overall prospect in the 2027 class.

Guyton, a 6-foot-3, 220-pound recruit from Savannah, Georgia, is the No. 2 defender in the ESPN Junior 300. He picked the Red Raiders over Alabama, Florida State, Georgia, South Carolina and Tennessee.

“They do a very good job of making you feel like you’re one of their players already when you’re in the building,” Guyton said of Texas Tech to ESPN. “It’s a feeling that draws you in. They have things going in the right direction, and it’s exciting knowing I’m going to be part of that someday.”

Guyton cannot formally sign with a college program for another 16 months, but his commitment marks the latest domino in an abundant run for coach Joey McGuire and Red Raiders general manager James Blanchard.

The program invested heavily in the winter and spring transfer portal windows, ultimately securing 21 additions within ESPN’s top-ranked transfer class ahead of the 2025 season. The lengthy list of newcomers this fall is headlined by defensive linemen David Bailey (Stanford), Romello Height (Georgia Tech) and Lee Hunter (UCF) and FCS All-America safety Cole Wisniewski (North Dakota State). Former five-star signee Micah Hudson rejoined the program this spring following a winter transfer to Texas A&M.

The Red Raiders have also been active on the high school recruiting trail this summer, adding nine commitments in the 2026 class since June 1. The most significant was the pledge of five-star offensive tackle Felix Ojo (No. 20 overall) on the back of a seismic, seven-figure revenue share contract.

In Guyton, the Red Raiders now hold one of the most coveted commitments in the 2027 recruiting cycle.

Guyton has been credited with 134 total tackles and 16.5 sacks over two varsity seasons at Savannah Christian Preparatory School. He transferred to nearby Benedictine Military School in January, and Guyton told ESPN that he has not ruled out the possibility of reclassifying into the 2026 class and joining Texas Tech next year.

While the Red Raiders hold only two ESPN 300 pledges in the 2026 cycle, sources told ESPN that Texas Tech is expected to invest heavily in the 2027 class, with four-star offensive tackle Cooper Hackett (No. 19 in the ESPN Junior 300) and No. 2 quarterback Kavian Bryant (No. 48 overall) among the priority targets.

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2025 Big Ten football preview: Power rankings, top players, key games

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2025 Big Ten football preview: Power rankings, top players, key games

Will Ohio State claim the Big Ten title in 2025, or will Penn State finally break through in 2025?

The college football season is less than a month away, and it looks like these two perennial Big Ten powers will have the best shot to not just win the conference, but the College Football Playoff, too. But it won’t be without stiff competition from Oregon, which won the league last season.

In addition to the Big Ten’s playoff race, eyes will be on UCLA and Nico Iamaleava following his exit from Tennessee.

We get you caught up on the Big Ten by breaking down the conference’s CFP outlook, power rankings, must-see games, top freshmen, key transfers and numbers to know.

Jump to:
CFP outlook | Must-see games
Freshmen | Transfers
Numbers to know
Power rankings

CFP outlook

Should be in: Penn State, Ohio State, Oregon. Defending national champion Ohio State always will be penciled into the CFP field, even after losing 14 NFL draft picks, tied for the most in team history. The Buckeyes have wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, considered the nation’s best overall player, as well as safety Caleb Downs, arguably the No. 1 defender. But it’s Penn State, not Ohio State, that enters the fall as possibly the Big Ten’s strongest national contender. The Nittany Lions replace less than the other three teams that reached last year’s CFP semifinals, as they return quarterback Drew Allar, running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, and several standout defenders. Oregon is amazingly being overlooked a bit after winning the Big Ten in its debut season and becoming the only FBS team to finish the regular season at 13-0. The Ducks lost 10 NFL draft picks but will return a talented defensive front seven and add several top transfers and recruits.

In the running: Illinois, Michigan, Indiana. Illinois returns the core players from its first 10-win team since 2001, and it could become this year’s version of Indiana, especially with more explosiveness on offense and stout line play. If the Illini can navigate September road tests against Duke and, yes, Indiana, look out for Bret Bielema’s squad. Michigan hopes to rejoin the CFP mix after its strong finish to last season, leaning on a talented defensive front and possibly incoming freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood, the nation’s No. 1 recruit. Indiana largely will be counted out, but not here, as the team retained several All-Big Ten players from the historic CFP team, and added quarterback Fernando Mendoza and several notable offensive linemen from the portal. Iowa occasionally found itself in the four-team CFP mix and could take a leap if transfer quarterback Mark Gronowski elevates the offense.

Long shots: Nebraska, USC, Minnesota, Washington. Nebraska has had a tough time merely making bowl appearances in the Big Ten, but could be primed for a jump in wins, as quarterback Dylan Raiola returns to lead the squad. The Huskers are also helped by a favorable schedule that doesn’t include Ohio State or Oregon, and has no true road game until Oct. 11. USC is still seeking its first CFP appearance under Lincoln Riley and could enter the mix if it plays better away from home, where it dropped four games by seven points or fewer. Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck is also seeking better results in one-score games and told ESPN that the CFP “isn’t a pipe dream.” Washington is only two years removed from a national title game appearance and brings back a team with upside, particularly dynamic young quarterback Demond Williams Jr. — Adam Rittenberg and Jake Trotter


Must-see games

From Bill Connelly’s Big Ten conference preview

Here are the 10 games — eight in conference play, plus two huge nonconference games — that feature (A) the highest combined SP+ ratings for both teams and (B) a projected scoring margin under 10 points. That second part is key, as neither Penn State (two) nor Ohio State (three) have many projected close games on the docket.

Texas at Ohio State (Aug. 30) and Michigan at Oklahoma (Sept. 6). The biggest games of Weeks 1 and 2 are Big Ten vs. SEC affairs, though they take on different flavors. Texas-Ohio State is a rematch of last year’s delightful CFP semifinal, in which Jack Sawyer’s late scoop-and-score ended a Longhorns comeback attempt. Both the Longhorns and Buckeyes will almost certainly start out in the AP top 5. Meanwhile, Michigan and Oklahoma are looking for ways back into the top 10, and both will bring remodeled offenses to the table.

Illinois at Indiana (Sept. 20). If things play out as forecasted and we have two different races going on in the Big Ten — the big names vying for the conference title and the pool of 14 other teams fighting among each other for another playoff spot — then this is the biggest Illinois-Indiana game of all time. The loser will have to be just about perfect to get to 10-2 and a potential bid.

Oregon at Penn State (Sept. 27). The Week 5 slate is overloaded with big games, but this will almost certainly be the biggest. The Ducks and Nittany Lions will almost certainly be a combined 7-0 at this point, as neither team will have played a top-50 team.

USC at Illinois (Sept. 27) and Indiana at Iowa (Sept. 27). Like I said, there’s just way too much going on in Week 5. Goodness.

Michigan at USC (Oct. 11). By this point, Michigan will have already played at Oklahoma and Nebraska and could be 5-0 and in the top 10, or 3-2 and flailing. USC will have just visited Illinois and could be 5-0 or flailing as well. This game will be huge, for any of about 17 different reasons.

Penn State at Ohio State (Nov. 1). In terms of combined SP+ ratings, this is the single biggest game of the 2025 regular season.

Indiana at Penn State (Nov. 8). Whether PSU is coming off of a win or a loss in Columbus, the Nittany Lions will desperately need to move on and avoid a hangover.

Ohio State at Michigan (Nov. 29). Proof that even in a 12-team CFP era, a rivalry loss can send you into a spectacular, existential tailspin. (And proof that you might be able to steer out of it a little better now.)


Three freshmen to watch

Malik Washington, QB, Maryland

Washington already arrived on campus facing immense expectations after the four-star Maryland native opted to stay home and attend the school he grew up idolizing. His spring game showing — he went 12-of-18 for 170 yards and two touchdowns — did little to dispel any optimism he could become the face of a program resurrection in College Park. At 6-foot-5, 231 pounds, Washington is a true dual-threat with arm talent and mobility. His accuracy and ability to change arm angles should mesh well in an RPO scheme. Carving out a path to contention in the Big Ten won’t be easy, and he’ll need to beat out UCLA transfer Justyn Martin for the starting gig, but Washington has game-changing tools.

Bryce Underwood, QB, Michigan

No freshman in college football faces more scrutiny than Underwood, who arrived in Ann Arbor as the highest-ranked player in the class and signed a multi-million dollar NIL deal after a lengthy pursuit by his hometown Wolverines. Underwood’s spring was more solid than exceptional, and he went 12-of-26 for 187 yards in the spring game, which included an 88-yard touchdown, but also a pair of sacks and several overthrows. Michigan coach Sherrone Moore hasn’t named a starter and has been consistent that Underwood is battling with Jadyn Davis, Jake Garcia, and Mikey Keene for the role, but Michigan’s offense has its highest ceiling with Underwood at the helm. At 6-foot-4, 210 pounds, Underwood combines raw speed, clean footwork in the pocket and natural arm strength. The ball jumps out of his hand and he’s adept at keeping plays alive on the run to move the chains. It might require some patience — which isn’t easy in Ann Arbor — but Underwood has the ceiling of a dominant, Heisman Trophy-contending signal caller.

Dakorien Moore, WR, Oregon

Moore arrived in Eugene as the highest-graded high school receiver ESPN has evaluated since 2020, then dazzled Oregon teammates and coaches alike during the Ducks’ spring practices. Moore won the 2025 Under Armour All-America Game MVP and totaled more than 4,000 receiving yards at famed Duncanville High School in Texas. He’s also a decorated track star, and his blazing speed and savvy route-running ability should find a home in Oregon’s offense on Day 1. Moore’s offseason work has only helped solidify the high expectations. He could quickly become a reliable option for new starting QB Dante Moore, and his role in the offense only becomes more important with Evan Stewart set to miss at least a significant portion of the season with a knee injury. — Billy Tucker


Three top transfers

These selections are based on Max Olson’s ranking of the top 100 transfers from the 2024-25 transfer cycle.

Transferring from: Cal | Top 100 rank: 4

HT: 6-5 | WT: 225 | Class: Redshirt sophomore

Background: Mendoza was an incredible find for Cal, an under-the-radar three-star out of Miami who was committed to Yale until the Bears extended a late offer. He developed into one of the best young QBs in the country after taking over as Cal’s starter for their final eight games in 2023. As a sophomore, he was the ACC’s third-leading passer with 3,004 passing yards and raised his completion percentage to 69% (second in the ACC) while scoring 18 total touchdowns with just six interceptions over 11 games. He led all FBS quarterbacks with 41 sacks last season but overcame inconsistent protection to have a really productive year with strong performances against Miami and Auburn and a 98-yard game-winning drive to beat rival Stanford. Mendoza is viewed as one of the most promising QBs in the country by several personnel departments. — Olson

Scout’s take: Mendoza is one of the most undervalued players at the position in college football. He’s 6-5, a great athlete and is tough as nails. He was sacked a lot and kept getting back up. Mendoza can make all of the throws and is a sneaky, crafty athlete. — Luginbill

What he brings to Indiana: Indiana coach Curt Cignetti values production over potential when it comes to recruiting the transfer portal. He’s getting plenty of both with Mendoza as his successor to Kurtis Rourke. Mendoza is looking to take his game to another level in the Big Ten and help make the Hoosiers a contender again in Year 2 under Cignetti. — Olson


Transferring from: Tennessee | Top 100 rank: 5

HT: 6-6 | WT: 220 | Class: Redshirt freshman

Background: Well, this was a stunner. While there were rumors of discontent in late December at the winter portal deadline, it was still shocking that Iamaleava left a College Football Playoff team and hit the open market during the spring in search of a better deal than the one he had with the Vols. Tennessee invested a ton of money in Iamaleava and even successfully fought off an attempted NCAA investigation into the seven-figure agreement he struck with the Vols as a five-star high school recruit. He had an awful lot of hype to live up to as a redshirt freshman starter in 2024 and put together a solid year, throwing for 2,616 yards, completing 64% of his passes with 22 total touchdowns and nine turnovers while leading the Vols to 10 wins. Iamaleava closed out the season with a rough CFP performance, completing 14 of 31 passes for 104 yards in a 42-17 first-round loss to eventual national champ Ohio State, and still has plenty of room to grow. But it is exceptionally rare that a QB of his caliber becomes available in the spring. Iamaleava is looking to keep progressing and play up to his first-round potential. — Olson

Scout’s take: There is no debating that Iamaleava is one of the most physically talented quarterbacks in college football. He was highly coveted out of high school because of his stature, arm strength and athletic ability. During his one season as a starter, he showed flashes of brilliance but also mediocrity. He threw 19 touchdowns, but four of the nine touchdowns in SEC play came against Vanderbilt and seven came against Chattanooga and UTEP. Consistency is where he has to improve. He has the arm strength and overall talent to be a terrific vertical deep ball passer, but he has been wildly inconsistent in terms of accuracy in that regard. There are still tools here, but he will likely be playing on a team that is less talented than the one he just left. Meaning: He’s going to have to be better than he has ever been. — Luginbill

What he brings to UCLA: This ordeal might have played out perfectly for the Bruins. They’re getting a potential top-10 quarterback on a reduced contract who will generate a lot of attention for this program entering coach DeShaun Foster’s second year. Iamaleava’s arrival will cost them App State transfer QB Joey Aguilar, who reentered the portal after going through spring practice with the Bruins and landed at Tennessee. The challenge going forward for Iamaleava is learning OC Tino Sunseri’s system and winning over his new teammates this summer, but he’ll certainly be motivated after his split with the Vols. — Olson


Transferring from: Nevada | Top 100 rank: 7

HT: 6-8 | WT: 309 | Class: Redshirt junior

Background: The massive pass protector was a three-year starter for the Wolf Pack primarily at left tackle and brings invaluable experience with more than 2,300 career snaps. He did not surrender a sack during his junior season and picked up honorable mention All-Mountain West recognition. World is viewed as a potential first-round draft pick by NFL scouts entering his final season of eligibility and is making the move up to the Power 4 to prove he merits that praise. — Olson

Scout’s take: World is a huge presence with very good pass pro skills at left tackle. He has added 42 pounds since high school and retained his initial quickness and flexibility. World does a terrific job riding defenders past the pocket with his length and mobility. He plays balanced with good feet and shows his basketball background mirroring defenders in his set. He’s not as effective versus the run. World’s pad level can get high, but he’s still very productive at washing defenders down to open run lanes. — Tucker

What he brings to Oregon: Offensive tackle was one of the critical portal needs for the Ducks. Ajani Cornelius graduating and Josh Conerly Jr. potentially going pro made adding starter-caliber tackles a priority for Oregon, and it was able to hold off Texas A&M and Nebraska in this battle. A one-year addition makes sense to help give the Ducks’ young big men more time to develop. — Olson


Numbers to know

4: The number of seasons it has been since defending national champion Ohio State won the Big Ten title, the Buckeyes’ longest drought since a six-year stretch from 1987 to 1992.

8: The number of Big Ten quarterbacks who were in the top 25 of the ESPN300 recruit rankings at some point in their high school careers, the most of any conference. Those QBs are Michigan’s Bryce Underwood (No. 1 in 2025), Oregon’s Dante Moore (No. 2 in 2023), Ohio State’s Julian Sayin (No. 9 in 2024), Ohio State’s Tavien St. Clair (No. 10 in 2025), Nebraska’s Dylan Raiola (No. 11 in 2024), USC’s Sam Huard (No. 16 in 2021), UCLA’s Nico Iamaleava (No. 23 in 2023) and Michigan’s Jake Garcia (No. 24 in 2021).

+200: Ohio State’s odds of winning the Big Ten championship, according to ESPN BET, which are the longest odds for the Big Ten favorite in at least 15 years. Penn State is the second choice at +225. — ESPN Research


Power rankings

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Should Penn State be the No. 1-ranked team in the country?

Heather Dinich joins “Get Up” to share why she believes Penn State should be the top-ranked team going into the new college football season.

1. Penn State Nittany Lions

If not this year, then when for the Nittany Lions? As other Big Ten powers sift through QB questions, Penn State features three-year starter Drew Allar, who has the makeup to be a first-round pick next spring. Throw in a dominant running game spearheaded by Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen and a talented defense now led by veteran coordinator Jim Knowles, the Nittany Lions have the pieces to win the Big Ten — and even the national title.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

The defending national champions lost a record-tying 14 players to the NFL and must fill significant holes at quarterback and along both the offensive and defensive lines. But Ohio State also has arguably the nation’s best two players in wide receiver Jeremiah Smith and safety Caleb Downs, other standouts such as wide receiver Carnell Tate and linebacker Sonny Styles, and notable transfers such as tight end Max Klare (Purdue). Never count out the Buckeyes.

3. Oregon Ducks

Dillion Gabriel, one of the most prolific QBs in recent college football history, is gone, leaving tantalizing former five-star recruit Dante Moore in charge of the Ducks’ offense. A season-ending knee injury to star wide receiver Evan Stewart stings. But Oregon still has enough on either side of the ball to defend its Big Ten title.

4. Illinois Fighting Illini

After winning 10 games for the first time since the Big Ten championship season of 2001, Illinois has its sights on the team’s first CFP appearance. Quarterback Luke Altmyer and outside linebacker Gabe Jacas are part of an impressive returning group that must navigate tricky September trips to Duke and Indiana before a home showdown with Ohio State on Oct. 11.

5. Michigan Wolverines

All eyes will be on five-star freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood, who has already been turning heads in Ann Arbor with his work ethic and dual-threat abilities. The Wolverines have the running game and figure to be stout defensively once again. If Underwood can supercharge the passing attack, the Wolverines could be back in contention for a playoff spot.

6. Indiana Hoosiers

How will Coach Cig (Curt Cignetti) follow a historic debut that featured a team-record 11 wins and a once unthinkable CFP appearance? Indiana retained All-Big Ten players on both sides of the ball, and added quarterback Fernando Mendoza and several notable offensive linemen in the portal. The key for IU will be better line-of-scrimmage play in its biggest games, as the schedule doesn’t look nearly as favorable.

7. Iowa Hawkeyes

The Hawkeyes are banking that transfer QB Mark Gronowski, who won an FCS national title, can jumpstart a perennially moribund Iowa offense. Iowa’s offensive line, led by standout center Logan Jones and tackle Gennings Dunker, should be elite. If the defensive-minded Hawkeyes can finally find a way to put up points, they could be dangerous.

8. Nebraska Cornhuskers

After reaching a bowl game for the first time since 2016, Nebraska is targeting much bigger goals under third-year coach Matt Rhule. The Huskers have a favorable schedule with no true road games until Oct. 11 and no Ohio State or Oregon. Quarterback Dylan Raiola has had a full offseason to develop under playcaller Dana Holgorsen.

9. USC Trojans

The Trojans lost five games by one score last season, tied for the most in the FBS. Playing from ahead will be critical for the Trojans, who trailed in 11 of their 13 games in 2024. The defense under first-year coordinator D’Anton Lynn took a step forward last season, but the Trojans need more improvement — they still allowed 5.83 yards per play (15th in the Big Ten).

10. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Could Minnesota be a wild-card CFP contender? “This isn’t a pipe dream,” coach P.J. Fleck told ESPN, pointing to a record in one-score games that, if improved, could elevate the team’s outlook. Minnesota has a solid defense, a potential two-way star in Koi Perich and will lean on first-year starting quarterback Drake Lindsey for a spark.

11. Washington Huskies

The Huskies are excited about the potential of sophomore QB Demond Williams Jr., who passed for 374 yards and totaled five touchdowns in Washington’s bowl loss to Louisville. If Williams builds off that performance, the Huskies could surprise offensively, with 1,000-yard rusher Jonah Coleman flanking him in the backfield.

12. Michigan State Spartans

After a tough first year and a relatively quiet offseason, Michigan State could creep up on teams during coach Jonathan Smith’s second year. The Spartans made some key portal additions at offensive line and wide receiver to help second-year starting quarterback Aidan Chiles. Areas to improve include takeaways and better play on the road, where MSU was 1-4 in 2024.

13. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Athan Kaliakmanis is back after becoming the first Rutgers QB since 2015 to pass for more than 2,000 yards in a season. Defensively, the pass rush could be a strength with the arrivals of transfers Eric O’Neill (James Madison) and Bradley Weaver (Ohio), who were both all-conference performers. Rutgers ranked just 84th nationally with only 22 total sacks last season.

14. UCLA Bruins

The Bruins have gone all-in on quarterback Nico Iamaleava, the Tennessee transfer whose return home could signal a shift in how UCLA will operate under coach DeShaun Foster. If Iamaleava meets expectations and a defense with many new players and coaches shines, UCLA could rise in these rankings after a season where it had wins against Iowa and Nebraska.

15. Wisconsin Badgers

Injuries robbed any chance Wisconsin had of fielding a viable offense in 2024, as the Badgers ranked 102nd nationally in passing (197 yards per game) on the way to losing their final five games. The onus is now on transfer quarterback Billy Edwards Jr. (Maryland) and new coordinator Jeff Grimes to turn that around.

16. Northwestern Wildcats

After bottoming out on offense in 2024, Northwestern had its most successful winter transfer portal haul, which included quarterback Preston Stone (SMU), wide receiver Griffin Wilde (South Dakota State) and several linemen. The Wildcats face a huge opener at Tulane and several tricky Big Ten road contests, but bowl eligibility should be within sight.

17. Maryland Terrapins

Coach Mike Locksley recently admitted he lost the locker room in 2024 over which players to pay, as the Terrapins stumbled to a 1-8 Big Ten record. Maryland doesn’t have much coming back offensively, either, though keeping four-star QB Malik Washington in state has given the Terrapins an intriguing player to rebuild around. The true freshman is battling UCLA transfer Justyn Martin and redshirt freshman Khristian Martin for the starting QB job.

18. Purdue Boilermakers

Barry Odom is back in the Power 4 following an impressive run at UNLV. He takes over a Purdue team with almost an entirely new roster and a schedule that includes Notre Dame and Ohio State. Moderate improvement is the goal for Odom, whose track record on defense and with personnel suggests better days are ahead. — Rittenberg, Trotter

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