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US single-family homebuilding rebounded in September, boosted by demand for new construction amid an acute housing shortage, but the highest mortgage rates in nearly 23 years could slow momentum and delay the overall housing market recovery.

That was flagged by other data on Wednesday showing applications for loans to purchase a home plunged last week to levels last seen in 1995. In addition, the jump in housing starts partially recouped the decline in August.

The rebound in homebuilding probably reflected permits approved several months ago before mortgage rates broke above 7%. A survey this week showed confidence among single-family homebuilders slumped to a nine-month low in October, with builders reporting lower levels of traffic.

“In the very short-term, single-family construction activity is likely to increase with permits rising in every month of 2023 thus far, but at some point mortgage rates are likely to put a lid on new construction activity for home purchase,” said Conrad DeQuadros, senior economic advisor at Brean Capital in New York.

Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, increased 3.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 963,000 units last month, the Commerce Department said. Data for August was revised to show starts dropping to a rate of 933,000 units instead of 941,000 units as previously reported.

Single-family starts rose in the Midwest, West and the densely populated South, but plunged 19.0% in the Northeast.

The housing market had shown signs of stabilizing before mortgage rates resumed their upward trend late in the summer, with the rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage vaulting above 7% in August. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average contract interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose 3 basis points to 7.70% last week, the highest since November 2000.

Mortgage rates have risen in tandem with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which has spiked to more than a 16-year high, mostly because of expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer in response to the economy’s resilience. Since March 2022, the central bank has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 525 basis points to the current 5.25%-5.50% range.

Residential investment has contracted for nine straight quarters, the longest such stretch since the housing market bubble burst, triggering the 2008 global financial crisis and the Great Recession. That downturn probably extended into the third quarter, though overall gross domestic product growth last quarter was likely the fastest since late 2021, thanks to a tight labor market that is underpinning consumer spending.

Stocks on Wall Street were trading lower amid mounting tensions in the Middle East. The dollar rose against a basket of currencies. U.S Treasury prices fell, with the yield on the 10-year bond rising to the highest level since July 2007.

Financial markets expect the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its Oct. 31-Nov. 1 policy meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, given the surge in Treasury yields.

Starts for housing projects with five units or more soared 17.1% to a rate of 383,000 units in September. Overall housing starts accelerated 7.0% to a rate of 1.358 million units in September. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast starts rebounding to a rate of 1.380 million units.

Permits for future construction of single-family homes rose 1.8% to a rate of 965,000 units, the highest since May 2022. Though permits are a leading indicator, economists cautioned against being too optimistic about homebuilding prospects, citing the soaring mortgage rates and souring builder sentiment.

“It’s not lights out for homebuilding, but we don’t know how many more body blows with the Fed’s interest-rate hammer the nation’s housing sector can withstand,” said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS in New York.

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Starmer condemned for telling MP ‘she talks rubbish’

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Starmer condemned for telling MP 'she talks rubbish'

Sir Keir Starmer should have reassured and explained his immigration policy to a senior Welsh MP rather than telling her “you’re rubbish”, Labour peer Harriet Harman said.

Speaking to Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, Harriet Harman criticised the prime minister for telling Plaid Cymru Westminster leader Liz Saville Roberts during PMQs “she talks rubbish” after she called him out for using “island of strangers” in his immigration speech on Monday.

Baroness Harman said: “He should have actually explained ‘look, this is what we’re getting at. We’re it’s a communitarian message, it’s about neighbourliness, it’s about integration’.

“And he should have done that and reassured her and explained rather than just slapping her down.

“I just think to call across the chamber, ‘you’re rubbish’ – I think a prime minister has the opportunity to be a bit more magisterial in that.”

She said she has “been that woman standing there asking the prime minister a heartfelt and serious question, and had the prime minister say, ‘you’re rubbish'”.

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Starmer’s speech divides opinion

Baroness Harman added: “I kind of went ‘ouch’ at that point, because I’ve been in that situation myself.

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“I think people do want an explanation and he’s got an explanation and he should have done that rather than hit at the messenger.”

After Sir Keir used the phrase “island of strangers” while announcing a crackdown on immigration, fellow Labour MPs, businesses and industry reacted angrily.

The rhetoric was likened by some critics to Enoch Powell’s rivers of blood speech.

Ahead of PMQs on Wednesday, Cabinet Office minister Pat McFadden tried to move the debate away from Sir Keir’s controversial remarks.

“I think we should focus on the policy,” he told Sky News.

“Immigration has contributed a huge amount to the UK, it will in the future, I think the public want a sense of rules around it, that is what the prime minister was speaking about.”

He said the row was “overblown” and he might use the “island of strangers” phrase “depending on the context”.

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MPs on farming committee call on Rachel Reeves to delay family farm tax

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MPs on farming committee call on Rachel Reeves to delay family farm tax

The UK’s food security and the future of farming lies in Rachel Reeves’ hands, a leading MP has said as a committee called on the government to delay farm inheritance tax changes.

The environment, food and rural affairs (EFRA) committee has released a report calling on the government to delay the reforms for a year until April 2027.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced in the October budget farmers would no longer be allowed to claim inheritance tax relief for farms worth more than £1m from April 2026.

The move prompted multiple protests in Westminster by farmers who said it will threaten the future of thousands of multi-generational family farms.

The EFRA committee, made up of seven Labour MPs and four Lib Dem and Tory MPs, said a pause in the implementation would “allow for better formulation of tax policy and provide the government with an opportunity to convey a positive long-term vision for farming”.

A delay would also protect vulnerable farmers who would have “more time to seek appropriate professional advice”, the MPs said.

farmers protest in central london over inheritance tax - SN screengrab
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There have been multiple protests

The MPs raised concerns the change was announced “without adequate consultation, impact assessment or affordability assessment”, leaving the impact on farms and food security “disputed and unclear”.

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They said it risks producing “unintended consequences” and threatens to “affect the most vulnerable”.

The MPs have called on the government to consider alternative reforms.

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Food prices could rise due to inheritance tax rise

Typical family farm ‘would have to spend 159% of its profits for a decade to pay’ tax

Chair of the EFRA Committee Alistair Carmichael said the government should pause and reconsider the farmers' inheritance tax changes
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Chair of the EFRA Committee Alistair Carmichael said the government should pause and reconsider the farmers’ inheritance tax changes

Alistair Carmichael, the Lib Dem chair of the committee, told Sky News: “There is a need for inheritance tax to be reformed.

“The use of land purchase by the super rich as a means of sheltering their wealth is something which is not in the public interest or farmers.

“But this is not the way to go about reform.

“The risk is you see farmers selling out, they will sell out to people who are not going to use land for food production then we risk losing food security – we’ve seen how foolish relying on exports is after Putin’s invasion.”

Jeremy Clarkson arrives in central London to join the farmers protest over the changes to inheritance tax (IHT) rules in the recent budget with introduce new taxes on farms worth more than ..1 million. Picture date: Tuesday November 19, 2024. PA Photo. Farmers have reacted over the inheritance tax changes for farming businesses, which limit the 100% relief for farms to only the first ..1 million of combined agricultural and business property. For anything above that, landowners will pay a 20% tax rate, rather than the standard 40% rate of inheritance tax (IHT) applied to other land and property. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Aaron Chown/PA Wire
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Celebrities such as Jeremy Clarkson have drawn attention to the outrage

He added “as an outsider looking in”, the way in which the Treasury handled the inheritance tax announcement, after Labour said in opposition they would not change it, “has created a real problem of political authority” for Environment Secretary Steve Reed.

“It’s a problem the Treasury themselves can solve,” he said.

“Their own backbenchers increasingly think they should solve this and our report today gives them an opportunity to do that if they choose to take it.

“It really is up to the Chancellor of the Exchequer. It is over to her now.”

The committee report says before the autumn budget 70% of farmers felt optimistic about their futures, but that fell to 12% after the budget.

The survey, by the Farmers Guardian in March, also found 84% of farmers felt their mental health has been affected by the announcement.

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Key points from the budget

Farmers said the government announcing the closure of applications to this year’s sustainable farming incentive with just hours to go, was also a cause.

The committee said there are other ways to achieve reform, and called on the government to publish its evaluation and rationale for not following alternative policy measures.

They also said the Department for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs has a pattern of “poor communication and last-minute decision-making following rumours and departmental leaks”.

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Ukrainian man charged over fires at properties and car linked to Sir Keir Starmer

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Ukrainian man charged over fires at properties and car linked to Sir Keir Starmer

A 21-year-old man has been charged with three counts of arson with intent to endanger life after fires at two properties and a car linked to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.

Roman Lavrynovych, a Ukrainian national from Sydenham, southeast London, is due to appear at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on Friday, the Metropolitan Police said.

The force said officers from the Met’s Counter Terrorism Command led the investigation because of the connections to the prime minister.

Sir Keir Starmer house
Metropolitan Police
Fire Pic: LNP
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Pic: LNP

Emergency services were called to a fire in the early hours of Monday at a house in Kentish Town, north London, where Sir Keir lived with his family before becoming prime minister.

Damage was caused to the property’s entrance but nobody was hurt.

A car was also set alight in the same street last Thursday.

A forensics officer is seen in Kentish Town, north London. Police are investigating a fire at Sir Keir Starmer's house in north London. Picture date: Monday May 12, 2025.
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Forensic workers at a house in Kentish Town owned by the prime minister. Pic: PA


There was another blaze at the front door of a house converted into flats in Islington, also linked to the prime minister, on Sunday.

One person was taken to safety via an internal staircase by crews wearing breathing apparatus, London Fire Brigade said.

The head of the Crown Prosecution Service counter terrorism division, Bethan David, said: “These charges relate to two fires at residential addresses in Islington on Sunday May 11 and in Kentish Town on Monday May 12, as well as a car fire in Kentish Town on Thursday May 8.

“The Crown Prosecution Service reminds all concerned that criminal proceedings against this defendant are now active and that he has the right to a fair trial.”

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