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The COVID-19 pandemic is “a warning from the planet that much worse lies in store unless we change our ways”, a leading UN environment figure has said, ahead of the publication of the biggest climate report in almost a decade.

“While the climate crisis, together with biodiversity loss and pollution, has indeed been under way for decades, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought this triple planetary crisis into sharp focus,” Joyce Msuya, assistant secretary general of the United Nations and deputy executive director of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) said today.

“The pandemic is a warning from the planet that much worse lies in store unless we change our ways.”

Joyce Msuya addressing the Opening Ceremony for 54th Session of the IPCC and 14th Session of the Working Group I. Pic: IPCC
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Joyce Msuya addressing the Opening Ceremony for 54th Session of the IPCC and 14th Session of the Working Group I. Pic: IPCC

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Ms Msuya was speaking to mark the finalisation of the most comprehensive assessment of global warming of its kind since 2013.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Working Group I has compiled its latest update on the science behind climate change, assessing the impacts of global warming and warning of future threats.

Its researchers will now spend the next two weeks talking representatives of 195 governments through their findings, before the report is published on 9 August.

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The need for such a wide-reaching study has been thrown into sharp focus by a spate of climate change-linked environmental disasters suffered the world over, from flooding in Europe to famine in Madagascar. Siberia burned while swathes of the US and Brazil suffered record heat and drought.

It will set the scene for the all-important COP26, crucial climate negotiations taking place just three months later in Glasgow. The aim of the talks is to get governments to agree on how to limit emissions and limit global warming ideally to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

The spread of the fires is graphically clear from the air. Pic: Anastasya Leonova
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The Kremlin blamed the unprecedented Siberian wildfires on climate change

With 100 days to COP26, what are these climate talks and why are they so important?

Ms Msuya added: “After years of promises but not enough action, it is a warning that we must get on top of this crisis that threatens our collective future.

“As I speak it is clear that extreme weather is the new normal. From Germany to China to Canada or the United States, wildfires, floods, extreme heatwaves. It is an ever-growing tragic list.

“And as countries invest unprecedented amounts of resources into kickstarting the global economy, as we all call for this recovery to be green, we need the IPCC more than ever.”

Hot topics in the report could be humanity’s impact on the climate, feedback loops and the impacts of climate change already happening, the role of forests and oceans as carbon sinks or potential carbon sources.

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How to prepare for extreme weather

What is the IPCC?

For more than three decades the UN’s climate science body, the IPCC, has provided politicians with assessments on the global climate, publishing a series of reports every seven years, as well as special interim reports.

IPCC reports have historically underpinned global climate action and influenced decisions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Its 2013 assessment that humans had been the “dominant cause” of global warming since the 1950s set the stage for the landmark climate accord known as the Paris Agreement in 2015.

In 2018, the IPCC released a special report on keeping global temperature rise under 1.5C, which changed public discourse on climate.

The global atmosphere is already 1.2C warmer than the preindustrial average.

A further two reports in this assessment cycle are on track to be published next year.

Working Group II, slated for February, will calculate the vulnerability of humans and nature to the climate crisis and subsequent adaption. Working Group III, to follow in March, will assess ways of keeping to global temperature targets, including options on renewable energy or carbon capture and storage.

Subscribe to ClimateCast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Spreaker.

Sky News has launched the first daily prime time news show dedicated to climate change.

The Daily Climate Show is broadcast at 6.30pm and 9.30pm Monday to Friday on Sky News, the Sky News website and app, on YouTube and Twitter.

Hosted by Anna Jones, it follows Sky News correspondents as they investigate how global warming is changing our landscape and how we all live our lives.

The show also highlights solutions to the crisis and how small changes can make a big difference.

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China poses ‘real national security threats’ to UK, Starmer warns

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China poses 'real national security threats' to UK, Starmer warns

Sir Keir Starmer has warned China poses “real national security threats to the United Kingdom”.

But the prime minister also described China as a “nation of immense scale, ambition and ingenuity” and a “defining force in technology, trade and global governance”.

“The UK needs a China policy that recognises this reality,” he added in a speech at the Guildhall in London.

“Instead, for years we have blown hot and cold.

“So our response will not be driven by fear, nor softened by illusion. It will be grounded in strength, clarity and sober realism.”

Prime Minister Keir Starmer giving his speech. Pic: Reuters
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Prime Minister Keir Starmer giving his speech. Pic: Reuters

Describing the absence of engagement with China – the world’s second-biggest economy – as “staggering” and “a dereliction of duty”, Sir Keir said: “This is not a question of balancing economic and security considerations. We don’t trade off security in one area, for a bit more economic access somewhere else.

“Protecting our security is non-negotiable – our first duty. But by taking tough steps to keep us secure, we enable ourselves to cooperate in other areas.”

Sir Keir’s remarks come after MPs and parliamentarians were warned last month of new attempts to spy on them by China.

And they follow the collapse of a prosecution of two people suspected of spying on behalf of China.

That case led to controversy over how the government under Labour responded to the Crown Prosecution Service’s requests for evidence.

Speech at the annual Lady Mayor's Banquet. Pic: Reuters
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Speech at the annual Lady Mayor’s Banquet. Pic: Reuters

At the time, Sir Keir sought to blame the previous Conservative government for the issues, which centred on whether China could be designated an “enemy” under First World War-era legislation.

Meanwhile, Sky News understands the prime minister is set to approve plans for a controversial Chinese “super embassy” in central London.

Read more:
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A final decision on the planning application for the former Royal Mint site near the Tower of London is due on 10 December, after numerous previous delays.

Sir Keir is also understood to be preparing for a likely visit to China in the new year.

Since he was elected last year, Sir Keir has been active on the world stage, trumpeting deals with the US, India and the EU and leading the “coalition of the willing” in support of Ukraine.

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PM preparing for likely China visit

But he has also faced criticism from his opponents, who accuse him of spending too much time out of the UK attending international summits rather than focusing on domestic issues.

Sir Keir offered a defence of his approach, describing it as “the biggest shift in British foreign policy since Brexit” and “a decisive move to face outward again”.

While saying he would “always respect” the Brexit vote as a “fair, democratic expression”, he said the way the UK’s departure from the EU had been “sold and delivered” was “simply wrong”.

He said: “Wild promises were made to the British people and not fulfilled. We are still dealing with the consequences today.”

In his speech on Monday, the prime minister accused opposition politicians of offering a “corrosive, inward-looking attitude” on international affairs.

Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: Reuters
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Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: Reuters

Taking aim at those who advocate leaving the European Convention on Human Rights or NATO, he said they offered “grievance rather than hope” and “a declinist vision of a lesser Britain”.

Sir Keir said: “Moreover, it is a fatal misreading of the moment, ducking the fundamental challenge posed by a chaotic world – a world which is more dangerous and unstable than at any point for a generation, where international events reach directly into our lives, whether we like it or not.”

He added: “In these times, we deliver for Britain by looking outward with renewed purpose and pride, not by shrinking back. In these times, internationalism is patriotism.”

Responding to the prime minister’s speech, shadow foreign secretary Dame Priti Patel said: “From China’s continued flouting of economic rules to transnational repression of Hong Kongers in Britain, Starmer’s ‘reset’ with Beijing is a naive one-way street, which puts Britain at risk while Beijing gets everything it wants.

“Starmer continues to kowtow to China and is captivated by half-baked promises of trade.

“Coming just days after the latest Chinese plot to interfere in our democracy was exposed, his love letter to the Chinese Communist Party is a desperate ploy to generate economic growth following his budget of lies and is completely ill-judged.

“While China poses a clear threat to Britain, China continues to back Iran and Russia, and plots to undermine our institutions. Keir Starmer has become Beijing’s useful idiot in Britain.”

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Girl dies and another seriously hurt after crash involving minibus carrying nine teenagers in Tadcaster

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Girl dies and another seriously hurt after crash involving minibus carrying nine teenagers in Tadcaster

A girl has died and another has been seriously injured after a crash involving a minibus carrying nine teenagers.

North Yorkshire Police said it was investigating the collision involving a white Mercedes Sprinter minibus and a Hyundai car in Tadcaster.

The incident happened on Toulston Lane at the junction with Rudgate shortly before 12.30pm on Monday.

The minibus was carrying nine passengers aged 16 to 18, police said. One girl died at the scene.

Another teenage girl was taken to hospital by ambulance with serious injuries that are not believed to be life-threatening.

The other passengers and the man driving the minibus have received treatment at hospital for minor injuries.

The driver of the Hyundai, a 40-year-old woman, has been arrested in connection with the investigation.

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Police have appealed for witnesses and motorists with relevant dashcam footage to come forward.

Toulston Lane was closed to traffic as an investigation continued.

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OBR chief Richard Hughes resigns after budget leak investigation

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OBR chief Richard Hughes resigns after budget leak investigation

The chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has resigned after an investigation into the leak of last week’s budget criticised the watchdog’s leadership.

Richard Hughes stepped down following the publication of a report into the early release of Rachel Reeves’s fiscal event.

The OBR’s official forecast, which revealed the contents of the record-breaking tax rise budget, was accessed at 11.35am last Wednesday, about an hour before the chancellor stood up to deliver it.

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Rachel Reeves said she only found out about the leak when she was in the House of Commons
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Rachel Reeves said she only found out about the leak when she was in the House of Commons

In a letter to Ms Reeves and the chairwoman of the Commons Treasury Committee Dame Meg Hillier, Mr Hughes said he was quitting to allow the OBR to “quickly move on from this regrettable incident”.

He said he took “full responsibility” for “the shortcomings identified in the report”.

Mr Hughes said: “By implementing the recommendations in this report, I am certain the OBR can quickly regain and restore the confidence and esteem that it has earned through 15 years of rigorous, independent economic analysis.”

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An investigation ordered by the independent fiscal forecaster soon after the budget called the leak “the worst failure in the 15-year history of the OBR” and strongly criticised the watchdog’s processes for protecting sensitive information.

The probe found there was “nothing to suggest” the premature access was the result of “hostile cyber activity by foreign actors or cyber criminals, or of connivance by anyone working for the OBR”.

“Nor was it simply a matter of pressing the publication button on a locally managed website too early,” the report stated.

It concluded that “configuration errors” led to “a failure to ensure the protections which hide documents from public view immediately before publication were in place”.

“The ultimate responsibility for the circumstances in which this vulnerability occurred and was then exposed rests, over the years, with the leadership of the OBR,” the investigation said.

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Did Rachel Reeves mislead the nation with her budget?

Kemi Badenoch claimed that Ms Reeves was trying to use Mr Hughes as a “human shield”.

The Conservative leader said on social media: “More serious questions for the chancellor as she tries to make Richard Hughes her human shield.

“Her actions have turned this into a full blown political crisis for the government. If [Prime Minister] Keir Starmer had a backbone, he would have sacked Reeves long ago.”

Mr Hughes had been under pressure to explain the leak, which he immediately apologised for, and ordered the investigation.

It is also led by Professor David Miles and Tom Josephs, with Baroness Sarah Hogg and Dame Susan Rice as non-executive members.

There are 52 permanent staff, who are civil servants, with six of those working on the strategy, operations and communications team.

The report acknowledged the leak “changed the pattern of budget day to the chancellor’s disadvantage”.

Read more:
The budget’s key points
‘Of course I didn’t’ lie about budget forecasts – Reeves

OBR’s budget leak timeline on 26 November

5.10am: OBR website host emailed staff to confirm server modification to accommodate higher website traffic when the forecast is released

5.16am: A request was made to access the forecast document’s web address, but the PDF had not been uploaded yet. Between this time and 11.30am there were 44 unsuccessful requests to the URL from seven unique IP addresses

9am onwards: The web developer set up webpages in draft form in the content management system, creating IDS for all the downloads to be used across the website

11.02am: PDF documents were emailed to the web developer, including the forecast

11.03am-11.35am: The web developer began uploading documents to the draft area of the OBR website – which was understood by all involved not to be publicly accessible

11.35am: The first successful request to the document’s URL was made. This IP address had made 32 unsuccessful attempts at that URL that morning. There were 43 successful requests between this time and 12.07pm, from 32 unique IP addresses

11.41am: A Reuters news alert is the first evidence of the forecast being available publicly

11.43am: The OBR was first made aware by a non-Reuters journalist that Reuters was flashing forecast details. OBR staff, not knowing the URL was accessible even if known or guessed, found no evidence via webpages going live accidentally

11.50am onwards: Images and facts from the forecast began appearing widely online from many people

11.52am: Senior OBR and Treasury officials had a phone call to discuss the breach. Treasury staff made OBR staff aware of the URL

11.53am: OBR staff and the web developer tried to pull the PDF from the website, and to pull the entire website, but struggled to initially due to the website being overloaded with traffic

11.58am: A Reuters journalist emailed the OBR confirming they had published details and asked for a comment

12.07pm: The forecast PDF was renamed by the web developer, but it still appeared on the internet archive via search engines

12.08pm: The PDF was removed from the website’s content management system, taking it offline. The OBR chair and staff drafted a statement setting out what had happened and confirming its website was the source of the error

12.15pm: the statement was posted on the OBR’s website and on X

12.34pm: Chancellor’s budget statement began

1.38pm: The chancellor’s statement ended and the forecast and supporting documents were pushed live

It revealed the OBR’s spring statement 2025 was also accessed ahead of time, but said the likely explanation “is benign”.

And it said last week’s budget forecast document had multiple attempts to access it before it was inadvertently made accessible online.

The investigation partly blamed the Treasury and the Cabinet Office, as the OBR’s IT services were moved on to the Treasury’s shared systems in 2023 to “align more closely with Treasury security arrangements”, particularly around the sharing of sensitive budget information between the OBR and Treasury.

It said the Treasury should pay “greater attention” when setting the OBR’s budget, currently £6.4m, to the need for adequate support.

The investigation said there was pressure on the small team involved to ensure the full economic and fiscal outlook was published when the chancellor sat down after giving her budget, so a pre-publication “facility” was used.

But this commonly used device created a “potential vulnerability if not configured properly” and had not received the same amount of attention by the OBR as it had placed on security of communications with the Treasury “during the long period of run-up to the budget”.

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Starmer says he did not mislead the public

An outside web developer, who has helped the OBR team since it came into existence 15 years ago, assists the internal team and manages content and uploads at times of pressure, including the release of the budget forecast.

The report said the risks of this approach have increased over the years as technologies have developed and online threats have risen.

“With hindsight, it is clear that over the years this arrangement should have been regularly reexamined and assessed by the management of the OBR,” the report said.

It recommended the process for publishing forecasts should “immediately” be removed from the OBR’s locally managed website, which is a WordPress website, and published as part of a government website.

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