
Checking the Maple Leafs panic meter heading into Game 2 vs. the Panthers
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2 years agoon
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Kristen Shilton, ESPN NHL reporterMay 4, 2023, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
New NHL playoff round. Same Toronto Maple Leafs?
There was a certain air of déjà vu Tuesday when the Leafs dropped Game 1 of their Eastern Conference second-round series 4-2 to the Florida Panthers. Toronto had just closed out Tampa Bay in Game 6 of their first-round matchup to finally advance in an NHL postseason for the first time since 2004, a two-decade stretch that included six consecutive first-round exits (and 11 straight prior losses in potential elimination games).
The Leafs didn’t start that Lightning series on a high note. In fact, they were downright embarrassed on home ice, losing Game 1 7-3. That result alone was enough to elicit groans of “here we go again” from fans and media alike who’d seen promising Toronto teams of the past wilt under the pressure of postseason expectations.
There was more of that to go around in the opening of the second round.
The Panthers whipped into Toronto on a heater, an 8-seed Cinderella team that had just dismissed the No. 1-ranked, President’s Trophy-winning Boston Bruins in an unforgettable — and unpredicted by most — first-round upset. Florida pounded its way to a 2-0 lead in Game 1 against Toronto, wasn’t rattled when the Leafs rallied at 2-2 and was opportunistic in taking control of the series from there.
The Panthers play with abandon. They’re fast, feisty and full of an energy that the famously business-wear-clad crowd at Scotiabank Arena might find unpleasant. And Florida beat the Leafs on their turf — and at their own game — to put Toronto right back where it was to open the first round: down 1-0, and now lacking home-ice advantage.
What all went wrong for the Leafs in Game 1? And how worried should Toronto be about addressing — and ultimately overcoming — those roadblocks to prevent the Panthers from pulling off another surprising series victory?
Let’s break out the first panic meter of the playoffs to dissect where the Leafs stumbled and how exactly they can thrive again.
Trouble with Tkachuk
Problem: Matthew Tkachuk is dominating all over the ice
Panic meter reading: 9/10
The Leafs must be seeing a lot of Matthew Tkachuk on video, because Florida’s first-rate forward was on Toronto like a swarm of bees in Game 1.
Tkachuk’s line with Sam Bennett and Nick Cousins is emerging as a playoff powerhouse, and that was the case Tuesday. At even strength, Tkachuk was on the ice for 26 of the Panthers’ shot attempts to only eight against. His unit controlled 75% of expected goals.
Shots on goal with Tkachuk present? 13-5. Scoring chances? 11-4. It’s no shock Tkachuk & Co. outshone John Tavares and Mitchell Marner in their matchup. Tkachuk dangled right around Marner to set up a rebound goal by Cousins to open the Game 1 scoring after the Leafs’ blown chances to do it themselves.
And that’s not all Tkachuk accomplished.
He pocketed three assists on the night and paced all skaters with nine hits. By comparison, Marner, Calle Jarnkrok, Auston Matthews, Michael Bunting and William Nylander combined for six hits. Overall, Toronto couldn’t match what the Tkachuk line was bringing whether in pace or physicality. At least not until coach Sheldon Keefe went back to the drawing board.
By the second period, Keefe had reunited Marner on a line with Matthews — dropping Nylander onto Tavares’ wing — to try tackling Tkachuk together. That combination might have slowed Tkachuk but certainly didn’t shut him down. Tkachuk still goaded Leafs’ defenseman Jake McCabe into taking a penalty late in the third period — making McCabe seemingly so focused on crunching Tkachuk into the boards he did so about 200 feet from his own net — which put the Panthers at an advantage when Brandon Montour scored their fourth insurance goal with less than eight minutes to play.
Tkachuk exemplifies all that Florida did well to keep Toronto off course: He’s fast, fierce and strikingly skilled. That combination was as potent for the Panthers in Game 1 as it proved to be drowning the Bruins. Add in a relentless forecheck that left little to no breathing room through the neutral zone and it’s not difficult to pinpoint why Toronto was frequently stymied.
Tkachuk isn’t going away, either. Keefe didn’t show his hand on lineup changes after Wednesday’s practice but did admit he wouldn’t rule out putting Marner on Matthews’ wing again to start Game 2.
“How we deal with the matchups is part of it,” Keefe said. “We spent the morning here more so going through the video and talking through things as a staff, and we’ll move on to some debates about the lines and stuff, and we’ll sort through that. We’ll probably go back and forth a bunch before tomorrow.”
Powerless power play
Problem: Leafs go 0-for-4 on the man advantage
Panic meter reading: 6/10
Toronto had a glorious chance to pounce on the Panthers. It wound up rolling over.
The Leafs earned two power plays in the first 4:46 of Game 1, when Bennett and Gustav Forsling took back-to-back penalties. Toronto generated a couple fine looks on Florida netminder Sergei Bobrovsky but got nothing past him. A potentially tone-setting start fizzled, knocking the wind right out of Toronto’s sails.
“The power play needs to come through,” Keefe said Wednesday. “You get two opportunities to score early in the game like we did, that’s a big difference. Not only because we’re [eventually] down a goal going into the third period, but you’re chasing the game versus us getting off to a good start early and everything sort of settles in from there. Because we were chasing it, it’s harder to manage their best players the way that we needed to win.”
Poor power-play production is rapidly becoming a trend for Toronto. The Leafs were 6-for-14 with the extra man through their first four games against Tampa Bay; that deteriorated to 0-for-4 in their final two games. It’s a small sample — even adding in the most recent Game 1 total — but a playoff series is short and sweet for a reason. Every element of what a team does (or fails to do) becomes amplified.
Florida’s penalty kill hasn’t been a juggernaut in the postseason either (64.5%), which makes the Leafs’ inability to capitalize against it all the more perplexing. Given how little open ice Toronto had to work with overall in Game 1, those man advantage moments are critical. The Leafs can’t afford another night coming up empty on special teams.
One way to avoid that is cracking the code on Bobrovsky.
Sensational Sergei
Problem: A revitalized Sergei Bobrovsky is showing Vezina Trophy-winning form
Panic meter reading: 5.5/10
Bobrovsky is back on the case in a big way.
Florida’s $10 million-per-year netminder suffered through a brutal start to the regular season that put him at 8-12-1 with an .894 save percentage and 3.32 goals-against average on Jan. 1. Bobrovsky fought from there to a better finish (16-8-2, .907% and 2.86 GAA) only to fall ill in late March and see Alex Lyon take over the crease.
Well, Lyon struggled mightily in the first round against Boston, and Bobrovsky returned to the starter’s role in Game 4 of that series. He and the Panthers haven’t looked back. The two-time Vezina Trophy winner gets stronger in every outing, and Bobrovsky put on his best playoff performance to date in Game 1 with a 36-save effort. That also marked Bobrovsky’s fourth straight win, making it his longest stretch of consecutive victories all season.
That’s potentially bad news for the Leafs.
Bobrovsky could just be hitting his stride now, fueled by his personal ups and downs and the general underdog story Florida is wielding to perfection. Toronto has been choked up in past playoff series by spectacular goaltending (Andrei Vasilevskiy did it in Game 7 last year and Game 5 this time around) and is seeing remnants of it again now from Bobrovsky. It’s also possible Bobrovsky will regress in the face of Toronto’s (anticipated) adjustments.
What the Leafs eventually did well in the first round was create havoc around Vasilevskiy and take away his eyes. It’s easier said than done, of course, to make a goalie uncomfortable — particularly when Florida is physical boxing out around the net. Still, that’s the task awaiting Toronto in Game 2 (and beyond). In order to beat Bobrovsky, the Leafs must ensure there’s not much to see in front of him.
Self-inflicted struggles
Problem: Toronto made too many unforced errors in Game 1
Panic meter reading: 4/10
Toronto need not do its streaking opponent any favors. And yet, the Leafs couldn’t help coughing up some costly plays in the series opener.
Take TJ Brodie‘s pinch gone bad that allowed Carter Verhaeghe — a 40-goal scorer in the regular season — to run free on a second-period breakaway. Boom. Suddenly it was 3-2, after Toronto had just fought back from a 2-2 hole to tie the game. That can’t happen.
“We give a breakaway to the one guy we definitely don’t want to give a breakaway to,” Keefe said after the game. “We cannot make that mistake when it’s 2-2. That’s a tough one.”
0:49
Carter Verhaeghe restores Panthers’ lead before end of 2nd period
Carter Verhaeghe gets in behind the Maple Leafs’ defense and finishes the one-on-one opportunity.
It wasn’t the Leafs’ only unfortunate miscue. Toronto was credited with 12 giveaways on the night — to Florida’s 10 — and some were especially glaring (cross-ice pass attempts intercepted in front of the Leafs’ own net). The neutral zone was a battle ground throughout Game 1, and it was Toronto often on the losing end.
“I thought we made mistakes,” Keefe said. “Credit to Florida, because of how they play, they force you to make mistakes. But I thought we made some mistakes tonight that we didn’t make in the last series. … When you make a mistake, the recovery time, it’s not really there. I think that caught us. I think our guys will adjust to that.”
Leafs’ defenseman Luke Schenn agreed with Keefe’s assessment, and acknowledged Toronto would have to clean up its own bad habits to perhaps start revealing more of Florida’s.
“A lot of the goals that were scored were based off self-inflicted [problems],” Schenn said. “We have a lot more to give. They’re a physical bunch. They’re heavy on the forecheck. In the past everyone thought of them as being deadly off the rush, but they have some big bodies out there. Like any playoff series, I expect it to get a little more physical as we go here. That’s expected.”
Assuming Toronto has identified its issues, the good news is they can be overcome. In playoff hockey, it’s adapt or die. Florida is the perfect example of that. Toronto also showed its resilience bouncing back from that Game 1 flub against Tampa Bay to win three of the next four and advance.
There’s no reason the Leafs can’t do the same things now, at least when it comes to avoiding these mistakes.
Searching for star finish
Problem: Florida (mostly) blanks Toronto’s top scorers
Panic meter reading: 3/10
What the Leafs’ core lacked in Game 1 hits it made up for in shots.
Nylander led the team with seven. Matthews put six on net. Tavares had five. The only one of those three who came away with a point, though, was Matthews, who had a terrific setup on Matthew Knies‘ beauty of a goal (the rookie’s first in the NHL).
Toronto’s other scorer was Bunting. No disrespect to either him or Knies, but if the Leafs are going to match the Panthers’ production, they’ll need those aforementioned star players to finish.
Florida’s best players were their most impactful ones in Game 1. Beyond Tkachuk’s three helpers and goals from Bennett, Cousins and Verhaeghe, the Panthers were boosted by the continued excellence of Montour. Florida’s top blueliner is having a career-best season that includes his sixth playoff goal in eight games — tied for third most ever by a defenseman in that long a stretch — to ice the Panthers’ win.
Florida knows how to slow down a team’s top-flight talents, too. In its series against Boston — in which Florida fell behind in 3-1 — the Bruins had multiple goals from Taylor Hall (4), Jake DeBrusk (3), Brad Marchand (3), Tyler Bertuzzi (2) and David Pastrnak (2) through the first four matchups.
In the final three? Pastrnak (3) and Bertuzzi (3) were the only Bruins with multiple goals.
The Leafs’ low star wattage is most likely a one-and-done situation, though. It all comes full circle on finding ways to challenge Bobrovsky and capitalize on missed chances (see: the power play). None of Matthews, Marner or Tavares scored in the Leafs’ first game against Tampa Bay either, and all three rebounded with impressive — and timely — offensive contributions the rest of Toronto’s way.
That’s one positive trend the Leafs should be able to count on continuing, as their long-awaited second-round experience rolls on.
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The four biggest lessons of the 2025 NHL free agency first wave
Published
2 hours agoon
July 3, 2025By
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Greg WyshynskiJul 3, 2025, 09:30 AM ET
Close- Greg Wyshynski is ESPN’s senior NHL writer.
For NHL general manager of the year Jim Nill, the free agent frenzy didn’t feel all that frenetic this year.
“We knew going in that there wasn’t a lot of depth in this free agent group,” said Nill, of the Dallas Stars. “The cap has increased a lot, so teams are able to sign their own guys. That’s a major part it.”
For NHL teams, that was one lesson learned. Here are four things we gleaned as free agency opened this week.
Higher salary cap, more reasons to stay home
NHL teams are usually bumping their heads up against the salary cap ceiling. This offseason, by comparison, was like walking into a cathedral.
The NHL and NHLPA announced in January that the upper limit of the 2025-26 salary cap was going to be $95.5 million, a jump of $7.5 million over last season’s cap ($88 million). But the financial comfort didn’t stop there. The NHL also announced cap estimates for 2026-27 ($104 million) and 2027-28 ($113.5 million) that could grow higher depending on revenues.
It was a genius labor negotiating tactic for NHL commissioner Gary Bettman, who quieted any rage against the machine by the players by showing them their potential salary growth if the current system was kept in place. It also gave their teams a chance to aggressively spend to improve their rosters under a rising cap.
But instead of feeding a free agent frenzy, the increased financial flexibility created an opportunity for more players to stay home:
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The Florida Panthers kept their trio of star free agents in Sam Bennett, Brad Marchand and Aaron Ekblad.
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The Columbus Blue Jackets signed Ivan Provorov for seven years and an $8.5 million annual cap hit.
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Brock Boeser, one of the most coveted scoring wingers on the market, signed a seven-year deal to remain with Vancouver even after saying he believed his time there was done.
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Veteran scorers like Claude Giroux (Ottawa Senators), John Tavares (Toronto Maple Leafs), Matt Duchene (Dallas Stars), and Brock Nelson (Colorado Avalanche) all stayed with their teams.
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Key defensemen like Jakob Chychrun (Washington Capitals) and Neal Pionk (Winnipeg Jets) avoided free agency months ago on new deals.
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While K’Andre Miller and Noah Dobson were both traded, many more restricted free agents who could have been offer sheet targets re-signed with their teams, like Evan Bouchard (Edmonton Oilers), Matthew Knies (Toronto), Logan Stankoven (Carolina Hurricanes), Morgan Geekie (Boston Bruins), Martin Fehervary (Washington) and Alexander Romanov (New York Islanders).
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“What we’ve noticed in the last 48 hours is how many guys re-signed with their own teams and didn’t even hit the free agent market,” Columbus GM Don Waddell said.
The free agent market was already going to be sparse this summer. The rush of talented players who decided to remain with their clubs made it barren for some positions of need.
“I know everybody wants to talk about second-line centers. There’s probably, by my count, 27 teams that are looking for them,” Toronto GM Brad Treliving said. “The ones that have them aren’t giving them out too quickly.”
One of the reasons teams get active in free agency is to change the makeup of their roster. But San Jose Sharks GM Mike Grier noted that with the extra salary cap room, more teams were opting for players they were already familiar with rather than dabbling in the unknown.
“I don’t know if it’s right to say that teams went out of their way to sign their own guys, but with everyone having a little bit more money, what the market might show is that instead of teams overspending on someone you don’t know, it’s better to lock up the player you know,” he said.
There were still players who embraced the chance to leave for new teams: Mikael Granlund, getting $21 million over three years with the Anaheim Ducks; Vladislav Gavrikov, getting $49 million over seven years from the New York Rangers; and, of course, Mitch Marner, getting $96 million to leave Toronto for the Vegas Golden Knights. But many more big names stayed put.
Every offseason, teams are battling against one of the truisms of NHL free agency: That players won’t leave their current teams because “their stuff is there.” Now, thanks to the NHL’s skyrocketing salary cap, the challenge is greater: Their stuff is there, and teams now have the financial flexibility to retain them.
“Talking to other managers, there wasn’t as much pressure financially in terms of space that teams have,” Treliving said. “With the cap rising, it gave everybody more salary cap space to retain their own players.”
NHL’s tampering problem? Not enough teams use it for leverage
Trying to crack down on tampering before NHL free agency is a preposterous task. It’s not just that everyone talks to everyone else everywhere there’s hockey people in the offseason — from the scouting combine, to the pubs, to the pubs near the combine — but that the concept itself is hard to define within the context of what the NHL cares about enforcing. It’s a bit like cap circumvention: They know what goes too far when they see it.
Ottawa owner Michael Andlauer accusing the Rangers of “soft tampering” last season because the New York Post speculated they would take a run at acquiring Brady Tkachuk? The NHL didn’t care.
Vancouver Canucks GM Jim Benning openly discussed acquiring players under contract such as Steven Stamkos in 2016? NHL deputy commissioner Bill Daly fined him $50,000.
Daly has been the NHL’s enforcer on potential tampering. At a 2024 NHL general managers meeting, Daly gave a presentation reminding them what was or was not allowed regarding communication with pending free agents and other players under contract. Sportsnet reported that part of that refresher were potential penalties for tampering, ranging from a $5 million fine for a team and $1 million for an executive, with potential forfeiture of draft picks and suspensions on the table as well.
The reason for the tampering lesson: Daly wasn’t happy with “some commentary in the media around July 1 that indicated that there may have been contact and negotiation before July 1,” he told The Athletic.
In the summer of 2024, we had situations such as Tyler Bertuzzi telling the media that Chicago Blackhawks captain Nick Foligno called him the day before free agency to inform him that his team was interested in signing him. Said Chicago GM Kyle Davidson: “We don’t ask them to do these things, but Nick cares. He knows a lot of people, he loves the team and he wants to push this thing forward.”
So, tampering then …
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The T-word came up again this week in relation to Maple Leafs star Marner’s pending free agency. Marner, 28, came to Vegas in a sign-and-trade with the Maple Leafs before free agency officially started Tuesday. The Golden Knights sent center Nicolas Roy to the Leafs, who signed Marner to an eight-year, $96 million contract that carried a $12 million annual cap hit before trading him to Vegas.
There was speculation for weeks that Marner was going to be playing for the Golden Knights. To hear him tell it, the idea first took hold at the NHL trade deadline, when Vegas attempted to acquire Marner in a three-way deal that fell apart. Marner said that was the first time he considered Vegas a long-term home for him and his young family. When he got word that Vegas and Toronto were talking trade Friday, Marner said he decided to forgo any free agent bidding war to commit to Vegas, so as not to “lose that opportunity.”
But Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman said on his podcast last week that there was talk around the NHL that “the Maple Leafs will go after Vegas for tampering” with Marner. Teams had been on high alert since Daly’s comments. The thought was, according to Friedman, that the league might want to make an example of a team accused of tampering.
“If they make a deal with Toronto and send a good player to Toronto, I’m betting that any chance the Maple Leafs file for tampering goes away,” Friedman said.
Roy is a good player, filling a need at center for Toronto.
Treliving declined to address the tampering speculation. Vegas GM Kelly McCrimmon wasn’t asked directly about it during his news conference, but made several statements that seemingly addressed the accusation, including:
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Trade discussions at the deadline “were initiated by Toronto.”
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The sign-and-trade was made to get an eighth year on Marner’s contract, or else his AAV on a $96 million seven-year deal would have been $13.7 million. “That really impacts our ability to take the player onto our team,” he said.
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The trade allowed them to open communications with Marner’s camp. “We wanted to be able to create a one-on-one relationship with his representatives in terms of trying to do a contract,” he said.
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Misinformation about his team around free agency has been rampant, saying there’s “a long list of things that have gone on the last month that had absolutely [no] credibility. It’s shameful, to be honest.”
Assuming there are no other steps taken here, the “tampering” around Marner will just be a part of NHL lore, mentioned in passing whenever Roy does something for Toronto — or Vegas laments his absence.
But it does bring up, hypothetically, a way for the NHL to tamp down on tampering: Have the teams police themselves. Using the pressure points of punishment to force a sign-and-trade or other transactions to “make this go away.” It’s probably a cleaner way to go about this than to have the NHL define how much tampering is too much tampering. Until, of course, Daly has to address the general managers about extortion and blackmail.
The Panthers have maintained their dynasty — and played defense
Next season, the Panthers will attempt to do something that no club since the Islanders in the early 1980s was able to do: Make a fourth straight Stanley Cup Final and a win a third straight Stanley Cup.
That they’ll do so with the services of center Sam Bennett, defenseman Aaron Ekblad and winger Brad Marchand — despite all three of them having a chance to test unrestricted free agency for the first time — is nothing short of extraordinary from a managerial standpoint and infuriating from a competitive standpoint.
GM Bill Zito vowed that he would be able to sign Bennett, who won the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP; Ekblad, a top-pairing right-shot defenseman, a coveted position on the open market; and Marchand, the veteran star who had the best series of his career in the Stanley Cup Final.
But there were theories as to why all three might leave. Bennett could have gotten a huge contract as a second-line center, an area of need for many contenders. Ekblad would enter a free agent market that lacked anyone with his skill set or pedigree. There was talk Marchand could get $10 million annually from teams like Toronto or the Utah Mammoth in exchange for his scoring, leadership and renowned intangibles.
But in the end, Zito was right: All three are still part of the Panthers’ formidable core.
Bennett was the first to sign at eight years and $64 million. Ekblad followed at eight years and $48.8 million. Marchand then signed for six years — making him a Panther until he’s 43 years old — and $31.5 million.
“I didn’t do anything. It was those guys. There’s no gray area whatsoever. This was 100 percent those guys wanting to be part of something that they created,” Zito said. “We’ve waxed poetic about the team and the community they’ve become, and this is a great example of what it means to them.”
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Bennett said he was comfortable with the money, but that money can’t buy happiness. “There’s been times earlier in my career where I didn’t enjoy it as much, and I certainly don’t take it for granted now,” he said. “Being in South Florida has just completely changed my life, and I love playing hockey there. I love living there. It’s really the dream situation. So I couldn’t pass up the chance to be back here for another eight years.”
Ekblad was drafted first overall by the Panthers in 2014 and never wanted to leave. His negotiation was a bit more tenuous with Zito. “Both sides are playing hardball at different times and sometimes you feel like you’re getting further apart or closer together,” he said, “but it ultimately came to the right deal and a good deal for both sides.”
Zito played a little defense here, too. Signing Bennett means no one else gets a win-at-all-costs playoff MVP in his prime. Ekblad won’t be patrolling the blue line for Carolina, Dallas or another contender. The Leafs seemed like they were keeping their powder dry to make a run at Marchand, who was a Toronto fan growing up. The Panthers themselves said that last year’s Toronto team was the toughest they had seen in the playoffs in years. What could the infusion of Marchand’s savvy — and the removal of the Leafs’ greatest postseason adversary from an opponent — do to one of Florida’s chief divisional rivals?
But Treliving didn’t get his hopes up about stealing any of them from Florida.
“We’re not in their meetings, but when we looked from afar, the anticipation was that those guys would be back,” he said.
And they are back, for several more runs at the Stanley Cup, on a roster packed with high-end talent who fit snugly under the salary cap. Inevitably, the conversation about the Panthers gets back to one of the most ubiquitous debates in the NHL: the advantages that teams with no state income tax have over the rest of the league.
Zito has addressed this before, calling the advantage “marginal at best” for the Panthers, saying it’s more about the team’s ownership and the way players are treated.
“They know that if the chicken isn’t right, that we’re going to get new chicken. It sort of transcends all that we do,” he said to laughter. “It sounds silly, but it’s true and it’s real. The sun doesn’t kill us. It’s a nice environment to live in. It’s a good place for families. It’s a good place for singles. It’s got a little something for everybody. But so many of the players who have come to us have had career years and it’s a function of the coaches and players in the room.”
Dallas GM Jim Nill also has a state with no income tax.
“Are there some advantages? Yes, but every city has certain advantages. In the end, it’s ‘are you successful?’ Because that’s going to open the door first when you’re talking to players,” he said. “When the money’s the same, players want to win. That’s the important thing.
“Nobody wanted to go to Florida for 10-12 years. Dallas, 15 years ago, was in bankruptcy. No one was coming here. So do the right things, be competitive, have a good team, that means you’ll usually have a good fans base. Great weather, great city … those are kind of the cherries on top. But the core of it was the hockey operations.”
Ekblad echoed that in discussing why him, Bennett and Marchand all decided to stay. And why players like Aleksander Barkov, Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe, Anton Lundell and Gustav Forsling are all signed through 2030. From the quality of their practice rink to the hotels in which they stay to the food they devour, he said the organization does it all for them to a high level of satisfaction.
“So it’s easy to want to stay here. And then the culture of winning is just a huge draw to guys. It’s the most important thing. It’s why we play the game. We’ve all been taken care of extremely well,” Ekblad said. “I don’t know how many teams in the league have 10 guys locked up for five years, but it’s really cool. There’s a pride factor involved.”
There are always (perceptional) winners and losers
In 2019, the Florida Panthers signed Sergei Bobrovsky to a seven-year deal with an average annual value of $10 million. It was called the “biggest overpayment of free agency” at the time; as recently as two years ago, it was deemed one of the worst contracts in the NHL.
Two Stanley Cups, three trips to the Final and a rising salary cap later, the investment in Playoff Bob is a bit more justifiable.
That’s just a reminder that this week’s great signings or terrible decisions are inherently just a first impression. It could take years before their impact can be properly measured beyond what are calculated risks at best or leaps of faith at worst right now.
All that established: There are clearly teams that have come out of the first days of the frenzy with better optics than others. After speaking with a few NHL sources this week, one team that has gotten good marks is the New York Rangers.
One current NHL player told us he loved the signing of defenseman Vladislav Gavrikov (seven years, $7 million AAV) as the best defensive defenseman available, and a new partner for Adam Fox. Multiple sources were fans of the bridge deal for forward Will Cuylle (two years, $3.9 million) as a reasonable cap hit for a burgeoning player, while keeping him away from offer sheets. One NHL capologist also admired the K’Andre Miller trade to Carolina, turning a potential offer sheet target into a first-rounder, a second-rounder and a young puck-moving defenseman in Scott Morrow, while clearing cap space that Gavrikov quickly filled.
As expected, there was a lot of love for what Florida did in retaining its three unrestricted free agents. One current NHL coach said it was a “master class” by Zito, taking full advantage of a rising salary cap to retain Bennett, Ekblad and Marchand. But another source wondered about how the Panthers will ultimately begin the season under the salary cap, as they’re around $2.95 million over it at the moment. Options range from trading a player such as Evan Rodrigues to potentially starting the season with Matthew Tkachuk on long-term injured reserve. Zito didn’t offer an update on Tkachuk’s status during his Tuesday news conference.
But while some teams thrived, others made a different first impression. The three teams that sparked the most skepticism from our sources:
Boston Bruins: While the Bruins did some good business in securing RFA Morgan Geekie with a six-year deal with a $5.5 million annual cap hit, that good will was squandered with their signing of forward Tanner Jeannot to a five-year deal with a $3.4 million AAV. Since scoring 24 goals in 2021-22 for Nashville, Jeannot has scored a combined 20 goals over the last three seasons with the Predators, Lightning and Kings. One source likened the signing to Bruins GM Don Sweeney signing forward Matt Beleskey to a five-year deal with a $3.8 million AAV in 2015. He had 18 goals in 143 games for the Bruins. By year three of the deal, he was in the AHL.
Los Angeles Kings: New GM Ken Holland went on a shopping spree Tuesday, signing forward Joel Armia (two years, $2.5 million AAV) and Corey Perry (one year, $2 million); defensemen Brian Dumoulin (three years, $4 million AAV) and Cody Ceci (four years, $4.5 million AAV); and goalie Anton Forsberg (two years, $2.25 million AAV). The moves weren’t met with universal praise from Kings fans. One NHL player we spoke with said his peers have offered a similar reaction. “Every guy I’ve talked to couldn’t believe what they did,” he said.
Vegas Golden Knights: While the signing of Marner was praised, there was some concern from our sources about the team’s overall depth. That included moving bottom-six center Roy to Toronto in order to facilitate the sign-and-trade with the Leafs for Marner. One NHL coach was also curious about the defense corps next season, given that the team announced that Alex Pietrangelo will no longer be an active NHL player due to injuries, and that it traded RFA defenseman Nicolas Hague to the Predators, a player the coach felt is “very underrated.”
Of course, the thing with first impressions is that they can always get a second glance down the line. Today’s risky play could be tomorrow’s Stanley Cup champion.
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Guardians’ Ortiz put on leave during MLB inquiry
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2 hours agoon
July 3, 2025By
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Cleveland Guardians right-hander Luis Ortiz is under investigation by Major League Baseball and has been placed on nondisciplinary paid leave through July 17, the league said in a statement Thursday.
MLB did not detail specifics of the investigation.
Ortiz had been scheduled to start for the Guardians on Thursday night against the Chicago Cubs.
“The Guardians have been notified that Luis Ortiz has been placed on leave per an agreement with the Players Association due to an ongoing league investigation,” the team said in a statement. “The Guardians are not permitted to comment further at this time and will respect the league’s confidential investigative process.”
His leave comes amid a slide for the Guardians, who have lost six consecutive games to drop to 40-44. While Cleveland remains in second place in the American League Central, it trails first-place Detroit by 12½ games.
A 26-year-old starting pitcher, Ortiz was acquired by Cleveland from Pittsburgh over the winter as part of the three-team trade in which the Guardians sent second baseman Andres Gimenez to Toronto. With a 4-9 record and 4.36 ERA, Ortiz has been a staple in a Guardians rotation whose 4.13 ERA ranks 18th in MLB.
Ortiz signed with the Pirates in 2018 at 19 years old, far later than the typical prospect, and didn’t reach full-season ball until 2021. He quickly shot through the Pittsburgh organization and debuted in 2022, eventually throwing 238⅓ innings and posting a 3.93 ERA in his three seasons with the Pirates.
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MLB Power Rankings: Four top-10 teams debut at highest rankings of 2025
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2 hours agoon
July 3, 2025By
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Watch out Yankees … the American League East is heating up.
New York has seen its division lead be entirely erased as it’s now tied with the Blue Jays atop the division with the Rays just a half-game back. Both Toronto and Tampa Bay reached their highest rankings of the season this week at 10 and seven, respectively, while the Yankees hold fast at No. 6.
Elsewhere in the AL, the Astros have steadily moved up our list to No. 4, also their highest ranking of the season, after having ranked 17th as recently as mid-May. Houston has ridden its momentum to a seven-game lead over the Mariners, who have fallen to 14th after peaking at No. 8 in early June, in the AL West.
What will the next week and a half before the All-Star break bring?
Our expert panel has ranked every team based on a combination of what we’ve seen so far and what we already knew going into the 162-game marathon that is a full baseball season. We also asked ESPN MLB experts David Schoenfield, Alden Gonzalez and Bradford Doolittle to weigh in with an observation for all 30 teams.
Record: 55-32
Previous ranking: 1
It’s not just that Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow have yet to rejoin the rotation. It’s not just that Shohei Ohtani is stretched out to only a couple of innings. It’s not just that Michael Kopech joined 11 other pitchers by landing on the injured list Tuesday. It’s that the Dodgers remain at the top of the standings even while getting very little from two of their most important offensive contributors. Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts combined to slash just .221/.293/.303 in the month of June. The Dodgers — with their rotation shorthanded, their bullpen in flux and the top of their lineup compromised — went 17-10 in June regardless. — Gonzalez
Record: 54-33
Previous ranking: 2
The legend of Tarik Skubal grows with each outing. When Skubal struck out 13 Twins over seven innings Sunday, it was the second time this season he has struck out that many hitters while throwing under 100 pitches. He also did it once last year. Baseball-Reference has pitch data mostly complete dating to 1988, and in that time, Skubal is one of only four pitchers to have three or more such games. Jacob deGrom has done it five times, and Freddy Peralta and Gerrit Cole are also at three. Skubal is as efficient as he is dominant. — Doolittle
Record: 51-36
Previous ranking: 3
There were 103 pitchers in June who threw at least 25 innings. They combined for a 3.76 ERA, giving up 1,261 earned runs in the aggregate. Only two of those earned runs were given up by Zack Wheeler, who had a 0.58 ERA over 31 innings in five June starts. There’s a half-season to go, but Wheeler has moved into position to finally earn his first Cy Young Award after his second career second-place finish in last season’s balloting. The Phillies haven’t had a Cy Young winner since Roy Halladay in 2010, who in turn was the first Philadelphia Cy Young winner since the 1980s. — Doolittle
Record: 52-34
Previous ranking: 5
What was most impressive about the Astros’ surge — going 19-7 in June behind dominant pitching and dynamic performances from the likes of Jeremy Peña and Isaac Paredes — was that they did it without Yordan Alvarez. That will have to continue. On Tuesday, just days before the Astros were getting ready to activate him off the injured list, Alvarez suffered a second setback in his recovery from a fracture in his right hand. He was at the team’s spring training facility in Florida and reported that his hand felt sore after some swinging drills. He will now go see a hand specialist. The Astros can only hope for good news. — Gonzalez
Record: 51-35
Previous ranking: 4
Matthew Boyd continues to make a push for an All-Star selection, beating Cleveland — the team that gave him a chance late last season to make a comeback after Tommy John surgery in 2023 — on Tuesday with a strong seven innings to improve to 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA. He has lowered his ERA to 1.66 over his past seven outings. With Justin Steele out for the season and Shota Imanaga just back after sitting out seven weeks, Boyd has been the only steady presence in the Cubs’ rotation. He has already pitched his most innings since 2019. Now the Cubs will look for some rotation help for him. — Schoenfield
Record: 48-38
Previous ranking: 6
The Yankees finished 13-14 in June, as the offense continued to stumble. After an .829 in OPS in April, it fell to .792 in May and .718 in June. Aaron Judge still hit nine home runs and had a .967 OPS in June, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. was terrific with a .318 average, seven home runs and 19 RBIs. But Paul Goldschmidt hit .143, Ben Rice hit .181 and Trent Grisham hit .229 with only two home runs. All three had been red hot to begin the season, helping to back up Judge early. Let’s see if the Yankees look to add a bat at the trade deadline. — Schoenfield
Record: 48-39
Previous ranking: 9
Junior Caminero is having quite the season. With 21 home runs, he has a chance to become only the third player in his age-21 season to hit 40 home runs, matching Eddie Mathews (47 in 1953) and Ronald Acuña Jr. (41 in 2019). He’s also chasing a more dubious record: Jim Rice’s single-season record of 36 double plays grounded into (Caminero is already at 22). Caminero’s strikeout-to-walk ratio improved in June, which bodes well for him continuing to mash in the second half. After a 26-6 ratio in April and 17-3 in May, it was 18-11 in June. Remember, this is his first full season in the majors. — Schoenfield
Record: 48-38
Previous ranking: 10
Brandon Woodruff will rejoin the rotation this weekend in Miami to make his first MLB start since September 2023, when he injured his shoulder. Woodruff made 10 starts in his rehab assignment, a stretch that included a couple of setbacks when he sustained an ankle injury and was then struck by a line drive. His most recent rehab start Sunday had been his first since June 3 and he gave up four runs with only one strikeout in 3⅔ innings, throwing 82 pitches and topping out at 95.4 mph (averaging 93 on his fastball). Milwaukee’s rotation has eclipsed expectations, but Woodruff would be a huge boost if he’s close to what he was pre-injury. — Schoenfield
Record: 49-38
Previous ranking: 7
The Mets’ slump has deepened to the point where it has changed the team’s competitive context. On June 12, the Mets beat Washington, extending their winning streak to six games and going 21 games over .500. They held a three-game edge over the Cubs for the National League’s top mark. Then New York dropped 14 of 18. Suddenly, the Mets were leading a close and crowded NL wild-card derby, only a couple of games from dropping out of the playoff picture altogether. Needless to say, things are getting stressful at Citi Field. — Doolittle
Record: 48-38
Previous ranking: 14
Alejandro Kirk is playing his best baseball since he started the 2022 All-Star Game. He hit .285 that season with a 127 OPS+ but fell off to a 92 OPS+ in each of the past two seasons. But he hit .365 in May and .337 in June and might be on his way to a Gold Glove Award. He leads all catchers in Statcast’s catcher framing runs and has a caught-stealing rate above the MLB average. He trails only Cal Raleigh and Will Smith in catcher WAR via FanGraphs. The Blue Jays have never had a two-time All-Star catcher, as Kirk, John Buck, Russell Martin and Ernie Whitt each have one selection. — Schoenfield
Record: 47-41
Previous ranking: 11
Sonny Gray threw an absolute gem last Friday, a nine-inning one-hit shutout with 11 strikeouts and no walks to beat the Guardians. The game score of 96 was a career high for Gray and tied a Tarik Skubal start for best in the majors in 2025. Indeed, it was one of the best starts for a Cardinals pitcher since the division era began in 1969. Shelby Miller had a 98 in 2013 (9 IP, 1 H, 13 SO) and Jaime Garcia had a 97 in 2016 (9 IP, 1 H, 1 BB, 13 SO). Jose DeLeon has the highest since 1969 with a 103, which came when he pitched 11 innings in 1989. — Schoenfield
Record: 46-40
Previous ranking: 12
The Padres finished the month of June with a losing record — in large part due to their offense, which posted the sixth-lowest OPS and scored the fourth-fewest runs per game. Fernando Tatis Jr. slumped pretty badly, and Jackson Merrill didn’t produce a single home run, but those two are bound to get hot again. The biggest problem — one general manager A.J. Preller is motivated to fix before the trade deadline — is the bottom of the Padres’ lineup. The Nos. 7, 8 and 9 hitters combined to produce a .196/.280/.293 slash line last month. — Gonzalez
Record: 46-41
Previous ranking: 8
When the Giants beat the Dodgers on June 13, they were 12 games above .500 and tied for first place in the National League West. They have since lost 12 of 17 games — including seven of their past nine — and are suddenly fighting just to remain relevant heading into the trade deadline. On Tuesday, president of baseball operations Buster Posey picked up manager Bob Melvin’s 2026 option and, in light of the recent stretch, defended the coaching staff, telling reporters: “If anybody deserves any blame from the top, it should be on me.” — Gonzalez
Record: 45-41
Previous ranking: 13
Cal Raleigh is already one home run away from equaling the career high he set last season — in 68 fewer games. If he manages at least two home runs in the Mariners’ next 10 games — a strong likelihood, given that he is averaging a home run every three games — he will be one of seven players ever to reach 35 before the All-Star break. None of them were switch-hitters. And none of them, of course, were catchers. Before Raleigh, the most home runs a catcher had collected before the All-Star break was 28, by Johnny Bench in 1970. — Gonzalez
Record: 45-42
Previous ranking: 15
Spencer Steer‘s three-homer game propelled him to NL Player of the Week honors. His bat getting going will be important for an offense looking for more consistent firepower from someone besides Elly De La Cruz. Steer hit .174 in April and .270 in May, with only two home runs each month. He hit .302 with five home runs in June. Matt McLain also got it going in June after hitting under .200 each of the first two months. The Reds have also struggled against left-handed pitchers, another reason they need those two right-handed bats to keep improving in the second half. — Schoenfield
Record: 43-43
Previous ranking: 16
The month of June was a roller coaster of highs and lows for the D-backs. It began with four straight wins, then three straight losses, five straight wins, then three straight losses, three straight wins and, shortly thereafter, four straight losses. By the end of it, executives from contending teams were calling D-backs general manager Mike Hazen, wondering if he’d be willing to trade off some of his pending free agents, a list headlined by Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor. Hazen informed them he is not ready to give up on the 2025 season. Barring a sudden, bigger drop-off, that mindset should continue. — Gonzalez
Record: 43-44
Previous ranking: 20
The Rangers basically continue to tread water, with their offense still lagging behind their pitching staff. But one positive has emerged of late: Marcus Semien looks as if he might finally be back on track. The Rangers’ second baseman was slashing .193/.278/.257 at the end of May. Since then, his slash line is up to .321/.387/.560, with 13 walks to 16 strikeouts. The offense in general, though, continues to lag behind. The Rangers have put up a .710 OPS since the start of June, 10 points below the league average. — Gonzalez
Record: 41-44
Previous ranking: 18
A six-game losing streak dropped the Red Sox under .500, and though the offense rebounded with 15-1 and 13-6 wins over the Blue Jays and Reds, Boston will need to decide what to do with Walker Buehler in the rotation. His ERA is now 6.45 after giving up 32 runs in 26 innings over his past six starts, including pitching fewer than five innings in four of the past five. Kyle Harrison, the key return in the Rafael Devers trade, could be an option; although, in his first Triple-A start for the Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and four runs in four innings. — Schoenfield
Record: 39-46
Previous ranking: 19
As the season moves beyond its natural halfway mark, the Braves continue to show little indication that they are about to shake off their seasonlong stupor. In fact, they fell behind the red-hot Marlins in the division after losing their first game of July and are closer to the last-place Nationals than they are to playoff contention. Despite the stellar return to action by Ronald Acuna Jr., the offense hasn’t been supercharged by his presence. His season debut was May 23, when the Braves averaged 4.12 in runs per game, ranking 18th. Since then, Atlanta has scored 4.02 runs per contest, ranking 25th. — Doolittle
Record: 40-44
Previous ranking: 17
As the Guardians try to resuscitate an increasingly lackluster season, shortstop Brayan Rocchio has been recalled, ending a six-week exile to Triple-A. Rocchio made a run at a Gold Glove last season, in part offsetting a 76 OPS+ at the plate, but this year the defensive metrics were down and the OPS cratered at 21 OPS+. He was summoned back to the majors after Gabriel Arias was injured, but Rocchio had been doing well in the minors, hitting .252/.353/.484 with seven homers and seven steals over 41 games for Columbus. The Guardians could really use some of that at the big league level. — Doolittle
Record: 42-43
Previous ranking: 22
Jo Adell was a No. 10 pick out of high school during the COVID-19-shortened 2020 season and debuted in the majors at 21 years old. His power, arm strength and speed made many believe he was destined for greatness. Then the strikeouts piled up, the baserunning blunders manifested and the defense looked poor. By the end of the 2024 season, Adell was a .211/.268/.381 hitter in 308 games in the big leagues. The first month-plus of 2025 wasn’t much better. And then, it seems, something clicked. Since May 21, Adell is slashing .295/.381/.628 with 13 home runs in 37 games. At age 26, maybe he has just now figured it out. — Gonzalez
Record: 41-45
Previous ranking: 23
As the Twins tread water in the tepid AL wild-card race, along with most of the rest of the league, things are looking up around their infield. Royce Lewis is back from his latest injury, slotting in at third base. Brooks Lee, who started for most of the second half of June at Lewis’ hot-corner spot, is coming off a big month. And rookie Luke Keaschall is ramping up his activity as he recovers from a forearm injury. Meanwhile, Carlos Correa continues to languish with a 88 OPS+ and a bWAR figure at exactly replacement level. At least the Twins have options. — Doolittle
Record: 40-47
Previous ranking: 21
The Royals have traditionally built rosters that catered to the contours of their ballpark, giving them an above-average home advantage, at least when they’re good. Since Royals/Kauffman Stadium opened in 1973, Kansas City has a home winning percentage 17 points better than its road mark, the 12th-largest disparity of the 30 active franchises. But this year’s Royals have been a disaster at the K, going 20-24 with a run differential that translates to 61.7 wins over 162 games. Their paltry 2.84 home scoring average is more than a half-run worse than every other team in the majors. — Doolittle
Record: 37-49
Previous ranking: 24
The Orioles’ poor first half isn’t just due to their failure to upgrade the rotation in the offseason — the failure of the offense to pick up the slack also shares the blame. The offense has declined from 4.98 runs per game in 2023 and 4.85 in 2024 to 4.15 in 2025 — and that’s after moving in the left-field fence, which masks the offensive struggles even more. The Orioles have a .760 OPS at Camden Yards, but just .654 on the road, where their slugging percentage is in the bottom five in the majors. — Schoenfield
Record: 38-46
Previous ranking: 27
Break up the Marlins! When Miami beat Minnesota to begin July, extending its winning streak to eight games, the Fish at least temporarily moved into third place in the NL East. But the improved play started before the current surge, as the win improved the Marlins to 17-13 over the preceding 30 games. They have been particularly good away from home, going 12-4 in recent weeks and averaging more than 6.19 runs per game, the third-best road scoring average during that span. Miami’s playoff odds remain at pretty much zero, but at least the team is showing signs of trending in the right direction. — Doolittle
Record: 38-50
Previous ranking: 26
Mitch Keller‘s bad-luck season might finally be turning around. After winning his first start, Keller lost 10 decisions in a row, but now he has won two straight after beating the Mets 9-1 and the Cardinals 5-0, lowering his ERA to 3.64. The Pirates have scored two or fewer runs in 11 of his 18 starts. Even though Keller is signed through 2028, his name has popped up in trade rumors, with the idea that the Pirates will have to trade from their rotation to upgrade their long-term future on offense. — Schoenfield
Record: 36-50
Previous ranking: 25
For a rebuild to truly work, teams need some of the prospects they acquire and develop to actually become stars. Washington clearly has one in 22-year-old James Wood, who played in his 162nd career game Saturday. At that point, his career slash line was .273/.367/.492 with 31 homers, 105 RBIs, 95 runs and 24 steals. Wood is on pace to hit 42 homers this season, and if he gets there, that would push his career mark to 51. The only players in Expos/Nationals history to hit more through age 22: Juan Soto (98) and Bryce Harper (97). — Doolittle
28. Athletics
Record: 36-53
Previous ranking: 28
Catcher Shea Langeliers sat out most of June because of an oblique strain, during which his club continued to slide. But the A’s won each of his first two games back, and Langeliers had a major imprint in both of them — a three-run homer in his first at-bat Monday, then a homer, a double and two critical caught-stealings Tuesday. The hope is that his return could help keep this season from spiraling. “Since he’s been back, there’s a new type of energy,” A’s manager Mark Kotsay told reporters. “You can see the guys having a little more fun.” — Gonzalez
Record: 28-58
Previous ranking: 29
The White Sox have a long, long way to go but the early work of Chicago’s second-year front office, led by GM Chris Getz, continues to put up some positive results. In addition to a surfeit of productive rookies, including Rule 5 steals, add the second-chance market to their list of successes. These are underproductive veterans looking for a chance to regain their footing and, in doing so, perhaps create some trade value around the deadline. Exhibit A: veteran right-hander Adrian Houser, signed in late May after being released by Texas. Over his first seven starts for the White Sox, Houser has gone 3-2 with a 1.90 ERA and 3.23 FIP. — Doolittle
Record: 19-67
Previous ranking: 30
The Rockies won only 10 games in the month of June. An even bigger problem is that they won one fewer in March, April and May combined. One positive, though, is that German Marquez posted a 2.97 ERA in six starts. Marquez, one of the few homegrown pitching successes in Rockies history, is a pending free agent. And given the inordinate number of teams still within the range of contention, Marquez could yield the Rockies a nice package of young players in return. Of course, he would actually have to be traded — and the Rockies have been known to make pretty questionable decisions this time of year. — Gonzalez
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