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The private equity firm that agreed to fork over nearly $10 billion to scoop up Subway faces stiff challenges to revive the troubled brand amid plummeting foot traffic, according to an industry expert.

The family-owned sandwich maker — which accepted a $9.6 billion offer from Roark Capital last week — has seen overall foot traffic at its US franchises plunge 21.6% offer the past four years, according to exclusive data from Placer.ai shared with The Post.

Subway’s dropoff comes as rival Jersey Mikes has seen an increase of 39.1% over the same period from May 2019 to May 2023, the data showed.

The trend doesn’t bode well for Subway’s new owner, according to Andrew Pudzer — the former CEO of CKE Restaurants, whose fast-food brands include Carl’s Jr. and Hardee’s.

You never want to see traffic down significantly, said Pudzer, who helped sell CKE to Roark in 2013 and stayed on as the company’s chief executive until 2017.

If you are going to build your business you cant continue to lose traffic at a significant rate.

Two other two sizable sub chains, Jimmy John’s and Firehouse Subs, also lost traffic during that period but at much lower rates than Subway, according to the data. Jimmy Johns was down 8.8% and Firehouse Subs sank 13.2%.

Subway’s foot traffic began to inch up in the past year, rising .08% from May 1, 2022 to May 1, 2023, but was still well off gains made by Jersey Mikes (13.7%) and Jimmy Johns (2.4%) over that span, according to Placer.ai.

Firehouse Subs was down 4.2% during that period.

Subway, one of the nation’s largest fast food chains with more than 20,000 franchises in the US, touted its positive same-store sales this year, which was up 9.3% in North America compared to the prior year.

We are pleased with the continued progress of our transformation journey, which has refreshed our ingredients, improved our menu, helped boost our franchisees profitability and resulted in 10 consecutive quarters of positive sales, a Subway spokeswoman told The Post on Monday.

Roark Capital — an Atlanta-based private equity firm and backer of restaurant conglomerate Inspire Brands — last week agreed to buy Subway for $9 billion plus $600 million more if Subway hits certain performance targets. The deal still must clear anti-trust regulators.

Pudzer expects Roark to dive into rebranding the troubled chain’s “Eat Fresh” slogan.

When Roark bought Arbys in 2011 from Nelson Peltz it was in serious trouble and a chain few wanted to frequent, Pudzer noted.

The Roark team came up with great new products and the now-ubiquitous ad campaign, We Got the Meats.

Subway needs a new slogan, Pudzer said.

The chain has suffered several public relations nightmares over the past decade — beginning with the conviction of spokesman Jared Fogle for possessing child pornography in 2015.

More recently, it was hit with allegations of selling fake tuna and chicken, and suffered backlash over having soccer star Megan Rapinoe promote the brand and then kneeling during the national anthem.

I think for many years Subway had great success because their target market felt good about going there, Pudzer told The Post.

Theyve kind of lost touch with their target market. People feel its not a place for them anymore. They need to figure out how to make their customer comfortable to be there.

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IRS wants court to toss crypto exec’s appeal over bank record summons

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IRS wants court to toss crypto exec’s appeal over bank record summons

The US tax agency claims it complied with financial privacy laws when it summoned banks for crypto founder Rowland Marcus Andrade’s financial records.

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Chinese tech giant Baidu to release next-generation AI model this year as DeepSeek shakes up market

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Chinese tech giant Baidu to release next-generation AI model this year as DeepSeek shakes up market

Men interact with a Baidu AI robot near the company logo at its headquarters in Beijing, China April 23, 2021.

Florence Lo | Reuters

BEIJING — China’s Baidu plans to release the next generation of its artificial intelligence model in the second half of this year, according to a source familiar with the matter, as newer players such as DeepSeek disrupt the segment.

Ernie 5.0, called a “foundation model,” is set to have “big enhancements in multimodal capabilities,” the source said, without specifying its functions. “Multimodal” AI can process texts, videos, images and audio to combine them as well as convert them across categories — text to video and vice-versa, for instance.

Foundation models can understand language and perform a wide array of tasks including generating text and images, and communicating in natural language.

Baidu’s planned update comes as Chinese companies race to develop innovative AI models to compete with OpenAI and other U.S.-based companies. In late January, Hangzhou-based startup DeepSeek prompted a global tech stock sell-off with the release of its open-source AI model that impressed users with its reasoning capabilities and claims of undercutting OpenAI’s ChatGPT drastically on cost.

“We are living in an exciting time … The inference cost [of foundation models] basically can be reduced by more than 90% over 12 months,” Baidu CEO Robin Li said at the World Governments Summit in Dubai this week. That’s according to a press release of his fireside chat with Omar Sultan Al Olama, UAE’s minister of state for artificial intelligence, digital economy, and remote work applications.

“If you can reduce the cost by a certain percentage, then that means your productivity increases by that kind of percentage. I think that’s pretty much the nature of innovation,” Li noted.

Baidu was the first major Chinese tech company to roll out a ChatGPT-like chatbot called Ernie in March 2023. But despite initial momentum, the product has since been eclipsed by other Chinese AI chatbots from startups as well as large-tech companies such as Alibaba and ByteDance.

While Alibaba shares have soared 33% for the year so far, Baidu shares are up 6%. Tencent has notched gains of about 4% for the year so far. ByteDance is not listed.

Goldman Sachs: China stands to gain as AI focus shifts toward applications layer

Baidu’s Ernie model already supports the integration of generative AI across a range of the company’s consumer and business-facing products, including cloud storage and content creation.

Last month, Baidu said its Wenku platform for creating presentations and other documents had reached 40 million paying users as of the end of 2024, up 60% from the end of 2023. Updated features, such as using AI to generate a presentation based on a company’s financial filing, started being rolled out to users in January.

The current version of the Ernie model is Generation 4, released in Oct. 2023. An upgraded “turbo” version Ernie 4.0 was released in August 2024. Baidu has not officially announced plans to release the next generation update.

The latest version of OpenAI’s ChatGPT, GPT-4o, was released in May 2024. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in a Reddit “ask me anything” session earlier this month that there wasn’t a public timeline for GPT-5’s release.

Baidu did not respond to a request for comment.

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US and UK decline to sign international agreement for ethical AI

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US and UK decline to sign international agreement for ethical AI

The US and UK snubbed signing an international AI agreement, with US Vice President JD Vance claiming that “excessive regulation of the AI sector could kill a transformative industry.”

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