Jesse joined ESPN Chicago in September 2009 and covers MLB for ESPN.com.
MESA, Ariz. — Three and a half years after deciding to retool their major and minor league rosters at the 2021 MLB trade deadline, the Chicago Cubs believe this is the season it should pay off with a playoff appearance.
The Cubs haven’t hidden their sense of urgency that has separated this winter from recent ones. From the moves the front office made to what has been said as the team reports to camp, Chicago has one thing in mind: playing October baseball for the first time in half a decade.
“I think we’re in a competitive window,” president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer said when the Cubs reported this week. “I think we’ve gotten better each year. I think we’re at a place where we have a chance to be really good and we’ve been trying to really maximize our resources within our budget to make sure that we can do that.”
As they enter the heart of what they believe is their next contention window, the Cubs aren’t spending like the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets (hence a slower rebuild after moving on from the 2016 championship core) but they aren’t the Pittsburgh Pirates or Milwaukee Brewers either. The Cubs were one of nine teams with a payroll that exceeded the luxury tax limit last season and six of those teams reached the postseason. The Cubs were not one of them, and while ownership wants that to change in 2025, they were outbid by the Boston Red Sox for top remaining free agent Alex Bregman.
The team still is littered with $20 million-caliber players even without Bregman, such as newly acquired outfielder Kyle Tucker, whose arrival this winter signaled the shift in strategy. The Cubs traded three players, including a recent first-round draft pick, for the soon-to-be free agent Tucker.
“You don’t make a trade for Kyle Tucker if you don’t feel like you have a really strong team going into that year,” general manager Carter Hawkins said. “And so certainly I would say objectively we’ve improved year over year in terms of just the talent level that’s on the field — and in the three-plus years I’ve been here, this is certainly the most talented team we’ve had.”
The projection systems agree, with predictions as high as 87 (ESPN BET) to 90 wins (PECOTA) and a National League Central-best 84.9 wins that gives them a 39.3% chance of winning the division, according to ESPN’s Bradford Doolittle. Whether they reach the loftiest projections, the team is primed to take a leap forward in Craig Counsell’s second year as manager after back-to-back 83-win seasons.
“It should feel like this all the time,” Counsell told ESPN earlier this week. “From that perspective, it makes me happy that we have high expectations.
“When you trade for a great player and he has one year left on his contract, that tells you a lot.”
Counsell acknowledged the team had to “rebuild a few things” after trading former stars Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant and Javier Baez in 2021. The process ate up a lot of the five-year contract Hoyer signed after Theo Epstein stepped down in November 2020. With this season left on his deal (and no extension imminent), Hoyer is well aware of the consequences this year could have on his future.
“I’ve been here for 14 years and sort of generally in my career, I haven’t had much uncertainty,” he said last weekend. “And so I think with uncertainty does come a level of anxiety. I think that would be a lie to say that it doesn’t.”
That feeling wasn’t lost on his handpicked manager. It wasn’t long ago that Hoyer shocked the baseball world when he plucked the well-regarded Counsell from division rival Milwaukee and made him the richest manager in the game. Now Hoyer’s fate — at least in part — is dependent on Counsell getting the best out of the team the front office has built.
“That makes it fun in my opinion,” Counsell said. “It provides a lot of clarity. And I’ve said that to Jed. It’s like, ‘Let’s go.’ I think that’s how he sees it. It can give you a lot of clarity in how you do things. We’re excited to try and do it together. I hope he’s here for a long time.”
As the Cubs’ position players report to camp Friday, here is what could make or break a playoff-caliber season in Chicago.
The stars have to play like stars
Despite the talent bubbling up at Triple-A and a new group of depth players on the major league roster, Counsell acknowledged his best players need to carry the day. Perhaps that’s the case for any roster, but with a team projected in the mid-80s win range that is often near the bar for playoff entry, there is little room for underachieving.
“Everything matters when you’re trying to get extra wins,” Counsell said. “You get it from wherever you can. Every decision is trying to add to that. … We’re going to rely on our regulars. We need production from our regulars, offensively and defensively.”
That wasn’t always the case last season. High-priced shortstop Dansby Swanson may have lost the Gold Glove award with his play in April, then slumped at the plate midseason. Swanson was battling a sports hernia injury that he didn’t disclose until after the season, so his ramp-up will be a little slower this spring. Same goes for second baseman Nico Hoerner, who had flexor tendon surgery on his throwing arm. He could miss a few days at the start of the season. Both are going to be counted on, especially if rookie Matt Shaw is the starting third baseman.
In the outfield, Ian Happ has put up reliable 115 to 120 OPS+ seasons while dynamic center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong is just beginning to figure out how dangerous his skill set can be. And if this is the year Seiya Suzuki — now the designated hitter — can put together a solid six months, the Cubs offense could explode.
But the key to the lineup will undoubtedly be Tucker. He has the ability to impact a game in a way no other Cub can — and it comes in his free agent season.
Before they traded for Tucker, Hoyer raised eyebrows when he said his players needed to “exceed” expectations, leading fans to wonder why the team wasn’t just acquiring players with higher ceilings. Now that the club has one, it needs the best version of him with others filling their roles. It’s a good offense that could be great if it clicks.
Who’s on third?
Bregman wasn’t one of the Cubs’ primary targets entering the offseason, so perhaps they’re not overly disappointed or surprised he’s not on their team. But his potential fit at third base had fans salivating as the winter played out. Well at least until Wednesday night, when Bregman signed a three-year, $120 million deal with the Red Sox.
Adding Bregman would have pushed those projection models over 90 wins and given the Cubs a clear path to the postseason. The road to October remains a little less clear with Shaw the likely Opening Day third baseman, but the Cubs believe he could open some eyes around the league.
Shaw is the No. 23-ranked prospect in all of baseball entering the season, according to ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel, but comes in a little undersized for the hot corner. At 5-foot-9, he has power that would certainly play at second base, but he’ll be relied on to provide pop playing at a corner.
Michael Busch (who hit 21 homers in 152 games last season) is also on the smaller side for his position at the other infield corner as a 6-foot-1 first baseman.
“It’s not the biggest group on the corners,” one scout said. “But that doesn’t mean they can’t slug. Busch outperformed some expectations last year.”
Not having traditional sluggers at the corners also means the true power hitters on the team — Tucker, Swanson, Suzuki and Happ — are going to be relied on even more.
The bullpen must deliver
The Cubs blew six games that they led entering the ninth inning last season — third most in baseball. Six is also exactly the number of games Chicago finished behind the third NL wild-card team. In overhauling their bullpen for 2025, the urgency to lower that number came by adding experience.
“When I looked at the roster in spring training this year, compared to last year, I think that was the No. 1 thing,” pitching coach Tommy Hottovy said. “It’s not only the number of bodies but the amount of major league caliber pitchers that have been there and done that.”
Acquired from the Houston Astros late last month, Pressly is the biggest name and could fill a crucial role for a bullpen searching for a competent closer after cycling through one failure after another last season. There were plenty of ninth-inning options on the free agent market this winter, but budget constraints along with Chicago’s overall feelings on many of them outside of Tanner Scott (who chose the Dodgers over the Cubs last month) led to a trade for Pressly.
“I want to be somebody that all these guys can lean on,” Pressly said in his introductory news conference. “Any questions that they have, on or off the field, I want to be that guy for them.”
Counsell added: “When you pitch in those situations, your team is like 10 minutes away from a win. That’s what makes it feel like more for guys that pitch in that situation. We rightly assign some credit for guys with experience there.”
With a revamped lineup and bullpen entering a crucial season, the Cubs hope they are just a smooth ninth-inning away from enough wins to be one of the last teams standing in October.
ATLANTA — Big Dumper helped drive a big boost to ratings for Monday night’s Home Run Derby.
ESPN said Tuesday that viewership for Cal Raleigh‘s Home Run Derby victory was up 5% from 2024, according to Nielsen ratings. Raleigh’s win over fellow finalist Junior Caminero of Tampa Bay drew an average audience of 5,729,000 viewers, up from 5,451,000 viewers in 2024 when Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Teoscar Hernández topped Bobby Witt Jr. in the finals.
ESPN says the combined audience on ESPN and ESPN2 peaked with 6,307,000 viewers at 9:30 p.m. ET. That made the Home Run Derby one of the most-watched programs of the day, including all broadcast and cable choices.
Raleigh’s father, Todd, was his personal pitcher for the event. The Seattle catcher’s 15-year-old brother, Todd Jr., was his catcher. The elder Raleigh is a former coach of Tennessee and Western Carolina.
Raleigh, 28, leads the majors with 38 homers and 82 RBIs and is the American League’s starting catcher in Tuesday night’s All-Star Game.
Raleigh became the second Mariners player to win the Derby, following three-time winner Ken Griffey Jr., who was on the field, snapping photos.
Will the American League continue its dominance over the National League with its 11th victory in 12 years?
All-Star newcomers, such as Pete Crow-Armstrong, and veterans, such as Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, will join the rest of baseball’s best and descend on Truist Park, home of the Atlanta Braves, for this year’s Midsummer Classic — and we’ll have live updates and analysis from Atlanta throughout the game (8 p.m. ET on Fox).
After the final pitch is thrown, ESPN’s MLB experts will share their biggest takeaways right here as well. Let’s kick off the day with some predictions for Tuesday night’s game.
All-Star Game live updates
The starting lineups
Who will win the All-Star Game and by what score?
Jorge Castillo: The National League 5-2. The NL has the better lineup and will win the game for just the second time since 2012, when Melky Cabrera won MVP honors in Kansas City.
Jeff Passan: The National League will win 3-1. The NL has a far superior lineup to the AL, and in an All-Star Game where pitchers are unlikely to throw more than one inning each, the ability to pile up baserunners seeing a pitcher for the first time is paramount. The NL is more equipped to do that than the AL.
Who is your All-Star Game MVP pick?
Jesse Rogers: Cal Raleigh. I mean, he’s going to homer … that’s a given. He might even hit two. The “Big Dumper” is going to dump a blast into the right-field stands, putting another exclamation mark on an already incredible season. He won the HR Derby, and he’ll win All-Star Game MVP.
Alden Gonzalez: Pete Crow-Armstrong. He’ll have the most productive offensive night among the NL starters and, at some point, make an incredible catch in center field. Crow-Armstrong is 95 games into his age-23 season and has already accumulated 4.9 FanGraphs wins above replacement. He has become a star right before our eyes — and he seems to love the lights more than most.
What’s the matchup you are most excited to see?
Rogers: Let’s start the bottom of the first inning off with a bang, as Tarik Skubal, the starting pitcher for the AL, will face Shohei Ohtani, who is just 1-for-9 off the left-hander. Does the reigning AL Cy Young winner get an early strikeout of the reigning NL MVP, or does Ohtani finally get to Skubal? Not many matchups are guaranteed in the All-Star Game, but this one is — and it’s about as good as it gets.
Castillo: Jacob Misiorowski against anybody. The rookie right-hander’s inclusion after just five career starts produced a stir across the majors, and all eyes will be on him once he takes the mound. When he does, his 103 mph fastball should certainly play in his one inning. He’s as tough of a matchup as any pitcher in this game.
Who is the one All-Star fans will know much better after Tuesday night’s game?
Gonzalez: The San Diego Padres ended up sending three relievers to the All-Star Game, but there was one clear bullpen representative from the outset: Adrian Morejon. The 26-year-old left-hander doesn’t get much notoriety, but he has been utterly dominant, posting a 1.85 ERA and an expected slugging percentage of .263. He doesn’t strike hitters out at the absurd rates of some of today’s most dominant pitchers, but he gets outs. And he’ll probably get three big ones toward the end of the night.
Passan: Perhaps they already know Misiorowski because his fastball sits at 100 mph and his slider is in the mid-90s, but this is the sort of showcase built for him. One inning, let it eat and show that even though his career is only five starts deep, this will be the first of many All-Star appearances for the 23-year-old.
Jesse joined ESPN Chicago in September 2009 and covers MLB for ESPN.com.
Jul 15, 2025, 02:33 PM ET
The Tampa Bay Rays will play potential postseason games at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, setting up the possibility of a World Series staged in a minor league stadium with a capacity of 10,046.
The move came after discussion of potentially shifting postseason games to an alternate major league stadium, with Miami‘s LoanDepot Park among the sites considered. The Rays are playing their regular-season games this year at Steinbrenner Field, home of the Low-A Tampa Tarpons, after hurricane damage tore the roof off Tropicana Field and rendered it unfit for play in 2025.
The Rays occupy fourth place in the American League East at 50-47 but are just 1½ games behind the Seattle Mariners for the third wild-card spot in the AL.
Commissioner Rob Manfred said Tuesday he anticipates the Rays will return to Tropicana Field, which is being refurbished, for the 2026 season.
By then, the Rays could be under new ownership. While an agreement has yet to be signed, the sale of the team for $1.7 billion to an ownership group led by real estate developer Patrick Zalupski continues to progress, sources told ESPN. The change of team control would not happen until after the postseason, sources said, though there could be a signed agreement in place prior to that.
The Rays would likely stay in the Tampa Bay area after being sold by Stu Sternberg, who bought the team in 2004 for $200 million.
Sternberg pursued a sale of the Rays in the wake of the team pulling out of a deal with St. Petersburg, where Tropicana Field is located, for a $1.3 billion stadium. The sides had agreed to the deal prior to Hurricanes Helene and Milton causing more than $50 million worth of damage to Tropicana Field.
The Pinellas County board of commissioners in October 2024 delayed a vote to fund its portion of the stadium. Less than a month later, the Rays said the delay would cause a one-year delay in the stadium’s opening and cause cost overruns that would make the deal untenable without further government funding. In mid-March, Sternberg told St. Petersburg mayor Ken Welch the team would back away from the stadium deal.
Where Zalupski and his partners — mortgage broker Bill Cosgrove and Ken Babby, an owner of two minor league teams — ultimately take the Rays remains a question central to MLB’s future. Manfred has said he wants the stadium situations of the Rays and Athletics — who plan to play in a minor league stadium in West Sacramento, California, until moving to Las Vegas before the 2028 season — settled before MLB expands to 32 teams.
“If I had a brand new gleaming stadium to move [the Athletics] into, we would have done that,” Manfred said. “Right now, it is my expectation that they will play in Sacramento until they move to Las Vegas.”
Potential Twins sale: Manfred also addressed a potential sale of the Minnesota Twins, which had a “leader in the clubhouse” until earlier this summer. Billionaire Justin Ishbia turned away from the Twins, striking a deal to purchase the Chicago White Sox as early as 2029.
That left the Twins to look elsewhere.
“When it becomes clear there is a leader, everyone else backs away,” Manfred said. “A big part of the delay was associated with them deciding to do something else.”
The commissioner wouldn’t give specifics but believes a deal to sell the Twins is moving in the right direction.
“I’m not prepared to tell you today,” Manfred said. “There will be a transaction there and it will be consistent with the kind of pricing that has been taken [lately]. Just need to be patient there.”
Television contracts: Manfred says the sport is in better position to reach national broadcasting agreements for 2026-28 following the Allen & Co. Conference of media and finance leaders in Idaho.
In February, ESPN said it was ending its agreement to broadcast Sunday night games, the All-Star Home Run Derby and the Wild Card Series after this season. MLB’s other agreements, with Fox and TBS, run through the 2028 season, and MLB wants all its contracts to end at the same time.
“I had lot of conversations [in Idaho] that moved us significantly closer to a deal and I don’t believe it’s going to be long,” Manfred said Tuesday.
Gambling integrity: Though another MLB player — Guardians pitcher Luis Ortiz — is being investigated for issues related to gambling, the commissioner insists the system is working and that legalization has actually helped protect the sport.
“We constantly take a look at the integrity protections we have in place,” Manfred said. “I believe the transparency and monitoring we have in place now is a result of the legalizations and the partnerships that we’ve made. [It] puts us in a better position to protect baseball than we were in before legalization.”
Manfred is referencing gambling monitoring companies and the league’s agreements with gambling entities that inform MLB if they find suspicious activity surrounding their players. That is what happened to Ortiz, sources close to the situation told ESPN.
ABS implementation: Though not all players have outwardly expressed a desire for the ABS challenge system to be implemented full time, Manfred believes he has taken their input on the subject.
On Monday, All-Star starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes were lukewarm on the idea — at least for it being used in the All-Star Game.
“I don’t plan on using them [challenges],” Skubal said. “I probably am not going to use them in the future.”
Added Skenes: “I really do like the human element of the game. I think this is one of those things that you kind of think umpires are great until they’re not. And so I could kind of care less, either way, to be honest.”
Manfred insists the challenge system idea came via a compromise after talking to players.
“Where we are on ABS has been fundamentally influenced by player input,” he said. “If two years ago, you asked me what do the owners want to do? They would have called every pitch with ABS as soon as possible.
“The players expressed a strong interest in the challenge system.”
All-Star return to Atlanta: After pulling the All-Star Game from Atlanta in 2021 due to new voting laws, Manfred was asked why the return to the city and state.
“The reason to come back here is self-revealing,” Manfred said. “You walk around here, the level of interest and excitement with a great facility, the support this market has given baseball, those are really good reasons to come back here.”
Diversity Pipeline Program: Manfred was also asked about his decision to change wording on the league’s website in relation to its Diversity Pipeline Program. He cited the changing times for the decision but stated the spirit of the programs still exist.
“Sometimes you have to look at how the world is changing around you and readjust to where you are,” Manfred said. “There were certain aspects to some of our programs that were very explicitly race and/or gender based. We know people in Washington were aware of that. We felt it was important recast our programs in a way to make sure we could continue on with our programs and continue to pursue the values we’ve always adhered to without tripping what could be legal problems that could interfere with that process.”
Immigration protections for players: As for new immigration enforcement policies since President Donald Trump’s administration took over in Washington, Manfred said the government has lived up to its promises.
“We did have conversations with the administration,” Manfred said. “They assured us there would be protections for our players. They told us that was going to happen and that’s what’s happened.”