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It’s best to bring your best when the most people are watching. With the nation’s football attention mostly to itself — and TV viewership numbers excellent — the FCS quarterfinals were absolutely fantastic.

Last Friday night, we got one of the best games of the season, a 35-28 Montana overtime win over Furman that featured two huge return touchdowns. On Saturday we got Villanova’s valiant (but eventually fruitless) showing against South Dakota State in windy Brookings, plus a North Dakota State revenge pummeling of South Dakota. And in the Saturday night finale, we got another great one: After trailing for most of the game, UAlbany went on a 16-0 fourth-quarter run and toppled Idaho, 30-22, on the road.

Now it’s time for the semifinals. We’ve got three classic FCS brands and an upstart vying for a January 7 trip to Frisco, Texas, for the national championship. The action starts back in Brookings on Friday night.

  • No. 5 UAlbany at No. 1 South Dakota State (Friday, 7 p.m., ESPN2)

  • North Dakota State at No. 2 Montana (Saturday, 4:30 p.m., ESPN2)

Over the course of 13 or 14 games, a team’s overall storyline has time to evolve. That’s been the case for at least three of the semifinalists. Competitive losses to Marshall and Hawaii, paired with a blowout of Villanova, painted an encouraging picture of Albany’s playoff prospects early on. However, its dominant defense got lit up in a 38-31 loss to New Hampshire. Reason for doubt? Not so much: The Great Danes have allowed just 13.4 points per game since and have reached the semifinals for the first time.

Montana created its own plot twist. Following a shocking 28-14 loss at Northern Arizona, head coach Bobby Hauck made a QB change, switching from Sam Vidlak to Clifton McDowell. The offense stabilized for a few weeks, then ignited. Over their last six games, against a list of opponents that includes four playoff teams, the Grizzlies have won by an average score of 38-12.

In Fargo, NDSU has experienced a fall full of unexpected developments. First, the Bison lost three regular-season games for the first time since 2010. Then, this past week, they found out they were losing head coach Matt Entz, not to a head coaching job (as is customary for NDSU) but to USC, where he will be the linebackers coach. Still, something familiar has emerged from this relative chaos: winning. The Bison have won five straight, four against ranked or playoff opponents and four by at least 21 points. Despite starting the playoffs unseeded, they’re right back into the semifinals as always.

There’s been one constant this fall: South Dakota State’s dominance. The Jackrabbits have won 27 straight games, and only five have been by single digits. Villanova made them sweat last week, cutting their lead to just five points early in the fourth quarter. But the Jacks immediately got a 66-yard touchdown run from Isaiah Davis, picked off a pass, forced a three-and-out and cruised.

From the start, the overall narrative for this edition of the playoffs was whether or not someone could topple SDSU. Three weeks in, that appears no more likely than it did at the beginning. Here’s more on each of the two semifinals.


No. 5 Albany (11-3) at No. 1 South Dakota State (13-0)

South Dakota State

SP+ rank: first

Playoff results to date: defeated Mercer 41-0; defeated Villanova 23-12

Title odds: 64.3% (last week: 58.4%)

UAlbany

SP+ rank: fifth

Playoff results to date: defeated Richmond 41-13; defeated Idaho 30-22

Title odds: 4.0% (last week: 3.8%)

Defense has indeed driven Albany’s first-ever semifinal run. Only one FCS opponent has scored more than 22 points on the Great Danes. The more you have to pass on them, the worse you’re going to fare. They’ve recorded 99 tackles for loss (including 50 sacks) and defended 67 passes (including 17 interceptions) in 2023; while South Dakota State has faced plenty of quality opposition this fall, the defensive end duo of Anton Juncaj and AJ Simon (combined: 43 TFLs, 27.5 sacks, 31 hurries and seven forced fumbles) is something altogether different. SDSU has an annoying “Whatever you do best, the Jacks do it better” thing going, but no one in FCS rushes the passer better than UAlbany.

That’s an amazing thing to say considering they could have also had former Great Dane and current Florida State star Jared Verse on the two-deep. Albany’s pass defense could make a major difference in this semifinal matchup … if SDSU has to pass.

The Jacks have a brilliant passing game driven by Mark Gronowski (68% completion rate, 14.5 yards per completion, 25-to-4 TD-to-INT ratio) and veteran wideouts Jadon and Jaxon Janke (combined: 91 catches, 1,470 yards, 13 TDs). But SDSU will also punch you in the mouth with Isaiah Davis (1,384 yards, 6.8 per carry), Amar Johnson (717 yards, 6.4 per carry) and the best offensive line in the subdivision until you prove you can stop them. And even if you do slow them down for a bit, you have to keep doing it: In ultra-windy conditions last week against Villanova, SDSU gained only 64 yards in the first half. They gained 279 in the second. You don’t win 27 games in a row without learning the value of remaining patient.

One of the other frustrating aspects of playing SDSU is, no matter how good your defense is, theirs is better. They’re first in defensive SP+ with a rating more than a touchdown better than the second-best D. And if you prefer more customary measures, they’re first in scoring defense and total defense, too.

Quarterback Reese Poffenbarger and the UAlbany offense have improved over the course of 2023, averaging 34.6 points and 418 yards over the last eight games. The run game has been up and down this season; Griffin Woodell and Faysal Aden are grinders, averaging 20.3 carries per game between them, but they’ve averaged just 4.7 yards per carry. It’s asking a lot for either one of them to have a huge game against this defense. But the Poffenbarger-to-Brevin Easton connection has been vital. I wrote last week that you probably aren’t going to beat SDSU without a certain number of big plays and turnovers. The Albany pass rush could theoretically provide the latter, and Eason, who’s averaged 105.4 yards per game and 24.1 yards per catch over the last eight games (including nine catches for 200 yards and three scores against Idaho last week), could provide the former.

ESPN BET projection: SDSU 33.8, UAlbany 12.8 (SDSU -21 with a 46.5 over/under)
SP+ projection: SDSU 34.6, UAlbany 12.5

This is the first ever meeting between the Jacks and Great Danes. It’s probably going to end up playing out like most of SDSU’s last 27 games have, with the Jackrabbit defense pushing its opponent behind schedule and forcing punts while the offense eventually finds a rhythm and pulls away. But while there aren’t many paths to an Albany victory, you can certainly see how one might take shape from Easton creating easy points with a couple of big catches and an excellent defense creating negative plays (and possibly turnovers). And hey, if you play in upstate New York, you are probably ready for below-freezing conditions, too. SDSU is a resounding favorite, but Albany could give itself a chance.

North Dakota State (11-3) at No. 2 Montana (12-1)

North Dakota State

SP+ rank: second

Playoff results to date: defeated Drake 66-3; defeated No. 8 Montana State 35-34 (OT); defeated South Dakota 45-17

Title odds: 24.4% (last week: 21.0%)

Montana

SP+ rank: third

Playoff results to date: defeated Delaware 49-19; defeated Furman 35-28 (OT)

Title odds: 7.3% (last week: 8.2%)

There are few moments in football better than the Rocket Ismail-style moment, where a kick or punt is flying through the air toward a great return man in a huge moment, and he does the thing everyone in the stadium is hoping he’ll do: house it.

Junior Bergen saved Montana’s bacon last Friday night against Furman. The junior receiver and return man began the game with a 99-yard kick return touchdown, then gave the Grizzlies a 28-21 lead in the fourth quarter with his sixth career punt return touchdown. (He also had four catches for 44 yards.) Furman tied the game with a fourth-down touchdown with 13 seconds left in regulation — the Paladins attempted a doomed two-point conversion but were saved by a false start penalty and settled for the PAT — but the Griz won with a touchdown pass and fourth-down stop in OT. Montana scored only twice in regulation thanks to two missed field goals, an interception near midfield and a dire run of four straight three-and-outs in the second half. But Bergen bought them just enough margin for error.

It would be pretty incredible if Bergen pulled off similar heroics on Saturday afternoon. Some of NDSU’s most vulnerable moments in 2023 came via special teams breakdowns, too. But in their first semifinal since 2011, the Griz should probably try to count on winning with offense and defense.

That’s much easier said than done. NDSU showed almost unprecedented vulnerability this season, losing three of six midseason games and suffering blowouts at the hands of both North Dakota and South Dakota State. UND used a kick return touchdown and a blocked punt (like I said…) to build an early lead and went an incredible 9-for-12 on third downs to keep drives moving. They led by as many as 32 before winning, 49-24. SDSU was a more mortal 6-for-13 on third downs but turned three Bison turnovers into points and used a Tucker Large punt return to score a short-field touchdown as part of a 23-0 run. The Jacks eventually cruised, 33-16.

The SDSU loss evidently flipped a switch. NDSU has looked awfully NDSU-like since, averaging 48.5 points per game over the last four. Not including sacks, the run game has averaged 6.2 yards per carry in that span, and while quarterback Cam Miller is still a bit sack-prone, NDSU has still averaged 10.1 yards per dropback (inc. sacks) in this span; more importantly, Miller hasn’t thrown an interception since the SDSU game.

Montana’s defense is based on pressure. Blitz-happy linebackers Riley Wilson and Braxton Hill have 11 sacks among 19 TFLs, and cornerback Trevin Gradney has five interceptions with six breakups. (Hill has two picks himself.) The Griz force you to respond to nonstop attacks, and that feels like playing with fire against NDSU — either Montana makes loads of TFLs and sacks Miller in key situations, or NDSU rushes for 300-plus yards.

Montana can win a defense-heavy rock fight, but can the Griz keep up in a track meet? That will depend on quarterback Clifton McDowell. His legs provided a welcome boost when he entered the starting lineup — he’s rushed for at least 65 yards seven times and went for 118 last week — and NDSU has been vulnerable to a good run game at times, allowing more than 200 rushing yards three times. But at some point McDowell will have to pass, and that’s typically when NDSU strikes. The Bison have picked off at least three passes four times this season and have 10 INTs in the last four games. NDSU’s Cole Wisniewski is basically one of the best safeties and linebackers in the country, leading the Bison in tackles while picking off eight passes. Wherever the ball goes, he materializes there. McDowell can’t make mistakes.

ESPN BET projection: NDSU 25.5, Montana 24.0
SP+ projection: NDSU 28.4, Montana 23.3

Entz’s announced departure could provide either an emotional boost or an anchor for NDSU, but on paper the Bison have slight advantages here. Was all that midseason vulnerability just a smokescreen to distract us from another inevitable NDSU-SDSU title showdown? Or does Montana have a bit more home magic to deploy?

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Stars’ Hintz remains game-time call for Game 4

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Stars' Hintz remains game-time call for Game 4

EDMONTON, Alberta — Dallas Stars forward Roope Hintz remains a game-time decision ahead of Game 4 of the Western Conference Final on Tuesday.

The club’s top skater has been sidelined since Game 2 in the series when he took a slash to the left leg from Edmonton Oilers defenseman Darnell Nurse. Hintz took part in warmups before Game 3 on Sunday but exited early and was ruled out. He was back on the ice for Dallas’ optional practice on Monday and told reporters he was “feeling good” and “trying to do everything I can” to get back in for Game 4.

It was early in the third period of Game 2 when Hintz — parked in front of the Oilers’ net — shoved Nurse from behind, and the Oilers’ blueliner responded by swinging his stick at Hintz’s leg. Hintz was down on the ice for several minutes after that before being helped off by Lian Bichsel and Mikael Granlund.

Nurse received a two-minute penalty for the slash on Hintz but no supplementary discipline from the league. The blueliner addressed the incident for the first time Tuesday, explaining it didn’t come with malicious intent.

“I was backing up to net and I got shot in the back. And I think it was just a natural reaction [to respond],” Nurse said. “It’s probably a play that everyone in this room, whether you’re a net-front guy or D man, probably happens a dozen, two dozen times in a year. It’s unfortunate that I must have got [Hintz] in a bad spot. You don’t want to go out there and hurt anyone. But it was just one of those plays that happens so often.”

Having Hintz unavailable hurt the Stars in Game 3, a 6-1 drubbing by the Oilers that put Dallas in a 2-1 hole in the best-of-7 series. Hintz is the Stars’ second-leading scorer in the postseason, with 11 goals and 15 points through 15 games. He was hopeful when taking warmups Sunday that he’d feel good enough to get back in but a quick discussion with the training staff made it clear he wasn’t ready.

Coach Pete DeBoer has since classified Hintz’s status as day-to-day.

“Of course you want to go every night, but sometimes you just can’t,” said Hintz. “I don’t know how close I [was to playing]. But I have played many years [and I] know when it’s good and when it’s not. I should be good to know that [when] it comes to that decision.”

The Oilers will have some lineup changes of their own to sort through in Game 4. Connor Brown is out after he took a hit from Alexander Petrovic in Game 3; he’ll be replaced by the incoming Viktor Arvidsson. Calvin Pickard — injured in Edmonton’s second-round series against Vegas — will return to back up for Stuart Skinner. And Edmonton continues to wait on defenseman Mattias Ekholm, who is getting closer to coming back from a lower-body injury.

Puck drop for Game 4 is 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday.

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‘That’s wonderful’: Canes finally see ECF skid end

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'That's wonderful': Canes finally see ECF skid end

SUNRISE, Fla. — Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Jaccob Slavin is happy to never get another question about his team’s record-setting NHL playoff losing streak.

“Wonderful. That’s wonderful,” he said after Carolina’s 3-0 win over the Florida Panthers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals on Monday night. “The guys in here worked hard tonight and that’s all you can ask for.”

The Hurricanes avoided a sweep by the Panthers, sending the series back to Raleigh, North Carolina, for Game 5 on Wednesday night. In the process, Carolina snapped a 15-game losing streak in the conference finals — the longest losing streak by a team in a playoff round other than the Stanley Cup Final in NHL history.

The Hurricanes’ last win in the Eastern Conference finals was in Game 7 against the Buffalo Sabres in 2006, a game that saw current Carolina coach Rod Brind’Amour score the winning goal.

“It’s been a story. So, yeah, it’s nice to not have to talk about that [anymore],” Brind’Amour said.

When the streak began in 2009, Carolina captain Jordan Staal was helping the Pittsburgh Penguins to a conference finals sweep of the Hurricanes. He said the win over Florida in Game 4 showed how much pride was in the Canes’ locker room, as they refused to allow the Panthers to end their season.

“There’s a lot of guys that didn’t want to go home,” Staal said. “We know we have a huge hill to climb here. We’ve got a great team on the other side that is going to come back with a better effort. It’s a great challenge.”

Florida coach Paul Maurice, whose team had a chance to advance to a third straight Stanley Cup Final with a victory, gave credit to the Hurricanes for a solid and disruptive game while acknowledging that his team could have gotten to its own game better.

“I haven’t been nearly as down on that hockey team as you fine people have been over the last three games, and I won’t be as down on my team tonight,” he said. “[The Hurricanes] were good. They had good sticks. They had good quickness. You see that happen more often when the possessor of the puck’s feet are not moving.”

Three factors changed the vibe for Carolina in Game 4.

Goalie Frederik Andersen had his second shutout of the postseason after being pulled in Game 2 and benched for Game 3. Andersen was 7-2 with a .937 save percentage and a 1.36 goals-against average in nine playoff games before facing Florida. In two games against the Panthers, he gave up nine goals on 36 shots (.750, 5.54). Andersen had given up just 12 goals in his previous nine postseason games.

In Game 4, he was a great last line of defense, stopping all 20 shots.

After the game, Andersen declined to discuss being benched.

“I don’t really want to talk about my feelings. It’s not about that. It’s about the team and trying to put the best lineup on the ice that they feel like gets the job done. So I’m ready for when I’m called upon and glad to be able to play,” he said.

Andersen played a key role in another factor: the Carolina penalty kill. The Panthers were 4-for-5 on the power play in the first two games of the conference finals. The Hurricanes killed off four power plays in each of the past two games.

“Our goalie was great when he needed to be. The penalty kill was phenomenal,” Brind’Amour said. “We gave ourselves a chance, and that’s all we can ask.”

Perhaps most crucially, the Hurricanes scored the first goal. Carolina is now 6-0 when scoring first and 3-5 when it trails first in these playoffs. In the regular season, the Hurricanes were 30-7-2 when scoring first and 17-23-3 when trailing first.

They scored first and then played the type of close, low-scoring game they excel at. As winger Taylor Hall said before Game 4: “We’re thinking about winning the game 1-0. If it’s close, then we’re in a good spot.”

“It’s been a story. So, yeah, it’s nice to not have to talk about that [anymore].”

Rod Brind’Amour on Carolina snapping 15-game losing streak in conference finals

Forward Logan Stankoven opened the scoring at 10:45 of the second period, giving Carolina its first lead of the series. Rookie defenseman Alexander Nikishin made a terrific backhand pass across the neutral zone to spring Stankoven ahead of the Panthers’ defense, and he beat goalie Sergei Bobrovsky for his fifth goal of the playoffs.

Stankoven said he called for the pass from Nikishin, who was playing in his third postseason game.

“The play happened so fast and it was a great feed by him to make that play off the turnover. It all starts with him,” said Stankoven, who was acquired from the Dallas Stars in the Mikko Rantanen deadline trade.

It remained 1-0 until Sebastian Aho and Staal added empty-net goals in the last 2:11 for the 3-0 win.

Slavin said Game 4 was in the Carolina’s comfort zone.

“A thousand percent. It was 1-0 up until the end there. You can’t get any tighter than that,” he said.

With that, the Hurricanes ended their historic losing streak and turned their attention to making more NHL history. Only four teams in the history of the Stanley Cup playoffs have rallied to win a best-of-seven series after trailing 3-0, although two have done it in the past 15 years (Philadelphia Flyers in 2010 and Los Angeles Kings in 2014).

“You watched the way we played tonight. Everyone put their heart on the line,” Slavin said. “We know we’ve got a good group in here. We know we’ve got all the pieces. We just have to bring it every night.”

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How Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has been the Oilers’ ‘Swiss Army knife’

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How Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has been the Oilers' 'Swiss Army knife'

EDMONTON, Alberta — If the Edmonton Oilers were handing out superlatives, then Ryan Nugent-Hopkins would be their (not-so) secret weapon.

Don’t take just anyone’s word for it, though. It’s the sort of distinction only a team’s captain — and arguably the NHL’s best player — can hand out in a statement that seemed to reverberate among those following the Oilers’ playoff run.

“He’s our Swiss Army knife,” Connor McDavid said of Nugent-Hopkins after the Oilers’ 6-1 drubbing of the Dallas Stars in Game 3 of the Western Conference finals Sunday. “And he’s playing really, really well. Just solid overall, making plays, doing his thing. He’s asked to do everything every single night. He’s playing great.”

Evander Kane — a frequent linemate of Nugent-Hopkins’ — can’t hide a wry smile when asked about his teammate’s play. He caught McDavid’s declaration, and doubled down on how it applies to Nugent-Hopkins’ dominance in the postseason so far.

“I’ve heard it [everywhere] probably the last 24 hours, the term ‘Swiss Army knife,'” Kane said Monday. “So I’ll just repeat it. [Nugent-Hopkins] is a player that is very versatile. He sees the ice well, has good poise out there to make plays. He’s had a really, really good playoffs. He’s had an even better [Western Conference finals] series. So if we can continue to get that type of game from him, obviously, that helps our team greatly.”

Nugent-Hopkins’ latest performance was so strong that it shoved him further into the spotlight on a star-studded Oilers team. Edmonton’s longest-tenured skater was at his best in Sunday’s Game 3, collecting three assists on highlight reel-worthy playmaking that included an eye-popping give-and-go sequence with McDavid in the first period.

The veteran has two goals and seven points in the conference finals, and five goals and 16 points in 14 playoff games to date, fourth most on the team. Nugent-Hopkins’ formidable series has put him in excellent company, where he has joined Wayne Gretzky as only the second player in franchise history to register multiple points in the first three games of an NHL conference final or semifinal.

Not bad for a guy who’d have every right to be exhausted. Nugent-Hopkins is your classic overachiever, willing and usually able to do just about anything but put on goalie pads and play in net.

He has been a top-line winger alongside McDavid. A second-line shutdown center with Kane. A fixture on the Oilers’ top power-play unit. An invaluable penalty killer.

Nugent-Hopkins is, in short, every coach’s dream skater — something coach Kris Knobloch hasn’t exactly kept hidden.

Leon [Draisaitl] joked last year he’s my favorite player,” Knobloch said of Nugent-Hopkins. “But any time you have a player that can do so much, as a coach you’re very thankful for it. You want players with flexibility. You can use them in all different situations.

“He’ll do a great job. You see it in the third period [of Game 3], he was playing with Kane and [Zach] Hyman. They were a good line and it starts with the centerman.”


IT’S FORTUNATE THAT THOSE around Nugent-Hopkins are willing to prop him up because he’s not taking any credit for the profound effect he has had on the Oilers’ postseason. And any praise won’t go to his head.

“I think we’re all just doing our thing and trying to chip in where we can,” Nugent-Hopkins said when asked about his impact. “Our line got a couple [on Sunday] and it’s nice to capitalize on your chances and see it go in.”

The success Nugent-Hopkins and the Oilers are enjoying has been a long time coming, and took the veteran wading through infamously trying times to finally hit. Drafted No. 1 by Edmonton in 2011, Nugent-Hopkins endured lean seasons with the Oilers that included only one playoff berth in the first eight years of his career. From there, Edmonton bowed out in the opening round of the postseason in 2020 and 2021.

But the Oilers’ stock soon rose, and Edmonton battled its way to the Stanley Cup Final last season, falling just short in a Game 7 loss to Florida. Nugent-Hopkins had seven goals and 22 points in that postseason, a run the club is trying to replicate as it holds a 2-1 series lead over Dallas heading into Tuesday’s Game 4.

Though Nugent-Hopkins has stayed steady through the Oilers’ ups and downs, the fact that he’s better than ever at 32 is no surprise to those who have watched him mature over the years.

“I’ve always been a huge fan,” said Stuart Skinner, who made his debut with the Oilers in the 2020-21 season. “He’s been able to be a two-way player [in all three phases] of the ice. He’s just that type of guy. That’s why he’s such a huge part of our team, huge part of the organization.”

Consider how Nugent-Hopkins helped turn the Oilers’ recent Achilles’ heel into a positive. Edmonton had Game 1 against Dallas in hand until a disastrous third period in which the Stars scored three power-play goals in less than six minutes on their way to a come-from-behind victory. Nugent-Hopkins was on the ice for only one of those goals against, but since then he has helped stabilize the Oilers’ penalty kill, which has gone 4-for-4 in killing off Dallas power plays.

“It’s a lot of the same things,” Nugent-Hopkins said of getting the penalty kill on track. “Staying with it, staying confident. Obviously they stung us there, cost us in the first game; we wanted to respond, and I think we’ve done a good job since.”

Only Nugent-Hopkins knows for sure how he can balance all the roles and responsibilities he receives without sacrificing quality in any of them. That’s the magic of a Swiss Army knife after all — its outward appearance disguises the many uses contained within. And in Nugent-Hopkins’ case, those capabilities range from dazzling displays on the ice to what happens behind closed doors.

That’s where the real magic happens.

“He’s a leader in here,” Skinner said. “The work ethic he shows every day, what he says in the room and [how] he does it with a lot of composure too. It’s very impressive.”

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