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Sky News analysis reveals the price of a can of baked beans has doubled since 2018, and a summer barbecue this year will cost £10 more than it did five years ago. Use our calculators below to compare how recent events have affected the cost of your groceries, clothing, and leisure activities.

Stuart Parkinson, an economist at Retail Economics, told Sky News:

“Historically, it typically takes two or three things to go wrong in relatively quick succession to really let the cat out of the bag with respect to inflation.

“Unfortunately, that’s what has happened just in recent years: Brexit was punch one; COVID, punch two; and then Russia/Ukraine punch three.

“And once the inflation cat gets out of the bag, it leaves policymakers with a heck of a job getting it back in. And that’s where we are now.

“People are starting to realise that the road back to 2% inflation is far trickier and more hazardous than they realised, and it can also take a long time.”

See how your spending has gone up compared to five years ago

The price of a can of baked beans has nearly doubled since 2018 from 56p up to £1.07, the biggest food price increase over the period. A pack of frozen burgers has increased by 65%, from £2.01 in January 2018 up to £3.32 now.

The item with the biggest increase in the shopping basket was a day’s car hire, which has increased from £37.63 in 2018 to £78.80 now.

Brexit and the pandemic have contributed to price rises

2020 saw the double shock of the UK’s official exit from the European Union at the end of January, closely followed by the global COVID pandemic with lockdowns starting in March.

Initially, inflation remained low as the nation headed into lockdown and spent less money. Once lockdowns had eased in 2021, pent-up demand combined with supply disruptions saw prices increase rapidly.

Paula Bejarano Carbo, associate economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, told Sky News that COVID-related supply chain issues were a major driver of inflationary momentum in 2021:

“There was a sudden overheating of the UK economy.

“The UK is not a country that typically has a very high savings rate. But over the pandemic there was excess saving as people were not able to spend.

“As soon as restrictions started lifting people started spending quite quickly and there was excess demand in the economy which pushed up prices.”

Some household DIY items have seen the biggest price rises since 2020. MDF fireboard has gone up 73%, from £18.59 to £32.16, while a box of ceramic tiles has increased from £11.39 to £18.08.

Some 29 of the top 50 price increases since 2020 are within the food and drink category.

Researchers at The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics have looked at isolating the inflationary impact of Brexit from other recent economic events.

Their latest report suggests that Brexit contributed an additional 30 percentage points to food price inflation between December 2019 and March 2023, with food prices increasing by 25% over the time period. Had the UK not exited the European Union, their analysis estimates, the increase would have been 17%.

Nikhil Datta, assistant professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Warwick, who co-authored the research, told Sky News that non-tariff trade barriers – border frictions other than taxes – were the biggest driver of Brexit-specific inflation.

He said: “When we say frictions, we mean things which are going to make it costly for firms to move things across borders. Food products in particular face quite a few of these as a result of regulatory differences across different countries.”

Firms may also be anticipating future issues and hiring additional employees or consultants to assist with border frictions, and adapting prices accordingly.

“So, when adhering to regulations at the border there is the cost of actually doing it at the border, like the veterinary check, but there’s also the fact that you’ve got to change the structure of your business somewhat.

“That is part of what we’re seeing now. When we start seeing these hard checks at the border [in the future], these price increases might be larger. Or it could be that actually businesses have already taken these into account in their current pricing structure.”

Food prices have rocketed since Russia invaded Ukraine

Then came Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, sending further shocks through the international economy. Energy, fertiliser and grain prices rise significantly last year, with a particularly big impact on food and fuel bills.

The price of olive oil increased more than any other food product since 2022, rising by 58% from £3.91 to £6.16.

None of the 152 types of food tracked by the ONS have become cheaper since February 2022. Only cereal bars have managed to avoid any price increase, staying at 31p.

Persistent inflation has knock on effects on the rest of the economy, and the Bank of England has been raising interest rates in an attempt to control price rises.

Stuart Parkinson explained: “Central bankers have created a host of ways to manage financial shocks in the past 20 years – and, let’s face it, they’ve also had plenty of practice.

“But their inflation-fighting toolkit is much more limited, and their main tool – raising interest rates – inflicts a lot of collateral damage in the process, hence their reticence to deploy it to its fullest effect.”


Methodology

The ONS collects these prices by visiting thousands of shops across the country and noting down the prices of specific items. There are upwards of 100,000 prices published every month, from more than 600 products.

The items that form the “official shopping basket” change each year to reflect how the purchasing habits of the population have changed. For example in March 2021, after a year of the pandemic, hand gel, loungewear bottoms and dumbbells were added, while canteen-bought sandwiches were among the items removed.

Where there aren’t the exact equivalent items available at a survey shop, ONS officials pick the best alternative and note that they’ve done this so it’s weighted correctly when the averages are worked out.

Shops are weighted as well, so the price in a major chain supermarket will have a greater impact on the average than an independent corner shop.

During the pandemic, more of the survey was carried out over the phone and work is ongoing to digitise the system to be able to take in more price points by getting data from supermarket receipts, rather than making personal visits.


The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

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Elianne Andam: Teenager who stabbed 15-year-old to death in Croydon guilty of murder

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Elianne Andam: Teenager who stabbed 15-year-old to death in Croydon guilty of murder

The teenager who stabbed 15-year-old Elianne Andam to death in a row over a teddy bear has been found guilty of murder.

Hassan Sentamu, 18, attacked Elianne with a kitchen knife in “white-hot anger at having been disrespected” after she stood up for his ex-girlfriend, the Old Bailey heard.

He had been due to return items including a teddy bear to Elianne’s friend following their break-up but instead came armed, wearing two pairs of gloves and a facemask.

Elianne collapsed outside the Whitgift Centre in central Croydon, south London, after being stabbed four times in what police described as a “frenzied” attack, which was caught on CCTV, on 27 September 2023.

Body worn footage of Hassan Sentamu being arrested following the fatal stabbing of Elianne Andam. Pic: Met Police
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Sentamu was arrested within 90 minutes. Pic: Met Police

Her friend compared Sentamu to a character from the Netflix crime drama Top Boy and said Elianne had her hand out begging him to “stop”.

He threw his gloves and mask in a bin and hid the knife in a garden but was arrested within 90 minutes after police stopped a bus near his home in New Addington.

Sentamu, who was 17 at the time, admitted manslaughter but denied murder on the basis of “loss of control” because he has autism.

There were sobs in the public as he was found guilty by a majority verdict of 10 to two, while he stood propping himself up with both arms in the dock and crying.

He was also found guilty on a charge of having a blade. Sentamu had also denied this charge – claiming he had a lawful reason for carrying it.

Grime artist Stormzy was among thousands of mourners who gathered at a candlelit vigil after Elianne – who went to the private Old Palace of John Whitgift School – was killed, and there is now a memorial to her at the scene.

Stormzy
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Stormzy among mourners. Pic: PA

‘I’ll do it again’

The month after Elianne’s death, Sentamu got into a row with a fellow inmate in youth custody and when he was accused of killing girls, said: “I’ll do it again,” the court heard.

“I’ll do it to your mum,” he said. “Do you want to end up like her, six feet under? I’ll do the same again.”

Sentamu, who came to the UK aged five with his mother and three sisters, had a history of violent and aggressive behaviour, as well as making repeated threats to take his own life.

He was given a police caution after pulling a knife out in class and telling a teacher he wanted to kill himself when he was just 12 years old.

Sentamu was expelled from one school after threatening another child with a knife and in other incidents put girls in headlocks and threatened to stab a student with a pair of scissors.

While in foster care he threatened to harm a cat or chop off its tail, the court heard.

Elianne with her friends. Pic: Met Police/PA
Image:
Elianne with her friends. Pic: Met Police/PA

‘I can’t let this slide’

Weeks before he killed Elianne, who wanted to become a human rights lawyer, Sentamu said: “The real me is evil, dark and miserable” in a message to a friend.

The day before the attack, he had met Elianne and her friend, who had recently split up with him, at the Whitgift Centre, where the girls “teased” him and his ex-girlfriend splashed him with water.

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Attack caught on CCTV

Sentamu, who was studying sports science at Croydon College, later sent what police called a “chilling” message to a friend saying: “I can’t let this slide bro.”

He met Elianne, his ex-girlfriend and another of their friends the following day to swap belongings.

The girl handed him a plastic bag of his clothes, but he did not have her teddy bear as arranged, and Eliane snatched the bag back.

compile of screengrabs from court-released video linked to the trial of Hassan Sentamu accused of fatally stabbing 15-year-old Elianne Andam in Croydon
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Pics: Met Police

Sentamu stabbed Elianne with kitchen knife. Pic: Met Police/PA
Image:
Sentamu stabbed Elianne with a kitchen knife. Pic: Met Police/PA

A Snapchat video shows Elianne smiling and laughing before her expression turned to “abject terror,” jurors were told.

Sentamu pulled the kitchen knife from his trousers and repeatedly stabbed her, plunging the blade 12cm into her neck.

‘He exacted vengeance on a girl running away’

Prosecutor Alex Chalk KC earlier told jurors Sentamu was “angry… having brooded on the insult and he took the knife to the scene to reassert dominance”.

“He exacted vengeance on a young girl clearly running away from him and posing no threat,” he said.

Sentamu, who was diagnosed with autism in 2020, did not give evidence.

His barrister Pavlos Panayi KC said it was not disputed the killing was a “grotesque overreaction” but the “central issue” in the case was Sentamu’s autism history and symptoms.

Metropolitan Police Detective Chief Inspector Becky Woodsford said it was a “violent, aggressive and frenzied knife attack on a young girl”.

“Elianne was doing what was right, she was standing up for her friend,” she added.

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Russian drone shot down near presidential palace during Starmer’s Ukraine visit

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Russian drone shot down near presidential palace during Starmer's Ukraine visit

Sir Keir Starmer’s visit to the presidential palace in Kyiv was met with a message from Russia when a drone was blasted out of the sky above.

The prime minister was meeting President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to discuss the next steps for Ukraine, on Sir Keir’s first visit to Kyiv since his election victory last July.

The sound of anti-aircraft gunfire was audible in the palace courtyard as air sirens warned of possible drone attacks. While air sirens blaring are a daily occurrence in Ukraine, it’s rare for drones to be shot out of the sky over the presidential palace.

One drone was shot down, although eyewitnesses think there were at least two drones operating and suspect they were probably surveillance drones, as the one taken out didn’t explode on impact.

President Zelenskyy gave his Russian enemies short shrift, saying when the drone was detected: “We will say hello to them too.”

Politics latest: UK to give Ukraine new air defence system

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Starmer and Zelenskyy lay flowers at memorial

An audacious move by Moscow, Sir Keir said the drone threat was “a reminder of what Ukraine is facing every day” and that the war was brought about by “Russian aggression”.

The PM reiterated his support for Ukraine’s eventual accession to NATO, and noted the discussion at the NATO summit in Washington last year – when its allies put Ukraine on an “irreversible path” to NATO membership.

However, President Zelenskyy, perhaps with an eye on the incoming Trump administration, was more forthright in his response to the question of Western allies supporting Ukraine’s membership. He told reporters the US, Slovakia, Germany and Hungary “cannot see us in NATO”.

President Trump has recently acknowledged Moscow’s longstanding opposition to Ukraine’s ambition to join NATO, given it would mean, as the president-elect said: “Russia has somebody right on their doorstep, and I can understand their feeling about that.”

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Starmer visits burns victims

‘Nothing is off the table’

This was a news conference big on symbolism as Sir Keir vowed to stand by Ukraine for as long as it takes and put Kyiv in the strongest possible position for negotiations with Russia.

He pledged to work with Ukraine in the months ahead to ensure security guarantees for the country in any ceasefire deal, while also opening the door to possible troop deployments in training or a peacekeeping capacity, saying “nothing is off the table”.

“We must be totally clear – a just and lasting peace comes through strength,” said Sir Keir.

Keir Starmer poses for photos with staff members at a hospital in Kyiv.
Pic: PA
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Keir Starmer poses for photos with staff members at a hospital in Kyiv. Pic: PA

The PM also pledged to send 1,540 artillery barrels to Ukraine as President Zelenskyy called for more weapons, blaming Russia’s advance in the eastern part of Ukraine on the slow supply of weapons.

A new mobile defence system and a ramping up in the training of troops were also promised by Sir Keir.

President Zelenskyy also acknowledged in the news conference that much is uncertain around this conflict and what security guarantees Ukraine might get from its allies ahead of conversations with Trump.

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Hospitals ‘jampacked’ after busiest week of winter – but flu cases fall

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Hospitals 'jampacked' after busiest week of winter - but flu cases fall

The NHS says hospitals in England are “jampacked” after their busiest week of the winter so far – but flu cases have fallen slightly.

Despite another 1,300 beds being opened up, only 6% of the nearly 104,000 total were free – down from 7.2%.

Flu continues to have a huge impact – with cases 3.5 times higher than last year – however, numbers are down from their recent peak.

NHS England said 4,929 beds were occupied by flu patients on average for the week ending 12 January, a dip of 9% from the 5,408 the week before.

It comes as many hospitals, in places such as Liverpool, Birmingham and Plymouth, have recently been forced to declare critical incidents due to flu cases pushing them to the brink.

“While it is encouraging news flu cases are no longer increasing, hospitals are not out of the woods yet,” said Professor Julian Redhead, NHS national clinical director for urgent and emergency care.

“Staff are working incredibly hard in sometimes challenging surroundings, but winter viruses are much higher than usual for this time of year.

More on Nhs

“And this coupled with the cold snap and problems discharging patients means hospitals are jampacked with patients – even as more beds have been opened to manage increased demand.”

There were 650 patients in hospital with vomiting bug norovirus last week, a rise of 4% on the previous seven days and 44% on last year; while 1,112 people were hospitalised with COVID.

For all winter viruses combined, bed occupation was 5,851, down 8% on the week before but far higher than the 2,169 last year.

Around 29 million flu, RSV and COVID vaccines have been carried this season and while the national booking system has shut, eligible people can still get a free jab at pharmacies or via their GP.

Meanwhile, the latest stats also show handover times from ambulance to A&E improved in the most recent week.

The average was just over 41 minutes, compared with nearly 54 minutes in the previous seven days. However, that’s still slower than the 38 minutes recorded last year.

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How is your local NHS coping?

Many staff are now under the same pressure as they were “during the height of the pandemic”, NHS England boss Professor Sir Stephen Powis said last week.

Nurses have also revealed some patients are dying in corridors and going undiscovered for hours, according to a Royal College of Nursing report.

It said demoralised staff were looking after as many as 40 patients in a single corridor, unable to access oxygen, cardiac monitors, suction and other lifesaving equipment.

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