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Words. Lots of them.

Two statements from the White House – one about negotiations with Ukraine, another about negotiations with Russia.

A version from Ukraine’s president and another from the Kremlin.

Follow live: Black Sea ceasefire deal reached after Saudi talks

Analysing the substance of the US-brokered agreement between Russia and Ukraine requires a sifting of the spin from all sides.

The read-outs from the White House are almost word-for-word, basically just swapping out the names of each country and each president.

But there are notable differences between Ukraine’s take and Russia’s take on what they each signed up to.

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy focuses on the potential involvement of third countries to support the implementation of the agreements.

We know he does not trust Vladimir Putin, but it sounds like he doesn’t trust Donald Trump either.

Mr Zelenskyy speaks to reporters after news of the limited ceasefire broke.
Pic: Reuters/Valentyn Ogirenko
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Mr Zelenskyy speaks to reporters after news of the limited ceasefire broke. Pic: Reuters

The Kremlin, on the other hand, focuses on the lifting of sanctions against companies exporting food and fertiliser.

In fact, Moscow says those sanctions must go before any ceasefire begins.

If that’s what Moscow expects, there is one big winner: Mr Putin.

Explainer: What is in the Black Sea ceasefire deal

Patrol boats of Ukraine’s coast guard sail in the Black Sea, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, February 7, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Peter
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A Ukrainian patrol boat in the Black Sea in 2024. Pics: Reuters

Ceasefires around energy infrastructure and in the Black Sea are progress, but not the peace Mr Trump promised, and at what price?

The man who said he would end the war within a day of taking office won’t win the Nobel Peace Prize for this.

Asked how the ceasefire would be monitored, Mr Trump replied: “Well, they’re going to get together.

“… there’s tremendous animosity, there’s a lot of hatred you can probably tell, and it allows for people to get together, mediate it, arbitrate it, and see if we can get it stopped, and I think it will.”

More words, but ultimately it comes down to actions – the extent to which ceasefires are observed.

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The Myanmar quake is the first major disaster to suffer the brunt of Trump’s devastating cuts

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The Myanmar quake is the first major disaster to suffer the brunt of Trump's devastating cuts

As they count the cost of this massive earthquake, the people of Myanmar will be hoping for a silver lining, that the disaster may hasten the fall of their despised dictator.

The catastrophe comes at a very bad time for General Min Aung Hlaing, who seized power in a coup four years ago.

The Myanmar junta is losing a civil war against an array of opposition forces, ceding territory now largely kettled into the country’s big cities. And some of the quake’s worst damage has been done in its urban strongholds.

Latest updates on earthquake

The disaster is so bad that Hlaing has broken his government’s self-imposed isolation to appeal for help from the outside world. But the country’s inaccessibility will remain a huge obstacle to aid efforts.

The 7.7 magnitude earthquake caused severe devastation across parts of Bangkok. Pic: AP
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Rescuers work at the construction site where a high-rise collapsed in Bangkok. Pic: AP

Making matters worse, President Donald Trump has decimated US aid operations in the country after shutting down the US Agency for International Development. For decades, American aid has provided as much as 40% of developmental aid worldwide. Not anymore.

The US president has promised Myanmar aid for the earthquake. On the same day, his administration was letting go of the last of USAID staff to lose their jobs.

In reality, Trump has fired most of the people most expert at organising help after this earthquake and the means to provide it. This will be the first major disaster to suffer the brunt of his devastating cuts.

Read more:
More than 1,000 killed in Myanmar earthquake
Moment building collapses in Bangkok earthquake

Myanmar is a deeply superstitious country. The generals who have ruled it since the end of colonial rule have consulted astrologers and use talismanic objects and animals, including white elephants, to protect their grip on power.

But earthquakes are thought to portend great change in Myanmar and sometimes the fall of leaders. That in itself may accelerate the toppling of its hated junta.

It remains powerful, supplied by ally China with advanced weaponry. It has used fighter jets to wreak havoc and carnage on opponents and civilians as the civil war has intensified.

But its enemies are gaining strength too, improvising with drones and other tactics to maintain momentum against a regime that lost all legitimacy. They will be encouraged in the belief that this disaster will bring closer their day of victory.

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Bangkok felt like a city caught off guard when chaos erupted with earthquake

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Bangkok felt like a city caught off guard when chaos erupted with earthquake

Bangkok felt like it erupted into chaos when the tremors hit.

No one knew what was happening and there was no warning.

In a city where lives are lived, there were suddenly incongruous sights in the sky – pools overflowing, high-rise walkways connecting expensive apartments broken apart, and huddles of confused and scared people outside offices.

The busy skytrain that millions rely on in Thailand‘s capital was shut down, bringing the city to a grinding halt and people struggling to move around.

Read more: Dozens die in Myanmar quake – as 100 missing in Bangkok

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Mayhem in Thailand as Myanmar quake shocks

My producer Rachael and I had to share a motorbike to try and get to the scene of the worst building collapse – a slow route through gridlocked traffic.

On arrival, the devastation was clear. A mass of rubble, a sea of rescue workers, and panicked onlookers.

More on Earthquakes

We were told that 90 construction workers were still trapped inside.

One of the men trying to rescue them told me he had heard some voices and was hopeful they would be able to pull people out alive.

But he acknowledged it was “very difficult” work and, as he spoke, we were engulfed with dust, the light already fading as specialist bulldozers were brought in.

Many of those inside, we were told, were Cambodians about to finish building the structure.

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Moment building collapses in earthquake

Why no warnings?

As the rescue effort continued, Thailand’s Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra suddenly arrived.

I asked her why there were no warnings – in a nation that 20 years ago suffered a devastating earthquake.

She did not respond.

But many will no doubt continue to press her government on why there was no emergency alert system, no texts, nothing. Not for hours after, at least.

Read more from Sky News:
Latest updates on earthquake
Eyewitnesses describe quake hitting Myanmar and Bangkok

Rescuers work at the site of a Bangkok skyscraper under construction that collapsed after an earthquake. Pic: AP
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Rescuers at the site of a Bangkok skyscraper under construction that collapsed after an earthquake. Pic: AP

The site of a collapsed building in Bangkok. Pic: Reuters
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Pic: Reuters

On the ground, Bangkok felt like a city caught off guard.

There are now fears of aftershocks – as the government moves quickly to try and reassure its people there will be warnings next time.

But in a place where the skyline is dominated by high-rise apartments, buildings and offices, there is a feeling of vulnerability now.

And there are questions about the integrity of their structures and what can be done to protect a population of more than 17 million people.

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JD Vance felt the cold in Greenland but he had no warm words for European allies

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JD Vance felt the cold in Greenland but he had no warm words for European allies

“It’s cold as s*** here,” said the US vice president when he touched down in Greenland.

He meant it, both literally and metaphorically.

There was no warm welcome from islanders for JD Vance and the second lady.

A small US team with a list of engagements evolved into a large delegation and just one engagement.

Everything changed when the organisers of a dogsled race, an annual spectacle on the cultural calendar, said the Americans weren’t invited.

The scaled-up US delegation and scaled-down schedule did little to address the concerns of Greenlanders.

The White House didn’t just send the vice president, they sent embattled national security advisor Mike Waltz too.

More on Greenland

Instead of being greeted by residents, they were greeted by their own troops manning an outpost tasked with warning them about long-range missile attacks.

And the vice president, who’s fast becoming the chief critic of Europe, made Denmark the focus of his attack.

But listen carefully to his speech and you’ll hear the same word twice: “think”.

“This is what we think is going to happen” re. their hopes islanders will vote for independence from Denmark and then engage with America.

“We do not think military action will be necessary,” he added, when asked about that potential.

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Why does the US want Greenland?

There is a world of difference between thinking something and knowing something.

So, what happens if what JD Vance “thinks” will or won’t happen doesn’t come to pass?

Read more:
How Greenlanders view Trump’s threats
Why does Trump want to take over Greenland?

Russia and America’s Arctic plans another challenge for Europe

Back in Washington DC, the president of the United States gave the answer.

“It’s not a question about whether we can do without it (Greenland). We can’t,” he said.

And Donald Trump has never ruled out taking the island by force.

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