Inside the Washington Capitals’ stunning retool on the fly around Alex Ovechkin
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Greg Wyshynski, Senior NHL writer
If Alex Ovechkin was going to shatter Wayne Gretzky’s NHL career goals record as a member of the Washington Capitals, he had some conditions that needed to be met.
Before re-signing, Ovechkin told Capitals owner Ted Leonsis that he didn’t want to be “a third-line guy playing 8 to 10 minutes a game.” He didn’t want to be someone the team “trotted out on the power play” just to pad his goal totals, according to Leonsis.
Most of all, he didn’t want to play for a rebuilding team. Before signing a five-year contract extension in 2021, he asked Leonsis to promise him that the owner would keep the team competitive, that the Capitals would be the annual playoff contender they had been for most of Ovechkin’s career. In turn, he promised Leonsis that he’d stay in shape and that his eyes wouldn’t be fixated on breaking Gretzky’s record of 894 goals, but on bringing another Stanley Cup to Washington.
Leonsis promised him that the Capitals would not enter a rebuild if Ovechkin was still on the roster. “To me, a rebuild is when you look the players, the coaches, the fans in the eye and say we’re gonna be really, really bad. And if we were really, really bad, I don’t think Alex would break the record,” Leonsis told ESPN in 2022.
This season is the fourth year of Ovechkin’s contract extension.
It appears everyone has kept their promises.
The Capitals’ captain has smashed the scoring expectations for a 39-year-old player. He had the best goal-scoring start of his career, collecting 17 tallies in 20 games before a broken leg interrupted his season. With 21 goals in 30 games, he’s just 21 goals from becoming the NHL’s all-time goal-scoring leader.
Rather than ice a shambolic roster playing out Ovechkin’s record chase, Washington was the NHL’s best team after 46 games, compiling a .728 points percentage. The Capitals were a surprise playoff entrant under first-year coach Spencer Carbery last season. An aggressive offseason augmentation of that roster propelled them to the top of the league.
“There has to be an expectation that we’re going to win,” forward Tom Wilson said. “That’s a culture that’s been built. The new guys came in this year and complemented that.”
This isn’t how it usually works for teams that contend for a dozen seasons.
Look at the Chicago Blackhawks, who followed their dynastic run by tearing down the roster to the foundations in order to draft Connor Bedard and subsequently linger in the league’s basement. Look at the Pittsburgh Penguins — home to Ovechkin’s greatest rival Sidney Crosby — who have unsuccessfully surrounded a veteran core with whatever talent they can scrounge. Their goal was a fourth Stanley Cup in the Crosby era. The result has been prolonging the inevitable.
Since Ovechkin entered the NHL in 2005-06, the Capitals have the third-best points percentage as a team (.608) behind the Vegas Golden Knights and Boston Bruins. The Capitals won the Stanley Cup in 2018. If they had skated into hockey purgatory, waiting for Ovechkin to play out the string before transitioning to the next thing, it would have been understandable.
But that’s not what he wanted. That’s not what the Capitals wanted.
Instead, the present is potent and the future is bright in Washington. Here’s how they pulled it off.
OVER THE PAST 42 years, the Capitals have had four general managers. When David Poile left to join the expansion Nashville Predators in 1997, George McPhee was imported from Vancouver to become the next general manager. Since then, the line of succession has been internal: Brian MacLellan had been McPhee’s assistant GM when he was elevated to replace him when McPhee was fired in 2014. Chris Patrick was MacLellan’s assistant when he was elevated to replace him last offseason, with MacLellan moving up to president of hockey operations.
“It’s pretty similar to how we’ve interacted over the years. I’m just making more phone calls now and dealing with agents at the NHL level than I was before,” Patrick told ESPN. “I think what Mac does really well is understanding what a team’s needs are, how the team’s playing, what areas we need to address.”
Assistant general manager Ross Mahoney, team president Dick Patrick and Leonsis have been the other constants.
“We all put our time in, we all learned from our mistakes,” Mahoney said.
Mahoney believes there are three key areas for building a team: drafting and developing, signing free agents and making trades. He has seen teams master one or two of those tasks but struggle to succeed in all three facets. But this Capitals team has aced all three tests.
In July 2021, Ovechkin announced he had re-signed for five years ($47.5 million). He would be over 40 years old by the end of the deal. The majority of the team’s core — center Nicklas Backstrom, forward T.J. Oshie and defenseman John Carlson — were also signed long term, and not getting any younger.
“I think there was a recognition, probably around when we signed that deal with Ovi, that we were kind of moving to the next phase here,” Patrick recalled. “You just look at the history of the league and how guys perform as they age. Let’s be realistic and understand that we can’t just rely on [Ovechkin and Backstrom] to carry the team anymore. It’s not physically something they’re going to be able to do.”
The realization for Capitals management was that supporting Ovechkin’s record chase with a competitive team did not mean propping up the roster with veteran mercenaries until he retired.
“If there are opportunities to add players that are in their early 20s outside of the draft, we should be looking at those types of deals,” Patrick said. “It doesn’t feel like teams would ever trade guys like that, but it happens more than maybe you realize. You just have to make sure you’re kind of on those opportunities.”
Like when the Blackhawks didn’t tender Dylan Strome a qualifying offer in 2022, and the Capitals signed the 25-year-old center. He’s their leading scorer.
Like when the Toronto Maple Leafs traded 23-year-old defenseman Rasmus Sandin to Washington in 2023, as the Capitals flipped a first-round pick they acquired in sending Garnet Hathaway and Dmitry Orlov to the Bruins at the deadline. He has been a mainstay on the team’s second defensive pairing.
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Dylan Strome nets goal for Capitals
Dylan Strome nets goal for Capitals
Washington added two more players like this with their biggest swings of the offseason: trading for 25-year-old Los Angeles Kings center Pierre-Luc Dubois and 26-year-old Ottawa Senators defenseman Jakob Chychrun.
Patrick cited Matthew Tkachuk as the kind of young player who could become available via trade; the star winger was available for the Florida Panthers in 2022. Though he’s not Matthew Tkachuk, the Chychrun trade was similar in that the Senators did not expect him to re-sign after this season. The Capitals pounced, sending defenseman Nick Jensen and a third-round pick to Ottawa for Chychrun, a top-pairing, puck-moving defenseman.
Through 41 games, Chychrun leads all Washington defensemen with 31 points.
The Dubois trade was one of the offseason’s most shocking moves. The Capitals acquired the disappointing center — and the remaining seven years of his contract with an $8.5 million annual cap hit — for goalie Darcy Kuemper in a one-for-one trade.
Acquired from Winnipeg to potentially ascend to the Kings’ No. 1 center spot after Anze Kopitar retired, Dubois was a massive disappointment in his first season in Los Angeles, finishing with 16 goals and 24 points in 82 games and skating to a minus-9. He continued to underwhelm in the Kings’ postseason loss to Edmonton, notching one goal and 20 penalty minutes in five games.
The Capitals were Dubois’ fourth NHL team in nine seasons — unusual for a third overall pick — having previously fallen out of favor in Columbus and Winnipeg. All of those teams were banking on his potential, enchanted by the brief flashes of its fulfillment.
That included the Capitals, who watched him step up in the 2018 playoffs with two goals, two assists and dominant play. “Every time he was on the ice it was like, ‘Oh my god, this guy again.’ He was such a handful and I don’t even think he was even 22 years old at the time,” Patrick said.
The Capitals tracked Dubois’ path from Columbus to Winnipeg. They tried trading for him in summer 2023 before the Jets sent him to Los Angeles. They got their man last offseason, with his stock the lowest it has been.
“He was playing behind two good centers in L.A. It seemed like he wasn’t getting the opportunities he needed to get,” Patrick said. “There was still a good player there, but he was too buried in the lineup.”
Tim Barnes, who has run the analytics department in Washington since 2014, had his group confirm that Dubois’ issue was mostly usage. The Capitals did their due diligence to make sure there weren’t other issues off the ice.
“You do the work on who he is as a person and in the room. From what we learned, he was a great teammate, hard worker, wants to get better, loves the game,” Patrick said. “It’s just the situation wasn’t great for him in L.A.”
But none of this would have mattered if their coach didn’t want him. There were plenty of reasons to be wary, from the long-term contract to his underwhelming play with the Kings.
“I think a lot of coaches would be like, ‘I don’t want that problem.’ But Carbs was open-minded about it. He did his work, he understood who the person was,” Patrick said. “Maybe some stuff that some coaches saw as negatives, Carbs didn’t mind them. He felt he could deal with it.”
Dubois has resurrected his career in D.C. with 36 points in 46 games, including 8 goals.
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Pierre-Luc Dubois capitalizes on the power play
Pierre-Luc Dubois capitalizes on the power play
Goaltender Logan Thompson also falls into the “aggressive acquisition of players of a certain age” gambit. Thompson, 27, played parts of four seasons with the Golden Knights. Injuries to starter Adin Hill led to Thompson playing a career-high 46 games last season, posting a 25-14-5 record with nearly identical stats to Hill’s.
Vegas GM Kelly McCrimmon said Thompson requested a trade, and the Capitals swooped in with two third-round picks — including one acquired from Toronto in a deadline trade for defenseman Joel Edmundson.
The Capitals were comfortable with Thompson, who played with their ECHL affiliate in 2019-20 and had a good relationship with Washington goalie coach Scott Murray. Whatever went on with Thompson in Vegas, the Capitals weren’t concerned.
“I mean, that’s the biggest thing a lot of times in trades and free agency, just trying to get a sense for what the person’s like and what they’re like in the group and in the room,” Patrick said. “And so we felt like we had a pretty good feel for that.”
The Capitals have also been adept in finding players who are “maybe underappreciated in their roles with other teams” said Patrick, who points to center Nic Dowd and defenseman Trevor van Riemsdyk as examples. Defenseman Matt Roy was used a lot by the Kings, but has played an important role for Washington after he was signed as a free agent last summer.
All of these moves speak to a cap flexibility that the Capitals didn’t always anticipate. One of the primary differences between the Capitals’ resurgence and the Penguins’ fade is the composition of their respective cores. Pittsburgh has $30.9 million in cap space dedicated to Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson — 35% of its cap space dedicated to four players.
The Capitals used to have a similar plight with Ovechkin ($9.5 million), defenseman John Carlson ($8 million), Backstrom ($9.2 million) and Oshie ($5.75 million). But Backstrom and Oshie are on long-term injured reserve this season. Backstrom returned from hip surgery to play just eight games last season before “stepping away from the game” last November. Oshie is expected to miss the entire season due to a chronic back injury.
Patrick said that if Backstrom could have returned, the Capitals would have welcomed him back and “gone in a different direction” with their offseason acquisitions.
“Maybe you still make that deal for Dubois and you just free up money somewhere else,” he said. “It’s all a little bit ‘Choose Your Own Adventure’: If something comes in front of you, then you figure out the next moves you’d have to make.”
Instead, the clarity Backstrom gave the Capitals last summer regarding his health “helped us understand where we could go in our decision-making process,” Patrick said.
TYING ALL OF THIS together is Carbery, 43, one of the most critical NHL coaching hires of the past several seasons.
After the Capitals defeated the Penguins on Jan. 18, Carbery was asked about his team being atop the NHL standings.
“I don’t really know how to answer that,” he said through a smile and a chuckle. “We feel good. I mean, we’re happy. The guys should be really proud where we are after 46 games. We’ll just continue to build and continue to grind.”
His tone was that of a coach who knows there’s a long road ahead, but Carbery’s Capitals have already come so far.
In 2023, Carbery was an assistant coach with the Maple Leafs, and generated a lot of buzz in the coaching market. The Capitals had parted ways with head coach Peter Laviolette after missing the playoffs. MacLellan coveted the young coach. Carbery, in turn, fancied the idea of coaching the Capitals after having coached their ECHL team in South Carolina for five seasons and the Hershey Bears for three seasons.
It took a bit for the Capitals to find an identity under Carbery last season. “We were very defensive. We weren’t scoring many goals as a team,” Carlson said. “When your team is not as offensive as in years past, we all have to change. We all have to find different ways. And I think it just took us longer.”
Last season, the Capitals were 28th in goals per game (2.63) and 16th in goals against (3.07). This season, they’re second in goals per game (3.57) and third in goals against (2.43).
Patrick has praised Carbery’s communication skills and his boldness — like in signing off on the Dubois deal, for example.
“I worked with him a lot in Hershey. I guess I didn’t have that appreciation for his willingness to go against the conventional coach thinking,” Patrick said.
“He’s a bright, intelligent guy who’s competitive. I think a really, really good communicator. I think Spencer’s as honest as they come. He will tell you what he expects of you. He will tell you what he wants,” Mahoney said. “He’s got the X and O’s and all that, but I think being able connect to all 23 players is not easy to do.”
Carbery is also young enough to be an effective coach for the NHL veterans as well as the next wave of prospects for the Capitals — who are another reason this retool has worked.
MAHONEY HAS RUN the Capitals’ draft for 27 years, first as director of amateur scouting and then as assistant general manager. The foundation of the Ovechkin Era has been built through the draft, starting with the Great 8 going first overall in 2004.
Since 2008, Ovechkin’s first trip to the postseason, the Capitals have missed the playoffs only twice. They’ve maintained that success without bleeding their prospect pipeline dry. Since 2008, there were only three drafts in which the Capitals didn’t make a first-round pick.
The Ovechkin Era was fostered by picks such as forwards Backstrom, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Marcus Johansson, Alex Semin and Wilson; defensemen Carlson, Mike Green, Dmitry Orlov and Karl Alzner; and goalies Braden Holtby and Philipp Grubauer. In Game 5 of the 2018 Stanley Cup Final, the Capitals had 12 players drafted from Mahoney’s boards in their lineup. That’s not considering the talents that Washington drafted who blossomed elsewhere, such as forward Filip Forsberg and goalie Semyon Varlamov.
Time is the ultimate judge of a team’s draft success. But Mahoney believes the past few drafts could be as fruitful as some of the best of the Ovechkin Era.
“I think we’re kind of in another phase right now that’s like the one we were in back then,” he said.
Look no further than the 2025 IIHF World Junior Championships, where two Capitals prospects led Team USA to another gold: Defenseman Cole Hutson, selected 43rd overall last summer and winger Ryan Leonard, taken eighth overall in 2023.
Hutson led all scorers in the tournament with 11 points in seven games, including a goal and an assist in the gold medal game, becoming the first defenseman to do so in tournament history.
U.S.-based scouts Jeremy Browning, Rich Alger and A.J. Toews identified the defenseman as a player the Capitals should target one year before the draft.
“We had him higher than where we took him,” Mahoney said. “He’s not the biggest player, but he plays big. He could really skate, has exceptional confidence with the puck. I think that really came through in the world junior tournament. In all honesty, he played even better than I thought he would.”
As far as when Hutson might join the Capitals, Mahoney said that’s up to the Boston University star. If he shows the right trajectory, he could force Washington’s hand in getting him to the NHL sooner than later.
“He’s on the right path. Next year, we’ll see where he’s at. My advice to them is always make it hard on the coaches or make it hard on the development team,” Mahoney said.
In the 2023 NHL draft, the Capitals held the eighth overall pick. They watched the expected top picks come off the board — Connor Bedard to Chicago, Leo Carlsson to Anaheim, Adam Fantilli to Columbus and so on — but as the first round continued, there wasn’t a chance that Russian star Matvei Michkov would still been available at No. 8.
The Philadelphia Flyers drafted Michkov at No. 7, then the Capitals selected Leonard of the U.S. National Team Development Program at No. 8.
Would Washington have gone Michkov over Leonard at No. 8? Mahoney wouldn’t say, but admitted that he had to pace himself walking to the podium before enthusiastically making Leonard the pick.
“I wanted to run up there, but I thought that would be a little bit immature in my part,” he said.
Leonard was tied for second in points at World Juniors (10), up from his six points in seven games during Team USA’s 2024 gold medal win. He captained the team to gold, something that wasn’t lost on the Capitals.
“I’m quite sure someday here in the future that not only Ryan will be contributing in a major way to the Capitals, but I could see him taking on a leadership role also,” Mahoney said.
Leonard had 60 points in 41 games at Boston College last season, starring on a line with Will Smith, now with the San Jose Sharks, and Gabe Perreault, a top New York Rangers‘ prospect. The winger’s 31 goals set a freshman record at the school. He decided not to join the Capitals last season, opting to return with Perreault to BC this season, but Mahoney said the team wants to see him in Washington “sooner than later.”
If Leonard makes the leap from Boston College to the Capitals, it would make him a rarity in the team’s prospect pipeline. Only a handful of players — forward Tom Wilson being one of them — have joined the NHL without getting considerable seasoning in the AHL with the Hershey Bears. On the current roster, center Aliaksei Protas spent parts of three seasons with the Bears, while center Connor McMichael played 90 games in Hershey, Pennsylvania.
Having a team in Hershey gives Washington a geographic advantage, in part due to the short travel time for call-ups but also enabling Capitals executives to be more hands-on with prospects. Since Ovechkin joined the Capitals, the Bears have won the AHL Calder Cup five times, including back-to-back championships in the past two seasons under head coach Todd Nelson. That continued success is vital to player development, according to Patrick.
“Having good teams in Hershey is important because it puts players into bigger game environments, playing important games against good teams,” he said. “I think all those situations are huge for their development and I think it really helps them when they get into the NHL. Players need to find ways to be mentally ready to play those games. And I think going through that process in Hershey really helps.”
Among the players who are percolating in the Capitals’ pipeline: Defenseman Vincent Iorio (55th overall in 2021), forward Ivan Miroshnichenko (20th overall in 2022) and center Hendrix Lapierre (22nd in 2020). Among those on the way: Wingers Andrew Cristall of the WHL’s Spokane Chiefs (40th overall in 2023) and Terik Parascak of the Prince George Cougars (17th overall, 2024), as well as Hutson.
“We’re really patient with our prospects, never been ones to rush players into the NHL and it’s worked out really well for us. We’ve got really good coaches down there [in Hershey],” said Mahoney, who also credits former NHL players such as Brooks Orpik and Jim Slater in the team’s player development program.
“We do everything we can on our end to help them. We just need them to do everything on their end. And we feel really good about what we have coming in our pipeline,” he said.
A promise made was a promise kept for the Capitals. Alex Ovechkin is thriving on a Stanley Cup contender, as the gap between his goal total and Gretzky’s seemingly unbreakable record continues to narrow. And he’s surrounded by players, with more on the way, who indicate there might be life after Ovi in Washington.
HOUSTON — Astros starter Framber Valdez said he apologized to catcher Cesar Salazar after hitting him in the chest with a pitch Tuesday night, but the left-hander insisted it wasn’t intentional.
Valdez appeared to shake off Salazar on a 1-0 pitch with the bases loaded and Trent Grisham of the New York Yankees at the plate in the fifth inning. Salazar then urged Valdez to step off the mound, but he proceeded with the pitch, which Grisham launched to deep left field to give New York a 6-0 lead in an eventual 7-1 win.
On the second pitch to the next batter, Valdez hit Salazar in the chest with a 93 mph pitch, raising questions about whether he was upset about what happened in the Grisham at-bat and if it was intended.
Valdez said it was not.
“What happened with us, we just got crossed up,” Valdez said in Spanish through an interpreter. “I called for that pitch, I threw it and we got crossed up. We went down to the dugout and I excused myself with him and I said sorry to him and I take full responsibility for that.”
Valdez was then asked directly if he did it on purpose.
“No,” he said. “It was not intentional.”
Valdez and Salazar were talking when reporters entered the clubhouse after the game, and Valdez said they had sorted things out.
“We were able to talk through it,” he said. “We spoke after the game … at his locker and everything’s good between us. It’s just stuff that happens in baseball. But yeah, we talked through it and we’re good.”
Salazar also was asked about what happened on the pitch where he was hit.
“The stadium was loud,” he said. “I thought I pressed the button, but I pressed the wrong button. I was expecting another pitch, but it wasn’t it.”
Salazar said Valdez didn’t hit him on purpose.
“No, me and Framber we actually have a really good relationship,” he said.
Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.
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David Schoenfield
With each postseason expansion throughout MLB’s history, the value of division races has diluted. In the wild-card era, you can finish in second place — or even third or fourth — and still win the World Series.
Does that make September less exciting? There’s no doubt it brings more teams and more fans into the mix. And a big game is still a big game, even if there is slightly less tension in a Red Sox-Yankees or Mets-Phillies series than there otherwise might be if both teams already know they’re going to make the playoffs.
Thus, we’re mostly left with wild-card races and battles for seeding to occupy our time and scoreboard watching. That still offers plenty of fun, still makes September the best month on the baseball calendar, and there’s still a lot of sweating going on when your closer walks two batters in the ninth trying to protect a one-run lead. The 12 postseason slots aren’t completely locked up, so if you’re a fan of the Mets or Mariners, you can’t breathe easily just yet — not until a playoff spot is clinched and the champagne uncorked.
September is here, believe it or not. We have races to decide. Let’s rank their potential excitement level over the final month.
1. National League West race
Standings: Los Angeles Dodgers up 2 games on San Diego Padres
What’s at stake: This is the best rivalry going on in the majors right now. The teams don’t like each other, the fans don’t like each other, and there’s still that element of David trying to knock out Goliath as the Padres seek their first division title since 2006 and their first World Series title ever. The teams have met three times in the NL Division Series since 2020 — with the Dodgers winning in 2020 and 2024 and the Padres victorious in 2022 — and with another rematch possible, home-field advantage could be key.
Do the Dodgers need to win the division? No, they will still be more focused on getting the pitching staff healthy and ready for October than on getting consumed in the race to win the division. It would probably mean more to the Padres, who want to finally beat their I-5 rivals in something besides that one playoff series. On the other hand, San Diego is probably a little better equipped for a short wild-card series, as it can ride its bullpen for the two or three games.
Series to watch: Somehow, the schedule-makers thought it would be a good idea to not have the Dodgers playing the Padres in September. The Dodgers finish with a road trip to Arizona and Seattle while the Padres end at home against Milwaukee and Arizona. The Dodgers won the season series, so they own the tiebreaker.
Dodgers player to watch: Blake Snell has been a notable second-half pitcher in his career and has a 2.54 ERA since returning from the injured list in August, but he hasn’t been quite as dominant as when he gets on one of his patented hot streaks (such as the second half last year, when he had a 1.45 ERA and .130 average allowed). The Dodgers won last season despite a beat-up rotation that wasn’t even all that effective in the playoffs. But the bullpen has been nowhere near as strong this season as in 2024, so they’ll need that dominant version of Snell down the stretch and in October.
Padres player to watch: Ramon Laureano has been the team’s best hitter since he was acquired at the trade deadline, slashing .305/.354/.581 with seven home runs and 23 RBIs in 28 games. He helped keep the offense afloat in August as Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. each hit just one home run on the month and Jackson Merrill has been injured. Laureano’s production has been great, but the Padres need more power from their big two.
2. American League East
Standings: Toronto Blue Jays up 3 games on New York Yankees, 3.5 games on Boston Red Sox
What’s at stake: This has been the wildest division race all season. The Blue Jays were eight games back in late May when they fell under .500 but have now held first place since July 3. The Yankees fell as many as 6.5 games back in August before cleaning up against the Washington Nationals and Chicago White Sox this past week to draw closer. The Red Sox were 41-44 on June 30, but only the Brewers have a better record since that date. The Yankees have a plus-134 run differential, whereas it’s plus-56 for the Blue Jays and plus-102 for the Red Sox, so you wonder why they’re even in this position. However, New York is 5-8 in extra-inning games (the Blue Jays are 8-4) and hasn’t played well against Toronto and Boston (5-15).
Series to watch: Blue Jays at Yankees (Friday-Sunday); Red Sox at Blue Jays (Sept. 23-25); Yankees at Red Sox (Sept. 12-14). All three season series have already been clinched: The Blue Jays over the Red Sox and Yankees and the Red Sox over the Yankees. That will leave the Yankees on the short end of any tiebreaker.
Blue Jays player to watch: Toronto acquired Shane Bieber at the deadline even though he was still completing his minor league rehab from Tommy John surgery. He has allowed three runs in two starts for the Blue Jays, striking out 15 with no walks in 11⅓ innings. It’s just two starts, but he looks like he did when he was the Cleveland ace, plus he has allowed the Jays to go to a six-man rotation. Don’t be surprised if he ends up as the Game 1 starter in the postseason.
Yankees player to watch: Aaron Judge is still probably the MVP favorite, but after missing 10 days with a flexor strain in his right elbow, he hasn’t been quite the same, hitting .241/.417/.506 with six home runs and 12 RBIs in 24 games in August. Though those are still good numbers, it seems fair to call it a slight slump by Judge’s recent historic standards — and it’s not the same level of production as before his injury. He also still hasn’t played the field, which limits the red-hot Giancarlo Stanton to pinch-hitting duties when the Yankees are on the road (manager Aaron Boone has been willing to play Stanton in right field at Yankee Stadium, where there’s less ground to cover).
Red Sox player to watch: Sixty-nine games into his career, 21-year-old rookie Roman Anthony has made it clear: He’s going to be a big star. Sure, he can cut his strikeout rate a bit, but he already has A-plus plate discipline and has the second-highest hard-hit percentage in the majors behind only Kyle Schwarber. And Anthony is also quickly learning to lift the ball, slugging six home runs in August after hitting one each in June and July.
3. National League race for No. 2 seed
Standings: Milwaukee Brewers hold No. 1 seed with 5.5-game cushion; Philadelphia Phillies up 1 game on Dodgers, 3 games on Padres
What’s at stake: The Phillies hold a comfortable lead over the Mets in the NL East, so they have about a 90% chance of winning the division, but Philadelphia is neck and neck with the pair of NL West rivals for the second-best record in the NL. Home-field advantage isn’t a must to win a World Series — we’ve seen wild-card teams take it all, such as the Rangers in 2023 when they were the fifth seed in the AL — but the Phillies have an extreme home/road split this season, going 45-23 in Philadelphia and 34-35 elsewhere. They’re hitting .275 with an .808 OPS at home, .239 with a .693 OPS on the road.
Series to watch: Phillies at Dodgers (Sept. 15-17). The Phillies finish with a six-game homestand against the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, which looks like a favorable way to end the season.
Phillies player to watch: Kyle Schwarber, of course, and Cristopher Sanchez as he takes over the role of staff ace from the injured Zack Wheeler. But the bullpen has been the issue the past two postseasons for the Phillies, which puts Jhoan Duran on the spot as well. Acquired from the Twins at the trade deadline to take over as closer, Duran has mostly done the job, but he blew one save against the Nationals, picking up the loss, and then lost another game against the Mets when he allowed four straight hits without getting an out.
4. American League race for top two seeds
Standings: Detroit Tigers hold No. 1 seed and are up 0.5 games on Blue Jays, 3.5 games on Yankees, 4 games on Red Sox and 4.5 games on Astros
What’s at stake: Bragging rights? Momentum heading into the postseason? Home-field advantage? Sure, all those things are nice, and the Tigers have a notable home/road split (44-25 versus 36-33), so securing that top seed, which they’ve held much of the way in the AL, would be the final touch on an excellent regular season. Still, if you’re manager A.J. Hinch, you’re not going to burn out your rotation in September just to get that top seed. If the Astros climb closer to the Tigers and Blue Jays, however, it will get more interesting as teams want to avoid that wild-card series if possible.
Series to watch: Tigers at Yankees (Sept. 9-11); Tigers at Red Sox (Sept. 26-28); Yankees at Astros (Tuesday-Thursday); Astros at Blue Jays (Sept. 9-11)
Tigers player to watch: The Tigers have been searching for a No. 2 starter behind Tarik Skubal all year. Jack Flaherty has been inconsistent all season and had three starts in August where he allowed five or more runs. Casey Mize has a 7.20 ERA over his past eight starts. Chris Paddack? No. Maybe it’s 41-year-old vet Charlie Morton, who has a 4.61 ERA in his five starts with Detroit, as he has mixed in three excellent outings with two bad ones (although he fanned 10 in one of the bad ones). No matter what, there are going to be a lot of bullpen games for the Tigers in the playoffs when Skubal isn’t pitching, especially since the pen was much better in August after struggling in June and July (and adding some depth at the deadline).
5. American League West
Standings: Houston Astros up 2 games on Seattle Mariners
What’s at stake: The Mariners haven’t won a division title since … hold on here, scrolling through the years on Baseball-Reference.com … that’s right, the 116-win season in 2001. The Mariners made some weird pact with the baseball gods that season, which for some reason didn’t include them making the World Series after their historic regular season but did include them not making the postseason again until 2022. That’s right: They remain the only franchise never to appear in the Fall Classic. Winning the division would increase their odds just a bit and allow them to set their rotation for the ALDS.
Series to watch: Mariners at Astros (Sept. 19-21). The season series is tied 5-5, so the winner of this series gets that crucial tiebreaker edge. Of note: The Mariners have lost five consecutive road series and are 1-6-1 (they split a four-game series) in their past eight. The Astros have managed to keep their grip on first place despite going 12-13 in July and 13-15 in August. They’ve won every full-season AL West title going back to 2017.
Astros player to watch: Yordan Alvarez returned last week after being out since early May with a hand injury. He homered in his second game back and didn’t strike out in his first five games. The Astros have even started him twice in left field, allowing them to give Jose Altuve a DH day. Bottom line: If Alvarez is producing, a below-average offense suddenly looks at least like an average — or better-than-average — offense. With Alvarez, Altuve and Carlos Correa, it’s 2019 or 2021 all over again, two seasons that ended with the Astros playing in the World Series.
Mariners player to watch: How much does Cal Raleigh have left in the tank? He’s sitting on 50 home runs but also hit .194 in July and .173 in August. He’s still doing damage with the long ball and has had 17 home runs and 36 RBIs over the two months, but he’s not carrying the offense as he did in the first half.
6. American League Wild Card
Standings: Mariners hold third wild-card spot and are up 2.5 games on Kansas City Royals, 3 games on Texas Rangers and 4 games on Cleveland Guardians
What’s at stake: By no means are the Mariners out of the AL West race against Houston, but they also haven’t played well enough to pull away in the wild-card fight, even after everyone declared them a sure-thing playoff team following the acquisitions of Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor at the deadline. But given Seattle’s recent history of just missing the playoffs — two wins short in 2021, one short in 2023 and 2024 — Mariners fans are understandably nervous about blowing it, especially with the Royals and the Rangers refusing to go away.
Series to watch: Mariners at Royals (Sept. 16-18); Royals at Guardians (Sept. 8-10); Rangers at Guardians (Sept. 26-28). The Royals finished one game ahead of the Mariners for a wild-card spot last season, so this looks like the key series. The Mariners have one three-game series in Houston starting Sept. 19. If they can survive this current road trip — they just went 1-2 against Cleveland and now head to Tampa and Atlanta — that series looms large as well.
Royals player to watch: Is it too late to toss Bobby Witt Jr. into the Judge/Raleigh MVP debate? He’s making a late run with his outstanding all-around game and just had his best month of the season. With Vinnie Pasquantino mashing home runs and some trade acquisitions chipping in, Kansas City is peaking at the right time. The Royals have played well for two months now and have a pretty soft schedule for the final month.
Rangers player to watch: The Rangers looked out of it, and they’re going to be without Nathan Eovaldi for the rest of the season — and likely Marcus Semien as well — and Corey Seager for some period of time following an appendectomy. But they just won three series in a row. Without Eovaldi, Jack Leiter has to continue to pitch well: He has a 2.88 ERA over his past 11 starts and just tossed back-to-back excellent games.
Guardians player to watch: Cleveland is barely hanging in there, taking two of three against the Mariners as Kyle Manzardo hit big home runs in wins Friday and Saturday. He’s hitting .273/.362/.545 since July 12, giving Cleveland a much-needed power source other than Jose Ramirez.
7. National League East and NL Wild Card
Standings: Phillies up 6 games on Mets in division; Mets up 4 games on Cincinnati Reds in wild card
What’s at stake: The Mets temporarily made the division race interesting again after sweeping Philadelphia early last week but then lost three of four at home to the Marlins. That’s unacceptable if you want to win the division. The Reds continue to falter, so the Mets’ wild-card spot looks reasonably safe, though they are just .500 since May 1.
Series to watch: Mets at Phillies (Sept. 8-11); Mets at Reds (Friday-Sunday). With next week’s four-game series, the NL East remains in play even though it would take an epic New York comeback combined with a Phillies collapse for the Mets to win the division. They’ve already clinched the season series over the Phillies with a 7-2 advantage. Meanwhile, the Reds have a chance to put pressure on the Mets with a three-game series in Cincinnati before New York’s trip to Philadelphia.
Mets player to watch: Nolan McLean and Jonah Tong. The Mets’ rotation has scuffled for a while, so suddenly the season rests heavily on their two prized rookie starters. McLean won his first three starts, allowing just two runs in 20⅓ innings. Tong, who led minor league starters in ERA and strikeouts, beat the Marlins in his debut Friday, striking out six in five innings with no walks while showcasing the changeup that allowed him to dominate the minors.
Reds player to watch: What’s happening with Elly De La Cruz‘s power? He hasn’t homered since July 31 and has just one in his past 58 games.
8. National League Central
Standings: Brewers up 6.5 games on Chicago Cubs
What’s at stake: This is another David vs. Goliath matchup. Milwaukee, of course, is Goliath. The Cubs won the NL Central in the COVID-shortened season of 2020 but haven’t taken a full-season division title since 2017. Given the Brewers’ lead with no signs of faltering, the odds are slim that Chicago can chase them down.
Series to watch: The two teams are done for their season series, and the Cubs took it 7-6, so at least they own the tiebreaker.
Brewers player to watch: Closer Trevor Megill landed on the IL a few days ago with a flexor strain in his elbow after blowing three saves since mid-August, so Abner Uribe takes over. If the Cubs have a chance to catch the Brewers, it might be because the Milwaukee pen, which has been worked hard, burns out in September, especially with the Brewers in the midst of playing 19 games in 18 days.
Cubs player to watch: Kyle Tucker slumped as he played through a hairline fracture in his right hand for two months. He finally broke out with three home runs in two games and has hit over .400 his past nine games. The Cubs’ offense was horrid in August — Pete Crow-Armstrong also struggled — and they’ll need Tucker and the rest of the lineup to rebound in September.
9. American League Central
Standings: Tigers up 9.5 games on Royals
What’s at stake: This one is all but over — though, it’s not impossible for the Royals. The Mets blew a seven-game lead in 2007 with 17 games to play. The 1995 Angels entered September with a 7.5-game lead and lost the division in a tiebreaker game. The 2009 Tigers were up seven games on Sept. 6 and blew it. The 2011 Braves had an 8.5-game lead in the wild-card race at the start of September and missed the playoffs. And during that same season, the Red Sox were leading the Yankees in the AL East and nine games up on the Rays — who would catch them on the final day of the season to win the wild card. So … you never know.
Series to watch: The Tigers and Royals are done playing each other, with Detroit winning the season series 9-4.
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