Yeah, this World Series is going to be big — and we’re here to get you ready for all of the action.
With the first pitch of Game 1 scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium, we dive into the players and matchups that matter most for both teams. We also asked our ESPN MLB experts to make their picks for who will win the Series, how many games it will take and who will be the MVP of this Fall Classic.
What’s on the line for the Dodgers: A much-needed exclamation point on L.A.’s incredible run of 12 consecutive playoff appearances (including 11 division titles), with five 100-win seasons since 2017. The only World Series title in this stretch came in 2020 and — fair or not — it’s a bit diminished because it came during the pandemic with limited attendance for the NLCS and Fall Classic played at Globe Life Field in Texas (along with expanded rosters, which helped a pitching-heavy Dodgers team go heavy on its bullpen). The Dodgers were the best team that season, but a championship in 2024 would be different.
Then, of course, there’s all the money the Dodgers spent this offseason to sign Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto and trade for/extend Tyler Glasnow. Over $1 billion in salary commitments. With that money, it’s World Series or bust, and while the Dodgers expect to remain competitive, some of their key players such as Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts and Max Muncy (not to mention Clayton Kershaw) are on the other side of 30. You never know how long they can keep this level of dominance going.
And one more thing: Dave Roberts has the highest winning percentage of any manager in MLB history. With a second World Series title (and a few more years of managing), his Hall of Fame résumé would look pretty good. — David Schoenfield
Three reasons L.A. can win:
1. The depth of the lineup. Max Muncy set a postseason record by reaching base in 12 consecutive plate appearances during the NLCS, and Shohei Ohtani set a Dodgers postseason record by reaching 17 times in the same series. And yet neither was really in consideration for series MVP. That honor, without much pushback, went to Tommy Edman, who hits at the bottom of the lineup when the Dodgers are fully clicking. Given that Mookie Betts has clearly put his bewildering, 0-for-22 postseason slump behind him, Freddie Freeman has had close to a week to rest his sprained right ankle, Teoscar Hernandez and Will Smith showed signs of getting right again in NLCS Game 6, and that Kiké Hernández clearly has a propensity for thriving in October, the Dodgers’ lineup could be at full tilt for this World Series. So, sure, the Yankees can pitch around Ohtani. But there are many concerns behind him
2. The strength of the bullpen. Given the rest days that allowed the Dodgers to line up their three starting pitchers, L.A. might only have to stage one bullpen game in this series. It’s a clear strength, though, NLCS Game 2 notwithstanding. The Dodgers have six high-leverage relievers to deploy in those instances, a list that includes Ryan Brasier, Anthony Banda, Daniel Hudson, Evan Phillips, Michael Kopech and Blake Treinen. If Alex Vesia can return from an intercostal injury, that’s seven. If Brusdar Graterol can bounce back from shoulder inflammation, that’s eight. The Dodgers used a bullpen game to keep their season alive in the NLDS and to clinch a pennant in the following round. Don’t be surprised if they ride the bullpen to a championship.
3. The experience on the roster. The Dodgers could deploy as many as 10 players who were on the World Series roster when they overcame baseball in a bubble to win it all in 2020. Most of the others have been with them through the following three Octobers, which ended in disappointment. The stakes of this stage are not foreign to them. Quite the contrary, actually. Their biggest challenge might have been the five-day layoff that comes with a first-round bye. They finally conquered it this year — and they have the moxie to capture four more wins in what will be the most hyped World Series in recent memory. — Alden Gonzalez
Where the Dodgers are vulnerable: The lack of plentiful left-handed pitching out of the bullpen could be a problem area for L.A. Anthony Banda was the lone lefty reliever on the roster last round against the Mets. If Alex Vesia is healthy (he left Game 5 in the NLDS with an intercostal injury) it could help shore up a potential weakness.
Depending on Vesia’s health, Roberts runs the risk of having to use righties or overusing Banda against a lineup featuring the left-handed hitting Juan Soto, Anthony Rizzo and Alex Verdugo. Even if Banda and/or Vesia are effective against Soto, they will still have to stay in the game to face Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton because of the three-batter minimum rule. That’s a step up from Mets sluggers Pete Alonso and Mark Vientos, and how Dodgers relievers fare in those key matchups could determine the series. — Jesse Rogers
How Dodgers can pitch Soto and Judge: First, let out a long sigh.
Soto does his damage up in the strike zone — and just above it (Hunter Gaddis is nodding). He also does almost all of his chasing out of the zone up there, but it is best to not tempt fate too many times near his nitro zone.
Here’s the best opportunity: Soto’s worst zones for any contact or slugging metrics are the low/in and low/out corners. Now, he doesn’t really chase out of the zone, so you have to throw a strike and hit your spot, probably best to do so with a slider. He will chase a bit below the zone with changeups, so cross your fingers with a fastball above the zone that maybe he fouls off, then when you’re ahead, throw a low slider in the zone or changeup just below the zone and you might have a fighting chance.
Do not throw Judge a middle-in fastball under any circumstances! You have a shot if you nibble around the zone, but even missing inside is a bad idea, so try to stay away and above and below the zone. I would advise to throw almost entirely sliders (especially hard, true sliders that look like fastballs out of the hand) down and away, which is by far his worst pitch and location. The other look you show to get him from leaning out over the plate for a slider is where you might get in trouble. Remember what I said about middle-in fastballs? Don’t do it! — Kiley McDaniel
Jeff Passan’s inside intel:
• Even if you exclude Game 5 of the NLCS, when Los Angeles didn’t manage to strike out a single New York Mets hitter, the Dodgers still have one of the worst strikeout rates this postseason. And as good as the Mets were that game, the Yankees are even more disciplined at the plate. They have a playoff-low 23.2% chase rate on pitches outside the strike zone. “If the Dodgers can strike the Yankees out,” one evaluator who watched Los Angeles all postseason said, “they’re going to be in good shape. I just don’t know that they will.” The flip side for the Dodgers: their hitters have the second-lowest chase rate in the playoffs at 25%
• Watch out, Carlos Rodon, Tim Hill and Nestor Cortes. The Dodgers have feasted on left-handed pitching this postseason, getting on base more than 40% of the time with their righty-stacked lineup. Against lefties, they are hitting 80 points higher. While 15 of Los Angeles’ 20 playoff home runs have come against right-handers, “I like their right-heavy lineup better,” a scout said. “Their left-handed hitters (who play against lefties, Max Muncy and Freddie Freeman) have good eyes and will work ABs. And their righties kill pitchers from the left.”‘
• Speaking of left-handed pitching: The only left-hander certain to be on the Dodgers’ roster is Anthony Banda, who entered this postseason with zero playoff experience. While he has been good in limited time, Banda could be alone in the bullpen after lefty Alex Vesia was left off the NLCS roster with a strained muscle in his ribs. The Yankees’ reliance on left-handedness — Juan Soto, Anthony Rizzo, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Austin Wells and Alex Verdugo all are regulars — might be problematic against other teams. Instead, another scout said, “their reverse-split guys (Luke Weaver and Tommy Kahnle) need to do the heavy lifting.”
New York Yankees
Chance of winning: 47.8% | ESPN BET odds: +105
What’s on the line for the Yankees: The obvious stakes are that the Yankees are trying to end a 15-year title drought now that they’ve quenched their pennant thirst. With 27 titles all-time, New York’s lead on the cosmic standings board is secure for eons to come but it has been a while. The last time New York won it all, Mariano Rivera and Derek Jeter were still active and Juan Soto had just celebrated his 11th birthday. More than the unrequited longings of Bronx fans is the reality that this might be the Yankees’ best chance for some time to come. Sure, the Yankees are always contenders to win it all but his Soto-Aaron Judge pairing is a rare thing and if Soto signs elsewhere, it’s also fleeting. When you think of all-time Yankee power duos, the specter of Lou Gehrig bolting for, say, the on-the-other-side-of-the-river Giants was not something the Babe Ruth era Yankees ever had to confront. Soto may stay of course but just in case, this is as good a time as any for the Bombers to take World Series No. 28. — Bradford Doolittle
Three reasons New York can win:
1. The starting rotation. Bullpen games are fashionable, but the surest way to win in October is with great starting pitching. And the Yankees have the advantage in that department. The Yankees have four legitimate starters to cover the seven-game series. Gerrit Cole is the best starting pitcher between the two clubs. Carlos Rodón, Clarke Schmidt, and Luis Gil are all capable of quality starts behind him. Cole has logged seven innings once in this postseason. Rodón went six in the ALCS. Starts like those alleviate the pressure on the bullpen, which increasingly matters as the series goes along. The Dodgers, meanwhile, have three starters before Game 4 will be a bullpen game for them. The formula has worked thus far but allows for less margin for error. Expose relievers enough and they’ll get hit. Just ask Emmanuel Clase and Cade Smith
2. The stress the top of the lineup applies on pitchers. Getting through the version of Gleyber Torres we’ve seen this month followed by Juan Soto, Aaron Judge and October Giancarlo Stanton atop the lineup is a gauntlet. Torres has a .400 OBP and has reached base in the first inning in eight of nine postseason games. Soto, a proven postseason performer, is 11-for-33 with three home runs, seven walks, seven strikeouts and a 1.106 OPS. Stanton has thrived in October again, swatting five home runs with five walks and a 1.179 OPS. Judge, the presumptive AL MVP, is just 5-for-31, but he’s worked seven walks and hit two home runs. They grind pitchers down.
3. Judge is due. The Yankees have made it this far without MVP Judge. Remember the regular season? When Judge posted perhaps the greatest season ever by a right-handed hitter? When he led the majors in home runs, RBIs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, wRC+ and every version of WAR under the sun? That Judge has not emerged in the postseason, and the Yankees have gone 7-2 anyway. An MVP-level Judge emergence would change the series. — Jorge Castillo
Where the Yankees are vulnerable: The Yankees’ bullpen performance has been a revelation, given the context of mid-September, when Manager Aaron Boone talked about the need to be “creative.” What that entailed, in the end, was the shift of Luke Weaver into the closer role, in place of Clay Holmes, and the bullpen has performed spectacularly in the first two rounds of the postseason. But this Dodgers’ lineup is a whole different level of tough, and so Holmes and Tommy Kahnle and Tim Hill and the others will have to respond in big moments in this series. The Yankees need their starters to cover a majority of innings in this series, because the more that New York’s bullpen is exposed, the more likely it is that the Dodgers will get to them. L.A.’s bullpen is deeper. – Buster Olney
How Yankees can pitch Ohtani and Betts: I’m looking at heat maps of Ohtani’s tendencies, like how his nitro zone is almost the entire strike zone, and I can’t help but hear “Welcome to the Jungle” and Ohtani chuckling at me trying to find a weakness. I’m having trouble finding a type of pitch that he doesn’t have a 1.000 OPS against. He has excellent lateral plate coverage, so he’ll tend to spoil pitches just inside/outside — but he will whiff on stuff just above/below the zone. He has the least success with hard stuff that looks like four-seam fastballs out of the hand, like cutters, sliders, and sinkers. I think working down with firm stuff and mixing in a pitch or two above the zone to change his eyeline will give you a shot, maybe after getting ahead from him fouling off a cutter/slider on his hands. — Kiley McDaniel
Pitching to Betts is a walk in the park after breaking down Judge, Soto, and Ohtani. Betts’ weakest location is away, along with some struggles just above the zone. He excels down and in and even off the plate down and in. It might start sounding repetitive, but a four-seamer or two above the zone to mix things up is smart to deploy at the right time, with the pitch you’re trying to get to most often being a breaking ball down and/or away. He won’t swing and miss much, so it’ll be hard to strike him out, but his nitro zone is the inner half, while the outer half is less scary and off the plate away is where you’re trying to land those sliders. — Kiley McDaniel
Jeff Passan’s inside intel:
• The Yankees have no problem getting runners on base. Sometimes they just have trouble keeping them there and advancing them. If there is a clear advantage in this series, it’s the Dodgers’ on the basepaths. Not only do the Yankees make too many boneheaded mistakes, they were thrown out a disproportionate number of times on the basepaths and took extra bases (going first to third on a single, first to home on a double and second to home on a single) at the lowest rate in MLB, just 36% of the time. The Dodgers, meanwhile, were the best in baseball (49%) “They’re going to make dumb outs at inopportune times,” one scout said. “They’re just consistently not good at running.”
• Everything is pointing toward Nestor Cortes returning from a flexor strain in his left forearm, and because he hasn’t pitched since Sept. 18 and isn’t built up, the strong likelihood is him slotting into a relief or opener role. New York could be inclined to use him early in the series to see whether his stuff is playing — and if he can be an effective left-on-left counter to a pocket of the lineup that includes Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman. “It’s risky spending a roster spot on a guy you don’t know you can rely on,” an executive involved in postseason roster construction said. “If he’s not good, you can just take him off the roster, but if he costs you a game, you’re already regretting the choice.”
• One thing the Yankees will be happy not to see against the Dodgers: changeups. No Dodgers pitcher regularly throws a change. Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s splitter and Brent Honeywell’s screwball function the same, but considering the Yankees’ OPS against changeups this season was 18th in MLB, Los Angeles — especially its bullpen, in which Evan Phillips, Michael Kopech and Blake Treinen do not offer a change – is doing the Yankees a favor. “It’s something to exploit,” a scout said. “And the Dodgers just don’t have guys who can do that.”
Our predictions
New York Yankees (7 votes)
Los Angeles Dodgers (7 votes)
How many games?
• Yankees in 7 (5 votes) • Dodgers in 7 (4 votes) • Dodgers in 6 (3 votes) • Yankees in 6 (2 votes)
Our voting was split, why did you pick the Yankees?
The baseline percentages I use to run the simulations that generate the probabilities you read here are virtually dead even between the Yankees and Dodgers. In other words, this is a coin flip of a matchup with the Dodgers getting an extra home game which, based on what we’ve seen the last couple of years, may or may not be an advantage. My pick of the Yankees, given the hours upon hours I spent working with numbers and trying to appraise every team at each stage of the season, is based on little more than a hunch. Sorry, statheads.
Things I like about the Yankees:
• The Yankees are battle-tested after surviving a gauntlet of young, fast-rising AL Central contenders.
• I like that the Yankees have a more coherent pitching setup entering the series, one sharpened by the long layoff since the ALCS. Yes, you can say that helps the Dodgers and their bullpenning ways even more, but I still think there are diminishing returns in trying to ride that to the end, at least for that team.
• I also think the layoff will give Aaron Judge a chance to get his head together and he is overdue for a heater.
• More than anything: If there is one player I think could dominate this matchup from beginning to end, it’s Juan Soto, who, for now at least, resides in the Yankees dugout. — Doolittle
And why do you think the Dodgers will win it all?
Rigorous statistical studies have shown that it would take a best-of-75 series to determine the best team in a matchup of two essentially equal teams, which is what we have here, but given that we can’t really keep playing baseball until mid-January, we’re stuck with a best-of-7.
Here’s why I’m picking the Dodgers:
• I believe more in Shohei Ohtani right now than Aaron Judge.
• The Yankees haven’t been tested in the postseason — the Royals and Guardians, simply put, were average-at-best offensive teams. The Cleveland bullpen was also running on fumes.
• Sure, the Dodgers have issues with the starting rotation, but they’ve already proven they can overcome that with their bullpen depth.
• I don’t trust the Yankees bullpen. Tim Hill? Jake Cousins? Even Luke Weaver, as good as he’s been, was touched up for a couple home runs in the ALCS.
• Giancarlo Stanton can — and will — be pitched to. (though I’m not sure the same can be said for Juan Soto)
• Mookie Betts is back: .342/.419/.763, 4 HR, 12 RBIs over his past nine games. (though I do worry about Freddie Freeman’s ankle)
Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.
Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.
2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.
Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.
2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet
Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.
Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.
2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet
Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.
Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.
2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet
Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.
Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.
2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet
Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.
Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.
2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.
Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet
Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.
Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.
BOSTON — Red Sox right-hander Hunter Dobbins said on Saturday that he knew his season was probably over when he felt a familiar sensation in his knee.
He was right. Dobbins was diagnosed with a torn anterior cruciate ligament, his second ACL tear in his right knee.
“Yeah. I’ve torn my ACL in this knee before, and it was the same feeling,” he said, standing in the middle of Boston’s clubhouse with a red sleeve on his right leg. “Kind of some denial went into it, tried to go through that warmup pitch, felt the same sensation again, so, at that point, I knew what it was.”
Dobbins tore the same ACL playing high school football.
Covering first base in the second inning of Boston’s 5-4 walk-off win over the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday night, 25-year-old Dobbins stepped awkwardly and limped after recording an out by making a catch on a throw from first baseman Abraham Toro.
Dobbins took one warmup toss before manager Alex Cora stopped him from attempting any more.
“Tough,” Cora said before the Red Sox faced the Rays. “He put himself on the map, right, did a good job for us. When it happened, I thought something minor. Talking to him, he felt it right away. He’s been through that before.”
Dobbins said he found out about Boston’s dramatic win while being examined.
“I was actually in the MRI machine and they were giving me score updates in between each one,” he said. “Right after the last one they said, ‘I think you’d like to hear this, you just won by a walk-off.’ That was pretty cool to hear the guys picked me up.”
The Red Sox placed him on the 15-day injured list Saturday and recalled right-hander Richard Fitts.
“In my head I have Opening Day next year kind of circled,” Dobbins said. “Whether or not that’s realistic, I don’t know, but that’s my goal.”
CHICAGO — Chicago White Sox great Paul Konerko got a present from one No. 14 to another in honor of the 20th anniversary of the 2005 World Series championship run: a jersey signed by noted Chicago fan Pope Leo XIV.
Cardinal Blase Cupich, the archbishop of Chicago, presented Konerko a jersey with the new pontiff’s signature on the back during a ceremony prior to the game against the Cleveland Guardians. It had the six-time All-Star’s last name and “Pope Leo” above the No. 14.
Robert Prevost became the first pope from the U.S. in the history of the Catholic Church when he was elected on May 8. The Chicago-born missionary, who took the name Leo XIV, is a White Sox fan.
Prevost attended the 2005 World Series opener against Houston in Chicago. He watched from Section 140, Row 19, Seat 2 as the White Sox beat the Astros 5-3 on the way to a four-game sweep and their first title since 1917.
In May, the team unveiled a graphic installation near the seat paying tribute to Pope Leo and that moment. The pillar artwork features a waving Pope Leo XIV, along with a picture from the TV broadcast of the future pope sitting with good friend Ed Schmit and his grandson, Eddie.
Members of the 2005 team are in Chicago this weekend to celebrate the 20th anniversary of the championship run. The White Sox debuted uniform patches honoring late closer Bobby Jenks, who died last week in Portugal, where he was being treated for stomach cancer. On Friday, the team unveiled a statue of former ace Mark Buehrle.