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The US is trying to hit Iranian targets in the Middle East hard enough to stop attacks against American forces but not so hard that it triggers wider escalation or even direct war with Iran.

Experts in recent days have dubbed the strategy the “Goldilocks” approach because it needs to be just right.

Joe Biden made clear that a response was coming from the moment he accused “radical Iran-backed militant groups operating in Syria and Iraq” of killing three US service personnel in Jordan in a drone attack almost a week ago.

But the president also signalled his retaliation would be calculated rather than rushed, saying it would be “at a time and in a manner of our choosing”.

Middle East latest:
US begins wave of airstrikes in Iraq and Syria

This bought the administration time to try to navigate the slimmest of paths between a meaningful, powerful and effective military strike against Iranian interests and igniting new conflict in a region that is already at boiling point following the 7 October Hamas attack on Israel that prompted the Israeli war in Gaza.

Map shows approximate targets of US strikes
Image:
Map shows approximate targets of US strikes

By choosing not to hit Iran itself directly, Mr Biden has very deliberately sought to avoid escalation, even though he could potentially have justified strikes inside Iranian territory given Tehran’s alleged backing of the groups accused of the lethal drone attack in Jordan.

However, he has still chosen to go after Iran’s elite Quds Force, within the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) – the most potent arm of Iranian military power in the region and the organisation that runs Tehran’s network of proxy militias.

This level of attack could yet trigger a direct, escalatory Iranian response against US targets. Washington will be hoping it won’t.

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Almost exactly three years ago, when Donald Trump was president, the US killed the top Iranian general who had led the Quds Force during its most effective period of proxy warfare against US, British and other Western interests in the Middle East.

The assassination of Qasem Soleimani in a drone strike in Iraq in January 2020 triggered an Iranian missile attack against US forces, also in Iraq, in response – a moment of acute peril when the two sides last seemed on the brink of spiralling into all-out war.

That did not happen.

This time around, the Biden administration will likely have tried to work behind the scenes with Iran to reduce the risk of a similar kind of Iranian retaliation in kind.

Washington has also stated that Friday’s strikes were just the beginning, meaning that its adversaries are on notice.

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Biden joins families of US troops killed in drone attack

The president again framed his threat to give a sense that this was the US calling the shots rather than being forced into taking action.

“Our response began today,” he said in a statement released by the White House on Friday. “It will continue at times and places of our choosing.”

He added: “The United States does not seek conflict in the Middle East or anywhere else in the world. But let all those who might seek to do us harm know this: If you harm an American, we will respond.”

For now, perhaps the biggest danger for the United States is that its barrage of strikes against 85 Iranian-linked targets in Iraq and Syria will not be sufficient to deter new attacks that harm or take more American lives.

If that happens again, the president may be left with no choice but to order strikes against Iran directly.

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Eurovision 2024: Thousands of pro-Palestine protesters march in Malmo ahead of semi-final

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Eurovision 2024: Thousands of pro-Palestine protesters march in Malmo ahead of semi-final

Thousands of pro-Palestine demonstrators protested in Malmo, Sweden on Thursday against Israel’s competing in this year’s Eurovision Song Contest.

Protesters waving green, white, black and red Palestinian flags packed the historic Stortorget square near Malmo’s 16th-century town hall before a planned march through the city for a rally in a park several miles from the Eurovision venue.

Police estimated that between 10,000 and 12,000 people took part. Among those in the crowd was Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg.

The march took place at the same time as Israel’s entrant – 20-year-old Eden Golan – was taking part in the final dress rehearsal for the second Eurovision semi-finals, in the Malmo arena.

During the march – which included families with young children, and people with dogs and bicycles – smoke canisters in the colours of the Palestinian flag were set off, with some protesters carrying signs displaying images of Gaza civilians who have been injured amid the Hamas-Israel conflict.

There was also a banner done in the style of Eurovision with the word “genocide” on it – an accusation vigorously denied by Israel amid the war with Hamas.

Security in Malmo is high, and extra police have been drafted in from neighbouring Denmark and Norway.

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During an earlier rehearsal on Tuesday, Golan was met with boos and cries of “Free Palestine,” and an audience member appeared to have a Palestinian flag removed from them in the auditorium.

The EBU has said only flags that represent countries taking part, and the rainbow flag, can be brought to the event.

They have said they will remove any other “flags, symbols, clothing, items and banners being used for the likely purpose of instrumentalising the TV shows”.

Israel's Eden Golan with Hurricane for Israel. Pic: Sarah Louise Bennett/EBU
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Israel’s Eden Golan with Hurricane for Israel. Pic: Sarah Louise Bennett/EBU

The 20-year-old singer performed her song Hurricane while flanked by five backing dancers and centred around a large wheel-like prop in the centre of the stage.

Earlier lyric changes

The song has been tweaked three times, after an initial version titled October Rain was ruled too political by the EBU who believed some lyrics referred to the 7 October Hamas attacks on Israel.

Some still believe that some lyrics in the current song – including “Dancin’ in the storm… I’m still broken from this hurricane,” still refer to attacks which killed over 1,000 people and resulted in hundreds of hostages being taken.

In the run-up to the competition – which is the world’s largest live music event – there have been calls for Israel to be banned over their ongoing ground offensive in Gaza.

However, the EBU – which says it is an apolitical organisation – has ruled that Israel can take part as they say it has not broken any broadcasting rules.

The EBU has also condemned harassment and abuse of artists competing in the show and said they form no part of the decision-making process. As it stands no performer has withdrawn from the contest.

Israel's Eden Golan with Hurricane for Israel. Pic: Sarah Louise Bennett/EBU
Image:
Pic: Sarah Louise Bennett/EBU

More than 34,000 people have been killed, and over 77,000 have been injured in Gaza since the conflict began, according to Gaza’s Hamas-led health ministry.

The second-semi finals

The run-through came ahead of the second semi-final this evening, which will choose the final 10 acts to go into the Grand Final.

Other acts taking part in the semi-final tonight include Norway’s Gate, San Marino’s band Megara, Switzerland’s Nemo and Danish entrant Saba, – all of whom called for a ceasefire in Gaza and the “safe return” of Israeli hostages in a joint statement in March.

The UK’s act, Olly Alexander, and Ireland’s Bambie Thug were also part of the joint statement. Both performed in the first semi-final on Tuesday and will be performing in the final.

The artists rejected calls from Palestinian groups to boycott the music contest, saying they “firmly believe in the unifying power of music”.

Golan, who has been performing since she was nine years old, left Israel when she was six to live in Russia with her family, but returned when she was 18.

She told ITV News she could not have asked “for a better year to be representing my country” earlier this week.

The Grand Final will see 26 countries battle it out on Saturday night.

Sky News will be in Malmo with updates, a live blog, and all the biggest news from the contest as it happens.

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Club World Cup: FIFA threatened with legal action by players and leagues over new men’s competition

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Club World Cup: FIFA threatened with legal action by players and leagues over new men's competition

FIFA has been warned of a threatened mass revolt and legal action by the world’s footballers and leagues over its new men’s Club World Cup amid welfare concerns.

A letter has been sent by global players’ union FIFPRO and the World Leagues Forum to FIFA president Gianni Infantino demanding the 32-team competition is not played as planned in June and July next year.

Chelsea and Manchester City have qualified for the event, lined up for the United States as part of Mr Infantino’s expansion of FIFA competitions. The union fears this has congested the calendar and endangered the health of players.

Sky News revealed in December concerns from players in England that they are being asked to play too many games with a threat of legal action against football authorities.

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne in action with Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez. Pic: Reuters
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Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne and Chelsea’s Enzo Fernandez. Both teams have already qualified for the Club World Cup. Pic: Reuters

That has now been stepped up to the global level ahead of key FIFA meetings in Bangkok, Thailand, next week.

FIFPRO Acting General Secretary Stephane Burchkalter and WLA counterpart Jerome Perlemuter wrote to Mr Infantino last week to warn legal advice has been commissioned ahead of potential action against FIFA to force them to resolve concerns.

In a letter obtained by Sky News, they wrote: “We shall be compelled to advise our members on the options available to them, both individually and collectively, to proactively safeguard their interests.”

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FIFA, the governing body for world football, has also expanded the World Cup for national teams – growing from 32 to 48 teams for the 2026 edition in North America.

The FIFPRO and WLF letter added: “FIFA has continually and consistently made unilateral decisions that benefit its own competitions and commercial interests, while negatively affecting national leagues and players.

“Over a significant period, FIFA has ignored repeated attempts by leagues and unions to engage on this issue.

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Analysis: ‘Packed’ football calendar

They added: “As a result of FIFA’s recent strategy of expanding its own competitions, the calendar is now beyond saturation, to the point that national leagues are unable to properly organise their competitions, resulting in economic harm, whereas players are being pushed beyond their limits, with significant injury risks and impacts on their welfare and fundamental rights.

“Leagues and players cannot simply be expected to ‘adapt’ to FIFA’s decisions, which are driven by FIFA’s business strategy.

“We have reached the point where this situation must immediately be addressed both from a procedural and substantive perspective.”

Read more:
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Union threatens legal action over increasing number of matches

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The Club World Cup is set to be staged every four years, replacing the little-regarded annual seven-team event that City won the final version of in December.

After a three-team group stage, there will be another four matches up to the final.

The competition is taking the quadrennial slot used up to 2017 for the now-defunct, eight-country Confederations Cup that served as a World Cup test event.

Sky News has contacted FIFA for comment.

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Israel-Hamas war: Netanyahu vows his country will ‘stand alone’ if it has to after Biden’s weapons supply threat

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Israel-Hamas war: Netanyahu vows his country will 'stand alone' if it has to after Biden's weapons supply threat

Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed Israel will “stand alone” if it has to, after the US threatened to stop sending some weapons to its ally.

The Israeli prime minister said “we shall fight with our fingernails” if needed “but we have much more than fingernails”.

“And with that strength of spirit, with God’s help, together we shall be victorious,” he added.

His remarks in a video statement came after US President Joe Biden vowed to halt offensive weapons supplies to Israel if it attacks the southern Gaza city of Rafah.

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Updates on Israel-Hamas war

An unnamed Israeli operation earlier said Israel will press ahead with its operation in Rafah and elsewhere in the Gaza Strip, Reuters reported.

And chief armed forces spokesperson Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said Israel’s military has the munitions it requires for the operations.

Palestinian witnesses said Israeli tanks and warplanes have bombarded areas of Rafah on Thursday, according to the same news agency.

Palestinian militant groups Hamas and Islamic Jihad also said their fighters fired anti-tank rockets and mortars at Israeli tanks gathered on the eastern outskirts of the city.

Israel claims four battalions of Hamas fighters are hiding in Rafah, where the population has been swelled by hundreds of thousands of people seeking refuge from bombardments elsewhere in the Palestinian territory.

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