Three weeks into the season, the college football landscape has seen its share of tumultuous results.
Two teams near the top of most preseason playoff projections — Notre Dame and Clemson — already have two losses, placing the Irish and Tigers on extremely shaky ground. The SEC looks as deep and strong as ever based on its nonconference record, meaning most of the in-league matchups will be up for grabs and have significant ramifications.
As in last season’s inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff, the five highest-ranked conference champions, plus the next seven highest-ranked teams, will make the field. Unlike last year, the four highest-ranked teams (not necessarily conference champions) will be awarded first-round byes. The other eight teams will meet in first-round games at the campus sites of seeds Nos. 5 through 8.
From there, the quarterfinals and semifinals will be played in what had been the New Year’s Six bowls, with this season’s national championship game scheduled for Jan. 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
All of that is just the tip of the iceberg, though. Apart from the playoff is the 35-game slate of bowl games, beginning with the Cricket Celebration Bowl on Dec. 13.
We’re here for all of it.
ESPN bowl gurus Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach are projecting every postseason matchup, including their breakdowns of how the playoff will play out, and we’ll be back every week of the season until the actual matchups are set.
Bonagura: No. 12 South Florida at No. 5 LSU Schlabach: No. 12 Tulane at No. 5 Oregon
Bonagura: No. 11 Utah at No. 6 Miami Schlabach: No. 11 Utah at No. 6 Penn State
Bonagura: No. 10 Oklahoma at No. 7 Florida State Schlabach: No. 10 Illinois at No. 7 Florida State
Bonagura: No. 9 Texas at No. 8 Illinois Schlabach: No. 9 Texas A&M at No. 8 Oklahoma
First-round breakdown
Bonagura: After South Florida began the season with a pair of ranked wins, it came back to earth on Saturday with a 49-12 loss to Miami. Despite that loss, I kept the Bulls in the coveted No. 12 spot, which projects as the likely placement for the top-ranked Group of 5 team. The logic was this: losing to Miami — a team that has a strong case for a first-round bye — shouldn’t be reason to automatically fall out for a team ranked well below them. How the Bulls played, though, was concerning, and Tulane received strong consideration.
Iowa State, however, did drop from my playoff field after a narrow win against Arkansas State. The Cyclones are 4-0 but haven’t turned in a fully comprehensive win all year (at least against an FBS team).
Schlabach: The top two teams in my bracket, Ohio State and LSU, remain unchanged, but there was quite a bit of shuffling after that. Texas, Notre Dame, Iowa State and South Florida fell out of my 12-team bracket, while Texas A&M, Illinois, Utah and Tulane moved in.
Texas still might be one of the best teams by season’s end, but something seems off with the Longhorns’ offense at this point. Quarterback Arch Manning struggled throwing the ball again; at one point in Saturday’s 27-10 victory against UTEP, he was booed by the home crowd for misfiring on 10 straight incompletions. Not good. The Aggies are my ninth seed after knocking off Notre Dame 41-40 on the road. Quarterback Marcel Reed threw the winning touchdown to Nate Boerkircher with 13 seconds left to give Texas A&M its first road win over an AP Top 25 opponent since November 2014.
I’ll go with the Green Wave as the fifth conference championship winner, but I still believe USF will be a factor. Despite Saturday’s trouncing, the Bulls’ earlier upsets of Boise State and Florida are going to carry some weight in the CFP selection committee debates.
CFP quarterfinals
Wednesday, Dec. 31
CFP quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas) 7:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 7 Florida State vs. No. 2 Oregon Schlabach: No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 4 Georgia
Thursday, Jan. 1
CFP quarterfinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida) Noon, ESPN Bonagura: No. 5 LSU vs. No. 4 Penn State Schlabach: No. 6 Penn State vs. No. 3 Miami
CFP quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Game Presented by Prudential Rose Bowl (Pasadena, California) 4 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 8 Illinois vs. No. 1 Ohio State Schlabach: No. 8 Oklahoma vs. No. 1 Ohio State
CFP quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl Caesars Superdome (New Orleans) 8 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 6 Miami vs. No. 3 Georgia Schlabach: No. 7 Florida State vs. No. 2 LSU
Quarterfinals breakdown
Bonagura: As things sit, Penn State vs. LSU and Georgia vs. Miami are the two hypothetical quarterfinal matchups that stand out. It has been an incredible nonconference run this year for the SEC. The depth in the conference feels stronger than ever — much stronger than in the Big Ten.
But what does depth matter if it doesn’t lead to postseason success? It’s possible to envision scenarios in which the SEC gets three teams through the quarterfinals — or none. That’s part of what makes this round so intriguing.
Schlabach: I bumped Penn State down a few spots, not as much for how the Nittany Lions have played this season but for who they’ve played. Penn State’s three victories have come against Nevada, Florida International and FCS program Villanova. My top four teams each have at least one significant victory on their résumés.
An Oregon-Georgia matchup in the Cotton Bowl would be a nice chess match between Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart and Ducks coach Dan Lanning, who was Smart’s former defensive coordinator. The Bulldogs will have to improve on defense over the next couple of months to be a legitimate CFP contender, but going on the road and winning 44-41 in overtime at Tennessee was impressive.
A Penn State-Miami game in the Orange Bowl would also be enticing (break out the camo!). It would feature two of the top quarterbacks available in next year’s NFL draft: Miami’s Carson Beck and Penn State’s Drew Allar.
CFP semifinals, national championship game
Thursday, Jan. 8
CFP semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona) 7:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 5 LSU vs. No. 1 Ohio State Schlabach: No. 4 Georgia vs. No. 1 Ohio State
Friday, Jan. 9
CFP semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta) 7:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 3 Georgia vs. No. 2 Oregon Schlabach: No. 3 Miami vs. No. 2 LSU
Monday, Jan. 19
CFP National Championship Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida) 7:45 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 1 Ohio State Schlabach: No. 2 LSU vs. No. 1 Ohio State
National championship breakdown
Bonagura: Ohio State and Oregon still feel like the two best teams. Neither really had to break a sweat over the weekend, and that figures to be the case this week, too. Oregon vs. Oregon State sets up to be one of the most lopsided games in the history of the rivalry, while Ohio State is idle. Things get much more interesting Sept. 27, with Oregon traveling to Penn State and Ohio State visiting Washington.
Schlabach: I have the top four seeds advancing to the semifinals, and we all know the odds of that happening probably aren’t high. Miami has probably built the most impressive résumé to date after taking down Notre Dame 27-24 at home in its opener and dismantling USF on Saturday. The Hurricanes play in-state rivals Florida and Florida State the next two games.
I’m still going with Ohio State and LSU meeting in the national title game, although the Tigers’ season-opening victory at Clemson might not be as big as it seemed at the time. LSU wasn’t nearly as impressive in its past two wins over Louisiana Tech and Florida.
Complete bowl season schedule
Saturday, Dec. 13
Cricket Celebration Bowl Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta) Noon, ABC Bonagura: Alabama State vs. South Carolina State Schlabach: Jackson State vs. South Carolina State
LA Bowl SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California) 9 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Arizona vs. UNLV Schlabach: Washington vs. UNLV
Tuesday, Dec. 16
IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama) 9 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Troy vs. Northern Illinois Schlabach: Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan
Wednesday, Dec. 17
StaffDNA Cure Bowl Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida) 5 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Cincinnati vs. Texas State Schlabach: Northern Illinois vs. Troy
68 Ventures Bowl Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama) 8:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: South Alabama vs. UConn Schlabach: Old Dominion vs. Miami (Ohio)
Friday, Dec. 19
Myrtle Beach Bowl Brooks Stadium (Conway, South Carolina) Noon, ESPN Bonagura: Florida International vs. James Madison Schlabach: East Carolina vs. James Madison
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida) 3:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Schlabach: Vanderbilt vs. Virginia
Monday, Dec. 22
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Albertsons Stadium (Boise, Idaho) 2 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Ohio vs. Fresno State Schlabach: Buffalo vs. Utah State
Tuesday, Dec. 23
Boca Raton Bowl Flagler Credit Union Stadium (Boca Raton, Florida) 2 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Old Dominion vs. Temple Schlabach: Boise State vs. Toledo
New Orleans Bowl Caesars Superdome (New Orleans) 5:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Appalachian State vs. Jacksonville State Schlabach: Louisiana vs. Louisiana Tech
Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl Frisco, Texas 9 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: UCF vs. Liberty Schlabach: North Texas vs. New Mexico State
Wednesday, Dec. 24
Sheraton Hawai’i Bowl Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu) 8 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Boise State vs. Army Schlabach: Hawai’i vs. Navy
Friday, Dec. 26
GameAbove Sports Bowl Ford Field (Detroit) 1 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Michigan State vs. Toledo Schlabach: Michigan State vs. Ohio
Rate Bowl Chase Field (Phoenix) 4:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Houston vs. Maryland Schlabach: BYU vs. Wisconsin
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas) 8 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Buffalo vs. East Carolina Schlabach: Rutgers vs. Arkansas State
Saturday, Dec. 27
Go Bowling Military Bowl Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Maryland) 11 a.m., ESPN Bonagura: Virginia vs. Memphis Schlabach: Duke vs. Memphis
Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Yankee Stadium (Bronx, New York) Noon, ABC Bonagura: NC State vs. Rutgers Schlabach: North Carolina vs. Maryland
Wasabi Fenway Bowl Fenway Park (Boston) 2:15 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: North Carolina vs. Tulane Schlabach: SMU vs. South Florida
Pop-Tarts Bowl Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida) 3:30 p.m., ABC Bonagura: Georgia Tech vs. BYU Schlabach: Georgia Tech vs. Texas Tech
Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Arizona) 4:30 p.m., CW Network Bonagura: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico Schlabach: Bowling Green vs. Fresno State
Isleta New Mexico Bowl University Stadium (Albuquerque, New Mexico) 5:45 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Utah State vs. Western Kentucky Schlabach: Wyoming vs. Texas State
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Florida) 7:30 p.m. ABC Bonagura: Louisville vs. Alabama Schlabach: Clemson vs. Texas
Kinder’s Texas Bowl NRG Stadium (Houston) 9:15 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Iowa State vs. Texas A&M Schlabach: TCU vs. Ole Miss
Monday, Dec. 29
Birmingham Bowl Protective Stadium (Birmingham, Alabama) 2 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Arkansas vs. North Texas Schlabach: Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh
Tuesday, Dec. 30
Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Independence Stadium (Shreveport, Louisiana) 2 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Baylor vs. Louisiana Schlabach: Houston vs. Jacksonville State
Music City Bowl Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee) 5:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Minnesota vs. Auburn Schlabach: Michigan vs. Auburn
Valero Alamo Bowl Alamodome (San Antonio) 9 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Texas Tech vs. USC Schlabach: Iowa State vs. USC
Wednesday, Dec. 31
ReliaQuest Bowl Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida) Noon, ESPN Bonagura: Nebraska vs. Tennessee Schlabach: Nebraska vs. Tennessee
Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Sun Bowl Stadium (El Paso, Texas) 2 p.m., CBS Bonagura: SMU vs. Arizona State Schlabach: Notre Dame vs. Arizona
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida) 3 p.m., ABC Bonagura: Indiana vs. Ole Miss Schlabach: Indiana vs. Alabama
SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas) 3:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Michigan vs. Cal Schlabach: Iowa vs. Cal
Friday, Jan. 2
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas) 1 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Kansas vs. Navy Schlabach: Kansas vs. Army
AutoZone Liberty Bowl Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tennessee) 4:30 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: TCU vs. Missouri Schlabach: Baylor vs. Missouri
Duke’s Mayo Bowl Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, North Carolina) 8 p.m., ESPN Bonagura: Clemson vs. Vanderbilt Schlabach: NC State vs. South Carolina
Holiday Bowl Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego) 8 p.m., Fox Bonagura: Notre Dame vs. Washington Schlabach: Louisville vs. Arizona State
MADISON, Wis. — Wisconsin quarterback Danny O’Neil was carted off the field and into the locker room after injuring his leg in the first quarter of the Badgers’ game against No. 24 Washington (No. 23 College Football Playoff) on Saturday.
O’Neil got up at the end of a 21-yard keeper, limped and then went back down and clutched his right leg. Wisconsin announced in the second quarter that O’Neil would miss the rest of the game with what was officially ruled a lower-body injury.
The San Diego State transfer was making his first start since a Sept. 13 loss to Alabama, though he had played in a reserve role Sept. 20 against Maryland and Oct. 18 against Ohio State.
Freshman Carter Smith took over for O’Neil and made his college debut Saturday.
Quarterback issues have hindered Wisconsin throughout the season. Billy Edwards Jr. was Wisconsin’s first-team quarterback at the start of the year, but he sprained his knee in the second quarter of the Badgers’ season opener and has played only one full series since.
Jake Trotter is a senior writer at ESPN. Trotter covers college football. He also writes about other college sports, including men’s and women’s basketball. Trotter resides in the Cleveland area with his wife and three kids and is a fan of his hometown Oklahoma City Thunder. He covered the Cleveland Browns and NFL for ESPN for five years, moving back to college football in 2024. Previously, Trotter worked for the Middletown (Ohio) Journal, Austin American-Statesman and Oklahoman newspapers before joining ESPN in 2011. He’s a 2004 graduate of Washington and Lee University. You can reach out to Trotter at jake.trotter@espn.com and follow him on X at @Jake_Trotter.
Ohio State standout receiver Carnell Tate sat out Saturday’s game against Purdue after suffering a minor undisclosed injury during pregame warmups.
Coach Ryan Day said the Buckeyes held Tate out just as a precaution.
“[Tate] wanted to play,” Day said, “but we’ve got a lot of football ahead us.”
The top-ranked Buckeyes (9-0, 6-0 Big Ten) still defeated Purdue 34-10 to remain unbeaten. Jeremiah Smith led Ohio State with a career-high 10 receptions for 137 yards and a touchdown.
This season, Tate has 39 receptions for 711 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns.
LUBBOCK, Texas — Stone Harrington kicked a school-record five field goals and standout Texas Tech linebacker Jacob Rodriguez had two takeaways as the No. 9 Red Raiders defeated No. 8 BYU29-7 on Saturday, holding the previously undefeated Cougars to a season-low 255 total yards in a game with Big 12 and playoff implications.
Behren Morton passed for 216 yards and threw a 9-yard touchdown to Caleb Douglas while Cameron Dickey ran for 121 yards and a 1-yard score for Texas Tech (9-1, 6-1 Big 12, No. 8 CFP), which played in its first top-10 matchup since 2008.
“I told the team we have another gear,” Tech coach Joey McGuire said. “We can play better.”
BYU (8-1, 5-1, No. 7 CFP) had never played in such a game, though the teams could meet again in the Big 12 championship game in four weeks in Arlington, Texas.
Harrington kicked field goals of 47, 39, 34, 29 and 27 yards.
Rodriguez, the FBS leader with seven forced fumbles, had an interception midway through the third period leading to Harrington’s fourth field goal. He recovered a backward pass late in the fourth quarter that set up Harrington’s final kick.
Tech has gone from ranking 121st last season in the FBS allowing 34.8 points per game to fifth at 13.2 going into Saturday and lowering that to 12.6.
“Yeah, we are a better [defensive] team than we were last year,” Rodriguez said. “But … we’ve still got a lot of things to clean up.”
BYU snapped a 10-game winning streak dating back to last season. The Cougars avoided their first shutout since 2017 when Bear Bachmeier threw a 6-yard touchdown pass to Chase Roberts midway through the fourth quarter.
The Cougars went into the game third in the FBS in turnover margin at plus-1.25. They lost two fumbles, threw an interception and muffed a punt.
Bachmeier was 23-of-38 passing for 188 yards. The true freshman also had two turnovers, an interception and a backward pass for a fumble.
“A couple of passes and a muffed punt cost us, I think, 13 points,” BYU coach Kalani Sitake said. “Even after that, I thought we were going to be able to respond and make a game of it in the second half, but we weren’t able to do that.”
The Cougars went into play averaging 36.3 points and 434 yards per game. Their previous low offensive output this season was 332 yards in the 27-3 win over Stanford on Sept. 6.
Both teams have home games remaining against UCF, while the Cougars also play at No. 25 Cincinnati — the only other Big 12 team with one league loss — after hosting TCU next week. The Red Raiders host UCF next week before an open date and then their regular-season finale at West Virginia.
The Red Raiders, charter members of the Big 12 in 1996, are in position to play in the conference championship for the first time. Their remaining two opponents are a combined 3-10 in conference play.