Connect with us

Published

3 years ago

on

2:13 AM ET

The last time the Pac-12 had a Saturday in November as consequential in the national conversation as it did in Week 12, California was little more than rows of orange groves and a few small studios churning out talking pictures.

OK, maybe it wasn’t quite that long ago, but it’s been a while since the Pac-12 was center stage at this point in the season, and on Saturday, the league delivered.

USC and UCLA traded haymakers in a shootout with playoff implications.

Oregon and Utah traded frustrations in a defensive battle in which both QBs struggled to find traction.

The end result was a pair of three-point games that could ultimately define who plays for the Pac-12 title.

USC’s 48-45 win over UCLA wasn’t exactly a heavyweight bout. It was more like two drunk guys attacking a plate of wings — frenzied, haphazard and unrelenting.

On one side, Caleb Williams was a magician, throwing for 470 yards and two touchdowns and finding wide-open receivers again and again and again. In all, he connected with nine different players, including 11 completions to Jordan Addison, who finished with 178 yards. The Trojans punted just once, on their penultimate drive of the game, and even that seemed like a concession from Lincoln Riley to settle for a field position battle rather than chuck the ball one last time to seal the game. At no point did it seem as if UCLA had an answer for Williams and the Trojans’ offense.

On the other side, there was Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who truly looked as if he had been through a boxing match. By the fourth quarter, he was so battered, he might as well have been flickering pink like Little Mac after one too many punches from Bald Bull. Yet he kept getting up, kept running through tackles and launching deep balls to keep the Bruins in the game.

Thompson-Robinson’s four turnovers — including an interception to seal the game on UCLA’s final drive — proved to be the difference. This has been the story of USC’s season. The Trojans are now plus-20 in turnover margin for the season. So what if USC’s defense is a mirage? A little luck and a lot of offense has taken it a long way, and with Tennessee and North Carolina removing themselves from playoff contention Saturday, the Trojans are in prime position to earn the Pac-12’s first playoff bid since 2016.

For UCLA, a once promising season has devolved with two brutal losses in a row. Chip Kelly can now turn his attention to his real job as everyone’s weird uncle who brings up convoluted conspiracy theories about government corn subsidies at Thanksgiving.

For USC, its playoff résumé got a boost, but the Trojans will face another massive test next week against Notre Dame.

Oregon might find itself as the final hurdle for the Trojans after Saturday’s 20-17 win over Utah.

Far from the high-scoring affair in Los Angeles, this one felt like trying to buy Taylor Swift tickets — tedious, frustrating and filled with technical gaffes.

Bo Nix struggled through an ankle injury but still threw for 287 yards and converted a critical third-and-1 with his first run of the night to ice the game.

Cameron Rising had his worst game as a Ute, throwing three picks with no touchdowns in the loss, including one that Noah Sewell celebrated by doing his impression of a toddler refusing to learn to walk.

play

0:30

Utah’s Cameron Rising tosses INT

A week earlier, Oregon couldn’t hold off a late charge from Washington. On Saturday, the Ducks fumbled through the second half, but their one successful drive resulted in three points that proved to be the difference in the game. The Oregon defense utterly frustrated Rising, who was just 6-of-13 for 29 yards and an interception on Utah’s final three drives.

If the Ducks win next week against Oregon State, they’d face off against USC in the Pac-12 title game, where Kevin Warren will be waiting with a bouquet of roses and some Yankee candles for the winner.

Until then, the Pac-12 can enjoy at least one weekend in which it was the best show.

TCU’s gamble pays off, Michigan avoids disaster

Saturday’s games were essentially every movie where a fearless hero has to defuse a bomb, shut his eyes and clip the blue wire, not entirely sure if it’s the right one.

It was every airline disaster film where a passenger is called to fill in for the unconscious pilot and land the plane.

It was Nic Cage, shirt unbuttoned and fluttering in the wind, screaming incoherently as explosions wreak havoc around him.

Saturday walked the college football season right to the edge of the cliff and jumped — only to grab a branch on the way down and climb back to safety.

In Waco, Texas, TCU‘s miracle season went from absurd to sublime as the Horned Frogs botched a two-point conversion, nearly ran out the clock with a curious run call, then perfectly executed a special teams scramble drill for a game-winning field goal.

At the Big House, Illinois had Michigan on the ropes, but the Wolverines inched their way down the field on a final drive, watched J.J. McCarthy throw two passes that could’ve ended in disaster, then booted a field goal to win.

The Nos. 3 and 4 teams in the country remain undefeated. Barely.

The final moments weren’t quite so dramatic for No. 1 Georgia or No. 2 Ohio State, but they, too, flirted with disaster. The Bulldogs found the end zone just once in a 16-6 win over Kentucky. The Buckeyes trailed at the half and needed a late pick-six to fend off Maryland 43-30.

Georgia’s made a habit of sleepwalking past lesser foes. It hasn’t mattered.

Ohio State was truly tested for the first time all season. We can forgive the Buckeyes falling into the trap with that team up north on deck next week.

In the end, neither game felt truly in doubt.

For TCU and Michigan, however, their place in the top four seemed about as safe as the average crypto investment.

Baylor led the Horned Frogs 28-20 with less than 7 minutes to play, but as it has seemingly done every week, TCU had an answer. Max Duggan drove the offense 90 yards on 11 plays for the score, then had Emari Demercado wide open for a game-tying two-point try but led his running back just a touch too far.

Baylor had a chance to run out the clock, but Blake Shapen decided to run on third down despite a wide open receiver beyond the sticks, giving the ball back to TCU one last time. The Horned Frogs managed nine plays and 45 yards in the final 1:34, but because Sonny Dykes is the type of person who likes to hit on 18 just to see what will happen, the final scrimmage play of the game was a run. Demercado went up the middle for 2 yards with the clock ticking down. The field-goal unit sprinted onto the field and snapped the ball just before the clock hit zeroes, and Griffin Kell drilled the 40-yarder for the win.

After the game, Dykes said there was never a doubt. The fire drill is something his team practices routinely. Whether Dykes is aware that practicing fire drills doesn’t require you to light your house on fire to make them worthwhile is irrelevant. The gamble worked.

play

0:32

TCU scrambles to kick a game-winning field goal in the final seconds against Baylor.

At Michigan, the Wolverines were without RB Donovan Edwards and Heisman Trophy candidate Blake Corum went down early in the second half with a knee injury, all of which made finding the end zone something akin to a Where’s Waldo puzzle for Jim Harbaugh’s offense. (Like Dykes’ special-teams scramble, we also assume Harbaugh practices Where’s Waldo puzzles daily.) Michigan had six second-half possessions. One resulted in a punt, one a 10-play drive thwarted by a failed fourth-down try at the Illinois 37 and four others with a field goal.

Lucky for Michigan, it has arguably the best kicker in the country.

Trailing by a touchdown at the start of the fourth quarter, Michigan got field goals of 41, 33 and a 35-yard game winner from Jake Moody. The final series involved two dangerous throws from McCarthy — one into the end zone that just missed the outstretched arms of Illinois DB Devon Witherspoon and the other batted into the air at the line of scrimmage, and Michigan survived.

That whooshing sound you might’ve heard after those last-second field goals? That was the playoff committee breathing an enormous sigh of relief. Oh, how close we came to chaos but Dykes cut the right wire, and Harbaugh landed the plane.

There were so many ways this could’ve gone wrong. Probably should have gone wrong. And yet, here we are, the playoff picture tattered and worn, but still in one piece.

Somewhere at the bottom of the Tennessee River, a goal post is thankful it didn’t have to witness what happened to the Volunteers on Saturday.

No. 5 Tennessee had a real path to the College Football Playoff. It simply needed to beat South Carolina and Vanderbilt and then kick back and wait.

Turns out, that was easier said than done.

South Carolina utterly annihilated Tennessee 63-38 on Saturday in as unlikely a performance as there has been in college football this season.

For 11 weeks, South Carolina’s season was chugging along just as it should. The Gamecocks were not good enough to warrant much attention, nor were they bad enough to be interesting. This is the South Carolina way. They are like every U2 album released in the past 20 years. People are vaguely aware they exist, but no one can recall any specific details about them.

A week ago, South Carolina scored six points.

In seven SEC games this season, Spencer Rattler had five touchdown passes.

In 84 years since the first AP poll, according to ESPN Stats & Information research, no unranked team had ever scored more than 60 against a top-five team.

And yet, on Saturday, unranked South Carolina scored 63 behind six touchdown passes from Rattler.

play

1:52

Spencer Rattler slings six touchdown passes as South Carolina completes the upset victory over Tennessee.

The loss essentially eliminates Tennessee from the playoff, and star QB Hendon Hooker went down with an injury in the second half to boot. It would be a clear low point for the program if the years between 2008 and 2020 hadn’t happened.

The win was South Carolina coach Shane Beamer’s first over a top-five team. That now ties him with his dad, Frank, who was 1-21 vs. teams ranked in the top five in his career.

Tales of the SEC via Twitter

It’s the most miserable week of the season in the SEC, as half the league tunes up for rivalry games by demolishing lower tier opponents getting paid to lose big.

But spending a bunch of money just to watch a disaster unfold isn’t unique to the SEC. That’s what’s happening at Twitter, too. So as our favorite social media network circles the drain, we figured we’d celebrate the SEC’s blowouts by remembering some of the best tweets ever sent.

Alabama 34, Austin Peay 0

It’s been a weird year for Alabama. On one hand, the Tide’s two losses are by a combined three points. On the other hand, this is the first season in recent memory that Alabama hasn’t been in the title hunt in mid-November. It’s clear there are problems at Alabama. But are they big problems or something more akin to a bowl stuck inside another bowl?

Things Nick Saban has tried:

-warm soapy water
-oil on edges
-microwave
-aggressive shaking
-WD-40
-Scheduling Austin Peay

That last one seemed to offer some hope, as Jermaine Burton caught seven balls for 128 yards and two touchdowns while Jase McClellan ran for 156 and two scores in the win.

Texas A&M 20, UMass 3

Well, the Aggies finally snapped their six-game losing streak after paying UMass $1.7 million to come play at a mostly empty Kyle Field.

And while a win is a win, this was hardly a turning point for Jimbo Fisher’s team. The offense largely sputtered yet again, and has not topped 28 points against an FBS opponent all season (and has gone 13 straight FBS games without topping 28).

For reference, here’s a list of teams that scored less than Texas A&M did Saturday against UMass in the last four years: Stony Brook this year UConn in 2021 UConn in 2018

That’s the whole list.

And that brings us to our Twitter memory to celebrate all that A&M has accomplished this year.

Allow us to paraphrase for the folks in College Station …

Food $200
Data $150
Rent $800
Coaching buyout $86 million
Utility $150

Someone who is good at the economy please help me budget this. My NIL collective is dying.

Mississippi State 56, East Tennessee State 7

The eastern part of Tennessee gave us Dolly Parton, and ETSU must surely be thinking Mississippi State could’ve had its choice of cupcakes, but now ETSU may never score again. Regardless, the Buccaneers will be talking about Will Rogers and his five TD passes in their sleep.

But here’s the real question: Do you think Mike Leach has ever been to Dollywood?

Auburn 41, Western Kentucky 17

Cadillac Williams has Auburn’s ground game working, with both Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter each rushing for more than 100 yards Saturday. The win gets Auburn to 5-6 and now all the Tigers need to do is win the Iron Bowl to get bowl eligible.

What we’ve thought of the Tigers:

Hey, nice national championship in 2010.

Wow, a second national championship appearance in 2013.

Oh, they had two good seasons.

Missouri 45, New Mexico State 14

Brady Cook threw three TD passes, and the Tigers won with ease. They’ll now host Arkansas next week with bowl eligibility on the line. Which brings us to our Missouri tweet.

The Tigers have five wins and can make a bowl. Is that good?

Well, here are the Tigers’ five wins so far: Louisiana Tech, Abilene Christian, Vanderbilt, South Carolina and New Mexico State.

They are in a balloon. Arkansas is the power lines.

LSU 41, UAB 10

Yes, Brian Kelly is a bit of an odd duck. And sure, those jokes about the accent and the dancing were hilarious. But the guy can coach, and if LSU wins out, there’s a real chance the Tigers could become the first two-loss team in the College Football Playoff.

Also, he’d probably be wearing one of those rasta caps and call it mac-uh-roo-nuh.

Sooners win Bedlam

Oklahoma went 1-of-15 on third and fourth down, held the ball for 15 fewer minutes of possession time and didn’t score in the second half Saturday against Oklahoma State.

The result: The best win of the season for the Sooners.

Don’t bother digging into those details. Saturday was a high-water mark for the struggling Sooners. The defense finally looked like a unit coached by Brent Venables, picking off four Spencer Sanders passes in the win and immediately angering Lincoln Riley that he didn’t lure a few more Sooners defenders to USC this offseason.

Dillon Gabriel accounted for three touchdowns, the Sooners ran for 175 yards, and Venables earned his first win in Bedlam as a head coach.

On a week in which former Oklahoma QBs Spencer Rattler and Caleb Williams earned wins, too, Oklahoma finally had something to truly celebrate after a season of misery, and in the process, secured bowl eligibility for the 24th straight season, the second-longest active streak in the country (after Georgia).

Texas vanquishes arch nemesis

In Austin, they can finally breathe easy. Those plucky upstart Longhorns have finally felled the monster.

Texas toppled Big 12 power Kansas Jayhawks 55-14 Saturday in a stunning upset that has, at long last, delivered a message that the big, bad Jayhawks aren’t invincible.

Oh, sure, the rivalry had been entirely one-sided of late. Texas hadn’t tasted victory over the Jayhawks since 2019 — ancient history, really. It was a time when a legend named Tom Herman roamed the sidelines, the only Texas coach in the past decade without an L against Kansas. Those were the glory days for the Longhorns.

But Saturday, Bijan Robinson unearthed a bit of that same glory once again. He ran for 243 yards and four touchdowns against the mighty Kansas defense, a sizable fraction of Texas’ 427 rushing yards on the day.

Quinn Ewers got his first taste of the rivalry, and completed just 12 of 21 passes for 107 yards. Still, he earned the win — something no Texas QB had accomplished this decade. Ewers then celebrated by unrolling a pack of cigarettes from his t-shirt sleeve and relaxing on the hood of a 1982 Trans Am.

It was an emphatic win for the Longhorns, their biggest margin against the Jayhawks since 2011. It was a statement, really. No longer would Texas be the Big 12’s laughing stock while Kansas basked in the spotlight of true supremacy. The tide has turned. Texas finally has the monkey off its back. And yes, we assume the monkey then attacked a bunch of kids.

Heels tripped up

At North Carolina, the ceiling is the roof. But the floor? That’s Georgia Tech.

For the second straight season, a ranked UNC team fell to the Yellow Jackets. This one, however, stings much worse.

The Tar Heels saw their long shot playoff hopes disappear along with a 17-0 lead thanks to myriad red-zone failures and a defense that couldn’t get off the field on Georgia Tech’s final drive.

For the first time this season, Drake Maye failed to throw a touchdown. He might’ve had one — and a game-winner — when he hit a wide open Josh Downs at the 1 on a fourth-and-11 with 4 minutes to play. But Downs dropped the pass, UNC turned the ball over on downs and Georgia Tech converted a third-and-4, third-and-9 and third-and-1 to drain the clock to zeroes.

play

0:46

Josh Downs drops a wide-open touchdown pass that would have restored North Carolina’s lead.

The Tar Heels had four trips inside the Georgia Tech red zone and came away with just 13 points from them.

For the Yellow Jackets, interim coach Brent Key is now 4-3 against ACC competition, staking a strong claim for the full-time job.

For North Carolina, a season’s worth of come-from-behind wins came to a screeching halt when Maye and the offense ran out of magic.

UNC will still play for an ACC championship and has a chance to knock off rival NC State next week. And, of course, basketball season is underway, so there’s still plenty for Heels fans to discuss over a nice Château Margaux sauvignon blanc and some Bitto Storico.

No New Year’s Six for UCF

UCF’s hopes for an American Conference championship are still alive, but one week after taking command in the quest for the Group of 5’s New Year’s Six bid with a win over Tulane, the Knights ran into a Navy defense that played its best game of the season.

UCF was without starting QB John Rhys Plumlee in the second half, turned the ball over twice, was just 3-of-12 on third-down tries and its defense couldn’t get off the field as Navy chewed up the final 5:54 of the game on an 11-play drive to secure the 17-14 win.

The Knights’ loss further scrambles both the AAC championship game picture and the New Year’s Six bid. Tulane and Cincinnati were both ranked in the committee’s most recent top 25, but they’ll face off against each other in Week 13. UCF wraps its season against hapless USF, and would still make the conference title game with a win. Whether a three-loss UCF could make a New Year’s Six bowl even with a conference title, however, is a big question, leaving the door open perhaps for Coastal Carolina or UTSA to make a late push, too.

The most college football thing to happen Saturday

This season has had far too few random animal entertainment during games. Last year we had the Louisville dog and the Arizona State fox. We’ve had jackrabbits and squirrels and ducks over the years, and they’re always a delightful distraction during a particularly dull football game.

So, a huge tip of the cap to this year’s first truly memorable animal act: The end zone pigeon.

The pigeon appeared in the end zone in the second half of Oregon State‘s 31-7 win over the Sun Devils and spent nearly the entirety of the remainder of the game there, without fear that Arizona State’s offense might intrude on his real estate.

With the game a blowout, the pigeon became prime TV fodder, and a star was born.

Heisman Five

Caleb Williams made a statement in his bid for the Heisman in Week 11. Drake Maye‘s chances took a nosedive. Bryce Young played a cupcake, C.J. Stroud was mediocre, and Hendon Hooker got hurt. Long story short, the Heisman race remains up in the air and Week 11 did little to define the outcome. But we’ve written enough about the Heisman this season. For this week, let’s turn our attention to the Group of Fivesman — the best players outside the Power 5.

1. UTSA QB Frank Harris

Harris threw for 103 yards, ran for 124 and accounted for five touchdowns in the Roadrunners’ 41-7 win over Rice. For the season, Harris is completing nearly 70% of his passes, with 24 passing touchdowns and eight more on the ground, while posting a Total QBR of 78.9 — better than any other QB outside the Power 5. More importantly, Harris has UTSA with a genuine shot at a New Year’s Six bid if it wins out and gets a little help.

2. Houston WR Nathaniel Dell

Dell led the way for Houston on Saturday with nine catches for 176 yards and a touchdown in the Cougars’ dominant win over ECU. Dell now has a touchdown grab in eight straight games, the longest streak by an FBS receiver since 2019. In his past four games, Dell has 43 catches for 566 yards and six touchdowns.

3. Cincinnati LB Ivan Pace Jr.

Pace entered the weekend as the nation’s leader in tackles for loss with 19. He didn’t add to that total Saturday, but he did help key another dominant defensive performance in Cincinnati’s 23-3 win over Temple. For the season, Pace has nine sacks, seven QB hurries, two forced fumbles and three pass breakups, too.

4. Marshall RB Khalan Laborn

Laborn added another 105 total yards to his season tally in Marshall’s 23-10 win over Georgia Southern on Saturday. The former Florida State tailback has been the centerpiece for Marshall’s offense this season, and he has topped 100 yards of offense nine times. He’s one of just six players in the country — and one of just two outside the Power 5 — with 1,400 total yards and 14 touchdowns.

5. Ohio QB Kurtis Rourke

The Bobcats have won six straight games and have a chance to lock up a spot in the MAC title game with a win next week against Bowling Green. The key to Ohio’s success? Rourke has been nearly flawless. He has averaged better than 10 yards per pass six times this season, including in three straight games. For the year, he has 25 passing TDs and just four INTs while ranking among the most prolific players in the country with more than 3,500 yards of offense through 11 games.

Under-the-radar play of the day

When we debate who made the year’s best catch in college football, be sure to include this one from Duke‘s Jordan Moore.

On a second-and-6, QB Riley Leonard threw a back-shoulder pass toward the sideline. Moore was well covered, and the ball was thrown high. Meh. No problem.

play

0:35

Pitt’s Jordan Moore makes an astounding one-handed catch.

Moore finished the game with 14 grabs for 199 yards and a touchdown, but the Blue Devils came up just short in a 28-26 loss to Pitt.

Under-the-radar game of the day

Aidan Sayin hit Trey Flowers for a 5-yard touchdown on fourth-and-goal with 5 seconds to play to lead Penn over Princeton, a win that handed the Ivy League title to Yale.

No doubt this will result in those new money Yalies ribbing their rivals with some droll remarks between bits of crudité down at the marina. But let them have their American football. Princeton will always excel at gentlemanly club life.

Big bets and bad beats

This week, Las Vegas set the lowest over-under for a college football game in the past 20 years for Iowa and Minnesota‘s matchup. The Hawkeyes considered it a dare.

With a total that closed at just 31.5, Iowa and Minnesota never even sniffed the over. Iowa took a 10-7 lead to the half, but after the break, the two teams opted to engage in a war of attrition that included less action than the average staring contest.

The Gophers had a prime chance to put the game away midway through the fourth quarter (though, in fairness, a second touchdown against Iowa at any point during a game usually ensures a win) when Mohamed Ibrahim carried 14 times on a 16-play drive but fumbled on a third-and-4 in the red zone. After a Minnesota interception on its next drive, Iowa scored a field goal to secure the win.

Ibrahim finished just 10 yards shy of matching Iowa’s total yardage, carrying 39 times for 263 yards (with a catch for seven more), but it wasn’t enough.

The under covered easily. Iowa won for the fourth time this season in a game in which it failed to crack 300 yards of offense.

The top four teams in the country all won Saturday, but none of them covered.

Georgia was a 22.5-point favorite against Kentucky but won by just 10. Ohio State was a 26-point favorite against Maryland but led by just three in the final minutes of the game. Michigan was a 17-point favorite and needed a last-second field goal to pull out the victory over Illinois. And TCU, favored by just two, escaped Baylor by a point.

This year’s installment of Cal–Stanford won’t be remembered as the wildest ending in the rivalry, but bettors of the under will certainly be talking about it for a while.

The total closed at 46 and the under looked like an easy winner with Stanford leading 17-6 after three quarters. But Cal responded with three fourth-quarter touchdowns to take a 27-17 lead with 58 seconds to play. It was enough to get bettors sweating, but at 44 points, the under remained safe.

Well, it should have anyway.

Stanford got the ball back, ran nine plays for 37 yards to the Cal 43 and then, with just five seconds remaining, lined up for a 61-yard field goal try.

Why? Our only guess is crypto is in the tank and too many Stanford boosters had the over.

In any case, Joshua Karty‘s kick was good — sealing Stanford’s 27-20 loss and a wild cover for the over.

Related Topics:
Continue Reading

Sports

Final 2025 MLB mock draft: Updated picks just hours before Round 1 begins

Published

3 hours ago

on

July 13, 2025

By

Final 2025 MLB mock draft: Updated picks just hours before Round 1 begins

  • Kiley McDanielJul 13, 2025, 02:00 PM ET

    Close

    • ESPN MLB Insider
    • Kiley McDaniel covers MLB prospects, the MLB Draft and more, including trades and free agency.
    • Has worked for three MLB teams.
      • Co-author of Author of ‘Future Value’

The 2025 MLB draft begins at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN, so it is time for one final update as teams lock in their Day 1 boards.

The drama starts right at the top this year, as the Washington Nationals have a difficult decision to make with the No. 1 pick a week after firing their general manager.

In a year without a slam-dunk top player, Oklahoma high school star Ethan Holliday (yes, the son of former major leaguer Matt) and a group of college left-handers (LSU’s Kade Anderson, Tennessee’s Liam Doyle and Florida State’s Jamie Arnold) rank among the top prospects in the class.

Which direction will the Nationals go — and how will the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners follow with the No. 2 and No. 3 picks?

Since this is a last-minute update on what teams could do Sunday night, my writeups here are focused on what has changed since the previous edition. You can find a more detailed look at each team’s strategy in my mock draft 3.0. And remember, this is the order in which I think the players will come off the board, while my draft rankings are the order in which I’d pick the players.

Draft tracker: Results, analysis for every Day 1 pick

More coverage: Mock draft 3.0 | Big question for all 30 teams

Watch: Sunday at 6 p.m. on ESPN

1. Washington Nationals

Kade Anderson, LHP, LSU
Rank: 1

There have been a lot of rumors flying around over the past few days about what is happening in the wake of the firing of GM Mike Rizzo.

The industry feeling is that what has changed is 1) Anderson is a little more likely to be the pick mostly because Holliday is now a little less likely to be the pick, and 2) taking a bigger cut is a real option, with Eli Willits the main cut-rate possibility, though Aiva Arquette has also been mentioned.

All but Willits are advised by Scott Boras, and he’ll never tip his hand until he has to; now is not the time yet. Nothing is decided here and price will be a factor. If I turned this in 15 minutes before the draft, the Nats might still not have made the decision, so I’ll stick with what seems most likely, even if I don’t feel great about it. Landon Harmon is a rumored later round, overslot target.

For context, a scouting director for a team picking in the top 10 said I shouldn’t feel confident about anything happening in the top three picks specifically, adding, “I’m hearing there’s wars happening in all of those rooms right now” (as of Friday night). I ran that by another director picking up high: “Yeah, we’re hearing the same thing.”

2. Los Angeles Angels

Liam Doyle, LHP, Tennessee
Rank: 6

I’m going to stick with Doyle because he makes the most sense for what the Angels have proved they’re looking for in recent drafts: a polished, quick-moving college player who will come at a savings.

I’ve heard at least six players seriously connected to this pick in the past few days: Anderson, Doyle, Arnold, Arquette, Ike Irish and Willits. There are a couple more I’ve been told are under consideration who I’m not taking seriously as options here.

It could be any of these players based on final conversations and bonus pricing info on each player coming in at the last minute. Doyle has a real shot to slide to No. 9 or No. 10 if he doesn’t go here, so he is motivated to give a competitive number.

play

0:55

Liam Doyle’s MLB draft profile

Kiley McDaniel explains what makes Tennessee’s Liam Doyle one of the top prospects in this year’s MLB draft.

3. Seattle Mariners

Seth Hernandez, RHP, Corona HS (CA)
Rank: 4

The hot rumor of the past few days is that Tyler Bremner will be the pick here at big savings, and that holds up to further analysis because, in style, Bremner and Hernandez (long connected to this pick) are pretty similar.

It’s pretty widely known that Anderson is the No. 1 player for Seattle and will be the pick if he gets here, which still has maybe a 20-30% chance of happening.

If Anderson isn’t here, I think the decision comes down to Bremner at the most savings, Irish at a little less savings or Hernandez at the least savings, broadly speaking. Some sources have said Arquette, Arnold and Kyson Witherspoon are also in play here, but they seem like tertiary options.

I think Bremner having more support in the No. 11-15 area that was reflected in the last mock will raise his price a bit to where Hernandez will be the pick, but this one is also wide open at the moment and will come down to a last-minute bonus price check if Anderson isn’t available.

Ethan Holliday, 3B, Stillwater HS (OK)
Rank: 2

There has been some waffling late in the process from sources who think maybe the Rockies wouldn’t pay the overslot price to get Holliday down here — but much of what I hear very late in the process is wrong or intentional misinformation, so I’ll stick with what I’ve been hearing for a literal year.

I think the other options for Colorado if Holliday doesn’t get here are all college pitchers: Anderson, Arnold and Witherspoon, with Willits and Arquette getting some mentions.

play

1:10

Ethan Holliday’s MLB draft profile

Kiley McDaniel explains what makes Ethan Holliday one of the top prospects in this year’s MLB draft.

Eli Willits, SS, Fort Cobb-Broxton HS (OK)
Rank: 3

Willits seems securely in play at the top two picks and possibly at No. 4, so the Cardinals landing him here would be considered a solid outcome. I think Anderson and Holliday are the primary targets for this pick and Willits is next up, with Arnold and Irish as the possible underslot options.

Jamie Arnold, LHP, Florida State
Rank: 5

It sounds like Hernandez or Willits will be the pick if either is here, so the Pirates are rooting for Seattle to either land Anderson or opt for a cheaper alternative to Hernandez.

Otherwise, JoJo Parker, Arnold, Arquette and Irish are believed to be the four leading options here. Arnold has the most late support, but this one might also come down to money.

I hope you feel sympathy for me having to do this in public when none of these teams know what it will do and won’t for hours.

play

1:05

Jamie Arnold’s MLB draft profile

Kiley McDaniel explains what makes Florida State’s Jamie Arnold one of the top prospects in this year’s MLB draft.

JoJo Parker, SS, Purvis HS (MS)
Rank: 7

I think this will come down to Parker, Iris, and Billy Carlson — and I think Parker has the edge.

Aiva Arquette, SS, Oregon State
Rank: 9

I think the Jays will pick Parker if he gets here and will consider Arnold along with Arquette and Irish if they are still available here. This decision seems to come down to Arquette or Irish, with Carlson and Witherspoon also under consideration.

4:15 p.m. ET UPDATE: Ike Irish, RF, Auburn
Rank: 13

I’m getting some late-breaking info that Irish is more of a fit here than Hall, so shuffling a few picks that follow to accommodate for that.

Cincinnati seems to be the floor if Hernandez or Doyle slip, and otherwise the Reds seem to be the ceiling for Hall. Irish, Witherspoon and Carlson are also in the mix.

Billy Carlson, SS, Corona HS (CA)
Rank: 8

Carlson’s range seems to be No. 7 to No. 12 (or maybe No. 14). I think the White Sox really want to land the Parker brothers (JoJo and Jacob) but can’t get JoJo to this pick.

The White Sox have been all over high school hitters all spring, and Carlson gets the nod over Gavin Fien.

Tyler Bremner, RHP, UC Santa Barbara
Rank: 18

Bremner is picking up steam at this pick, and I think his floor is now Boston’s pick at No. 15. It’s a bit surprising he could go ahead of Witherspoon, but Bremner clearly has been getting interest in the top half of the first round that just hadn’t leaked out to the industry at large until late. I think this will be a college player, likely a pitcher, with Witherspoon and Brendan Summerhill also mentioned here a lot.

4:15 p.m. ET UPDATE: Steele Hall, SS, Hewitt-Trussville HS (AL)
Rank: 13

A few names shuffled around late Sunday, and now one of the Rangers’ top targets will be available. Marek Houston is also in the mix here.

I think Hall and Carlson are the targets here, but neither will make it to the pick, so Cunningham will become the pick, narrowly over Josh Hammond. I was hearing Cunningham would fit more 20-30, and the late chatter is that he has multiple homes in the teens. As with the White Sox, the belief all spring was that the Rangers want a prep hitter here.

4:15 p.m. ET UPDATE: Kyson Witherspoon, RHP, Oklahoma
Rank: 10

In a last-minute update, I shuffled four players and Witherspoon fits here as a solid value.

Irish is in play at most picks starting at No. 2 all the way down to the middle of the first round, but I think his slide would stop here. The Giants have long been tied to Marek Houston and Charles Davalan (a long shot at this pick, but gone by their next one), with Andrew Fischer getting some love as well.

4:15 p.m. ET UPDATE: Kayson Cunningham, SS, Johnson HS (TX)
Rank: 25

I think this pick will come down to Cunningham or Sean Gamble in this situation; Gamble could make it to their next pick.

The Rays are tied to prep position players for later picks and could pull a shocker, as I projected in my previous mock, by taking Jaden Fauske here.

I think Hall, Carlson and Cunningham are the main targets, but none of them is available in this projection. Witherspoon is from Florida and is a great value, while the Rays still have a chance to land Fauske at their next pick.

Gavin Fien, 3B, Great Oak HS (CA)
Rank: 12

I’ll stick with Fien here as one of the steadiest projections all spring. It sounds like Tyler Bremner will be the pick if he gets here, but that’s now looking unlikely.

Gavin Kilen, SS, Tennessee
Rank: 20

Kilen fits the type of prospect the Twins have targeted for a while. I could see Houston, Caden Bodine or Gage Wood being options here, too.

Josh Hammond, SS, Wesleyan Christian HS (NC)
Rank: 17

I think the Cubs are targeting in-game power here, and Hammond makes a lot of sense. They’ve scouted Quentin Young pretty hard this spring as well, but this is too early for that kind of risk. Xavier Neyens, Wehiwa Aloy and Wood all fit, as well.

Marek Houston, SS, Wake Forest
Rank: 22

I think Cunningham is the target here, but he isn’t available in this scenario. Hammond and Bodine are also mentioned here and I think Slater de Brun will be the selection at Arizona’s next pick.

Jace LaViolette, CF, Texas A&M
Rank: 21

LaViolette should go in one of the next three picks and fits Baltimore’s style. He won’t get to the Orioles’ next pick, but they may be able to float targets down there with their extra pool muscle, as covered in the previous mock.

Brendan Summerhill, CF, Arizona
Rank: 14

Summerhill has a very unclear and wide range of teams that are interested but could fit here. Daniel Pierce, Houston, Bodine and Coy James are all in the mix for this pick.

Wehiwa Aloy, SS, Arkansas
Rank: 15

I think LaViolette, Neyens, Southisene and Aloy are all in the mix here, along with possible underslot deals for Davalan or de Brun.

Gage Wood, RHP, Arkansas
Rank: 16

It now looks like Bremner won’t get here, but the Braves have been tied to Wood for about a month. Otherwise, the hit-first shortstops like Houston and Pierce are tied here.

Daniel Pierce, SS, Mill Creek HS (GA)
Rank: 19

Hammond seems to be the target, but he doesn’t make it to K.C. in this edition. I think the Royals will take a prep pitcher with one of their high picks, likely either Watson or Fisher, and maybe another later on Day 1. Eyanson and Wood are two college arms being considered.

Coy James, SS, Davie County HS (NC)
Rank: 69

James has a good shot at being a Tiger, and some of Detroit’s primary options go right ahead of this spot in this scenario, so I think this could be a curveball pick to most viewers.

Fauske is another possibility here, along with Kruz Schoolcraft, Pierce, Watson, Dax Kilby (more at their next pick), de Brun (same), Southisene and Fischer.

Anthony Eyanson, RHP, LSU
Rank: 45

There’s lots of late momentum for Eyanson here, which is counter to the history of A.J. Preller’s time making picks for the Padres, so I’m going out on a limb.

Kilby on a cut, Young, Schoolcraft, Alec Blair, Josh Owens and de Brun all seem like high schoolers in the mix here.

Caden Bodine, C, Coastal Carolina
Rank: 23

Philly normally takes high-ceiling high school players, but this is too good of a value to pass up. Matthew Fisher, Sean Gamble and Blair are the leading prep targets, and Fischer is also mentioned.

Tate Southisene, SS, Basic HS (NV)
Rank: 37

Kane Kepley on a big cut, Devin Taylor on a smaller one, Kilby and Watson are all options here.

Note: No. 27 is the final pick of the first round of the 2025 MLB draft. You can read mock draft 3.0 for my thinking and potential targets for teams making the comp and second-round picks that follow and see the full draft order here.

28. Kansas City Royals: Aaron Watson, RHP, Trinity Christian HS (FL)
29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Slater de Brun, CF, Summit HS (OR)
30. Baltimore Orioles: Xavier Neyens, 3B, Mount Vernon HS (WA)
31. Baltimore Orioles: Andrew Fischer, 3B, Tennessee
32. Milwaukee Brewers: Charles Davalan, LF, Arkansas
33. Boston Red Sox: Marcus Phillips, RHP, Tennessee
34. Detroit Tigers: Jaden Fauske, RF, Nazareth Academy HS (IL)
35. Seattle Mariners: Zach Root, LHP, Arkansas
36. Minnesota Twins: Devin Taylor, LF, Indiana
37. Baltimore Orioles: Jordan Yost, SS, Sickles HS (FL)
38. New York Mets: Patrick Forbes, RHP, Louisville
39. New York Yankees: Dax Kilby, SS, Newnan HS (GA)
40: Los Angeles Dodgers: Quentin Young, 3B, Oaks Christian HS (CA)
41. Los Angeles Dodgers: Kruz Schoolcraft, LHP, Sunset HS (OR)
42. Tampa Bay Rays: Sean Gamble, 2B, IMG Academy HS (FL)
43. Miami Marlins: Alec Blair, CF, De La Salle HS (CA)
44. Chicago White Sox: Ethan Conrad, RF, Wake Forest
45. Colorado Rockies: Cam Cannarella, CF, Clemson
46. Miami Marlins: Josh Owens, SS, Providence Academy HS (TN)
47. Los Angeles Angels: J.D. Thompson, LHP, Vanderbilt
48. Athletics: J.B. Middleton, RHP, Southern Miss
49. Washington Nationals: Max Belyeu, RF, Texas
50. Pittsburgh Pirates: Luke Stevenson, C, North Carolina
51. Cincinnati Reds: Taitn Gray, C, Grimes Community HS (IA)
52. Texas Rangers: Michael Oliveto, C, Hauppauge HS (NY)
53. Tampa Bay Rays: Dean Moss, CF, IMG Academy HS (FL)
54. Minnesota Twins: Josiah Hartshorn, LF, Orange Lutheran HS (CA)
55. St. Louis Cardinals: Cooper Flemming, SS, Aliso Niguel HS (CA)
56. Chicago Cubs: Alex Lodise, SS, Florida State
57. Seattle Mariners: Malachi Witherspoon, RHP, Oklahoma
58. Baltimore Orioles: Mason Neville, CF, Oregon
59. Milwaukee Brewers: Mitch Voit, 2B, Michigan
60. Atlanta Braves: Kane Kepley, CF, North Carolina
61. Kansas City Royals: Riley Quick, RHP, Alabama
62. Detroit Tigers: Dean Curley, 3B, Tennessee
63. Philadelphia Phillies: Matthew Fisher, RHP, Evansville Memorial HS (IN)
64. Cleveland Guardians: A.J. Russell, RHP, Tennessee
65. Los Angeles Dodgers: Chase Shores, RHP, LSU
66. Cleveland Guardians: Cade Obermueller, LHP, Iowa
67. Tampa Bay Rays: Briggs McKenzie, LHP, Corinth Holders HS (NC)
68. Milwaukee Brewers: Daniel Dickinson, 2B, LSU
69. Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Compton, LF, Arizona State
70. Cleveland Guardians: Aiden Stillman, LHP, Trinity Prep HS (FL)
71. Kansas City Royals: Angel Cervantes, RHP, Warren HS (CA)
72. St. Louis Cardinals: Joseph Dzierwa, LHP, Michigan State
73. Pittsburgh Pirates: Ethan Petry, 1B, South Carolina
74. Colorado Rockies: Easton Carmichael, C, Oklahoma
75. Boston Red Sox: Jake Cook, CF, Southern Miss

Continue Reading

Sports

2025 MLB Home Run Derby: The field is set! Who is the slugger to beat?

Published

22 hours ago

on

July 13, 2025

By

2025 MLB Home Run Derby: The field is set! Who is the slugger to beat?

Jul 11, 2025, 08:19 PM ET

The 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby is fast approaching — and the field is set.

Braves hometown hero Ronald Acuna Jr. became the first player to commit to the event, which will be held at Truist Park in Atlanta on July 14 (8 p.m. ET on ESPN). He was followed by MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, James Wood of the Washington Nationals, Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins, Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Junior Caminero of the Tampa Bay Rays, Brent Rooker of the Athletics and Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the New York Yankees.

On Friday, however, Acuna was replaced by teammate Matt Olson.

With all the entrants announced, let’s break down their chances at taking home this year’s Derby prize.

Full All-Star Game coverage: How to watch, schedule, rosters, more

2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 434 feet

Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.

Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.

2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet

Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.

Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.

2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet

Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.

Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.

2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet

Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.

Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.

2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet

Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.

Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.

2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet

Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.

Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.

2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet

Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.

Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.

2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet

Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.

Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.

Continue Reading

Sports

Reds’ Fraley to play through partially torn labrum

Published

22 hours ago

on

July 12, 2025

By

Reds' Fraley to play through partially torn labrum

  • Associated Press

Jul 12, 2025, 02:28 PM ET

CINCINNATI — Cincinnati Reds right fielder Jake Fraley was activated from the 10-day injured list on Saturday.

He had injured his right shoulder while trying to make a diving catch June 23 against the New York Yankees.

An MRI revealed a partially torn labrum that will eventually require surgery. Fraley received a cortisone shot and will try to play through it for the rest of the season.

The Reds were 7-4 in his absence.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who hasn’t played since Noelvi Marte returned from the IL on July 4, was optioned to Triple-A Louisville.

Continue Reading

Trending