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Joe Biden has promised the US will “respond” to the attack on Tower 22, which left three US military personnel dead and dozens wounded.

The problem is that the US has already been responding to attack after attack on its bases in the Middle East – and has nevertheless failed to deter them.

There have been more than 160 so far.

Middle East latest: Biden decides on drone attack response

There have been more than 160 attacks on US bases in the Middle East. Source: ACLED
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There have been more than 160 attacks on US bases in the Middle East. Source: ACLED

And the US has retaliated to those – the graphic below shows their attacks since 27 October.

US attacks since 27 October. Source: ACLED
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US attacks since 27 October. Source: ACLED

They already include strikes against bases operated by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – the regime’s most powerful military force – rather than proxy militias.

Defence and security analyst Professor Michael Clarke said: “What the Americans were trying to do was be very graduated in their response – always to respond to individual attacks with another retaliation on the place where the attack came from.

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“It obviously has led the Iranians to feel that they can keep on pushing America. So, I think the fact American service personnel have been killed has crossed a line.

“The Americans now have got to decide if they need to take a step up in terms of their response.”

Military base known as Tower 22 in northeastern Jordan where three US soldiers were killed in drone attack. Pic: Planet Labs PBC via AP
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Military base known as Tower 22 in northeastern Jordan where three US soldiers were killed in drone attack. Pic: Planet Labs PBC via AP

Would a response that included sanctions or perhaps a cyberattack really be a step up?

Many Iranian officials are already under sanctions and there is domestic pressure on Mr Biden to go further.

Professor Clarke suggests that another option would be to target Iranian ships in the Red Sea and connecting waters: “The Americans might regard that as a sensible target since they’re all part of the Iran’s attempts to create a crisis for America.”

IRGC fast boats operate regularly in the Strait of Hormuz and have seized oil tankers in the past.

Earlier this month, Iran also announced that its warship Alborz, a frigate, had entered the Red Sea.

Drone attacks on shipping. Source: Sky News Analysis
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Drone attacks on shipping. Source: Sky News Analysis

There’s also the Behshad.

The ship officially carries cargo but military analysts say it carries out surveillance that has been vital for all the Houthi attacks – another Iranian-backed militia that forms part of the same so-called “axis of resistance”.

Those would be Iranian assets, but still outside Iran. Further up the escalation ladder would be an attack on Iranian territory itself.

That could be limited to the coast, perhaps. Or they could strike the interior – perhaps even on nuclear facilities.

That is the very top of the ladder – and the US would not start there, if only to give itself room to climb in the future.

On Monday, Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani said that his country “does not welcome the expansion of conflicts in the region”.

And Mr Biden said on Tuesday that “we don’t need a wider war in the Middle East” but he had decided on an unspecified response.

Others would argue that, with the death of US military personnel, the wider war is already here.

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‘Part of the American spirit’: Arrested student denies protests are violent

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'Part of the American spirit': Arrested student denies protests are violent

Much has been said about the students whose protests have gripped America this past week.

Their cause has been framed in polarising ways. A violent Hamas-sympathising mob? Or peace activists striving for equality?

Within a frenzied spectrum of views and noise, one young student sat down with me for a conversation.

Aidan Doyle, 21, is a philosophy and jazz double major at the University of California in Los Angeles (UCLA).

He was arrested early on Thursday morning for being part of an encampment at the university.

He told Sky News he was shocked that the police arrested so many student protesters, despite not intervening in an attack on the protesters by a pro-Israeli group the day before.

Police clash with pro-Palestinian demonstrators on the UCLA campus early on Thursday morning. Pic: AP
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Police clash with pro-Palestinian demonstrators on the UCLA campus on Thursday. Pic: AP

He said his arrest had not deterred him from continuing his protest, which he likened to the Vietnam War demonstrations of the 1960s.

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Mr Doyle rejected the notion, from President Biden, that the protests are not peaceful.

“Graffiti, putting posters up, that’s all peaceful,” he said, commenting on the president’s statement from the White House.

“I also think that President Biden needs to actually take some introspection and realise that maybe the reason so many of these protests are happening is partially due to him.”

Police advance on demonstrators on the UCLA campus Thursday, May 2, 2024, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
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Police advance on demonstrators on the UCLA campus. Pic: AP/Ryan Sun

Mr Doyle added: “Protests in general are part of the American spirit. They’re part of being an American. And if we were to just stand around in circles and sing and dance, and pretend everything was fine, then nothing would change and nobody would care at all.

“Part of a protest is causing disruption and causing at least a minor level of chaos that is, again, not violent but that actually disrupts things.”

Read more:
Why are university students protesting in the US?
Inside pro-Palestinian protest as police break up UCLA encampment

He denied any accusations of antisemitism, but conceded there is a spectrum of opinion within the movement.

“If you’re going to criticise a movement, I think you have to look at the movement’s goals and their mission, not what fringe members of the group say or do.

“You have to actually look at what we say, what the organisers say, and what is in the mainstream, and what our mission and our goal is: the peace and prosperity of the Palestinian people.”

Asked if he believed in Israel’s right to exist as a country, he said: “I think Jewish sovereignty is incredible. I think it’s an amazing thing.”

Demonstrators are detained on the UCLA campus .
Pic: AP
Image:
Demonstrators are detained on the UCLA campus. Pic: AP

He added: “I think that if there is a country for Jewish people that protects the Jewish people, that is of utmost importance, especially with the vile and rampant antisemitism that exists across the world that I see every day and that I try and combat as much as possible.

“But doing that and then simultaneously repressing another group of people, dehumanising them and brutalising them, then the question of whether your state has the right to exist becomes secondary.”

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The protests at US universities are about much more than Gaza and Israel

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The protests at US universities are about much more than Gaza and Israel

On the grass outside the university library, it is as though it never happened. 

The tents have been removed. The pavements have been sprayed. The graffiti removed.

Order and control have been restored. The protest has been silenced. For now at least.

A few streets away, at the university police station, an officer calls the names of the students arrested the night before.

On the steps in front of him, the bedraggled are waiting.

Read more:
Why are university students protesting in the US?
Inside pro-Palestinian protest as police break up UCLA encampment

Pic: Reuters
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Pic: Reuters

Police clash with pro-Palestinian demonstrators on the UCLA campus early on Thursday morning. Pic: AP
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Police clash with pro-Palestinian demonstrators on the UCLA campus early on Thursday morning. Pic: AP

Students, charged and released with a date in court, are here now to collect their belongings. They’re missing bags, belts, shoes, all lost in the chaos of the night before.

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From the very heart of the protest encampment, our cameras had captured the chaos.

Officers moving in. Tear gas and rubber bullets to disperse. Stun grenades to disorientate.

Police  detain a demonstrator, as they clear out the protest encampment in UCLA.
Pic: Reuters
Image:
Police detain a demonstrator, as they clear out the protest encampment in UCLA.
Pic: Reuters

They were scenes which have stirred an already fevered debate about Israel and Gaza, yes, but about much more too. About America, about policing, and about free speech too.

President Biden said yesterday: “Vandalism, trespassing, breaking windows, shutting down campuses, forcing the cancellation of classes and graduations – none of this is a peaceful protest.”

‘Wrong’ say the protesters. Their movement, they say, is the very essence of protest; of civil disobedience which is threaded through US college campus history.

Law enforcement official moves a tent at the protest encampment in support of Palestinians at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA), as the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas continues, in Los Angeles, California, U.S., May 2, 2024. REUTERS/Aude Guerrucci
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Law enforcement official moves a tent at the protest encampment in support of Palestinians at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA)

Signs of the days-long protest on campus being gradually cleared.
Image:
Signs of the days-long protest on campus being gradually cleared.

They reject any notion that they are threatening or violent. Yet the deeply divisive history of the Israel-Palestine conflict ensures that the beholder will so often be offended by the actions of the other side.

It was the students perceived antisemitism through their pro-Palestinian slogans which had drawn a group of pro-Israel protesters to the encampment earlier in the week.

The chaos of that night was reflected in a statement by the university’s student radio station which has been covering every twist.

This embrace turned out to be a thread of history
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This embrace turned out to be a thread of history

“Counter protestors used bear mace, professional-grade fireworks and clubs to brutalize hundreds of our peers, UCLA turned a blind eye. Police were not called until hours into the onslaught and stood aside for over an hour as counter-protestors enacted racial, physical and chemical violence,” the statement from the UCLA Radio Managerial team said.

Watching the clear-up after the nighttime police sweep of the protesters I spotted two people embracing. A young man and an older woman.

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Professor recalls violent arrest at protest

It turned out to be a thread of history. One was a student who’d been arrested the night before.

The other was a student from a past time. Diane Salinger had been at New York’s Columbia University in 1968, at protests which now form a key chapter in American history.

Diane Salinger had been at New York’s Columbia University in 1968, at protests which now form a key chapter in American history
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Diane Salinger had been at New York’s Columbia University in 1968, at protests which now form a key chapter in American history

“I’m so proud of these people here. I’m so proud,” she told me.

“You know the civil unrest of the students back in ’68 and it continued for several years, it actually changed the course of the Vietnam War and hopefully this is going to do the same thing.”

But then, back at the police station, a conversation that hints at the wider challenges for America.

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‘Tom’ is a protester who wanted to remain anonymous – a graduate who feels politically deserted in his own country. For him, no government is better than any on offer.

'Tom' is a protester who wanted to remain anonymous - a graduate who feels politically deserted in his own country.
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‘Tom’ is a protester who wanted to remain anonymous – a graduate who feels politically deserted in his own country.

“The problem with our system is that we can’t rely on the police, we can’t rely on the military to keep us safe.

“When we need to make our voices heard, we need to make them heard, and the only way to do that without being repressed is by keeping each other safe and I think that last night and the last few months have really exemplified that,” he told me.

These protests are about more than Gaza. They are aligning a spectrum of dissent.

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California boat captain jailed over fire that killed 34 people

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California boat captain jailed over fire that killed 34 people

A scuba dive boat captain has been jailed for four years for criminal negligence over a fire that killed 34 people.

Captain Jerry Boylan was also sentenced to three years supervised release by a federal judge in Los Angeles, California.

The blaze on the vessel named Conception in September 2019 was the deadliest maritime disaster in recent American history.

Boylan was found guilty of one count of misconduct or neglect of ship officer last year.

Defendant, Conception's captain Jerry Boylan, right, arrives in federal court in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Oct. 25, 2023. Federal prosecutors are seeking justice for 34 people killed in a fire aboard a scuba dive boat called the Conception in 2019. The trial against Boylan began Tuesday with jury selection. Boylan has pleaded not guilty to one count of misconduct or neglect of ship officer. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)
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Captain Jerry Boylan. Pic: AP

The charge is a pre-Civil War statute, known colloquially as seaman’s manslaughter, and was designed to hold steamboat captains and crew responsible for maritime disasters.

In a sentencing memo, lawyers for Boylan – who is appealing – wrote: “While the loss of life here is staggering, there can be no dispute that Mr Boylan did not intend for anyone to die.

“Indeed, Mr Boylan lives with significant grief, remorse, and trauma as a result of the deaths of his passengers and crew.”

The Conception was anchored off Santa Cruz Island, 25 miles south of Santa Barbara, when it caught fire before dawn on the final day of a three-day voyage, sinking less than 30 metres from the shore.

Thirty-three passengers and a crew member died, trapped below deck.

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The victims included an environmental scientist, a Singaporean data scientist and a family of three sisters, their father and his wife.

Boylan jumped overboard, and four crew members who followed suit also survived.

FILE - The burned hull of the dive boat Conception is brought to the surface by a salvage team off Santa Cruz Island, Calif., on Sept. 12, 2019. A federal jury on Monday, Nov. 6, 2023, found scuba dive boat captain Jerry Boylan was criminally negligent in the deaths of 34 people killed in a fire aboard the vessel in 2019, the deadliest maritime disaster in recent U.S. history. (Brian van der Brug/Los Angeles Times via AP, File)
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The burned hull of the dive boat. Pic: AP

Boylan initially faced 34 counts of seaman’s manslaughter, meaning he could have faced a total of 340 years behind bars.

His lawyers argued the deaths were the result of a single incident and not separate crimes, so prosecutors instead charged Boylan with only one count.

While the criminal case has concluded, there are several ongoing lawsuits.

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