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ATHENS, Ga. — When defending national champion Georgia lost 15 starters to the NFL draft after winning its first title since 1980 last season, the Bulldogs weren’t expected to be nearly as good this year.

Georgia had five defensive starters selected in the first round of the draft, so surely it couldn’t be as good on that side of the ball again.

But the Bulldogs who did come back knew their defense was in good hands with defensive tackle Jalen Carter anchoring the middle. His rise to stardom from the shadows of his former teammates is a big reason Georgia is back in the College Football Playoff for the third time in coach Kirby Smart’s tenure.

“He’s straight beast mode,” Georgia cornerback Kelee Ringo said. “His strength is his combination of strength, speed and size. You just don’t see that too often. Taking on double-teams or grabbing guys with one hand, he throws them out of his gap and goes and make plays. He’s a force, and it’s a great thing knowing I’m playing complementary football with his pass-rushing skills.”

As No. 1 Georgia prepares to play No. 4 Ohio State in Saturday’s College Football Playoff semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl in Atlanta (8 p.m., ESPN), the Bulldogs hope Carter adds to his growing list of greatest hits, which goes back to his early days as a football and basketball player in Apopka, Florida. His impressive highlight reel at Georgia is the reason he’s considered a potential No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL draft.

For those who know Carter best, watching him sack and then pick up LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels in the SEC championship game wasn’t all that surprising. They’ve seen him do too many amazing feats to keep count.

“Jalen is crazy,” Georgia linebacker Jamon Dumas-Johnson said. “He’s unblockable. He keeps doing what he’s doing, he’ll be top three going into the draft.”


The Catch(es)

When Anthony Fieldings first saw Carter, he knew the impressive sixth grader had to play on his Apopka Raptors tackle football team and 7-on-7 squad, Next Level.

“I went and talked to his mom about coming and playing tackle football with us,” Fieldings said. “He was just an exceptional talent before all of this. You could tell he was going to be special. He was just different than most kids, even when he was very young.”

In middle school, Carter played several positions for the Raptors, including running back, cornerback, receiver and outside linebacker. When an opposing wideout was lighting up Apopka’s secondary, Fieldings shut him down by lining up Carter against him. When the Raptors needed a big play on offense in the AAU 14-under national championship game against the Pensacola Browns in the eighth grade, Fieldings inserted Carter at quarterback, and Carter threw a 70-yard touchdown.

“It was literally just like flicking the wrist [and throwing] on a dime,” Fieldings said.

Carter’s first viral football moment came on Feb. 2, 2019, when he was playing 7-on-7 against the Central Florida Knights. On a video of the play posted to Carter’s Twitter account, a woman, believed to be his mother, Tonique Brown, can be heard saying, “Talk to ’em, Jalen.” Carter spoke loud and clear with a spectacular one-handed catch for a touchdown.

When Carter arrived at Miami’s junior day recruiting event the next day, according to Fieldings, then-Hurricanes coach Manny Diaz asked him, “What are you doing catching touchdowns on people’s heads?”

“We couldn’t believe they’d already seen it,” Fieldings said.

Nearly a year later, in another 7-on-7 game against Seminole Elite, Carter grabbed another victim, resulting in another viral video — and a flabbergasted videographer.


The Nutcracker

Former Apopka High coach Rick Darlington first met Carter at a football banquet for an eighth-grade team in 2015. While Carter was pretty big for his age, Darlington wasn’t immediately awestruck. In fact, Carter started his high school career on the freshman team –until he participated in a practice drill the Blue Darters fondly called the “Nutcracker.”

“It’s basically a version of the Oklahoma drill that everyone has done for 100 years,” Darlington said. “He really stood out in that, so we moved him up off the freshman team.”

Carter played H-back on the varsity team and was used primarily as a blocker in its single-wing offense. He was devastating from the beginning, helping the Blue Darters finish unbeaten in the regular season.

Darlington said Carter started to blossom as a sophomore in 2017. In a scene straight out of “The Blind Side,” Carter blocked an opponent into the fence surrounding the playing field. In a playoff game against eventual Class 8A state champion Mandarin High in 2018, Carter took a direct snap on an end-around play and leaped over a defender. It wasn’t the only time he did it in high school.

“We didn’t play him on defense as much as we should have,” Darlington said. “That was my fault. We played him mostly on offense. He was just a freaky talented athlete. I know he’s a great defensive lineman in college, but he could 360 dunk a basketball and probably had the best hands I’ve ever seen on a guy that size. He wasn’t your typical athlete; he was a great athlete in a lineman’s body.”


A position change

When Darlington left Apopka after the 2018 season, the Blue Darters hired Jeff Rolson, their former defensive coordinator, to replace him. One of Rolson’s first decisions was moving Carter to the defensive line.

“When I came back, we moved him to defensive tackle because that’s what he is,” Rolson said. “I coached defense, so obviously I thought he’d be very impactful for us. We played him at tackle and end. Wherever we felt like we needed to take something away, that’s where we put him. He was very dynamic, to say the least.”

Rolson got a glimpse of what Carter could do on defense in a spring jamboree game against Raines High of Jacksonville in 2019.

“I’d never seen anything like it,” Rolson said. “Jalen was just unblockable, with sacks, pressures, tackles behind the line, tackling perimeter plays from the interior. It was just a half of football, but it opened my eyes quickly. You’re not going to get the same [effort] in practice, particularly in the spring, that you might get in a game, and he wowed me. He just raised the level of everybody around him.”

As a senior, Carter had 64 tackles and 12 sacks, helping Apopka High reach the Class 8A state championship game. He split double-teams. He terrorized opposing quarterbacks. He even punted for the Blue Darters.

By the time Carter was done playing at Apopka, he was being compared to legendary Blue Darters star Warren Sapp, an All-American at Miami and a Pro Football Hall of Famer with the Buccaneers and Raiders.

Even Sapp was impressed. Responding to a tweet about Carter in 2017, Sapp wrote, “I was a TE and 225 lbs. That Kid is a Monster! #BetterThanMeInHighSchool.”


The dunk

Alex Marshall, director of the Raptors Elite basketball program outside Orlando, is convinced Carter would have played in the NBA if he hadn’t focused on football. Carter started playing for the Raptors in the seventh grade. Marshall had to move him up an age level because he was so much bigger than everyone else.

“He was just too athletic and too skilled,” Marshall said. “We moved him up from 13U to 14U, and he still dominated. He was just a complete athlete that could get to any spot on the floor that he wanted and do whatever he wanted. Just as he is doing in football, he was doing in basketball. He could have easily done the same in basketball.”

In 2016, Carter got two new coaches — Jason Williams, who was famously known as “White Chocolate” during his NBA career, and Corey Sawyer, an All-American cornerback at Florida State, who played six seasons in the NFL. Their sons were Carter’s teammates for five seasons.

Like Williams, Carter was a little flashy on the floor. During a game against the Florida Bay Hawks in 2018, Carter was loafing on defense in hopes of getting a breakaway dunk. Carter got the ball, and Marshall couldn’t believe what he saw from the sideline.

“I thought he was going to miss it, but he kept elevating and continued to go up,” Marshall said. “And then he spun in the air, and I was like, ‘I know he’s not doing this. There’s no way!’ Then he just destroys the rim. I could not believe it. Even seeing it, it was hard to believe it. He’s just so graceful. Even with all of that muscle, how do you get all of that weight off the ground like that? I’m still perplexed. He’s one of a kind.”

How good would Carter have been if he had focused on basketball?

“Oh, gosh, he could have been a high-Division I kid,” Marshall said. “He’d be like a Zion Williamson, there’s no doubt about it. You see the dunk. He’s doing the same stuff Zion does.”


The step

By the beginning of Carter’s senior season at Apopka, he had grown to 6 feet, 3 inches and 301 pounds. He was the top-ranked player in the state of Florida and the No. 12 prospect overall in the 2020 ESPN 300.

For a prospect so highly regarded and coveted, Carter’s recruitment was rather mundane. On May 19, 2019, he announced his top three schools: Alabama, Clemson and Georgia. The next day, he committed to the Bulldogs. He made it official with Georgia on the first day of the early signing period.

During practices before the Under Armour All-America Game, Carter justified the hype. While the roster included future college stars, like Ole Miss running back Zach Evans, LSU receiver Kayshon Boutte, Oregon cornerback Dontae Manning, Auburn running back Tank Bigsby and Michigan tailback Blake Corum, ESPN national recruiting director Tom Luginbill remembers Carter as one player standing out. More than anything else, Carter’s combination of power and quickness impressed Luginbill the most, along with his incredibly quick first step.

Carter had four tackles and one tackle for loss in the game, and his work during practice that week earned him MVP honors for his team.


The touchdown

As good as Carter was in high school, he still had to wait his turn to make a big impact at Georgia. He joined a defensive line that included future NFL draft picks Travon Walker, Devonte Wyatt and Jordan Davis.

Carter played in 10 games as a freshman in 2020, starting against Florida and South Carolina. He finished with 14 tackles, three tackles for loss and 13 quarterback pressures. His biggest moment that season came against Tennessee — on offense. He caught a 1-yard touchdown from quarterback Stetson Bennett early in the fourth quarter of a 44-21 victory over the Volunteers. Carter lined up at fullback, and Bennett found him on a play-action pass.

“Some of the most amazing stuff to me has been at fullback and playing offensive positions,” Smart said. “He is a devastating blocker. He carried the ball in high school. [He] just has phenomenal athleticism for a guy that has size. He has balance and body control.”

More evidence: In a 37-0 rout of Arkansas in 2021, Carter blocked three Razorbacks on Kendall Milton‘s 1-yard touchdown run.


The clothesline

As a sophomore in 2021, Carter was coming off the bench, with three future NFL first-rounders still ahead of him. As Georgia’s season transpired, however, pro scouts and opposing coaches were beginning to whisper that Carter might be better than any of them.

In a 62-0 rout of Vanderbilt, Carter stuffed tailback Rocko Griffin for no gain on first down, then did this on second:

NFL scouts and opponents weren’t the only ones suggesting Carter was the best player on Georgia’s historically good defense. So were some of his teammates. Carter finished the 2021 season with 37 tackles, 33 quarterback hurries and three sacks. He blocked a field goal late in the third quarter against Alabama in the College Football Playoff National Championship. The Bulldogs outscored the Crimson Tide 20-9 in the fourth quarter to end their long title drought.

“He’s a dominant player,” said Walker, who was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft by the Jaguars. “He’s one of those guys that can wreck the whole game, the whole interior. He’s a hard worker and if he puts his mind to do something I feel bad [for] whoever’s in his way.”

Walker suggested Carter’s best work has come during Georgia’s practices, after an offensive lineman has challenged him.

“I can just remember times when, like say for instance, somebody just pissed Jalen off during the middle of practice,” Walker said. “And, I mean, it got ugly fast. [If] somebody might say the wrong thing to him, he’ll just go probably bull rush him or just hit him with a quick move. Make it a little easy. Effortless.”

Wyatt, who was the 28th pick of the draft by the Packers, compares Carter to Titans Pro Bowl defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons.

“He’s like a freak of nature,” Wyatt said. “He’s younger than me, but I was always learning stuff from him while I was in college. He’s got the attitude, the effort and he loves the game. He always wants to win. When I compare him to somebody, it’s someone like Jeffery Simmons — someone that’s strong and can almost move guys without effort.”


The lift

Coming into the 2022 season, Georgia was counting on Carter to be the anchor of its rebuilt defense, which had the most defensive players selected in the first round from one school in the common draft era (since 1967).

Carter played well in the Bulldogs’ biggest games this season. After missing two contests because of a knee injury, Carter had a sack, tackle for loss and two forced fumbles in a 27-13 victory against then-No. 1 Tennessee. His sack and strip of Volunteers quarterback Hendon Hooker helped the Bulldogs take a 14-3 lead.

After helping Georgia finish 12-0 in the regular season for the second straight year, Carter was again dominant in a 50-30 win against LSU in the SEC title game, finishing with four tackles, six quarterback pressures and one sack.

The highlight of his career might have occurred late in the first half, when Carter chased down LSU’s Daniels and picked him up until the whistle blew. While holding Daniels with his left arm, Carter lifted his right hand. He flashed No. 1 with his finger, as if to remind everyone who was the defending national champion and which player should be the first pick in next year’s NFL draft.

“It’s just how he throws other guys around like they’re just little kids that just impresses you,” said former Georgia safety Lewis Cine, a first-round pick of the Vikings. “Watching that LSU game, you see how he just picked the guy up like he was a little kid. You’re just seeing that kind of stuff, in practices, too. He’s just a freak.”

Added Walker: “That’s him every day.”

As memorable as that play was, Smart said Carter stuffing Tigers tailback Josh Williams for no gain on fourth-and-1 from the Georgia 5 might have been more important.

“They’re driving. They’re getting ready to score,” Smart said. “They decide to go for it on fourth-and-1. And he knocks two people back into the ball carrier and makes the tackle. And there’s probably not a bigger play in that game in terms of momentum that one person can make. He’s the only guy on our team that could make that play, and he made it.”

The Bulldogs are hoping Carter makes a few more plays in the College Football Playoff.

Additional reporting by Rob Demovsky, Michael DiRocco and Kevin Seifert.

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Kiley McDaniel’s favorite Day 1 draft picks, biggest surprises and best available Day 2 prospects

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Kiley McDaniel's favorite Day 1 draft picks, biggest surprises and best available Day 2 prospects

With Day 1 of the 2025 MLB draft complete, it’s time to look at which picks in the first round stood out most.

After weeks of speculation about the various directions the Washington Nationals could go with the No. 1 pick, they surprised the industry by taking Oklahoma high school shortstop Eli Willits — and the Los Angeles Angels followed up with a surprising pick of their own at No. 2 by taking UC Santa Barbara pitcher Tyler Bremner

Though the nature of the baseball draft means that some of the picks we aren’t quite sure about on Day 1 will become clearer when we see how teams spread their bonus allotment around later in the draft, here are the early picks I liked the most and some eye-opening selections along with the top players still available entering Day 2.


Five favorite moves

Mariners and Pirates get their guys

The buzz leading up to the draft was that Kade Anderson was atop the Mariners’ draft board and Seth Hernandez was the top target (after Willits, who wasn’t going to get there) of the Pirates. Seattle was the other team taking a long look at Hernandez, but the shenanigans at the top two picks (more on that later) means that both Seattle and Pittsburgh got their preferred arms.

A’s select Arnold and Taylor

The Athletics had only two picks on Day 1 but received excellent values at each. Jamie Arnold was the top prospect in the draft entering the season and seemed primed to go somewhere between No. 2 and No. 8 after an uneven season. He somehow was the prospect left holding the short straw, falling to the 11th pick. Devin Taylor was in the mix at multiple picks in the comp round but lasted five selections into the second round.

Twins embrace risk with Quick and Young

The Twins took two hit-first college infielders as their first picks last year (Kaelen Culpepper and Kyle DeBarge), took another one in the 2023 second round (Luke Keaschall), and two more in the top two rounds in 2022 (Brooks Lee, Tanner Schobel) — and also took one with their first pick this year in Marek Houston.

What interested me though is what Minnesota did after that, taking big swings with the upside of Riley Quick (four potential plus pitches but below-average command) and Quentin Young (80-grade power potential with big questions on contact rate).

Phillies try to jump the reliever trade market?

Gage Wood has a chance to start long term but can also go straight to the upper minors — if not the big leagues — and potentially help the bullpen later this season, like a trade deadline addition. The Phillies’ next pick, Cade Obermueller, is another possible starter who also could move quickly as a lefty turning 22 later this month with two knockout pitches in his fastball/slider combo. Odds are good that at least one of them can provide big league value in the next 12 months if Philly wants to utilize them that way.

The Red Sox land Witherspoon, Phillips and Eyanson

The Red Sox are interested in creating more pitching depth and selected a number of interesting arms on Day 1. Kyson Witherspoon had a lot of interest in the top 10, but the Red Sox got him at No. 15.

He’ll need to sharpen his execution a notch and his short arm action is unique, but there’s midrotation upside. Marcus Phillips has a chance to start but could also bring another distinctive look as a late-inning arm with four plus pitches from a low slot and a triple-digit fastball. Anthony Eyanson is a different sort, with fringy fastball velocity but standout command along with a slider and splitter that keep hitters off-balance.

Five eye-openers

Eli Willits at No. 1

The buzz ahead of the draft was that there were three players in play for the top pick and Willits was my third-ranked player in the class, so the same group is what I would’ve been considering — and I love Willits as a player. The bonus will be a factor in evaluating how successful this pick will be viewed — I’ll guess it starts with an eight — but I think this will be seen as a solid decision, as long as Kade Anderson or Ethan Holliday don’t become stars.

Tyler Bremner at No. 2

The biggest piece of late buzz I was hearing is that Bremner was in play at No. 3 to the Mariners. I didn’t hear his name at all at No. 2 so that made this pick the first shocker in the draft.

Bremner was considered in this area (on a deal) because he could easily be the best pitcher in this class — but only if he can develop a better slider, which isn’t a small if. The Angels seem to have a thought about how to solve this, and how he progresses will be one of the more followed storylines of this draft.

Tigers take Yost and Oliveto

I like both players, but it’s fascinating that these two and the most-rumored prep hitter tied to Detroit that they didn’t take (Coy James, who had a tough summer) were all missing strong 2024 summer performances.

Jordan Yost and Michael Oliveto were the only two prep position players in the first-round mix who weren’t in the major national events on the summer circuit, thus creating a lot of uncertainty about how to project them.

The Tigers are right to assume this could create a potential quick gain in value if Yost and Oliveto can perform early in their pro careers, but I don’t remember seeing a team double down on lack of summer exposure in the early rounds.

Orioles take two catchers in the first round, and two pitchers in the second

It’s certainly a bit odd that the Orioles took two college catchers with their first two picks after taking another one (Ethan Anderson) in the second round last year. Obviously, teams don’t draft for big league need — the O’s already have Adley Rutschman — and they need at least two catchers at all four full season minor league affiliates, it’s just odd to see them invest in this position early multiple times. And after all of the position players they have drafted under Mike Elias, they did sneak in two arms on Day 1 with Joseph Dzierwa (a command-forward lefty) and J.T. Quinn (one of my favorite college relievers with the traits to start in pro ball).

Guardians lean into power

The Guardians often draft, or sign internationally, hit-first players who are often underpowered, with Steven Kwan a prominent example. They swerved a lot this year, taking Jace LaViolette with their first pick (I compare him to Cody Bellinger or Joey Gallo; he hit .258 this season) and Nolan Schubart (24% strikeout rate, 22% in-zone whiff rate) with their fifth pick on Day 1. Those two have big power and strong pull/lift rates, and LaViolette has the athleticism to play center field, so there’s real talent, it’s just not usually the type that the Guardians have targeted.


Best available for Day 2

Listed by top 250 draft rankings

43. Mason Neville, OF, Oregon
44. Matthew Fisher, RHP, Evansville Memorial HS (Ind.)
53. Josiah Hartshorn, LF, Orange Lutheran HS (Calif.)
55. Brock Sell, CF, Tokay HS (Calif.)
61. Jack Bauer, LHP, Lincoln Way East HS (Ill.)
69. Coy James, SS, Davie County HS (N.C.)
70. Alec Blair, CF, De La Salle HS (Calif.)
71. Mason Pike, RHP, Puyallup HS (Wash.)
72. Cam Appenzeller, LHP, Glenwood HS (Ill.)
73. Briggs McKenzie, LHP, Corinth Holders HS (N.C.)

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Shocks at No. 1 — and No. 2?! Winners, losers and takeaways from MLB draft Day 1

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Shocks at No. 1 -- and No. 2?! Winners, losers and takeaways from MLB draft Day 1

The first day of the 2025 MLB draft is complete! The Washington Nationals selected Eli Willits with the No. 1 pick, opting for the prep shortstop — who might be more likely to sign below slot — in a draft with no clear-cut top prospect. And there were plenty of other intriguing selections as the first three rounds unfolded Sunday night.

The Seattle Mariners had to have been thrilled to have Kiley McDaniel’s No. 1-ranked prospect, Kade Anderson, fall to them at No. 3, and Ethan Holliday was selected at No. 4 by his famous father’s former squad the Colorado Rockies.

We asked ESPN baseball insiders Alden Gonzalez, Jesse Rogers and David Schoenfield to break down their favorite and most head-scratching moves of the draft’s first night, as well as to predict which players will bring the most to their new teams in the long term.


A lot of us were thrown for a loop by the first two selections. What do you make of the Nationals taking Ethan Willits at No. 1 and the Angels picking Tyler Bremner at No. 2?

Gonzalez: I was stunned on both accounts. Though there was definitely some uncertainty around the Nationals’ approach, especially since the firing of GM Mike Rizzo, I didn’t see anybody, anywhere, projecting Willits to be their choice at No. 1 overall. But the Angels drafting Bremner was an even bigger risk. Kiley had him 18th in his latest ranking. Six pitchers were ranked ahead of him. But Bremner might be someone who can rise and impact their major league roster quickly, and the Angels are always looking for that.

Rogers: The first two picks really summed up the uncertainty of the entire draft. The Nationals’ faith in a 17-year-old will be tested over the coming years, but the pick will likely save them some money for later in this draft and give Willits time to grow. The same can be said of many of the top picks: They’re going to need time. There are far fewer sure things this year — though Bremner could be the exception. The Angles love to graduate their players quickly, and as a college arm, he could see the majors sooner rather than later. Like Willits, this could also be a cost-saving move for later spending.

Schoenfield: In a draft that not only lacked a sure-thing No. 1 overall pick but was viewed as weaker at the top than those of recent years, it’s perhaps not a huge surprise that the Nationals and Angels used their picks to strike likely underslot deals with Willits and Bremner, giving them money to spend later in the draft — which they can use on high school prospects who might have slipped, trying to buy them out from going to college. It’s a strategy teams have used with success over the years, so the drafts for the Nationals and Angels will have to be viewed in their totality and not just focused on these two players.


What was your favorite pick of the night — and which one had you scratching your head?

Gonzalez: The Rockies have done a lot of things wrong over these last few … uh, decades. But it was really cool to see them take Ethan Holliday at No. 4 after his father, Matt, starred in Colorado for so long. Outside of the top two picks, Ethan Conrad going 17th to the Cubs was my biggest surprise of the night. Kiley had him ranked 30th; others had him falling out of the first round entirely. There’s uncertainty coming off shoulder surgery. But Conrad, 21, put up a 1.238 OPS in 97 plate appearances before his season ended prematurely in March. And the dearth of college bats probably influenced a slight reach here.

Rogers: I’m loving Billy Carlson to the White Sox at No. 10. Though they lost 121 games last season, Chicago couldn’t pick higher than this spot per CBA rules — but the Sox might have gotten a top-five player. Carlson’s defense will play extremely well behind a sneaky good and young pitching staff that should keep the ball on the ground in the long term. Meanwhile, with the pick of the litter when it came to hitters — college outfielders and high school kids as well — the Pirates took a high school pitcher at No. 6. Seth Hernandez could be great, but they need hitting. A lot of it.

Schoenfield: The Mariners reportedly wanted LSU left-hander Kade Anderson all along, but they certainly couldn’t have been expecting to get him with the third pick. (Keep in mind that the Mariners were lucky in the first place to land the third pick in the lottery, so they added some good fortune on top of good luck.) They get the most polished college pitcher in the draft, one who should move quickly — and perhaps make it a little easier for Jerry Dipoto to dip into his farm system and upgrade the big league roster at the trade deadline. Even though I understand why the Angels did it, Bremner still seems a little questionable. With the second pick, you want to go for a home run, and the consensus is that Holliday or even Anderson is more likely to be a more impactful major leaguer. Bremner’s lack of a third plus pitch is an issue, and you have to wonder if the Angels are relying too much on his control — which, yes, should allow him to get to the majors — and ignoring the possible lack of upside.


Who is the one player you’d like to plant your flag on as the biggest steal of this draft?

Gonzalez: Seth Hernandez, who went sixth to the Pirates and should someday share a rotation with Paul Skenes and Jared Jones. High school pitchers are incredibly risky, especially when taken so early in the draft. But Hernandez is a great athlete who already throws hard, boasts a plus changeup and showed improvement with his breaking ball this spring. He’ll go the Hunter Greene route, from standout high school pitcher to major league ace.

Rogers: Jamie Arnold will look like a steal at No. 11, especially when he debuts in the majors well before many of the players taken around him. I’m not worried about the innings drop in 2025 — not when he was striking out 119 hitters and walking just 27. The A’s need to polish him up but will be pleased by how consistent he’ll be. You can’t go wrong with a college lefty from an ACC school — at least, the A’s didn’t.

Schoenfield: I’m going with Billy Carlson with the 10th pick — with the admitted caveat that the White Sox haven’t exactly been stellar at developing hitters. But Carlson looks like an elite defensive shortstop with plus power, and that alone can make him a valuable major leaguer. If the hit tool comes along, we’re looking at a potential star. OK, he’s Bobby Witt Jr. lite? That’s still an All-Star player.


What’s your biggest takeaway from Day 1 of this draft?

Gonzalez: The Nationals throwing a wrench into the proceedings by selecting Willits. It was a surprising choice, but in their minds an easy one. Interim general manager Mike DeBartolo called Willits the best hitter and best fielder available. And in a draft devoid of can’t-miss, high-impact talent, Willits is no doubt a solid pick — a polished hitter who should stick at shortstop and might consistently hit 20 homers and steal 20 bases at a premium position. He also might come under slot, allowing flexibility later in the draft. But his selection is what allowed Anderson to reach the Mariners at No. 3 and prompted the Rockies to draft Holliday at No. 4, among other dominoes. It set a really interesting tone.

Rogers: Things change quickly in baseball. Whereas college hitters are usually the safest bets early in the draft, this year high school position players dominated. (And they all play shortstop, at least for now.) Athleticism has returned to baseball, and draft rooms are acting accordingly.

Schoenfield: I’m agreeing with Jesse. The selection of that many prep shortstops stood out — and they all seem to hit left-handed and run well, and some of them have big power potential and a cannon for an arm. Look, the hit tool is the most important and the hardest to scout and project, so not all these kids are going to make it, but their potential is exciting and, to Jesse’s point, their wide range of tools is showing that baseball is still drawing top athletes to the sport.

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2025 MLB Home Run Derby: The field is set! Who is the slugger to beat?

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2025 MLB Home Run Derby: The field is set! Who is the slugger to beat?

The 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby is fast approaching — and the field is set.

Braves hometown hero Ronald Acuna Jr. became the first player to commit to the event, which will be held at Truist Park in Atlanta on July 14 (8 p.m. ET on ESPN). He was followed by MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, James Wood of the Washington Nationals, Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins, Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Junior Caminero of the Tampa Bay Rays, Brent Rooker of the Athletics and Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the New York Yankees.

On Friday, however, Acuna was replaced by teammate Matt Olson.

With all the entrants announced, let’s break down their chances at taking home this year’s Derby prize.

Full All-Star Game coverage: How to watch, schedule, rosters, more


2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 434 feet

Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.

Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.


2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet

Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.

Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.


2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet

Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.

Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.


2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet

Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.

Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.


2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet

Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.

Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.


2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet

Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.

Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.


2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet

Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.

Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.


2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet

Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.

Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.

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