Among the many storied traditions in college football, perhaps none transcends the sport more than the annual Army–Navy Game. Not just a contest between heated rivals, the game is a celebration of the United States’ history and traditions that entices fans across the country to choose between the nation’s land and sea military forces.
Another emerging American pastime has latched itself onto the historic rivalry. As the final game of the college football regular season and the only major game on that Saturday’s slate, Army-Navy provides a perfect window for sports bettors to get in on the action, making for one of the most popular betting games of the college football season.
In particular, betting the under on the contest has become a tradition in itself among the wagering public — and for good reason. Army, Navy and fellow service academy Air Force are famous for running option offenses, which rely on time-consuming running plays. Unlike in games against other opponents, when these programs face each other, it creates a situation where they know how to play against the option, often leading to defense winning the day.
This phenomenon led to the Army-Navy game hitting the under a remarkable 16 consecutive times from 2006 through 2021. The over then hit by five points in 2022, before the under returned with a vengeance in 2023 when the total closed at an astounding 28.5 points — the lowest total in the history of the rivalry and one of the lowest on record in any college football game. Army’s goal-line stand with a 17-9 lead and only seconds remaining preserved the under, even with an intentional safety that made it a 17-11 final.
But the 2024 edition of this game carries more intrigue than just another faceoff for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy. This 125th Army-Navy Game could attract significantly more betting handle and test bettors’ skills because, simply put, the Black Knights and the Midshipmen were really good this season.
“This should be maybe an even more heavily bet game than it’s been in the past because of the success both teams have had this season,” DraftKings sportsbook director Johnny Avello told ESPN. “Army joins the AAC, they win it, they beat Tulane in the conference championship. … Navy finished third in the conference. It could have been Army-Navy playing in the final, then this game, then another bowl game. I mean, it would’ve been nutty.”
No. 22 Army missed out on the College Football Playoff despite an 11-1 record and a conference title, but its impressive offense, combined with a resurgence from Navy’s, caused sportsbooks to open the total for this year’s game at 41.5, which would’ve been the highest since 2017 (45).
“If you want to play tradition, yeah, go ahead and bet the under. But if you want to play based on what we’ve seen this year, maybe the under is not so much the play.”
DraftKings sportsbook director Johnny Avello
It made sense, to some degree. The Knights are averaging 32.92 points per game, their highest since 1985, while the Midshipmen’s 32.27 is good for their best since 2019. Army games were 7-5 to the over this season, but Navy took it to the next level by hitting the over at an 8-3 clip. It’s also worth noting that Navy’s rivalry game against Air Force went over the 37.5 total (a 34-7 Navy win), with Army’s game against the Falcons going under 38.5 (a 20-3 Army win).
“Our internal modeling and evaluations of both teams throughout this season determined where we opened the total, which off the bat was almost two touchdowns higher than last year’s total,” ESPN BET director of North American sports trading Adrian Horton told ESPN. “From there, team news and betting activity will play a role in movement. If the public is behind the under because of the history of Army-Navy, we’ll keep adjusting to that action.”
Caesars Sportsbook’s head of football Joey Feazel expounds that the Army-Navy game represents the consistently lone exception to the public largely betting overs, saying that “the tradition of an Army-Navy under is still going to be on the betting public’s mind,” despite the newly explosive offenses. Early action would seem to back up that notion.
ESPN BET’s total came down to 38.5 before taking a step back up to 39.5, which would still be the game’s highest since 2019 (41). Handle splits have benefited the under, with the lower side of the total attracting 29.8% of bets and 49.1% of the money at the sportsbook, with other books reporting similar action and movement.
“From our perspective, it would be Army-Navy betting the under every year and it will go as low as it will until those sharps tell you, ‘Oh, that’s too low,’ and then they bet the over,” Feazel said. “So that’s really how we’re going to treat it every year. We’re trying to get to the most coinflip game on the side, on the total, and then the result is the result. We’ve, certainly in years past, always had action on the under, and the customers did well leading up until 2022.”
Sharp action dictated movement on the spread as well. Army opened as a 2.5-point favorite and jumped to -4.5 following its victory in the AAC Championship Game, per ESPN BET. Heavy action on the Black Knights pushed them all the way to -7, at which point Caesars and ESPN BET both reported “pushback,” leading to the consensus -6.5 line.
ESPN BET noted a remarkable 95.4% of bets and 97.5% of handle on Army in the very early goings, which would explain the rapid and expansive line movement; the action has since come down to 88.9% of wagers and 90.9% of money on Army.
The Black Knights’ heavy support makes sense in the context of their remarkable season and is consistent with backing they’ve had all season. Between the beginning of September and the beginning of November, when Army was still undefeated, it commanded 9% of all wagers at ESPN BET, the most of any team team during that period. Toward the end of November, BetMGM said Army was its third-largest liability to make the playoff behind Colorado and Indiana, with the Hoosiers ultimately getting in.
Based on this season’s results, it’s a potentially favorable spot for the Knights, as they are 6-3 against the spread as favorites, though all three missed covers came within their past four games as favorites. The Midshipmen are 1-2 ATS with one outright win as underdogs in 2024.
It all makes for a more compelling Army-Navy betting menu than in year’s past, one that will challenge casual and hardcore bettors alike to consider not just which of the two service academy teams to back, but also the possibility that they may make it a high-scoring game.
“I think that the bettors will view this game differently than Army-Navy games in the past,” Avello said. “If you want to play tradition, yeah, go ahead and bet the under. But if you want to play based on what we’ve seen this year, maybe the under is not so much the play. It’s just not ‘bet an under with your eyes closed.’ I don’t think that’s the way this game’s going to be bet this year.”
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — NASCAR went before a federal judge Wednesday and asked for the antitrust suit filed against the stock car series to be dismissed. Should it proceed, NASCAR asked that the two teams suing be ordered to post a bond to cover fees they would not be legally owed if they lose the case.
NASCAR also asked U.S. District Judge Kenneth Bell of the Western District of North Carolina to dismiss chairman Jim France as a defendant in the suit filed by 23XI Racing, a team co-owned by NBA Hall of Famer Michael Jordan, and Front Row Motorsports, which is owned by entrepreneur Bob Jenkins.
Bell promised a fast ruling but indicated he was unlikely to dismiss the suit when he closed the 90-minute hearing. The calendar he set when he received the case last month calls for a December trial.
“This case is going to be tried this year, and deserves to be tried this year,” Bell said.
Bell replaced Judge Frank Whitney, who heard the first round of arguments in early November. The teams went before Whitney and asked to be recognized as chartered teams this year as the suit progresses, but Whitney denied the motion.
The teams appealed and the case was transferred to Bell, who overruled Whitney and granted an injunction that allow 23XI and Front Row to compete with charter recognition throughout the 2025 season. That led NASCAR to request the teams post a bond to cover all the payouts they will receive as chartered teams as collateral should the teams lose the case.
NASCAR and the teams that compete in the top Cup Series operate with a franchise system that was implemented in 2016 in which 36 cars have “charters” that guarantee them a spot in the field at every race and financial incentives. There are four “open” spots earmarked for the field each week.
The teams banded together in negotiations on an improved charter system in a contentious battle with NASCAR for nearly two years. NASCAR in September finally had enough and presented the teams with a take-it-or-leave-it offer that had to be signed same day — just 48 hours before the start of the playoffs.
23XI and Front Row were the only two teams out of 15 who refused to sign the new charter agreement. They then teamed together to sue NASCAR and France, arguing as the only stock car entity in the United States, NASCAR has a monopoly and the teams are not getting their fair share of the pie.
Both organizations maintained they would still compete as open cars, but convinced Bell last month to give them chartered status by arguing they would suffer irreparable harm as open cars. Among the claims was that 23XI driver Tyler Reddick, last year’s regular season champion, would contractually become an immediate free agent if the team did not have him in a guaranteed chartered car.
Bell peppered both sides with questions regarding payout structures, what harm NASCAR would suffer if the teams were open cars and other issues.
“Why give a charter to anyone?” he at one point asked NASCAR.
Replied NASCAR attorney Christopher Yates, of Latham & Watkins: “NASCAR would be perfectly fine going back to that (pre-charter) model.”
Bell admitted he doesn’t normally hear motions to dismiss but did Wednesday because “we’ve got to get this case moving.” He later said he felt the hearing was beneficial as he was able to “size up” the attorneys and they could do the same with him.
Bell also warned both sides to work together to avoid disputes and promised the losing side will pay the fees for the discovery portion of the case.
With all indications that Bell is not going to dismiss the suit, it appears the only suspense will be if he orders the teams to post bond before the season begins next month. NASCAR argued Wednesday that it needs that money earmarked because it would be redistributed to the chartered teams if 23XI and Front Row lose.
Jeffery Kessler, considered the top antitrust lawyer in the country, argued that NASCAR has made no such promise to redistribute the funds to other teams. Kessler said NASCAR told teams it was up to NASCAR’s discretion how it would use the money and didn’t rule out spending some on its own legal fees.
Jordan and Jenkins attended the first hearing but were not present Wednesday. Only 23XI co-owner Denny Hamlin was present, along with his fiancee and mother. France and vice chairman Mike Helton were in the gallery with NASCAR’s in-house legal counsel and members of the communications team.
Former Wisconsin/Miami quarterback Tyler Van Dyke has committed to SMU, agent Shawn O’Dare of Rosenhaus Sports announced Wednesday.
The fifth-year quarterback entered the transfer portal after appearing in three games this fall during his debut season with the Badgers before sustaining a season-ending injury against Alabama on Sept. 14.
Van Dyke, a three-year starter at Miami from 2021 to 2023, has 7,891 career passing yards and 55 career touchdown passes and has one year of eligibility remaining. He was ranked by ESPN as the 25th best quarterback in the transfer portal.
With 33 career games played, the 6-foot-4, 225-pound passer was one of the most experienced quarterbacks available in the 2024 portal cycle.
Benched in his final season at Miami in 2023, Van Dyke arrived at Wisconsin last offseason and was named the Badgers’ starting quarterback on Aug. 14 after a camp competition with sophomore Braden Locke. Van Dyke completed 43 of 68 passes for 422 yards and a touchdown in three starts to open the 2024 season, but he was sidelined for the rest of the season after sustaining a knee injury on the opening drive of Wisconsin’s 42-10 loss to Alabama in Week 3.
The 2025 season will mark Van Dyke’s sixth in college football. He first burst onto the scene at Miami in 2021, taking over for injured D’Eriq King and throwing for 2,931 yards with 25 touchdowns and six interceptions on his way to ACC Rookie of the Year honors.
But Van Dyke’s next two seasons with the Hurricanes were marred by injury and turnover struggles, headlined by a 2023 campaign in which Van Dyke threw a career-high 12 interceptions and was benched in favor of backup Emory Williams before regaining the starting role after Williams sustained a season-ending injury.
College football reporter; joined ESPN in 2008. Graduate of Northwestern University.
DANIA BEACH, Fla. — While discussing the opportunity that awaits Penn State in the College Football Playoff, coach James Franklin said Wednesday that the showdown against Notre Dame is about “representing our schools and our conferences.”
Franklin then caught himself, realizing Notre Dame coach Marcus Freeman was sitting just to his right.
“Or our conference, excuse me,” Franklin said.
Penn State will be representing the Big Ten against FBS independent Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl on Thursday night (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Nittany Lions reached the Big Ten championship game before earning a No. 6 seed in the first 12-team CFP, while the Fighting Irish made the playoff as an at-large and earned the No. 7 seed despite playing in one fewer game.
Franklin said he thinks a larger CFP ultimately requires more uniformity around college football, including every team to be part of a conference and playing the same number of league games. Notre Dame, one of three remaining FBS independents, sees its status as central to the school’s identity and has resisted chances to join the Big Ten and other conferences over the years. The Fighting Irish compete in the ACC for most of their other major sports, and they have a scheduling agreement with the ACC in football.
“It should be consistent across college football,” Franklin said. “This is no knock at [Freeman] or Notre Dame, but I think everybody should be in a conference. I think everybody should play a conference championship game, or nobody should play a conference champion championship game. I think everybody should play the same number of conference games.”
Penn State reached the CFP by playing nine conference games as well as the Big Ten championship game against No. 1 Oregon, which defeated the Nittany Lions 45-37 on Dec. 7. The Big 12 also has maintained a nine-game league slate, while the SEC and ACC have stayed at eight conference games.
Franklin, who coached at Vanderbilt before Penn State, praised the SEC for remaining at eight league games, which the league’s coaches wanted. The SEC has repeatedly considered going to nine league games during Franklin’s time in the Big Ten.
“I was not a math major at East Stroudsburg, but just the numbers are going to make things more challenging if you’re playing one more conference game,” he said.
Franklin also highlighted other areas of the sport that could be made more uniform, including starting the season a week earlier to ease the strain of playing more games with an expanded playoff. He reiterated his desire to appoint a college football commissioner unaffiliated with a school or a conference, and once again mentioned longtime coach and current ESPN analyst Nick Saban as an option, along with former Washington and Boise State coach Chris Petersen, now a Fox college football analyst, and Dave Clawson, who recently stepped down as Wake Forest’s coach.
“We need somebody that is looking at it from a big-picture perspective,” Franklin said.
Freeman acknowledged that Notre Dame prides itself on its independence. He said the team uses the weekend of conference championships, when they’re guaranteed not to be playing, as another open week for recovery and other priorities.
Notre Dame ended the regular season Nov. 30 and did not play again until Dec. 20, when it hosted Indiana in a first-round CFP game. In helping craft the format for the 12-team CFP, former Notre Dame athletic director Jack Swarbrick agreed that if the Irish were selected, they would not be eligible to earn a bye into the quarterfinals.
Freeman noted that he doesn’t have a strong opinion on whether college football needs more uniformity.
“I’m a guy that just [thinks], ‘Tell us what we’re doing and let’s go, and you move forward,'” Freeman said. “I love where we’re at right now. [Athletic director] Pete Bevacqua and our Notre Dame administration will continue to make decisions that are best for our program.”
Franklin said his desire for greater consistency stems from the CFP selection process and the difficulty of committee members to sort through teams with vastly different paths and profiles, and determine strength of schedule and other factors.
“How do you put those people that are in that room to make a really important decision that impacts the landscape of college football, and they can’t compare apples to apples or oranges to oranges?” Franklin said. “I think that makes it very, very difficult.”