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With spring ball underway, it’s becoming more and more apparent how our Way-Too-Early Top 25 teams will perform come fall. But whether it’s inexperience showing or a complete makeover of a wide receiver room, there are plenty of things these teams are leaning on, such as an elite defense or a veteran quarterback.

Our college football experts break down every team’s strength and weakness.

Strength: Star power. The Buckeyes have arguably the top offensive and defensive players returning in college football in wide receiver Jeremiah Smith and safety Caleb Downs. Both standouts figure to be on every preseason All-America team after playing massive roles during Ohio State’s national championship run through the playoff.

Weakness: Inexperience. With the bulk of last season’s title team now preparing for the NFL draft, the Buckeyes will introduce eight new starters on defense and a bevy of new faces on offense. That includes quarterback, where freshman Julian Sayin will enter the spring as the favorite to succeed Will Howard. — Jake Trotter


Strength: Impact defenders. The Longhorns lose star power on the back end with Jahdae Barron and Andrew Mukuba gone, but between edge rushers Colin Simmons and Trey Moore, linebackers Anthony Hill Jr. and Liona Lefau and safety Michael Taaffe, defensive coordinator Pete Kwiatkowski will disrupt offenses while new players fit into place.

Weakness: Growing pains. Steve Sarkisian centered his Texas rebuild around the need for “big humans,” and the Longhorns’ offensive and defensive lines were strengths during their past two playoff runs. Both will see wholesale makeovers this year, with one full-time starter returning on the OL and just two scholarship interior defensive lineman coming back. There is a lot of talent, of course, but not much time for the newcomers to grow up, with a road trip to Ohio State kicking off the season and the SEC schedule awaiting. — Dave Wilson


Strength: An elite defense. The Nittany Lions had good defenses earlier in coach James Franklin’s tenure, but they reached a higher rung in the past two seasons under coordinators Manny Diaz and Tom Allen. Now they’ve plucked playcaller Jim Knowles from national champion Ohio State to oversee a unit that, despite losing Abdul Carter and others, returns impressive contributors in end Dani Dennis-Sutton, linebacker Dominic DeLuca, safety Zakee Wheatley and others.

Weakness: Wide receiver. Penn State’s drop-off at wide receiver has been glaring at a time when the team’s overall talent has improved. After losing Mackey Award-winning tight end Tyler Warren to the NFL, the Nittany Lions need reliable options to emerge for quarterback Drew Allar in his final year. Penn State returns Liam Clifford and went to the portal for transfers Kyron Hudson (USC) and Devonte Ross (Troy). — Adam Rittenberg


Strength: The secondary. Losing Xavier Watts and Benjamin Morrison might be a huge red flag at a lot of schools. Not at Notre Dame, where the defensive backfield remains elite. Start with sophomore corner Leonard Moore, who established himself as one of the top young prospects in the country last season, allowing less than 40% completions and racking up 11 pass breakups and two picks. Christian Gray was a solid performer on the other side, while Adon Shuler blossomed at safety. Notre Dame added a solid option at safety in Virginia Tech transfer Jalen Stroman. The back end of the defense should be the strength of this unit, just as it was a year ago.

Weakness: Quarterback. Perhaps “weakness” is the wrong word here. Marcus Freeman likes what he has to work with at the position. But after two straight years with veteran QBs, Notre Dame will turn to someone without much playing time under his belt in 2025. Who? Well, that’s the big question. Steve Angeli has a leg up based on experience — even though he doesn’t have much of it — but redshirt freshman CJ Carr has a chance to be special. The battle to see who leads the offense will be among the most watched in all of college football, and finding the right answer might be the biggest obstacle between now and another playoff bid for Notre Dame. — David Hale


Strength: Linebackers. Even after losing star linebacker Jalon Walker, a potential first-round pick in the NFL draft, and three-year starter Smael Mondon Jr., Georgia’s linebackers figure to be the heart of the defense in 2025. CJ Allen is the leader of the unit after ranking second on the team with 76 tackles to go with three tackles for loss and five quarterback hurries last season. Gabe Harris Jr. and Raylen Wilson got plenty of action last season, and Chris Cole was named to the All-SEC freshman team by the league’s coaches. Allen, Cole and Wilson were ranked either the No. 1 or No. 2 linebacker prospects in the classes of 2023 and 2024 by ESPN’s recruiting analysts. Georgia coach Kirby Smart also added freshman Zayden Walker, the No. 1 outside linebacker prospect in the class of 2025.

Weakness: Running backs. As hard as it is to believe, the program that produced NFL running backs Nick Chubb, D’Andre Swift and James Cook in recent years might have a question mark at the position going into the season. Nate Frazier returns after leading the team with 671 yards as a freshman in 2024. Trevor Etienne, who had 631 yards with nine touchdowns last season, left for the NFL. Injuries have hampered top backups Branson Robinson and Roderick Robinson II, who combined for only 29 carries last season. They’re missing spring practice, because of knee and ankle injuries, respectively. The Bulldogs also bring back third-down back Cash Jones, Chauncey Bowens, Dwight Phillips Jr. and add freshman Bo Walker. Georgia averaged only 124.4 rushing yards in 2024, which ranked next to last in the SEC and was the worst mark in the Smart era. — Mark Schlabach


Strength: Front seven. Despite the departures of Jordan Burch and Derrick Harmon to the NFL, this is where Dan Lanning’s recruiting — and Oregon’s development — has shined. With both Matayo Uiagalelei (16 tackles for loss, 12.5 sacks, 4 pass breakups, an interception and 2 forced fumbles) and Teitum Tuioti (12 tackles for loss, 7.5 sacks, 2 pass breakups) set to enter their junior seasons, the once-youthful freshmen who made an impact right away are ready to lead a group of edge rushers who could make up one of the strongest units in the nation.

Weakness: Quarterback. It might be too early to say that this position is a true weakness until we see Dante Moore play inside this offense, but he will have big shoes to fill after the Ducks’ past two quarterbacks (Bo Nix and Dillon Gabriel) turned Autzen Stadium into their playground. Moore is in good hands; he’s working with offensive coordinator Will Stein, who should help him improve and excel. Moore is also coming off two unusual seasons in the sport: starting as a true freshman at UCLA and being thrown right into the fire, then sitting a year behind Gabriel. Now that Oregon is handing the reins to Moore, we’ll quickly be able to see how much he has learned and how much the Ducks allow him to do within the offense. — Paolo Uggetti


Strength: Quarterback. Cade Klubnik enters his third full season as the starter, so this has to be a strength for the Tigers. We have watched Klubnik mature over the past two seasons from an often-unsure first-time starter to a player in far more command of the offseason last year, and he had an under-the-radar great performance in 2024 (3,639 yards, 36 TDs, 6 INTs). Clemson returns its top three receivers, and it gets Tyler Brown back from injury, so the potential is there for this to be the Tigers’ best offense since Trevor Lawrence‘s last season in 2020.

Weakness: Running back. We have pointed out previously that this is the biggest question mark on the team following the departure of starter Phil Mafah (NFL draft), injury to Jay Haynes (knee rehab) and general lack of experienced depth. That is why, at least for now, this position is considered a “weakness.” There is plenty of talent, starting with freshman Gideon Davidson, but we simply don’t know how the rotation will shape up and who is going to get the bulk of the reps. — Andrea Adelson


Strength: Quarterback. What a luxury it is to enter a season with a proven, experienced quarterback who is the leading returning passer in the SEC. Garrett Nussmeier will be in his fifth year on campus and his second season as a starter. He threw for 4,052 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions last season. Nussmeier is 10-4 as a starter, and he is now fully in charge of the LSU offense and should be poised for his most productive season. He has a group of talented pass catchers to throw to, including transfers Nic Anderson and Barion Brown, as well as speedy slot receiver Aaron Anderson, who had a breakout season a year ago with 61 catches for 884 yards.

Weakness: Retooling the offensive line. The Tigers lose four starting offensive linemen from a year ago, including projected first-round NFL draft pick Will Campbell at left tackle. Josh Thompson, a transfer from Northwestern, could play tackle or guard, and LSU likes its young talent up front. But there will be a lot of new faces in new places. Sophomore Weston Davis has a big opportunity to win the right tackle job after playing sparingly as a highly touted true freshman last season. The only returning starter, DJ Chester, is likely to move from center to guard. — Chris Low


Strength: Overall defense. It would definitely be fair to point to the return of quarterback Jake Retzlaff as an obvious strength; anytime you return the starting quarterback from an 11-win team, you’re in good shape. But this BYU team won with defense, and it has enough key players returning to expect it to be one of the best units in the country again.

Weakness: Defensive line. As good as the defense will be, there are some holes to fill on the line. This is nitpicking, though. Tyler Batty‘s departure is the one that looms largest, both in terms of production and leadership. But Blake Mangelson, Isaiah Bagnah and John Nelson were also key contributors, and the depth without them is questionable. — Kyle Bonagura


Strength: Front seven. The Gamecocks powered one of the nation’s stingiest defenses with a dominant front in 2024, and that unit should carry South Carolina again this fall despite significant offseason turnover. All-SEC freshman Dylan Stewart looks poised for a Year 2 jump and will start opposite senior Bryan Thomas Jr., who logged 4.5 sacks a year ago. Down five starters from last season’s front seven, the Gamecocks hit the portal for key reinforcements including transfer tackles Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Texas A&M) and Zavion Hardy (East Mississippi CC) and linebacker transfers Justin Okoronkwo (Alabama) and Shawn Murphy (Florida State).

Weakness: Interior offensive line. South Carolina enters 2025 without the center (Vershon Lee) and both starting guards (Kamaar Bell and Torricelli Simpkins III) who paved the way for the SEC’s fourth-ranked rushing attack last fall. Troy transfer Boaz Stanley projects to take over at center, and newcomers Nick Sharpe (Wake Forest) and Rodney Newsome Jr. (Western Kentucky) arrive as the likeliest options to fill in the guard spots. Can that trio — playing between starting tackles Josiah Thompson and Cason Henry — jell well enough to protect LaNorris Sellers and move bodies for transfer running back Rahsul Faison? — Eli Lederman


Strength: Quarterback. Rocco Becht, who threw for 3,505 yards with 25 touchdowns in 2024, will return for his third year as ISU’s starter. There were some inconsistencies throughout last season, but Becht will be among the best quarterbacks in the Big 12. He was particularly good in the bowl game against Miami, throwing for three touchdowns in a 42-41 win.

Weakness: Receiver. Let’s just call it a question mark. The Cyclones relied on two of the best receivers in the country last season — Jaylin Noel and Jayden Higgins — and they accounted for 167 of the 277 catches on the team (60.3%). No other true receiver had more than 11 catches. With that type of production to replace, the team is starting over. — Bonagura


Strength: Defensive front. It starts in the interior with 325-pound Tim Keenan III, who’s back for his redshirt senior season, and James Smith, a prime candidate to be Alabama’s top breakout player on defense and a dynamic playmaker in the middle of that defensive line. LT Overton is also back for his senior season after leading the team with nine quarterback hurries in 2024. He was Alabama’s most impactful pass rusher. Florida transfer Kelby Collins is a key addition, an edge rusher who has shown he can get to the quarterback going up against SEC tackles.

Weakness: Receiver depth. Ryan Williams had an exceptional freshman campaign, especially the way he torched defenses the first part of the season. The challenge now is to find more dependable playmakers around him at the receiver position. Germie Bernard is back after leading Alabama with 50 catches last season. The Alabama coaches are excited about the talent at receiver, but which players are going to emerge as options 3, 4 and 5? Miami transfer Isaiah Horton is one to watch. — Low


Strength: Overall experience. Illinois didn’t suffer the normal experience drain that comes with winning 10 games for the first time since 2001. A few key players had their eligibility expire, but Illinois retained several potential NFL draft departures, and it avoided critical portal losses. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is back for a third season as the starter, and he will play behind a seasoned line. All-Big Ten selections Xavier Scott and Gabe Jacas lead a defense that returns mostly intact.

Weakness: Lack of explosiveness on offense. Illinois finished last season ranked 92nd nationally in yards per game and 71st in yards per play. The team also loses most of its receiving production with Pat Bryant (54 catches, 984 yards, 10 touchdowns) and Zakhari Franklin (55 catches, 652 yards, 4 touchdowns) departing. Illinois likely will need an uptick in rushing production from a group of ball-carriers to help offset the wideout losses. — Rittenberg


Strength: Coaching. We’re mostly focusing on players here, but let’s make an exception at ASU. The job Kenny Dillingham has done at his alma mater is one of the most impressive turnarounds we’ve seen in college football in recent years. To go from the bottom of the Pac-12 to the playoff in consecutive seasons is almost inconceivable. It should give ASU fans the confidence that they’ll be competitively relevant as long as he’s around.

Weakness: Running back. The question here is how the Sun Devils will fill the void left by Cam Skattebo. He ran for 1,711 yards, had another 605 in receiving yards and was one of the best players in college football. Maybe it’s unfair to say their running backs are a weakness; the opportunity to prove otherwise just wasn’t there last season. Kanye Udoh‘s arrival from Army, where he ran for 1,117 yards last season, is promising, though, and Kyson Brown did have a 100-yard rushing performance against Arizona. — Bonagura


Strength: Tight end RJ Maryland looked like one of the best tight ends in the ACC and a genuine NFL prospect through the first half of last season before going down with an injury. Matthew Hibner picked up the slack the rest of the way and didn’t miss a beat. Maryland should be back to 100 percent for the season, and Hibner returns, giving SMU a terrific one-two punch that should equate to some dynamic options in the passing game. Given the turnover at wideout, this could be a big area for SMU to rely on as the Mustangs look to make it back to the College Football Playoff.

Weakness: Established skill players. The three leading receivers from last season are gone, including do-it-all tailback Brashard Smith, meaning there’s a big void as SMU searches for reliable playmakers. There are options, including Romello Brinson, Jordan Hudson and a pair of talented freshman at receiver and LJ Johnson Jr., Miami transfer Chris Johnson and Derrick McFall at tailback — but none of those players is a sure thing. Last year, Smith was as dynamic as anyone in the country — an explosive runner, an effective pass catcher, a better-than-expected blocker. Is there anyone who can become that guy this year? Or will SMU need to dip back into the portal to fill out its ranks? — Hale


Strength: Big plays. In his second season as the starting quarterback, Avery Johnson (responsible for 32 TDs last year, one of three Power 4 QBs with 2,700 yards passing and 600 rushing) can get the ball to running back Dylan Edwards, (7.4 yards per carry), Jayce Brown (17.5 yards per catch) and New Mexico transfer WR Caleb Medford, who has averaged 18.5 yards per catch on 29 career receptions.

Weakness: A DB makeover. The Wildcats lost the Big 12 Defensive Lineman of the Year, Brendan Mott, who was a pass-rush disruptor, along with their three top corners (including draft prospect Jacob Parrish), from a defense that ranked 77th versus the pass last season. But they have added transfer corners Jayden Rowe (Oklahoma) and Amarion Fortenberry (South Alabama) along with safeties Gunner Maldonado (Arizona) and Mar’Quavious Moss (West Georgia), so we’ll see if they can fill the gaps left behind. — Wilson


Strength: Defensive star power is back. The faces of Indiana’s defense won’t look much different from those who helped propel the team to a 10-0 start and a CFP appearance. Three first-team All-Big Ten defenders return in end Mikail Kamara, linebacker Aiden Fisher and cornerback D’Angelo Ponds. Indiana also retained coordinator Bryant Haines, a Broyles Award finalist. Haines will need to build depth at all three levels, but he can lean on productive players to lead the way.

Weakness: Interior line play. For all the great things Indiana did in 2024, its line play, especially on offense, was exposed in losses to Ohio State and Notre Dame. The offensive line will look dramatically different, and Indiana will need immediate contributions from transfers like Pat Coogan (Notre Dame), Kahlil Benson (Colorado) and Zen Michalski (Ohio State). The defensive line also suffered significant losses with the departures of James Carpenter and CJ West. If IU can’t hold up in the middle of its lines, a drop-off is likely. — Rittenberg


Strength: Offensive line. The Gators bring back four starters — including All-America center Jake Slaughter — to a unit that gave up 20 sacks last fall, tied for 40th-best nationally and down from 39 sacks allowed in 2023. That continuity bodes well as Florida continues to build around quarterback DJ Lagway and Freshman All-SEC rusher Jadan Baugh. The Gators have a hole to fill at right tackle following the graduation of 11-game starter Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson; redshirt sophomore Bryce Lovett and veterans Devon Manuel and Kamryn Waites should all factor into competition for the open tackle spot opposite Austin Barber.

Weakness: Wide receiver. Florida has its quarterback in Lagway, but the state of the Gators’ receiving corps is less certain following the departures of leading pass catchers Chimere Dike and Elijah Badger. Eugene Wilson III, a freshman All-American in 2023, returns after suffering a season-ending hip injury last fall, and UCLA transfer J. Michael Sturdivant stands as another proven downfield target after four seasons with the Bruins. Freshmen Vernell Brown III, Dallas Wilson and Naeshaun Montgomery represent a trio of less experienced options, but each could be called upon to play a role in the passing for the Gators in 2025. — Lederman


Strength: Big-play defenders. Defensive line depth was the backbone of Tennessee’s playoff team last season. Some key pieces from that defensive line are gone, but several of the Vols’ impact defenders are back, starting with leading tackler Arion Carter at linebacker and Joshua Josephs at defensive end. They combined for 15.5 tackles for loss last season. In the middle of the defensive line, Bryson Eason and Jaxson Moi are both back, while cornerback Jermod McCoy — albeit coming off a torn ACL in January — and safety Boo Carter are stalwarts in a deep secondary.

Weakness: Proven playmakers at receiver. As quarterback Nico Iamaleava steps into his second season as Tennessee’s starting quarterback, he’ll do so without four of his top five pass catchers from a year ago. The Vols were lacking when it came to explosive plays in the passing game last season, which means it’s time for former five-star prospect Mike Matthews to step up and be a bona fide downfield threat after catching just seven passes last season. The same goes for holdovers Chris Brazzell II and Braylon Staley, Alabama transfer Amari Jefferson and maybe even Carter, who’s planning to pull double duty at safety and receiver. — Low


Strength: The ground game. No Power 4 running back (minimum 100 carries) had a better rushing average last year than Louisville’s Isaac Brown (7.11). Lower the qualifying amount to 60 carries, however, and Brown is fourth. Instead, it’s his teammate, Duke Watson, who leads the way at 8.91 yards per rush. The pair of rising sophomores were as explosive a combination as there was in the country last season, racking up nearly 1,800 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns combined. They’re a year older now, and they’ll be running behind one of the best offensive lines in the ACC. The Cards will want to be balanced offensively, but put the ball in the hands of either Brown or Watson enough times and a home run is just waiting to happen.

Weakness: Interior D-line. Jordan Guerad and Rene Konga both return from a 2024 squad that wasn’t exactly great, and the depth behind them comes entirely from the portal (Denzel Lowry, Jerry Lawson). There’s upside here — especially after a fairly strong finish to 2024 by Guerad — but this is a group that still has a lot to prove. Wesley Bailey and Clev Lubin should be solid edge performers, but shoring up the middle of the defense will be an offseason priority, and it starts at the line of scrimmage. — Hale


Strength: Running game. The Wolverines always find a way to produce on the ground, and 2025 should be no different. Bowl game MVP Jordan Marshall and Alabama transfer Justice Haynes provide Michigan with a viable rushing duo. Key pieces up front, headlined by Giovanni El-Hadi, are back as well. The running game stands to benefit from what should be an improved passing attack.

Weakness: Pass catching. The Wolverines had just one player total more than 250 receiving yards last season, tight end Colston Loveland, who’s now preparing for the NFL draft. Inconsistent quarterbacking played a part. But Michigan’s wideouts didn’t produce nearly enough plays to strike fear in the opposition. The Wolverines are banking that a pair of portal additions in Donaven McCulley (Indiana) and Anthony Simpson (UMass) can bolster the playmaking on the perimeter. — Trotter


Strength: Stability. Mike Elko’s first task upon his hiring last year was just to build a team from a collection of individuals following a frantic re-recruiting process of his own roster, while patching holes in the portal. This year, the offensive line is much improved, and Marcel Reed is the entrenched starter at quarterback now with Conner Weigman‘s transfer to Houston. That’s something to build on.

Weakness: Familiar faces at receiver. The Aggies threw just 18 TD passes last year, and eight of them went to Noah Thomas, who transferred to Georgia. With Thomas gone, the Aggies lost their top five receivers. A&M landed Micah Hudson, a former five-star recruit from Texas Tech, in the portal, but he’s no longer with the team. KC Concepcion (NC State) and Mario Craver (Mississippi State) join sophomore Terry Bussey, a former five-star and a dynamic athlete, in the WR room’s extreme makeover. — Wilson


Strength: Running game. The Hurricanes believe they have the potential to field their best offensive line under Mario Cristobal, anchored by rising junior Francis Mauigoa and Anez Cooper on the right side. With Mark Fletcher Jr. and Jordan Lyle returning as the top two running backs, the Hurricanes should be able to run the ball more consistently this season.

Weakness: Secondary. This was a huge weakness last season when Miami struggled down the stretch with inconsistent play and a lack of depth. Miami added three highly rated players from the transfer portal to help shore up the unit and perhaps force turnovers. Miami had 14 total interceptions last season, ranking in the bottom fourth of the country and in particular had a drop-off in its safety play. Miami needs a far better performance from this group in 2025. — Adelson


Strength: Quarterback. After being the guy who simply handed the ball off to Ashton Jeanty for most of the season and then turning into the guy who nearly helped the Broncos upset Penn State with his marvelous play under center, 2025 could be Maddux Madsen‘s breakout year. Madsen was impressive throughout last season managing the offense (3,080 yards, 23 touchdowns and only six turnovers), avoiding mistakes and playing winning football. Another year in the offense will only do wonders for Madsen and sure, he won’t have the safety blanket that was Jeanty behind him, but if anyone can figure out how to evolve as a player in these circumstances, Madsen has shown he has more talent and ability than first meets the eye.

Weakness: Running back. Let’s not go too far away from Madsen under center. This is an obvious pick, but it’s obvious for a reason. Replacing Jeanty, his leadership, energy, production and overall gravity, are an impossible task, but if Boise State wants to return to the College Football Playoff this coming season, they’ll need to at least partially or collectively try to get as close as they can to replicate Jeanty’s 374 carry, 2,601, 29-touchdown season. Good luck with that. — Uggetti


Strength: Defensive line. Walter Nolen, Princely Umanmielen, JJ Pegues and Jared Ivey — four high-impact players who charged one of the nation’s best defensive lines last fall — all are gone. Still, Ole Miss has the talent to make this unit a difference-maker in a renovated defense in 2025. Suntarine Perkins will again be one of the keys to the pass rush after turning in 10.5 sacks last fall, second most among SEC defenders. LSU transfer Da’Shawn Womack and Nebraska’s Princewill Umanmielen will add to that edge depth. Inside, Zxavian Harris, the towering, 6-foot-7, 320-pound nose tackle, is poised to slot into the spots where Pegues and Nolen were so effective a year ago.

Weakness: Secondary. Defensive coordinator Pete Golding’s best-in-the-nation run defense helped balance a bottom-half SEC secondary last season. Assuming even a slight regression in the Ole Miss front seven in 2025, there will be more pressure on a wholly unproven Rebels defensive unit. Junior cornerback Chris Graves Jr. returns as the most experienced member of a secondary down its top eight snap-getters from a year ago. Ole Miss turned to the transfer portal to retool around him. Safety Sage Ryan arrives from LSU with 19 career starts in 43 games, and Jaylon Braxton (Arkansas) and Kapena Gushiken (Washington State) bring experience as well, but this is a new-look unit that will have to jell quickly in the fall. — Lederman

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MLB playoff tracker: Yankees clinch postseason spot, Guardians grab AL Central lead

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MLB playoff tracker: Yankees clinch postseason spot, Guardians grab AL Central lead

A number of teams are starting to shift their focus to October as the final month of the 2025 MLB regular season continues.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs have both clinched postseason berths, with the Brewers also taking home the NL Central title. The Philadelphia Phillies have locked up the NL East title, the Los Angeles Dodgers are headed back to October (again) and the Toronto Blue Jays became the first AL team to secure a playoff spot and the New York Yankees followed days later.

And in the biggest twists of the 2025 season, the Cleveland Guardians have rocked the American League playoff picture with a September surge, emerging as a serious contender in both the AL Central and wild-card race while the New York Mets‘ prolonged struggles have opened the door for the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks in the NL wild-card race.

Beyond division races, there are many storylines to watch as the regular season comes to an end and playoffs begin: Where do current playoff matchups stand? What games should you be paying attention to each day leading up to October? Who will be the next team to clinch a postseason berth? And what does the playoff schedule look like?

We have everything you need to know as the regular season hits the homestretch.

Key links: Full MLB standings | Wild-card standings


Who’s in?

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers clinched the season’s first playoff spot for a second consecutive year on Sept. 13 and followed up by securing their third straight NL Central title.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies clinched a spot in the postseason on Sept. 14. With a win the following night, Philadelphia clinched the NL East title for the second straight year.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs clinched their spot in the postseason on Sept. 17 and will be making their first playoff appearance in a full-length season since 2018.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers clinched their 13th consecutive playoff appearance on Friday.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays became the first AL team to secure a postseason berth with a with over the Royals on Sunday.

San Diego Padres

The Padres clinched their fourth postseason trip in six years with a walk-off win over the Brewers on Monday.

New York Yankees

The Yankees became the second AL team to clinch a playoff spot with a walk-off win over the White Sox on Tuesday.


Who can clinch a playoff spot next?

On Tuesday, the Seattle Mariners can clinch a postseason berth with a win over Colorado.

There are also a number of other clinch possibilities coming up:

  • The Phillies can clinch a first-round bye and home field advantage in the NLDS with a win over Miami and a Dodgers loss on Tuesday.

  • The Dodgers can clinch the NL West as early as Wednesday.

  • The Blue Jays can clinch the AL East as early as Wednesday.

  • The Mariners can clinch the AL West as early as Wednesday.

  • The Brewers can clinch the No. 1 seed in the NL as early as Wednesday.

  • The Cubs can clinch the No. 4 seed in the NL as early as Wednesday.


What are this October’s MLB playoff matchups as it stands now?

American League

Wild-card round: (6) Tigers at (3) Guardians, (5) Red Sox at (4) Yankees

ALDS: Tigers/Guardians/ vs. (2) Mariners, Red Sox/Yankees vs. (1) Blue Jays

National League

Wild-card round: (6) Mets at (3) Dodgers, (5) Padres at (4) Cubs

NLDS: Mets/Dodgers vs. (2) Phillies, Padres/Cubs vs. (1) Brewers


Breaking down the AL race

The Blue Jays have taken control of the race for the AL’s No. 1 seed. While Toronto sits atop the AL East, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees are duking it out for wild-card seeding. And the Seattle Mariners are attempting to separate themselves from the Houston Astros in a two-team AL West race. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians are in hot pursuit of the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central while also playing themselves into a tight race for the final wild-card spot.

And what about when these teams get to the postseason? Here’s what their chances are for every round:


Breaking down the NL race

The Brewers were the first MLB team to seal its spot in October, and the Phillies — who then sealed an NL East title — clinched next. A group of contenders have separated themselves atop the NL standings with the New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds battling for the final playoff spot, and there is intrigue in the NL West as the Dodgers attempt to fend off the Padres for the division crown.

And what about when these teams get to the postseason? Here’s what their chances are for every round:


Game of the day

Looking for something to watch today? Here’s the baseball game with the biggest playoff implications:


Playoff schedule

Wild-card series
Best of three, all games at better seed’s stadium

Game 1: Tuesday, Sept. 30
Game 2: Wednesday, Oct. 1
Game 3: Thursday, Oct. 2*

Division series
Best of five

ALDS
Game 1: Saturday, Oct. 4
Game 2: Sunday, Oct. 5
Game 3: Tuesday, Oct. 7
Game 4: Wednesday, Oct. 8*
Game 5: Friday, Oct. 10*

NLDS
Game 1: Saturday, Oct. 4
Game 2: Monday, Oct. 6
Game 3: Wednesday, Oct. 8
Game 4: Thursday, Oct. 9*
Game 5: Saturday, Oct. 11*

League championship series
Best of seven

ALCS
Game 1: Sunday, Oct. 12
Game 2: Monday, Oct. 13
Game 3: Wednesday, Oct. 15
Game 4: Thursday, Oct. 16
Game 5: Friday, Oct. 17*
Game 6: Sunday, Oct. 19*
Game 7: Monday, Oct. 20*

NLCS
Game 1: Monday, Oct. 13
Game 2: Tuesday, Oct. 14
Game 3: Thursday, Oct. 16
Game 4: Friday, Oct. 17
Game 5: Saturday, Oct. 18*
Game 6: Monday, Oct. 20*
Game 7: Tuesday, Oct. 21*

World Series
Best of seven

Game 1: Friday, Oct. 24
Game 2: Saturday, Oct. 25
Game 3: Monday, Oct. 27
Game 4: Tuesday, Oct. 28
Game 5: Wednesday, Oct. 29*
Game 6: Friday, Oct. 31*
Game 7: Saturday, Nov. 1*

* If necessary

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Best slugger, best game … badonkadonk of the year?! Jeff Passan’s 2025 MLB season awards

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Best slugger, best game ... badonkadonk of the year?! Jeff Passan's 2025 MLB season awards

With another two months until votes for the Most Valuable Players, Cy Young Award winners and Rookies of the Year are revealed, now seems the perfect time for a far wider-ranging set of honors for Major League Baseball’s 2025 season.

The third annual Passan Awards aim to celebrate the most enjoyable elements of a season and recognize that even those who aren’t the best of the best deserve acknowledgment. Certainly, the winners are talented, but the players favored to win the MVP awards for the second straight season, Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, will not get this hardware. Instead, the first award honors a player for his anatomy.

Badonkadonk of the Year: Cal Raleigh

As if it could be anyone else.

Ball knowers understood who Raleigh was entering the 2025 season: the best catcher in MLB, a switch-hitting, Platinum Glove-winning, home-run-punishing hero with the most appropriate (and inappropriate) nickname in baseball — the Big Dumper, for his lower half putting the maximus in gluteus.

This, though? A superstar turn in which the Seattle Mariners‘ best player passes Hall of Famers such as Mickey Mantle and Ken Griffey Jr. in the record books? A seasonlong run in which he keeps pace with Aaron Judge, the best hitter in the world still at the peak of his powers, in the American League MVP race? A legitimate shot at becoming only the seventh player in MLB history to hit 60 or more home runs in a season?

Look hard enough and it makes sense. A season like Raleigh’s 2025 necessitates playing every day, which, at a position where 120 games is the norm, is almost impossible. Well, Raleigh has sat out three games this year. Amid all his responsibilities as a catcher, he has taken a right-handed swing that was the weaker of the two and honed it into a stroke as powerful as his left-handed wallop.

The confluence of it all in Raleigh’s age-28 season has thrust the Mariners to the precipice of their first AL West title since 2001 and put Raleigh on a pedestal alongside Judge. Raleigh’s case for MVP is strong. He has got the numbers to back up the narrative, which could be very compelling for voters: the game’s 2025 home run king, playing its most important position, carries the franchise with which he signed a long-term extension to the postseason while the star in the Bronx, already a two-time AL MVP winner, doesn’t do anything different from what he typically does.

Of course, just maintaining his status quo is actually a pretty good case for Judge, considering his OPS exceeds Raleigh’s by nearly 175 points. But that’s for MVP voters to decide. The case of the best badonkadonk is open and shut. From the city that gave the world Sir Mix-A-Lot comes version 2.0: bigger, better, dumpier.


None of this is new for Schwarber, the 32-year-old who has spent the past four seasons with the Philadelphia Phillies as the National League’s three-true-outcomes demigod. Schwarber is third in the NL in walks (behind Juan Soto and Shohei Ohtani), second in strikeouts (behind James Wood), and tied with Ohtani for the lead with 53 home runs. Beyond the seasonlong compilation of gaudy numbers, though, are the moments that have appended “of the year” onto the slugger label he long ago earned.

When NL manager Dave Roberts needed hitters for the All-Star Game swing-off — a truncated Home Run Derby that would break the game’s 6-6 tie — of course he chose Schwarber, who whacked three home runs on three swings and secured the win. If anyone in the sport was poised to go on a single-game heater and pummel four home runs, he was near, if not at, the top of the list for that, too — and did so Aug. 28.

Schwarber is the archetypal slugger. He will have some rough at-bats, and his slumps will be uglier than most because of his propensity to strike out. But when he gets hot, there’s nothing like it: the compact stroke, the innate power, and the symbiosis between him and the electric crowds at Citizens Bank Park converge to create a monster of which pitchers want no part.

Even though the team doesn’t have ace Zack Wheeler and All-Star shortstop Trea Turner because of injuries, Schwarber stabilized the Phillies and kept them from sliding down the standings alongside the New York Mets. Schwarber’s impending free agency will grow into a heated bidding war because he is as beloved as he is good, and he’s very, very good.

In the meantime, because he is a designated hitter with a mediocre batting average, Schwarber will not receive the MVP love he deserves. So, consider this a way of honoring Schwarber: king of the sluggers, ready to light up another October.


Base Thief of the Year: Juan Soto

Of all the unbelievable things to happen in the 2025 season — the no-way-that-can-be-true, how-did-that-happen, you-got-to-be-kidding-me facts — this is unquestionably the wildest: Juan Soto leads MLB in stolen bases in the second half.

Seriously, Juan Soto. The $765 million man. In 58 games since the All-Star break, Soto has 24 stolen bases — four more than runner-up Jazz Chisholm Jr. This season, Soto has swiped 35, nearly triple his previous career high of a dozen set in 2019 and 2023. And it’s not as if Soto is leaving all kinds of outs on the basepaths; he has been caught just four times this season (though three of those are in September).

Soto hits home runs with regularity (42 this season, 19 in the second half). He has the best eye in the game. Stolen bases, though? The guy who ranks 503rd out of 571 qualified players in sprint speed? The one who takes more than 4½ seconds to go from home to first base?

It’s just further proof that ripping bags, in this era of larger bases and limited pickoff moves for pitchers, is no longer the sole domain of the speedy. With a little bit of know-how and gumption, anyone can become a base stealer. Josh Naylor, the Mariners’ burly first baseman, is fourth in MLB in the second half with 17 — one ahead of Tampa Bay rookie Chandler Simpson, one of the fastest runners in the big leagues. Miami rookie catcher Agustin Ramirez, who is also objectively slow, has stolen more bases since the All-Star break than Bobby Witt Jr., Jose Ramirez, Fernando Tatis Jr., Julio Rodriguez and Elly De La Cruz.

The new rules have led to remarkable seasons: Ronald Acuna Jr.’s 40/70 year in 2023 and Ohtani’s 50/50 campaign last year. As unprecedented as each was, they’d have been likelier bets than Soto threatening to become just the seventh player to go 40/40. That he’s at 30/30 already — alongside Chisholm, Jose Ramirez and Corbin Carroll — is remarkable enough.

Credit is due in plenty of places. To Mets baserunning coach Antoan Richardson, whose work with Soto encouraged him to study the craft of stealing a base and trust his instincts. To the Mets’ late-season ruin that made every base seem that much more important. Most of all, to Soto, who, after signing the richest contract in professional sports history, refused to pigeonhole himself as someone defined by patience and pop and actively sought his most well-rounded incarnation yet.


Best Player You Still Know Nothing About: Geraldo Perdomo

Who were the five best every-day players in baseball this year? There are three locks: Raleigh, Judge and Ohtani. After that, it’s a matter of preference. Want a masher? Schwarber or Soto would qualify. Prefer an all-around player? Witt is a good choice at No. 4; Jose Ramirez always warrants consideration; and, had he not gotten hurt, Turner would have been firmly in the mix.

Consider, however, the case of Perdomo, the Arizona Diamondbacks‘ 25-year-old shortstop. As easily as Perdomo’s bonanza 2025 can be summed up with wins above replacement — his 6.9 via FanGraphs ranks behind only the three locks and Witt, and Perdomo’s 6.8 via Baseball-Reference comes in third behind only Judge and Raleigh — his statistics get even more interesting upon a granular look. Here are Perdomo’s numbers, followed by their MLB rank out of 144 qualified hitters:

Batting average: .289 (13th)
On-base percentage: .391 (5th)
Slugging percentage: .462 (47th)
Runs: 96 (13th)
RBIs: 97 (14th)
Strikeout rate: 10.9% (8th)
Walk rate: 13.4% (14th)
Stolen bases: 26 (19th)
Games played: 155 (8th)

And that’s to say nothing of Perdomo playing the second-most-important position in baseball at a high level. He is not Witt defensively, but Perdomo is always on the field — his 1,363 innings is the most at shortstop in the majors this season — and, outside of the occasional throwing mishap, eminently reliable.

Take it all into account and it adds up to a legitimate case for Perdomo to join the game’s luminaries. He is neither the most well-known star on the Diamondbacks (Carroll) nor even in his own middle infield (Ketel Marte). And that’s fine. The numbers tell his story. And it’s one worth knowing.


Individual Performance of the Year: Nick Kurtz

Since the turn of the 20th century, a period that comprises around 4 million individual games played by position players, there have been:

  • Nine games with a player scoring six runs

  • 21 games with a player hitting four homers

  • 81 games in which batters went 6-for-6

  • 170 games with a player having at least eight RBIs

And only one game with all four.

That belongs to A’s rookie first baseman Kurtz, who, three months after his major league debut, turned in arguably the greatest game by a hitter. Facing the Houston Astros on July 25, Kurtz, 22, started with a single in the first inning, followed with a home run in the second, doubled off the top of the wall in left field two innings after that, and finished homer, homer, homer in his final three at-bats.

The home runs came off four pitchers: starter Ryan Gusto, relievers Nick Hernandez and Kaleb Ort, and utility man Cooper Hummel, whose 77.6 mph meatball went over the short porch in left field at Daikin Park. Five of Kurtz’s six hits that night went to the opposite field, a testament to his lethal bat that should win him unanimous American League Rookie of the Year honors and will land him on plenty of AL MVP ballots.

Kurtz finished the game with 19 total bases, tying a record that has long belonged to Shawn Green, whose line was almost identical to Kurtz’s: a single, a double and four home runs with six runs — but only seven RBIs. Yes, all four of Green’s homers came off big league pitchers, and he did it at Miller Park, a tougher place in 2002 to hit homers than Daikin in 2025.

When trying to adjudicate a winner, every factor counts. But for argument’s sake, let’s say Kurtz’s game was better than Green’s because of that additional RBI. Was it superior to Ohtani’s last September in which he went 6-for-6 with a single, 2 doubles, 3 home runs, 10 RBIs and a pair of stolen bases — and in that same game he became the first player with at least 50 homers and 50 steals in a season? It’s difficult to argue with the historical nature of Ohtani’s game. Context should matter, and to do something never conceived of before 2024 adds a delicious narrative flourish to Ohtani’s performance.

If Kurtz’s game isn’t the best, it’s certainly among the top five. And in the year of the four-homer game — there have been an MLB-high three this season, with Schwarber and Eugenio Suarez joining the party — none compared to Kurtz’s.


The average major league fastball ticked up another 0.2 mph this year, all the way to 94.4 mph, more than 3 mph harder than when the league began tracking pitch data in 2007. Pitch velocity is a marker not only for where the game is now but where it’s going. And where it has gone is featuring a starting pitcher with a slider nearly as fast as a league-average heater.

Misiorowski, the Milwaukee Brewers‘ rookie right-handed starter, is a walking outlier. At 6-foot-7, he is taller than all but 18 of the 868 players who have thrown a pitch this season, and at under 200 pounds, his slender body and its elasticity stretch the bounds of what a pitcher should look like. What they create is magic.

Though the 23-year-old’s triple-digit fastball generates the most oohs and ahhs, his slider induces the most gawking. Misiorowski’s slider averages 94.1 mph. He has thrown 85 of them at least 95 mph this season — a full 10-plus mph over the rest of the league’s average. He got Mookie Betts swinging on a 97.4 mph slider in August. It was the full-count version of the pitch he delivered at 95.5 mph against Willi Castro on June 20, though, that earned this award.

It wasn’t just the velocity or pitch shape that was most impressive. It was the swing Misiorowski induced. Castro just wanted to get on base. Hell, he just wanted to make contact. Instead, he got this:

That right there — the velocity, the late movement, the pitch shape — is an evolutionary slider. For all the pitchers who have made 90-plus mph sliders a regular thing, Misiorowski essentially said: “Thank you for walking so I could run.” Castro did not simply swing and miss. He got pretzeled. Misiorowski punctuated it with a celebratory twirl off the mound. The visual only amped up Miz Mania, which peaked when, barely 25 innings into his career, MLB named him an All-Star replacement.

Since then, the league has caught up to Misiorowski. The plan is for him to pitch out of the bullpen in the postseason, though injuries to the Brewers’ pitching staff — the best team in MLB this year — could change that. Whether he’s a starter or a reliever, Misiorowski can unleash the sort of pitch previously seen only in dreams — or, as Castro will attest, nightmares.


Put together two teams like the Pirates and Rockies and the possibilities are endless. Most of those possibilities, of course, are offensive — and not in the run-scoring sort of way. The baseball gods’ sense of humor reveals itself at the oddest times, though, and when the teams met at Coors Field the day after the trade deadline, they partook in the most madcap, rollicking affair of the 2025 season.

That day had already offered a Game of the Year candidate: Miami’s 13-12 victory over the New York Yankees, who blew a five-run lead in the seventh inning, recaptured it in the top of the ninth and got walked off in the bottom. The notion that the Pirates and Rockies would one-up that was unlikely, but then the beauty of baseball is as much in the unexpected as it is the known.

It started as any game at Coors can: with a nine-run top of the first inning, matching the run support the Pirates had given Paul Skenes in his previous nine starts combined. Pittsburgh, facing Antonio Senzatela, started single, single, single, single, grand slam, single, walk before Jared Triolo grounded into a double play. The Pirates followed single, walk, home run, single, single, then finally closed the frame when their 14th batter, Oneil Cruz, struck out.

The Rockies chipped away — a run in the first, three more in the third. The middle innings were chaos. Three for the Pirates in the top of the fourth, two for the Rockies in the bottom. Three more for the Pirates in the top of the fifth, four for the Rockies in the bottom. After a run in the sixth, Pittsburgh held a 16-10 lead and carried it into the eighth inning, when the Rockies scored a pair.

The bottom of the ninth beckoned. Pittsburgh had traded its closer, David Bednar, to the Yankees the previous day and called on Dennis Santana, who came into the game having allowed seven runs in 46⅓ innings. He struck out Ezequiel Tovar for the first out. Then, the madness of the day peaked. A Hunter Goodman home run. A Jordan Beck walk. A Warming Bernabel triple. A Thairo Estrada single. And, finally, a Brenton Doyle walk-off homer to left-center field.

Final: Rockies 17, Pirates 16.

In the modern era, only 20 games featured more runs than the Pirates and Rockies — the two lowest-scoring teams in 2025 — put up that day. Just two of those were decided by one run. Neither ended on a walk-off, let alone a walk-off homer.

Baseball is funny like that. Even two last-place teams that have combined for more than 200 losses this season can face off and emerge with something unforgettable.


The Chicken-and-Beer Award for Most Staggering Collapse: New York Mets

Note: This could wind up including the Detroit Tigers, whose lead over the Cleveland Guardians — 15½ games on July 8, 12½ on Aug. 25 — has almost evaporated. If Cleveland surpasses Detroit in the AL Central, consider the Tigers compatriots in ignominy with New York.

For now, the dishonor belongs alone to the Mets, who on June 12 won their sixth consecutive game to extend their major-league-best record to 45-24. Queens felt like the center of the baseball universe. Soto wasn’t even hitting up to his standard, yet the Mets were still bludgeoning opponents enough that they held the best expected winning percentage along with the top record.

Since then, the Mets have the same record as the White Sox: 35-52. Not only have they frittered away what was then a 5½-game advantage over Philadelphia atop the NL East, they’ve fallen out of the first, second and third wild cards, too. As of today, they are on the outside of the postseason looking in.

The Mets haven’t flamed out in one spectacular blaze. It has been a slow burn, a consistent degradation of quality, gradual and raw. It’s everywhere. An inconsistent lineup. A bad bullpen. A starting rotation that buoyed them over the first 69 games disappeared, through injury and ineffectiveness, to the point that New York is now relying on three rookie starters, all of whom the team preferred to keep in the minor leagues until next year.

Now, Nolan McLean, Jonah Tong and Brandon Sproat are fundamental parts of any salvage job the Mets hope to hatch. And that is the most damning indictment of all: a $340 million team, left to rely on a group of young players to rescue the franchise from its self-inflicted depths. Attempts in the middle of the season to turn things around, as they did in making an NLCS run last year, didn’t work. Adding reliever Ryan Helsley and outfielder Cedric Mullins at the trade deadline didn’t, either.

This collapse isn’t the 1964 Phillies or even the 2011 Red Sox, whose pitching staff habitually ate fried chicken and drank beer in the clubhouse during games, even as the team’s nine-game advantage in September evaporated. At least that was the equivalent of a Band-Aid being ripped off. This has been interminable, a stark reminder that for all the Mets have going for them — the richest owner in the game, plenty of talent, excellent resources — they’re still the Mets, professional purveyors of pain.


There were plenty of choices. Soto’s contract is an all-timer. Max Fried has been everything the Yankees needed. And there was no shortage of trade options, from the blockbusters (Kyle Tucker to the Cubs, Rafael Devers to the Giants) to the deadline stunners (Mason Miller to the Padres, Carlos Correa back to the Astros).

In terms of sheer impact, though, the Red Sox’s December acquisition of Crochet is unbeatable. And it’s among the most infrequent of trades, too: one in which both parties emerge elated. Without Crochet, 26, headlining the rotation, Boston isn’t sniffing a playoff spot. Not only did the Red Sox think enough of him to give up four players who had yet to make their major league debut, but during spring training, they kept Crochet from reaching free agency next winter with a six-year, $170 million contract extension even though the left-hander had never thrown 150 innings in a season.

Boston’s faith was well-founded. Crochet leads MLB in strikeouts and the AL in innings pitched. He has faced 788 batters this year, and they are hitting .220/.268/.360 against him. And with a 17-5 record and 2.69 ERA, he has positioned himself as the likely runner-up behind Tarik Skubal in AL Cy Young voting.

All was not lost for Chicago. The four players the White Sox got back in the deal are all doing well, too. Kyle Teel has been exceptional and looks like a future All-Star at catcher. Chase Meidroth gives the White Sox a high-on-base, low-strikeout threat at either middle-infield position. Wikelman Gonzalez is becoming a reliable big league bullpen option. And Braden Montgomery, a switch-hitting center fielder, is already up to Double-A.

Trades don’t work out more often than they do. (Just ask the Mets.) But on the day this deal was consummated, the industry response liked it for each side. The White Sox weren’t willing to commit to a Crochet extension and wanted to avoid injury or ineffectiveness cratering his value, and in Boston, they found a team desperate enough to offload an immense amount of talent. Year 1 of a deal that included a combined 30 years of club control is too early to name definitive winners and losers. So for now, it’s an easy call: the rare win-win.


The Tickle Me Elmo Award: Torpedo Bats

Remember the torpedo bat? It was going to revolutionize baseball. The first weekend of the season, with a lineup full of hitters using the bat that looked like nothing MLB had ever seen, the Yankees hit 15 home runs — against the Brewers, who since have been among the best teams in baseball at home run prevention.

The concept was simple: MLB allows the redistribution of wood weight as long as the bat stays within specified parameters, so why not take the mass that typically is toward the end of the barrel and create a new shape that better suits individual hitters? After the Yankees’ home run barrage, the torpedo bat became baseball’s version of Tickle Me Elmo, Furby and Cabbage Patch Kids: the must-have toy of the moment.

Well, the moment passed. Torpedoes certainly remain in circulation — Raleigh uses a different model from each side of the plate — and are not going anywhere. But the notion that half the league would switch bat models ignored the realities that (A) baseball players are creatures of habit and (B) the torpedo doesn’t suit the significant number of players who hit the ball more toward the end of the bat.

And that’s fine. Not every piece of technology is meant for every consumer. The takeaway from torpedo bats isn’t that they are a failure because they haven’t taken over the market, nor is it that they are a success because the best home run hitter of 2025 uses them. It’s that the game is full of curious people who aren’t afraid to build a new mousetrap. That’s how a game that has been around for 150 years evolves. And that’s a perfectly good thing.


Thing we’ll still be talking about in 50 years: The Colorado Rockies’ run differential

Maybe Raleigh hits 60. Or Judge continues his spate of all-time-elite seasons, giving this one greater context. Perhaps there’s a surprise World Series winner. It is baseball, which means trying to predict the next 50 minutes, let alone the next 50 years, is a fool’s errand.

But in the modern era, which comprises every season since 1900, never before has there been a team as good at giving up runs while being as bad at scoring them as the Rockies. There have been thousands of baseball teams in the game’s history. None has a worse run differential than Colorado’s minus-404 (and counting).

That is not just hard to do. It has been, to this point, impossible. Getting outscored by more than 2½ runs per game is the domain of teams in the 1800s. (The 1899 Cleveland Spiders yielded an astounding 723 runs more than they scored in 154 games.) And yet, here are the Rockies, whose ignominy won’t launch them past the White Sox for the most losses in a modern season but will place them atop record books with a minuscule likelihood of being supplanted.

The numbers are quite simple. Colorado has scored just 584 runs, fewer than any team except Pittsburgh, which has an offense that includes a single player (Spencer Horwitz) with an adjusted OPS above league average. Colorado has allowed 988, the most in the big leagues by more than 125 runs. And the heretofore mythical minus-404 differential, seen as an impossible wall to breach, has crumbled, felled by an organizational ineptitude that has grown uglier annually since 2019. Even the all-time-bad teams — the 1932 Red Sox (43-111, minus-345), the 2023 A’s (50-112, minus-339) and the 2003 Tigers (43-119, minus-337) — look at these Rockies and say: You are awful.

So, yeah. It’s not the kind of record worthy of celebrating or shouting from the mountaintops. It’s just one strong enough to stand the test of time, even if it takes another 100 years to break it.

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Skubal, Tigers collapse; caught by Guardians

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Skubal, Tigers collapse; caught by Guardians

CLEVELAND — It happened fast. And without a ball even leaving the infield. The Detroit Tigers took a 2-0 lead into the bottom of the sixth inning in a crucial game against the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday only to see their ace fall apart on the mound in several different and dramatic ways.

“We did a lot of uncharacteristic things, and it’s hurting us,” Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said after the Tigers’ 5-2 loss.

First, Tarik Skubal tried to flip a bunted ball through his legs with his back to first base, only to see it sail over teammate Spencer Torkelson‘s head, putting runners on second and third. It was the second of two consecutive bunts by the Guardians, who came into the night trailing the Tigers by just one game after being down as many as 10½ on Sept. 1.

After a third bunt in the inning went awry — Skubal’s 99 mph fastball struck designated hitter David Fry in the face, and Fry had to be carted off — Skubal threw a wild pitch and then balked. Both of those led to runs.

Game. Set. Match. The Tigers have been caught in the American League Central.

“There’s some frustration,” Skubal said. “Losing isn’t fun, and we’ve been losing a lot.”

Hinch added: “He chose to do the emergency flip [through his legs], which is not easy to do and didn’t produce a good play. That is an example of an uncharacteristic mistake piling up on us at the worst time.”

That’s an understatement. The AL’s best team in the first half has fallen hard, losing seven in a row. Not only did the Guardians catch Detroit in the standings, but they also secured the tiebreaker, in case the teams match records when the regular season ends later this weekend. Nothing is going right for the Tigers.

“We didn’t play our game tonight,” catcher Dillon Dingler said. “I know that’s redundant to say over the last two weeks.

“We’ve been this way for a couple series now. We definitely feel some of the pressure. We have to eliminate it. We have to find ways to stay loose and home in on what we have to do and go out there and do it.”

The Tigers played that part of being loose before the series opener: Skubal was working on his crossword puzzle, others were playing pingpong, while Hinch was advocating a positive perspective. Who wouldn’t want to be playing meaningful games and control their own destiny, he opined in the dugout several hours before first pitch. But then the game started, and a win once again slipped through their hands.

And if those sixth-inning miscues weren’t enough, the Tigers also struck out 19 times. That tied a franchise record for Cleveland pitchers.

“They won the strike zone on both sides tonight,” Hinch said. “They dominated tonight. We didn’t.”

The days are running dangerously low for Detroit to turn things around. Cleveland has all the momentum. Playing at home didn’t help the Tigers last week, nor did a change of scenery Tuesday with their ace on the mound. But they still control their destiny even though their future is as muddied as ever. A wild-card berth or perhaps a stunning ouster altogether from the postseason are growing possibilities.

“Have to show up tomorrow and win a baseball game,” outfielder Riley Greene said. “We believe in each other. We have to play better baseball and we have to win. That’s what it comes down to.”

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