Free-agency grades for all 32 NHL teams
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adminThe NHL free-agency frenzy of 2021 started 27 days later than the usual opening day of July 1, but it was as wild as any in recent memory, with more than $500 million spent on deals on the first day alone.
A number of valuable players remain who have yet to make their decisions — and potential franchise-altering trades for Jack Eichel and Vladimir Tarasenko are still possible as well. But after the first big wave, here is where things stand for all 32 teams.
Note: Thanks as always to our friends at CapFriendly for salary and contract data. Advanced stats are from Hockey Reference, Natural Stat Trick and Evolving Hockey. Teams are arrayed alphabetically within each grade level.
Jump to:
ANA | ARI | BOS | BUF
CGY | CAR | CHI | COL
CBJ | DAL | DET | EDM
FLA | LA | MIN | MTL
NSH | NJ | NYI | NYR
OTT | PHI | PIT | SJ
SEA | STL | TB | TOR
VAN | VGS | WSH | WPG
A grades
Key additions: D Conor Timmins, D Shayne Gostisbehere, LW Andrew Ladd, LW Antoine Roussel, LW Loui Eriksson, C Jay Beagle, C Travis Boyd, G Carter Hutton, D Ben Hutton, LW Dmitrij Jaskin, LW Ryan Dzingel, D Anton Stralman
Key losses: G Darcy Kuemper, D Oliver Ekman-Larsson, RW Conor Garland, D Niklas Hjalmarsson, D Alex Goligoski, G Antti Raanta, LW Michael Bunting, C Frederik Gauthier, C Michael Chaput, LW Dryden Hunt, C John Hayden, D Jordan Oesterle, D Tyler Pitlick (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: The Coyotes may not be done trading veteran players yet. Could Christian Dvorak or Phil Kessel be the next to go?
Grade: A+. Now this is how you tank. GM Bill Armstrong was hired in 2020 thanks in part to his prowess as a draft guru in St. Louis. But when he arrived in Arizona, he found a roster that was nudging the cap ceiling as well as an empty cupboard of draft picks — including ones the NHL took away thanks to the previous regime’s draft combine rule violations.
Fast forward a year, and Armstrong managed to move Ekman-Larsson and his onerous contract (although it did cost promising Conor Garland), trade Kuemper for a solid prospect in Timmins and a first-rounder, and build a treasure trove of picks that includes five (!) in next year’s second round.
Meanwhile, the Coyotes have more than $8 million in cap space and just seven players under contract for 2022-23. Arizona has had a top-three pick twice in its existence; a goaltending battery of Hutton and Josef Korenar goes a long way toward rectifying that.
Key additions: G Marc-Andre Fleury, D Seth Jones, C Tyler Johnson, D Caleb Jones, D Jake McCabe, LW Jujhar Khaira
Key losses: D Duncan Keith, D Adam Boqvist, D Brent Seabrook, C Pius Suter, C David Kampf, C Vinnie Hinostroza
Remaining hole: After being one of the busiest teams throughout free agency, through trades and signing, the Blackhawks may just be done for now — unless they find someone who wants to trade for goalies Malcolm Subban or Collin Delia, who lost valuable playing time now that Marc-Andre Fleury is on board.
Grade: A. The Blackhawks acquired the reigning Vezina Trophy winner for nothing. The price was significantly higher for Jones — a swap of 2021 first-rounders, another conditional first-rounder and young defenseman Adam Boqvist — but the Blackhawks landed a true No. 1 defenseman not too far removed from Norris Trophy hype. His $5.4 million cap hit is a bargain this season; the jury’s out on that $9.5 million AAV, eight-year, full no-movement commitment they made beyond that.
McCabe was one of the offseason’s best low-key signings. Johnson still has something to offer, and they snagged a second-rounder from Tampa Bay while saving some real dollars by offloading Brent Seabrook’s contract. The work done this offseason, plus the return of Jonathan Toews, plus the relative weakness of much of the Western Conference, equals a team that could challenge for a playoff spot this season.
Key additions: C Pius Suter, C Mitchell Stephens, D Nick Leddy, G Alex Nedeljkovic
Key losses: G Jonathan Bernier, C Luke Glendening, C Darren Helm, D Dennis Cholowski (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: The Red Wings have the cap space (over $25 million) to pluck some of the contracts that teams might need to shed later in the summer. They also have to do deals with restricted free agent forward Jakub Vrana and defenseman Filip Hronek.
Grade: A. The Red Wings took advantage of a couple of odd decisions by other teams on restricted free agents. The Hurricanes weren’t convinced that Nedeljkovic, a Calder Trophy finalist, had the stuff of a true starting goalie, and they traded him to Detroit. The Blackhawks said there “wasn’t really a match” in contract talks with Suter, walked away and saw the Red Wings snatch him up. Leddy was a salary dump from the Islanders who’ll help their young defensemen.
They also got better by virtue of who left their lineup. It’s still a knee-deep rebuild for Detroit, but it’s very much on the right track. This grade is erring on the side of GM Steve Yzerman (still) being the smartest guy in the room.
Key additions: C Phillip Danault, D Alexander Edler, RW Viktor Arvidsson, G Garret Sparks
Key losses: RW Matt Luff, D Mark Alt
Remaining hole: The rebuild is nearing an end in Los Angeles. Now it’s all about when young hotshot prospects like Quinton Byfield will be able to become lineup regulars.
Grade: A. Just a tremendous offseason for GM Rob Blake, as he starts to really put the veteran pieces in place to supplement the prospect pool he’s amassed. There’s a lot to love about the Danault signing, as the Kings sign a center who can play up on the lineup until Byfield or Alex Turcotte are ready, and then settle in as the key to an effective checking line.
Arvidsson and Edler will help the team’s young Swedes, and if Arvidsson can regain the form he had before a couple of injurious years, he’ll be an asset. He already makes a good penalty kill better. If the youngsters are ripened, the Kings could make noise in the Pacific. If they’re not, this offseason sets the table for their eventuality as a contender.
Key additions: D Dougie Hamilton, D Ryan Graves, G Jonathan Bernier, F Tomas Tatar
Key losses: D Will Butcher, D Connor Carrick, D Ryan Murray
Remaining holes: The Devils still need to re-sign RFA forward Janne Kuokkanen, but could use more forwards for next season. Tatar helps, but they’d do well to give Jack Hughes and Nico Hischier some other veteran scorers to skate with next season.
Grade: A. The Devils landed the best defensive free agent on the open market. Sure, the money talks, but they also had to convince Hamilton to come to New Jersey and to join a team that’s a few years away from real contention. He’s going to immediately make them better in all facets, including their moribund power play (28th last season, 14.2% conversion rate). What this signing looks like three years from now is contingent on how the Devils build around him.
Meanwhile, Graves is a low-cost defenseman who shoots the puck a ton and is better than what they had on the blue line in 2021. Tatar, inexplicably scratched during the Canadiens’ run to the Stanley Cup Final, is a perfect signing in annual cap hit ($4.5 million) and term (two years) as long as he’s still a play driver at 5-on-5. Bernier was good on a bad team last season and is a nice partner for Mackenzie Blackwood. He’s not worth $4.125 million AAV, but it’s not like the Devils are a cap team right now.
Key additions: LW Jakub Voracek, C Sean Kuraly, D Jake Bean, D Adam Boqvist
Key losses: D Seth Jones, LW/RW Cam Atkinson
Remaining holes: The Blue Jackets dangled center Max Domi in the expansion draft and didn’t find a taker. With a $5.3 million cap hit, one year left before unrestricted free agency and coming off his worst offensive season (1.8 points per 60 minutes) in his first season in Columbus, he could still be on the move.
Grade: A-. Jones was the next in a seemingly unending parade of high-profile players who wanted to leave Columbus — Zach Werenski and his new $9,583,333 annual cap hit excepted — which is to say that GM Jarmo Kekalainen has gotten pretty good at maximizing these returns. He pulled two first-round picks and Boqvist from Chicago for Jones, which is a phenomenal return give the limited scope of the teams with whom he’d sign an extension. They traded Atkinson for Voracek, who has one fewer year left on his contract, could be a great setup man for Patrik Laine and most importantly likes Columbus. Kuraly was a nice depth addition at center, too.
It goes without saying that their offseason plans were impacted by the shocking death of goalie Matiss Kivlenieks in a fireworks accident last month, specifically when it came to trading either Elvis Merzlikins or Joonas Korpisalo. But that’s trivial compared to the magnitude of this tragedy.
Key additions: F Sam Reinhart
Key losses: C Alex Wennberg, D Anton Stralman, D Keith Yandle, G Chris Driedger (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: While the Panthers have some young players who could fill out the lineup, they could use a couple more veteran hands in their bottom six. They also have to settle on a new contract with Reinhart.
Grade: A-. On the surface, it looks like the Panthers let too much go in the offseason. But as they say, context is king. Driedger and goalie Devon Levi were from a goalie surplus behind Sergei Bobrovsky (who isn’t going anywhere, contractually) and Spencer Knight (who is the future). They weren’t giving Wennberg $4.5 million per year, term and trade protection like Seattle did. Yandle was on the outs and they bought him out. Reinhart is a legit scoring option for them at center or on the wing, and the first they gave up for him was top-10 protected for next season.
If Sam Bennett repeats his performance from last season, his four-year extension is worth it; ditto the three years they gave Carter Verhaeghe and Brandon Montour. Florida has really built something interesting here — for how long that “something interesting” lasts will depend on a contract extension for Aleksander Barkov, who goes UFA next summer.
Key additions: D Ryan Ellis, D Rasmus Ristolainen, D Keith Yandle, LW/RW Cam Atkinson, G Martin Jones
Key losses: C Nolan Patrick, LW Jakub Voracek, D Robert Hagg, D Philippe Myers, D Shayne Gostisbehere, G Brian Elliott
Remaining hole: The main piece of business left for the Flyers is a new contract for goalie Carter Hart, who is coming off his worst season as a pro. While a contract of around six seasons is possible, Hart’s just as likely to sign something in the three- to four-year range.
Grade: A-. GM Chuck Fletcher was a busy man this offseason, and most of the work was good. Ellis more than fills the hole that Matt Niskanen left with his surprising retirement before last season. The price for Ristolainen was high (2021 first-rounder, 2023 second-rounder), but a change in scenery and defensive partner could make this a coup, which is the word we’d use for signing Yandle for $900,000 on a post-buyout contract. The swap of Voracek for Atkinson gives the Flyers a player with one more contract year (through 2024-25) but more goal-scoring upside.
The only misstep was Jones as safety net for Hart; even at one year and $2 million post-buyout, he’s a goalie who has given up 6.7 goals below average over the past three seasons. Otherwise, the Flyers are trying to be this season’s Canadiens: a team remade and revitalized by veteran additions to key areas in the offseason.
B grades
Key additions: F Nick Foligno, F Erik Haula, F Tomas Nosek, D Derek Forbort, G Linus Ullmark
Key losses: C David Krejci, C Sean Kuraly, LW Nick Ritchie, RW Ondrej Kase, D Jeremy Lauzon (expansion draft), G Jaroslav Halak
Remaining hole: They don’t have much cap space ($1.089 million), but would the Bruins seek to bolster the middle of their lineup with Krejci leaving, or will they seek solutions from within?
Grade: B+. Much of this grade is based on their re-signing of winger Taylor Hall, as well as defensemen Brandon Carlo and Mike Reilly to sensible and smart contracts. Tuukka Rask is out for the first part of next season due to hip surgery and could still return to Boston as a free agent when he’s healed up. But if this is the end for the Bruins and Rask, getting Ullmark at four years ($5 million AAV) was solid — he’s improved every year he’s been an NHL starter.
The toughest call here is Foligno. Three years ago, he would have been a quintessential Bruin. But while he’s physical and can play solid defense, his offensive game has disappeared. As a depth add, he’s fine. As a potential solution at No. 2 center, not so much. (Although that’s most assuredly Charlie Coyle‘s job to lose.) Overall, a solid offseason for a team that’s trying to keep that championship window propped open — something that, admittedly, will be harder with “Playoff Krejci” back in the Czech Republic.
Key additions: LW Zach Hyman, F Warren Foegele, C Derek Ryan, D Duncan Keith, D Cody Ceci
Key losses: D Adam Larsson (expansion draft), D Ethan Bear, D Caleb Jones, F Dominik Kahun, C Jujhar Khaira
Remaining hole: The Oilers are capped out, but if there’s some way to add a little depth on the left side of the defense, that could be the target.
Grade: B+. The Oilers’ offseason had some moves that are going to make this team potentially better in the short term and other moves that were, for lack of a better description, very Oilers.
Hyman is an effective power forward with experience playing with high-end talent in Toronto. An early Christmas present for Connor McDavid. Foegele, who slots onto their third line, plays the same way. Ryan improves their center depth.
Obviously, the defense corps is where the most radical change occurred. Keith needs to prove that his terrible previous season, where he was a liability defensively, wasn’t a harbinger of doom. The Kraken ruined the Oilers’ plan to have him skate with Larsson, but the addition of Ceci is a decent fix. Bringing back Barrie at $4.5 million AAV was a strong move.
They were flirting with an A-minus here if they didn’t run back Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen as their average-at-best goaltending duo, and hand Darnell Nurse a $9.25 million AAV on an eight-year term with significant trade protection, which was a very “won’t be my problem” contract from GM Ken Holland.
Speaking of that: Trading Caleb Jones for what’s left of Keith so the Blackhawks can then acquire Seth Jones, hand him a contract that resets the market and jacks up Nurse’s price tag? Very Oilers.
Key additions: G James Reimer, C Nick Bonino, C Andrew Cogliano, F Nicholas Merkley, G Adin Hill
Key losses: G Martin Jones, D Greg Pateryn, RW Kurtis Gabriel, C Patrick Marleau, RW Marcus Sorensen, C Ryan Donato, D Christian Jaros
Remaining hole: There’s a lot of uncertainty around Evander Kane, who is currently being investigated by the NHL for claims made by his estranged wife that he bet on games. The Athletic reported that some teammates don’t want Kane back in San Jose regardless. It’s a tricky situation for GM Doug Wilson to navigate.
Grade: B+. Simply removing Jones from the narrative earns this team a good grade, even if we’re not exactly sold on that Reimer/Hill battery either. The Sharks did some good things beyond the goalie swap, including solid veteran depth additions in Bonino and Cogliano.
We’re still not exactly sure what the long-term plan here is. The Sharks are anchored to immovable contracts, but they also aren’t trading players like Tomas Hertl who are one year away from free agency and could yield a solid return. In the end, you could argue they’re a better team now than they were a year ago.
Key additions: LW Brandon Saad, LW Pavel Buchnevich
Key losses: LW Jaden Schwartz, LW Alex Steen, D Carl Gunnarsson, C Tyler Bozak, LW Mike Hoffman, LW Sammy Blais, D Vince Dunn (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: Robert Thomas (RFA) needs a new deal, but other than that, GM Doug Armstrong’s focus should be on moving Vladimir Tarasenko. It’s not an easy trade request to navigate (and leverage isn’t on the Blues’ side), but there appear to be several teams still interested in the winger.
Grade: B+. The Rangers’ loss is the Blues’ gain in Buchnevich, a talented winger that they quickly inked to a four-year deal. Saad more than makes up for the loss of Schwartz up front. They were never enamored by either Hoffman or Dunn, the latter of whom was claimed by the Kraken. They’ll miss him on the blue line, but the biggest key for that group is Colton Parayko returning to form.
Obviously a lot is yet to be settled in the lineup depending on what Tarasenko ultimately brings back, but with just two significant moves the Blues did well for themselves.
Key additions: F Nick Ritchie, F Ondrej Kase, F Michael Bunting, C David Kampf, G Petr Mrazek
Key losses: LW Zach Hyman, C Jared McCann (expansion draft), G Frederik Andersen
Remaining hole: The Maple Leafs are looking a little thing at center in their bottom six, but have a little cap space available to address it.
Grade: B+. The Leafs’ offseason losses got the most attention, as top-line forward Hyman left for Edmonton, the Kraken selected newly acquired McCann (as the Leafs chose to protect defenseman Justin Holl) and the Andersen era ended with his signing in Carolina. But GM Kyle Dubas did some really interesting work to fill those holes, get a little younger and play some wild cards.
Ritchie and Bunting could vie for time in the top six; the pesky Bunting is especially interesting, as he had 11 goals in 26 games in two seasons with Arizona. Kase has seen his career basically put on hold due to concussion symptoms; if he can go, and that remains a huge “if,” he was a top-line talent in Anaheim a few years ago. Mrazek, meanwhile, is a statement of faith in Jack Campbell more than anything else. He’s a great tandem goalie, and has been better than Andersen in the last few seasons.
On paper, it all looks good, aka the unofficial slogan of the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Key additions: C Riley Nash, D Brenden Dillon, D Nate Schmidt
Key losses: G Laurent Brossoit, D Derek Forbort, D Jordie Benn, D Tucker Poolman, C Mathieu Perreault, C Nate Thompson, C Trevor Lewis
Remaining hole: The Jets did a lot of work this offseason and improved their defense (a high-priority item), but still need to figure out new contracts for Andrew Copp and Neal Pionk. Winnipeg has about $6 million in cap space.
Grade: B+. Huzzah! The Jets addressed their defensive shortcomings after two seasons of the blue line being a detriment. Dillon is worth the pair of second-rounders they sent to Washington, especially since the defensive defenseman has three more years left at a reasonable annual cap hit ($3.9 million).
Schmidt’s decision to waive his no-trade clause for the Jets gives them a good puck-moving option. Adding them to what was already there, and with a couple of solid prospects on the way, and things are looking good on the back end.
They’ll miss Perreault at forward and Brossoit as Connor Hellebuyck‘s reliable backup, but the Jets did well here overall — including some addition by subtraction.
Key additions: F Vinnie Hinostroza, D Will Butcher, D Mark Pysyk, D Robert Hagg, G Craig Anderson, G Devon Levi
Key losses: D Rasmus Ristolainen, F Sam Reinhart, D Matt Irwin, D Jake McCabe, D William Borgen (expansion draft) G Linus Ullmark, G Carter Hutton
Remaining holes: Obviously, the future of the Sabres is directly tied to what they do with Jack Eichel, their 24-year-old star center whose agents have anticipated a trade following a disagreement over treatment of his neck injury. But beyond that franchise-altering decision, they need to give new contracts to restricted free-agent center Casey Mittelstadt, defenseman Rasmus Dahlin and defenseman Henri Jokiharju.
Grade: B. The Sabres made two significant trades and did well in both of them. Ristolainen, one year away from free agency, earned them the 14th overall pick in this summer’s draft and a 2023 second-rounder from Philly. Reinhart netted them a top 10-protected first-rounder in 2022 and Levi, a promising young goalie, from the Florida Panthers.
Watching Ullmark leave for nothing as a free agent is rough asset management, but they’ll be able to be worse without him, which has to be the plan at this point. Why else coax Anderson out of near-retirement to be your goalie unless you’re planning to, um, “not contend”?
Key additions: F Richard Panik
Key losses: F Jordan Eberle (expansion draft), F Andrew Ladd, D Nick Leddy
Remaining hole: The Islanders need to add a veteran defenseman on the left side, where they currently have Adam Pelech, Andy Greene (who turns 39 in October) and Sebastian Aho (the other one); getting Pelech locked in for eight seasons is a solid investment, given that he’s 26 years old. Replacing the offense that left with Eberle being plucked by the Kraken would also seem paramount … although that help is on the way, allegedly.
Grade: B. As of this writing, the Islanders’ cone of silence has mostly yet to be lifted on their offseason signings and re-signings. It’s been reported that trade deadline additions Kyle Palmieri and Travis Zajac have been re-signed; that Casey Cizikas is back to center the Islanders’ checking line, which they defiantly protected in the expansion draft; and that Zach Parise will finally reunite with Lamoriello after taking a buyout from the Wild. One assumes they see Parise as a thrifty replacement for Eberle.
If all of that happens … well, they still need another defenseman. But clearing Ladd’s remaining two years to Arizona without sacrificing a first-rounder was admirable. The Islanders track to have another roster much like their new UBS Arena: high floor, low ceiling.
Key additions (beyond the expansion draft): G Philipp Grubauer, F Alex Wennberg, D Connor Carrick, F Marcus Johansson
Key losses: G Vitek Vanecek, D Kurtis MacDermid, RW Tyler Pitlick
Remaining hole: The Kraken remain thin at center and have more than $9 million in cap space available should they choose to address it.
Grade: B. The success of the Kraken in their first offseason depends on how one feels about Grubauer being signed to a six-year deal with a $5.9 million cap hit. If he’s their Marc-Andre Fleury, then this grade will look perilously low. If it turns out his success in Denver had more to do with the Avalanche than his own abilities, perhaps it’s properly graded. He’s a very good goalie, in either case, but this still felt like a deviation from Seattle’s plan just because he unexpectedly hit the market.
As for the rest of the non-expansion draft additions, Wennberg and Johansson have been better in theory than on the ice. The Kraken did pick up three draft picks after failing to leverage any out of the expansion draft protected lists.
Key additions: G Vitek Vanecek
Key losses: D Zdeno Chara, D Brenden Dillon, G Vitek Vanecek, G Craig Anderson, G Henrik Lundqvist
Remaining hole: Finding a hockey trade for center Evgeny Kuznetsov. The Capitals would very much like to move on from their troubling star, who has four more seasons at $7.8 million against the cap per year. Problem No. 1: His stock is low. Problem No. 2: The Capitals don’t want to trade him just to trade him. “I think [GM Brian] MacLellan is hesitant to trade him for nothing, and then he puts up massive numbers somewhere else, and then he looks like an idiot,” said one NHL source.
Grade: B. The Capitals had one mission this offseason, and that was re-signing Alex Ovechkin. His new contract pays him $9.5 million against the cap for the next five seasons, making up for his stagnant salary for the past 13 seasons. As an over-35 deal, it’s a potentially risky one as the Russian Machine grows older. That said: It’s a no-brainer. Ovechkin was going to get what he wanted as a player who remains a premier goal-scorer and franchise icon.
It came at the price of trading Dillon, one of their better defensemen, to Winnipeg for two second-rounders. Vanecek is listed twice here because the Capitals lost him in the Seattle expansion draft and then reacquired him for one of the second-rounders they got for Dillon. So, essentially, the Capitals lose Dillon for salary space (like they hoped they would in the expansion draft) and pull a 2022 second-round pick out of it, while keeping their young goalie they had to expose to Seattle. Not a bad bit of business. They’re still cap-strapped and have an old roster in a young league. But hey, Ovi’s back to provide a nice distraction if the decline suddenly hits.
Key additions: D Nick Holden, D Michael Del Zotto
Key losses: G Joey Daccord (expansion draft), C Derek Stepan, LW Ryan Dzingel, LW/RW Evgenii Dadonov
Remaining holes: Restricted free agent Brady Tkachuk needs his next contract. Beyond that, the Senators have more than $28 million in cap space in case there are any late-summer veteran pickups worth adding to their still-rebuilding team — specifically a top-six center.
Grade: B-. Not a heck of a lot happening with the Senators this offseason outside of correcting an error. Dadonov was supposed to be a free-agent coup last offseason, but he never clicked. They offloaded the full freight of his last two contract years to Vegas, getting a third-rounder in 2022 and Holden in the process. Everyone else was an acceptable loss, although perhaps they would have preferred to lose a veteran forward like Chris Tierney in the expansion draft instead of Daccord.
Key additions: G Jaroslav Halak, D Oliver Ekman-Larsson, RW Conor Garland, F Jason Dickinson, D Tucker Poolman, C Justin Dowling, D Luke Schenn, D Brad Hunt
Key losses: D Alexander Edler, D Nate Schmidt, G Braden Holtby, RW Jake Virtanen, LW Jimmy Vesey, C Travis Boyd, C Brandon Sutter, LW Antoine Roussel, LW Loui Eriksson, C Jay Beagle
Remaining hole: New contracts for two franchise cornerstones — Quinn Hughes and Elias Pettersson — are a priority for GM Jim Benning. It may not be easy, as this has been a slow process so far.
Grade: B-. One thing you can say about Benning: The man knows how to erase his own mistakes.
He flipped Schmidt to the Jets (after that signing didn’t work) for a 2022 third-round pick, which is what he sent to Vegas to get him last offseason. He bought out the last year of Holtby’s deal after the Kraken passed on him. He traded free-agent mistakes Roussel, Eriksson and Beagle to the Coyotes for Ekman-Larsson and his massive contract — which itself was a mistake, although one that Benning might not be around to witness at its worst. He also acquired Garland in that trade, shipping out the ninth overall pick in the process.
Halak and Dickinson are solid additions. Poolman is the defensive version of the deals he handed out to Roussel and Beagle at forward. But beyond all of this was the fact that the Canucks scared up enough cap space for Pettersson and Hughes. Another thing you can say about Benning: His offseasons are never boring.
C grades
Key additions: C Blake Coleman, D Nikita Zadorov, D Andy Welinski, C Trevor Lewis, G Dan Vladar, RW Tyler Pitlick
Key losses: D Mark Giordano (expansion draft), G Louis Domingue, C Derek Ryan, LW Josh Leivo, D Michael Stone, LW Joakim Nordstrom, C Dominik Simon, RW Buddy Robinson, C Zac Rinaldo
Remaining hole: The Flames have more than $12 million available in cap space. They still need to get contracts for RFAs like Dillon Dube and Nikita Zadorov, but GM Brad Treliving may still have flexibility to engineer a big trade — perhaps for a certain disgruntled center from Buffalo.
Grade: C+. The Coleman signing was a pleasant surprise. While he played a defensive role with Tampa Bay, he’s a former 20-goal scorer who can slide into their top six and immediately helps a middling penalty kill (15th last season). His wheels will hold up for most of that six-year deal.
Of greater concern is that the Flames haven’t replaced the point production and nearly 23 minutes per game of quality ice time that the Kraken got in Mark Giordano. One assumes that’s where some of that cap space will be earmarked. And not for nothing, but they still haven’t traded Johnny Gaudreau, one year away from unrestricted free agency?
Key additions: G Frederik Andersen, G Antti Raanta, D Ethan Bear, D Tony DeAngelo, D Brendan Smith, D Ian Cole, F Stefan Noesen, C Derek Stepan
Key losses: D Dougie Hamilton, F Warren Foegele, F Morgan Geekie (expansion draft), F Cedric Paquette, F Brock McGinn, G Alex Nedeljkovic, G Petr Mrazek, G James Reimer
Remaining hole: The only bit of business left for the Hurricanes is signing restricted free agent winger Andrei Svechnikov, and they have considerable salary cap space to do so (over $12 million, per CapFriendly).
Grade: C+. The Hurricanes were never going to hand Hamilton the $9 million annually that he received from the Devils. They hoped he wouldn’t find the grass was greener elsewhere, but he ended up finding that meadow from “The Sound of Music,” and Carolina lost its elite offensive defenseman. But if they’re going to lose anyone, let it be from the deepest part of their team that got even deeper in the offseason — although that spree included the repellent, bargain-basement addition of DeAngelo, aka how to squander the goodwill of fans with one signing.
But the entire offseason comes down to the Hurricanes’ decision to nuke their entire goaltending group. They’re betting that Andersen can regain his form, that Raanta can have some semblance of good health, and that we aren’t talking about this Nedeljkovic trade to Detroit like the time Ottawa regretted sending Ben Bishop to the Lightning. Huh, now who was that general manager in Tampa Bay again …
Key additions: D Ryan Suter, G Braden Holtby, LW Michael Raffl, D Jani Hakanpaa, D Andreas Borgman, C Luke Glendening, D Alex Petrovic
Key losses: C Justin Dowling, C Andrew Cogliano, D Mark Pysyk, D Sami Vatanen, D Taylor Fedun, D Stephen Johns, D Julius Honka, D Jamie Oleksiak (expansion draft), F Jason Dickinson
Remaining hole: The Stars are crowded in net, though there’s still a big question mark about Ben Bishop‘s health and when he might be ready. Even still, GM Jim Nill may look to trade Anton Khudobin, who is looking like the odd man out.
Grade: C+. Bringing in Ryan Suter makes a ton of sense, as he slides right into Jamie Oleksiak’s old spot on the left side of Miro Heiskanen. Getting him at a post-buyout $3.65 million cap hit is also solid. But having to go four years on a plus-35 contract with a full no-movement clause to get there really isn’t optimal.
They’re going to miss Dickinson, while the signing of Glendening doesn’t really move the needle. Holtby’s one-year deal seems born out of concern of Bishop’s future and, perhaps, some concern about Jake Oettinger filling the role again. An average offseason for a team looking to make one last Stanley Cup push with this group.
Key additions: D Greg Pateryn, D Brogan Rafferty, LW Danny O’Regan, RW Buddy Robinson
Key losses: C David Backes, RW Carter Rowney, D Andy Welinski, D Haydn Fleury (expansion draft), LW Danton Heinen
Remaining hole: The Ducks still need to sign restricted free agents Sam Steel, Max Comtois, Max Jones and Isac Lundestrom. They could also use another NHL-level forward or two.
Grade: C. Nothing gained, nothing significant lost. The Ducks continue to resist a full-on rebuild, despite three straight non-playoff seasons and an aging core that would undoubtedly draw interest on the trade market. It’s rumored they’re in the Jack Eichel derby — as long as it doesn’t cost them Trevor Zegras or Jamie Drysdale — which would certainly give their franchise a much-needed focal point.
But sparing that, Anaheim is a veteran team with a few brilliant young prospects, hoping it all miraculously gels together in a top-heavy division. Still, getting Ryan Getzlaf back at $3 million is a solid (and age-appropriate) signing.
Key additions: D Dmitry Kulikov, D Alex Goligoski, D Jon Merrill, C Frederick Gaudreau
Key losses: LW Zach Parise, D Ryan Suter, C Nick Bonino, D Ian Cole, D Brad Hunt, C Marcus Johansson, D Matt Bartkowski, D Carson Soucy (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: The Wild have been lurking as a contender in the Jack Eichel sweepstakes for months. GM Bill Guerin has held his ground so far, but he could gain leverage as training camp nears.
Grade: C. One goal for the Wild this offseason was to scare up salary-cap space for this season, with Kirill Kaprizov and Kevin Fiala needing new contracts. To accomplish that, they bought out Parise, which was expected, and Suter, which very much was not. The loss of the latter, combined with the Kraken opting for Soucy over goalie Kaapo Kahkonen, meant that Minnesota had to go UFA shopping after sporting one of the deepest defense corps in the NHL for years.
Up front, the Wild could have top prospects Matt Boldy and Marco Rossi sliding in to fill some gaps. Everything the Wild are doing feels like it’s in preparation for bolder moves, but how bold can they be when they’re going to have over $14 million in dead cap space from the buyouts in 2023-24 and 2024-25?
Key additions: F Corey Perry, F Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, G Brian Elliott, D Zach Bogosian, D Brent Seabrook‘s contract
Key losses: C Yanni Gourde (expansion draft), F Blake Coleman, F Barclay Goodrow, C Tyler Johnson, D David Savard
Remaining hole: Figuring out how to replace one of the NHL’s top checking lines, which could be something that falls to Perry and returning center Ross Colton.
Grade: C. It’s great that the Lightning won their second straight Stanley Cup, as the afterglow helped numb the pain of this inevitable offseason. Protecting four forwards and four defensemen in the expansion draft, they were destined to lose a key forward, and that turned out to be Gourde. Coupled with Goodrow leaving for the Rangers and Coleman to the Flames, and the entire checking line from their championship runs has evaporated.
The Lightning made some good veteran depth additions to a team that very much as the potential to three-peat — did Perry really need two years, though? — and they finally found a way to offload Tyler Johnson’s contract, to the Blackhawks. But there was no loophole the Lightning could exploit to avoid this defection of talent in the offseason. The cap finally caught up to them.
Key additions: RW Evgenii Dadonov, G Laurent Brossoit, C Nolan Patrick, C Brett Howden
Key losses: G Marc-Andre Fleury, RW Ryan Reaves, D Nick Holden, C Tomas Nosek, C Cody Glass
Remaining hole: You’d think the Golden Knights made all of the moves they wanted to make.. But this is a team clearly in “go for it” mode. Even with no cap space, don’t be surprised if GM Kelly McCrimmon is still asking around about potential trades and upgrades to the roster.
Grade: C. What a truly bizarre offseason for the Knights. They gave away Fleury for nothing in order to clear the totality of his $7 million cap hit — bear in mind, this goalie just won the Vezina Trophy. They then used $5 million of that cap space to acquire Dadonov, whose underlying numbers have declined for three straight seasons. Even if you’re high on Dadonov, the fact remains that the Knights’ biggest lineup hole is at center.
Barring a move for Eichel — which you can’t count out — or another top center, it appears McCrimmon chose to address the hole by hoping his former Brandon Wheat Kings star Patrick can blossom in the desert.
They kept Mattias Janmark around, Howden’s not a bad bottom-six addition, and Brossoit is solid as Robin Lehner‘s backup. Keeping Alec Martinez in the fold on a new contract was also a win.
Key additions: D Ryan Murray, G Darcy Kuemper, D Jordan Gross, C Dylan Sikura, C Darren Helm, C Stefan Matteau, D Kurtis MacDermid
Key losses: G Philipp Grubauer, LW Brandon Saad, C Carl Soderberg, LW Matt Calvert, RW Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, G Devan Dubnyk, D Patrik Nemeth, D Conor Timmins, D Ryan Graves, F Joonas Donskoi (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: The Avs sit with just $2 million in cap space, so if GM Joe Sakic wants to improve his roster (such as replacing Saad at left wing) he’ll likely need to trade a roster player.
Grade: C-. The Avalanche did some good things: Retaining Gabriel Landeskog at a $7 million AAV and Cale Makar at a $9 million AAV, which already looks like a bargain; plus Murray at one year and $2 million is a fine replacement for Graves, whom they traded before the Kraken had a chance to pluck him. Seattle instead took Donskoi and then signed away Grubauer when the Avalanche couldn’t reach an agreement with him.
The goalie carousel spun too fast and Colorado was left sending Timmins and a first-rounder it would have rather had on hand at the next trade deadline for Kuemper — on the last year of his deal and far less the known commodity that Vezina Trophy finalist Grubauer was for the Avalanche.
Their forward depth took a hit too, although an expanded role for Alex Newhook next season will help. Still, it feels like a team that took a step back from the precipice of a Stanley Cup championship upon which it had been perched.
Key additions: C Mathieu Perreault, C Cedric Paquette, LW Mike Hoffman, D David Savard, D Chris Wideman, D Cale Fleury (expansion draft)
Key losses: C Phillip Danault, F Corey Perry, F Tomas Tatar, D Jon Merrill, D Shea Weber (injury)
Remaining hole: Restricted free-agent center Jesperi Kotkaniemi still needs a new contract, but otherwise it appears the cap-strapped Canadiens have the team they’ll roll with next season.
Grade: C-. Admittedly, we’re grading on a curve here. The loss of No. 1 defenseman Weber for next season — and probably for the rest of his contract — left the Canadiens with a gaping hole in their defense corps that the addition of Savard will only fill on an incomplete basis. The losses of Danault and Tatar mean the losses of two top-line players. Hoffman’s all-offense game can help supplant Tatar’s game and add something to a Weber-less power play, but Danault walking to L.A. really hurts their center depth.
Fleury being selected over Carey Price in the expansion draft either contributes to a downer of an offseason or helps redeem it, depending how one feels about the franchise goalie’s contract.
D grades
Key additions: G David Rittich, D Philippe Myers, C Cody Glass, RW Matt Luff,
Key losses: G Pekka Rinne, D Ryan Ellis, RW Viktor Arvidsson, D Erik Gudbranson, RW Erik Haula, C Brad Richardson, F Calle Jarnkrok (expansion draft)
Remaining hole: The Predators said goodbye to a few longtime veteran stalwarts: Arvidsson, Ellis and — of course — Rinne. Going forward, Nashville wants Mattias Ekholm and Filip Forsberg to still be part of its core. GM David Poile should try to get both inked to extensions before training camp.
Grade: D. The bounty from the Ellis trade ended up being defenseman Philippe Myers, who brings size, and center Cody Glass, whom the Golden Knights clearly felt wasn’t going to blossom into a No. 1 center. They shipped out Arvidsson before they had to leave him exposed in the expansion draft.
Rinne’s retirement means that it’s Juuse Saros‘ crease, with Rittich as his cost-effective backup. The four-year deal with a $5 million AAV handed to Mikael Granlund was an overpayment.
Worst of all, they couldn’t entice Seattle to remove either Ryan Johansen or Matt Duchene from their cap. The offseason was symptomatic of a team moving in the wrong direction.
Key additions: F Barclay Goodrow, F Sammy Blais, F Ryan Reaves, D Jarred Tinordi, D Patrik Nemeth
Key losses: F Pavel Buchnevich, F Brett Howden, C Colin Blackwell (expansion draft), D Brendan Smith
Remaining hole: So, when does that Jack Eichel trade happen? The Rangers have the cap space, the players (young and experienced) and the draft picks to make a deal with the Sabres for their star center. Perhaps it’s his neck injury that gives them pause. Whatever the case, center Mika Zibanejad is one year away from free agency, and that situation greatly impacts this situation.
Grade: D+. This is what happens when you let Tom Wilson build your roster for you. Every player the Rangers added this offseason was intended to address a perceived lack of toughness that was “exposed” in the Wilson/Artemi Panarin incident last season, as well as back-to-back losses to the Islanders that preceded it.
We’ll see how it plays out on the ice, but on paper some of it is specious for new GM Chris Drury. Did he need to immediately extend a 34-year-old Reaves for another season? Didn’t the Canucks provide ample warning that you don’t give long-term deals or trade protection to bottom-six role players, like the Rangers gave six years and a modified no-trade to Goodrow? And they really didn’t want Buchnevich? All of this felt like a deviation from what’s been an otherwise solid plan.
Key additions: F Danton Heinen, F Brock McGinn, F Dominik Simon
Key losses: F Jared McCann, F Brandon Tanev (expansion draft), D Cody Ceci
Remaining holes: Barring another trade, this is likely the team the Penguins are rolling with next season — including the return of Tristan Jarry and Casey DeSmith in goal.
Grade: D. It’s wild to think that the Penguins were a first-place team in the East Division last season (.688 points percentage) before being ousted by the Islanders in the first round. They weren’t great to begin with, and now they’ve gotten worse. Tanev and McCann were effective forwards that’ll be missed. Ceci defied expectations last season, and now he’s in Edmonton. The Penguins wanted to get more physical. They didn’t. They wanted to get more quality depth. They didn’t. Their goaltending is still suspect since they decided not to dabble in nostalgia with a run at Marc-Andre Fleury.
On top of everything, Evgeni Malkin is rehabbing after knee surgery and might miss the start of the season. GM Ron Hextall took over a team last year that had little in the way of cap flexibility or assets to move, and it shows.
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Sports
Who has the edge for MVP, Cy Young and more? MLB Awards Watch at the All-Star break
Published
1 hour agoon
July 16, 2025By
admin
-
Bradford DoolittleJul 16, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- MLB writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Former NBA writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Been with ESPN since 2013
Judge. Ohtani. Skubal. Wheeler.
A little more than halfway home, four of baseball’s titans have established themselves as the front-runners in the major awards races, at least according to ESPN BET. A lot can happen between now and the balloting late in the season, but when you have established stars and perennial awards favorites atop the leaderboard, their competitors can’t count on any kind of a drop-off.
In other words: Barring a major injury to Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Tarik Skubal or Zack Wheeler, it’s going to take a strong second half by anyone hoping to overtake them. It can happen, and if any of these races tighten up, it’ll be something to behold.
Awards Watch agrees with many of the assessments made by the betting markets, but if the season ended today, there would be a few disagreements, according to AXE. That doesn’t mean the voters would fall in line with the numbers, but the debate would be robust.
As we check in with our midseason Awards Watch, let’s see how things stack up for the favorites.
Most Valuable Player
American League
Front-runner: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (162 AXE)
Next nine: 2. Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners (148); 3. Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals (138); 4. Jeremy Pena, Houston Astros (134); 5. Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (133); 6. Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (130); 7. Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox (129); 8. (tie) Randy Arozarena, Mariners, J.P. Crawford, Mariners (124); 10. Julio Rodriguez, Mariners (122).
Leader trend: Judge has retained a comfortable lead in this category all season. Raleigh drew fairly close in late June, but the gap has since widened again. That’s not Raleigh’s fault; it’s just Judge being Judge. At the time of our last Awards Watch, Judge had a 1.234 OPS. Since then, he has managed a meager 1.141. Yeah, that’s still pretty good.
The shape of Judge’s numbers has changed a bit. When we convened in late May, he was hitting .395, and he has posted a mortal .297 average since. But he has picked things up in the slugging category. Last time, he was mashing homers at the rate of 54 per 162 games. Since, that number is 66. Raleigh might be having the greatest catcher season of all time, and it’s possible that if there is any kind of Judge fatigue among the voters, that could impact the ballot. But what isn’t likely is any kind of prolonged drop-off by Judge.
Biggest mover: Buxton wasn’t in the top 10 last time out, but he has entered the top five based on several weeks of elite production and good health. During an 11-year career marked as much by injury as spectacular play, the first half featured Buxton at his best and most available, putting him on pace for his first 30/30 season at age 31. It keeps getting better: Since the last Awards Watch, Buxton has a 1.025 OPS with rates of 48 homers and 39 steals per 162 games.
Keep an eye on: Last time, there were two Red Sox in the top 10. Both have dropped out, with Alex Bregman hitting the IL and Rafael Devers hitting the airport for a flight to join his new team in San Francisco. But Boston is still represented by the overlooked Rafaela. No, he isn’t going to overtake Judge in the MVP race, but one of baseball’s most unique players deserves a little run.
After splitting time between shortstop and center field in 2024, Rafaela has played almost exclusively on the grass this season, and his defensive metrics have been off the charts. That’s driving this ranking, but Rafaela also has made tremendous strides at the plate. After entering the season with a career OPS+ of 83, he has upped that number to 118 in 2025 and is on pace for a 20/20 campaign.
National League
Front-runner: Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers (144 AXE)
Next nine: 2. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (143); 3. Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres (136); 4. Kyle Tucker, Cubs (135); 5. James Wood, Washington Nationals (134); 6. Will Smith, Dodgers (131); 7. (tie) Pete Alonso, New York Mets, Juan Soto, Mets (129); 9. Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (128); 10. Francisco Lindor, Mets (127).
Leader trend: Crow-Armstrong just won’t go away. He has lurked behind Ohtani on the AXE leaderboard for most of the season, but a quiet series from Ohtani in Milwaukee paired with another outburst from Crow-Armstrong flipped the top spot. Ohtani is still the favorite — the leaderboard flipped again over the weekend and, besides, he’s Ohtani — but at this point, we have to come to grips with the reality that Crow-Armstrong can mount a legitimate challenge.
Like Rafaela, Crow-Armstrong’s defensive metrics are top of the charts and, in fact, those two are in a duel for the MLB lead in defensive runs saved metrics among outfielders. But Crow-Armstrong’s bat continues to fuel his rise to superstar status. He entered the break on pace for 42 homers and 46 steals.
Ironically, if the offensive numbers between Ohtani and Crow-Armstrong are tight, it could come down to very different forms of run prevention. Crow-Armstrong is at 15 defensive runs saved as a center fielder. Meanwhile, Ohtani is at three runs above average during his nine innings on the mound. As the pitching side of Ohtani’s record grows, that gap might narrow considerably.
If that happens and it comes down to a straight-up comparison at the plate, it’s going to be tough for Crow-Armstrong, whose 140 OPS+ currently is dwarfed by Ohtani’s 174.
Biggest mover: Wood continues to cement his arrival as a right-now star player, and his pace has been accelerating even after an excellent start. Despite a subdued week before the break, Wood has a .908 OPS and 162-game rates of 42 homers, 127 RBIs, 19 steals and 100 runs since the last Awards Watch. Overall, he has a .381 OBP and is on pace for 100 walks, so those numbers aren’t driven by a short-term power surge. At 22, Wood simply is already an all-around offensive force.
Keep an eye on: Tucker overtook Crow-Armstrong for the No. 2 slot (and the Cubs’ team lead) in AXE late in June, before Crow-Armstrong reasserted himself. But Tucker’s production is metronomic: His AXE at the last Awards Watch was 130, and he is now at 135. Tucker has an .839 OPS at Wrigley Field as compared to .905 on the road, where 12 of his 17 homers have been hit. But if warmer weather and outward-blowing winds become consistent in Chicago, a Tucker power surge could be in the offing. If that happens, look out.
Cy Young
American League
Front-runner: Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers (151 AXE)
Next nine: 2. Garrett Crochet, Red Sox (149); 3. (tie) Framber Valdez, Astros, Joe Ryan, Twins (138); 5. Hunter Brown, Astros (137); 6. Nathan Eovaldi, Texas Rangers (136); 7. Kris Bubic, Royals (134); 8. Max Fried, Yankees (133); 9. Jacob deGrom, Rangers (132); 10. Bryan Woo, Mariners (126).
Leader trend: Skubal was fourth in AXE among AL pitchers last time out, though he was still the clear front-runner to repeat as AL Cy Young. A few more weeks have brought AXE in line with reality, as Skubal has gone to that magical place few pitchers ever reach.
Skubal’s blastoff actually began when we posted the last Awards Watch, as he was coming off a complete-game, two-hit shutout against Cleveland. Perhaps the most impressive part of that outing is that he recorded 13 strikeouts on just 94 pitches. Well, since then, Skubal did the same thing to Minnesota: 13 whiffs on 93 pitches on June 29.
In eight outings following the last Watch, Skubal has gone 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA, thrown at least seven innings five times and posted an absurd ratio of 61 strikeouts to nine walks. This race isn’t over, but it’s clearly Skubal’s to win.
Biggest mover: DeGrom missed the top 10 last time, but since then, he has shown every indication of ramping back up to his historic level of stifling run prevention. He’s doing it a little differently than he did in his Mets heyday, emphasizing pitch efficiency to a greater extent.
DeGrom’s 26% strikeout rate is his lowest in nearly a decade, and he has reached double digits in whiffs just once this season. But he has a sparkling 2.32 ERA and has been at 2.20 over eight starts since the last Awards Watch. He had a string of five straight starts when he threw at least six innings, reaching seven twice, all without hitting the 90-pitch mark.
Keep an eye on: Crochet has been coming on like gangbusters, as has the team around him. He finished his first half with a complete-game, three-hit shutout of Tampa Bay, closing the AXE gap between him and Skubal. Crochet leads the AL in innings pitched (129⅓), strikeouts (160) and ERA+ (185). We’ve seen Skubal do this for a full season; now, it’s up to Crochet to prove he can match the reigning Cy Young winner start for start in what’s shaping up as a great race.
National League
Front-runner: Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates (150 AXE)
Next nine: 2. Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies (148); 3. Cristopher Sanchez, Phillies (143); 4. MacKenzie Gore, Nationals (135); 5. Nick Pivetta, Padres (133); 6. Ranger Suarez, Phillies (132); 7. (tie) Andrew Abbott, Reds, Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers (131); 9. Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants (130); 10. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers (128)
Leader trend: The numbers between Wheeler and Skenes are so close, it’s hard not to fixate on the disparity in the win-loss columns: Wheeler is 9-3, while the criminally under-supported Skenes is 4-8. Recently, I re-pitched the notion of a revised win-loss record based on game scores, so that’s worth taking a fresh look at to see if the difference in the traditional records is misleading.
Well, it is and it isn’t. Skenes has suffered a string of hard-luck game score losses of late and now sits at 11-9 by that method. Wheeler, meanwhile, is an MLB-best 16-3. Wheeler also has a solid edge in average game score at 65.2, as compared to 63.2 for Skenes. For now, Wheeler has the edge.
Will it last? Consider another byproduct of that game score work: pitcher temperature. You win a game score matchup, the temp goes up. You lose, it goes down. Each starter begins his career at the average temperature of 72 degrees, and it goes back and forth from there. The hottest starter in baseball by this method: Wheeler, at 127.2 degrees. Because of his recent bad run, Skenes has cooled to 68.7 degrees.
Biggest mover: For now, Sanchez has seized the spot just behind Wheeler, which of course makes him a mere No. 2 in his own rotation. Sanchez was overlooked when the NL All-Star rosters were released, and it was a true oversight. Like Wheeler, Sanchez has been fiery hot, with a string of excellent outings since the last Awards Watch. Over nine starts during that span, Sanchez has 1.77 ERA and 2.11 FIP, while pitching seven innings or more six times.
Keep an eye on: Let’s just stick with our Phillies theme and keep our eyes on their whole rotation. Wheeler (second), Sanchez (third) and Suarez (sixth) are entrenched in the top 10. Meanwhile, Jesus Luzardo (126 AXE), who led this category last time out, just missed giving the Phillies four rotation members in the top 10. Philadelphia leads the majors in average game score and is second in the NL (behind Cincinnati) in game score win-loss percentage.
Rookie of the Year
American League
Front-runner: Jacob Wilson, Athletics (121 AXE)
Next nine: 2. Carlos Narvaez, Red Sox (120); 3. Cam Smith, Astros (116); 4. Noah Cameron, Royals (115); 5. Nick Kurtz, Athletics (108); 6. Jake Mangum, Tampa Bay Rays (107); 7. (tie) Mike Vasil, Chicago White Sox, Will Warren, Yankees, Jasson Dominguez, Yankees (106); 10. Roman Anthony, Red Sox (105)
Leader trend: Wilson has come back to the pack on the AXE leaderboard, perhaps inevitably after his remarkable start to the season. He was hitting .348 at the last Awards Watch then went out and pushed that number to .372 on June 8. Since then, Wilson has hit just .222 and has just three extra-base hits over 24 games. Wilson’s quick beginning turned enough heads to get him voted as the AL’s starting shortstop in the All-Star Game. But he has been replaced by Smith as the AL Rookie of the Year favorite at ESPN BET.
Biggest mover: Smith has mashed his way into prominence, but he’s proving to be a well-rounded young hitter despite just 32 games of minor league experience. Alas, his surprising .277 batting average is driven by a .378 BABIP that doesn’t seem likely to hold up. However, Smith has just seven homers, and if his game power starts to match his raw power, he can easily replace any loss in average with a gain in slugging.
Keep an eye on: Kurtz has been picking up the pace, especially in the power category, manifesting what was his calling card prior to reaching the majors. Kurtz hit the IL with a hip injury on the day the last Awards Watch went out. He had just started to drive the ball before getting hurt, and he has gone right on slugging since he came back. After homering just once over his first 23 games, Kurtz has since gone deep 16 times in 35 contests while slugging .713 in the process.
National League
Front-runner: Caleb Durbin, Brewers (113 AXE)
Next nine: 2. (tie) Chad Patrick, Brewers, Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves (112); 4. (tie) Hyeseong Kim, Dodgers, Isaac Collins, Brewers (109); 6. (tie) Jack Dreyer, Dodgers, Brad Lord, Nationals (105); 8. (tie) Liam Hicks, Miami Marlins, Lake Bachar, Marlins, Yohel Pozo, St. Louis Cardinals (104)
Leader trend: The race remains tepid. One of those players tied for second — Patrick, the leader in this category last time out — is back in Triple A, joining Logan Henderson (not listed here, but who ranks 11th) in the rotation at Nashville. It’s not because of failures on their part, though, it’s just because Milwaukee is so flush with starting pitching. Speaking of which …
Biggest mover: Jacob Misiorowski had yet to debut when we last convened, but he has since become a must-watch big league starter and, amazingly, an All-Star.
He won his first three starts while posting a 1.13 ERA, then put up his first stinker in a loss to the Mets. He followed that with a head-turning six innings of dominance against the defending champion Dodgers, whiffing 12 L.A. batters and beating future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw. The end result: Misiorowski has become ESPN BET’s new front-runner for top NL rookie.
Keep an eye on: Kim has been as good as advertised for the Dodgers, matching the elite defense and baserunning we knew he had with a surprising 137 OPS+ over 119 plate appearances. Now, in the wake of Max Muncy‘s knee injury, Kim should be more of a lineup fixture, at least for a few weeks.
Manager of the Year
American League
Front-runner: A.J. Hinch, Tigers (112 EARL)
Next four: 2. Joe Espada, Astros (109); 3. Ron Washington, Los Angeles Angels (108); 4. John Schneider, Toronto Blue Jays (107); 5. Dan Wilson, Mariners (103)
Overview: It’s bittersweet to see Washington on the leaderboard now that we know he won’t be back this season because of a health issue. That leaves a pretty good battle between Hinch and Espada, his bench coach with the Astros. The Tigers’ historic pace with such a young team has Hinch in front. But Houston’s surge despite injuries and underperformances is the kind of thing that will catch a voter’s eye.
National League
Front-runner: Pat Murphy, Brewers (108 EARL)
Next four: 2. (tie) Oliver Marmol, Cardinals; Bob Melvin, Giants (106); 4. (tie) Craig Counsell, Cubs; Clayton McCullough, Marlins (105)
Overview: This is a hard race to read. Marmol is a classic candidate, guiding a low-expectation team to a good record and playoff contention. But the Cardinals might be on the verge of dropping back. Meanwhile, the Brewers have become the NL’s hottest team, nudging Murphy, last year’s NL Manager of the Year, into the lead at the break. But in both manager categories, these stories are very far from being written.
Sports
MLB betting: Top storylines for the season’s second half
Published
1 hour agoon
July 16, 2025By
admin
Coming off his second American League MVP season in 2024, New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge opened as the favorite to repeat for the award. He has only helped his argument by posting the AL’s best average (.355) as well as its second-most home runs (35) and RBIs (81) at the All-Star break. However, as excellent as his season has been, a stunning breakout campaign from Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh is closing the gap in the odds.
Judge currently shows -600 odds to win the AL MVP in 2025, a major improvement from his leading +300 at the start of the season, according to ESPN BET lines. However, Raleigh now has the second-best odds +325, a remarkable shortening from his opening 100-1 price.
Judge’s short odds all season — which reached an incredible -1,000 in mid-May — dictated that he was never going to be an attractive option for bettors, with BetMGM reporting 5.2% of the bettors backing him for the award, fifth best in the market.
Raleigh, on the other hand, made a slow progression up the odds board, allowing bettors to take advantage of his long plus-pricing for some time. Caesars Sportsbook baseball lead Eric Biggio said many of the sportsbook’s customers grabbed the Mariners backstop at 90-1 back in early May. Judge’s excellence actually helped keep Raleigh at a long price, according to another bookmaker, since Judge’s extremely short price needed to be balanced.
BetMGM said Raleigh holds a leading 33% of the handle for AL MVP, the book’s largest liability in the market. His laidback attitude, Home Run Derby win and amusing nickname could continue to fuel his MVP narrative … and make trouble for sportsbooks.
“As much as I like him, as much as I enjoy rooting for the Big Dumper, he’s a pretty big liability for us,” Biggio told ESPN. “We’ve got some pretty big tickets on Raleigh to win the MVP and for the home run leader.”
The latter market is also an intriguing one: Even as Raleigh (38) holds a three-homer lead over Judge, the Yankees slugger is still the solid favorite to sock the most dingers this season, showing -140 odds to Raleigh’s +130 at ESPN BET. Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani holds +800 odds to accompany his 32 home runs.
“If Raleigh wins either one of those two awards, we’re not going to be in as good of shape with him as we are with those other two guys,” DraftKings Sportsbook director Johnny Avello told ESPN.
Ohtani is also the solid favorite for National League MVP at -700, but Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong is putting some degree of pressure on him at +750. BetMGM reports PCA as its biggest liability in that market.
World Series favorites
Ahead of the 2025 season, the Dodgers were an astounding +160 to win the National League pennant and +275 to win the World Series, per ESPN BET lines — the shortest odds to win MLB’s championship since the 2003 Yankees. At the All-Star break, not a whole lot has changed, with L.A. now a +140 favorite to take the NL crown and a +240 favorite for the World Series.
Things have not gone as expected on the American League side, however. After opening the season at +1200 to win the AL and +3000 to take the World Series, the Detroit Tigers now display the best record in baseball, bringing their pennant odds to a favorite’s +250 and their championship odds to +700, tied with the Yankees for second best.
The underdog story resonated with the betting public, who began backing the Tigers at the first indications that they could make some noise not only in the AL Central, but in the league at large. Biggio said Detroit is Caesars’ second-largest liability, behind only the San Francisco Giants.
“We had some longer prices, and the public spotted it early that they’re a legit squad,” he said. “So some big prices on the Tigers to win it all, and they are for real.”
“They’ve become a popular futures selection, now our second-most bet World Series winner by total bets, and third-most popular pick by handle,” ESPN BET’s VP of sportsbook strategy and growth Adam Landeka said via email. “Given their relatively longer price earlier in the season, we already know we’ll be a fan of almost any team the Tigers face in the postseason.”
While Detroit’s concern will be coaching its relatively inexperienced core to a postseason run, L.A.’s will be staying healthy. Bookmakers remark that the Dodgers’ ability to keep winning games despite several significant injuries is a testament to their depth, thus keeping them a favorite in the long run.
Young arms
The eyes of the baseball world turned to Milwaukee for a seemingly random matinee game June 25. It was the first head-to-head matchup between Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes and Milwaukee Brewers rookie Jacob Misiorowski, two of the brightest future pitching stars in baseball. It would prove to be significant for at least one of them.
Prior to his MLB debut on June 12, Misirowski was +2500 to win NL Rookie of the Year. That day he moved to +1000, then to +175 after his second start, before finally becoming the odds-on favorite at -120 after getting the better of Skenes, according to ESPN BET’s Landeka. At the break, “The Miz” is -220 to take home the award. Sportsbooks were able to stay on top of his rapid ascendancy, limiting their liability.
“We were able to move this guy pretty quickly,” Avello said. “That’s one that didn’t get hit, could have had some good value there. We’re in pretty good shape with him actually.”
Skenes, meanwhile, is having another remarkable season after taking home ROY honors last year, but his disappointing record (4-8) for a dismal Pirates team could be keeping him from being the NL Cy Young favorite. He currently shows -105 odds at ESPN BET, trailing Philadelphia Phillies ace Zack Wheeler at -130.
It’s largely a two-man race — Wheeler’s teammate, Cristopher Sanchez, is next closest in the odds at +2000 — but sportsbooks aren’t too worried about liability given the short prices on Skenes and Wheeler all season.
“We’ve seen comparable action on both, but as it stands now Skenes would be a better result for us,” Landeka said.
Sports
NHL schedule release: Bruins, Penguins, Maple Leafs and more lead top reveals
Published
2 hours agoon
July 16, 2025By
admin
The 2025-26 NHL season is slowly approaching and teams checked another offseason box on Wednesday by revealing their schedules for the upcoming campaign.
Creativity abounded as squads looked to show off their upcoming calendar in distinctive ways. The Boston Bruins enlisted comedian Bill Burr to help unveil their schedule. The Pittsburgh Penguins went with a hospital theme. Dogs were brought in to help out the Toronto Maple Leafs with their reveal.
Headlined by those and more, here’s a look at the social media schedule release posts from each NHL team.
True to Orange Country 😤
Presenting our 2025-26 schedule!
➡️ https://t.co/R7rJ5rKZNZ#FlyTogether | @ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/etxlyYAgEN— Anaheim Ducks (@AnaheimDucks) July 16, 2025
Boston Bruins
.@billburr breaks down this season’s battles😂☠️ pic.twitter.com/7QvQ4XXno5
— Boston Bruins (@NHLBruins) July 16, 2025
Subtle. Zesty. Delicious. 🤌
Our 2025-26 schedule has arrived → https://t.co/hQGO7SyL2D#LetsGoBuffalo | @Ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/bc0udFM357
— Buffalo Sabres (@BuffaloSabres) July 16, 2025
You know them, you love them
Jarvy’s road trip crew is back! pic.twitter.com/WsPskmEYqb
— Carolina Hurricanes (@Canes) July 16, 2025
as Alex said, here’s the schedule.
🗓️ | @CircaSports pic.twitter.com/8Hr3eYGTXT
— Chicago Blackhawks (@NHLBlackhawks) July 16, 2025
The schedule release went down in the DMs 🗓️ pic.twitter.com/V5ElH307EU
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) July 16, 2025
It all began October 2000.
Full send, pure chaos and always ready to take the hit. THIS is the 25th season schedule release! 💥
Download the full schedule ➡️ https://t.co/Fgv5yV64AQ@Ticketmaster | #CBJ pic.twitter.com/SPZTP5GDiP
— Columbus Blue Jackets (@BlueJacketsNHL) July 16, 2025
Our graphic design team had the week off, so we asked for a little help from some friends on our 2025-26 Schedule Release! 🖍️@StarCenters | #TexasHockey pic.twitter.com/crG6lPt5xt
— Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) July 16, 2025
Detroit, Michigan. 1926.
Come inside, grab a seat and enjoy the schedule for the 2025-26 Centennial Season.
🗓️ » https://t.co/5mAZR0dr6l
🎟️ » https://t.co/Er30fimxvq pic.twitter.com/mqgOOnzJnI— Detroit Red Wings (@DetroitRedWings) July 16, 2025
🗓️🧵👀 pic.twitter.com/53s4Ubr3ue
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) July 16, 2025
Back for more 😼
Details » https://t.co/NucAUByZHa pic.twitter.com/jSSA3S3VC3
— Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) July 16, 2025
Couldn’t have done it without ROI
Full schedule and details 📲🗓️ https://t.co/dHWxlZm4QU pic.twitter.com/RvV9EDVMpJ
— LA Kings (@LAKings) July 16, 2025
Our version of therapy 🔨
Full 2025-2026 schedule » https://t.co/EpguYHTb7b pic.twitter.com/zBug9Qyefi
— Minnesota Wild (@mnwild) July 16, 2025
Urgence évitée! ⚠️ Voici notre calendrier pour la saison 2025-2026!
Emergency averted! ⚠️ Our 2025-26 regular season schedule is here!#GoHabsGo pic.twitter.com/BFrNcbzHJm
— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) July 16, 2025
Don’t miss a moment in Smashville.
Our 2025-26 schedule release feat. @dustinlynch (and friends) just dropped 🤠
Watch now » https://t.co/tY1ZrtbXRU pic.twitter.com/E4SCXU3myo
— Nashville Predators (@PredsNHL) July 16, 2025
Now you’re all in big, big trouble. pic.twitter.com/QPmuNUiDqH
— New Jersey Devils (@NJDevils) July 16, 2025
Clutterbuck joins fellow #Isles interns in our IslesU Summer Program!
His assignment? The Islanders 2025-26 Schedule Release. 😎
Check out the full schedule now: https://t.co/tKMSeCfaga pic.twitter.com/CoG4Vuc7pk
— New York Islanders (@NYIslanders) July 16, 2025
The full 2025-26 #NYR Schedule: pic.twitter.com/zB0HrGMCv7
— New York Rangers (@NYRangers) July 16, 2025
Diving into Sparty’s algorithm to find our schedule! 📱
Plongeon dans l’algorithme de Sparty pour trouver notre calendrier 📱 pic.twitter.com/YXIwD09ERP
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) July 16, 2025
Everyone can get these hands. 🥊
Full 2025-26 Schedule: https://t.co/kd8mATP0jQ pic.twitter.com/mNFg9ykDTL
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) July 16, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
Hockey fever? We’ve got the cure.
Introducing the 2025.26 Penguins schedule, brought to you by our teammates at @UPMC. pic.twitter.com/i8GSDaFG2t
— Pittsburgh Penguins (@penguins) July 16, 2025
Flippin’ sweet our schedule is here!
🎟️ Tickets are on sale at 12 p.m. PT#SJSharks | @SouthwestAir pic.twitter.com/nxBZKiiLjU
— San Jose Sharks (@SanJoseSharks) July 16, 2025
Time to handle business… let’s talk schedule release 🙇♂️
Dive in to the full 2025-26 regular season schedule, pres. by @AlaskaAir → https://t.co/y5Ut68smye pic.twitter.com/V42tAA3vEw
— Seattle Kraken (@SeattleKraken) July 16, 2025
Game on. pic.twitter.com/K7rFlBvW1W
— St. Louis Blues (@StLouisBlues) July 16, 2025
The moment you’ve been waiting for ✨
➡️ https://t.co/g4XIiaFv9i pic.twitter.com/ox0iDjBxJh
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) July 16, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
A round of a-paws to our friends at Save our Scruff for helping announce our 2025-26 season schedule!
Let’s help them find their forever homes 💙
Leafs Insider sign up 🔗 https://t.co/rWcA19SCWI pic.twitter.com/DxCWKr5KNi
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) July 16, 2025
Day in the Life: Schedule Release Edition 📆✨ #TusksUp | @SeatGeek pic.twitter.com/fjTAWUL70M
— Utah Mammoth (@utahmammoth) July 16, 2025
GAME ON! 🎮
The 2025.26 #Canucks schedule just dropped, play now with @bbnomula!
FULL SCHEDULE | https://t.co/wdlFPD59xH pic.twitter.com/LIMl8HeEQU
— Vancouver Canucks (@Canucks) July 16, 2025
The whole town is talking about our 9th Las Vegas residency 🤩 #VegasBorn pic.twitter.com/wKetmXxN4p
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) July 16, 2025
content level: amuseable pic.twitter.com/MycbSbn6Yl
— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) July 16, 2025
we really made Paul Edmonds read the whole schedule pic.twitter.com/D4poYUdbPO
— Winnipeg Jets (@NHLJets) July 16, 2025
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