When a Leaf lights the lamp at home, it’s celebrated to the dulcet tones of 1980s duo Hall & Oates crooning their classic “You Make My Dreams (Come True).”
Never mind that the tune was recorded before anyone on the roster was born. It also plays like a sarcastic nod to the fact that not since 1967 have the Maple Leafs fulfilled their fans’ long-held hopes of another Stanley Cup victory.
It’s a history Toronto is painfully, acutely aware of because — like another ’80s classic by Naked Eyes can attest — there’s always something (or someone) there to remind the Leafs of all the franchise hasn’t achieved since its true glory days.
That sting of unmet expectations has only heightened in recent years.
Is there reason to believe this time will be any different? Or is it the same old situation for Toronto?
A QUICK REFRESHER: The Maple Leafs organization has won 13 Cups since the Toronto Arenas hoisted the first one in 1917-18, and the Leafs picked up their most recent four titles over a seven-year span in the 1960s.
This was all before the NHL expanded past its Original Six era. That came the season after Toronto won its last Cup; the league added six teams and the Leafs embarked on what has become the NHL’s longest active streak without a championship (55 years — and counting).
Fast-forward to 2016. Toronto was supposed to start turning a corner. The Leafs drafted Auston Matthews after a bottom-dwelling 2015-16 campaign, Mitchell Marner and William Nylander were ready to join the NHL ranks, and beliefs were high once again that Toronto could regain contender status.
And they did, sort of. The Leafs have frequently finished high in the league standings and have made the playoffs every year with that core. But Toronto hasn’t won a single postseason round, not in five straight best-of-seven series. (They even lost in that best-of-five play-in opportunity during the COVID-19 bubble experience.)
The Leafs have tinkered. They’ve adjusted. They’ve said all the right things and never made good on them when it mattered. So, every spring the same mantra returns: This is the year they’ll get it right.
Right?
Here they are again to find out. Toronto is taking on the Tampa Bay Lightning in the first round for a second consecutive season. The Lightning eliminated the Leafs in seven games last time. Both teams are different now, though. Plenty can change in a calendar year.
Such was the optimism in Leaf Land, right up until the puck dropped Tuesday night in Game 1. Toronto fell behind just 1:19 into the first period and eventually lost 7-3. The Internet expectedly exploded with a landslide of takes on how the Leafs are already cooked, doomed to repeat their pattern forevermore.
Will that be the case? Won’t any of that regular-season success Toronto experienced (finishing fourth overall in points with 111) carry over — and potentially guide them through — to a series win?
The Leafs can’t afford any lesser result. General manager Kyle Dubas, a key architect in creating this team, is on an expiring contract that may not be renewed if Toronto can’t show that their postseason shelf life is longer than the average quart of milk.
Here are four reasons to believe:
Under pressure
Toronto hasn’t lacked chances in the past.
The Leafs held a series lead in four of their last five best-of-seven appearances (the lone exception was in 2017-18 against the Boston Bruins). It’s not putting an opponent on the ropes that’s been their problem; it’s failing to land the knockout punch.
The inability to finish in Game 6 and 7 has traditionally been an eyesore. Toronto’s record in Games 1-5 of those full playoff rounds (not including Tuesday’s result) is 13-12, with 3.08 goals per game and a strong 20.3% success rate on the power play.
In Games 6-7? 1-8 record. 2.00 goals per game. And a whopping 4.8% power-play percentage.
That’s not what you want. But perhaps Toronto can learn a lesson about how not only to start, but finish, a series with urgency. Take last season, for instance. Toronto shut out Tampa Bay 5-0 in Game 1, and still would up losing in seven. This year, an opposite scenario could be in the Leafs’ cards.
Toronto was a resilient group in the regular season. The Leafs lost consecutive games in regulation only twice (and not since January) while recording the fourth-most come-from-behind wins (17) in the NHL. That’s testament to how they handled adversity over a long stretch and found ways to win with the odds stacked against them.
The Leafs also tied for the fifth-most one-goal victories (21), another possible indication Toronto is better suited for more tightly contested battles ahead — and closing them out — than in seasons past.
The core of the core
Marner is just one piece of the puzzle. But he’s a big one.
Generally, Marner gets lumped in with Matthews and Nylander under the “Leafs’ young core of perennial playoff underachievers” banner. It’s not entirely inaccurate, either.
Matthews leads the league in goals (299) since he arrived in 2016-17, but entered this postseason 41st in playoff markers (17, through 39 games) over that same stretch.
Marner is 10th overall in points (554) in the same regular-season span. During the postseason, he ranks 59th (33) and has failed to score a single goal in any of Toronto’s elimination games.
And Nylander? He averaged 0.84 points per game in the regular season, dropping to 0.77 come playoffs.
The numbers haven’t added up to postseason success for Toronto. Marner could lead the charge in changing that. He’s already showing why.
Marner paced the Leafs with three assists in Tuesday’s loss, while logging a team-high 23:06 time on ice. Toronto had few positives to take from that demoralizing defeat, but Marner’s performance is worth referencing as a positive.
That’s unsurprising, given the resplendent regular season Toronto’s top-line winger put together. His 69 assists (tied for fourth most in the league) and 99-point effort left Marner one shy of being the fourth Leaf ever to ever 100. The 25-year-old never let up, going without a point in consecutive games only twice all season.
What Marner highlighted most was all the ways he can exploit the competition, not only from a playmaking and scoring perspective but by being a difference-maker in every phase of the game. Marner has blossomed defensively, he’s tenacious on pucks (leading the NHL in regular-season takeaways with 104) and can drive any line — and most teammates — to prosperity.
Leafs coach Sheldon Keefe will be counting on that ability again come Game 2. Michael Bunting usually skates alongside Matthews and Marner, but he’s been suspended three games for an illegal check to the head of Lightning defenseman Erik Cernak in Game 1. So it’ll be Calle Jarnkrok back in a top-line spot looking for some of that Marner magic to rub off on his game.
There’s so much Marner can do with and without the puck. All that creativity, elusiveness and overall consistency must eventually translate regularly to the postseason, and it’s never felt like Marner was more primed to execute at the most critical time of year than he is now.
A goalie to believe in
The Leafs found a true No. 1 goaltender in Ilya Samsonov. And he had a spectacular regular season. That wasn’t how Toronto drew it up necessarily. It’s also what made Samsonov’s performance in Game 1 so perplexing.
Behind a lackluster Leafs defense, Samsonov was shellacked for six goals on 29 shots for a .793 SV%. That was through only 40 minutes; rookie Joseph Woll replaced Samsonov in the third period.
Keefe is riding with Samsonov for Game 2, though. His total body of work demands it.
When Dubas overhauled the Leafs’ goaltending last summer, it was two-time Cup champion Matt Murray — acquired from the Ottawa Senators with two years remaining on his contract — projecting as the Leafs’ next starter. Samsonov was a free agent signee accepting a one-year deal to bet on himself.
It didn’t take long for Samsonov to steal the show.
Murray has been plagued by injury issues throughout his career and this season was no exception, as hip, ankle and concussion problems held him to only 26 appearances. That would have been a nightmare scenario for Toronto had Samsonov not stepped up.
In 42 regular-season showings, Samsonov went 27-10-5, with a .919 SV% and 2.33 GAA. Those rank in the top 10 among NHL goalies with at least 15 starts this season and are career highs for Samsonov.
Even if Murray were healthy going into the postseason — which he was not — Samsonov earned the right to be Toronto’s go-to guy.
Toronto has been run aground in previous postseasons by unexpectedly poor goaltending. Last year, starter Jack Campbell went from shutting out Tampa Bay in Game 1 to being pulled in Game 4 after allowing five goals, then produced a below-.900 SV% with a chance to eliminate the Lightning in Game 5. Again, it’s not about how Toronto’s goaltender has been early on in a series; it’s how he’ll perform when the stakes are highest that counts.
Samsonov can write a new narrative. Granted, the 26-year-old has only one playoff win to date (he was 1-4-3 through two postseason series with Washington in 2021 and 2022) but he’s also never performed better — or more consistently — than this season.
There’s a laid-back attitude to Samsonov perfectly matched for a city obsessed with getting over the first-round hump. The pressure that might have derailed other goalies doesn’t seem to affect Samsonov the same way. If Samsonov can rebound from Game 1 and be as good — or even better — in this postseason than he was the last eight months, Toronto will have one less (critically important) thing to worry about.
Enviable depth
Toronto has tried for years to add impactful depth pieces in the summer and more specifically at the trade deadline. This is when to show they’ve succeeded at doing both.
Dubas spied Zach Aston-Reese in the offseason and offered him a professional tryout. Aston-Reese turned that into a one-year contract and became an integral part of the Leafs’ bottom-six forward group.
Jarnkrok was an under-the-radar free agent signing who quickly morphed into a versatile top-nine piece for Keefe to shuffle throughout the lineup with good success everywhere.
Toronto didn’t waste time during deadline season, either.
Dubas scooped up Ryan O’Reilly and Noel Acciari from St. Louis, and both have been valuable. O’Reilly carries Cup-winning and Conn Smythe credentials, and slides around the top nine to give Toronto a variety of looks.
Acciari has been a resounding success in the bottom six. He’s got scoring touch, grit and finishes checks in a way that practically earns a standing ovation on a per-shift basis in Toronto.
Sam Lafferty — brought in with defenseman Jake McCabe from Chicago — has added underrated speed in a bottom-six spot.
And speaking of blueliners, the Leafs have had almost too many bodies to choose from there. Dubas acquired Luke Schenn (the league’s regular-season hits leader, with 318) from Vancouver, and he and McCabe have worked their way into a steadier, more reliable rotation than Toronto has wielded in years (the Leafs ranked seventh in both goals against and shots against this season, a testament to how their blended back end came together).
Game 1 hardly represented that group at their best. Mark Giordano was credited with three giveaways, T.J. Brodie with two. The Leafs could barely manage to clear their own zone — let alone factor into more positive plays up the ice — and hung Samsonov out to dry repeatedly.
It was an uncharacteristically putrid performance. Toronto should improve defensively from here. The Leafs have depth to tap into. Toronto’s newcomers add girth where previously the Leafs had been lean. An infusion of different types of players to the lineup this season made the Leafs more dangerous than the team Tampa Bay saw 12 months ago. While Toronto’s core of talented stars will need to steal the spotlight, they have a robust supporting cast to help avoid bowing out early. Again.
THERE’S ANOTHER IRONIC LINE for the Leafs in that Hall & Oates classic:
“What I want — you got.”
The Lightning are recent two-time Cup champions. They’ve planted flags on the mountain. Toronto has been stuck at base camp, barely able to climb.
Pundits have predicted before that the Leafs would be different. Better. More ready to win a series and go on from there. Toronto has lost before in heart-breaking, borderline-humiliating ways. It could happen again (especially if Game 1 is any indication). But it doesn’t have to.
Toronto has done the work. The Leafs have all the tools. Those years of hardship can finally amount to something positive. The payoff will be that much greater. It’s not too late.
And maybe one day those “plan the parade” jokes will be followed by an actual celebration.
The initial 2025 MLB All-Star Game rosters are out, the product of the collaborative process between fans, players and the league. How did this annual confab do?
We already know that injuries will prevent some of these selectees from appearing in Atlanta, and replacement choices will be announced in the coming days. By the end of this post-selection period, we’ll wind up with something like 70 to 75 All-Stars for this season.
These first-draft rosters contain 65 players, the odd number stemming from the decision to send Clayton Kershaw to the festivities as a “Legend” pick. First reaction: Baseball’s newest member of the 3,000 strikeout club has earned everything he gets.
The Twins’ lone representative on the initial rosters is outfielder Byron Buxton, a worthy selection. Ryan (8-4, 2.76 ERA) fell into a group of similar performers including Kansas City’s Kris Bubic and the Texas duo of Jacob deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi. Bubic and deGrom made it, which is great, and Bubic in particular is quite a story.
But Ryan and Eovaldi didn’t make it, and both were probably a little more deserving that Seattle’s Bryan Woo, whose superficial numbers (8-4, 2.77) are very close to Ryan’s. But Woo plays in a more friendly pitching park, and the under-the-hood metrics favor Ryan.
The main takeaway: If this is the biggest discrepancy, the process worked well.
Second-biggest oversight: Many-way tie between several hitters
The every-team-gets-a-player rule, along with positional requirements, always knocks out worthy performers from teams with multiple candidates. Thus, a few picks on the position side might have gone differently.
The Rays are playing so well they probably deserve more than one player. Their most deserving pick made it — infielder Jonathan Aranda — along with veteran second baseman Brandon Lowe. Infielders such as J.P. Crawford (Seattle), Isaac Paredes (Houston) and Zach McKinstry (Detroit) had good cases to make it ahead of Lowe, whose power numbers (19 homers, 54 RBIs) swayed the players.
While acknowledging that Gunnar Henderson has had a disappointing season, I still think he deserved to be the Orioles’ default pick instead of Ryan O’Hearn. But the latter was selected as the AL’s starting DH by the fans, and Baltimore doesn’t deserve two players. It’s a great story that O’Hearn will be a first-time All-Star just a couple of weeks before his 32nd birthday.
Other thoughts
• The default White Sox selection is rookie starter Shane Smith, a Rule 5 pick from Milwaukee last winter. Smith is my lowest-rated player on the AL squad, but he has been consistently solid. Adrian Houser, an in-season pickup, has been great for Chicago and has arguably produced more value than Smith. But I like honoring the rookie who has been there the whole campaign.
• The Athletics’ Jacob Wilson was elected as a starter and is easily the most deserving player from that squad. I’m not sure I see a second pick there, but Brent Rooker made it as a DH. Rooker has been fine, but his spot could have gone to one of the overlooked hitters already mentioned, or perhaps Kansas City’s Maikel Garcia.
• Houston’s Jeremy Pena is a deserving choice and arguably should be the AL’s starter at shortstop instead of Wilson. Alas, he’s on the injured list, and though reports say he might soon resume baseball activities, it’s likely Pena will be replaced. Any of the above-mentioned overlooked hitters will do.
• As for the starters, the fans do a great job nowadays. I disagreed with them on a couple of spots, though. I would have gone with a keystone combo of Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Pena rather than Gleyber Torres and Wilson, but I’d have them all on the team. And I would have definitely started Buxton over Javier Baez in the outfield.
Not sure how this happens, but I’m guessing Soto is a victim of his own standards. Yes, he signed a contract for an unfathomable amount of money, and so far, he hasn’t reinvented the game as a member of the Mets. He has just been lower-end Juan Soto, which is still one of the best players in the sport. His OBP is, as ever, north of .400, he leads the league in walks and it sure seems as if Pete Alonso has very much enjoyed hitting behind him.
The All-Star Game was invented for players like Soto, and though you might leave out someone like him if he is having a truly poor season, that’s not the case here. It is kind of amazing that he didn’t make it, while MacKenzie Gore and James Wood — both part of the trade that sent Soto from Washington to San Diego — did. They deserve it, and you can make a strong argument that a third player the Nats picked up in the trade — CJ Abrams — does as well. But Soto deserves it too.
Finally, the Marlins’ most-deserving pick is outfielder Kyle Stowers, who indeed ended up as their default selection. But he probably ended up with Soto’s slot.
It’s hard to overlook anyone on the Dodgers, but somehow Pages slipped through the cracks despite his fantastic all-around first half for the defending champs.
It was just a numbers game. I’ve got five NL outfielders rated ahead of Pages, and all but Soto made it, so no additional quibbles there. The fans voted in Ronald Acuna Jr. to start at his home ballpark. Having Acuna there in front of the fans in Atlanta makes sense. But he has played only half of the first half.
Other thoughts
• The shortstop position is loaded in the NL, but the only pure shortstops to make it were starter Francisco Lindor and Elly De La Cruz. Both are good selections, but the Phillies’ Trea Turner has been just as outstanding. Abrams and Arizona’s Geraldo Perdomo are also deserving. The position has been so good that the player with the most career value currently playing shortstop in the NL — Mookie Betts — barely merits a mention. Betts has had a subpar half, but who will be surprised if he’s topping this list by the end of the season?
• Both leagues had three pitching staff slots given to relievers. The group in the AL (Aroldis Chapman, Josh Hader and Andres Munoz) was much more clear-cut than the one in the NL, which ended up with the Giants’ Randy Rodriguez, the Mets’ Edwin Diaz and the Padres’ Jason Adam. It made sense to honor someone from San Diego’s dominant bullpen, and you could have flipped a coin to pick between Adam and Adrian Morejon.
• Picking these rosters while meeting all the requirements and needs for teams and positions is hard. I don’t have any real issue with the pitchers selected for the NL. One of them is Atlanta’s Chris Sale, who is on the IL and will have to be replaced. My pick would be Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sanchez (7-2, 2.68 ERA).
• And for the starting position players, Alonso should have gotten the nod over Freddie Freeman at first base, though it will be great to see Freeman’s reception when he takes the field in Atlanta. For that matter, the Cubs’ Michael Busch has had a better first half than Freeman at this point, though that became true only in the past few days, thanks to his explosion at Wrigley Field. I would have gone with Turner at short, but it’s close. And I’d have started Wood in place of Acuna.
Jesse joined ESPN Chicago in September 2009 and covers MLB for ESPN.com.
The last-place Washington Nationals fired president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo and manager Davey Martinez, the team announced Sunday.
Rizzo, 64, and Martinez, 60, won a World Series with the Nationals in 2019, but the team has floundered in recent years. This season, the Nationals are 37-53 and stuck at the bottom of the National League East after getting swept by the Boston Red Sox this weekend at home. Washington hasn’t finished higher than fourth in the division since winning the World Series.
“On behalf of our family and the Washington Nationals organization, I first and foremost want to thank Mike and Davey for their contributions to our franchise and our city,” principal owner Mark Lerner said in a statement. “Our family is eternally grateful for their years of dedication to the organization, including their roles in bringing a World Series trophy to Washington, D.C.
“While we are appreciative of their past successes, the on-field performance has not been where we or our fans expect it to be. This is a pivotal time for our club, and we believe a fresh approach and new energy is the best course of action for our team moving forward.”
Mike DeBartolo, the club’s senior vice president and assistant general manager, was named interim GM on Sunday night. DeBartolo will oversee all aspects of baseball operations, including the MLB draft. An announcement will be made on the interim manager Monday, a day before the club begins a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Rizzo has been the top decision-maker in Washington since 2013, and Martinez has been on board since 2018. Under Rizzo’s leadership, the team made the postseason four times: in 2014, 2016, 2017 and 2019. The latter season was Martinez’s lone playoff appearance.
“When our family assumed control of the team, nearly 20 years ago, Mike was the first hire we made,” Lerner said. “Over two decades, he was with us as we went from a fledging team in a new city to World Series champion. Mike helped make us who we are as an organization, and we’re so thankful to him for his hard work and dedication — not just on the field and in the front office, but in the community as well.”
The Nationals are in the midst of a rebuild that has moved slower than expected, though the team didn’t augment its young core much during the winter. Led by All-Stars James Wood and MacKenzie Gore, Washington has the second-youngest group of hitters in MLB and the sixth-youngest pitching staff.
The team lost 11 straight games in a forgettable stretch last month. And during a 2-10 run in June, Washington averaged just 2.5 runs. Since June 1, the Nationals have scored one run or been shut out seven times. In Sunday’s 6-4 loss to Boston, they left 15 runners on base.
There was industry speculation over the winter that the Nationals would spend money on free agents for the first time in several years, but that never materialized. Instead, the team made minor moves, signing free agents Josh Bell and Michael Soroka, trading for first baseman Nathaniel Lowe and re-signing closer Kyle Finnegan. Now, the hope is a new management team, both on and off the field, can help change the franchise’s fortunes.
The rosters for the 2025 MLB All-Star Game will feature 19 first-timers — and one legend — as the pitchers and reserves were announced Sunday for the July 15 contest at Truist Park in Atlanta.
Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw, a three-time Cy Young Award winner who made his first All-Star team in 2011, was named to his 11th National League roster as a special commissioner’s selection.
Kershaw, who became only the fourth left-hander to amass 3,000 career strikeouts, is 4-0 with a 3.43 ERA in nine starts after beginning the season on the injured list. He joins Albert Pujols and Miguel Cabrera as a legend choice, after the pair of sluggers were selected in 2022.
Kershaw said he didn’t want to discuss the selection Sunday.
Overall, the 19 first-time All-Stars is a drop from the 32 first-time selections on the initial rosters in 2024.
Kershaw would be the sentimental choice to start for the National League, although Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes, who leads NL pitchers in ERA and WAR, might be in line to start his second straight contest. Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Zack Wheeler, a three-time All-Star, is 9-3 with a 2.17 ERA after Sunday’s complete-game victory and also would be a strong candidate to start.
“I think it would be stupid to say no to that. It’s a pretty cool opportunity,” Skenes said about the possibility of being asked to start by Dodgers manager Dave Roberts. “I didn’t make plans over the All-Star break or anything. So, yeah, I’m super stoked.”
Kershaw has made one All-Star start in his career, in 2022 at Dodger Stadium.
Among standout players not selected were New York Mets outfielder Juan Soto, who signed a $765 million contract as a free agent in the offseason, and Dodgers shortstop Mookie Betts, who had made eight consecutive All-Star rosters since 2016.
Soto got off to a slow start but was the National League Player of the Month in June and entered Sunday ranked sixth in the NL in WAR among position players while ranking second in OBP, eighth in OPS and third in runs scored.
Earning his fifth career selection but first since 2021 is Texas Rangers righty Jacob deGrom, who is finally healthy after making only nine starts in his first two seasons with the Rangers and is 9-2 with a 2.13 ERA. He has never started an All-Star Game, although Skubal or Brown would be the favorite to start for the AL.
“Red carpet, that’s my thing,” Chisholm said. “I do have a ‘fit in mind.”
Rosters are expanded from 26 to 32 for the All-Star Game. They include starters elected by fans, 17 players (five starting pitchers, three relievers and a backup for each position) chosen in a player vote and six players (four pitchers and two position players) selected by league officials. Every club must be represented.
Acuna, Wood and Raleigh are the three All-Stars who have so far committed to participating in the Home Run Derby.