Patchwork Panthers: How Florida built a perennial contender
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Kristen Shilton, ESPN NHL reporterJun 1, 2024, 08:00 AM ET
Close- Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — Paul Maurice could tell his team was different.
The Florida Panthers‘ head coach joked — at first — that players this season compared to last didn’t find him so funny. They’d lost a former appetite for schtick with a side of hockey talk. Florida had tasted greatness on a Cinderella run to the 2023 Stanley Cup Final. Falling short there was no laughing matter.
The Panthers’ tone had shifted. Maurice saw it in training camp. The Panthers regrouped, expecting to be Cup contenders. One player in particular embodied the attitude adjustment.
“That’s the value of [Aleksander] Barkov,” Maurice said. “He will not stop, and he won’t quit; how does anybody else? Because he is the face, the driver and the captain, he does set a bar for work. Your fourth-line guys are going to come out and work as hard as they can because they have to make the team. But how hard [Barkov] drives the team is the expectation of everybody else. He’s not an aloof captain. He’s part of the group. So he sets that tone.”
If the Panthers were a house, then Barkov is the foundation. He’s the franchise’s longest-tenured player after Florida drafted him second overall in 2013 to be a cornerstone playmaker. Barkov is a rarity in more ways than one. The top-line center is one of just four players on the Panthers’ current roster that the team drafted themselves — and one of only three who’ve never dressed for another NHL club.
Compare that to Florida’s opponent in the Eastern Conference finals. The New York Rangers have nine draftees in their postseason lineup — plus Adam Fox. He wasn’t technically drafted by New York, but the Rangers acquired his signing rights from the Carolina Hurricanes (who had previously acquired them from the Calgary Flames) before he had played in the NHL. So the Rangers basically have 10 players from the inside who have helped make them so potent.
Florida’s roster was mostly constructed after — and around — Barkov. There have been strategic trades. Deliberate signings. Calculated risks. And plenty of patience.
These are the patchwork Panthers. Practically every piece was uniquely sourced, and the construction over time was complicated. But when Florida was finally sewn together, the result was a perfectly balanced final product.
How the Panthers were built is as compelling an off-ice story as the one Florida continues to write on it. It began with Barkov. Then the real work got started.
The draftees
Florida was the NHL’s worst team when the lockout-shortened 2012-13 campaign ended. But due to the Colorado Avalanche winning the draft lottery, that earned the Panthers the second overall pick. Florida used it on Barkov.
The Finnish-born pro was the No.1 ranked European skater by NHL Central Scouting, a 6-foot-3 center who could easily define a franchise. Barkov has done exactly that in Florida.
The 28-year-old stands as the Panthers’ all-time leader in every important category, from games played (737) to goals (266), assists (445), points (711), power-play goals (75), game-winning goals (48) and … well, you see the pattern. His postseason stats have been equally strong, with 17 goals and 54 points through 62 games.
Florida named Barkov its 10th captain in team history on September 17, 2018. He was their youngest player to hold that designation. Now, six years in, Barkov has also held it for the longest time. Given his current contract runs through 2030 — and he may well keep playing from there — it’s unlikely any future Panther will surpass his captaincy length.
Barkov hasn’t just been brilliant compared to his own team. He’s earned league-wide recognition as a two-time Selke Trophy winner (including this year) and has one Lady Byng on his resume.
Barkov has been better than ever this postseason, collecting six goals and 17 points while shutting down the opponent’s top skaters (especially the Rangers’). He plays on both special teams while dominating at even strength.
Florida did, suffice it to say, turn their pain into power going from the NHL’s basement to selecting Barkov. It’s unlikely they anticipated doing that again so quickly. As in, the following season.
The Panthers finished marginally better in the 2013-14 standings, second-to-last, and this time captured a draft lottery win to open the door for selecting Aaron Ekblad first overall.
(Picked second overall that year? Sam Reinhart, by the Buffalo Sabres. But we’ll get to him later.)
Ekblad was that season’s top prospect for good reason. He’d been the first defenseman ever granted exceptional status in the CHL, and he won a slew of awards to put him atop any NHL team’s wish list. The Panthers grabbed Ekblad to be the present — and future — of their blue line, and he has delivered over the course of his 676-game career (complete with 115 goals and 347 points).
Despite Ekblad’s injury troubles over the years, he’s been the jewel of Florida’s back end. Throughout these playoffs he’s averaged over 22 minutes of ice time per game, and tossed in four assists while taking on the toughest matchups.
When Florida’s next high draft pick came along they were back on the offensive — selecting forward Anton Lundell 12th overall in 2020. Like Barkov, Lundell was a big (6-foot-1), Finnish, left-shot center with excellent two-way potential. Lundell has grown thoroughly over his first two NHL seasons (putting up career-best totals this season, with 13 goals and 35 points), and it’s paid off in the playoffs.
Lundell has been paired with different teammates and kept improving. His game-winning goal in Game 5 of the conference finals (his third marker of the postseason) on Friday reinforced why that “Baby Barkov” nickname has been well-earned.
“He’s his own type. But there’s similarities in our games,” Barkov said. “Both players want to play a two-way game and he’s elite at that. He’s really good on every aspect of the game. So that’s the similarity. But he’s walking in this own path and learning from different guys every day … and becoming better. I’m really happy to see that.”
The trade additions
These days, Vincent Trocheck is leading the Rangers in playoff goals (eight) and points (15).
But for six and a half seasons — from 2013-20 — he was in Florida, right up until the February 2020 trade deadline when the Panthers shipped Trocheck to Carolina in exchange for a package that included Eetu Luostarinen. Their new arrival started with the Panthers’ American Hockey League affiliate, but Luostarinen eventually found his NHL groove and has been a staple in Florida’s bottom six through the playoffs, potting one goal and four points while skating over 15 minutes per game.
The Panthers’ next trade addition was, well, somewhat more newsworthy.
Florida sent shockwaves through the 2022 offseason when they acquired Matthew Tkachuk from Calgary that July in exchange for the team’s then-leading scorer Jonathan Huberdeau and defenseman MacKenzie Weegar.
Tkachuk has been worth every penny of his eight-year, $76 million contract extension. The matured winger can toe the line of sass and skill with ease, and that’s already manifested on the Panthers’ history book. After two seasons, Tkachuk holds the franchise record in assists per game (0.82) and points per game (1.24).
The 26-year-old was credited by teammates for single-handedly helping to will Florida into the playoff picture last season (and Tkachuk rightly earned a Hart Trophy nomination in that process). He played Game 4 of the Cup Final against Vegas with a broken sternum, rehabbed all summer and still started this season on time (finishing second on the club in points with 88 in 80 games). Tkachuk has carried that success to the playoffs again, where he’s pacing the Panthers in points (19) and has two game-winning goals.
Florida went big bringing on Tkachuk (and extending others), which put the Panthers in some salary cap troubles. That forced Florida into trading Anthony Duclair to San Jose in July 2023, for forward Steven Lorentz. The latter has been a fine depth piece for the Panthers, and a staple on their fourth line throughout the playoffs, with two goals and three points.
Like most good teams, the Panthers identify quality role players when they’re available. Florida felt on the cusp of another long playoff run this spring, and secured some complementary pieces before the March trade deadline to make it a reality.
First, the Panthers netted Vladimir Tarasenko from Ottawa. He’s been like a rover in the lineup, capable of slotting in everywhere, and has had a solid postseason with two goals and five points. He’s one of the only Panthers with a Cup on his resume — from the St. Louis Blues‘ run in 2019 — and is not shy about sharing his thoughts. Maurice credited Tarasenko for engaging with linemate Lundell on the bench during Game 5 and giving the young skater some quality attention — right before Lundell scored the game-winning goal. Those intangibles are invaluable.
While Tarasenko has his name etched on hockey’s holy grail, Kyle Okposo came to Florida hoping to do the same. The then-Sabres captain knew this team would offer him a chance to chase a title, and Okposo is game to do whatever he can to ensure Florida reaches its goal. Okposo has accepted being a healthy scratch when required, but has embraced the opportunities he does get, like entering midway into Florida’s second-round series against Boston and leaving an impression on teammates.
“I think with us, [the key is] it’s just a good group of depth,” Ekblad said. “Big pieces like [Okposo] that come in and have an instant impact like he did in [Boston]. And I just think it’s it’s just a tight-knit group of guys; it’s kind of hard to say [exactly] why it works.”
The 2021 group
Florida made three moves in 2021 that warranted a second trade-related category of their own.
It was a late-starting season amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic so the deadline had been shuffled along to April. The change in time didn’t affect Florida’s urgency to target players who would be integral parts of the Panthers’ current makeup.
First, Florida acquired defenseman Brandon Montour from Anaheim for a third-round pick in the 2021 draft. It was a classic buy-low-and-be-amazed scenario. The Panthers signed Montour to a three-year extension, and he responded with a breakout season in 2022-23. Montour finished as the league’s fifth-highest scoring defenseman by doubling his own career-best numbers (at 16 goals and 73 points).
Montour was a difference maker for Florida during their Cup Final run last year, and he’s been excellent again in these playoffs with three goals and nine points while averaging a team-high 23:46 of ice time per game.
That same April, the Panthers also got punchier when they landed Sam Bennett from Calgary for a second-round pick in 2022 and the rights to prospect Emil Heineman. Bennett, like Montour, immediately signed a contract extension with the Panthers — and, like Montour, followed that with a personal-best season the following season, collecting 28 goals and 49 points.
Whatever is in the Panthers’ water continues to work it’s charm on Bennett, with another strong regular season and playoff stretch including four goals and seven points in 10 games. The feisty forward hasn’t made friends along the way — particularly in Boston — but he is, as Maurice has noted, the “prototypical” Panther. Not a bad moniker to wear.
There are a whole host of superlatives for the season Sam Reinhart just had. The second overall pick in 2014, Reinhart was swapped to Florida for a 2022 first-round pick and Devon Levi in July 2021. It was a steep cost that Reinhart has repaid in full. Since Reinhart arrived in South Florida, he’s scored 121 goals and 243 points through 242 games.
Reinhart’s best work came this season, when he wowed the league with a 57-goal, 94-point showing (including 27 goals on the power play). Reinhart has had to answer questions all season about his impending free agency, but he’s appeared unbothered by that in the playoffs, producing eight goals and 12 points.
It’s not just what Reinhart does individually, either. He elevated linemates all season, including Barkov, who didn’t forget to thank Reinhart after being named the 2023-24 Selke winner.
“The players I’m playing with, without them nothing would be possible,” Barkov said. “I’ve got to give credit to [Reinhart]. I played with him the whole year. He helped me a lot.”
Sam Reinhart scores OT winner for Panthers to even series
Sam Reinhart scores a slap shot goal during a power play in overtime to give the Panthers a win over the Rangers in Game 4.
The “castoffs”
Sometimes, things don’t work out for a hockey player and a particular NHL team.
Lucky for the Panthers.
Carter Verhaeghe technically started his NHL tenure as a Toronto Maple Leaf. But before Verhaeghe ever played for the Leafs, they traded him to the New York Islanders in a multi-player deal centered on Michael Grabner. Verhaeghe never dressed for the Islanders either before they traded him to Tampa Bay in 2017.
It would take another two years for Verhaeghe to finally debut with the Lightning in 2019-20, the year Tampa won its first of two consecutive championships. Verhaeghe wouldn’t be a part of that second title though, because the Lightning didn’t offer the then-restricted free agent a qualifying offer and he was subsequently a UFA. The Panthers pounced with a contract offer, Verhaeghe accepted and — stop if you’ve heard this one before — he broke out the following season, with a 55-point campaign. Verhaeghe has been on a tear ever since, producing 72 points in 76 games this season, and pacing the Panthers in postseason goals (nine) to boot.
Gustav Forsling also knows about being a diamond in the rough. The defenseman was placed on waivers by Carolina in January 2021, the ultimate gut-punch for any young player. The Panthers were there to claim Forsling from the wire and offer him a fresh start.
Forsling responded by blossoming under the Florida sun. He’s now the Panthers’ top-pairing defender who inked an eight-year, $46 million extension this March. Forsling now leads Florida in points by a defenseman in the postseason (10) and will be patrolling its blue line through the prime of his career. Forsling’s impact in these playoffs — four goals and 11 points, while averaging over 23 minutes of ice time per game — has garnered him serious accolades.
“In his style, he’s the best defenseman in the world,” Maurice said after Game 5 on Friday.
Gustav Forsling on 3rd period success: ‘We’ve done it all year’
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Oliver Ekman-Larsson didn’t have to experience the waiver process. But being bought out by Vancouver in June 2023 likely wasn’t a much better feeling. He was available on the open market as a UFA when the Panthers once again found what they believed to be an undervalued player.
The veteran has been revitalized on Florida’s third pairing, and as the quarterback of Florida’s second power-play unit. The opportunity to be in the hunt for an elusive championship is only further fuel for Ekman-Larsson’s solid playoffs, and has shown the league he’s not done yet.
“That he could come back and re-establish himself as a defenseman, that was the opportunity that we had for him,” Maurice said of Ekman-Larsson. “And he certainly made the most of it.”
The “choosers”
Players will wait their whole careers to personally pick a landing spot.
Sergei Bobrovsky‘s opportunity to do it came in July 2019. He took his talents to South Beach.
Florida invested in their new No. 1 netminder with a seven-year, $70 million contract meant to solidify the Panthers’ goaltending for the foreseeable future. It hasn’t always been smooth sailing, though. Bobrovsky — who was a two-time Vezina Trophy winner with Columbus — struggled to consistently establish that award-winning form for Florida.
In 2022-23, Bobrovsky began so poorly there were questions around whether he’d lose the net entirely to prospect Spencer Knight. That didn’t come to fruition, but Bobrovsky was replaced by Alex Lyon late in the season while he was sidelined with an illness. Lyon played so well he was the Panthers’ playoff starter — but Bobrovsky was their hero. When Lyon stumbled, Bobrovsky stepped in to help Florida reach the Cup Final. And that momentum carried into this season, where he allowed the second-fewest goals by an NHL regular (behind Connor Hellebuyck) and was nominated for his third Vezina. Bobrovsky has given the Panthers confidence again in these playoffs, with a 10-5 record, .904 SV% and 2.29 GAA.
Belief is a critical factor not just in major signings but smaller ones, too. The Panthers have filled in the gaps with fourth-line forwards Ryan Lomberg — who inked his first deal with Florida in October 2020 — and Nick Cousins, who came on board in July 2022. They were textbook energy-drivers in the regular season, and have provided hard-working minutes when called upon in the postseason as Maurice shuffled the decks here and there to maximize the Panthers’ matchups.
One skater not drawing out has been defenseman Niko Mikkola — especially not against his former team. Mikkola was acquired by the Rangers (along with Tarasenko) ahead of last year’s deadline to aid in their postseason quest, which ended abruptly with a first-round ousting. The blueliner didn’t stick around with the Blueshirts and signed in Florida as a free agent in July. Mikkola skated in all 82 regular-season games for the Panthers, and has been on a strong pairing with Forsling throughout the playoffs, averaging nearly 20 minutes of ice time per game.
Anthony Stolarz was another July addition for Florida. Lyon had moved on to a larger role in Detroit, and Stolarz was an ideal journeyman to fill in the gap behind Bobrovsky. The veteran was terrific at that, posting a 16-7-2 record with .925 SV% and 2.03 GAA in the regular season.
Florida’s last man in during the July signing season was Evan Rodrigues. The versatile forward has been a fixture in the Panthers’ top nine, and can seemingly find chemistry with any linemate. That’s how Rodrigues has enhanced his value in the playoffs, particularly when Florida lost Bennett to an injury early. Rodrigues’ performances in Game 3 and Game 4 against Boston — when he tallied two goals and two assists — helped carry Florida through.
“I think that those are his two best games of the year for us,” Maurice said after Game 4 vs. the Bruins. “I think Evan is the kind of guy that can elevate his play in the playoffs. He’s a really good skater and he looks like he’s getting into a lot of holes and getting pretty good offense off.”
The bonus pair
Let’s call this the re-return.
We’ve gone through the three Florida draft picks still in their lineup — but mentioned there was a fourth draftee to be named later. That’s Dmitry Kulikov.
Florida selected him 14th overall in 2009, and Kulikov played seven seasons for the Panthers (from 2009-2016) before he was traded to Buffalo. The blueliner bounced around between six other teams from there before accepting a one-year free agent contract from the Panthers in July.
Kulikov was home again. And while the years had passed, his ability to contribute had not. He’s been a constant on their third pairing, and puts up reliable minutes at even strength and on the penalty kill. Like no time passed at all.
And that brings us to the final piece of Florida’s puzzle.
Let’s call this: The (unexpected) replacement.
The Panthers didn’t look to be in the market for a new coach after Andrew Brunette — as interim bench boss following Joel Quenneville stepping down — guided Florida to a Presidents’ Trophy winning season in 2021-22.
Turns out, the Panthers had someone else in mind for the full-time role: Maurice. Florida made it official with the 25-year coaching veteran in June 2022, months after Maurice had excused himself from the head role in Winnipeg after a slow start to the Jets’ season.
It was Maurice’s “experience” and “intellect” that drew GM Billy Zito in. Maurice has proven his worth by bringing out the best in Florida.
“He’s the perfect coach for our team,” Tkachuk said in September.
THE PANTHERS’ 2024 STORY isn’t finished yet.
They lead the Eastern Conference finals 3-2, with Game 6 on Saturday (8 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+). Florida has home-ice advantage with an opportunity to reach a consecutive Cup Final. The end of this chapter is still being written.
Florida’s origin story is at the heart of it. The Panthers went from literal bottom-dwellers to collecting talent that’s shaped them into a powerhouse. Not every team gets there. Not all of them can. There’s something innate about the Panthers’ culture though that makes players — regardless of background or where they were before — have faith in their own potential.
And you can’t put on a price on that.
“They got me right into the group,” Forsling said. “And I feel like I’ve played here my whole career. Everyone is very welcoming and friendly, you know? When I got here, everyone was just [making you feel good] that way.”
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Sports
Branch Bros. commit to Georgia after USC exit
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2 hours agoon
January 5, 2025By
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Pete Thamel, Senior College Sports InsiderJan 5, 2025, 04:31 PM ET
Close- College Football Senior Writer for ESPN. Insider for College Gameday.
Former USC wide receiver Zachariah Branch and safety Zion Branch have committed to Georgia, the brothers told ESPN on Sunday.
The brothers are former top-100 recruits who loom as significant additions for the Bulldogs in 2025. They both have two seasons of eligibility remaining.
Zachariah Branch is the No. 9 overall player and No. 4 wide receiver in ESPN’s transfer portal rankings. He earned first-team All-American honors in 2023 while emerging as one of the most electric players in college football.
“I chose Georgia because I felt like the culture was something special,” Zachariah Branch told ESPN. “They have a great coaching staff, the brotherhood within the program, their will to win, being prepared for the next level and being as successful as possible on and off the field was important to me.”
Zachariah Branch can boost a Georgia receiving room that was beset this season by off-field issues and inconsistent play. Georgia led the country with 36 wide receiver drops, per ESPN Research.
“I see their potential as a contender for the national championship and to defend their SEC title in 2025,” Zachariah Branch said.
He accounted for 1,863 all-purpose yards during his two seasons at USC, including two kicks returned for touchdowns in 2023. As a receiver he caught 78 passes for 823 yards and three touchdowns. He tied for the team lead in receptions this season with 47. He rushed for 87 yards and another touchdown during his two seasons in coach Lincoln Riley’s offense.
Zion Branch played in all 12 games for USC as a redshirt sophomore safety this season, recording 19 tackles, 3 pass breakups and 1 sack in a reserve role. He’s the older of the two brothers and dealt with season-ending injuries in both 2022 and 2023.
“I chose the University of Georgia because of its great coaching staff, their pedigree, and the history of the program,” Zion Branch told ESPN. “Georgia has consistently been one of the best programs in college football, and the culture of excellence they’ve built is something I want to be a part of. The coaches are not just about winning games; they’re about building character, fostering growth and pushing players to be their absolute best both on and off the field.”
The brothers joined the Trojans after starring at Bishop Gorman High School in Las Vegas. Zachariah was the No. 7 overall recruit in the ESPN 300 for 2023, and Zion was No. 76 in 2022.
The Georgia receiving room was full of steady players but with no true standout; nobody finished in the SEC’s top 10 for receiving yards. Senior Arian Smith, who accepted an invitation to the Senior Bowl but still has a season of eligibility left, led the Bulldogs with 817 yards. Receiver/punt returner Anthony Evans III entered the transfer portal, and Dominic Lovett, who is out of eligibility, led the team with 59 catches.
Zachariah Branch offers rare dynamism and downfield speed that will make him a candidate to be Georgia’s top target in 2025. He scored just one touchdown for USC in 2024 after scoring five as a true freshman — two in the return game, two receiving and one rushing.
The brothers see themselves as contributors toward the program’s bigger goals.
“This team is poised to do something truly special — competing for championships and setting a standard of excellence that few can match,” Zion Branch said. “With the talent that’s already there and the elite-level recruits coming in, the future is incredibly bright. I have no doubt Georgia will not only win a lot of games but also continue to lead the nation in innovation and performance on the field.”
Sports
FCS title game preview: Can North Dakota State knock off undefeated Montana State?
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January 5, 2025By
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Bill Connelly, ESPN Staff WriterJan 3, 2025, 08:00 AM ET
Close- Bill Connelly is a staff writer for ESPN.com.
On Dec. 15, 1984, Montana State completed a worst-to-first run for the ages. One season after going 1-10, Dave Arnold’s Bobcats began the season 2-2 but caught fire offensively, beat a top-10 Boise State team in October and even upset Fresno State 35-31 late in the season. They charged into the 12-team playoff with the No. 3 seed, beat Arkansas State and Rhode Island by a combined 29 points, then unleashed hell on Louisiana Tech in the title game. Quarterback Kelly Bradley threw for 334 yards and two touchdowns, Tech didn’t score until the final minute of the game, and MSU cruised 19-6.
Montana State has been chasing that title feeling for 40 years. And Monday night in Frisco, Texas (7 p.m. ET on ESPN), the Bobcats have their best chance yet of earning a second ring. All that’s left is to defeat FCS’ ultimate final boss.
After ceding control of FCS to rival South Dakota State for a couple of years, North Dakota State defeated the Jackrabbits twice in 2024; the Bison are back in the final for the 11th time in 14 years. They knocked Montana State out of the playoffs in 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2023, and after winning eight of nine titles between 2011 and 2019, they’re looking for their second title of the 2020s.
Will we see another North Dakota State coronation or will Montana State conjure the spirit of 1984?
How they got here
Record: 15-0
SP+ rankings: first overall, first on offense, second on defense
Key regular-season results: def. New Mexico 35-31, def. Idaho 38-7, def. UC Davis 30-28, def. Montana 34-11
Playoff run: def. UT Martin 49-17, def. No. 8 Idaho 52-19, def. No. 4 South Dakota 31-17
Defeating FCS royalty comes with its own set of challenges, but there should be no doubting who the best team in FCS has been through 15 games. Montana State has been devastating from start to finish. Despite handing New Mexico a pair of defensive touchdowns, the Bobcats still overcame the FBS Lobos, dominating statistically (total yards: 567-324) and scoring 21 fourth-quarter points to win their season opener.
They’ve barely wobbled since. Their only tight game to date against an FCS opponent was only sort of tight: On Nov. 16, they went on a 30-0 run to take a commanding lead at eventual quarterfinalist UC Davis before the Aggies scored three late touchdowns (thanks in part to an onside kick recovery) to make it close. No one has had the ball with a chance to take a late lead on MSU since the New Mexico game. South Dakota played an awesome game against the Bobcats in the semifinals and still couldn’t get closer than 14 points down the stretch.
Record: 13-2
SP+ rankings: third overall, second on offense, fifth on defense
Key regular-season results: lost to Colorado 31-26, def. North Dakota 41-17, def. South Dakota State 13-9, def. Missouri State 59-21, lost to South Dakota 29-28
Playoff run: def. Abilene Christian 51-31, def. No. 7 Mercer 31-7, def. No. 3 South Dakota State 28-21
NDSU took on a tougher schedule and came within six points of an unbeaten record. The Bison led Colorado at halftime but couldn’t quite overcome a pair of Travis Hunter touchdowns in the second half, falling 4 yards short on a game-ending Hail Mary.
They had to survive an early 38-35 thriller against East Tennessee State, recovering an onside kick and scoring twice in the last two minutes, but once the defense found its rhythm, NDSU started looking like NDSU again. Over their past 11 games, only three have been close: the two wins over South Dakota State and the tight loss at South Dakota.
MSU offense, first-team all-conference selections: QB Tommy Mellott (6-foot-0, 208 lbs., Sr.), RB Scottre Humphrey (5-11, 210, So.), TE Rohan Jones (6-3, 235, Jr.), RG Marcus Wehr (6-4, 300, Sr.), LT Conner Moore (6-5, 310, So.), PR Taco Dowler (5-9, 175, So.)
In his first collegiate game in 2021, he ripped off a 44-yard run. In his fourth, he scored from 74 yards. In his first three playoff games, he threw for 449 yards and rushed for 411 while leading MSU to the national title game.
For most of four years now, Montana State quarterback Tommy Mellott has been a unicorn, combining ultra-efficient passing with downright reckless rushing, throwing his 208-pound frame around with abandon and doing whatever it takes to get the job done. He got injured early in the 2021 title game against NDSU, and he has been dinged up at some point basically every year since. But if he’s in the game, he’s probably doing something ridiculous. He has five career 150-yard rushing games (including a 273-yard, three-touchdown performance against Weber State in 2022), and he has five career 225-yard passing games (including a 300-yard, four-touchdown performance against UT Martin in the second round of this year’s playoffs).
In 2024, Mellott and his supporting cast have produced the most brilliant offense in FCS. Scottre Humphrey and Adam Jones have combined for 2,494 rushing yards and 29 touchdowns, with Mellott chipping in 915 yards and 14 more scores in less than eight carries per game. Meanwhile, Mellott has completed 69% of his passes at 13.5 yards per completion with a downright unfair 29-to-2 TD-to-INT ratio. He doesn’t have a go-to receiver — he has three: Wideouts Taco Dowler (also an ace punt returner) and Ty McCullouch and tight end Rohan Jones have combined for 100 catches, 1,494 yards and 23 scores.
A case could be made that elite line play was the last piece of the puzzle in head coach Brent Vigen’s four-year building project — it’s where the Bobcats most noticeably were lacking in their first few meetings against NDSU and SDSU. But despite starting three sophomores up front, the Bobcats boast an abundance of both talent and raw size up front, averaging 6-4, 305 pounds across the line with a pair of first-team all-Big Sky performers. MSU averages 41.3 points per game and hasn’t been held under 31 all season. It was jarring when South Dakota forced four straight punts in the second half of the semifinals, but it didn’t help all that much since MSU had scored on five of its first six drives.
NDSU defense, first-team all-conference selections: DT Eli Mostaert (6-3, 289, Sr.), LB Logan Kopp (6-1, 220, Jr.)
NDSU’s defense took a little while to shift into gear in 2024. Including the loss to Colorado and the near-upset against ETSU, the Bison allowed at least 24 points and at least 367 yards in three of their first four games. But in the 11 games since, they’ve allowed only 15.7 points and 299.1 yards per game despite playing over half their games in that span against playoff teams.
Veteran linemen Eli Mostaert, Loshiaka Roques and Kody Huisman have combined for 24 tackles for loss, 10.5 sacks and 12 QB hurries up front (Huisman also has blocked two kicks), and linebacker Logan Kopp is the prototypical tackling machine. But as has been customary over the last 15 years or so, the Bison’s biggest strength is depth. Nine NDSU defenders have recorded at least four tackles for loss, nine have at least two sacks, 12 have defended (intercepted or broken up) at least three passes, 13 have forced a fumble and 14 have recovered one. MSU has the best offense they’ve faced, but in two games against SDSU (No. 3 in offensive SP+) the Bison allowed an average of just 333 yards and 19 points. They aren’t likely to give up too many easy yards, even to Mellott & Co.
A mistake-free Bison attack
NDSU offense, first-team all-conference selections: QB Cam Miller (6-1, 212, Sr.), WR Bryce Lance (6-3, 204, Jr.), RT Mason Miller (6-7, 305, Sr.), LT Grey Zabel (6-6, 305, Sr.)
The bar is high in Fargo, and compared to the absurd talent that has rolled through town over the past 15 years, this NDSU offense is not the most explosive this FCS dynasty has produced. Backs CharMar Brown and Barika Kpeenu have combined for 1,825 yards and 21 touchdowns, but they average just 5.1 yards per carry — good but not elite. Cam Miller has thrown for 3,052 yards and 31 TDs, but his 12.8 yards per completion is less than you’d expect.
The Bison can still ground teams down with mistake-free efficiency, however. They convert 54% of their third downs and 68% of their fourth downs, and you just can’t take the ball away from them: They’ve committed an FCS-low six turnovers in 15 games. (Granted, there’s some luck involved in that — they’ve lost only one of 10 fumbles. But 10 fumbles in 15 games is minimal too.) The line is still huge, averaging 6-5 and 304 pounds, the backs are still hard to bring down (Brown and Kpeenu are 214 and 209 pounds, respectively), and if your safeties bite on a run fake, they can still go deep with breakout star wideout Bryce Lance (964 yards, 16 TDs), whose unreal, one-handed grab sent NDSU to the title game.
THE ONE-HAND GRAB 🤯@NDSUfootball takes the lead with Bryce Lance’s third touchdown of the game. #FCSPlayoffs x 🎥 ABC pic.twitter.com/lBNM58RpCA
— NCAA FCS Football (@NCAA_FCS) December 21, 2024
While Miller’s upside probably doesn’t match that of Carson Wentz or Trey Lance (Bryce’s older brother), there’s nothing you can throw at him that he hasn’t seen before: The reigning Missouri Valley offensive player of the year will play in his 67th career game Monday night.
If you aren’t careful, the Bison will score on you with special teams too. For as good as MSU’s Taco Dowler is in returns, NDSU can get you with either a punt return (Jackson Williams: 10.8 yards per return and one TD) or a kick return (Williams and TK Marshall: 29.9 yards per return and two scores).
MSU defense, first-team all-conference selections: Edge Brody Grebe (6-3, 250, Sr.), LB McCade O’Reilly (6-0, 220, Sr.), SS Rylan Ortt (6-1, 210, Sr.)
When MSU got mauled by NDSU in the 2021 title game, the Bobcats’ defense had only two players on the depth chart listed at more than 270 pounds. The Bison did what they do against all overmatched foes and road-graded MSU for 380 rushing yards.
MSU still doesn’t exactly have Georgia’s mammoth defensive front, but the 2024 Bobcats are bigger than they were in 2021. Starting tackles Paul Brott and Alec Eckert are listed at 290 and 280 pounds, respectively, and Brody Grebe is a sturdy 250 at end. New Mexico averaged 262.8 rushing yards per game against FBS opponents but managed only 152 against MSU, and only Eastern Washington topped 152 on the Bobcats.
To move the ball on them, teams typically have to do it through the air. UC Davis’ Miles Hastings, Idaho’s Jack Layne and South Dakota’s Aidan Bouman combined to go 62-for-92 for 795 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions against the Bobcats, and while a lot of that yardage came when these opponents were down double digits, it’s still solid work. Of course, it also came with a cost: MSU sacked those three quarterbacks 10 times. Led by ends Grebe and Kenneth Eiden IV (combined: 16.5 sacks) and linebackers McCade O’Reilly and Neil Daily (combined: 15 TFLs), the Bobcats have recorded 36 sacks among 85 TFLs this season. You might be able to hit them for a big play here and there, but only if you get them before they get you.
Projecting the title game
MSU’s Brent Vigen and NDSU’s Tim Polasek both earned their figurative coaching degrees at the University of Craig Bohl — Vigen coached for Bohl at NDSU from 2003-13 and at Wyoming from 2014-20 (mostly as offensive coordinator), while Polasek joined Bohl’s NDSU staff in 2006, stayed in Fargo until 2016 and rejoined Bohl at Wyoming after a stint as Iowa’s offensive line coach. The paths of these two coaches have crossed constantly. So, too, have the paths of these teams, and every time they’ve met in the playoffs, NDSU has prevailed.
Vigen is 47-9 in four seasons at Montana State: 1-2 against FBS teams, 2-2 against rival Montana, 1-4 against NDSU and SDSU and 43-1 against everyone else. He and his Bobcats have been building toward this exact run for a while, and it feels like this is their time to break through. It wouldn’t be a surprise, however, if North Dakota State wrecked the Bobcats’ plans — it’s what dynasties do, after all.
Three years ago, MSU wasn’t quite ready. Mellott got hurt, the Bobcats had no chance of stopping the NDSU run game, and Miller and the Bison rolled. It might be a different story this time around.
ESPN Bet projection: MSU 30.0, NDSU 26.5 (MSU -3.5, over/under 56.5) | SP+ projection: MSU 30.2, NDSU 26.7
Sports
QB recruit back to Cal after portal flip from Ducks
Published
5 hours agoon
January 5, 2025By
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Eli Lederman, ESPN Staff WriterJan 5, 2025, 02:11 PM ET
Close- Eli Lederman covers college football and recruiting for ESPN.com. He joined ESPN in 2024 after covering the University of Oklahoma for Sellout Crowd and the Tulsa World.
Quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele, who first committed to Cal in July before his Dec. 4 flip to Oregon, has signed with Golden Bears, he told ESPN on Sunday, after entering the NCAA transfer portal over the weekend.
Sagapolutele becomes the top-ranked member of the Bears’ 2025 recruiting class. The No. 1 prospect from Hawai’i and ESPN’s No. 18 pocket passer will be eligible to play immediately next fall. His decision marks the latest twist in a dramatic cycle for the talented 2025 high school quarterback class, as well as a significant recruiting win for Cal coach Justin Wilcox.
Sagapolutele’s move comes just 32 days after he spurned the Bears and signed with the Ducks’ top-ranked class during the early signing period. He enrolled at Oregon last month and joined the program for its Rose Bowl preparations, even standing on the sideline during the Ducks’ loss to Ohio State in the College Football Playoff quarterfinal on Jan. 1.
Sagapolutele, who placed a heavy emphasis on early opportunity and development throughout his recruitment, told ESPN that the bowl season experience with Oregon gave him a view of the Ducks’ future outlook at quarterback. With 2024 starter Dillon Gabriel out of eligibility, the Ducks are expected to lean on Dante Moore and Austin Novosad next fall. Behind them, 2025 quarterback signee Akili Smith Jr. (No. 87 in the ESPN 300) is also set to arrive on campus this month as an early enrollee after participating in practices during bowl season.
As Sagapolutele’s confidence over his future at Oregon wavered, he found a pathway back to Cal. Given his December enrollment, he was permitted to use the transfer portal in the five-day window granted to Ducks players following the Rose Bowl defeat, formally entering the transfer portal Saturday.
“I just felt that there was another school in particular that was right for me,” Sagapolutele told ESPN. “I’m excited to be a priority over there and to get to work. I’m ready to see what God has in store for me at Cal.”
Sagapolutele capped his career at Campbell (Hawai’i) High School with 3,404 yards, 46 touchdowns and just three interceptions this season, surpassing Gabriel as the state’s all-time passing leader with 10,653 yards. With his return to the Bears, Sagapolutele can expect a much clearer path to contend for early snaps under center.
After former Cal quarterback Fernando Mendoza‘s offseason transfer to Indiana and the graduation of veteran Chandler Rogers, the Bears are thin at the quarterback position heading into 2025. While Cal is expected to remain active in the transfer passer market this cycle, Sagapolutele will have a chance to compete immediately in a position room that currently holds just 13 games of college experience between returners CJ Harris and EJ Caminong.
Wilcox and the Bears were among the earliest Power 4 programs to recruit Sagapolutele, a late riser in the 2025 class whose stock soared after an impressive performance at the 2024 Elite 11 Finals in June. That early investment paid off over the summer when Sagapolutele committed to Cal over finalists Oregon State, Boise State and Utah State.
The Bears, however, struggled to hold off late recruiting pushes from Georgia and Oregon in the fall after both schools offered Sagapolutele following the start of his senior season.
Sagapolutele left his October visit with the Ducks blown away by the offense under coordinator Will Stein and encouraged by the time he spent with Gabriel, a fellow Hawaiian who coached Sagapolutele during the Elite 11 event last year. Sagapolutele ultimately canceled a pair of scheduled November visits to Georgia, but he gave the Bulldogs strong consideration before pulling his pledge from Cal and joining the Ducks’ latest stockpile of high school talent.
Sagapolutele said the connection that he developed with Cal’s coaching staff never faded. As he experienced a change of heart with the Ducks, it was Sagapolutele’s relationships with Wilcox, Bears offensive coordinator Mike Bloesch and quarterbacks coach Sterlin Gilbert that pulled him back to Cal, stamping a critical victory for a Bears recruiting class that ranked 65th by ESPN.
“It’s the right environment for me,” Sagapolutele said. “Coach Gilbert is going to develop me and it’s a place where I’m going to be able to go in and compete early on.”
Sagapolutele’s move comes in a cycle that saw nine of ESPN’s top 16 quarterback prospects flip their pledges.
While Sagapolutele’s move through the transfer portal before ever playing a college game represents a feature unique to this modern age of college football, it is not entirely unprecedented. He follows 2024 five-star passer Julian Sayin, who transferred from Alabama to Ohio State last year following Nick Saban’s retirement, as the second high-profile quarterback prospect in as many cycles to enroll with a school in December before entering the transfer portal just weeks later.
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